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"Graphic: iPhonAsia\nIt&amp;#8217;s tempting to multiply China&amp;#8217;s 700 million mobile phone users by a percentage pulled out of a hat, and now that China Unicom has announced its deal with Apple \n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\tAAPL\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t, everybody seems to be doing it.\nResult: Published estimates of how many iPhones Apple will sell in China next year that range from a low of 1 million to a high of 14 million. Here are the numbers we&amp;#8217;ve seen:\n\nUBS analyst Maynard Um: 1 million in fiscal 2010\nSanford Bernstein&amp;#8217;s Toni Sacconaghi: 2.9 million by end of 2011\nStandard &amp;amp; Poor\u2019s Clyde Montevirgen: 4 million in calendar 2010\nSusquehana Financial&amp;#8217;s Jeffrey Fidicaro: 2 million to 5 million\nBroadpoint AmTech&amp;#8217;s Brian Marshall: 5 million to 7 million in 2010\niPhonAsia&amp;#8216;s Dan Butterfield: 14 million in the first year of sales\n\n\nEverybody&amp;#8217;s guessing, of course, since China Unicom hasn&amp;#8217;t even announced its pricing or its terms. Meanwhile, Susquehana&amp;#8217;s Fidicaro offers investors this handy formula: For every additional 1 million phones Apple sells next year, you can add 18 to 20 cents to the company&amp;#8217;s earnings per share.\nThe Street currently expects Apple to earn $5.84 a share in fiscal 2009 and $6.79 a share in 2010, according to Thomson Financial.\nSee also:\n\nChina Unicom signs iPhone deal\n&amp;#8216;Crippled&amp;#8217; iPhone coming to China"^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string>
<http://fortune.com/2009/08/29/how-many-iphones-will-apple-sell-in-china/>