Wednesday, November 10, 1999 Published at 15:19 GMT
Sri Lanka's unwinnable war
The government has poured men and resources into its campaign
By South Asia analyst Alastair Lawson
For several years, the government of Sri Lanka has tried to bring about a decisive end to the island's long-running civil war.
Yet victory has not been forthcoming, despite the government's financial and military superiority over the rebels.
No sooner does the army succeed in capturing a strategically important town in the north than it succumbs to a Tamil Tiger counter-attack elsewhere.
But even if the highway is opened, the rebels will still be a potent guerrilla force.
They have demonstrated on innumerable occasions their ability to launch hit-and-run attacks from the heavy jungle in the north.
And they have succeeded in reversing government gains on the battlefield.
The inability to neutralise the rebels makes it difficult for President Chandrika Kumaratunga to proceed with her alternative strategy of finding a peaceful solution to Sri Lanka's troubles.
That strategy revolves around a constitutional package that would ultimately result in some autonomy for Tamil-majority areas in the north and east of the country.
However, President Kumaratunga's proposals for constitutional reform haven't been supported by the opposition United National Party, and without their support she will find it difficult to get the proposals through parliament.
In a further blow, a key figure who was advising on the reform plans, Tamil MP Neelan Thiruchelvam, was blown up in July 1998 by a suicide bomber - making it more unlikely that moderate Tamil politicians will support the reform package.
Critics argue this policy is contradictory, because any settlement could not be successful without the consent of the rebels.
The Tigers say they will not stop their struggle until they have secured an independent homeland for Tamils.
This aim too seems to be unrealistic given the government's huge economic and military superiority.
It is a battle in which neither side seems capable of conclusive victory.