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The frenetic pace of Seattle-area real estate continued in Q3, with the number of sales and median sales prices both up across the region compared to this time last year. Seattle condo sales saw a healthy year-over-year jump as they continued to recover from the COVID slump we saw in 2020.
While buyers still contended with a lack of inventory and stiff competition for available homes, our continued low interest rates were the silver lining. Those obtaining financing were buoyed up by lower mortgage payments and increased buying power compared to times when rates are higher.
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Seattle | Eastside | Mercer Island | Condos | Waterfront
Seattle’s Median Sale Price increased by 8% to $865,500 (up from $800,000 in Q3 2020). Neighborhoods in Lake Forest Park-Kenmore (+19%), Shoreline (+13%), North Seattle (+10%), West Seattle (+10%), and Queen Anne-Magnolia (+9%) outperformed the average while South Seattle (+8%) stayed on par and Ballard-Green Lake (+5%) and Central Seattle (+2%) lagged behind.
There was an 8% increase in the number of Seattle homes sold in the third quarter of 2021 (3171) compared to Q3 2020 (2929) despite the tight supply of homes for sale. Central Seattle (+20%) and North Seattle (+18%) had the largest increases over Q3 2020 in number of homes sold.
79% of all Seattle homes, and 28% of those priced above $1 million, sold at or above the list price. The average of all homes sold closed at a price 4% more than list. Price increases were even more dramatic when homes sold in their first ten days on the market—with an average sale price of 7% above list price. The most competitive neighborhoods were North Seattle and South Seattle, with first 10-day sales averaging 9% and 8% above list price, respectively.
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The Eastside’s Median Sale Price was $1,325,500 in the third quarter of 2021, up 29% over Q3 2020 ($1,025,100). Buyer demand outpacing the supply of homes for sale was the biggest factor fueling this increase. Mercer Island, (+42%), Redmond (+32%), Sammamish (+32%), and South Eastside (+32%) saw the largest gains, while Woodinville (+23%) had the smallest year-over-year increase.
87% of all Eastside homes, and 65% of homes priced above one million dollars, sold for at or above their list price. With 59% fewer homes for sale than in Q3 2020, the entire Eastside market remained ultra-competitive. The average of all homes sold was 7% above list price. Homes sold within the first ten days went for an average of 11% above list price. The most competitive neighborhoods were East Bellevue and South Eastside, with first 10-day sales averaging 13% and 12% above list price, respectively.
The Eastside market saw Months of Inventory (the number of months it would take to sell all homes currently for sale) remain at historical lows of between 0.3 and 0.4 months. Many Eastside communities have had only a handful of homes for sale at any one time.
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Fewer than two dozen homes for sale on the Island at any given time has led to a continued ultra-competitive market and unpredictable shifts in median sale price as a result. It’s worth noting that a few very high-end waterfront home sales skewed the median sale price upward as compared to last year.
In the third quarter of 2021, 75% of all homes sold at or above their listed price. Sellers who prepped and priced their homes competitively reaped huge rewards from bidding wars—those that sold in the first 10 days on market closed for an average of 10% above their list price.
On the other hand, those properties that were not immediately snapped up tended to sell at a discount. Homes on the market 11-30 days sold for an average of 3% below their list price, while homes on the market longer than 30 days sold for an average of 5% below their list price. Pricing and condition tended to separate the “haves” from the “have nots” when it came to selling quickly.
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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE
Condos did quite well overall in the third quarter of 2021 as single-family home markets became more competitive, and in some cases, unattainable.
Seattle condos saw a 3% increase (to $492,750) and Eastside condos saw a 10% increase (to $551,619) in Median Sale Price compared to Q3 2020.
62% of Seattle condos and 78% of Eastside condos sold at or above their listed price. Those sold in the first 10 days on the market went for an average of 2% and 5% above their list price, respectively.
Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.
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The waterfront home market continues to see incredible buyer demand while also suffering from an extreme shortage of available homes for sale. Nearly every waterfront home listed for sale sold in record time, some for jaw-dropping prices. The Eastside had 23 waterfront home sales in the third quarter of 2021 while Seattle had 22 Q3 waterfront sales, Mercer Island had 15, and Lake Sammamish had 10 waterfront sales. More than half of waterfront homes listed for sale went under contract in mere days, with an average market time still a fraction of that of a more typical year.
As an indicator of demand in the luxury segment, with few outliers, most homes sold near to or above their list price—something that historically has rarely happened in this sector.
This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis provided by a savvy broker with years of local waterfront experience.
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