Pierre Simon Laplace, Inverse Probability, Central Limit Theorem, Probability, Deep Dives.
inverse probability was starkly different from Bayes’s, history suggests that Bayes got the idea in his head first. So there. At any rate, here’s what we get from substituting P(X_bar_n=x|p), P(p), and P(X_bar_n = x) with their corresponding formulae or value: Laplace’s formula for inverse