Pierre Simon Laplace, Inverse Probability, Central Limit Theorem, Probability, Deep Dives.
P(X_bar_n=251527 | n=493472, p) A half century after De Moivre was done with his life’s work on the subject, it was P(p | n, X_bar_n=x) — the inverse probability — that was the only probability in Laplace’s crosshairs. Notice also that in the probability P(p | n, X_bar_n=x), p is a real number