Data Science, Artificial Intelligence, Forecasting, Open Data, Finance.
40 at a time step 8 and 0 elsewhere result in an RMSE of ~39. Forecast 2, which hits the demand perfectly and is simply off by one forecast step will have an RMSE of ~57 (in other words about 50% higher than that of Forecast 1). However, from a business perspective, Forecast 2 is more preferable as