Pierre Simon Laplace, Inverse Probability, Central Limit Theorem, Probability, Deep Dives.
in the formula for the binomial probability P(X_bar_n=x | n,p): The marginal probability P(X_bar_n) expressed as an integration over all p ϵ [0,1] (Image by Author) Let’s put back all three terms into Bayes’s formula. And yes, I am going to call it Bayes’s formula. Even though Laplace’s approach to