Probability, Axioms, Bayes Theorem, Frequentists, Bayesian.
gives us Bayes’ rule P(A | B) = P(B | A) P(A) / P(B) And we’re done! Sort of. We have a formula for the probability that Kenny is a shark when we have the information that Kenny has big, sharp teeth P(A|B). And this is given in terms of the probability that Kenny is a shark when we don’t know