Coronavirus, Covid-19, Analysis, Epidemic Modeling, Mathematical Modeling.
countries. This value is iteratively found by minimizing the RMS error between measured cases and predicted value. For Italy, with a population of 60.55 million, from 155 cases on February 23, 2020, to 92472 cases on March 27, 2020, the estimate of average contact rate is 𝛽 = 1.1, giving a Ro