2018 Word Cup, Predictions, Group Stage, Knockout Stage, Binomial Probability.
game; 22 had a tie (draw) in their first game, while 7 lost their first game. The probability for a team to qualify to knockout stage after winning their first game is p(Win) = 64%; the probability that a team qualifies after a draw in its first game is p(Draw) = 27%; and the probability that a