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Frossi The No Man 

I also wrote in that post that: fizzer555 said...

Hi Cassini,

Yes you have made me a believer in MLB Shorts (or whatever title you have for them - you usually come up with better names!).

I think the reason the Texas Rangers have not been on the list much this year is because, unlike the Cubs where every baseball watcher has had them as the clear No1 rated team all year, there are a lot of people who are not convinced by the Rangers (me included), hence the better odds.

Doesn't mean I'm right of course but I have the Cubs clear top rated and also have the Nats, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Dodgers and others well ahead of the Rangers.

What the Rangers have been outstanding at is winning close games. In fact last night they beat the Mariners 8-7 and that was the 30th game they have won this season by 1 run. In contrast they have only lost 8 by a 1-run margin. That ratio is exceptional. A .789 winning percentage in one-run contests would top the modern era single-season record (since 1900), which was set by the 2012 Orioles, who went 29-9 in such games (.763).

Those narrow wins, along with some heavy defeats along the way, doesn't push up their ratings much so, up until recently, you can see why the odds have been more generous on the Rangers.

Having said that, their rating is improving. They made good acquisitions at the trade deadline at the end of July, notably catcher Jonathan Lucroy, and, in addition to Cole Hamels being an elite Starting Pitcher all year, Yu Darvish has had more success with the help of more run support and the Rangers have won the last 5 games that he has started.

Given all that I'd agree that shorter odds are likely on the Rangers going forward. For me, unlikely to be value in following the Rangers in September.

31 August 2016 at 15:32 SportsPicksSystem said...

Do you know Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)? It's great to check systems past performance. The one you play can be queried by line < -300. As you can see it's pretty risky since 2004, it's down by 39.65 units. You can also get the performance by season (line < -300 and season). The last 3 seasons have been profitable.

You can to check by yourself

BTW Nice blog

31 August 2016 at 17:54