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US Economic Service: Short-, mid- and long-term forecasts

Access the most detailed, commercially-available macroeconomic outlook of the US economy. Now powered by Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit, this service provides the immediate-to-long-term US economic forecast – organized to help government agencies, corporations and financial institutions make smart investment and management decisions.

Subscribers receive short-, mid- and long-term US economic outlooks, including alternate scenarios, risk analysis and comprehensive sector outlooks. Underpinning each of our forecasts, the US Macro Model includes up to 2,000 variables and more than 1,500 equations that track virtually every economic activity. From one-page executive summaries for the CEO to data modeling tools for the business analyst, the US Economic Service provides real value across the organization.




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Data and forecasts

Short- and long-term US economic growth projections

Find forecasts that you can trust and justify to senior management. Identify risks to prepare strategic plans for a range of alternative outcomes. Size markets and set sales, revenue and growth targets using accurate benchmarks.

Short-, mid-, and long-term updated forecasts for 2,000+ concepts with access to forecast database.

Forecasts include: Forecast to 2023 Q1 for major GDP components US consumer spending forecast to 2023 Q1

Financial Sector-Focused Forecast

Get impartial advice on future financial conditions with the near-term outlook for the economic concepts tracked by financial institutions or chief financial officers.

Financial Sector-Focused Forecast Coverage Financial sector-focused forecast samples

US Macro Model

Underpinning each of our forecasts, the US Macro Model is a large-scale, structural econometric model that is grounded in mainstream economic theory – estimated by modern econometric techniques that afford users considerable flexibility.


Daily commentary

Find insightful analysis of breaking economic, political and financial developments, including implications of key US economic data releases. Set email alerts to receive specific data releases of interest to you.

Categories include:

Weekly economic commentary

Receive a comprehensive guide to understanding the previous week’s data and understand how the coming week’s data might affect the forecast and markets.

Monthly reports

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US GDP Tracking

Our award-winning US GDP tracking is a real-time forecast of real GDP growth in the current quarter and is updated following nearly every major data release.  At the core of our tracker is a small-scale reproduction of the process by which BEA translates monthly government statistics into official estimates of GDP.  In addition, to expert judgment developed over the last two decades, we employ a suite of proprietary time-series econometric models to guide our assumptions for values of the source data prior to their publication.  As the source data are reported, we replace our assumptions with these data and update our GDP tracking.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) coverage

Receive timely summaries detailing our view of the underlying motivations behind the current stance of Federal Reserve policy, the forces shaping decisions, plus our expectations for prospective Fed policy – following each of the eight FOMC meetings.

US Monthly GDP (MGDP) Index

Gain an analytically rigorous understanding of how each release will change the official GDP estimate – far ahead of the government release. We use our US Macro forecasting econometric model, newly released data and revisions, economic judgment, and methods designed to mimic the Bureau of Economic Analysis' data-generation process.

Alternative US and Global Scenarios

Examine scenarios that allow you or your clients to explore the effects of different potential policy outcomes or focus on different assumptions about key data, such as housing or the path of oil prices.


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Chris Varvares, CBE

Vice President and co-head of US Economics, Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

Joel Prakken, Ph.D.

Chief US Economist and co-head of US Economics, Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

Executive Director, Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

Kathleen Navin, CBE

Director, Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

Ben Herzon, Ph.D.


Patrick Newport, Ph.D.

Executive Director - US Economics, IHS Markit

Sara L. Johnson, CBE

Executive Director – Global Economics, IHS Markit

Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

Chief Economist, IHS Markit

Michael Konidaris

Principal Economist, Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

Juan Turcios

Senior Analyst, Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit


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