‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬ ١



‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬

  

	‫ﺩ‬ / -‫ﺍﻷﻏﺫﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﻘﻴﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻨﺎﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﻴﺩﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩﺡ‬ ‫ﺴﻌﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﻤﺩ‬ ‫ﻁﺎﻫﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﺤ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺭﻜﺯﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤل‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺒﻘﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻠﻴل‬	‫ﺩ‬ / ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﺤﻭﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻬﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﺭﺝ‬ ‫ﺃﺤﻤﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﻤﺩ‬ ‫ﺭﺸﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﺤﺙ‬	‫ﺩ‬ / ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﺤﻭﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻬﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺴﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﺒﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﻤﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﺼﻼﺡ‬ ‫ﺒﺤﻭﺙ‬ ‫ﺭﺌﻴﺱ‬	‫ﺃ‬ .
	‫ﺍﻟﻤﻘﺩﻤﺔ‬ : ‫ﺘﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﻅل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻌﺭﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎﻻﺕ،‬ ‫ﻤﺨﺘﻠﻑ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻫﻡ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺘﺴﺎﻋﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻁﻭﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻬﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻨﻅﻴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﻏﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺩﺨﻼﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻭ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺩﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻜﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﻟﻨﻘل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻜﻨﻭﻟﻭﺠﻴـﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘـﺩﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻬﺎﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴـﺔ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻜﻤـﺎ‬ ‫ﻴﺸﻜل‬ ‫ﺃﺩﺍﺓ‬ ‫ﻟﻺﻨﺩﻤﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﺒﻜﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻟﻺﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻭﺯﻴـﻊ‬ ‫ﻭﺃﺩﺍﺓ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﺤـﺴﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘـﺩﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺎﻓـﺴﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭﻟﻴـﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺸﺭﻜﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻷﺩﺍﺀ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺒﻠﺩﺍﻥ،‬ ‫ﻤﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺨﺫ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﻓﻊ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﻩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺠﻭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤـﻥ‬ ‫ﺘـﺩﻓﻘﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴـﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﻜﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺠﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺨﻁﻁﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﺘﻨﺩ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﺸﻴﺩﺓ‬ . ‫ﻟﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻠﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻬﻴﺌـﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﺥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻼﺌﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺤﺩﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻨﻅﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻘﻭﺍﻨﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺸﺭﻴﻌﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﻜﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻜﻠﻤـﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻹﺴـﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ،‬ ‫ﻜـﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨـﺎﺥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻱ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻠﺩ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﻀل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻀﻴﻑ‬ ‫ﻜﻠﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻜﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒـﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﺃﺴﺭﻉ‬ ‫ﻭﺃﻗﻭﻯ،‬ ‫ﻓﺒﺴﺎﻁﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺠﺭﺍﺀﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻭﺠﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﺃﺴﻭﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻁﻭﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺭﺘﻔﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠـﻴﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘـﺩﺭﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻨﺨﻔـﺎﺽ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻜﺜﻴﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺘﺯﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺴﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﺅﺸﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﻫﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﻋـﺎﻡ،‬ ‫ﺒـﺸﻜل‬ ‫ﻱ‬ ‫ﺘﺒـﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻜﻤـﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻨـﺎﺥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺄﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻜل‬ ‫ﻜﺒﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻀﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﺍﺴﺘﻘﺭﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺫﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﺩﻤﻪ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻁـﻭﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺨﻴـﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻠﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﺠﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺩﻻﺕ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻗﺩﻴﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻨﺫ‬ ‫ﺘﻤﻴﺯﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻭﺠﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺍﺒﻁ‬ ‫ﻋﺩﻴ‬ ‫ﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺼﻼﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺎﺭﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻐﺭﺍﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﺜﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ، ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﻀﻼ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﺜﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻫﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻷﺴﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﺇﻀﺎﻓﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﻭﺠﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺍﺒﻁ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﻀﺎﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺜﻘﺎﻓﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺎﺭﻴﺨﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﻓﺎﻟﻔﺘﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﻼﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺭﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺒﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻴﻼﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺭﺍﺤل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻼﺤﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺨﻠﻘ‬ ‫ﺕ‬ ‫ﺼﻼﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻁﺭﻓﻴﻥ‬ . ‫ﻟﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﻅﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﺜﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺠﻐﺭﺍﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻜﻴﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻜﻭﻨﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺇﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻭﻫﻰ‬ ٦ ‫ﻋﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﻭل‬ ) ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻭﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﻨﺱ،ﺍﻟﻤﻐﺭﺏ،‬ ‫ﻟﻴﺒﻴﺎ،‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺯﺍﺌﺭ،‬ ( ‫ﺃ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻭﺍﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺎﻟﺘﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺠﺎﺀﺕ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺯﺀ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴل‬ ‫ﻀﺭﻭﺭﺓ‬ . ‫ﻤﺸﻜﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺙ‬ : ‫ﺗﻛﻣ‬ ‫ﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺷﻛ‬ ‫ﺍﻟ‬ ‫ﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﺎﺅﻻﺕ‬ ‫ﻁﺭﺡ‬ : -‫ﺘﺤﻘﻕ‬ ‫ﻫل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻣ‬ ‫ﻌﺩﻻﺕ‬ ‫ﻨﻤﻭ‬ ‫؟‬ ‫ﻤﺭﺘﻔﻌﺔ‬ -‫ﻫل‬ ‫ﺘ‬ ‫ﺘﺴﻡ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫؟‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ -‫ﻫ‬ ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ‬ ‫ﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺤﺠﻡ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺠﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟـﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻓـﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤـﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫؟‬ -‫ﺍﻷ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﻫﻲ‬ ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﺘﺄﺜﻴﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﻜﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫؟‬ ‫ﻫﺩﻑ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺩﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﺴﺎﺴﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﺼﻔﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﻴﻬﺩﻑ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺫﻟﻙ‬ ، ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ل‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺭﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻫﺩﺍﻑ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻘﻴﻕ‬ :

‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺔ‬ - ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺴﻊ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺸﺭﻭﻥ‬ - ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭل‬ - ‫ﻤﺎﺭﺱ‬ ٢٠١٩ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬ ٢

  

	١ . ٢ . ٣ . ٤ . ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﺼﺎﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺜﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻁﺭﻴﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﺄﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺅﺸﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻲ‬ ‫ﻌﺭﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺅﺜﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﺃﺜﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﻴﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻋﺘﻤﺩﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻫﺩﺍﻓﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﺤﻘﻴﻕ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻴﻬـﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺤـﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺃﻤﻜﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴل‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻌﺽ‬ ‫ﺍﺴﺘﺨﺩﺍﻡ‬ ‫ﺘﻡ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻜﻤﻰ،‬ ‫ﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺴﻴﻁﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻐﻴـﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﻁـﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻤﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺒﺄ‬ ‫ﺴـﻠﻭﺒ‬ ‫ﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺼـﻔﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬ ٣ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻤﻀﺎﻋﻑ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ : ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻤﻀﺎﻋﻑ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻘـﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺫﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴل‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﻟﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺤﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺒﻭﺤﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟـﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤـﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﺭﺘﻔﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺩل‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺠﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻜﺎﻨﺕ‬ ‫ﺇﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺃﻤﺎ‬ ، ‫ﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻜﺱ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻤﻀﺎﻋﻑ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﻨـﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻬـﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺴـﺎﻟﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﻗل‬ ‫ﻜﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻤـﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﻗل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺤﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺒﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺒﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﺴﺎﺒﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺘﻡ‬ : ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻤﻀﺎﻋﻑ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ = ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺌـﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴـﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ،‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺅﺸﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻌﺽ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻌﺩﺩ،‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻨﺤﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﻤﻭﺫﺝ‬ ‫ﻭﻜﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﻨﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺘﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻅﻑ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻁﻥ،‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ،‬ ‫ﻤﻀﺎﻋﻑ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ،‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻤـﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺸﻭﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﻋﺩ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻷ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻨﻤﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺘﺠﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﻭﻗﻊ‬ ‫ﻜﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤـﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻟﻸﻤﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻏﺫﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻅﻤﺔ‬ ) ‫ﺍﻟﻔـﺎﻭ‬ ( ، ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﻀﻼ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻭﻀﻭﻉ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺼﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺫﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺭﺴﺎﺌل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﺒﻌﺽ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﻌﺎﻨﺔ‬ . ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻌﺭﻴﻔﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﻁﻠﺤﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻌﺽ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺒﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺘﺒﻁﺔ‬ : ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﺥ‬ : ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﺎﺕ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻭﺍﻨﻴﻥ،‬ ‫ﻤﺠﻤﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺘﺅﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﺅﺴﺴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺁﺨﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﺩ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺒﺘﻭﺠﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻘﻨﻌﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ‬ ‫ﺜﻘﺔ‬ . ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻤﻘﺼﻭﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﻟﻴﺱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﺴﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻱ‬ ‫ﻓﺎﻟﻤﻨﺎﺥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺌﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺠﺘﻤﺎﻋﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻅﺭﻭﻑ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻌﺩﺍﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺒل‬ ‫ﻓﻘﻁ،‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤل‬ . ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻰ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ : ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻜل‬ ‫ﻭﻴﻌﺭﻑ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻘﺩ‬ ‫ﺼﻨﺩﻭﻕ‬ ) IMF ( ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺎﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻨﻅﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻨﻤﻴﺔ‬ ) DECD ( ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺃﻨﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻤﺎ،‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺨل‬ ‫ﻤﺸﺭﻭﻋﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻁﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ : ‫ﻴﺸﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻁﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﻟﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﻫﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﻹ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻭﻓﻘﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﻋﻨﺩ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻴ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁـﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﺍﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺩل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺅﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺘﺴﺎﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﻫﻤﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﻤﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﺘﺴﺎﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺩل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺨﻔﺽ‬ ‫ﻭﻋﻨﺩﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻓـﻲ‬ ‫ﻜﻔـﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺠـﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﻴﺩل‬ ‫ﻤﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﻫﻤﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﻤﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﻘل‬ ‫ﺍﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺤﺼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﺴـﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺤﺼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺩل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﻴﺯﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻭﻋﻨﺩﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺤﻘ‬ ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺘﻔﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺠﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﻜﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻘﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁـﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻟـﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺠﻬﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ . ‫ﻭﻴـﺘﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﺴﺎﺒﻪ‬ : ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻁﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ = ‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺴﻴﻁﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻘﻴﻤﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ‬ . ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻨﻜﺘﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺭﻑ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﻫﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻰ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻴﻔﻀﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺫﻯ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺇ‬ ‫ﻋﻼﻗﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻤﺩ‬ ‫ﻁﻭﻴﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺭﻉ‬ ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﺭﻜﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻰ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺌﻤﺘﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺴﻴﻁﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻔﻌﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﻌﻜﺱ‬ ‫ﺃ‬ ‫ﺘﻠﻙ‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻀﻴﻔﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺌﻡ‬ ‫ﺠﻨﺒﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺘﻤﻴﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺇ‬ ‫ﺠﻨﺴﻴﺘﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﻰ‬ . ١ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ : ‫ﻴﻌﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺤﺠﻡ‬ ‫ﻗﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺤﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻼﺯﻡ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﻌﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﺔ،‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻗﺴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻨﺨﻔﺎﺽ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻴﺸﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﺯﻴﺎﺩﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻜﺱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﺔ،‬ ‫ﻗﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺩل‬ = ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻅﻑ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻅﻑ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﺒﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤل‬ ‫ﻋﻨﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻜﺜﻴﻑ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﺃﺴﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺜﻴﻑ‬ ‫ﺍﻨﻌﻜﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻫﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻅﻑ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﻫﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﻜﺱ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺎﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﻋﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺩل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻨﺨﻔﺽ‬ ‫ﻭﻜﻠﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺤﺠﻡ‬ ‫ﻟﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻓﺭﺼﺔ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﺎﻙ‬ ‫ﺘﻜﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺎﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺤﺠﻡ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﻜﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻁﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺤﺠﻡ‬ ‫ﺘﻘﻠﻴل‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻴﺴﺎﻋﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻜﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﻭﻅﻴﻑ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﺴﺎﺒﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺘﻡ‬ : ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻅﻑ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ = ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﻋﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ‬
	‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺌﺩ‬ : ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺤﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﻟﺩ‬ ‫ﻜﻔ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ، ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺒ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻜﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﻓـﻲ‬ ‫ﻜﻔـﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﻭﺠﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﺩل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺌﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨـﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﺴﺎﺒﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺘﻡ‬ : ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺌﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ = ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘ‬ ‫ﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬

‫ﻭﻤﻨﺎﻗﺸﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﺭﺽ‬ : ‫ﺃﻭﻻ‬ : ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬

  

	‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺴﻊ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺸﺭﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭل‬ -‫ﻤﺎﺭﺱ‬ ٢٠١٩ ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻜﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻨﺼﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﺴﺎﻫﻤﺕ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ٥,١ ‫ﻨﺤـﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜـل‬ ‫ﺃﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ٤ ١٣ ) % ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺒ‬ ‫ﺤـﻭﺍﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺠﺯﺍﺌﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻐﺭﺏ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻜﻼ‬ ‫ﺘﻠﻴﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ،‬ ‫ﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ٢,٢ ، ١,٥ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜﻼ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ٥,٦ % ، ٣,٨ % ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺄ‬ ‫ﺴـﺎﻫﻡ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ،‬ ‫ﺒﺤﻭﺍﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﻘﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻴﺒﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﻨﺱ،‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻭﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻜل‬ ١,٤ ، ١,٣ ، ١ ‫ﻴﻌـﺎﺩل‬ ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ٣,٥ % ، ٣,٢ % ، ٢,٦ % ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺭﺘﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻬﻡ‬ ‫ﻟﻜل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ . ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺸﻜل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺠﻬﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻜل‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺤﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺒﺼﻭﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ٢٠١٢ ‫ﺘﻨﺎﻗﺹ‬ ‫ﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﻟﻜﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺎﻗﺹ،‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﻬﺕ‬ ‫ﺜﻡ‬ ‫ﻟﻺﺴﺘﻘﺭﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﻪ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻜﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻌﺩل‬ . ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ١ . ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺴﺘ‬ ‫ﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺯﺍﺌﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻴﺒﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻐﺭﺏ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﻨﺱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻭﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬
	3.3	0.4	0.8	0.4	0.1	1.2	0.3	9.7	2000
	5.6	0.6	0.5	2.8	0.1	0.5	1.1	20.0	2001
	3.9	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.6	1.1	14.7	2002
	5.3	1.3	0.6	2.3	0.1	0.2	0.6	18.2	2003
	6.4	1.5	0.6	0.9	0.4	2.2	0.9	17.7	2004
	11.6	1.6	0.8	1.7	1.0	5.4	1.1	29.5	2005
	21.6	1.8	3.3	2.4	2.1	10.0	1.9	34.5	2006
	23.1	1.5	1.6	2.8	3.9	11.6	1.7	51.2	2007
	22.2	1.7	2.8	2.5	3.2	9.5	2.6	58.1	2008
	18.1	1.7	1.7	2.0	3.3	6.7	2.8	56.5	2009
	15.7	2.1	1.5	1.6	1.9	6.4	2.3	46.7	2010
	8.5	1.7	1.1	2.6	-	0.5	2.6	46.7	2011
	15.8	2.5	1.6	2.7	1.4	6.0	1.5	52.0	2012
	12.0	0.9	1.1	3.3	0.7	4.3	1.7	50.8	2013
	12.0	1.3	1.1	3.6	-	4.6	1.5	52.4	2014
	13.4	1.7	1.0	3.3	-	6.9	0.6	56.6	2015
	13.8	1.0	0.9	2.2	-	8.1	1.6	53.2	2016
	13.3	1.1	0.9	2.7	-	7.4	1.2	41.8	2017
	: ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻺ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻹ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﺴﺘﻌﺭﺍﺽ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﻫﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ : ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ -‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ٩,٧ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﺒ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﻥ‬ ١ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻠﻎ‬ ٥٦,٦ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ) ٢٠١٥ .( ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺴﺎﻫﻤﺕ‬ ‫ﺤـﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻠـﻎ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ ( ‫ﻓـﻲ‬ ، ٣٩,٥ ‫ﺒﺈ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ١٢,٥ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ٣١,٨ % ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴـﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﺠﻤـﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ٣,٣ ‫ﻋ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺎﻡ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ ( ‫ﺃﻗـﺼﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺒﻠـﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻤـﺎ‬ ، ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ٢٣,١ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ) ٢٠٠٧ . ( ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻨﻔﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺃﻓ‬ ‫ﺭﻴﻘﻴـ‬ ‫ﺎ‬ ‫ﺤـﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻤـﻥ‬ ٣,٣ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ ( ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻲ‬ ١٣,٣ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ) ٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻯ‬ ‫ﻴ‬ ‫ﻌـ‬ ‫ﺎ‬ ‫ﺩل‬ ٣٠٣ % ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘـﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨـﻼل‬

‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ 39.5 1.5 5.1 1.0 2.2 1.3 1.4 12.5 % 100 3.8 13.0 2.6 5.6 3.2 3.5 31.8 Source: Using database of FAO stat. ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬ ٥ ٢ - ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﻫﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬

  

	: ١٥٦,٥ ٢٠٠٠ ( ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺒﺈﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴـﺎﺭ‬ ٢٠١٧ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ٢٠٠٠ ) ٢ ( -( ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺯﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ٤٤,٣ ‫ﻋـﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ) ‫ﺤـﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺇﻟـﻰ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻴﺸﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٧٠,٢ ) ٢٠١٧ .( ‫ﺍﻷ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺴﺎﻫﻤﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻤﺎ‬ ٧٦,١ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ٤٨,٦ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠـﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻷ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺔ‬ ٤٠ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ ( ‫ﺇﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ١١٨,٦ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ) ٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻯ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺎﺩل‬ ١٩٧ % ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﺴﺎﻫﻤﺕ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻜﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻨﺼﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ٣٠,٢ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺃﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ١٩,٣ % ‫ﺍﻟﻨـﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻠﻴﻬﻤـﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﻠـﻎ‬ ‫ﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻐﺭﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺯﺍﺌﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻜﻼ‬ ‫ﺘﻠﻴﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ،‬ ‫ﺓ‬ ١٦,٥ ‫ﻤﻠﻴـﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜﻼ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ١٠,٦ % ‫ﺃﻓ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ، ‫ﻤـﻥ‬ ‫ﻜـل‬ ‫ﺴـﺎﻫﻡ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻤـﺎ‬ ‫ﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻭﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﺤﻭﺍﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﻘﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﻨﺱ‬ ، ٨,٣ ، ٤,٧ ‫ﻴﻌـﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺤـﻭ‬ ‫ل‬ ٥,٣ % ، ٣ % ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺭﺘﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻬﻡ‬ ‫ﻟﻜل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ . ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ٢ . ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﻟﻘﺎﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻵﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ * ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﻟﺠﺯﺍﺌﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻐﺭﺏ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﻨﺱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻭﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬
	40.0	6.0	2.8	8.1	17.3	5.7	44.3	2000
	40.3	7.2	2.7	8.8	15.0	6.6	47.2	2001
	40.8	8.6	2.5	9.1	14.0	6.5	70.2	2002
	45.1	10.2	3.4	11.4	12.0	8.2	76.1	2003
	51.3	11.2	4.0	12.6	13.7	9.9	80.3	2004
	57.0	14.5	4.1	12.2	16.5	9.8	102.9	2005
	66.0	17.9	4.3	14.9	18.1	10.9	123.6	2006
	80.1	26.2	4.6	13.7	22.9	12.8	139.3	2007
	63.8	0.7	4.8	17.6	26.8	14.0	177.3	2008
	71.0	0.7	5.0	18.3	31.1	15.9	166.2	2009
	76.5	0.9	4.5	18.1	35.9	17.1	180.9	2010
	92.4	7.5	5.2	20.3	39.0	20.3	195.4	2011
	98.8	7.2	5.5	19.0	44.3	22.9	208.1	2012
	102.9	6.8	5.6	21.7	43.3	25.5	224.3	2013
	103.4	6.5	5.8	19.6	44.4	27.2	232.6	2014
	108.6	6.2	6.1	22.9	46.9	26.5	221.7	2015
	113.6	5.8	6.4	23.8	49.5	28.1	256.7	2016
	118.6 76.1 48.6	5.5 8.3 5.3	6.6 4.7 3.0	24.8 16.5 10.5	52.1 30.2 19.3 ‫ل‬ ‫ﺴﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬	29.6 16.5 10.6	270.2 156.5 100	2017 ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ % 

‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻭﻓﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻡ‬ ٢٤ ‫ﻓﻘﻁ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺔ‬ Source: Using database of FAO stat.

  

	‫ﺜﺎﻨﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ : ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺅﺜﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﺴﺘﻌﺭﺍﺽ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ : ) ١ ( ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺫﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺨﺘﻠﻔﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﻴ‬ ‫ﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺃ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﻴﻊ‬ ‫ﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴـﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻠـﻰ‬ ‫ﺘﺅﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤـل‬ ‫ﻨﺤـﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﻬـﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺔ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺴﻊ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺸﺭﻭﻥ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭل‬ -‫ﻤﺎﺭﺱ‬ ٢٠١٩ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬ ٦ ‫ﻟﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻭ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺩﻻﺕ‬ ‫ﺇﺨﺘﻼﻑ‬ ‫ﻤﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﻨﺎﻗ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻰ‬ ‫ﻋﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻓﻴﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺤﺎﻟـﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺒﺏ‬ ‫ﻴﺭﺠﻊ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺼﺕ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟـﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻘـﺴﻴﻡ‬ ‫ﺇﻟـﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺭﺒﻤـﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺨﻴـﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺒﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻤﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﻘﺭﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻭﺩﺍﻥ‬ ، ‫ﻴﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﻓﻴﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﻜل‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﺤﺩﻩ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ : ١ -‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ : ‫ﻴ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭ‬ ‫ﺒـﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻴﻘﻴـﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ٤٠ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ٢٠٠٠ ‫ﻋـﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﺼـل‬ ‫ﺤﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺯﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺜﻡ‬ ٢٠١٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ١١٨,٦ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﺍﺯﻯ‬ ١٩٧ % ‫ﺭﻗـﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟـﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ،‬ ‫ﺒﺩﺍﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺒ‬ ‫ﺎﻟﺠـﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻴ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ٤,٦ ‫ﺩﻭﻻ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺎﺩل‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ٦،٦ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺩﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤل‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺸﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ،‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ٩٦ % ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺩﺜﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠـﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨـﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﻘﻴﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﺭﺠﻊ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻗﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﻜﺴﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﺭﺠﻊ‬ . ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﻤﻜﻭﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺫﻜﺭ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌـﺎﻴﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻫﻡ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﺩﻭﺭﻩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺫﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻨﻤﻭ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﺍﺀ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ‬ . ‫ﻴـﺼﻌﺏ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻨـﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻘﻭﺓ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻭﻨﻅﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺃﺤﺩﻫﻤ‬ ‫ﻭﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺼل‬ ‫ﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻵﺨﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻌﺯل‬ . ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺃﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋـﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻠ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ) ٦ ( ‫ﺒ‬ ‫ﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺍﻹ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻨـﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ١ % ‫ﺒﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﺅﺩﻯ‬ ٠,٤٢ % ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﻩ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺇ‬ ‫ﻤﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻴ‬ ‫ﻗـﻭﺓ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺅﻜﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ‬ . ٢ -‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎﻟﺔ‬ : ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﺒﻠﻐ‬ ‫ﺕ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ٦,٦ ‫ﻤﻠﻴـﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻨﺴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ٢٠٠٠ ‫ﺜﻡ‬ ‫ﺘ‬ ‫ﺯﺍ‬ ‫ﻴ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ ‫ﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﺼﻠ‬ ‫ﺤﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺕ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ٢٠١٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ١٣,٥ ‫ﻨﺴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻗﺩﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺤـﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ١٠٤,٥ % ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺒﺩﺍﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﻨﺸﻴﺭ‬ ، ‫ﺃﻨ‬ ‫ﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺯﺍﺌـﺭ‬ ‫ﻤـﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻜل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻤﻜﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻡ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﺍﻓﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻟﻌﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻭﺩﺍﻥ‬ . ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻥ‬ ) ٢ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺘ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺤـﻭ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ٣٠٢ ‫ﺃﻟـﻑ‬ ‫ﻨﺴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﺃﻱ‬ ٢,٧ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ١١,٢ ‫ﻨﺴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴـﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺘـﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﻤـل‬ ‫ﻭﻴـﺸﻴﺭ‬ ، ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺩﻴﺩ‬ ٤٤ % ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺩﺜﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺘ‬ ‫ﺍﻟ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺭﺠﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟـﺯﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﻜﺴﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻗﻲ‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻴﺭﺠﻊ‬ ‫ﻤﻘﺎﻴﺴ‬ ‫ﺔ‬ . ‫ﺃﺜﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴـﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠـﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ) ٧ ( ‫ﺒ‬ ‫ﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻨـﺴﺒﺔ‬ ١ % ‫ﺘـ‬ ‫ﺯﻴـﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺇﻟـﻰ‬ ‫ﺅﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺤﻭ‬ ١,٣ % ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺇﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﻩ‬ . ٣ -‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻘﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻀﺎﻓﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻀﺎﻓﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﺸﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴـﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ٣١ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ٢٠٠٠ ‫ﻭﺯﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺤﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ٢٠١٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ١١١ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺯﻴـﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻗﺩﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ٢٥٥ % ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ،‬ ‫ﺒﺩﺍﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺍﻟـﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻴـﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﺇﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ٥ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺘﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻘﺭﺏ‬ ٧,٤ % ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺤـﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ٦٧,٩ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ .( ٤ -‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬ : ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﺌﻴﺴﻴ‬ ‫ﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﺒﺤ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﺩﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺘﺩﻓﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻁـﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ،‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺘ‬ ‫ﻘﻊ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﺘـﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨـﻼل‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ) ٢٠٠٠ -٢٠١٧ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ٣٤ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ٢٠٠٠ ‫ﺜﻡ‬ ‫ﺯﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺤﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﻋـﺎﻡ‬ ٢٠١٧ ‫ﻨﺤـﻭ‬ ٦٨,٥ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﺍﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ١٠١ % ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ،‬ ‫ﺒﺩﺍﻴﺔ‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤـﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻌﺩل‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻰ‬ ٢,٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﺍﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻻﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﻴﺎﺭ‬ ٤,٣ % ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ،‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬

-UNCTAD ,Foreign Direct Investment and Development, UNCTAD/ITE/IIT/10(VOL.1) ,New York,1999,P7 

‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺩﺭ‬ : 

‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬


Summary

Arab agricultural investments are considered to be the most important tools to help Arab economic growth and integration in the light of scientific and knowledge development in various fields. Investment is a source for the transfer of advanced technological capabilities or organizational, managerial, marketing and other important inputs among the Arab countries. 
The research aims to study the efficiency of agricultural investments of Arab countries in North Africa. The most important results of the study: 
-It was found that the increase of agricultural investment by 1% leads to an increase in AGDP by 0.42%. This relationship was statistically significant, which confirms the strength of the relationship. -The results of the study show that the agricultural investments of the Arab countries in North Africa increased from about 3.3 billion dollars in 2000 to about 13.3 billion dollars in 2017 by about 303% during the study period. -The investment rate for each country in North Africa shows the efficiency of agricultural investment in all countries. The investment rate for Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Sudan is 0.11, 0.18, 0.14, 0.28 and 0.52, respectively. -The results of the analysis of the standard model of factors affecting the determinants of Arab-African investment showed that the value of Arab African agricultural investments is inversely proportional to the size of agricultural employment, The decline in the volume of agricultural employment is due to the expansion of the use of technology in the agricultural sector. -The results of the model showed that investments were adversely affected and reversed during periods of revolutions (Political instability), While the increase in investments was shown after the division of Sudan due to the opening of new markets and thus the expansion of agricultural investments. 

Recommendation:

-Arab countries should increase Arab-African investments in the agricultural sector and work on the use of modern technology to reduce operating costs and increase production. -Preparing investment maps for the agricultural sector of the Arab countries in North Africa, providing a database and information systems for investors and coordinating them to avoid competition in this sector.
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺠﻨﺒﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻓﺭﻴﻘﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺸﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬ ١