‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ / ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻤﺭﺍﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﻤﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﻏﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﻭﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﺭﻜﺯ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﺤﻭﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻬﺩ‬ ، ‫ﺒﺎﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻘﺩﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﺭﻓﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﺇﺤﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺴﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺫﻜﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﺒﻜﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻼﺠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻐﺫﺍﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﺃﺩﺭﻙ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻜﺎﻤ‬ ‫ﺼﻴﺩﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻬﻭ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺜﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻤﺎﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﺘﺏ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻟﻌﻼﺝ‬ ‫ﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻤﺭﺍﺽ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺩ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻭﻗﺎﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﻋﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺴﺘﺎﻨﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺎﺼﻴل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ . ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻤﺜل‬ ٣,٣٥ % ، ١,٦٢ %


Ŷi = ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺒﻊ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ‬ i Xi = ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ i = ١ ، ٢ ، ٣ ، ....... ، ١٤ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻭﺴﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ‬ : ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺒﺭ‬ T ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺴﻭﺒﺔ‬ ٠,٠٥ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺩﺭ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﺴﺒﺕ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ . ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺇﻨ‬ ‫ﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ : ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﺸﻴﺭ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ - ٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺡ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٢٢١٢٣ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ٢٦٩٠٧٠ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ٨٤٦٦٤,٤ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ - ٢٠١٦ .( ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ - ٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻥ‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٢ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ، ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺫ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ١٥٥٠٨,١٤ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ،‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ١٨,٣٢ % ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ٨٤٦٦٤,٤ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻴﺸﻴﺭ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ - ٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺤﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٣٢٧٥ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ١٠٨٣٨ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ٦٤٠٥,٣ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ - ٢٠١٦ . ( ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ - ٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺎﻥ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﻌﺎﻟﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ - ٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ، ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺇﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺫﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ٤٥٥,٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٧,١١ % ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ٦٤٠٥,٣ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬



  




‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺩﺭ‬ : ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ،‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺴﺘﺼﻼﺡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺯﺍﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﺌﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻗﻁﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻨﺸﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻨﺸﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻔﺭﻗﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻋﺩﺍﺩ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤـﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻬﻠﻙ‬ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻭﺯﻴﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻔﺭﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻭﻴﺎﺕ‬

  ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴـﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺍﺤـل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺠﻤﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﺌﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻬﻠﻙ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺴﺎﺴﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺘﺞ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻨﺘﻘﺎﻟﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻠﻊ‬ ‫ﺘﻤﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﻴـﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻭﺍﺴﻁﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﻓﻊ‬ ‫ﺒﻌﺽ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻠﻊ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﻩ‬ ‫ﺘﻜﺘﺴﺏ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺴﻭﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺨﻠﻠﺔ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺌﻤـﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺇﻅﻬﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻐﺭﺽ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻬﻭﺍﻤﺵ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺤﻠﻴل‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﺒﺭﺯ‬ ‫ﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﻀﻭﺀ‬ ‫ﻭﻓﻲ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺴﻁﺎﺀ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺅﺸﺭ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺩ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺭﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺴﺘﺨﻼﺹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻭﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘـﺴﺘﺤﻭﺫ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺤﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺭﻑ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺤﺎﺼـﻴل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﻴﺴﺎﻋﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﺌﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺘﻬﻠﻙ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ‬ ‫ﺴﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻜﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺼﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺃﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺎﺼـﻴل‬ ‫ﺒﻌـﺽ‬ ‫ﺯﺭﺍﻋـﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﺴﻊ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺘﺨﺫﻯ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻤﺅﺸﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﻜﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻀﻭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺨﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺽ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻨﻜﻤﺎﺵ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺨﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺘﻐﻴﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻤل‬ ‫ﺀ‬ . 


	‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺸﺭﻭﻥ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﺍﺒﻊ‬ -‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺩﻴﺴﻤﺒﺭ‬ ٢٠١٨ ١٨٩٦ : ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺤﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٢٥٥٨ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ٧٦٦٧ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ٤٧١٦,٨ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺩﺭﻭﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻥ‬ ) ٢ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺫﺕ‬ ٣٩٩,٥ ‫ﻋﻨﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫،ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ٠,٠٥ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫،ﻭﺒﻤﺎ‬ ٨,٤٧ % ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ٤٧١٦,٨ ‫ﻓﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻥ‬ . ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ : ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻜﻤﺎ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺤﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٧,٨٤ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ١٢,٥٣ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ١٠,٣ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ . ( ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻥ‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﻟﻤﻌﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻡ‬ ‫ﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ، ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺫﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ٠,٣٢ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ٠,٠٥ ‫،ﻭ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ٣,١١ % ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ١٠,٣ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ . ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻻﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻤﻨﻲ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ % ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ F R 2 ‫ﺍﻟﻤـﻌـﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ) ‫ﻡ‬ ( 6405.3 7.11% 75.66* 0.86 Ŷ 1 = 2987.5 + 455.71 X i (6.7)* (8.7)* 1-‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ 4716.8 8.47% 150.9* 0.93 Ŷ 2 =1720.4 + 399.52 X i (6.21)* (12.3)* 2-‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ 10.3 3.11% 86.9* 0.88 Ŷ 3 = 7.9 + 0.32 X i (26.99)* (9.32) * 3-‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ 50717.4 11.28% 127.4* 0.91 Ŷ 4 = 7793.96 + 5723.1 X i (1.81) (11.3)* 4-‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ : Ŷi = ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺒﻊ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ‬ i Xi = ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ i = ١ ، ٢ ، ٣ ، ....... ، ١٤ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻭﺴﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ‬ : ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺒﺭ‬ T ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺴﻭﺒﺔ‬ ٠,٠٥ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺩﺭ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﺴﺒﺕ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ . ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ : ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﺸﻴﺭ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺡ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٢٠٠٦٣ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ٩٦٠٦٣ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ٥٠٧١٧,٤ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ . ( ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻥ‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ١٨٩٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺫ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺩﻴﻤﺔ‬ ٥٧٢٣,١ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﺩ‬ ٠,٠٥ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﻭﺒﻤﺎ‬ ، ١١,٢٨ % ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ٥٠٧١٧,٤ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻴﺸﻴﺭ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺤﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ١١٣٤ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ‫ﻨ‬ ‫ﺤﻭ‬ ٧٤٥٧٧ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ١٦٢٤٧,٣ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ .( ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺎﻥ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﻟﻤﻌ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺎﻟﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻭﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ، ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺇﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺫﺕ‬ ٤٥٨٨,٥ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٨,٢٤ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ١٦٢٤٧,٣ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟ‬ ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ : ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻜﻤﺎ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺤﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٨١١ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ٢٥٣٢٨ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ٥٢٨٠,٩ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ . ( ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻥ‬ ) ٢ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﻟﻤﻌﺎﻟﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺫﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ١٣٩٦,٦ ‫ﻟﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﻭﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ،‬ ٢٦,٤٥ % ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ٥٢٨٠,٩ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ . ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ : ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻜﻤﺎ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺤﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٢,٥٤ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﺒ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻠﻎ‬ ٧,٤٤ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ ٢٠١١ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ٥ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ . ( ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻥ‬ ) ٣ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﻌﺎﻟﻡ‬ ‫ﻲ‬ ‫ﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ، ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﺨﺫﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ٠,٤٣٣ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﻭﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ،‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ٨,٦٦ % ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ٥ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ‬ . ‫ﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ : ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﺸﻴﺭ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺡ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٢٠٦٠ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ٢٠٠٣ ‫ﺃﻗﺼﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ١٧٣٠٠٧ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، 33947 ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ . ( ‫ﻟﺘﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻥ‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﻴﺘﺒ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺃﺨـﺫ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺔ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺸﺭﻭﻥ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﺍﺒﻊ‬ -‫ﺩﻴﺴﻤﺒﺭ‬ ٢٠١٨ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ١٨٩٨ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﻘﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩﺍ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺘﺠﺎﻫﺎ‬ ٩٧٨٥,٠١ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﻤـﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻨـﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺜﺒﺘﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ٠,٠٥ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫،ﻭﺒﻤﺎ‬ ٢٨,٨٢ % ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ٣٣٩٤٧ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٤ ( ‫ﺍﻻﺘﺠﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎﺩﻻﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻤﻨﻲ‬ ‫ﺘ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻁﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ) ٢٠٠٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ % ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ F R 2 ‫ﺍﻟﻤـﻌـﺎﺩﻟﺔ‬ ) ‫ﻡ‬ ( 16247.3 28.24% 28.3* 0.70 Ŷ 1 = -18166.3 + 4588.5 X i (-2.48) * (5.32)* 1-‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ 5281 26.5% 16.9* 0.59 Ŷ 2 = -5193.53 + 1396.6 X i (-1.8) (4.11)* 2-‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ 5 8.66% 39.1* 0.77 Ŷ 3 = 1.8 + 0.433 X i (3.05)* (6.25) * 3-‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ 33947 28.8% 18.93* 0.61 Ŷ 4 = -39440.6 + 9785.01 X i (-2.06) (4.35)* 4-‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ : Ŷi = ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺎﺒﻊ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻤﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ‬ i Xi = ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺯﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻐﻴﺭ‬ i = ١ ، ٢ ، ٣ ، ....... ، ١٤ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻭﺴﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ‬ : ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺒﺭ‬ T ‫ﻤﻌﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺴﻭﺒﺔ‬ ٠,٠٥ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺩﺭ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﺴﺒﺕ‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻠﺤﻕ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻐﺭﺍﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻭﺯﻴﻊ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ) ٥ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻐﺕ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺭﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻭﺠﻪ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ٥١٤٦ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺒﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ٩,٣ % ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ٥٥٤٤٧ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ . ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ٦٧٨٦ ‫ﺒﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻨﻔﺱ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٣,٧٣ % ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ١٨١٧٥٦ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺴﻁﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻐﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ١٧٦٥ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٣,١٨ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻨﻔﺱ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺩﺭﻭﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ٥٠٣٣ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٢,٧٧ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻨﻔﺱ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺩﺭﻭﺴﺔ‬ . ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ٩٧٠٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ١٧,٥١ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻨﻔﺱ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎ‬ ‫ﺝ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ٩٩٥٦٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٥٤,٧٨ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ . ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺨل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﻤﺜل‬ ١٦٦١٨ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ٢٩,٩٧ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ١١١٣٨٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٦١,٣ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﺒﺨﺎﺭﺝ‬ ٣٨٨٣٠ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٧٠,٠٣ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ٧٠٣٧٠ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ -‫ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻭﺒﺎﺭﻴﺔ‬ -‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ٣٨,٧٢ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻐﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻭﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺭﺍﻜﺯ‬ ٣٥٢١٢ ، ٩٣٠٢ ، ٢٢٩٦ ١٨٠٧ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺭﺘﻴﺏ،‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻨﺎ‬ ٦٣,٥١ % ، ١٦,٨ % ، ٤,١٤ % ، ٣,٣ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ . ‫ﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻫﻡ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻭﺒﺎﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺃﺴﻴﻭﻁ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻐﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁﺎﺕ‬ ٩٨٣١٨ ، ٦٨٠٥٩ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜل‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺭﺘﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٥٤,٠٩ % ، ٣٧,٤٥ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﺎ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﺜﻼ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﻤﺎ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ ٩١,٥٤ % ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ‬ . ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺠﺎﺀﺕ‬ ‫ﺴﻴﻨﺎﺀ‬ ‫ﻭﺠﻨﻭﺏ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺤﻴﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺃﺴﻴﻭﻁ‬ ‫ﻭﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻭﺒﺎﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻨﻔﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻜﻤﺎ‬ . % % ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ١٨٩٩ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٥ :( ‫ﻹ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻐﺭﺍﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺘﻭﺯﻴﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ) ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ : ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ،‬ : ‫ﻁﻥ‬ / ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻓﺩﺍﻥ،‬ : ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ( ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅـﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻫﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺴ‬ ‫ﻜﻨﺩﺭﻴﺔ‬ 171 0.31 58 0.27 5.5 64.1 324 0.18 ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤـﻴﺭﺓ‬ 2296 4.14 284 1.32 9.6 111.3 1.83 ‫ﺍﻟﻐﺭﺒﻴـﺔ‬ 19 0.03 5 0.02 3.0 35.1 27 0.01 ‫ﺍﻟﺸـﻴﺦ‬ ‫ﻜﻔﺭ‬ 94 0.17 31 0.14 6.4 74.3 390 0.21 ‫ﺩﻤﻴـﺎﻁ‬ 9 0.02 2 0.01 3.0 34.8 27 0.01 ‫ﺍﻟﺸـﺭﻗﻴﺔ‬ 254 0.46 13 0.06 3.4 39.2 85 0.05 ‫ﺍﻹﺴـﻤﺎﻋﻴﻠﻴﺔ‬ 977 1.76 184 0.85 5.4 62.3 0.62 ‫ﺴـﻌﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻭﺭ‬ 30 0.05 0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0 0.00 ‫ﺍﻟﺴ‬ ‫ﻭﻴـﺱ‬ 754 1.36 405 1.88 3.4 39.3 0.75 ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻠﻴﻭﺒﻴـﺔ‬ 20 0.04 11 0.05 6.7 77.2 98 0.05 ‫ﺍﻟﻘﺎﻫـﺭﺓ‬ 15 0.03 5 0.02 3.4 38.8 19 0.01 ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺠﻪ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ 5146 9.28 996 4.62 6.0 69.2 3.73 ‫ﺍﻟﺠـﻴﺯﺓ‬ 949 1.71 277 1.28 5.2 60.0 0.80 ‫ﺴـﻭﻴﻑ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﻰ‬ 555 1.00 328 1.52 7.1 81.8 1.25 ‫ﺍﻟﻔﻴـﻭﻡ‬ 26 0.05 14 0.06 4.2 48.9 57 ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺔ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺸﺭﻭﻥ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﺍﺒﻊ‬ -‫ﺩﻴﺴﻤﺒﺭ‬ ٢٠١٨ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ١٩٠٠ ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻭﻀﺤﺕ‬ ‫ﻓﻘﺩ‬ ) ٦ ( ‫ﺃﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﺭﺍﻭﺡ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ١٩٨٠ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﻁـﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ٢٠١٦ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ، ١٨٣٦ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ٢٠١٣ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ١٨٩١ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﺨـﻼل‬ ‫ﻁـﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ . ( ‫ﺃﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ٤٢٠٠ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ٢٠١٤ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ٣٧٩٠ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ٢٠١٥ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ٣٧٩٠ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﻋـﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ٢٠١٥ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴـﻁ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ٣٩٧٠ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺩﺭﻭﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ . ‫ﺃﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺯﺌﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺤﻭﺍﻟﻲ‬ ٥٩٩٠ ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ٢٠١٤ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺩ‬ ٥٣٥٠ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﻋﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ٢٠١٥ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٥ ( ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻭﻀﺢ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻬﺎﻤﺵ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻨﻔﺱ‬ ٢٠٨٠ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﻪ‬ / ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻠـﺔ،‬ ‫ﺘـﺎﺠﺭ‬ ‫ﻤـﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻨﺤﻭ‬ ١٦٦٠ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﻪ‬ / ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺯﺌﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﺎﺠﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺘﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻬﻠﻙ‬ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺍﺭﻉ‬ ‫ﻨﺼﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﻜﻤﺎ‬ ، ٣٣,٦ % ‫ﻤﻘﺎﺒل‬ ٣٦,٩ % ، ٢٩,٥ % ‫ﺍﻟﺠ‬ ‫ﺘﺎﺠﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻜل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻜﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻭﺫﻟﻙ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺯﺌﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺎﺠﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﻠﺔ‬ . ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٦ : ( ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤـﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻬﻠﻙ‬ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻭﺯﻴﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺭﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻭﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ ) ( ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺤﺩﺓ‬ : ‫ﺠﻨﻴﺔ‬ / ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ( ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺎﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺭﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﺯﻴﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻬﻠﻙ‬ ( % ) ‫ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺴﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺯﺌﺔ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ -‫ﻤﺯﺍﺭﻉ‬ ‫ﺘﺠﺯﺌﺔ‬ -‫ﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﻨﺼﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺍﺭﻉ‬ ‫ﺘﺎﺠﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺼﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﺎﺠﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﺼﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺯﺌﺔ‬ 2013 1836 3850 5490 2014 1640 33.4 36.7 29.9 0.03 ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻴـﺎ‬ 235 0.42 160 0.74 7.6 88.2 2014 1855 4200 5990 2345 1790 31.0 39.1 29.9 0.69 ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺴﻁﻰ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ 1765 3.18 778 3.61 6.3 73.4 2015 1891 3790 5350 1899 1560 35.3 35.5 29.2 2.77 ‫ﺃﺴﻴﻭﻁ‬ 9302 16.78 8053 37.39 12.2 141.2 98318 54.09 ‫ﺴﻭﻫﺎﺝ‬ 123 0.22 111 0.51 7.1 82.7 790 0.43 ‫ﻗﻨـﺎ‬ 44 0.08 16 0.07 3.9 45.3 60 0.03 ‫ﺍﻷﻗﺼﺭ‬ 132 0.24 83 0.38 2.2 25.3 179 0.10 ‫ﺃﺴﻭﺍﻥ‬ 108 0.19 103 0.48 2.1 24.8 220 0.12 ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ 9707 17.51 8365 38.83 11.9 137.6 99567 16618 29.97 10139 47.07 11.0 127.1 111386 61.28 847 1.53 457 2.12 2.6 29.7 0.65 364 0.66 75 0.35 2.5 28.7 183 0.10 ‫ﺴ‬ ‫ﺸﻤﺎل‬ 600 1.08 224 1.04 3.5 40.1 776 0.43 ‫ﺠﻨﻭﺏ‬ ‫ﺴ‬ 1807 3.26 123 0.57 1.5 17.4 177 0.10 35212 63.51 10524 48.86 6.4 73.8 68059 37.45 38830 70.03 11401 52.93 5.9 68.8 70370 38.72 55447 100 21540 100 8.6 100 181756 100 ‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤـﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺨﺎﺭﺝ‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﻭﺒﺎﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺎﺀ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺎﺀ‬ ‫ﻤﻁﺭﻭﺡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺨل‬ ‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ 54.78 2016 1980 4040 5690 2060 1650 34.8 36.2 29.0 1891 3970 5630 2080 1660 33.6 36.9 29.5 ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺩﺭ‬ : ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺤﺴﺒﺕ‬ ‫ﺠﻤﻌﺕ‬ : ) ١ : ( ‫ﺍﻟﻐﺫﺍﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﻷﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺸﺭﺓ‬ ، ‫ﻭﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺀ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺒﺌﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺭﻜﺯﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺠﻬﺎﺯ‬ ) ‫ﺘﺠﺯﺌﺔ‬ -‫ﺠﻤﻠﺔ‬ ( ‫ﻤﺘﻔﺭﻗﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﻋﺩﺍﺩ‬ ، . ) ٢ : ( ‫ﻨـﺸﺭﺍﺕ‬ ،

‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋـﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﻗﺘـﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺭﻜﺯﻴـﺔ‬ ‫،ﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﺌﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻗﻁﺎﻉ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺴﺘﺼﻼﺡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺯﺍﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻔﺭﻗﺔ‬ ‫،ﺃﻋﺩﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺀﺍﺕ‬ . ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺃﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻜﻤﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻠﺒﺎﺕ‬

  
	‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺘﻨﺨﻔﺽ‬ ‫ﺜﻡ‬ ) ‫ﻨﻬﺎﻴﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ( ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻐﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ) ‫ﺫﺭﻭﺓ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻡ‬ ( ٧٢,٥ % ، ٦٣ % ‫ﺃﻏﺴﻁﺱ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻟﻴﻭ،‬ ‫ﺸﻬﻭﺭ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٧ : ( ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻜﻤﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺴﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﻗﺎﻡ‬ ، ١٣ % ، ١٠ % ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺭﺘﻴ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺏ‬ ١٩٠١ ، ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ‬ : ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭ‬ 2013 2014 2015 2016 ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ 721 907 572 673 718.3 16.3 3055 3210 3320 4045 3407.5 77.5 5820 5275 3625 5175 4973.8 113.1 8015 7500 6700 8150 7591.3 172.5 6680 8025 6450 7500 7163.8 162.8 ‫ﺩﻴﺴ‬ 2960 5725 4920 5775 4845.0 110.1 2595 1835 1100 2860 2097.5 47.7 4263.7 4639.6 3812.4 4882.6 4399.6 100 * ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺴﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻗﻡ‬ = ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ / ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ * ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺩﺭ‬ : ‫ﻤﻨﺸﻭﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺀ‬ ‫ﻗﺴﻡ‬ ‫ﺴﺠﻼﺕ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﺩﺍﺭﺓ‬ . ١٠٠ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺎﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﻨﻭﻓﻤﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻜﺘﻭﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺴﺒﺘﻤﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻏﺴﻁﺱ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻟﻴﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺴﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﻥ‬ ( . ‫ﻓﺘـﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨـﻼل‬ ‫ﻟﻠـﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺨﻔﺽ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺎﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻨﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻋـﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﻴﺯﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺩﻴﺴﻤﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺴﺒﺘﻤﺒﺭ،‬ ‫ﻨﻭﻓﻤﺒﺭ،‬ ‫ﺃﻜﺘﻭﺒﺭ،‬ ‫ﺸﻬﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺠﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻤـﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟـﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟـﺸﻬﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻜﻤﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴل‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺤﺴﺎﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺔ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺸﺭﻭﻥ‬ -‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﺍﺒﻊ‬ -‫ﺩﻴﺴﻤﺒﺭ‬ ٢٠١٨
	‫ﺍﻟﻨﺸﺎﻁ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺴﻡ‬ ‫ﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺘﺭﺘﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨـﺔ،‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺽ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﺍﺯﻥ‬ ‫ﻋـﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﺎﻙ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺎﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻭﺃﻴـﻀﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤـﺯﺭﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺨﻭل‬ ‫ﻭﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﻤل‬ ‫ﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻁـﻭﺍل‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻁﻠـﺏ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺘﻤﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺒﻌﺽ‬ ‫ﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﺃﻴـﻀﺎ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻴﻬـﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺘﺭﺘـﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ،‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺨﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻤﺩﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻟﻼﺴﺘﻬﻼﻙ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺘﺠﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺘﻭﻓﻴﻕ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﺎﻭﻟﺔ‬ ، ‫ﻭﺒ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺘﺠـﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﻩ‬ ‫ﺃﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﻘﺭﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﺎﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺘﺠﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﻩ‬ ‫ﺃﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﺒﻴﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻠﺒﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﻔﺎﺩﻱ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﺒل‬ ‫ﺇﻴﺠﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﻀﺭﻭﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻴﺤﺘﻡ‬ ‫ﻤﻤﺎ‬ ، ٢ -‫ﺍﻟ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻠﺒﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻷﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻴﺸﻴﺭ‬ ) ٨ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻜل‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒـﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺒـﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻠﺒﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺘﻠﻙ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺭ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ٤٠٥٨ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﻬﺎ‬ / ‫ﻁـﻥ‬ ، ‫ﻭﺒﻠـﻎ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻟ‬ ‫ﺸﻬﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺃﻋﻼﻩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻴﻭ‬ ٥١٠٣ ‫ﺠﻨﻴﻬﺎ‬ / ‫ﻗﺩﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺒﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ٢٥,٧ % ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴـﻁ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺃﻜﺘﻭﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺸﻬﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﻭﻴﺒﻠﻎ‬ ٢٩١٢,٥ ‫ﺠ‬ ‫ﻨﻴﻬﺎ‬ / ‫ﻗـﺩﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺨﻔـﺎﺽ‬ ‫ﺒﻨـﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﻁـﻥ‬ ٢٨,٢ % ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒـﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻷﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺘﻘﻠﺒﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴل‬ ‫ﺒﺤﺴﺎﺏ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﺴﺔ‬ ، ‫ﻴﻭﻟﻴﻭ‬ ‫ﺸﻬﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺭﺘﻔﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴل‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻼﺤﻅ‬ ، ‫ﺒﻨـﺴﺏ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺎﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻴﺴﻤﺒﺭ،‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻐﺕ‬ ٢٥,٧ % ، ١٦,٤ % ، ١٥,٦ % ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻨﺨﻔﺽ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴل‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﺭﺘﻴﺏ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺩﺭﻭﺴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﻨﻭﻓﻤﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺤﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺃﻏﺴﻁﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ . ‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴـﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﺈﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺒﺎﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫ﺒﻬـﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﻌﺎﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﻴﻤﻜﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎل‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻬﺎﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺘﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺤﺎﺼﻼﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻠﺒﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﻀﻊ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻟﻺ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻼﺯﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺼﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ، ‫ﻨﺘﻴﺠـﺔ‬ ‫ﺃﺴﺎﺴـﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺒـﺼﻔﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟـﺴﻌﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻠﺒﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻜﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻭﺴﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﺸﻬﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﻥ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒـﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺃﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻤﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴل‬ ‫ﺘﻘـﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺘﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﻟﻘﺩ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺯﻫﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺃﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻜﻤﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴل‬ ‫ﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﻜﺫﻟﻙ‬ . ١ -‫ﻟﻠﻜﻤﻴ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻠﺒﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺎﺕ‬ : ‫ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﺘﺒﻴﻥ‬ ) ٧ ( ‫ﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻜل‬ ) ١ ( ‫ﻟﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﺼﻭل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﺸﻬﺭﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻐﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻭﺭ‬ ٤,٤ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﺃﻟﻑ‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺨـﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻷﻋﻠـﻰ‬ ‫ﺤﺩﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺼل‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺃﻜﺘﻭﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺸﻬﺭ‬ ٧,٦ ‫ﺒﺯ‬ ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ‫ﺃﻟﻑ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻗﺩﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻴﺎﺩﺓ‬ ١٧٢,٥ % ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻋﻥ‬ ، ‫ﺘـﺼل‬ ‫ﺤـﻴﻥ‬ ‫ﻓـﻲ‬ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺒﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻟﻴﻭ‬ ‫ﺸﻬﺭ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺃﺩﻨﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ‬ ٧١٨ ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﻗﺩﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺇﻨﺨﻔﺎﺽ‬ ‫ﺒﻨﺴﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﻁﻨﺎ‬ ٨٣,٧ % ‫ﻋـﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ، ‫ﻤﺘﺫﺒﺫﺒﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﻫﺫﺍ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﹰ‬ ‫ﺸﻬﺭﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺃﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻼﺤﻅ‬ ‫ﻭ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟـﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺘﺯﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﺠﺩﻭل‬ ) ٨ : ( ‫ﻟﻸ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺴﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻷﺭﻗﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﺨﻼل‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺭﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﻜﻤﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬ ) ٢٠١٣ -٢٠١٦ ( ‫ﺠﻨﻴﻪ‬ / ‫ﻁﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭ‬ 2013 2014 2015 2016 ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺴﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻗﻡ‬ ‫ﻴﻭﻟﻴﻭ‬ 6060 5690 4030 4630 5102.5 125.7 ‫ﺃﻏﺴﻁﺱ‬ 3720 4130 3740 4370 3990 98.3 ‫ﺴﺒﺘﻤﺒﺭ‬ 3330 3350 4080 3520 3570 88.0 ‫ﺍﻜﺘﻭﺒﺭ‬ 2700 2940 2720 3290 2912.5 71.8 ‫ﻨﻭﻓﻤﺒﺭ‬ 3680 3370 2760 3860 3417.5 84.2 ‫ﺩﻴﺴﻤﺒﺭ‬ 4240 4070 3630 6950 4722.5 116.4 ‫ﻴﻨﺎﻴﺭ‬ 4310 4850 5210 4400 4692.5 115.6 ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﺴﻁ‬ 4005.71 4057.14 3738.57 4431.43 4058.21 100.0 ‫ﺍ‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺼﺩﺭ‬ : ‫ﻤﻨﺸﻭﺭﺓ‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺭ‬ ‫ﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻹﺤﺼﺎﺀ‬ ‫ﻗﺴﻡ‬ ‫ﺴﺠﻼﺕ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺴﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺇﺩﺍﺭﺓ‬ .

Summary

The pomegranate is considered as one of the most promising horticultural crops, and it is noticed that the cultivated area is not increased at rates commensurate with the increasing demand for it (locally and externally) due to its great nutritional and medical importance. The research aims to headlights on the current situation of production, marketing and export of pomegranate in Egypt, For pomegranate exports. The area of pomegranate cultivation ranged between a minimum of 4409 feddan in 2003 and a maximum of 85415 feddan in 2016 during the period 2003-2016. The total cultivated area of pomegranates in the republic during the same period ranged from Between a minimum It amounted to about 3369 acres in 2003, and a maximum of about 32 995 acres in 2016, during the period studied. 
The research also pointed out that pomegranate production increased at the level of the Republic during the period 2003-2016. It ranged from a minimum of 22123 tons in 2003 to a maximum of 269070 tons in 2016 with an annual average of 84664.4 tons during the study period. This increase is to consider the pomegranate crop as a promising crop. 
The research also revealed that the most important government producing pomegranates are Assuit and Noubaria with a total area of 16.78% for the first, 63.51% for the second of the total pomegranate area in the Republic as an average for the period 2013-2016. 
The study showed that the marketing margin reached an average of about 2080 pounds / ton at the level of the wholesaler, and about 1660 pounds / ton at the level of the retailer, and the share of the farmer from the consumer pounds about 33.6% against 36.9 %, 29.5% for both wholesaler and retailer as an average for the study period. 
The results of the seasonal index of the monthly quantities of pomegranate yield for the transit market were found in October, November, September and December, September, November increases the seasonal figure for the average quantity received to the market. 
The seasonal index for seasonal fluctuations of pomegranate crop prices during the study period was found to be higher than the average during the months of July, December and January, while seasonal evidence of seasonal fluctuations in pomegranate crop prices during the study period was found to be higher than Average during the months of December, July, January and November during the study period. 
The main export markets of Egyptian pomegranates were Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Russian Federation. The average quantity of Egyptian pomegranate exports was about 33,796 representing about 79% of the average quantity of pomegranate imports during the period 2015-2017 
While the average quantity of pomegranate exports in the Saudi market is about 22075 tons, representing about 37% of the average quantity of Saudi pomegranate during the period studied. While the average quantity of pomegranate exports in the Iraqi market is about 12982 tons, representing about 31% of the average quantity of Iraqi imports of pomegranates, while the Russian market is about 13199 tons, representing 21% of the average amount of Russian imports of pomegranates during the period studied. 
The sample was selected in a deliberate manner in Assuit Government, where it produces more than half of the average production of the Republic during the period (2013)(2014)(2015)(2016), and according to the relative importance of the cultivated area in the government 
The most important productive problems faced by farmers through the sample are the high production costs and the low net return of 93% of the total sample of the research, and the lack of fertilizer at the right time coupled with high prices and the unavailability of pesticides and high prices and the lack of reliable sources to sell and non-conformity To the specifications and then the absence of alternatives to the types of pesticides banned from trading in addition to the high costs of spraying pesticides, and high wages of labor Followed by a rise in the prices of machinery and equipment by 75% of the total sample size, where fuel and oil prices are high, as well as the absence of the role of agricultural extension in raising the awareness of farmers to obtain the best production. In terms of marketing problems, pomegranate prices fluctuated at the end of the season by 90% of the total sample size. Marketing costs increased by 83% of the total sample size. 
After the markets for the production centers, and the high commission value when selling in the markets of major cities, the lack of refrigerators enough to accommodate the crop, the competition between traders and intermediaries and producers each other, the lack of availability of some appropriate packages that reduce the damage in fruits, Pomegranate, and lack of marketing information for producers about markets and prices by 40% of the total size of the research sample.
‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬ ‫ﻤﺼﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‬ ‫ﺩ‬ / ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻤﺭﺍﻭﻱ‬ ‫ﻤﺤﻤﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﻏﺎﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺤﻭﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﺭﻜﺯ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺒﺤﻭﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻌﻬﺩ‬ ، ‫ﺒﺎﺤﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻘﺩﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﺭﻓﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺃﻗﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﺇﺤﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺘﺒﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻨﺴﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺫﻜﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺩ‬ ‫ﻤﺒﻜﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻼﺠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻐﺫﺍﺌﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﺃﺩﺭﻙ‬ ‫ﻤﺘﻜﺎﻤ‬ ‫ﺼﻴﺩﻟﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﻓﻬﻭ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺜﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺴﻤﺎﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﺘﺏ‬ ‫ﻓﻲ‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﻴﺩ‬ ‫ﻟﻌﻼﺝ‬ ‫ﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻹﻤﺭﺍﺽ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻴﻌﺩ‬ ‫ﺤﻴﺙ‬ ‫ﻤﻨﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﻟﻭﻗﺎﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﻋﺩﺓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺴﺘﺎﻨﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺎﺼﻴل‬ ‫ﻤﻥ‬ . ‫ﻨﺤﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺜﻤﺭﺓ‬ ، ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻤﺴﺎﺤﺔ‬ ‫ﻭﺘﻤﺜل‬ ٣,٣٥ % ، ١,٦٢ %