Tung holds that when it comes to trading prediction contracts, the "experts" aren't necessarily the winners. That's because there's a lot of first-hand information that isn't publicly disclosed but is only passed among "insiders." Experts that try to serve as objective outsiders don't have opportunities to learn this inside dope.
曾任陸委會副主委、本身就是兩岸問題專家的童振源認為，對於未來事件的推估，「專家」未必就是「贏家」，因為許多未公開的第一手資訊，往往只在「局內人」中流傳，旁觀式的專家難以窺其玄機。