On average 4500 people in Taiwan die each year from the flu or resulting complications, placing it ninth among all causes of death. From these statistics, it can be estimated that if no one in Taiwan was given the H1N1 vaccine, and if the antiviral drug Tamiflu was never prescribed to fight it, then the number of deaths would surpass 10,000.
以過去經驗來看，台灣每年平均有 4,500 人死於流感和其併發症，占 10 大死因的第 9 位，依此推估，若新流感不加遏阻，也不以「克流感」藥物積極治療，致死人數可能破萬。