In an article I published in 1993 I described a hypothetical Taiwan Strait conflict in which Beijing would fire unarmed missiles into the seas around Taiwan to intimidate Taiwan.
一九九三年我所發表的「解放軍的統一角色」論文中，也提出一項台海衝突的假設：北京可能試射無彈頭飛彈到台灣海域，恫嚇台灣人民與威脅台灣政府。