Given that, based on historical experience, forces in an amphibious assault are only about one-third as effective as on land (i.e. effective fighting capability declines by two-thirds), unless the PRC develops transport and supply ships capable of carrying and supporting large numbers of troops, it would be very difficult to invade Taiwan. But this does not mean Taiwan can rest easy.
一方面是中共兩棲作戰的能力尚待評估，一方面是要跨海登陸，以過去戰史的經驗，三個兵力可能會折損兩個，除非中共發展出可裝載大量兵力的運補艦，要登陸台灣並不容易。