In fact, according to a long-term research study that was published in 2008, the electronic market had predicted American election results from 1988 to 2004 with 74 % greater accuracy than Gallup, Harris, The New York Times, and other established pollsters. It could fairly be described as the United States 'most accurate predictor of elections.
事實上，根據 2008 年發布的長期研究報告，比對該市場與蓋洛普、哈里斯、紐約時報等大型媒體共 964 場民調在 1988 ~ 2004 年間預測美國總統大選的表現，結果顯示預測市場的準確率比傳統民調高出 74 %，堪稱美國最「鐵口直斷」的選舉預測工具。