The pundits have a variety of theories, but most blame the split in the party and the dispute over whether to follow an indigenous "or a" China "line-problems which surfaced following Lee Teng-hui's assumption of the presidency in 1988.
論者有見仁見智的看法，但歸咎起來，從民國七十七年李登輝總統主政之後，國民黨的分裂與「本土與中國」的路線之爭首當其衝。