### Comment:
Ditto for my field, 10^6 is pretty damn small.  
  
 I suppose for this type of prediction will have such a huge uncertainty on the specifics of the model and quality of data that there is little to no point reducing the MC stat uncertainty - so maybe they just didn't bother running more?

### REPLY:
Or maybe they just don't know enough about football to begin with. Anyone who is a fan is well-aware the only statistic that matters is 'goals'. Possession, passes, cards, goal attempts, they all show a bigger picture of how the game was played, but not who won. Football isn't baseball.

### END.