### Comment:
So small chance of around $24, but 50% chance of $22? 
  
 Also have to consider the IPO lockup ended today.

### REPLY:
That IPO lockup ending might be why we have a 5% fall today.  
  
 What I was saying is there's a decent chance it will just fall under that support line, because it's newly IPO'd and they are unpredictable.  
  
 But I like the technical analysis. Yes, history isn't a 1:1 predictor of the future, but psychological support lines exist.

### END.