### Comment:
Presidential elections are being held on Sunday 27th. The pro-market(ish) candidate has a 97 % chance of missing his reelection. Markets will open on the 28th with a devaluation. It will be in a similar vein to what happened on August 12 th.

### REPLY:
If he has a 97% chance of missing his reelection, why is this not priced in?

### END.