### Comment:
Because at this point, all other odds are split between 20 candidates. 
  
 Even if he had a 30% chance or winning the general, he’d still be the favorite because Sanders could be 20%, Warren could be 20%, Biden could be 20% and the remainder could be the remaining 10%. He’s still the odds on favorite. 
  
 Betting on Trump takes out a huge uncertainty.

### REPLY:
Right and there is no Democratic nominee. He's going against several as of now. As we saw in '16, lots of things can (or not) change during this time up to election.

### END.