### Comment:
Every time I’ve invested off of information from seeking alpha I’ve lost money. So of course with my luck this time actually *will* be different and it would be profitable.

### REPLY:
I would not trade based on information published publicly on a macroeconomic blog on seeking alpha. 
  
 I'm rather supplying a contrarian view since it's also not a good idea to blindly trade based on indicators that had predictive power a limited number of times in the past.

### END.