### Comment:
Long term? It can happen anytime, tomorrow or next year. You never know, by the time you know it is over. Like XIV.

### REPLY:
Hence the point of weighing the risks. He's betting on the fact that there won't be a recession in the next couple of days/weeks. 
  
 It's like when buying options, you might lose it all and it's a risk you're taking.

### END.