### Comment:
30 contracts

### REPLY:
Alright so here's a neat trick you can use to estimate your odds: Find thirty toothpicks and lay them on a table. Take one and break it in half. Then, take the remaining 29 and shove them up ur butt. Now you're guaranteed to be fucked! 
  
 But seriously you might be fine. Better calls than puts based on the trend.

### END.