### Comment:
The big Short guy, while an expert, doesn't mean he's an expert and correct on everything. Didn't Nate Silver have a really good election prediction record before 2016 happened? 
  
 Also, with these analysts, you can never be sure if they are saying something because they believe it or if they are saying something to affect the market.

### REPLY:
If you're talking the Presidential election, Silver gave Hillary a 70% chance of victory, which is way lower than basically every other pundit gave. 
  
 Still your broader point makes sense.

### END.