Percent Change in Bankfull (Peak) Flows in Lower Fish Creek Watershed - Historic to 2040s
Subset of the VIC streamflow projection data corresponding to the Box 3.1 travel analysis case study found in the Southwest Oregon Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment.The flow regime is of fundamental importance in determining the physical and ecological characteristics of a river or stream, but actual flow measurements are only available for a small minority of stream segments, mostly on large rivers. Flows for all other streams must be extrapolated or modeled. Modeling is also necessary to estimate flow regimes under future climate conditions. To date there are few databases of modeled stream flows that have broad coverage, fine resolution, and are available for both historical and future climate scenarios. Here we present such a database. Daily runoff and baseflow from the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrologic model were used to estimate historical and projected future stream flow metrics for stream segments in the Western U.S. This dataset updates the previous Western U.S. Stream Flow Metric Dataset (Wenger et al., 2010; link to old dataset is available on website for the current dataset) by using updated VIC data (http://cses.washington.edu/cig/data/wus.shtml) which has expanded coverage to include California, among other updates. Projections were based on an ensemble of ten global climate models from CMIP3 using the A1B emissions scenario. For each stream segment in the National Hydrography Dataset Plus Version 2 (NHDPlusV2) in the Western U.S. we estimated hydrographs for the historical period (1915-2006), the 2040s (2030- 2059), and the 2080s (2070-2099). From these we calculated summary flow metrics to describe flow regimes for each stream segment and each time period. These metrics can be joined to the NHD stream segments for visualization or analysis. Additional information at https://www.fs.fed.us/rm/boise/AWAE/projects/modeled_stream_flow_metrics.shtml#contacts
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