  Fire incidence is a big problem for every local government unit in the
Philippines. The two most detrimental effects of fire incidence are economic
loss and loss of life. To mitigate these losses, proper planning and
implementation of control measures must be done. An essential aspect of
planning and control measures is prediction of possible fire incidences. This
study is conducted to analyze the historical data to create a forecasting model
for the fire incidence in Davao City. Results of the analyses show that fire
incidence has no trend or seasonality, and occurrences of fire are neither
consistently increasing nor decreasing over time. Furthermore, the absence of
seasonality in the data indicate that surge of fire incidence may occur at any
time of the year. Therefore, fire prevention activities should be done all year
round and not just during fire prevention month.

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