What is the company's current capacity in Xinjiang and what is the expected capacity in the middle of 2022
nalized the -- I think finalized the place and we will announce that. Thank you. Gary.
Gary Zhou -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst
Okay, thank you. Yes. So my last question is, so I know it might too early to tell, but just wondering if management can share with us your view for the kind of the longer-term polysilicon price outlook? So, for example, by 2023. So, when there may be more polysilicon capacity to be commissioned. So when do you be or where do you think the -- probably the kind of a more sustainable polysilicon price can achieve? Thank you.
Longgen Zhang -- Chief Executive Officer
I think I just answered, Philip, the question about you know the ASP of this year and next year. So yes, for 2023, 2024, really we have to considering the demand and the supply. From a supply side, we continue to see, I think China, a lot of I think existing player continue to expansion plus some new I think comer. But you have to consider that as the technology continue to improve, maybe I think in the next generation the P silicon sale to change to N sale, that's asking for high quality. So, who can produce N-type polysilicon that's most important, the market share, you can continue to have the market share. Second, we just mentioned that this is a CMC, it's a chemical manufacturing control. It's not easy for a new comer, even let's say, existing player new hopes to be the mono-silicon, I think, the structural percentage only I think around 50%. We can reach almost a 99.5%. So, I think the quality, also I think that it's a chemical, I'd say. the ramp up to reach I think the real supply, we'll call, it take a time, so I think that from supply side. From demand side, really, I can't tell you because, look at the global, I think the carbon, I think neutrality targets, I think -- we think at least, I think the compound growth rate should be around 20%. China right now, If you look at account level, distributed generation, it's a very, very -- I think potential market is very, very big. Besides of course the U.S. and China I think the trader war. I think, but I still think, New Energy, the renewable energy is the future. This is the major toll to reach the global, I think the carbon-neutrality targets. So, from I think the demand side really, Gary, you may be the expert because we really don't know. Some people they think as advice, but some people said that the 500 kilowatts maybe by 2025 and Mr. Li. I think if I'm lucky, he estimated as maybe even by 2030, 1,000 gigawatts. So, it's a need a lot of silicon, high quality silicon, it's around like 300,000 -- no, it's a 3 million tonnes -- metric tons. So, we not worry about that. The reason is because we think we own the largest scale, larger scale capacity in Xinjiang, which is as soon as we finish, I think 4B, our capacity maybe around 123,000 to 130,000 tons. Then we have another new place. We are looking for maybe by the middle of the 2022 come to -- put that into -- try pull back in. It's around 1,000 tons and continue to add another 1,000 tons. We think we are -- we have the competitive edge. So that's all our I think a long-term strategic plan.
Gary Zhou -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst
Okay. Yes. This is a very helpful and those are all the questions from me. Thank you.
Ming Yang -- Chief Financial Officer
Great. Thank you, Gary.
Operator
The next question comes from Tony Fei with BOCI. Please go ahead.
Tony Fei -- BOCI -- Analyst
Hi. Good evening management. This is Tony from BOCI. Three questions from my side. And the first one is still regarding the industry capacity expansion. So, just yesterday, the NRDC had a conference to update on the energy consumption status in China, according to which there was -- nine provinces in China has been increased in the energy intensity in the first half of this year including Xinjiang, Qinghai, and Ningxia. So, we know these three provinces hosts most of the new capacity announced by your peers. So, do you think this will slow down their pace in terms of the new capacity expansion?
Longgen Zhang -- Chief Executive Officer
Yes. Everybody read that -- t
nalized the -- I think finalized the place and we will announce that. Thank you. Gary.
Gary Zhou -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst
Okay, thank you. Yes. So my last question is, so I know it might too early to tell, but just wondering if management can share with us your view for the kind of the longer-term polysilicon price outlook? So, for example, by 2023. So, when there may be more polysilicon capacity to be commissioned. So when do you be or where do you think the -- probably the kind of a more sustainable polysilicon price can achieve? Thank you.
Longgen Zhang -- Chief Executive Officer
 I think I just answered, Philip, the question about you know the ASP of this year and next year. So yes, for 2023, 2024, really we have to considering the demand and the supply. From a supply side, we continue to see, I think China, a lot of I think existing player continue to expansion plus some new I think comer. But you have to consider that as the technology continue to improve, maybe I think in the next generation the P silicon sale to change to N sale, that's asking for high quality. So, who can produce N-type polysilicon that's most important, the market share, you can continue to have the market share. Second, we just mentioned that this is a CMC, it's a chemical manufacturing control. It's not easy for a new comer, even let's say, existing player new hopes to be the mono-silicon, I think, the structural percentage only I think around 50%. We can reach almost a 99.5%. So, I think the quality, also I think that it's a chemical, I'd say. the ramp up to reach I think the real supply, we'll call, it take a time, so I think that from supply side. From demand side, really, I can't tell you because, look at the global, I think the carbon, I think neutrality targets, I think -- we think at least, I think the compound growth rate should be around 20%. China right now, If you look at account level, distributed generation, it's a very, very -- I think potential market is very, very big. Besides of course the U.S. and China I think the trader war. I think, but I still think, New Energy, the renewable energy is the future. This is the major toll to reach the global, I think the carbon-neutrality targets. So, from I think the demand side really, Gary, you may be the expert because we really don't know. Some people they think as advice, but some people said that the 500 kilowatts maybe by 2025 and Mr. Li. I think if I'm lucky, he estimated as maybe even by 2030, 1,000 gigawatts. So, it's a need a lot of silicon, high quality silicon, it's around like 300,000 -- no, it's a 3 million tonnes -- metric tons. So, we not worry about that.  The reason is because we think we own the largest scale, larger scale capacity in Xinjiang, which is as soon as we finish, I think 4B, our capacity maybe around 123,000 to 130,000 tons. Then we have another new place. We are looking for maybe by the middle of the 2022 come to -- put that into -- try pull back in. It's around 1,000 tons and continue to add another 1,000 tons. We think we are -- we have the competitive edge. So that's all our I think a long-term strategic plan.
Gary Zhou -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst
Okay. Yes. This is a very helpful and those are all the questions from me. Thank you.
Ming Yang -- Chief Financial Officer
Great. Thank you, Gary.
Operator
The next question comes from Tony Fei with BOCI. Please go ahead.
Tony Fei -- BOCI -- Analyst
Hi. Good evening management. This is Tony from BOCI. Three questions from my side. And the first one is still regarding the industry capacity expansion. So, just yesterday, the NRDC had a conference to update on the energy consumption status in China, according to which there was -- nine provinces in China has been increased in the energy intensity in the first half of this year including Xinjiang, Qinghai, and Ningxia. So, we know these three provinces hosts most of the new capacity announced by your peers. So, do you think this will slow down their pace in terms of the new capacity expansion?
Longgen Zhang -- Chief Executive Officer
Yes. Everybody read that -- t