What was the growth rate of the packaging business in the second quarter of 2022 
Chief Executive Chairman
Frank, good question. I would say the businesses that are still strong on order book. Packaging continues to be strong. Our volumes in second quarter were up 5% year over year, without some logistics constraints could even have been higher than that.
Industrial electronics for big telco 5G data centers has been strong. Pharma incipients and Dow DIS continues to be strong. Obviously, United States, Canada, we expect to still be strong. India has shown good strength.
So I think that's going to continue. And I think China will come back in a big way in third and fourth quarter. We're seeing between 4% and 5% GDP outlooks in China. If you look at things that are steady to where we were in the first, second quarter, infrastructure continues to be very steady.
Autos, even though autos have had issues with chip supply, we still are looking at year-over-year unit build and improvements in the 2023 forecast on auto. So I think as we get through chip supplies, we'll see that move. Right now today, our tier OEMs, as they get delays in orders, we see that roll through, but we're managing that. Industrial markets, China has picked up in construction and residential housing and EVs pretty strongly because of programs supporting that.
So we see that. And I'd say the industrial markets are coming, but they're lagging that a little bit. Oil and gas is up. So we saw a lot of ethylene oxide derivatives into oil and gas, drilling and cleaning up natural gas.
So that's up -- gas production in the U.S. is up to 97 Bcf a day from 95, and I think it's headed to 98 or higher. Residential housing, I would say, the urbanization, I don't think is as big or as we continue to see commercial construction and multiunit construction tends to be strong. Single-family homes and home resales are slowing a bit with the higher mortgage rates.
But I think that commercial construction side still looks good. And then we keep an eye on single-family home unit builds here in the U.S. The ones that are showing a little bit of weakness right now, year-over-year, appliances are slowing bit and consumer electronics. So I would just think big ticket items for the consumer and people that are paying higher food prices and higher transportation costs and higher utility bills, they're pulling back on some of those things.
On the other hand, they're traveling. So we see those services and tourism numbers up. And so that feeds back into the packaging business and some of the other things I started with.
Operator
The next question comes from Kevin McCarthy from Vertical Research Partners.
Kevin McCarthy -- Vertical Research Partners -- Analyst
Yes. Good morning. Jim, at your Investor Day last October, you provided a helpful trough to peak EBITDA range of $9 billion on the low end to $15 billion on the high end. And today, the run rate is right in the middle at $12 billion.
So it seems as though you've got a fair amount of cushion down to your self-defined trough range. But obviously, a lot's changed in terms of geopolitics and the energy volatility we're talking about here. Is that still the right range? And if so, can you flesh out what sort of assumptions you're baking into the trough level? And whether it might be better in a mild recession scenario or a little bit worse if we stress test further.
Jim Fitterling -- Chairman and Chief Executive Chairman
Yes. Thank you, Kevin. Look, the new range that we laid out is still intact, and we still feel good about that. 9 to 15, and that's including the expansion at Alberta, the net zero emissions facility in Alberta.
If you look where we are to 2025, probably that $8 billion to $14 billion range for that 2025 window, because the Alberta expansion doesn't come in until '27 and '29 in a couple of phases there. And I would think about it this way. P&SP always -- package and specialty plastics always performs well in these type of environments. We're well above mid-cycle EBITDA margins right now.
And our look is for next year that we will still be above those mid-cycle numbers. So that underpins that lower 
Chief Executive Chairman
Frank, good question. I would say the businesses that are still strong on order book. Packaging continues to be strong. Our volumes in second quarter were up 5% year over year, without some logistics constraints could even have been higher than that.
Industrial electronics for big telco 5G data centers has been strong. Pharma incipients and Dow DIS continues to be strong. Obviously, United States, Canada, we expect to still be strong. India has shown good strength.
So I think that's going to continue. And I think China will come back in a big way in third and fourth quarter. We're seeing between 4% and 5% GDP outlooks in China. If you look at things that are steady to where we were in the first, second quarter, infrastructure continues to be very steady.
Autos, even though autos have had issues with chip supply, we still are looking at year-over-year unit build and improvements in the 2023 forecast on auto. So I think as we get through chip supplies, we'll see that move. Right now today, our tier OEMs, as they get delays in orders, we see that roll through, but we're managing that. Industrial markets, China has picked up in construction and residential housing and EVs pretty strongly because of programs supporting that.
So we see that. And I'd say the industrial markets are coming, but they're lagging that a little bit. Oil and gas is up. So we saw a lot of ethylene oxide derivatives into oil and gas, drilling and cleaning up natural gas.
So that's up -- gas production in the U.S. is up to 97 Bcf a day from 95, and I think it's headed to 98 or higher. Residential housing, I would say, the urbanization, I don't think is as big or as we continue to see commercial construction and multiunit construction tends to be strong. Single-family homes and home resales are slowing a bit with the higher mortgage rates.
But I think that commercial construction side still looks good. And then we keep an eye on single-family home unit builds here in the U.S. The ones that are showing a little bit of weakness right now, year-over-year, appliances are slowing bit and consumer electronics. So I would just think big ticket items for the consumer and people that are paying higher food prices and higher transportation costs and higher utility bills, they're pulling back on some of those things.
 On the other hand, they're traveling. So we see those services and tourism numbers up. And so that feeds back into the packaging business and some of the other things I started with.
Operator
The next question comes from Kevin McCarthy from Vertical Research Partners.
Kevin McCarthy -- Vertical Research Partners -- Analyst
Yes. Good morning. Jim, at your Investor Day last October, you provided a helpful trough to peak EBITDA range of $9 billion on the low end to $15 billion on the high end. And today, the run rate is right in the middle at $12 billion.
So it seems as though you've got a fair amount of cushion down to your self-defined trough range. But obviously, a lot's changed in terms of geopolitics and the energy volatility we're talking about here. Is that still the right range? And if so, can you flesh out what sort of assumptions you're baking into the trough level? And whether it might be better in a mild recession scenario or a little bit worse if we stress test further.
Jim Fitterling -- Chairman and Chief Executive Chairman
Yes. Thank you, Kevin. Look, the new range that we laid out is still intact, and we still feel good about that. 9 to 15, and that's including the expansion at Alberta, the net zero emissions facility in Alberta.
If you look where we are to 2025, probably that $8 billion to $14 billion range for that 2025 window, because the Alberta expansion doesn't come in until '27 and '29 in a couple of phases there. And I would think about it this way. P&SP always -- package and specialty plastics always performs well in these type of environments. We're well above mid-cycle EBITDA margins right now.
And our look is for next year that we will still be above those mid-cycle numbers. So that underpins that lower 