comment: >
  
  With climate change, let's see if the population of Fla continues to grow, or starts to shrink.  If we as a society have any common sense, it should shrink considerably, not continue to grow.  Republicans keep ranting about wasting tax dollars.  How about continually paying for natural disasters year after year in the same areas with no end in sight?  If you want to live there, it should be on you, not the taxpayer.
context: You’ve assumed no states flip. 
  As an example, Texas has peoples attention because it is growing but it’s overwhelmingly the metros, and the state has gone from strong double digit R wins to single digits over the past decade. If that trend continues ( big assumption ) , a narrow D win in EC out in say…2028 would be an earthquake to US politics. >
  
  It might not even take Texas. If Georgia alone remains a purple state or somehow continues its trend for election cycles to come and trends further blue, then that alone would be the earthquake you are referring to. >
  
  Georgia turning blue was just offsetting Ohio and Iowa turning red. >
  
  It’s hard to say.  We’ve been hearing about the blue Texas for a while now, except now we see Republicans are moving to Florida and Texas from democratic states. >
  
  I was visiting my cousin in North Carolina this past summer and we went to a bar. I got to talking to this older lady who said she’d just moved there from New Jersey (I live in Delaware) and I asked her why she chose North Carolina and she said the taxes and cost of living in New Jersey was out of control. I asked her what her political affiliation was and she said she was hard left and typically voted Democrat or Green Party. This confused me a little because their stance is taxes are typically too low and this woman was a bank executive, so she was well-to-do. Her point of view was that Republicans have made the taxes so high in NJ and the property tax there makes it very difficult to retire in the state. I think a lot of the migration from blue states are older people who are looking to retire somewhere that their fixed income gives them more bang for their buck. This also means they bring their voting tendencies with them. I know the consensus is that the out of state migration is mostly Republicans fleeing blue states but I think that’s erroneous. I think their stated reasons for leaving are what makes pollsters believe their Republicans (high taxes, safer communities etc.) but I don’t really think that’s the case. >
  
  Florida was a swing state until very recently. DeSantis won the 2018 governor race by 34k votes out of 8 million state wide. Internal migration during covid swung the state hard GOP. It’s time for Dems to stop putting money into and solidify WI, PA, AZ, NV while working to flip NC.   
  Texas will remain out of reach for statewide Democrats for several cycles at a bare minimum. >
  
  My personal opinion is no. Minus the cities, NY is a very red state btw.  The population of those empty -ish western states are terrified of a wave coming to roost and outvote them.
  The question becomes what is the law on the ground, and  whom is physically where on that future voting day.