comment: >
  
  I will add that I worked with the NY Census in 2020 in Brooklyn and it was a disaster.  Between Covid and trump. People didn’t want to fill it out for various fears.  People were undercounted.
context: You’ve assumed no states flip. 
  As an example, Texas has peoples attention because it is growing but it’s overwhelmingly the metros, and the state has gone from strong double digit R wins to single digits over the past decade. If that trend continues ( big assumption ) , a narrow D win in EC out in say…2028 would be an earthquake to US politics. >
  
  That’s mainly domestic migrants that are Republicans. International migrants and their descendants are mostly up for grabs and could become the driving force in making Texas competitive >
  
  Mexicans are a more conservative population though... the place is a majority Catholic country after all.
  It took Trump and his monumental anti-immigrant crusade to tilt the scales away from the GOP. The moment Trump let up on the rhetoric a little they started swinging back to the right.
  Same deal with the Cubans and Venezuelans in Florida, though the latter group could see a return to the left if DeSantis gets the nomination. >
  
  It’s hard to say.  We’ve been hearing about the blue Texas for a while now, except now we see Republicans are moving to Florida and Texas from democratic states.