comment: >
  
  Florida was a swing state until very recently. DeSantis won the 2018 governor race by 34k votes out of 8 million state wide. Internal migration during covid swung the state hard GOP. It’s time for Dems to stop putting money into and solidify WI, PA, AZ, NV while working to flip NC.   
  Texas will remain out of reach for statewide Democrats for several cycles at a bare minimum.
context: You’ve assumed no states flip. 
  As an example, Texas has peoples attention because it is growing but it’s overwhelmingly the metros, and the state has gone from strong double digit R wins to single digits over the past decade. If that trend continues ( big assumption ) , a narrow D win in EC out in say…2028 would be an earthquake to US politics. >
  
  That’s mainly domestic migrants that are Republicans. International migrants and their descendants are mostly up for grabs and could become the driving force in making Texas competitive >
  
  Mexicans are a more conservative population though... the place is a majority Catholic country after all.
  It took Trump and his monumental anti-immigrant crusade to tilt the scales away from the GOP. The moment Trump let up on the rhetoric a little they started swinging back to the right.
  Same deal with the Cubans and Venezuelans in Florida, though the latter group could see a return to the left if DeSantis gets the nomination. >
  
  It’s hard to say.  We’ve been hearing about the blue Texas for a while now, except now we see Republicans are moving to Florida and Texas from democratic states. >
  
  I will add that I worked with the NY Census in 2020 in Brooklyn and it was a disaster.  Between Covid and trump. People didn’t want to fill it out for various fears.  People were undercounted. >
  
  Please do not submit low investment content. This subreddit is for genuine discussion. Low effort content, including memes, links substituting for explanation, sarcasm, and non-substantive contributions will be removed per moderator discretion. >
  
  My personal opinion is no. Minus the cities, NY is a very red state btw.  The population of those empty -ish western states are terrified of a wave coming to roost and outvote them.
  The question becomes what is the law on the ground, and  whom is physically where on that future voting day.