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Holy shit I completely forgot about the F-16’s. Ukraine will have the second strongest military in Europe soon.
Following the news earlier today (January 24, 2023) that Germany has approved the transfer of Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine, reports indicate that the US has taken a similar step, planning to send M1 Abrams main battle tanks to the war-weary nation. What particular Abrams variant the United States plans to send is unclear as of yet. >

The US wants new generation tanks to replace the M1s.  It is a Win Win. Bradley’s and M1s in formation are nearly unstoppable. >

Honestly if we’re going to send them which I’m fine with (there’s around 3,000 just sitting in storage costing us money to maintain) I think we should actually send them a significant amount, more than the 14 that Germany, England and Poland are sending. >

There was a video from like a week ago of around 50 Abrams on a train in Poland. The theory was they were to replace the MBTs of other countries if they donated Leopards etc to Ukraine. Considering the US has bases in Germany and the timing of all these countries announcing MBT donations at once, I'm kinda believing that the US has been training UA tank crews in Germany/Poland and working with other nations to announce this all at once. >

I hope we’re that clever. >

I read in the Black Swan that the when Taleb (risk assessment guy who made big money during the 87 crash and is at least perceived as a bit of a finance guru) gave a presentation to military experts on his perceptions of risk he said they were by far the best under standers of risk he had come across. 
I am sure that intelligence on Russia has always been a priority. They seem to have come out strong so far in anticipating and out maneuvering from an intelligence standpoint. So I am sure they are actually that clever. >

Is it a bird? Is it a plane? No it’s an F-16 close behind