>

Well, C17 is newer and heavier. You shouldn't look  at engines only
6 IL 76s is a few hundred troops and associated vehicles and supplies for a few days. Anything significant enough to do anything would require dozens of flights. >

Russia said earlier today they're not running out of rockets anytime soon, so those planes are full of rockets and/or artillery shells... >

Russia said earlier today they're not running out of rockets so those planes are empty. >

Empty on the way, full on the way back. Raiding their allies supplies >

Which is weird given the chances of another invasion from Belarus >

well, lukashenko doesn’t want to invade. he knows putin is losing, and knows what happens to leaders in corrupt countries when they lose a war. being a leader in a corrupt country, he’s done a very good job not actually joining the fight >

I agree, so far he’s done a great job but eventually he’s gonna get pushed either into the war or out a window. Eventually Putin will bully him into it I imagine. He doesn’t care about Lukashenko >

i feel either what you said, or eventually lukashenko will outright defy him, and could be the beginning of actual infighting. but if luka invades, it won’t end well as his soldiers already told him they wouldn’t
what a time to be a slavic dictator >

Odds are they are going there empty and coming back full. Russia stored a lot of older munitions and weapons there. They are probably raiding the last of their stocks they have there. >

This video explains the situation with Belarus better than I can in a reddit comment.
​
Binkov's Battlegrounds >

That video was fantastic. Very even handed assessment that took a lot of variables into account. My money is on Belarus sitting on their thumbs bc Lukashenko is kinda in checkmate >

Yeah, Lukashenko knows the moment he orders his army to move into Ukraine only his loyalist will obey which will leave himself alone with his security detail versus every soldier that decided "fuck that" >

That and if he actually sends troops into Ukraine he’ll be giving NATO all the excuses they need to put boots on the ground. On top of that the video brought up the point that he’d be undermining his own ability to keep power in his own country. If he commits too many military assets abroad he could lose his ability to stop a revolution/ousting. >

This. Unlike Russia, Belarus has no nuclear deterrent so a hard NATO punch back would not be at all implausible. >

But Belarus does have a joint alliance with Russia. And you can bet your ass that if Belarus invades Ukraine, the Russians will be alongside them.
There is no chance in hell that NATO is attacking Belarus with this in mind. Not to mention the fact that no NATO member would've been attacked so there'd be zero justification for it. >

Yeah I don’t know what those people are thinking that the DEFENSIVE ALLIANCE known as NATO would declare war on the country of Belarus for attacking a non-NATO member. That’s beyond wishful thinking that’s straight fantasy. >

Wishful thinking certainly. However, NATO did set up a no fly zone in Libya, and Libya sure ain’t a NATO country. >

Libya did not have nukes. >

Adding more failure I guess. >

Emergency resupply of failure. 
Crates of failure being sent to the front to replenish the failure being used at astronomical rates. >

Sending Beijing Corn to resupply the failures! >

I'm positive Beijing is supplying RU with whatever they requested. Food, guns, ammo, 152mm shells, rockets, computer chips. The west must be looking for proof! China is begging for sanctions! They best keep their hands clean and continue with business as usual. >

Maybe covertly. There’s also the fact that if Russia collapses, there’ll be a power vacuum in Central Asia that China will be able to fill. Not to mention, China might be able to annex some of the Russian Far East too, specifically the land they lost during the “Century of Humiliation”. >

Is there a Chinese word for Vladivostok? >

No idea, but they’ll definitely try to rename the Sea of Japan to North China Sea and add a bunch of dashed lines to prove it. >

Belarus better be careful, no one is afraid of them and they’re pissing off all the wrong people. >

Who is gonna attack them? Belarus is “protected” by the CSTO, Collective Security Treaty Organization, the Post-Soviet state’s version of NATO’s Article 5. Absolutely no country is ready for a wider scale war, both Russia and the Western allies are struggling to keep up with demand for weapons and ammunition. The West and it’s allies know that Russia is not the real enemy, it’s China, they aren’t gonna toss all of their eggs in the current war’s basket. 
And contrary what some may think, Belarus is not expendable, it’s incredibly important to Russia due to its geographical location, their dictator’s grip in the country and the loyalty of Lukashenko who practically handed Belarus back to Moscow. Belarus is Russia’s most reliable ally, albeit, quite insignificant at face value. >

I mean, look at how well the CSTO protected Armenia. I wouldn’t put too much weight behind it. >

Good, that should be enough parts for one of the IL-76s to fly back out of Belarus. >

I dated a girl from Belarus, she said it’s impressive that the world believes they are their own country. She said they have more Russian flags around then their own. >

My Russian language professor was Belarusian. She said similar things. >

Lukashenko better look out. Transfer too much to Russia and Moscow might decide invading Minsk is a good idea. If Putin can’t win in Ukraine and can’t leave without tripping onto a 9mm bullet, invading Belarus and spinning it as a PR win might be his political lifeline. >

Summer uniforms have finally arrived! >

Il-76 vs C-17. 
The US sends 3 C-17s just to carry the presidential motorcade.
This reads like bait, trying to get Ukraine to shoot something down in Belarus to justify their involvement. >

Jeeze, the C17 engines have ~50% more thrust along with more than double the range