>

Yeah I don’t know what those people are thinking that the DEFENSIVE ALLIANCE known as NATO would declare war on the country of Belarus for attacking a non-NATO member. That’s beyond wishful thinking that’s straight fantasy.
6 IL 76s is a few hundred troops and associated vehicles and supplies for a few days. Anything significant enough to do anything would require dozens of flights. >

Russia said earlier today they're not running out of rockets anytime soon, so those planes are full of rockets and/or artillery shells... >

Russia said earlier today they're not running out of rockets so those planes are empty. >

Empty on the way, full on the way back. Raiding their allies supplies >

Which is weird given the chances of another invasion from Belarus >

well, lukashenko doesn’t want to invade. he knows putin is losing, and knows what happens to leaders in corrupt countries when they lose a war. being a leader in a corrupt country, he’s done a very good job not actually joining the fight >

I agree, so far he’s done a great job but eventually he’s gonna get pushed either into the war or out a window. Eventually Putin will bully him into it I imagine. He doesn’t care about Lukashenko >

i feel either what you said, or eventually lukashenko will outright defy him, and could be the beginning of actual infighting. but if luka invades, it won’t end well as his soldiers already told him they wouldn’t
what a time to be a slavic dictator >

Odds are they are going there empty and coming back full. Russia stored a lot of older munitions and weapons there. They are probably raiding the last of their stocks they have there. >

This video explains the situation with Belarus better than I can in a reddit comment.
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Binkov's Battlegrounds >

That video was fantastic. Very even handed assessment that took a lot of variables into account. My money is on Belarus sitting on their thumbs bc Lukashenko is kinda in checkmate >

Yeah, Lukashenko knows the moment he orders his army to move into Ukraine only his loyalist will obey which will leave himself alone with his security detail versus every soldier that decided "fuck that" >

That and if he actually sends troops into Ukraine he’ll be giving NATO all the excuses they need to put boots on the ground. On top of that the video brought up the point that he’d be undermining his own ability to keep power in his own country. If he commits too many military assets abroad he could lose his ability to stop a revolution/ousting. >

This. Unlike Russia, Belarus has no nuclear deterrent so a hard NATO punch back would not be at all implausible. >

But Belarus does have a joint alliance with Russia. And you can bet your ass that if Belarus invades Ukraine, the Russians will be alongside them.
There is no chance in hell that NATO is attacking Belarus with this in mind. Not to mention the fact that no NATO member would've been attacked so there'd be zero justification for it.