>

All this carbon into the air for some clown sitting behind a desk that wants a needless war. Ugh.
6 IL 76s is a few hundred troops and associated vehicles and supplies for a few days. Anything significant enough to do anything would require dozens of flights. >

Russia said earlier today they're not running out of rockets anytime soon, so those planes are full of rockets and/or artillery shells... >

Russia said earlier today they're not running out of rockets so those planes are empty. >

Empty on the way, full on the way back. Raiding their allies supplies >

Which is weird given the chances of another invasion from Belarus >

well, lukashenko doesn’t want to invade. he knows putin is losing, and knows what happens to leaders in corrupt countries when they lose a war. being a leader in a corrupt country, he’s done a very good job not actually joining the fight >

I agree, so far he’s done a great job but eventually he’s gonna get pushed either into the war or out a window. Eventually Putin will bully him into it I imagine. He doesn’t care about Lukashenko >

i feel either what you said, or eventually lukashenko will outright defy him, and could be the beginning of actual infighting. but if luka invades, it won’t end well as his soldiers already told him they wouldn’t
what a time to be a slavic dictator >

Odds are they are going there empty and coming back full. Russia stored a lot of older munitions and weapons there. They are probably raiding the last of their stocks they have there. >

This video explains the situation with Belarus better than I can in a reddit comment.
​
Binkov's Battlegrounds >

That video was fantastic. Very even handed assessment that took a lot of variables into account. My money is on Belarus sitting on their thumbs bc Lukashenko is kinda in checkmate >

Yeah, Lukashenko knows the moment he orders his army to move into Ukraine only his loyalist will obey which will leave himself alone with his security detail versus every soldier that decided "fuck that" >

That and if he actually sends troops into Ukraine he’ll be giving NATO all the excuses they need to put boots on the ground. On top of that the video brought up the point that he’d be undermining his own ability to keep power in his own country. If he commits too many military assets abroad he could lose his ability to stop a revolution/ousting. >

This. Unlike Russia, Belarus has no nuclear deterrent so a hard NATO punch back would not be at all implausible. >

But Belarus does have a joint alliance with Russia. And you can bet your ass that if Belarus invades Ukraine, the Russians will be alongside them.
There is no chance in hell that NATO is attacking Belarus with this in mind. Not to mention the fact that no NATO member would've been attacked so there'd be zero justification for it. >

Yeah I don’t know what those people are thinking that the DEFENSIVE ALLIANCE known as NATO would declare war on the country of Belarus for attacking a non-NATO member. That’s beyond wishful thinking that’s straight fantasy. >

Wishful thinking certainly. However, NATO did set up a no fly zone in Libya, and Libya sure ain’t a NATO country. >

Libya did not have nukes. >

Adding more failure I guess. >

Emergency resupply of failure. 
Crates of failure being sent to the front to replenish the failure being used at astronomical rates. >

Sending Beijing Corn to resupply the failures! >

I'm positive Beijing is supplying RU with whatever they requested. Food, guns, ammo, 152mm shells, rockets, computer chips. The west must be looking for proof! China is begging for sanctions! They best keep their hands clean and continue with business as usual. >

Maybe covertly. There’s also the fact that if Russia collapses, there’ll be a power vacuum in Central Asia that China will be able to fill. Not to mention, China might be able to annex some of the Russian Far East too, specifically the land they lost during the “Century of Humiliation”. >

Is there a Chinese word for Vladivostok? >

No idea, but they’ll definitely try to rename the Sea of Japan to North China Sea and add a bunch of dashed lines to prove it. >

Belarus better be careful, no one is afraid of them and they’re pissing off all the wrong people. >

Who is gonna attack them? Belarus is “protected” by the CSTO, Collective Security Treaty Organization, the Post-Soviet state’s version of NATO’s Article 5. Absolutely no country is ready for a wider scale war, both Russia and the Western allies are struggling to keep up with demand for weapons and ammunition. The West and it’s allies know that Russia is not the real enemy, it’s China, they aren’t gonna toss all of their eggs in the current war’s basket. 
And contrary what some may think, Belarus is not expendable, it’s incredibly important to Russia due to its geographical location, their dictator’s grip in the country and the loyalty of Lukashenko who practically handed Belarus back to Moscow. Belarus is Russia’s most reliable ally, albeit, quite insignificant at face value. >

I mean, look at how well the CSTO protected Armenia. I wouldn’t put too much weight behind it. >

Good, that should be enough parts for one of the IL-76s to fly back out of Belarus. >

I dated a girl from Belarus, she said it’s impressive that the world believes they are their own country. She said they have more Russian flags around then their own. >

My Russian language professor was Belarusian. She said similar things. >

Lukashenko better look out. Transfer too much to Russia and Moscow might decide invading Minsk is a good idea. If Putin can’t win in Ukraine and can’t leave without tripping onto a 9mm bullet, invading Belarus and spinning it as a PR win might be his political lifeline. >

Summer uniforms have finally arrived! >

Il-76 vs C-17. 
The US sends 3 C-17s just to carry the presidential motorcade.
This reads like bait, trying to get Ukraine to shoot something down in Belarus to justify their involvement. >

Jeeze, the C17 engines have ~50% more thrust along with more than double the range >

Well, C17 is newer and heavier. You shouldn't look  at engines only >

MTOW is only ~20% more and the size is less than that, I still think it’s very impressive. >

It is, but also is 20 years difference >

Not likely to happen, but it would be funny if Ukraine was able to start shooting a few of those cargo planes down,... >

I wonder how many they have in actual service, that can fly. Russia built a lot of them but I wonder how many actually work based on how this war has played out.
I think the US comparable is the C-141 and they built about a third as many but can project force like a mofo so I think Russia losing some Candids would be a big loss. >

They have plenty of turboprop cargo airplanes available, list, and unlike the old Military Airlift Command they don't have global logistic commitments, so it's probably a wash.  There's also plenty of civilian Boeings and Airbuses they could co-opt and press into service if needed, especially since their air travel industry is likely going through a recessionary period (international sanctions and domestic economic problems). >

I can definitely see this happening, using civilian air craft to transport large amounts of troops and supplies, then having a huge meltdown if one is shot down because it’s “civilian” >

This is an indication Russia  is beginning to scrape the bottom of the barrel for ammunition and supplies with which to wage war. They maintained stragic supplies in Bellarussia, for strategic reasons. This material was intended to fight Nato. >

"Still waiting for them to turn up Mr President Putin Sir." >

How many normally travel there? Is this abnormal? >

It's heavy military cargo planes.
Russia is planning more war crimes. >

Its just vodka >

Belarus isn't a nuclear state. If they let Russia attack from there they become a target.
Kiev is much closer to Belarus and making Ukraine fight on two sides makes it more difficult to be effective. They cannot concentrate their forces. >


If they let Russia attack from there they become a target.

They already did that in February.  Honestly, I don't think Lukashenko is in a position to refuse. >

Lukashenko can barely hold onto Belarus with Russia's support.  He'd never hold onto Belarus without Russian support.
He's a puppet.  Always was. >

So was Viktor Yanukovych. Which is why we're here today. Russia lost control over Ukraine and didn't like it. >

On that note, guess who was Yanukovych's paid stooge, lobbyist, inside man in the US, and even helped organize attacks on buses of US Marines?
That's right, Donald Trump's campaign manager.
What's his name?
Paul fucking Manafort. >

Not suspicious at all... >

What is it they say?
The puppet of my puppet is my puppet? >

Full of dildos , lube and gay porn. >

Explains why my Amazon shipment for those exact items is delayed >

You got lube? Soft >

They are stealin shells! >

If Belarus joins Russia in Ukraine I wonder how they plan on defending their own borders. Belarus couldn’t defend their borders with NATO regardless of if they were helping Russia in Ukraine and Russia could not help them defend their borders and fight in Ukraine at the same time. I’m not saying NATO would attack Belarus if they went into Ukraine but some of its members might and  if they did there is nothing Belarus could do about ir. >

Poland itching for a reason to get into the fight. >

So like, max 1 infantry battalion if they were moving troops? >

So if it’s carrying 1400 soldiers that is about a day and a half worth at the current rate … >

This is a drop in the bucket. Negligible. Not even news >

Can’t wait to see this news article in the next 24-48 hours.
Breaking News: UA destroyed six cargo IL-76s  since they were transported to Belarus 24 hours ago. >

Transporting more outdated useless shit to be captured or destroyed and more troops to be killed. >

Definitely not troops
/s >

Any thoughts on what's inside? Conscripts? 60-year-old bullets? 80-year-old rations? >

60 year old conscripts. >

Those things still fly? >

Relevant username >

The American C-141 Starlifter is the IL-76 analog (according to Wikipedia) >

still doesn't changes the fact that "starlifting" is a process where you siphon off materials and gases from a star and i wanted people interested in that know about it. just because there is also a plane that is called after this, doesn't makes what i said untrue or false. >

Siphon. >

thanks. English isn't my mother tongue so I didn't knew. fixed. >

Polish and Lithuanian troops should gather at the Belarus border, while NATO has some war games in Poland and Lithuania. >

Target those mobile warehouses and fire. >

6 more planes loads of equipment and cannon fodder to add to the meat grinder >

Sending Putin’s bullshit. >

Cargo 200s >

Some poor soul going to the soul reaper >

Southwest sent 17 flights to phoenix today. Put the shit in context >

UA AA...."you up?" >

Maybe they’re packed with their dead officers and they’re outsourcing the cremation >

Ukraine downs six cargo IL-76s in Belarus in their 14th hr