comment: >
  
  Alright as a Turkish American I’m gonna explain this the best way possible.
  Erdogan indeed is trying to look strong and proclaim himself as a savior of Islam to the polls which is working in some ways and not. He knows well that he can get some concessions off of this deal
  CHP (opposition) also know well they can get concessions as well and delay Sweden’s vote to get in. They also have the same concerns about the PKK and want the F-15 program back on the table. And will still have a shaky relationship with Greece or more the same
  So whoever wins the election it’s not gonna change much. 
  Finland under recent news got the green light from Erdogan but we shall see if Finland wants to join alone.
  But hey if CHP does win just a warning for Europe migrations might head your direction from now on, CHP is planning to deport all Syrian migrants back to Syria or might allow them to enter Europe, our weak and Broken economy isn’t gonna take it anymore so good luck.
context: Yes, it is likely, they just have to wait until the next Turkish election. Erdoğan is mainly trying to look tough and will be more amenable to compromise once he has secured power for another term. >
  
  Erdogan won't allow anyone else to win the election. That is a non starter. >
  
  Türkiye doesn't have fair elections, but that doesn't mean Erdoğan can't lose power, nor does it mean Erdoğan doesn't care about his popularity. >
  
  Exactly. Erdoğan's power in Turkey is very great, but not limitless. He can influence elections unfairly, yes, but he lacks the power to falsify them entirely. >
  
  Hungary will ratify during their next legislative session, which starts in February 
  Türkiye will wait until after their next election cycle, which apparently is in June. 
  The latter is posturing, but ultimately irrelevant. Russia isn't about to start another war in the next six months. It would be nice to get this over with, but in the grand scheme of things, the delay isn't going to matter