comment: >
context: What are the odds that they'll release him back to the cartel again?
  "Ovidio was briefly detained in the northern state of Sinaloa in October 2019 by security forces, but then quickly released because of violent retribution from his cartel" >
  
  He was released in 2019 because police weren't expecting to catch him and didn't have backup to deal with the fallout.
  This time it's the military and a larger operation - if they are smart he is far from Sinaloa at this point. >
  
  From the article:
  
  
  The defense secretary, Luís Cresencio Sandoval, told reporters that Guzmán had been transferred to the Mexican capital after his capture by members of the army and national guard.