>

See? The invisible hand of the market works.
Sustained high fertiliser prices could increase food prices by 74% from 2021 levels by the end of this year

People complain about OPEC and fuel prices, but fertilizer is an indirect component in prices consumers pay.
This will have political impacts because people usually don't know how to assign blame when causes aren't stupidly simple and obvious. So they tend to vote for outrageous lies, and someone not already holding an elected office. >

The main component in fertilizer production is natural gas (and sometimes coal or oil). Also the reason that it shouldn't come as a surprise that russia is a major producer of fertilizer.
So fairly simple to put the blame actually:
Russia's dumb war -> high natural gas prices -> high fertilizer prices -> high food prices >

Exactly,
To add to this, the price of the three fertilizers are correlated and nitrogen fertilizers are the largest one in the market.
They work slightly differently but there's still the correlation: nitrogen fertizers increase in price -> demand for other fertilizers grow -> price for alternative fertilizers rise.
So basically, as soon as natural gas is fucked, all fertizers are fucked (but just slightly different to what extend) >

So an interesting thought experiment.  What is the cost to humanity to fight Russia and what is the cost to let them take Ukraine.  As insane as it sounds, the path we have chosen may well doom the planet.  Without Russian gas and fertilizer we have resorted to incredibly damaging environmental policies.  Greta Thunberg was recently arrested for protesting the sudden increase in coal use.  Our excuse is the planet can take a little more abuse so Russia will lose.  But can it?  That's a wild assumption with no scientific basis.  We are at a point letting Ukraine keep its independence may cost the existence of humans.  And even if it works today, unless humans stop this nonsense it becomes more risky as time goes by.
While I strongly disagree with what Russia is doing, would it be worth it to save Ukraine if it means your kids starve to death?  We may not have to answer that question this time, but a future conflict may well press that question. >

OK, that completely ignores everything and assumes that Russia will keep supplying for some reason.  There's nothing stopping Russia from collapsing and shutting down all industries.  It's the REASON NATO is so worried about escalating.  We don't actually want Russia to stop making things and are happy India and China are picking up the slack.  In fact, that's why we feel comfortable escalating and sending in more weapons.
It's odd your thought pattern.  On one hand you're aware that NATO has been trying not to escalate as to not collapse the Russian industry.  Which is why price caps instead of bans.  And yet you're saying it doesn't matter because even though NATO is concerned about it, you're sure Russia simply won't stop.  While also totally aware Russia is literally throwing it's bodies that keep it's industry going into the meat grinder.
It doesn't work both ways.  If there's a total collapse of Russia, the world is fucked.  NATO knows this which is why for as much as people are complaining NATO should send even ATACMS, NATO still has not.  They're playing a delicate game, one I agree with but I'm also still sorely aware of the dangers.  To dismiss those dangers off hand is silly, but thank GOD our leaders aren't that short sighted. >

Again, that's assuming Putin doesn't just kill everyone.  Not intentionally of course, but if they mobilize enough, there simply isn't anyone to man the factories.  And again, this assumes there isn't a revolution that over throws Putin, puts Russia into complete chaos with their own bombing their gas supplies.  Which totally could happen.
In fact, I doubt Putin would be in charge when it all collapses. >

BBC could you please stop it with the popups. >

Nah, the first thing I want to see when I click on an article I want to read is a big fat pop up telling me to register. >

The bigger it is, the more I want to register!