>

I think the problem is that he wants it to end on terms that no one else accepts. Something like… we keep all the land, Ukraine destroys all weapons and yeah, we pick their governments for 40 years.
Putin knows he is screwed but doesn’t want to lose Crimea >

If he loses Crimea and its ports, Putin is dead meat. Losing 8 years worth of colonization will be what tips the scale internally. He will be replaced with another hardliner beholden to the Russian mafia state and business as usual will resume to the best of their abilities. >

That is what many of us don't realize -- putin will not be replaced by a peaceful democracy. We are also fighting the next few totalitarian dictators to come after him right now.  All of Russia needs to learn to keep their pathetic shit within their own borders moving forward. >

The goal isn't to make peace, it's to send a message. "You are not welcome here." The Russians cannot be taught acceptance, but they can be taught fear. In the past, they only feared the US. Now they will fear Ukraine. >

I would say that as, the goal is to find a peace that lasts and doesn't lead to another invasion within a few years. >

Honestly, from what I'm seeing the best way for peace is to simply be way to fucking dangerous to attack. 
Ukraine will recover from this way faster than Russia, and their military will have a huge springboard in advancement. They're already talking about pushing to be a major drone weapons manufacturer. >

Ukraine should recover well and have great economic cooperation with the west, but I don't see any serious war reparations on the horizon. >

I don't either. I suspect very long term Russia will be forced to pay back some in tarriffs and as part of trade fees etc. I know Germany paid some of its reparations off over time with border crossing fees or something ( I might be wrong on the details there. ), but there are ways to collect, but it won't be voluntary or anything appropriate. 
But Russia just shit the bed doing this, no ones going to want hardly anything to do with them. They've turned themselves into a major pariah, and that will cost them gravely for generations more than anything ever could. They're going to have to learn to basically do everything themselves for the most part from here on. 
Maybe the citizens of Russia might find the courage to choose another destiny for themselves, who knows. >

A lot of western corporate money will go to a more stable Ukraine, once it is rebuilt and fortified its borders,  rather than risk this craziness that Russia is intent on causing. >

Honestly I don't even expect Russia to end it's warmongering. If it pulls everything out of all of Ukraine, and out of Belarus, they're going to turn it on someone else. 
I think the people of Kazakhstan should really take a deep look at their national defenses, and start making sure everything is in good running shape. >

Putin doesn’t negotiate, he stalls.
‘“Our goal is not to spin the flywheel of military conflict, but, on the contrary, to end this war," Putin said’.  Lol.  Then go home. >

Putin be stalin >

Stalin had successful plans though. >

Stalin and his buddies were also drunk off their asses every night til like 3 am. It's honestly surprising no one hit the big red button... >

Pre-internet world mate. Communication was verbal, written or on a wired phone.
The glory days of world leaders when you actually had down time and could get off your face. >

"OK, I'm going to need you to get all the way off my face."
"Alrighty then" >

"Wowowowow....
...wow." >

Super easy, barely an inconvenience >

Your drunk mates at 3am are tight >

Sure, he wants peace. Piece of Crimea, piece of Kyiv, piece on the Donbas… >

Piece of Moldova too. >

Piece of Finland also >

Piece of Georgia also >

If only Putin knew someone who could order the Russian troops to go home.