>

i mean, you just gotta tell the drivers they are delivering munitions somewhere.
information can be and is compartmentalized in the military. especially russian militaries.
if you dont think someone with a cult of personality like Kadyrov has got a cabal of sycophants that will do whatever he tells them to do without question, then i got a bridge to sell ya.
Prigozhin's got his own private army, Kadyrov's got one, Shoigu's got one, there's tons of less known private armies, and now we're throwing Gazprom into the mix. 
It's going to be insane when Putin finally needs to get replaced. >

yeah, this is terrifying to be honest. if russia falls into a period of warlords chopping up the country. Russias nukes would fall into their hands, thats very very bad for the rest of the world. >

Meh. The ability to use them as projectile weapons is likely centralized. Same reason Ukraine gave up theirs after the USSR fell. Couldn't use em alone. Couldn't maintain em alone. The nuclear material though....eesh. >

your not thinking big enough, firstly, if kadyrov wants to take out prigozhin or lukashenko, he doesn't need that nuke to necessarily be a projectile. a truck might just do the trick 
secondly proliferation becomes a major concern. who's to say these fuckwits wouldn't SELL a nuke to some random african warlord. all of a sudden you have boko haram detonating dirty bombs in mogudishu or somewhere in the Sahel >

Who is going to support a warlord that nukes their opposition?
NATO, the UN, etc., would not just say "Okay Kadyrov you're standing on the pile of radioactive ashes, I guess we'll recognize you."
There is a threat of a "rogue" nuke but they are watched fairly closely, require constant maintenance, and are not quite as easy to detonate as a movie might suggest.  That warlord now has the same problem, using it ensures your own defeat at the hands of the world. >

your presuming these are all rational actors here. 
now Shoigu, prigozin, sure they seem intelligent/rational.
but when i see Kadyrov, the words rational do not enter my head. Thankfully though, in the event of russia balkanizing, he'd be the least likely one to end up with his hands on some nukes.
Shoigu and whoever is leading this Gazprom military would probably get the lions share >

If someone wants to kill themselves there are a lot less complicated ways than trying to get a hold of a nuke.  Using a nuke means your rule is over. >

People doing those things won't be rational. If Kadyrov uses a nuke, its going to be in anger / some other heightened emotional state or a last ditch attempt to stave off defeat, not some carefully calculated 4d move. When emotions run high, rationality goes out the window and very stupid decisions end up being made. >

Then it is just Hitler in the bunker ordering generals around who completely ignore him.
Unless you are suggesting that an oligarch is going to personally load a nuke - one designed for a missile launch - onto a truck, adapt it to detonate through his console commands and not the pre-programmed detonation sequence, drive to wherever he wants to explode, and then explode it.  Basically all by himself because very few other people want to die in a fiery explosion and even if one person isn't thinking rationally, it takes a host of people to pull this off and only one of them to say.... "We're working on it general, these things take time.  Now please, follow these new guards who will take you safely home..."