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We have watched Russia invade Ukraine… they won’t invade the Baltics.
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 88%. (I'm a bot)


Converting NATO's so-called "Tripwire" forces in the three Baltic countries to fully topped-up fighting brigades - the kind that could withstand a Russian invasion - is proving to be a challenge for the lead nations involved: Canada, the United Kingdom and Germany.
It seems Canada isn't the only country struggling with the creation of combat brigades - despite the demands of Baltic leaders and the political urgency Western politicians have attached to the project.
"At present - and for the foreseeable future - the British Army is unable to maintain a continuous rotational presence of an entire armoured brigade outside the U.K. without announcing mobilization," says a Centre for Eastern Studies report entitled Expectations vs. Reality: NATO Brigades in the Baltic States.


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