Bayes's Theorem: What's the Big Deal?
> In many cases, estimating the prior is just guesswork, allowing subjective factors to creep into your calculations. You might be guessing the probability of something that--unlike cancer—does not even exist, such as strings, multiverses, inflation or God. You might then cite dubious evidence to support your dubious belief. In this way, Bayes’ theorem can promote pseudoscience and superstition as well as reason.Oh please. You can do plenty of psuedoscience and superstition with good old frequentist statistics. And of all the people you could pick to represent Bayesian statistics, instead of I don't know, Andrew Gelman or someone, the author picks... Eliezer Yudkowsky? If nothing else, this provides inspiration for me to quit procrastinating on my "ASK ME ABOUT ROKO'S BASILISK" novelty t-shirt idea.