Y Combinator Numbers
This reminds me of my family's business. We do grant writing for nonprofit and public agencies, and people always want to know if they're going to get funded. We always say that we have no idea, for reasons discussed in this post: http://blog.seliger.com/2008/12/21/the-worse-it-is-the-bette... :"All this also helps explain why a “batting average” or “track record” figure is useless regarding general purpose grant writers, as we describe in this FAQ question: http://seliger.com/faq.html#anchor5 . We don’t know if our clients are going to come from Beverly Hills or from places where most residents haven’t graduated from high school. From a grant writing perspective, a client from the latter place might be more likely to be funded than someone from Beverly Hills."