Think Bayes - Bayesian Statistics Made Simple
So, I'm going to counter here and say I don't find this to be a good intro. I started reading and had not heard of the "Girl named Florida" problem and then went to the linked to blog post http://allendowney.blogspot.com/2011/11/girl-named-florida-s...The way he explains it I found to be confusing and counter-intuitive. I've taken basic stats in college, and learned some of the associated problems, though not this one, and learned the material though not in this particular way. I have to agree whole-heartedly with the commenter on that post "JeffJo" who stipulates why it's an ineffectual way to present the material. Furthermore, I found the author's dismissal of the valid criticism to be enough to not want me to read further.