So nations may live under the threat of what Nobel Prize winner Thomas Schelling called the "reciprocal fear of surprise attack," as I don't know if my neighbor is about to attack me or not -- I may never know -- so I might take the upper hand and attack first.
所以所有国家都活在危机中 正如诺贝尔奖得主汤玛斯.斯考林所说 对突袭的相互恐惧 就像是我不知道我的邻居 会不会攻击我 我可能永远也不知道 所以我就先下手为强 抢先进攻