translation.en: There are two kinds of errors people make when trying to decide what the right thing is to do, and those are errors in estimating the odds that they're going to succeed, and errors in estimating the value of their own success.
translation.zh: 人们做决策时 会犯两种错误， 即错误地估算成功的概率， 和错误地估算成功的价值。