As an Independent who registered this year to vote against Lane County Commissioner Sid Leiken  for Sec'y of State and Lane County Commissioner Faye Stewart for US Senate because they are 'tax and spend' Republicans who voted to give $800,000 to Lane County administrators,  I have no particular beliefs in Trump's chances in November.   Actually, I believe that the Republicans will self-destruct and deny him the nomination and lose miserably against the banker's choice Hillary Clinton, unless the young Democrats who prefer Bernie Sanders give Hillary the one-finger salute and stay home.  Then, even Trump could win.