No need to take a such a huge risk.

Notley can ship all the tar she wants in steam heated rail cars and tankers far safer than Dilbit in pipe, with only a small investment. 

Long before the new and approved Line 3 and Keystone Pipes are close to being filled, the small remaining petrol market will be running nicely on sweet light crude not dirty tar - no need for KM.

Predictions have sales of fossil fuel vehicles ending quickly by 2025 with driverless EV's replacing the ICE like DVD's eliminated the VCR.

When her Tar market dies in a few years, the rail cars can ship Alberta grain to a starving world. Anti pipers will have saved investors a world of hurt.

Notley could reduce opposition to KM, if she joined dippers Horgan and Harcourt who have proposed moving the terminus to Roberts Bank - reducing overall spill risk despite much larger volumes.