Lets' not get ahead of ourselves, the Conservative Party has to select an acceptable leader...

Canadian government lose elections, opposition parties do not "win" them..The conditions are setting themselves up, but unless there is someone on the other side that looks like they can "catch" this one, the Liberals will steal another election...like the Liberals have done in successive elections in Ontario.

You have to understand, the Liberals have a floor = the population of civil servants, which is at least 20-25% of the public. They only have to win around 1 of 6 remaining votes to get in.

This is from a third place party winning.

Why?

As much as I loath the NDP, they at least we the official Opposition, with access to all the benefits of that. A third place party gets nothing in terms of research, procedural training, etc..

The Federal Liberals being the government, is like selecting random people from the phone book. What one is seeing is an expected result of this