Agreed that Watts looks best for BCLibs leadership right now. But why do you jump to the conclusion that she'd automatically win in the Fraser Valley or Surrey?. It will depend on what BCLib policies are, not just because somebody lived in an area. 
And nobody knows what BCLib policies are now, leave alone 2 or 3 years away. Even the BCLibs can't figure out what their own policies are - see the recent u-turns.