My long term view is currently the democrats have the larger loyal party following and will have for a while. The republicans are currently experiencing an "existential" crisis over the loss of the Reagan coalition (nobody to blame but themselves). Fiscal conservatives have thrown in the towel thanks to "W" and all that has followed and moderate republicans can't stand the social conservatives. Uniting to defeat the enemy (democrats) just isn't there anymore because for many (thanks to candidate Trump) the democrats actually seem like conservatives! But, all is not lost. Thanks to Bernie, he accidentally and probably really regrets it, exposed the democratic emperor just like Trump did the republicans. The two third parties, Bernie Bros and the all but forgotten Tea Party movement may actually have a chance to create a viable third party.  Unless of course, smart democratic/republican leaders see a way to co-opt these budding movements.  Did I use the word smart in the last sentence?