"The person who picks six lottery ticket numbers and wins is lucky, not skilled, but all too often we don’t even consider luck when someone predicts something like a presidential election. And calling a presidential election takes a lot less luck than winning a lottery. ... It is a part of the media's job to forecast..."

NO!

It is the media's job to report the facts.  In an election that means the candidates positions, opposition positions to those positions.  NOT TO FORECAST ANYTHING AT ALL.

This is where the media has it all wrong.  No, the media people and pundits are not the oracles of Omaha like Warren Buffett.  They have no shareholders to prove their performance to, no reason for making a prediction, and this is why the media got burned.

This constant poll chasing, trying to predict the winner, is why the media is losing credibility, and why outlets like Breitbart and all these crazy fringe media outlets are growing like wildfire and the mainstream media is in decline.