And yet, many moderates aren't on board with it. Why? Because they know that if their constituents lose their healthcare, those constituents will blame them for it. Oh sure, they'll be able to pretend it's a victory in the immediate term. But while people don't have long memories, people do suddenly pay attention when their health insurance gets dropped.

By passing any bill on healthcare, the GOP will be taking ownership of any changes to people's insurance. If premiums go up, the GOP will be blamed. If people lose their insurance, the GOP will be blamed.