@Charles. Conspicuously absent from your analysis is any mention of party outcast Reinbold being vulnerable in THIS election to a challenge by independent candidate Joe Hackenmueller. Her skin of the teeth primary win was a benefit of a record low voter turnout. Given a worst case scenario of a 50% general election turn out, it seems as though she would be unable to hide from the public's ire. While Eagle River has many Republicans, it's worth noting that there are nearly twice as many non-Republicans. Also, many of those Republicans have had enough of their self-benching incumbent. Even though the moderate Republican supporters of Kennedy have publicly fallen back in line after their attempted coup, who knows what they will do behind the voting booth curtain. This may be their best opportunity to remove her. Shouldn't Lora she be added to the list of vulnerables?