This might be a case of famous last words! If O'Leary has a game plan that includes the riding associations — which he must — he can get enough votes on that level to become a front runner. Right now, he is probably focusing on the weak ridings, where even a small amount of new members to support him could critically improve his chances. (Every riding has 100 points, and if the riding association has a small number of members, O'Leary can take a big chunk of the points, which are allocated proportionally.)