https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elaine_Garzarelli

As per

Analysis over the long term showed she has been right 1 out of 13 times...but she got 1987 right!!! 

Good for her.

There is at least one like this for every stock market move.

As there is for every election.

The overall point is YES question the NYT, but the solution then, is not to trust "Drudge" or "Brietbart" whoever 100% as a response to this questioning (neither is 100% right, or wrong - all the time)....apply the same skeptical eye to them as well....