Depends on how riled up the people in the riding are. From Wikipedia / Jim Coutts:

From 1975 to 1981, he was the Principal Secretary to Prime Minister Pierre Elliott Trudeau.
In 1981, Trudeau appointed Liberal MP Peter Stollery to the Senate so Coutts could run for the Canadian House of Commons in what was thought of as the safe Ontario riding of Spadina. The plan backfired when Coutts narrowly lost to New Democrat Dan Heap despite personal interventions from Trudeau. Coutts ran again, but lost by a heavier margin in the 1984 election.