What is SIR model?
{{no sources|date=January 2021}} The '''''SIR model''''' is a simple [[mathematical model]] of [[Epidemic|epidemics]]. An epidemic is when the number of people infected with a [[wikt:disease|disease]] is increasing in a [[wikt:population|population]]. S, I, and R stand for: {| |{{font color|blue|'''S''' - ''susceptible''.}} These are people that are not infected with the disease yet. However, they are not immune to it either, and so they can become infected with the disease in the future. |- |{{font color|green|'''I''' - ''infected''}} or [[wikt:infectious|infectious]]. These are people that are infected with the disease and can transmit the disease to susceptible people. |- |{{font color|red|'''R''' - ''recovered''.}} These are people who have recovered from the disease and are [[wikt:immune|immune]], so they can no longer be infected with the disease. |} Below is a graph of a solved SIR model. The bottom (x) axis is time, and the left (y) axis is the population or the number of people. [[File:Sirsys-p9.png|link=https://en.wikiversity.org/wiki/File:Sirsys-p9.png|left|560x560px{{Dead link|date=September 2021 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}]] Blue represents the number of susceptible people. At the beginning of the epidemic, the number of susceptible (blue) people decreases as the number of infected (green) people increases. Gradually the number of recovered (red) people increases. In this particular model, after the epidemic is over, all people have been infected and recovered. This is not always the case; sometimes, some susceptible people remain uninfected. This model is also missing some parts, such as creating new susceptible people by being born and the removal of susceptible, infected, and recovered people who die. More complicated models can include these parts. Also, this model does not work well for every disease. It works well where people recover from a disease and become immune, such as measles. Not all infectious diseases follow this [[pattern]]. For instance, people infected wi