Bitcoin May Target $145,000 To $249,000 Under Trump Administration: Report
2025-01-16
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According to CryptoQuant’s latest weekly report, Bitcoin (BTC) could target a price range between $145,000 and $249,000 in 2025. The report cites rising institutional capital inflows and favorable crypto regulations as key drivers of Bitcoin’s potential price appreciation.
Bitcoin To Benefit From Increasing Institutional Flows
Following a flash crash to $89,256 earlier this week, Bitcoin is now striving to reclaim the $100,000 price level. A recent report by CryptoQuant predicts that BTC could peak at $249,000 this year, supported by multiple favorable factors, including a pro-crypto stance from the Donald Trump administration in the US.
The report suggests BTC will reach “at least” $145,000 in 2025, with the influx of fresh capital serving as the primary catalyst for this bullish momentum. Drawing from historical analysis of capital inflows during previous market cycles, the report estimates that $520 billion in new capital could enter Bitcoin markets this year. It states:
In the context of a positive regulatory environment, accommodative monetary policy, and cyclical patterns, it is reasonable to expect capital will continue to flow into Bitcoin in 2025.
The following chart illustrates Bitcoin’s realized market cap since 2015. For those unfamiliar, Bitcoin’s realized market capitalization represents the cumulative USD value of each BTC at the last point it moved on-chain.
If the market follows historical patterns, then the $520 billion in fresh capital inflows to BTC could become a reality. This fresh capital injection could push BTC price to anywhere between $145,000 to $249,000, since the expansion in BTC’s realized capitalization has a more-than-proportional effect on the digital asset’s market value and price.
The report highlights institutional investors – particularly addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC – as the primary contributors to the market’s capital inflows. These addresses largely represent institutional-grade custodial services and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Notably, institutional participants increased their Bitcoin holdings by $127 billion in 2024, reflecting robust confidence in the cryptocurrency’s long-term potential. Additionally, the final year of Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is often associated with significant price surges for the asset.
All Eyes On US Federal Reserve
While many crypto analysts and market commentators maintain an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin in 2025, some express caution regarding the potential impact of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) delayed interest rate cuts amid inflation concerns and subdued retail investor participation.
For instance, a recent report by 10x Research noted that delayed interest rate cuts by the Fed could dampen BTC’s bullish momentum. Further, data from CME FedWatch indicates a 97.3% probability that the Fed will leave the rates untouched during the Federal Open Market Committee meeting later this month.
That said, asset manager Sygnum posits that BTC is likely to face demand shocks as more institutional investors embrace the emerging asset. At press time, BTC trades at $99,309, up 2.9% in the past 24 hours.