Bitcoin Reserve In The US: 65% Chance It Happens In 2025
2025-01-19
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With the current odds at 65%, the likelihood of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve being created in the United States has greatly soared. The impetus behind this development is the strong advocacy of President-elect Donald Trump for cryptocurrencies and the planned Bitcoin Act.
Proponents claim that this initiative might completely change the way the US views Bitcoin, therefore matching it with national security goals. The development of a crypto policy might depend critically in the coming months.
Anthony Pompliano, the CEO of Professional Capital Management, presented this development to the public. On Kalshi, an online prediction tool, the American investor saw that the chances of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve opening in the United States this year jumped to about 65%.
Trump Vision For Crypto Becoming Popular
One of the main elements driving the rising probability is Trump’s crypto-friendly stance. The core of the Bitcoin Act is the formation of a reserve of 1 million crypto units over a five-year period.
Advocates of this initiative assert that its objective is to enhance innovation and economic resilience. Trump’s willingness to embrace blockchain technology has reignited optimism among crypto enthusiasts, who perceive his presidency as an opportunity to integrate digital assets into federal strategies.
The odds that a strategic bitcoin reserve will be created this year is now at 65% on Kalshi. 
That is a 50% increase in the odds over the last few weeks. pic.twitter.com/5UhqyugnYP
Lobbying Intensifies For Executive Action
Cryptocurrency stakeholders are not anticipating the legislative process to unravel. There has been a significant increase in lobbying efforts to persuade the incoming administration to promptly issue an executive order.

Proponents maintain that this kind of reserve would not only enhance economic stability but also act as a statement of global leadership in the realm of digital money. They suggest that a presidential order might minimize bureaucratic delays, therefore accelerating the process of defining the United States’ stance in the crypto ecosystem.Strategic And Financial Motives
Strategic as well as financial considerations drive the need for an SBR. Those who support Bitcoin stress its ability to operate as a defense against traditional financial instability.
Moreover, the United States runs the risk of lagging behind other countries currently including cryptocurrencies into their national policies. They argue that the creation of a Bitcoin reserve serves not just to stay up with international rivals but also to safeguard the future.A Critical Year For Crypto Policy
As 2025 progresses, US policymakers face key decisions that could redefine the role of digital currencies. The success of the Bitcoin Act and similar proposals depends on embracing innovation.
The chance of creating a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve has never been higher. Whether achieved through new laws or executive action, this move could secure Bitcoin’s place in the economy and strengthen the nation’s future strategy.
Featured image from Emerce, chart from TradingView