Which way ADA: Break down or Sideway...s
2025-01-12
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ADA Pattern Analysis: Key Levels and Scenarios

$1.20 Rejected Before Reaching
Cardano (ADA) recently made an attempt to push higher but failed to reach the $1.20 resistance level, resulting in a rejection. This rejection highlights $1.20 as a key barrier for the bulls. A successful break above this level in the future will likely require significant momentum and increased volume to confirm a continuation of the uptrend.

Move Up Didn’t Hit the 80% Retrace → Flat/2x3 Ruled Out
The recent upward move failed to reach the 80% retracement level, effectively ruling out the possibility of a flat correction or a 2x3 pattern. These structures typically require a deeper retracement to remain valid. With these possibilities eliminated, attention shifts to other likely scenarios that fit the current price action.

Likely X of 2xZZ or B of a Triangle/1 of Diagonal
The failure to hit the 80% retracement brings a few potential patterns into focus:

X of a Double Zigzag (2xZZ): ADA could be forming a complex corrective structure, with the current move acting as another actionary wave to a most likely break of the W pivot. X waves can be anything, depending, but a ZigZag is the  most likely.

B of a Triangle: The price action may reflect a triangle formation, with ADA consolidating within a bounded structure before resolving either upward or downward.

1 of a Diagonal: The possibility of a Ending diagonal suggests the end of a trend.

$0.76 (BCC) Critical
The $0.76 level has emerged as the Bearish Count Confirmation/Conversion (BCC), a critical pivot for determining the pattern printing. Holding above $0.76 indicates that ADA is likely entering a sideways consolidation phase, building a base for the next significant move. A break below this level would signal potential weakness, invalidating some of the bullish scenarios and shifting the bias toward a more bearish outlook.

Conclusion
The $1.20 resistance rejection underscores the need for stronger momentum to break higher, while the $0.76 level serves as a key support. Observing price action at these levels will help determine whether ADA is in an X wave of a double zigzag, a B wave of a triangle, or the early stages of a diagonal.

Patience is key as these patterns develop. 

Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.