Solana - 15 min Elliott Wave Analysis
2024-11-17

Greetings, this is currently my primary scenario for Solana but I'll also upload a second analysis with a back-up scenario so we're prepared for whatever happens! :)

It looks as if Solana is forming an Elliott Wave Triangle on the lower timeframes which would finish a higher timeframe Wave 4. The most bullish scenario would be that Waves A-B-C-D are done and we are working on Wave E. We could go up right away if Wave E undershoots but I doubt that as we haven't seen any bullish reaction yet.

The optimal Target for Wave E is between 212.49 USD and 208.23 USD.
It is worth mentioning that we got plenty of FIB overlaps between 210 and 211 USD which additionally is the golden pocket. Below the golden pocket we also do have the weekly open at 210.07 and the daily open at 209.57 which could function as further support.

I wouldn't be surprised if the price goes to the 1.618 extension at 207.94 USD which does overlap with the 0.786 FIB of Wave C-D and the trendline of the triangle as the previous waves always hit the 0.886 or the 0.786 FIB from the previous waves.

If the triangle breaks down we'd be looking for a deeper Wave 4 or a Wave 2 which I'll discuss in detail in the following analysis. The Wave 4 support is between 200.34 USD and 172.52 USD and Wave 2 support is between 190.18 USD and 170.14 USD. The technical price target of the triangle would be around 185 USD. With a break below 160 we have to assume that something more bearish is going on.

Thanks for reading.

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