Hedera is about to leave its accumulation range and will fly!
2024-11-29

Most of you who follow me here for a while - if you're still around - know that we've bought the absolute bottom for Bitcoin and most altcoins after the FTX crash during nov/dec 2023. If you bought with me, congrats! If you didn't: there are still great opportunities!

One of them is Hedera (HBAR) - it's an U.S. based Layer 1 that uses hash graph technology. In short it's a new consensus system that's many many times more scalable than any blockchain - yes, also more scalable than Solana, Tron, Sui or any other project on the market. Next to that, they have fixed fees in USD, I.E. transaction fees are fixed at $0.0001. Making it the cheapest, most scalable (10,000 TPS) AND most energy efficient chain (they use about 50x less energy than BNB, the 2nd best on energy usage). 

If that wasn't enough, they have a governing council consisting of many top corporations such as IBM, Google, LG, Boeing, Dell, Deutsche Telekom, Chainlink and many more. Making them the Layer 1 of choice for institutional adoption. They also did a whole leadership update with a new CEO, president and attracted key business talents next to their academic key figures such as dr. Leemon Baird, now serving as CTO.

Fact is, there's no other layer 1 that uses hash graphs in this way and has such institutional adoption. There are many big projects on the way with I.E. the Linux Foundation, RWA tokenization, US state dept, NASA and institutional stable coins with central banks (I.E. cross boarder payments with the Signapore Central Bank). There's also rumors of collaborations with Cardano on a new voting system and XRP for institutional grade stablecoins. Many of the XRP and Cardano fanbase are allocating capital to HBAR. 

Lastly, Brian Brooks (part of the board of the HBAR Foundation) is one of the key candidates to take over from Gary Gensler at the SEC. One thing I anticipate is that the "new SEC" will drop the XRP case and give legal clarity for crypto. This means that institutions, governments and corporations can now actually build - instead of just buying bitcoin. Many of those will choose Hedera as their platform because of the predictable fees (low cost, high speed, low energy usage), any other chain uses crypto fees (I.E. ETH, SOL, TRON etc) and if those tokens pump, so do the fees - at Hedera, the price of HBAR doesn't matter for the fees. One other thing: Trump might cancel capital gains tax made with US based crypto companies, that's a huge catalyst by itself.

The chart is telling, Hedera was NOT on Coinbase, Kucoin or other big trading platforms apart from Binance. So this will be the first bull run its available across the board. We've pretty much follow the Wyckoff accumilation scheme 2 since the start of 2023 - when HBAR was listed on Coinbase. Current price action is very strong, especially if you check the long timeframe on the Binance chart. 

Once we break 16 / 17 cents and retest it as support, I expect a next move towards 30 and the ATH of 50 cents. Long term targets should exceed $1 and depending on adoption and the (likely) new regulatory framework. Personally I see Hedera as the Apple of crypto, lagging on adoption from the start but making it up on the long run. 

The current market cap of less than $6 billion and most dilution behind us with a $7.7 billion fully diluted valuation means there's so much more room to grow. For example: if Hedera has the current market cap of Solana, it would be trading at $3. Even if it does half from that, it does a 10x. Personally, I think a target between $2 and $3 is very reasonable.

In short, Hedera is in a really strong position to serve as a DLT for the future that will be preferred by the big corporations. Maybe memes are more popular now and Solana is one that benefits currently, but in tech, things never stay the same. Because if that was the case, (AOL) America Online would be part of the Mag 7 right now...

My investment thesis for crypto is to think ahead and not to be stuck in the current status quo. Hedera for the future.