Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?
2025-01-15
Category: None

Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through? 

Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback.

The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment?

 Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean 

Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior.

 
 January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal.
 January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy.
 January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal.
 January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness.
 January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term.
 

 What Does This Mean for Traders? 
Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow?

 Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels 

When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down:

 
 Support Levels: 
 94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory.

 Resistance Levels: 
 100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally.
 106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs.

 Powerful Support Levels: 
 76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections.
 67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong.
 60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over.

 Powerful Resistance Levels: 
 47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves.
 28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements.
 

 What Happens If Levels Break? 
In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next.

 Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels 

The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis.

 Core Concept: Trading with Rays 
Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level.

 Two Scenarios for Trading Rays 

 
 Optimistic Scenario:  Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish:
 First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level).
 Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high.
If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets.

 Pessimistic Scenario:  Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets:
 First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level).
 Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone.
In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase.
 

 Trade Opportunities Based on Rays 
 
 Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7.
 Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7.
 Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection.
 Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606.
 

 Key Insights for Traders 
The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward.

Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision?
 What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together 

If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy.

My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs.

Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible.

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