Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#1)
2025-02-11
Category: None

From today, I’ll be sharing daily BTC & Forex market breakdowns, covering key levels, potential trade setups, and insights into market psychology. These won’t just be standard analyses—I’ll also include the setups I personally take and why.
Let’s get straight into today’s breakdown. 🔥

 📌 BTC Daily & 4H Analysis
  
BTC has held the  $95K support  zone well, but volume remains extremely low. The doji candles forming on the daily indicate market indecision and lack of strong buying or selling pressure.

 📊 Key Takeaways:
 Order books are thin, meaning any slight increase in volume could trigger a sharp, volatile move.
I’m favoring long positions, as they align with the higher timeframe trend.

 Key Levels to Watch:
  
🎯  High-Risk Entry: $98,506  – Offers high R/R and a chance to hold the trade longer toward a potential breakout of $107K.
✅  Safer 4H Entry: $106K  – More conservative but ensures confirmation.
  Major Daily Breakout Trigger:  $108,660 – Expect high momentum, so it’s better to anticipate the move rather than react late.

 📌 DXY Analysis – Key to Forex Market Movement 
  
The Dollar Index (DXY) remains in a major uptrend, but momentum is weakening, making its movement more uncertain.

 📊 Key Levels:
 If 107.288 - 107.443 fails as support, expect a deeper correction.
Otherwise, DXY remains bullish, which could pressure risk assets.

 📌 GBP/CHF 4H – Breakout Play
  
GBP/CHF is currently ranging on the daily timeframe, but on 4H, we have a clear range box.

 📊 Potential Trade Setups:
 Long above 1.13121  🎯 – If resistance breaks, target higher levels.
 Short below 1.12326  🔻 – If support fails, expect further downside.
Bias: Since the previous fake breakdown failed, I see a bullish breakout as the more likely scenario.

 📌 JP225 – Channel Uptrend Setup
  
JP225 is trending within an ascending channel and recently faked a breakdown before reclaiming higher levels.

📊 Trade Plan:
 Breakout of 38,949   → Go long if confirmed.
  
 Major Risk Event: US Inflation Data (Wednesday) – Could bring major volatility, so trade with caution. 

📌 Market is in a decision-making phase—don’t FOMO, wait for confirmation.
📌 Wednesday’s CPI data could be a key volatility trigger.
📌 Stick to your trading plan & manage risk properly.

🔔 See you tomorrow for the next breakdown! Stay sharp.