TradeCityPro | FTM : Evaluating Parabolic Trends
2024-12-16
Category: None

👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! 
In this analysis, I’ll review another coin from our weekly watchlist, FTM (Fantom). Previously, I analyzed this coin, highlighting the breakout trigger at 0.8401. If you entered a position or bought in the spot market, you likely secured solid profits. Let’s re-evaluate this coin with fresh insights, analyzing it on the daily and 4-hour timeframes.

 📅 Daily Timeframe: Weekly Resistance Break with Trend Weakness 
On the daily timeframe, FTM is exhibiting a parabolic trend accompanied by a curved ascending trendline. So far, the price has reacted to this trendline three times, each time resuming its upward movement and ending corrections.

📈 In the last leg of the uptrend, after breaking the 0.7707 resistance, the price surged to the weekly resistance zone at 1.1116. The price even stabilized above this level; however, the trend is not in an ideal state.

🔍 Following the breakout of 1.1116, candle sizes have gradually shrunk, corrections have deepened, and volume has been declining. Additionally, the RSI is showing signs of a divergence that hasn’t yet materialized but could influence the chart upon a breakdown below 55.74 on the RSI.

🔑 A notable aspect of sharp trends and pre-pump movements is their inherent trend weakness and potential for reversals. Interestingly, when trend weakness peaks, the trend often resumes sharply with large candles, nullifying all indicators of weakness and aligning them to support the trend.

🔼 If the trend continues, the first resistance level, a minor resistance, is at 1.6218. If the price stabilizes above this zone, the next resistance lies at 3.2506, the strongest resistance for FTM. This zone is near the ATH and represents a major supply area.

📉 In case of a correction, the first immediate support is the curved trendline, which the price may react to. If this trendline breaks, the next levels are 1.1116 and 0.7707. A stabilization below 0.7707 would invalidate the bullish scenario, and the price could target supports at 0.5349 and possibly 0.2928.

 ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Moving Within an Ascending Channel 
On the 4-hour timeframe, the price is moving within an ascending channel and is currently interacting with the channel's midline. So far, the channel's bottom has provided strong support. As long as the price remains within this channel, no sharp movements are expected.

 🚀 If the channel breaks upward, two scenarios may occur: 
Trend Exhaustion: The price could re-enter the channel, leading to a loss of bullish momentum and increasing the likelihood of breaking the channel downward.
Parabolic Continuation: The price could break the channel with high momentum and large candles, initiating a new parabolic uptrend.
The next static resistance is at 1.636, a suitable futures trigger level. However, the price has not reacted to this zone yet, so it’s safer to seek long positions based on Dow Theory and channel breakouts.

🔽 For short positions, I would personally wait for a channel breakdown and possibly a break below 1.0957, although this would be a high-risk setup. Instead, I prefer to wait for a clear trend reversal on the High Wave Cycle or Medium Wave Cycle before entering.



 📝 Final Thoughts

This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
 
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