Bitcoin Price Action: Key Supports, Resistances & Market Trends
2025-02-15
Category: None

Which Timeframe is Most Relevant for Taking a Position? 

 Short Term (2H / 4H) :
	•	Signals react quickly to breakouts at  95k or 98k .
	•	The  4H HPI is already in the overbought zone (>90) , indicating caution when buying a direct breakout, as a bull trap is possible.

 Medium Timeframe (8H / 12H) :
	•	The  ISPD and Mason’s Line histograms  are in the  “moderate confidence” zone (0.5–0.7) , reflecting an uptrend without excessive euphoria.
	•	This timeframe offers a  good balance  to monitor either a  breakout above 98k  or a potential  pullback to 95k  as a buying opportunity.

 Long Term (1D) :
	•	 ISPD ~0.80 / Satisfaction ~0.59 , indicating a relatively neutral-positive outlook.
	•	The  daily timeframe confirms strong support around 79–80k , though this is far from the current price.

 Conclusion :
	•	The  8H or 12H timeframe  provides the  best balance  for watching either a  support retest at 95k  or a  strong breakout above 98–99k  before entering a position.

 Key Support & Resistance Levels 

 Major Supports :
	1.	 95,900–96,000 USDT :
	•	Aligns with the  Auto LoAVWAP (from 4H/2H)  and significant liquidation clusters.
	•	Below this, the next major support is  92,500–93,000 USDT .
	2.	 Deeper Support (in case of a significant correction) :
	•	 90,000 USDT 
	•	 79,000–80,000 USDT  on the  daily timeframe .

 Major Resistances :
	1.	 98,300–99,000 USDT :
	•	A key zone for  short stop executions  and  AVWAP High  on lower timeframes.
	2.	 101,800–103,400 USDT :
	•	Significant resistance based on  4H / 1D Auto AVWAP High .
	3.	 104–105,000 USDT :
	•	Beyond this level,  BTC would be testing the upper range of a potential daily Bollinger channel .

 Final Recommendations & Summary 

 Current Market Conditions :
	•	The market is  technically bullish in the medium term  ( ISPD > 0.5, RSI > 50, Mason’s Line > SMA ).
	•	 However, caution is needed  as:
	•	The  4H HPI is in the overbought zone .
	•	 ETF outflows  are increasing.
	•	 Significant liquidation clusters exist around 95k and 98k .

 Preferred Scenario :
	•	 Wait for one of two confirmations: 
	1.	A  pullback to ~95k , with a  buy setup  if a  positive divergence  forms on  HPI / RSI .
	2.	A  confirmed breakout above 98–99k  with strong volume, signaling a potential  long trade for the short to medium term .
	•	 On a broader horizon (8H–12H–1D) , the market may still form a  corrective structure (A-B-C), pushing towards 104k before dropping again .
	•	 Beware of a potential “false breakout” if BTC rises too quickly without a retracement .

 Operational Conclusion :
	•	The  8H or 12H timeframe  remains the best for trading.
	•	 As long as BTC oscillates between 95k (support) and 98–99k (resistance), avoid overexposure .
	•	A  confirmed breakout above 99–100k  could lead to an  acceleration toward 102–104k , but be cautious of a  fake breakout .
	•	If BTC  drops below 95k , it could trigger long liquidations, pushing the price toward  92k or even 90k , where additional supports exist.

 Final Note :
	•	 The overall trend remains bullish , but  short- to medium-term caution  is advised.
	•	 ETF flows, heatmaps, and open interest  indicate that the market remains highly  sensitive to stop hunts in the 95–100k zone .

 Trade wisely and manage risk carefully!