Solana, the best and the worse cases
2024-09-22

Toward November 2023 #Solana exploded from ~$20 all the way to ~$210 in March 2024

Using simple Fib #retracement we should have come back to about $115 ... and we did, on August 2024

So we are now in a bullish descending triangle.

 Best case :

Green line, we keep going up over the next 2 or 3 weeks and break out past $170 in the middle of next month.

There is a strong area of #resistance around $165 so breaking past that would be quite #bullish.

 Likely case :

Blue line, we keep going up over the next 2 weeks and we bounce back at the area of resistance, ~$165 and we go back down to the support around $130 and we then go back up to eventually breakout sometimes next year.

 Worse case :

Red line, again, we keep going up over the next 2 weeks and we bounce back at the area of resistance, ~$165 and we go back down ... but we break past $130 and we go back down to $120, (0.5 fib retracement).

 Plan 

Enter: Now
SL: $129
Target: anything past $500 (remember this is weekly chart, not 5 minutes)

Look out for trend reversal around $162 ... and close your trade if we break trend as it would be the likely case.

Note that FTX will be refunding some/all of the holders toward the beginning of October, but they will be refunded in US Dollar, so they are very likely to use their money to buy back Crypto, (they were traders afterall and they are well aware of the upcoming bull market).
