Next Volatility Period:Around January 22nd - Around January 25th
2025-01-16
Category: None


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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)

It broke through the important support and resistance area of ​​3265.0-3321.30.

The key is whether it can receive support at the 3438.16 point in order to turn into a short-term uptrend.

It did not touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, but it touched and rose near 2895.47, so if the price fails to maintain above 3438.16 this time, it is likely to fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.

Therefore, the point of interest is which direction it deviates from the 3265.0-3438.16 section.

If it shows a short-term uptrend, the 3831.12-3996.22 section is likely to act as resistance.

This is because the 3831.12-3996.22 section corresponds to the high point boundary section.

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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.

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- ​​Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.

(BTCUSD 12M chart)

Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an uptrend following a pattern since 2015.

In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.

Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.

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(LOG chart)

Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.

Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.

Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.

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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.

In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.

The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.

Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.

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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.

How to view and respond to this is up to you.

When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.

However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.

This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.

Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.

1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15

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