WYCKOFF Distribution? last phase
2025-01-09
Category: None

Are we headed in for SOW in phase D?

The big guys hype on top and selling, then break some news and price drops hard.

Quantum computing,  option max pain by Deribit, JPOW 4 -> 2 ratecuts, Stong labor market data, silk road governrment sell news today

the selloffs are so massive, and long term hodlers are selling at 100k (looks like distribution).

one time to 90k area, then a last push up before we break down (might be bottom around here but big news tomorrow for a last push down)

Yields on governments bonds are rising, so big guys TP and go to yields and cash, inflation on the rise, strong us labor market, less rate cuts

Donald might want the market crash to come in the start of his term, so he can blame DEMS and get the DOGE in place, then implement, and second half turn the economy to be strong, no wars, DOGE is working, and he walks off as a winner.

This for the WYCKOFF Distribution to be complete


Reason for this to fail:

-Very strong dollar and Donald wants it lower to increase us export and build business back up
-Governments have revisioned the numbers a lot, so the resession might already be here.
-Donald gets to office 20. jan and he has crypto friendly stab (might already be priced in)
-Deribit have MAX PAIN for Options around 94-100k untill 28.02.2025 ( on todays data)
-We might still be in a range.

But 28.03.2025 Max Pain of 7.7B is at 80 K. Changing data every day, but a pattern is made.