Bitcoin rally at risk?
2024-10-14

The Bitcoin rally has been facing trouble of late as it’s been struggling to move above $66k. However, the last 24 hours showed better signs. As per CoinMarketCap, the coin’s price increased by more than 1.5%. At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $63,896.05.

The latest price hike has pushed 48.9 million BTC addresses in profit, which accounted for 91% of the total number of BTC addresses. But BTC’s troubles are not over yet, as there were chances of the Bitcoin rally ending.

Ali, a popular crypto analyst, posted a tweet revealing an interesting development. As per the tweet, BTC’s price was moving inside a channel.

The bad news was that the coin had already faced rejection three times when it approached the resistance of the pattern. Therefore, it indicated that this recently gained bullish momentum might not last. So, AMBCrypto planned to dig deeper. 

As per Glassnode’s data, a metric suggested a halt to the Bitcoin rally. We found that the king coin’s NVT ratio increased. Whenever the metric rises, it indicates that an asset is overvalued, hinting at a price correction. 

The coin's long/short ratio also dropped. This meant that there were more short positions in the market than long positions. A rise in the number of short positions can be interpreted as a bearish signal.

However, not everything was in the bears’ favor. For example, BTC’s exchange reserve was dropping, according to CryptoQuant. A decline in this metric means that buying pressure was rising, which often results in price hikes. 

On the chart, the technical indicators looked pretty bearish. BTC’s MACD displayed a bearish advantage in the market. 

Additionally, the coin’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) also registered a downtick, hinting at a price drop. If that happens, then the Bitcoin rally might end and the coin could drop to $60k again.

Nonetheless, in case of a continued price rise, BTC might test its resistance at $65.4k again. 