TradeCityPro | ARBUSDT The Most Important Support of Its Life
2025-02-05
Category: None

👋  Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! 
Let's analyze and review one of our important Layer 2 projects, which is currently at one of its most critical support levels, and update our previous analysis.

🌐  Overview Bitcoin 

As always, before starting our analysis, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the one-hour timeframe. We have settled down a bit compared to yesterday's fluctuations, but it’s still not a great time to open futures positions because any news can trigger stop-losses.

However, if you insist on opening a position, the breakout of 100,026 wouldn’t be a bad entry, but you must reduce your risk. These days, it’s better to be an observer in futures trading. On the other hand, Bitcoin dominance is also crucial with this level’s breakout—if it turns green, you can open a position; otherwise, it’s better to switch to an altcoin or not open any position at all.


🕵️‍♂️  Previous Analysis 

In our previous Arbitrum analysis, we had a more bullish outlook and were waiting for a breakout of 0.9689 on the four-hour timeframe to open a long position. This breakout happened, and we experienced a clean move up to the 1.2364 resistance level.


📊  Weekly Timeframe 

On the weekly timeframe, we clearly see a rejection from the 1.1887 resistance, which was previously tested as a pullback. Now, this level has become even more significant, and after rejection, we reached the critical level of 0.4792.

If you had bought earlier after the breakout of 0.6487, taking profit at 1.1887 was very logical—either securing profits or withdrawing your initial capital. If you didn’t take these actions, you likely hit your stop-loss by now. However, if you managed your capital properly and only lost a maximum of 2% of your funds, then nothing major has happened. Taking profit at 1.1887 was the smart move.

This weekly candle is one of the most volatile we’ve seen recently for ARB, dropping 30% in a single day before recovering. If it closes green or even slightly higher with better volume, it could act as an entry trigger for those whose strategy aligns with it. However, I personally prefer to see some ranging first and enter on a different timeframe to follow the movement.


📈  Daily Timeframe 

Yesterday’s daily candle was truly impressive and showed the strength of buyers. Under normal market conditions, I would have bought with this candle, anticipating the start of an uptrend.

However, this candle was mainly driven by emotions and FOMO, and many traders still don’t fully grasp the consequences of their decisions—they might realize it in the coming days. That’s why this candle doesn’t convince me, and I’m not buying based on it.

Now, you might think, “What if this is the best entry point?” Personally, I would be much happier if price makes a sharp move up to 0.6487 with momentum—this would provide a more confident entry with a tighter stop-loss. In that scenario, both positions would reach their risk-to-reward targets up to 0.9178, but my entry would be more secure, and I could allocate more capital.

If the daily candle closes below 0.4792 and RSI enters the oversold zone, ARB’s situation will worsen significantly, potentially forming new lows. That wouldn’t be good and could lead to deeper corrections.


📝  Final Thoughts 

Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!

This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.

Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️