Daily XRP - Crash or Consolidation
2024-12-18
Category: None

Taking a look at the daily XRP chart we can see that XRP remains above the long term upper channel resistance where it remains heavily in the over bought territory on the monthly time frame. Take a look at our Monthly XRP chart idea below for more on this.

Back to the daily XRP chart, we can see that XRP has been forming lower highs and lower lows, a classic sign of a the bulls failing and the bears beginning to take over.

We can see that the Fibonacci Retracement, drawn from the most recent high - the all time high price of 2.904, down to the most recent low of 1.908 (which also happens to be inline with the long term channels upper resistance level) has seen a retracement and rejection of the 0.764 Fib which sits at 2.6678. From here, as per the Fibonacci's expectations we would presume that the first target would be the -0.272, or any of the other Fibonacci extension levels which line up with relevant support levels - highlighted by the blue box.

Monthly XRP Analysis:
  

If we look at the above Monthly XRP chart we can see that for the month of December 2024 the RSI is still in overbought territory, after reaching the highest "over bought" RSI reading in XRP's entire history. Usually, after such an overbought month, XRP finds its way back down heavily before consolidating for a number of months within a tight range.

Therefore we would expect to see XRP fall heavily, back within the Long Term Channels range. However, it is possible that XRP could continue with this lower high, lower low formation on the daily whilst remaining outside of the Upper Channels Resistance level. It would have to do this for the period of December, and perhaps January and February too before it could potentially set another All Time High - this is because we need to allow XRP either the time for its RSI to come back within a neutral level, or XRP will force its way back into this neutral zone and thus bring it back into the long term channels range. 

Right now, it can be bought upon retests of the upper channel resistance (with a very tight stop) and sold/ shorted upon the formation of a new lower high - if attempting to scalp theses movements. Personally, we would recommended waiting to see whether or not XRP wants to come back within the channels range over the next couple of months and if so, look for a much lower long entry once it comes back into range.