Next Volatility Period: Around December 27
2024-12-05


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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)

This volatility period has ended.

The key is whether it can rise above the BW(100) indicator point of 98892.0.

If not, if it falls, the point to watch is whether it can be supported near the HA-High indicator point of 95904.28.

The next volatility period is around December 27.

By now, we should look at the direction in which the HA-High indicator box range, 91792.14-98871.80, has deviated.

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(1W chart)

What is important to check this month is how the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart is initialized.

That is, what movement does it show when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought range and becomes StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.

Since the StochRSI EMA indicator has never touched the 100 point so far, the downward pressure will increase as it gets closer to the 100 point.

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(BTC.D 1D chart)

If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to fall, it is expected that the altcoin bull market will begin.

It seems that some altcoins will start to pump in a circular manner.

Therefore, if the altcoin I bought is rising slowly or rather falling, do not switch to another altcoin and wait, and the pumping will begin in order.

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(USDT.D 1M chart)

This altcoin bull market is expected to continue until the USDT dominance falls to around 2.84.

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Have a good time.
Thank you.

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- ​​Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.

(BTCUSD 12M chart)

Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.

In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.

Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.

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(LOG chart)

Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.

Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.

Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.

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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.

That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.

The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.

Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.

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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.

It is up to you how to view and respond to it.

Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.

However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.

The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.

Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.

1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15

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