BTC/USDT: Key Levels and Stratfor Short- and Long-Term Trader
2025-01-27
Category: None

Which Timeframe is Most Relevant for Taking a Position? 
	•	For a more “trader”-oriented and reactive entry point, oversold signals on 2H/4H charts seem attractive:
	•	Mason’s Satisfaction is very low on 2H (~0.03), RSI around 38, etc. → A local rebound is likely.
	•	However, this requires a strict stop below the critical 89–90k zone in case of a deeper market drop.
	•	For a more “swing/position” investor, the 12H or 1D charts show that the general trend remains bullish (short MA > long MA), though the market is in a correction. Gradual buying on pullbacks, as long as $89,000 holds, remains plausible.

 Key Support and Resistance Levels 
	•	Major Support: $89,000–$90,000 (a critical pivot zone).
	•	Other Supports (based on charts and MAs):
	•	~$97,000–$98,000 (intermediate support zone visible on OI LIQMAP / 4H / Auto AVWAP Low ~99–101k).
	•	$81,000–$82,000 (lower support corresponding to the long-term MA on the daily chart).
	•	Resistances:
	•	$100,000–$101,000 (short-term, e.g., Short-Term MA 2H/4H and AVWAP 2H).
	•	$106,000–$107,000 (Auto AVWAP High on daily/12H).
	•	Above that, the last peak at ~$108,000–$110,000.

 Final Recommendations 

1. Short Term (2H / 4H)
	•	Indicators (low RSI, Mason’s Satisfaction near zero, Koncorde showing retail distribution) suggest a technical rebound is possible.
	•	However, the underlying trend in these timeframes is temporarily “down,” so it is essential to monitor whether the price reclaims the $100k–$101k zone.
	•	A protective stop below  GETTEX:89K  is recommended for any long positions.

2. Medium/Long Term (12H / Daily)
	•	Despite the recent correction, the overall medium-term trend remains bullish. The market is consolidating after a strong rise.
	•	As long as $89,000 holds, the bullish “running flat” scenario remains the most likely.
	•	Some targets even suggest $120,000–$150,000.
	•	Indicators such as ISPD Div Pro on daily/12H remain high (~0.8), suggesting potential additional volatility.
	•	For positional investors, gradual buying during pullbacks in the $90k–$95k range seems reasonable, always keeping a close eye on the critical  GETTEX:89K  level.

3. Summary
	•	The current correction is visible on the 2H/4H charts, with clear oversold signals.
	•	 GETTEX:89K  remains the vital pivot: breaking below it could extend the drop to $77k–$80k.
	•	Conversely, if the market holds above  GETTEX:89K , a bullish move toward $110k, or even $120k–$150k, remains a valid medium-term scenario.

 Conclusion 

There is alignment between:
	•	Custom indicators (ISPD Div Pro, Mason’s Line, HPI, etc.) showing short-term oversold conditions (2H/4H) within a still bullish framework (recent overheating on 12H/1D charts, followed by a healthy correction).
	•	Analysis of key levels emphasizing the critical importance of  GETTEX:89K  as a pivot, with a bullish bias as long as it holds.

For a short-term trade, the 2H or 4H timeframe appears “interesting” due to oversold conditions. For a broader swing trade, gradual accumulation is reasonable as long as the price remains above  GETTEX:89K –$90k. Major short- to medium-term resistance levels are at $101k and $106k–$108k. If momentum strengthens, higher targets in the $120k–$150k range become plausible.