BTCUSDT | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #4
2025-02-13
Category: None

👋 Welcome !
Today, I'll be conducting a deep analysis of Bitcoin, often referred to as the king of crypto due to its significant market dominance and cap. We'll be exploring suitable futures triggers for the New York session and examining the effects of the recently released U.S. inflation rates, which have favored the U.S. dollar.

⏳ Hourly Time Frame
As you can see, the long trigger we set yesterday was activated and has already yielded profits. The price approached our target resistance at 98482 but is currently being rejected from this area and is moving back down towards the support level at 95108.

🔍 This 95108 trigger remains robust, and if this area breaks, we can open a position. This support was effective yesterday, as you might have noticed—even though the news favored the U.S. dollar, this support prevented further price decline. Therefore, a break below this could likely initiate the next bearish leg for Bitcoin, with the first short position target at 92802.

📊 Excluding the news release time, market volume has generally been ranging and is progressively decreasing, indicating that a significant move is imminent. For long positions, the 98482 trigger remains suitable. The second long trigger is at 99946, with the primary trend-changing trigger still firmly at 101819.

👑 BTC.D Analysis
As I mentioned yesterday, I observed significant bearish momentum in the BTC.D chart, with the 61.10 support now breached. The next nearest support for Bitcoin dominance is at 59.84.

👀 With Bitcoin's dominance declining, if the market moves upwards, the Total2 triggers I will identify could be more suitable than the long triggers for Bitcoin itself. However, if this breach proves to be a fakeout and dominance returns to its box and moves towards its upper boundary, it could inject strong bullish momentum into Bitcoin's dominance, making a long position in Bitcoin more favorable.

✅ If the market falls and Bitcoin's dominance continues to decrease, Bitcoin positions will likely be more profitable. Conversely, if Bitcoin's dominance rises, altcoins will drop more than Bitcoin.

📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, you can see that despite the decline in Bitcoin's dominance, Total2 has maintained its position better than Bitcoin itself. Notice that Bitcoin has reached its primary support, whereas Total2 has only retracted from a recent high at 1.24.

✨ The ceiling of 1.24 remains a suitable trigger for long positions, though it should be approached as a scalp to a target of 1.28. The main breakout trigger is the breach of 1.28, which would confirm a trend change. For short positions, the risky position at 1.19 and the main position at 1.16 remain valid, targeting 1.1.

📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let’s touch on USDT.D. This index could not maintain its position above its resistance, effectively causing the entire market to hold strong at support levels yesterday, contributing to the rejection of USDT.D from this area.

💥 Our triggers on USDT.D haven't changed significantly. For long positions, breaking 4.44 would be suitable as it would decrease Tether's dominance and potentially favor a market downturn; for short positions in a falling market, 4.62 is optimal, increasing Tether's dominance and potentially leading to a market decline.

❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.

Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
