Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#2)
2025-02-12
Category: None

Today’s market saw extreme volatility following the USD CPI data release. Inflation appears to be rising due to Trump’s recent tariff actions on countries like Canada, Mexico, and China, adding further pressure to markets. This led to a major sell-off in crypto and stocks, while pairs like USD/JPY surged.

 📉 BTC 4H Analysis – Holding Support or Breaking Down?
  
BTC dropped hard to $94K after the CPI release but found some rejection and is now still holding above the 4H support at $95K.

 📊 Potential Scenarios:
 1️⃣ If BTC stabilizes above $95K, we could see a breakout above $98,500, triggering long setups.
2️⃣ If $95K fails, expect a test of lower supports at  GETTEX:92K  and possibly $85K if rate cuts don’t continue.

 📌 Recommendation: Stay cautious and wait for clear structure before entering. 

 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Bullish Recovery After Support Test
  
Gold remains in a major uptrend and recently completed a price correction to the $2,884 support zone. After a fake breakout, it is now recovering and pushing higher.

 📊 Trade Idea:
 ✅ Long trigger above $2,910 for confirmation.
✅ More aggressive entry: Buy early if we see higher highs forming.

 ⚪ XAG/USD (Silver) – Momentum Building for a Breakout
  
Silver has been forming an accelerating uptrend curve, indicating increasing bullish momentum. This suggests the potential for high R/R trades if we catch the right move.

📊 Key Trade Setup:
✅ Breakout above $32.19 = Long Entry.
✅ Aggressive traders: Enter before breakout with stop-loss below the trendline for tighter risk management.

 📌 GBP/CHF Update – Holding for Bigger Move
  
📊 Our GBP/CHF long position triggered, but we didn’t enter just for a small range move—the goal is to catch a breakout of the daily range for at least R/R 2.

✅ Stop-loss remains below the 4H range bottom.
✅ Holding position unless market structure shifts.

Final Thoughts &  Risk Management 
⚠ Markets are volatile after CPI—don’t FOMO.
⚠ Keep stop-losses tight & follow structure.
⚠ See you tomorrow with another breakdown!

📌 If you missed yesterday’s analysis, go check it out for better context!

⚠  Disclaimer : These trade setups are based on  my personal analysis  and are  not financial advice . If you  don’t have a solid risk management pla n, these triggers may  not be suitable for you . Always do your own research  (DYOR)  and  trade at your own risk.  💡





