The number of UK homes worth over £1m set to triple by 2030

Santander’s recent analysis of data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the Office for Budget Responsibility and the Land Registry, found that the average cost of a London property will rise from £534,000 to £1.27m by 2030. Meanwhile, the average price of a property elsewhere in the UK is expected to double from £283,565 to £557,444 by 2030. Less than 1% of £1m properties are predicted to be in areas such as the North East, North West, East Midlands, Wales and Scotland. Comparatively, just 0.28% of homes in Northern Ireland will be worth over £1m, thereby illustrating the growing inequality of house prices across the UK. 

The number of UK homes worth at least £1m will more than triple by 2030, according to a report from Santander Mortgages.

Fewer than half a million homes in the UK are currently valued at this price. This is set to rise to over 1.6 million properties in the next 15 years, according to the report Property Millionaires: The Growing Housing Divide.

The largest regional increase will be seen in London, with one in four properties expected to reach the million mark by 2030, rising to 70% in two London boroughs.

Some 7% of homes in the South East will see prices rising to this mark, but less than 1% will cost £1m or more in the North East, Yorkshire and Humber, the North West, Scotland and the East Midlands.

Professor Paul Cheshire, LSE professor of economic geography and co-author of the report, commented: “By 2030 the divide between housing haves at the top and the have-nots at the bottom will be even wider than it is now. More owners will enjoy millionaire status, as homes that many would consider modest fetch seven figure prices in the most sought-after areas.”

Rising prices and declining affordability

The UK property price, which currently stands at £283,565 is expected to increase by 97% to £557,444 by 2030.

Affordability will also decline, as the average property price is expected to rise to 9.7 times the average income, a steep increase from today’s figure of 7.9 times. In London, prices will grow from the current 11.5 times incomes to 16.5 in the next 15 years.

Support, timing and financial planning important



Miguel Sard, managing director of mortgages, Santander UK said: “Property price inflation will tip many existing homeowners into the million pound price bracket but could also price some aspiring buyers out of the market if they don’t have the right support. The current property market is buoyant and the deals available to new and existing owners are extremely competitive, so those wishing to buy or move shouldn’t be put off.

“Regardless of the price point a buyer is considering, our advice remains the same; do your research, find a mortgage provider that offers competitive rates and a range of products to ensure that the right deal is secured, and above all, ensure the repayments are affordable,” he said.

Cheshire added: “Property price inflation is beneficial for existing owners who will see their net-wealth increase, but it will make entering the market more difficult still for new buyers, further highlighting the importance of the right timing, advice, support and financial planning; and not just having a mum and dad who bought a house but a grandparent too.”