***TASK*** the task is to summarize an input biomedical literature in six sentences 
    ***INPUT*** the input is a biomedical literature 
    ***OUTPUT*** the output is the summary of an input biomedical literature in six sentences 
    ***DOCUMENTATION*** 
    ***EXAMPLES*** 
    Input: Prognosis studies are investigations of future events or the evaluation of associations between risk factors and health outcomes in population s of patients ( 1 ) . The results of such studies improve our underst and ing of the clinical course of a disease and assist clinicians in making informed decisions about how best to manage patients . Prognostic research also informs the design of intervention studies by helping define subgroups of patients who may benefit from a new treatment and by providing necessary information about the natural history of a disorder ( 2 ) . There has recently been a rapid increase in the use of systematic review methods to synthesize the evidence on research questions related to prognosis . It is essential that investigators conducting systematic review s thoroughly appraise the method ologic quality of included studies to be confident that a study 's design , conduct , analysis , and interpretation have adequately reduced the opportunity for bias ( 3 , 4 ) . Caution is warranted , however , because inclusion of method ologically weak studies can threaten the internal validity of a systematic review ( 4 ) . This follows abundant empirical evidence that inadequate attention to biases can cause invalid results and inferences ( 5 - 9 ) . However , there is limited consensus on how to appraise the quality of prognosis studies ( 1 ) . A useful framework to assess bias in such studies follows the basic principles of epidemiologic research ( 10 , 11 ) . We focus on 6 areas of potential bias : study participation , study attrition , prognostic factor measurement , confounding measurement and account , outcome measurement , and analysis . The main objectives of our review of review s are to describe methods used to assess the quality of prognosis studies and to describe how well current practice s assess potential biases . Our secondary objective is to develop recommendations to guide future quality appraisal , both within single studies of prognostic factors and within systematic review s of the evidence . We hope this work facilitates future discussion and research on biases in prognosis studies and systematic review s. Methods Literature Search and Study Selection We identified systematic review s of prognosis studies by search ing MEDLINE ( 1966 to October 2005 ) using the search strategy recommended by McKibbon and colleagues ( 12 ) . This strategy combines broad search terms for systematic review s ( systematic review .mp ; meta- analysis .mp ) and a sensitive search strategy for prognosis studies ( cohort , incidence , mortality , follow-up studies , prognos * , predict * , or course ) . We also search ed the reference lists of included review s and method ologic papers to identify other relevant publications . We restricted our search to English- language publications . One review er conducted the search and selected the studies . Systematic review s , defined as review s of published studies with a comprehensive search and systematic selection , were included if they assessed the method ologic quality of the included studies by using 1 or more explicit criteria . We excluded studies if they were meta-analyses of independent patient data only , if their primary goal was to investigate the effectiveness of an intervention or specific diagnostic or screening tests , or if they included studies that were not done on humans . Data Extraction and Synthesis Individual items included in the quality assessment of the systematic review s were recorded as they were reported in the publication ( that is , the information that would be available to readers and future review ers ) . We review ed journal Web sites and contacted the authors of the systematic review s for additional information when authors made such an offer in their original papers . When review s assessed different study design s by using different sets of quality items , we extracted only those items used to assess cohort studies . We constructed a comprehensive list of distinct items that the review s used to assess the quality of their included studies . The full text of each review was screened . All items used by the review authors to assess the quality of studies were extracted into a computerized spreadsheet by 1 review er . Two experienced review ers , a clinical epidemiologist and an epidemiologist , independently synthesized the quality items extracted from the prognosis review s to determine how well the systematic review s assessed potential biases . We did this in 3 steps : 1 ) identified distinct concepts or domains addressed by the quality items ; 2 ) grouped each extracted quality item into the appropriate domain or domains ; and 3 ) identified the domains necessary to assess potential biases in prognosis studies . We then used this information to assess how well the review s ' quality assessment included items from the domains necessary to assess potential biases . After completing each of the first 3 steps , the review ers met to attempt to reach a consensus . The consensus process involved each review er presenting his or her observations and results , followed by discussion and debate . A third review er was available in cases of persistent disagreement or uncertainty . In the first step , all domains addressed by the quality items were identified . The first review er iteratively and progressively defined the domains as items were extracted from the included review s. The second review er defined domains from a r and om list of all extracted quality items . Limited guidance was provided to the review ers so that their assessment s and definitions of domains would be independent . The review ers agreed on a final set of domains that adequately and completely defined all of the extracted items . In the second step , review ers independently grouped each extracted item into the appropriate domains . Review ers considered each extracted item by asking , What is each particular quality item addressing ? or What are the review 's authors getting at with the particular quality assessment item ? . Items were grouped into the domain or domains that best represented the concepts being addressed . For example , the extracted items at least 80 % of the group originally identified was located for follow-up and follow-up was sufficiently complete or does n't jeopardize validity were each independently classified by both review ers as assessing the domain completeness of follow-up adequate , whereas the extracted item quantification and description of all subjects lost to follow-up was classified as assessing the domain completeness of follow-up described . In the third step , we identified the domains necessary to assess potential biases . Each review er considered the ability of the identified domains to adequately address , at least in part , 1 of the following 6 potential biases : 1 ) study participation , 2 ) study attrition , 3 ) prognostic factor measurement , 4 ) confounding measurement and account , 5 ) outcome measurement , and 6 ) analysis . Domains were considered to adequately address part of the framework if information garnered from that domain would inform the assessment of potential bias . For example , both review ers judged that the identified domain study population represents source population or population of interest assessed potential bias in a prognosis study , whereas the domain research question definition did not , although the latter is an important consideration in assessing the inclusion of studies in a systematic review . Finally , on the basis of our previous ratings , we looked at whether each review included items from the domains necessary to assess the 6 potential biases . We calculated the frequency of systematic review s by assessing each potential bias and the number of review s that adequately assessed bias overall . From this systematic synthesis , we developed recommendations for improving quality appraisal in future systematic review s of prognosis studies . We used Microsoft Access and Excel 2002 ( Microsoft Corp. , Redmond , Washington ) for data management and SAS for Windows , version 9.1 ( SAS Institute , Inc. , Cary , North Carolina ) for descriptive statistics . Role of the Funding Sources The funding sources , the Canadian Institutes of Health Research , the Canadian Chiropractic Research Foundation , the Ontario Chiropractic Association , and the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long Term Care , did not have a role in the collection , analysis , or interpretation of the data or in the decision to su bmi t the manuscript for publication . Results We identified 1384 potentially relevant articles . Figure 1 shows a flow chart of studies that were included and excluded . Figure 2 shows the number of review s identified by year of publication . We excluded 131 systematic review s of prognosis studies that did not seem to include any quality assessment of the included studies ; this represented 44 % of prognosis review s. We included 163 review s of prognosis studies in our analysis ( 13 - 175 ) . The most common topics were cancer ( 15 % ) , musculoskeletal disorders and rheumatology ( 13 % ) , cardiovascular ( 10 % ) , neurology ( 10 % ) , and obstetrics ( 10 % ) . Other review s included a wide range of health and health care topics . Sixty-three percent of the review s investigated the association between a specific prognostic factor and a particular outcome ; the remainder investigated multiple prognostic factors or models . The number of primary studies included in each systematic review ranged from 3 to 167 ( median , 18 [ interquartile range , 12 to 31 ] ) . A complete description of the included review s is available from the authors on request . Figure 1 . Flow diagram of inclusion and exclusion criteria of systematic review s. Figure 2 . Number of systematic review s of prognosis studies identified over time . Quality Items One hundred fifty-three review s provided adequate detail to allow extraction of quality items . Eight hundred eighty-two distinct quality items were extracted from the review s. Most review s developed their own set of quality items , with only a few applying criteria from previous review s. Most quality items Part of a series of studies into early detection in adolescent suicide , this study investigated relationships between parenting style and suicidal thoughts , acts and depression . Students ( mean age 15 years ) from 4 r and omly chosen high schools completed self‐report question naires containing the Parental Bonding Instrument ( PBI ) and the Youth Self Report , which provided information about suicide ideation , deliberate self‐harm and depression . Significant differences for mean scores on the PBI subscales were noted between cases and noncases of depression , suicidal thoughts and deliberate self‐harm . Assignment by adolescents of their parents to the “ affectionless control ” quadrant of the PBI doubles the relative risk for suicidal thoughts , increases the relative risk for deliberate self‐harm 3‐fold and increases the relative risk for depression 5‐fold . It seems that the PBI may play a role in identification of vulnerable adolescents ; further , it both eluci date s aspects of adolescent‐parent interaction and points toward areas for intervention with at‐risk adolescents . We recommend the use of the PBI in early detection studies of adolescent suicide BACKGROUND Traditional and largely qualitative review s of evidence are now giving way to much more structured systematic overviews that use a quantitative method to calculate the overall effect of treatment . The latter approach is dependent on the quality of primary studies , which may introduce bias if they are of poor method ologic quality . OBJECTIVE To test the hypothesis that the inclusion of poor- quality trials in meta-analyses would bias the conclusions and produce incorrect estimates of treatment effect . METHODS An overview of r and omized trials of antiestrogen therapy in subfertile men with oligospermia was performed to test the hypothesis . Data sources included online search ing of MEDLINE and Science Citation Index data bases between 1966 and 1994 , scanning the bibliography of known primary studies and review articles , and contacting experts in the field . After independent , blind assessment , nine of 149 originally identified studies met the inclusion criteria and were selected . We assessed study quality independently . Outcome data from each study were pooled and statistically summarized . RESULTS There was a marginal improvement in pregnancy rate with antiestrogen treatment ( odds ratio , 1.6 ; 95 % confidence interval , 0.9 to 2.6 ) . Sensitivity analyses on the basis of method ologic quality demonstrated that poor- quality studies produced a positive effect with treatment , whereas no benefit was observed with high- quality studies . CONCLUSION The results of a meta- analysis are influenced by the quality of the primary studies included . Method ologically , poor studies tend to exaggerate the overall estimate of treatment effect and may lead to incorrect inferences OBJECTIVE To investigate the prospect i ve influence of individual adolescents ' sensation seeking tendency and the sensation seeking tendency of named peers on the use of alcohol and marijuana , controlling for a variety of interpersonal and attitudinal risk and protective factors . METHOD Data were collected from a cohort of adolescents ( N = 428 ; 60 % female ) at three points in time , starting in the eighth grade . Respondents provided information about  sensation  seeking , the positivity of family relations , attitudes toward alcohol and drug use , perceptions of their friends ' use of alcohol and marijuana , perceptions of influence by their friends to use alcohol and marijuana , and their own use of alcohol and marijuana . In addition , they named up to three peers , whose sensation seeking and use data were integrated with respondents ' data to allow for tests of hypotheses about peer clustering and substance use . RESULTS Structural equation modeling analyses revealed direct effects of peers ' sensation seeking on adolescents ' own use of both marijuana and alcohol 2 years later . An unexpected finding was that the individual 's own sensation seeking had indirect ( not direct ) effects on drug use 2 years later . CONCLUSIONS These findings indicate the potential importance of sensation seeking as a characteristic on which adolescent peers cluster . Furthermore , the findings indicate that , beyond the influence of a variety of other risk factors , peer sensation seeking contributes to adolescents ' substance use OBJECTIVE To identify which specific parenting behaviors are associated with the onset of alcohol and tobacco use  and how they are associated . DESIGN Prospect i ve cohort study of two groups of preadolescents surveyed annually , the first group for 4 years , the second for 3 years . SETTING Two public school districts in Southern California . SUBJECTS 1034 fifth grade rs and 1266 seventh grade rs began the study after obtaining parental consent to complete surveys in a classroom setting . By the last measurement , attrition was 37 and 38 % for the two cohorts , respectively . MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES The onset of tobacco or alcohol use in the last month . RESULTS Children who reported that parents spent more time with them and communicated with them more frequently had lower onset rates of using alcohol and tobacco in the last month . These parental interactions lead to more positive relationships with their children . Parental monitoring and positive relations were protective factors for disruptive behavior and the selection of substance-using friends . Disruptive behavior increased the odds of adolescents drinking in the last month approximately twofold and of smoking in the last month two to fourfold . CONCLUSIONS This study provides further evidence that parenting behaviors are significant precursors to adolescent disruptive behavior , vulnerability to peer pressure , and subsequent substance use . Parents should be targeted in future substance use prevention programs , before their children reach adolescence OBJECTIVE Various studies reported associations between age 
    Output:
    
Conclusions We found weak evidence for a prospect i ve association between the PCR and adolescent alcohol use .