Under a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, emissions are forecast to increase by more than three times by 2040, rising from around 9 million tCO2e in 2017 to over 34 million tCO2e.2 
Analyses of Malawi’s mitigation potential shows that projected emissions could be reduced by around 50 per cent (50%) by 2040 if all identified measures were funded, including through international support. This falls to 6 per cent (6%) for domestically funded measures only.