
Nigeria has updated its NDC targets to 47% conditional cut in GHG emissions by 2030, on the 27th of May, 2021. Its previous conditional target was 45% by 2030. The conditions being that Nigeria would need much international support.  It otherwise, has pledged to reduce its GHG emissions by 20%, (using 2018 as baseline year) by 2030. According to the International Energy Association, Nigeria emitted 104.27 MtCO2e in 2018. 2018 MtCO2e levels represents an increase of 271.6% from 1990 levels.  Between 2010 and 2018, Nigeria’s GHG emissions increased by 40% to reach 347 MtCO2eq. The baseline projection has been updated too, estimating GHG emissions at 453 MtCO2eq by 2030, i.e. around half the 2015 estimates and a 31% increase in total GHG emissions between 2018 and 2030 (+2.6%/year). 

Of Nigeria’s total GHG emissions in 2016 (481.02 MtCO2e), the majority of its composition is comprised of carbon dioxide at 61.74%, followed by methane at 27.82%, nitrous oxide at 7.77%, and fluorinated gas at 2.66%.
