Senate Forecast, 7/18: Republican Outlook Improves with Focus on Likely Voter Polls Our latest Senate simulation has the chamber convening in 2011 with an average of 53.4 Democrats (counting Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders... 
 
 Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Appears to Shift at Accelerated Pace In April, 2009, when we last took a survey of gay marriage polls , we found that support for it had converged somewhere into the area of 41 ... 
 
 Status Update: Building FiveThirtyEight We're continuing to build our team of journalists at FiveThirtyEight as we prepare for re-launch with our partners at ESPN and ABC News... 
 
 Why Aren't Businesses Hiring? Friday's employment report was the second disappointing employment report in a row. It stated the private sector only create 83,000 job... 
 
 Seeking Lead Writers in Sports, Politics and Economics FiveThirtyEight is conducting a search for lead writers in three of our most important content verticals: sports, politics and economics. ... 

 Senate Forecast, 7/18: Republican Outlook Improves with Focus on Likely Voter Polls Our latest Senate simulation has the chamber convening in 2011 with an average of 53.4 Democrats (counting Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders... 
 
 Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Appears to Shift at Accelerated Pace In April, 2009, when we last took a survey of gay marriage polls , we found that support for it had converged somewhere into the area of 41 ... 
 
 Status Update: Building FiveThirtyEight We're continuing to build our team of journalists at FiveThirtyEight as we prepare for re-launch with our partners at ESPN and ABC News... 
 
 Why Aren't Businesses Hiring? Friday's employment report was the second disappointing employment report in a row. It stated the private sector only create 83,000 job... 
 
 Seeking Lead Writers in Sports, Politics and Economics FiveThirtyEight is conducting a search for lead writers in three of our most important content verticals: sports, politics and economics. ...
– A straw poll at the Southern Republican Leadership Conference shows Mike Huckabee's chances for the 2012 presidential nomination to be slim at best. Gingrich came in fourth to Huckabee's fifth among first-choice picks, but came in first in second-choice preferences—a result that illustrates his broad appeal among conservatives. The strident opposition evoked by his fiercest rivals, Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney, has Tom Schaller calling Gingrich the "GOP's 2012 sleeper candidate." But Gingrich has problems, too—the highest unfavorable ratings among Republicans of any of the primary front-runners and only a modestly better reputation among the general population, Nate Silver writes on FiveThirtyEight.com.