Chambers worked as a minicab driver, market trader and pub DJ before becoming a full-time writer.
Several European authors in translation will be making appearances in London in the next few months.
Join us in exploring Sweden's crime fiction, with speakers including best-selling author Håkan Nesser.
What does the landscape of Swedish crime fiction look like? What do we learn from Nesser, from other writers, from their book covers? What real and mental landscapes do readers (and viewers) of Swedish crime in the UK see?
Find out all of this and more, in the first of our UCL's Nordic Noir book club events, at the Horse Hospital, an atmospheric, Grade II listed venue in the heart of literary London.
The ticket price includes a glass of wine. Other light refreshments will be available to purchase at the event, provided by Scandinavian Kitchen.
Please note: The Eventbrite booking agent requires that you use a credit card to buy tickets. If you do not have a credit card, please contact Nichola Smalley (n.smalley(at)ucl.ac.uk) to reserve a ticket.
Details of the venue and how to buy tickets by credit card can be found at their website.
If so there's a place on a Birkbeck College creative writing course up for grabs when you take part in the Brent Libraries short story competition.
Swedish crime fiction author Camilla Ceder has written the opening lines.
"In theory, Margaret had functioned well as his partner. She was a faded beauty who had once been a celebrated singer. It would not have hurt for her to drink less."
All you have to do is complete the story is no more than 2,000 words.
Entries must be received by 12 noon on 23 February 2011.
Full details and terms and conditions can be found on the Brent Libraries website.
Here's a new Tudor-era set crime novel for fans of books set in that period. The Tudor Secret by C W Gortner came out this month in the UK and will be out in the US on 1 February.
Summer 1553: A time of danger and deceit. Brendan Prescott, an orphan, is reared in the household of the powerful Dudley family. Brought to court, he finds himself sent on an illicit mission to the King's brilliant but enigmatic sister, Princess Elizabeth. But Brendan is soon compelled to work as a double agent by Elizabeth's protector, William Cecil—who promises in exchange to help him unravel the secret of his own mysterious past.
A dark plot swirls around Elizabeth's quest to unravel the truth about the ominous disappearance of her seriously ill brother, King Edward VI. With Elizabeth's lady-in-waiting at his side, Brendan plunges into a ruthless gambit of half-truths, lies, and murder. Filled with the intrigue and pageantry of Tudor England, THE TUDOR SECRET is the first book in the Elizabeth's Spymaster series.
So what are you thoughts on the US (LHS) and UK (RHS) covers? Which would entice you to pick the book up? And what about initials vs full name?
I've just received an email from Quercus telling me about a new series from Barbara Nadel. Nadel is probably best know for her Turkish Cetin Ikmen series, listed and reviewed here. You can win a copy of the latest book in that series, A Noble Killing, here (open world-wide).
Jane Wood of Quercus has signed up Barbara Nadel to write a new crime series in which the author returns to her East End roots. The series will feature a white ex-policeman (and ex-soldier), now a PI, and an Asian Muslim woman who assists him. he London Borough of Newham is one of the most ethnically complex urban districts in the world, with a high rate of violent crime, gang culture and racism. To signal this change of direction, Barbara will write the books under the name B J Nadel. Quercus will publish the first book in the series in summer 2012.
Barbara Nadel said: 'I am very happy to take this opportunity to explore a new and exciting crime series'.
and Lizzie Hayes reviews Ruth Newman's second book, The Company of Shadows which has a Coben-esque sounding premise.
This week's selection for "cover opinions" is the US and UK covers for Esther Verhoef's Close-Up translated by Leon Vincent.
So what are you thoughts on the US (LHS) and UK (RHS) covers? Which would entice you to pick the book up if you were not familiar with Esther Verhoef?
BBC4 are treating viewers to a 20 episode Danish crime drama, called The Killing (in English) and which takes place over 20 days.
The Killing is the latest foreign language series to première in the UK on BBC Four, following the huge success of the Swedish Wallander. Nominated for an International Emmy for Best Drama, Denmark's hit TV series is a tense and absorbing whodunit, deftly uncovering some of the evils gnawing at contemporary society.
The 20 episodes play out over 20 days during a bleak Copenhagen November. Inspector Sarah Lund reports for her last day at work and learns that a teenage girl is missing. When her body is found in a car with links to a mayoral candidate's office, the case that gripped Danish TV viewers begins.
About to leave her post as the head of investigations at the Copenhagen homicide department as she is moving to Sweden, Sarah is in the midst of saying her goodbyes when she gets a disturbing dispatch which forces her to rethink her plans: a 19-year-old girl, Nanna Birk Larsen, is missing and her belongings have been discovered in a field.
A top Copenhagen politician, Troels, is in the middle of a promising election campaign when he is suddenly forced to make a change of plans. Meanwhile, in Vesterbro, Theis and Pernille learn that their daughter is missing.
In the first instalment of this 20-part thriller, these unsuspecting characters are drawn together by a series of simultaneous events that will change their lives for ever.
The Leopard by Jo Nesbo, tr. Don Bartlett is published in a few days time. I've been lucky enough to have an advance review copy and also, thanks to Harvill Secker, I've now got an e-copy to take with me on the train tomorrow.
The Leopard is 600+ pages and rather heavy, so I'm really pleased to able to switch between print and e-copy. I do think that offering a free ebook with a print copy would be a great idea.
"Harry heard the solemnity in his voice. The voice of a man with no capacity to forgive, no consideration, no thoughts for anything except his own objectives. And plied the inverted persuasion technique that had worked for him far too often."
I want to finish this so I can review it on time but equally I don't want to get to the end of it.
Orion is to publish a new full-length Sherlock Holmes novel, written by Alex Rider author Anthony Horowitz, after he was selected by the Conan Doyle Estate.
Further details about the title, to be published in September, are still to be revealed, though it will be "a brilliant mystery novel, stripped back to the original style of Conan Doyle", according to the publisher.
Horowitz said: "I fell in love with the Sherlock Holmes stories when I was 16 and I've read them many times since. I simply couldn't resist this opportunity to write a brand new adventure for this iconic figure and my aim is to produce a first rate mystery for a modern audience while remaining absolutely true to the spirit of the original."
This is the second of Matt Smith's audio book readings, the first being The Runaway Train which was set in America. In The Jade Pyramid we're off to medieval Japan.
The TARDIS is drawn to a distress beacon emitting from a small village in Japan. It appears to be coming from an ancient shrine. The Doctor and Amy meet the elder of the village, the kind and wise Shijô Sada who takes them inside the shrine past the "guard" of animal-skin covered mannequins called Otoroshi. Shijô Sada won't allow them to see the chamber containing the pyramid as it is sacred. However they are interrupted by the news that the Shogun has sent Samurai soldiers to retrieve the Jade Pyramid for himself. The Doctor must prevent the pyramid, which he believes to be alien technology, from falling into anyone's hands. A discussion amongst the villagers reveals both friend and foe of Shijô Sada and Amy escapes the meeting to take a look at the pyramid and it is then things begin to go badly wrong. The Otoroshi come to life and Samurai are almost upon the village. How can the Doctor save the village, Amy and protect the pyramid?
The Jade Pyramid is an exciting story along a slightly familiar theme of humans killing first, asking questions later. For a single cd length story it packs a lot in; there's fighting from Samurai and a ninja assassin as well as betrayal and a loss of a significant character, and the Japanese setting is refreshingly different.
Matt Smith reads at the breathless pace we've become used to in the tv series and differentiates the characters well and his Doctor is as mesmerising as ever.
I have a slight quibble in that the occasional background music at times slightly overwhelmed the narrator, and maybe needs to be toned down a little.
The Jade Pyramid offers a pleasant fix whilst we await the arrival of the new series and is one that I will listen to again.
I'd like to welcome Lizzie Hayes to the Euro Crime fold. She has donated a sizeable collection of reviews of recent books, which I'll be running over the next few weeks.
and Lizzie also reviews The Attenbury Emeralds by Jill Paton Walsh, Lord Peter Wimsey's first case.
Knifer by Ronnie Thompson has just been published by Headline. The trailer below is filmed in an actual prison.
Drug addiction. Criminal behaviour. Murder...and all before his sixteenth birthday. From foster home to children's home to living rough on the streets, Cain never had a normal childhood. By the age of 8 he was carrying a knife. Seven years later he was serving time for killing someone. Based on real events, ex-prison officer Ronnie Thompson tells Cain's shocking story and reveals what really happens to teenage offenders both on the streets and once they're behind bars. Prison riots, assaults on officers, roof-top protests and brutal acts of violence -- this is an inside account of life in a young offender's institute and of an angry young man spiralling dangerously out of control.
This week's selection for "cover opinions" is the US, UK, Swedish, French, Dutch and Polish covers for Henning Mankell's The Troubled Man, translated by Laurie Thompson.
So what are you thoughts on the top: US (LHS) and UK (RHS), middle: Swedish (LHS) and French (RHS), bottom Dutch (LHS) and Polish (RHS) covers? Which would entice you most to pick the book up in the unlikely event that you were not familiar with Henning Mankell?
The much-anticipated return of Henning Mankell's brilliant, brooding detective Kurt Wallander. Every morning Håkan von Enke takes a walk in the forest near his apartment in Stockholm. However, one winter's day he fails to come home. It seems that the retired naval officer has vanished without trace.
The Euro Crime Reviewers have spoken. Here are their favourite reads for 2010 in detail and summarised by most mentioned title, author and translator.
and Terry also reviews Murder in Mykonos by Jeffrey Siger.
The breakdown by reviewer plus any additional comments they have made, can be found on the website.
Euro Crime has a five copies of A Noble Killing by Barbara Nadel to giveaway. To enter the draw, just answer the simple question* and include your details in the form below.
This competition is open to everyone and will close on 31 January 2011.
Every Contact Leaves a Trace by Elanor Dymott is narrated by Alex, a young London lawyer trying to piece together the mystery surrounding his wife's brutal murder in the grounds of Worcester College, Oxford.
[Jonathan Cape] said: "We're incredibly excited and honoured to be publishing this elegant, intense, beautifully written debut. With shades of Donna Tartt, Ruth Rendell and even Hitchcock, it's a classy, complex thriller that had us all captivated from the very first page."
This week's selection for "cover opinions" is the US and UK covers for Stuart MacBride's Blind Eye.
So what are you thoughts on the US (LHS) and UK HB & pb (RHS & Below) covers? Which would entice you to pick the book up if you were not familiar with Stuart MacBride?
Read the Euro Crime review by Craig of Blind Eye.
and also over the Christmas break I reviewed Yrsa Sigurdardottir's My Soul to Take, tr. Bernard Scudder and Anna Yates also on the blog.
Euro Crime has a three copies of Assassins of Athens by Jeffrey Siger to giveaway. Just answer the simple question and include your details in the form below.
This competition is open to the UK only and will close on 31 January 2011.
My personal favourite reads of 2010 are all translated crime which is about 98% of what I read, so it is not surprising, nor that there's a heavy overlap with the International Dagger shortlist.
Runners-up include the audio books of Camilla Lackberg's The Preacher and The Stonecutter and Marek Krajewski's Phantoms of Breslau.


Looking for a harp teacher in the greater Houston Texas area? American Harp Society Houston Chapter can help with that.
Pedal harp and lever harp lessons near downtown Houston, in the student's home, or online.


Abstract : The bottom shear stress (BSS) in a windy Mediterranean lagoon has been carefully investigated through numerical modelling. BSS maps have been obtained for the entire lagoon. The aim is to compare BSS with its critical value in the near shoreareas selected for SAV replanting which are subject to downwind coastal jets.


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Q: Exporting Associations (containing lists and strings as keys and values) to python dictionaries Since Mathematica Associations are similar objects to python dictionaries I think there should be an easy way to export a Mathematica Associations such that it can easily be loaded into python as a dictionary.
How do I do this?
I generally see two methods. 1.) Export and import as JSON. 2.) Export as PythonExpression. With both I ran into issues. The issue I ran into with the second method is that the PythonExpression actually seems to contain an illegal python expression since it uses a list as a key where it should be using a tuple. I guess that the method of conversion depends a bit on the kind of structures that you want to export. In my case the Associations contain lists of real numbers as keys and Real numbers or lists of Real numbers as values. Converting the Real numbers to floats is fine since I do not require more precision.

Example of attempt:
Export[file, <|{0.52, 1.4} -> 5.1423545`|>, "PythonExpression"]

Creates a file with {[0.52, 1.4]: 5.1423545}. Reading it in python with
with open(file,"r") as f:
    data = ast.literal_eval(f.read())

Gives the error:
TypeError: unhashable type: 'list'

A: Does it fit your needs?
Tuple;

Begin["ExternalEvaluatePython`Private`"];
encodeExprToPython[Tuple[]] = "()";
encodeExprToPython[Tuple[a_, b_ : ""]] :=  StringRiffle[{a, b}, {"(", ",", ")"}]
End[]

ExportString[<|Tuple[0.52, 1.4] -> 5.1423545`|>, "PythonExpression"]

{(0.52,1.4): 5.1423545}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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To bring about social and environmental change, organisers and activists need to build skills in organisational development and maintenance. Working in groups, networks or organisations can be a real challenge in social movements. Successful social change work necessitates establishing and maintaining strong, resilient and learning organisations.
This page provides some of our favourite resources. You'll find additional resources on working in groups on the 'links' page (under 'activist education', above) or by searching the campaigners' toolkit.
Resources to help your group work well together and achieve your objectives; highlights some group habits and actions that resilient community groups have relied on.
Some of our favourite resources on active listening and a role play in which facilitators demonstrate good and bad listening techniques, and participants are able to experience and discuss the elements of successful communication.
Here's a challenging exercise for practicing making decisions and communication, and deepen a group's capacity to work more effectively together.
An overview of requirements and guidelines for effective consensus decision-making, as well as some variations and difficulties that may be encountered.
Resources to help community action groups work together, make tough decisions and attend to the maintenance as well as task dimension of group life.
to work together and strengthen relationships before dealing with decision-making.
A process guide to enable a team to come to a shared definition of consensus; encourage group members to work together before they deal with a decision they must make; and strengthen the relationships within the group before they make consensus decisions.
A bundle of tools for facilitators to learn a group's needs and move the group forward.
Resources for developing effective facilitation skills. Topics covered include: tips for facilitators; running effective meetings; forming agendas; testing for agreement; and decision making models.
Based on Donna Ching's facilitation resources, this document outlines various techniques that can be utilised when certain common meeting problems occur.
The games in this section are separated into the categories of introductory games, name games, dynamicas (energisers) and fun ways to get people into groups.
Strategies for enhancing effective feedback whilst reinforcing acceptance, confidence, and contributions from participants.
Role play exploring issues of organisational responses to growth and change.
If the facilitator and the group do a good job of building safety, then the participants will frequently go out of their comfort zone in order to stretch and grow. This document outlines techniques for developing security within a group.
This process will be useful to build the confidence of group facilitators in identifying disruptive behaviour issues in groups and developing strategies to addresses them.
A useful reminder to build a healthy sense of our agency and potential.
An overview of the two roles that often appear in group conflicts – mainstream and margins.
A powerful method for engaging participants in a process of becoming responsible learners, identifying strategies for maximising learning, and encouraging personal self-reflection.
Overview of the role of the facilitator and some ingredients for undertaking productive and effective meetings as recommended by Berit Lakey.
A list of agreements developed by Bill Moyer for participating in workshops and meetings that encourage respectful and responsible participation.
An exercise to facilitate self-awareness, deepen engagement and relationships, stimulate creativity in personal expression, and connections between intellectual reflection and personal experience.
A sample agenda for a whole day team-building workshop.
Encourages participants to articulate positive visions to guide their organisations' strategies.
A workshop introducing participants to Bruce Tuckman's 'stages in group development', facilitating participants' reflection on their experiences of group development, and identifying and addressing challenges.
An opportunity to reflect on behaviour and work together to understand each other more deeply.
Well functioning groups are aware of these tensions and work together to manage and respond to them as needed. Facilitators can assist by observing, acknowledging and actively managing these tensions as they arise.
Summary of the different types of facilitation roles (e.g. observer, critical friend, fishbowl, vibes watcher) with links to some useful internet resources.


Well THAT was a lot of work (and a whole lot of math!) This Jack's Blocks pattern is now available as a twin size quilt pattern AND a queen size quilt pattern.
If you previously purchased the twin pattern and would like the queen pattern, email me (or convo through etsy) and I can have it emailed to you!
These are for the IMAGINE at do. Good Stitches group. We followed this tutorial. We were told to use any fabrics we wanted, and I'm looking forward to seeing the finished quilt with all of it's scrappiness.
Oh my gosh i am so excited and appreciate all your hard work. I can't wait to make this. Thanks so so much!!
Such a nice images print on the fabrics.It look so beautiful.This designs complete by sewing machines.This all designs are so different and extra ordinary art.


It would be much nicer if the backups ran as Local System in the background rather than as a foreground user mode process.
The UI to monitor an in progress backup in the background could be enabled having the dashboard/status window communicate with the background process.
That way, the background could run without the user being logged in, and the user could still see the progress window if they are logged in.
Currently, I have configured my backups to run in the background, but the consequence is that I lose the status window. And there's no way to monitor the progress and status of a background task from within the Reflect application either.
For now, this sacrifice is worth it, but it would be a much better architecture for the software to work the way I've described here.
I completely agree and would like to see this implemented. As I understand it, an additional limitation of the current architecture is that if a backup job starts while a user is logged in, the user can't log off without cancelling the job, though I have not verified this myself. Back when I was using Symantec Backup Exec (those were some dark times....), this limitation didn't exist because the backup engine ran as a service, the credentials for which could be configured rather than being forced to be Local System, and then the GUI application was a separate process.


Esports continues to draw investments from non-endemics around the globe, as 21st Century fox makes a significant $100 million investment into the industry.
The Murdoch family-owned 21st Century Fox has invested a combined $100 million into Caffeine and a newly-formed venture Caffeine Studios that is jointly owned by FOX Sports and Caffeine.
The new studio will leverage FOX Sports' expertise in live events and programming to create exclusive esports, video game, sports, and live entertainment content for Caffeine's next-generation social broadcasting platform.
In addition, Lachlan Murdoch, 21st Century Fox's Executive Chairman, will join Caffeine's Board.
21st Century Fox's stakes in Caffeine and Caffeine Studios will be part of the proposed new "Fox," the company that will be formed upon completion of the proposed transaction between 21st Century Fox and The Walt Disney Company, and where Murdoch will serve as Chairman and CEO.


A simple and contemporary shape, sublimated by a light sweet and sensual. This parallelepiped in white polyethylene creates a lounge in a living room or a bedroom.
Io, as all production SLIDE is made of polyethylene by rotational moulding.


Does Black Country Metal Works accept American Express?
Q: Can I use Amex at Black Country Metal Works?
Note: If accepted, Black Country Metal Works may only take your American Express card online, at some stores/franchises/branches/online, over the phone and/or via mail order, on all or some products and services.


text:
Talks of putting homeless at Creedmoor get mixed reviews
By Tom Momberg Posted on December 24, 2015
Gov. Andrew Cuomo is considering a plan to establish a homeless shelter at one or more of the vacant buildings on the Creedmoor Psychiatric Center campus.
By Tom Momberg
Gov. Andrew Cuomo's administration is in discussions with the state's chief economic development agency over the possibility of using one or more abandoned buildings for a homeless shelter at the Creedmoor Psychiatric Center in Queens Village.
Cuomo's office would only confirm that the idea for a shelter on the state-owned campus was discussed among other options.
City Councilman Barry Grodenchik (D-Oakland Gardens), who represents the neighborhoods surrounding Creedmoor, said he spoke to the governor after the idea was leaked and was assured it would not happen.
The governor and the Empire State Development Corporation are interested in the site and are committed to working with the community on its future. Grodenchik said he was told further discussions will happen with the borough president and the state agency about what to do with some of the vacant space at Creedmoor.
"We understand the longstanding significance of the Creedmoor site to the surrounding community and we will guarantee full input and robust dialogue with the public relating to any future decisions regarding the site," Cuomo and Borough President Melinda Katz said in a joint statement. Tuesday.
Mayor Bill de Blasio's office and state Sen. Leroy Comrie's (D-Hollis) office have said they would be open to the establishment of a homeless shelter at Creedmoor.
"Given the dimensions of the problem that has built up over many years, any additional state resources are welcome and we look forward to hearing more about the plan, which will hopefully help address the needs of the New Yorkers on the streets for both short-term safe havens and long-term supportive housing and services," Karen Hinton, de Blasio's press secretary, said in a statement.
Comrie said the campus already has some resources to help increase homeless families' chances of being successful and that he would look forward to learning more about the plan.
The city used a building at the Creedmoor Psychiatric Center, 79-25 Winchester Blvd., as a men's shelter in the mid-80s, but it was shut down due to neighborhood concerns at a very violent time in the city's history.
The City Council unanimously approved the construction of elementary, middle and high schools on the Creedmoor campus in 2000. The city ultimately took part of the Creedmoor campus within the boundaries of Glen Oaks and developed it into a public school campus in 2004, including the Queens High School of Teaching.
Several other parts of the campus were sold off in 2006, but of the roughly 25 buildings that are still a part of the hospital's grounds, several remain vacant. Most proposed new developments since then have faced heavy resistance from the surrounding neighborhoods.
A Native American civic group proposed putting senior housing and a cultural center on the campus in 2011. That proposal met with strong community opposition and never went through.
The main building at the Creedmoor campus is still home to at least 300 psychiatric hospital beds.
Proponents of the governor's idea to turn empty buildings on the campus into housing for the homeless like the fact that the site already has high fences, security and is relatively isolated from the surrounding neighborhoods.
But local civic groups were calling for tighter security at the hospital after a convicted murderer who was transferred to Creedmoor after serving a 15-year prison sentence escaped in 2014.
"I have been here for several years, and I was shocked to learn that this was even being considered," Community Board 13 Chairman Bryan Block said. "We sympathize with the city's needs and that we are all one city, but we don't even know the mental condition of the people who the city is considering housing there."
Block said the state police patrolling the campus currently cannot control the patients who are treated there—noting a few escapes in recent history.
Of the 22 shelters located in the borough, over half of them are within the boundaries of Community Boards 12 and 13. Block said the area is already oversaturated with shelters.
Reach reporter Tom Momberg by e-mail at tmomb[email protected]nglocal.com or by phone at (718) 260–4573.
Black History Month Trilogy #1: The Chuck Berry Rock & Roll Concert Party

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


There are obvious advantages to going to college. And yes, science majors have much higher lifetime earnings than art majors. But the reasons why aren't as simple as some studies would have you believe.
Whether to attend college and, if so, what to study are decisions of great financial and personal importance for younger Americans. It has become conventional wisdom that as many people as possible should graduate college and that college students should increasingly major in technical fields such as engineering, math and computer science. But college is a major investment. Average annual tuition at public four-year colleges today tops $13,000, with tuition at private schools exceeding $31,000. Moreover, the college major chosen by students guides the types of jobs they may hold for the rest of their lives, which influences not only income but also personal satisfaction from work. These choices should not be entered into lightly or lacking solid information.
Unfortunately, popular research on the costs and benefits of higher education is plagued by basic statistical errors, generating misleading conclusions and encouraging bad public policy. It is a basic tenet of statistics that correlation does not imply causation: simply because two things tend to occur together -- such as college attendance and higher incomes -- does not necessarily mean that one causes the other. While both college attendance and choice of major do affect earnings, their effects are much smaller than has been reported.
In a recent study, Michael Greenstone and Adam Looney of the Hamilton Project conducted a seemingly simple cost-benefit analysis: While four years of college today can cost in excess of $100,000, a typical college graduate earns roughly $13,000 more per year than a high school graduate. They conclude that, despite rising tuition costs, the annual "return" to college education tops 16 percent, far exceeding investments such as stocks or bonds.
Since college loans carry interest rates well below 16 percent, their result implies that attending college -- even if you must borrow tens of thousands of dollars to do so -- will prove to be a very good financial choice. There are policy implications as well. The authors state that "Ensuring that all students have access to this investment requires both a commitment to making it financially feasible at all income levels..." But federal aid such as Pell Grants, work-study programs and tuition tax credits have more than tripled over the last decade, reaching $65 billion in 2011. Washington also made over $100 billion in subsidized student loans last year. The implication is that even more college aid is needed.
There are two problems with this analysis. First, it conflates going to college with graduating from college. They're definitely not the same. Data from the National Center for Education Statistics show that only 58 percent of new college students who began in 2004 had graduated six years later. Dropout rates are even higher at less selective colleges, whose students are presumably most on the margin between attending college following high school and entering the workforce. Dropouts can end up holding the bag for thousands in college debt, but earn significantly less on average than college graduates. Calculating returns to education only for those who attend college and graduate is like measuring stock returns for Google while ignoring those for General Motors. University of Rochester economist Gonzalo Castex has found that dropout risk accounts for a significant portion of the seemingly high returns to college education.
Greenstone and Looney also assumes that high school graduates who attend college are the same as those who don't, meaning that college education is the only thing driving earnings differences later in life. This is far from true. High school students who go on to college took a more rigorous high school curriculum, scored better on tests of reading and math, came from higher-income families, were in better physical and mental health, and were less likely to have been arrested. These are all correlated with higher earnings regardless of whether a person attends college, either because they contribute directly to higher pay or because they proxy for other factors that do. How much a college education increases the incomes of those who attend is a different question than the simple difference in earnings between college grads and individuals with only a high school diploma.
Using the 1997 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth it is possible to control for these and other differences between college grads and the rest of us. Once you control for both the risk of not graduating from college and differing personal characteristics, the earnings boost attributable to college attendance is cut in half. Looking at data that includes people from a wider age range confirms these results. Treating the entire wage gap between high school and college graduates as if it's due to going to college significantly overstates the financial benefits of attending college.
A similar logical flaw affects widely-publicized studies on the "best" college majors, interpreted as those leading to higher pay following graduation. For instance, a report from the Center on Education and the Workforce at Georgetown University details the "economic value" of different college majors. Relying on data from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey, studies such as this purport to show that technical fields of study lead to much higher earnings after graduation, while "softer majors" pay far less. For instance, median earnings for individuals with a Bachelor's degree in engineering, mathematics or computer science top $70,000, while BA holders who majored in the arts, education or social work earn less than $47,000. Unemployment rates also differ by college major, with the Georgetown group arguing that "choice of major determines unemployment."
Once again, this study claims that education determines differences in pay and employment that may actually arise from other causes. For instance, high school graduates aiming for high-earning majors such as engineering enter college with higher average SAT scores, according to the National Center for Education Statistics, while those aiming for lower-paying majors have lower average SAT scores. But SAT scores almost certainly are correlated with higher incomes regardless of college major chosen. Similarly, high-paying jobs also entail longer work hours. Numerous studies, including by Daniel Hamermesh and Steven Gould of the University of Texas and by Joseph Altonji, Erica Blom and Costas Meghir of Yale, have found that controlling for SAT scores, hours worked and other factors explains most of the pay differences that initially appear to be driven by choice of college major.
In addition, while skill-specific technical fields may have higher average earnings they also exhibit greater variations in earnings. For instance, an engineer can earn very high wages if his skills are in demand, but changes in technologies or markets can render his skills less valuable and retraining in a different specialty can take time. On the other hand, majors imparting more general skills have both lower average earnings and less earnings risk. A history major may not earn much, but he has a wide variety of professions to choose from. In part at least, following one of the "better" college majors may not be like winning the sweepstakes so much as purchasing a stock: higher returns, but more risk.
None of this is to say that attending college isn't worthwhile or that students shouldn't consider the more technical majors in deciding where to specialize. Moreover, a college education comes with many benefits beyond a higher income. But to say that "college isn't for everyone" isn't to be patronizing. It's simply to say that the income gains attributable to holding a college degree aren't as large as is claimed, and some people could come out ahead financially by not attending college.
Any investment is about value added -- what you get relative to what you started with. Popular studies regarding whether to attend college and what field to study ignore the skills and abilities different students start with, as well as their different preferences regarding job stability and the types of hours they'd like to work.
Andrew G. Biggs is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.
Abigail Haddad is a doctoral student at the Pardee RAND Graduate School.


text:
Sir Robert Cooper: "Trump's victory puts Europe in unknown territory"
Following Donald Trump's election as President of the United States, we will be running a number of short reactions from prominent European academics and political actors on what the result means for Europe. In this contribution Sir Robert Cooper writes that while there are doubts over whether the new President-elect will follow through on the promises he made in the campaign, the result has put Europe firmly in unknown territory.
Now we are in unknown territory. That's not new – the future is unknowable, and new presidents are always unknown quantities – Hillary Clinton would have been an exception. But Mr Trump takes unknownness to a whole new level.
The campaign was more about attitude than policy. The attitudes amount to: don't trust China; stay out of the Middle East; don't bother about climate change; trade is bad for jobs; NATO are a bunch of free riders; and why is Russia a problem anyway? Since truth (and foreign affairs) have not been a notable feature of Mr Trump's campaign we should wait and see what President Trump does. It may not be the same as what candidate Trump said he will do.
How should Europe react? Politely and calmly. It takes time to set up a new administration and to turn attitudes into policies. And though the tone is different, some of the content recalls President Obama's thoughts. He too is frustrated with the European contribution to NATO; he regards Russia as a second class problem, and would love to get out of the Middle East. Trade and climate change will need some work!
Instead of asking whether Donald Trump is serious, we should ask when we are going to get serious ourselves, collectively. Here are three difficulties: first our record of getting serious is not good. Second, it would be better to do this with the UK but maybe that's no longer possible; third the United States itself has been an important element of the glue that keeps the EU together. That is surely over. Now it's up to us.
Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of EUROPP – European Politics and Policy, nor of the London School of Economics. Featured image credit: Nathan Congleton (CC-BY-SA-2.0)
Shortened URL for this post: http://bit.ly/2g0OzbX
Sir Robert Cooper
Sir Robert Cooper is a diplomat who has been a Counsellor of the European External Action Service and a Special Advisor at the European Commission. He was also formerly Director General of Political and Military Affairs of the EU's Council of Ministers, and former chief foreign policy adviser to British Prime Minister Tony Blair. He has also been a Visiting Professor at LSE IDEAS.
November 10th, 2016|current-affairs, EU Foreign Affairs, featured, Sir Robert Cooper|1 Comment
Charles Crawford November 14, 2016 at 11:46 am - Reply
Always a pleasure to read R Cooper in his terse prose with little clever digs and twists here and there. His briefings for T Blair on the Balkan imbroglio back in the day were astonishingly good.
Here he takes it for granted that there is a thing called 'Europe' and that 'we' can get serious. Not sure that's true any more. But his advice on tone is just right: stay polite/calm (and patient/constructive). Huge areas of European/US common ground have not evaporated. Maybe there are lots of opportunities in all this for former FCO Planners to offer some blue skies ideas that have not been possible since the Cold War ended?
Andrew Clark says:
"The left's historical role has always been the cultural emancipation of the...


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Габріель Юркіч (24 березня 1886 року — 25 лютого 1974 року) — хорватський художник.

Біографія
Габріель Юркіч народився 24 березня 1886 року у м. Лівно. Там закінчив початкову школу, відвідував Торгівельну школу. З 1902 по 1905 рік навчався на будівельному факультеті Середньої технічної школи в Сараєво[1].
1907—1908 рр. — студент Тимчасової школи мистецтв та ремесел у Загребі.
1908—1909 рр. — навчання у Віденській академії образотворчих мистецтв, де Юркіча відразу ж перевели на четвертий курс загального факультету живопису в клас Алоїза Потопу.
1909—1911 рр. — відвідує спецкурс Казимира Похвальського та вивчає сегмент «Вивчення мистецтва історії Боснії».
Після навчання у Відні Габріель Юркіч повернувся до Сараєво, де відбулись його перші персональні виставки (1911), в Сараєво (Соціальний дім) та Загребі (Художній павільйон).
Після майже півстоліття, проведеного в Сараєво, він повернувся до Ливно, у скромну студію францисканського монастиря в Гориці, де жив зі своєю дружиною Штефанією, відомою католицькою письменницею.

Габріель Юркіч помер 25 травня 1974 року та був похований на цвинтарі в Горічко.

Творчість
З самого початку полотна Юркіча пронизувалися лагідністю та поетичністю його натури, його зображували як «одну з найбільших і найвизначніших постатей усього періоду» (1911—1921). Випадковість чи доля визначили його художню освіту в академічному Відні. Перший живописний період після навчання був наповнений романтичним настроєм, натхненними пейзажами. Художник написав низку чудових портретів, де йому вдається глибоко проникнути в сутність близьких людей і тим самим наблизити їх до спостерігача.
З 20-х років Юркіч звільняється від академічної орієнтації, стає імпресіоністично вільним, використовуючи техніку пуантилістичного живопису, вносячи на полотно більше світла. Юркіч відкрив широкий діапазон кольорів, за його словами, «торкнувся світу, який не має кордонів».
Він знаходить притулок і спокій у майстерні францисканського монастиря в Гориці. Там він помер і заповів свої картини монастирю.

Пам'ять
 У Лівно є галерея, присвячена творчості художника, а його фотографії демонструються в Музеї сучасного мистецтва в Загребі.

 У 1993 році він з'явився на поштовій марці, виданій адміністрацією хорватів у Мостарі.
 Хорватська історикиня мистецтва Іванка Реберськ написала монографію, приурочену життю і творчості художника.

Примітки

Посилання

 Картина Юркіча Старий міст у Мостарі
Художники Югославії
Уродженці Ливна

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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It's the kitchen appliance that changed the grilling game forever. The George Foreman 2-Serving Classic Plate Electric Grill and Panini Press delivers fast grilling and delicious results for steak, burgers, chicken, veggies, and more. The patented sloped surface helps remove fat during cooking, and the George Tough nonstick coating wipes clean after every use. The compact grill's dual contact heating speeds up grilling to get food on the table in record time.


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Eye opening. When asked to describe this book…. eye opening. Questions about bioethical issues have run around in my head since I read it. Things of which I question and know little.
In the 1950's, a poor farmer named Henrietta Lacks became ill and while in the hospital, the doctor took a sample to test. The doctor kept that tissue sample and performed research with it and a remarkable thing occurred, her cells immortalized.
Most cells die but Henrietta's didn't. More than 60 years since her death, Henrietta's cells, known as HeLa, continue to multiply. They were responsible for the polio vaccine being developed as well as many other advancements in science, past and present.
"produced twenty thousand tubes of HeLa— about 6 trillion cells every week.
Ms. Skloot has written the Lacks family's story in an engaging and informative style. She tells of their poverty and of their lack of knowledge that Henrietta's cells were being used and that others were profiting from them and how learning about the cells caused legal and emotional ramifications for members of the family.
The biggest concern this book highlighted for me was with the issue of rights.
Did I stir your interest? What do you think?
Interested in my other book posts?
I'm glad you posted this, I've heard from everyone that it's a great read. At my book club we are having trouble thinking of books (this is mainly because we finish at midnight after several hours of wine, gossip and every now and then discussing the book, lol.) I'm going to make a list and keep it with me for next time!


text:
City at the Heart of Forever
A justification of intervention by time-travel:- The theory of alternate realities Kang decribes in this issue means that time-travel to prevent a bad event from happening in the past doesn't actually prevent the event in the timeline you left. If successful you just split off a new timeline where the bad event doesn't happen. Kang's frequent time-travelling has created multiple alternate copies of himself. I believe that in the Marvel Universe alternate realities are normally created without the use of time-travel. I will ignore questions about how frequently timelines split, and what causes the splits. I will just say that such alternate timelines are constrained by possibility.
When you appear at a point in space-time from time-travel you create a situation that is impossible in cause-and-effect terms in the timeline up to that point. Thus the alternate reality you create by time-travel (and the ones it then spawns naturally) couldn't exist without your time-travel. So even though time-travel doesn't destroy 'bad' timelines, it is still worth doing because it creates 'good' timelines that wouldn't otherwise exist. But this is fictionally unsatisfying. The hero goes back in time to save the world and those he loves, and then returns to the new present where they are saved. But the old timeline still exists where not only aren't his loved ones saved from whatever it was, they have the added burden that the hero *doesn't* come back to them! Some writers use the 'secret history' approach. The thing you go back into the past to do actually already happened in the past of your timeline, it just wasn't recorded. So you go back in time and actually create the timeline you came from, and thus you come back to it safely. A variant of this is the 'multiple histories' approach which says that the present can have multiple pasts as well as multiple futures.
Your tampering with history has just switched from one of these multiple pasts to another. This is sometimes described in terms of the timeline being resilient. Small changes just deform it a bit in a small patch of time. It takes a large change to really change the future. The 'go back in time to prevent another time-traveller from changing the past in a bad way' scenario implicitly makes use of this idea. The bad-guy wants to change the past in a big way. The hero goes back and prevents him. The combined actions leave only small changes which the timeline absorbs. Kang's theory ignores all these extra ideas.
Terminatrix was originally Ravonna, whom Kang desired in Avengers #23. They have had a convoluted love-hate relationship since then. The Anachronauts were first seen during the Citizen Kang crossover in Fantastic Four Annual #25. Rama-Tut and his time-Sphinx was the first recorded appearance of the multi-identitied Kang way back in Fantastic Four #19. Avengers West Coast #62 was the culmination of Immortus's plot to use Scarlet Witch as a nexus being to preserve the timeline which produced the Time-Keepers. When the Witch rejected the power it raged free, threatening the multiverse. The Time-Keepers intervened and redirected the power to Immortus, who became frozen in Limbo protecting reality. Immortus freed himself in What If #35-39, but his appearances here were in alternate realities. He subsequently appeared in the Terminatrix story in Avengers Annual #21 and in Avengers: The Terminatrix Objective #2-3, but as far as the Avengers were concerned this was all behind the scenes. Thus Wasp is correct in saying that they haven't seen him since AWC#62.
Seven Avengers (Captain America, Captain Marvel (Genis-Vell), Giant-Man, Hawkeye, Songbird, Wasp and Yellowjacket) from various times, including alternate futures, have been brought together to guard Rick Jones, with the help of ex-villain Libra of the original Zodiac. They are protecting Rick from Immortus, and Kang is also on their side. They have just arrived for refuge at Kang's city of Chronopolis, to find it under devastating attack by the forces of Immortus.
They are mistakenly attacked by Wildrun of Kang's Anachronauts, who reports that Kang's lover Terminatrix is dead. The other Anachronauts have been reduced to fading temporal shadows. Wildrun takes them to Kang, who is supervising the installation of a working replica of the Sphinx time machine he used as Rama-Tut.
Wasp asks Kang how come Immortus is active when as far as the current Avengers know he was trapped in stasis by the Time-Keepers in Avengers West Coast #62. Kang dismisses this as either temporary or an example of Immortus lying, and the Time-Keepers as irrelevant.
Immortus is laying siege to Chronopolis to get the Heart of Forever, which enables Chronopolis to exist in all alternate realities (as opposed to Immortus's home Limbo which exists outside of them), as well as existing in all times as mentioned in the previous issue. Kang reminds the Avengers that when you go back in time to stop something bad from happening, you don't actually stop it. You merely create a new alternate reality in which it doesn't happen, and return to the present of that new reality. The old reality continues unchanged. The Heart of Forever would give Immortus the power to actually delete timelines.
Now that Immortus failed to stop Rick Jones from reawakening his Human Evolutionary Potential (in #1), he wants the Heart of Forever to destroy that particular timeline.
Kang immediately contradicts himself when he says that Immortus has already been pruning the tree of alternate realities (e.g. in Avengers West Coast #59 when he wiped out a reality in which several Avengers had died). Immortus wants the timelines to be tidy and constrained, while Kang wants a wild jungle, if only because it gives him more to conquer. This contradiction will be revealed in a later issue to be not a hole in the plot, but one of those confusing time-travel things.
The love-triangle between Giant-Man, Wasp and Yellowjacket simmers. In Avengers #59 Goliath (as Giant-Man then was) created the split personality Yellowjacket, who deluded himself that he killed Henry Pym/Goliath, perceiving him as a rival for Wasp. As Avengers: Earth's Mightiest Heroes vol 2 #5-6 made clear, Wasp and the other Avengers knew the truth, but didn't want to push him further over the edge. Yellowjacket is not pleased that Giant-Man is still alive and in a relationship with Wasp, when in his own timeline Yellowjacket is about to marry her. Leader-by-default Wasp avoids the subject because she wants to keep the team from fracturing. She carefully stops herself from addressing Giant-Man as Hank, possibly so as not to confirm that he is the man Yellowjacket thinks he has killed. And Yellowjacket isn't happy about the self-reliant woman she has become.
Meanwhile Hawkeye and Songbird share a moment. The past Hawkeye has never heard of Songbird, but the future Songbird benefits from the training the current Hawkeye is giving her and the other Thunderbolts.
Kang's technicians give Hawkeye a high-tech bow and arrows, unfortunately too powerful to easily use humanely against Immortus's warrior hordes. Even in the midst of a war the Avengers stick to their no-killing policy. Kang's technicians also give crippled Rick a battle-chair, but when it is overturned in battle, Rick manages to reactivate his power enough to heal his legs.
Despite the Avengers' help Chronopolis is overwhelmed, Tempus (revived from his 'death' in #1) captures Kang, and Immortus gains the Heart of Forever. He transforms it and the whole of Chronopolis into the Forever Crystal, apparently killing Tempus (again) and Kang. But Libra has led Rick and the Avengers to safety in the Time-Sphinx.
Jesus Merino (Cover Penciler)
Tony Kelly (Cover Inker)
Tony Kelly (Cover Colorist)
Plot: Kurt Busiek.
(Janet Van Dyne)
Plus: Anachronauts, Captain Marvel (Genis-Vell), Giant-Man (Scott Lang), Immortus, Libra, Songbird, Tempus, Wildrun.


DESCRIPTION Glutamyl-tRNA synthetase 1 (EC 6.1.1.17) (Glutamate--tRNA ligase 1) (GluRS 1).
The aminoacyl-tRNA synthetases (EC 6.1.1. ) catalyse the attachment of an amino acid to its cognate transfer RNA molecule in a highly specific two-step reaction. These proteins differ widely in size and oligomeric state, and have limited sequence homology . The 20 aminoacyl-tRNA synthetases are divided into two classes, I and II.
Glutamyl-tRNA synthetase (EC:6.1.1.17) is a class Ic synthetase and shows several similarities with glutaminyl-tRNA synthetase concerning structure and catalytic properties. It is an alpha2 dimer.
Archaea, cellular organelles, and some bacteria lack GlnRS. In these cases, the "non-descriminating" form of GluRS aminoacylates both tRNA(Glu) and tRNA(Gln) with Glu, which is converted to Gln when appropriate by a transamidation enzyme.
-!- SIMILARITY: BELONGS TO CLASS-I AMINOACYL-TRNA SYNTHETASE FAMILY.
DR FFAS; 283212; Fold and function assignment.
DR TVPC; TM1351; Homologs in PDB, JCSG and SG center.
DR OVP; TM1351; Ortholog view popup.
DR TPM; TM1351; Target PDB monitor.
DR FSS; TM1351; Target function coverage.


text:
Q: Search folders to a certain depth, so not to return every subfolder I have a simple button which when clicked populates a listbox of all subfolders which is contained in a textbox.  Is it possible to carry out the search so it only returns a certain depth/level of subfolders.
For example, instead of:
folder1>subfolder1>subfolder2>subfolder3>subfolder4
I can tell it to just return the first 2 levels:
folder1>subfolder1>subfolder2>
My current code is as follows
Private Sub Button1_Click(sender As Object, e As EventArgs) Handles Button1.Click
    AddFolders(txtsearchdirectory.Text)
End Sub
Private Sub AddFolders(root As String)
    ListBox1.Items.Add(root)
    Try
        For Each folder As String In My.Computer.FileSystem.GetDirectories(root)
            AddFolders(folder)
            Application.DoEvents()
        Next
    Catch ex As Exception
        System.Windows.Forms.MessageBox.Show(ex.Message)
    End Try
End Sub

A: I did something like this when working with a heavily populated tree view. I've tested it and it seems to do what you are asking for. If you want a variable maximum just add another parameter and pass it down the chain.
Private Sub Button1_Click(sender As Object, e As EventArgs) Handles Button1.Click
    AddFolders(txtsearchdirectory.Text, 0)
End Sub

Private Sub AddFolders(root As String, recursionDepth As Integer)
    If recursionDepth <= 2 Then
        ListBox1.Items.Add(root)
        Try
            For Each folder As String In My.Computer.FileSystem.GetDirectories(root)
                AddFolders(folder, recursionDepth + 1)
                Application.DoEvents()
            Next
        Catch ex As Exception
            System.Windows.Forms.MessageBox.Show(ex.Message)
        End Try
    End If
End Sub


Biscuit with Vanilla Cream - Your tongue can feel happier than you for it's sweet cream between biscuits.
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text:
subscribers-only, electric cars, electric vehicles, net zero, 2030 target, scott morrison, bill shorten, end the weekend
The federal government's new 2030 emissions projection is based on an uptake of electric cars that far exceeds the target Scott Morrison said would "end the weekend" when proposed by Labor at the last election, its internal modelling shows. The share of EV sales predicted under modelling for the government's new projection - 61 per cent by 2030 - is also more than double the proportion flagged in the Coalition's electric vehicle strategy published last week. The figures cast doubt over the government's concrete claim emissions will drop 35 per cent by 2030, allowing it to easily beat its official target. But the government remains confident it will meet its latest emissions projection based on its past record. Prime Minister Scott Morrison resisted pressure to increase the Coalition's official 2030 target of cutting emissions 26 to 28 per below 2005 levels at the Glasgow climate summit, choosing instead to announce the new projection. The government modelled two scenarios for its projection; a "baseline" which would achieve a 30 per cent reduction and a "high technology" scenario which would see emissions fall 35 per cent. Mr Morrison has stated definitively that a 35 per cent reduction would be achieved, as he continues to rule out raising the government's official 2030 target even after Australia signed an agreement in Glasgow which asked countries to return next year with more ambitious goals. Mr Morrison has made the unqualified declaration about the 2030 projection both at the climate summit and since returning to Australia, despite the government's own modelling showing that the 35 per cent figure comes with major caveats. For example, the scenario assumes the Morrison government meets its "stretch goals" for low-emissions technologies, including bringing the cost of clean hydrogen under $2 per kilogram and slashing the price of solar. The "high technology" scenario under which the 35 per cent target could be achieved also predicted an influx of electric vehicles on Australia's roads, at a pace and scale well beyond what Mr Morrison or Mr Taylor have publicly canvassed. Electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids would account for 61 per cent of new cars sold in 2030 under the ambitious scenario, according to Industry Department figures published alongside the government's net zero roadmap late last month. That figure is higher than what was envisaged under the policy Bill Shorten and Labor took to the 2019 election, which had a target of half of new cars sold in 2030 being electric. Mr Morrison and his senior colleagues relentlessly attacked Labor's proposal during the election campaign, claiming it would "end the weekend" by forcing Australians to ditch their petrol-powered 4WDs. Labor and the Coalition have both ruled out taking electric car sales targets to the next election. Unveiling the Coalition's new electric car strategy last week, Mr Morrison claimed he had never campaigned against the technology - only Mr Shorten's policies. The claim prompted Labor to accuse Mr Morrison of lying. The projection for EV car sales outlined in the "high technology" scenario was also more than double the number included in the strategy which Morrison announced last week. The government's plan estimated electric cars would account for just 30 per cent of new car sales in 2030, translating to about 1.7 million zero-emissions vehicles on Australia's roads by the end of the decade. The 30 per cent figure was included in the department's projection - but it was for the "baseline scenario" under which emissions were projected to fall by only 30 per cent on 2005 levels. That means the government's own policies do not align with Mr Morrison's firm claim that emissions will fall 35 per cent by the end of the decade. The "high technology" scenario also predicts a far quicker switch from petrol and diesel-powered cars, projecting that electric cars would make up a massive 27 per cent of sales in 2025. That's up from fewer than 1 per cent in 2019. The Canberra Times asked Energy and Emissions Reduction Minister Angus Taylor a series of questions about the document, including how the government could claim that it would meet its 35 per cent target if its own policies didn't align with the "high technology" scenario. A spokesman reiterated that the government projections had made clear that two scenarios had been modelled. READ MORE: It was confirmed that the the policies in the new electric car strategy were included in the "baseline scenario" - which predicts a 30 per cent emissions cut. But the government remains confident it will meet its new projections, pointing to its record of having already cut emissions by more than 20 per cent on 2005 levels. The government's $250 million electric vehicle strategy focuses on partnering with the private sector to build the infrastructure - in particular charging stations - needed to support a major influx of zero-emissions cars on Australia's roads. The Coalition's plan defied calls to use taxpayer-funded subsidies to reduce the upfront cost of electric vehicles, introduce new emissions standards or set an end date for the sale of petrol and diesel vehicles. Mr Morrison and Mr Taylor have argued that their plan would allow car owners to choose when to make the switch to electric vehicles.
/images/transform/v1/crop/frm/tPntrWhUbGLyDWYCTv46rt/79b93cae-9f21-4b19-9a70-8b51dd8fe052.jpg/r3_472_4934_3258_w1200_h678_fmax.jpg
November 17 2021 - 4:00AM
Coalition's 2030 climate projection relies on massive EV uptake
Electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids would account for 61 per cent of new cars sold in 2030 under the ambitious scenario assumed by the government in order for emissions to drop 35 per cent by 2030. Picture: Getty Images
The federal government's new 2030 emissions projection is based on an uptake of electric cars that far exceeds the target Scott Morrison said would "end the weekend" when proposed by Labor at the last election, its internal modelling shows.
The share of EV sales predicted under modelling for the government's new projection - 61 per cent by 2030 - is also more than double the proportion flagged in the Coalition's electric vehicle strategy published last week.
The figures cast doubt over the government's concrete claim emissions will drop 35 per cent by 2030, allowing it to easily beat its official target.
But the government remains confident it will meet its latest emissions projection based on its past record.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison resisted pressure to increase the Coalition's official 2030 target of cutting emissions 26 to 28 per below 2005 levels at the Glasgow climate summit, choosing instead to announce the new projection.
The government modelled two scenarios for its projection; a "baseline" which would achieve a 30 per cent reduction and a "high technology" scenario which would see emissions fall 35 per cent.
Mr Morrison has stated definitively that a 35 per cent reduction would be achieved, as he continues to rule out raising the government's official 2030 target even after Australia signed an agreement in Glasgow which asked countries to return next year with more ambitious goals.
Mr Morrison has made the unqualified declaration about the 2030 projection both at the climate summit and since returning to Australia, despite the government's own modelling showing that the 35 per cent figure comes with major caveats.
For example, the scenario assumes the Morrison government meets its "stretch goals" for low-emissions technologies, including bringing the cost of clean hydrogen under $2 per kilogram and slashing the price of solar.
The "high technology" scenario under which the 35 per cent target could be achieved also predicted an influx of electric vehicles on Australia's roads, at a pace and scale well beyond what Mr Morrison or Mr Taylor have publicly canvassed.
Electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids would account for 61 per cent of new cars sold in 2030 under the ambitious scenario, according to Industry Department figures published alongside the government's net zero roadmap late last month.
That figure is higher than what was envisaged under the policy Bill Shorten and Labor took to the 2019 election, which had a target of half of new cars sold in 2030 being electric.
Mr Morrison and his senior colleagues relentlessly attacked Labor's proposal during the election campaign, claiming it would "end the weekend" by forcing Australians to ditch their petrol-powered 4WDs.
Labor and the Coalition have both ruled out taking electric car sales targets to the next election.
Unveiling the Coalition's new electric car strategy last week, Mr Morrison claimed he had never campaigned against the technology - only Mr Shorten's policies.
The claim prompted Labor to accuse Mr Morrison of lying.
The projection for EV car sales outlined in the "high technology" scenario was also more than double the number included in the strategy which Morrison announced last week.
Bill Shorten was attacked throughout the 2019 campaign regarding Labor's climate policies. Picture: Getty Images
The government's plan estimated electric cars would account for just 30 per cent of new car sales in 2030, translating to about 1.7 million zero-emissions vehicles on Australia's roads by the end of the decade.
The 30 per cent figure was included in the department's projection - but it was for the "baseline scenario" under which emissions were projected to fall by only 30 per cent on 2005 levels.
That means the government's own policies do not align with Mr Morrison's firm claim that emissions will fall 35 per cent by the end of the decade.
The "high technology" scenario also predicts a far quicker switch from petrol and diesel-powered cars, projecting that electric cars would make up a massive 27 per cent of sales in 2025.
That's up from fewer than 1 per cent in 2019.
The Canberra Times asked Energy and Emissions Reduction Minister Angus Taylor a series of questions about the document, including how the government could claim that it would meet its 35 per cent target if its own policies didn't align with the "high technology" scenario.
A spokesman reiterated that the government projections had made clear that two scenarios had been modelled.
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It was confirmed that the the policies in the new electric car strategy were included in the "baseline scenario" - which predicts a 30 per cent emissions cut.
But the government remains confident it will meet its new projections, pointing to its record of having already cut emissions by more than 20 per cent on 2005 levels.
The government's $250 million electric vehicle strategy focuses on partnering with the private sector to build the infrastructure - in particular charging stations - needed to support a major influx of zero-emissions cars on Australia's roads.
The Coalition's plan defied calls to use taxpayer-funded subsidies to reduce the upfront cost of electric vehicles, introduce new emissions standards or set an end date for the sale of petrol and diesel vehicles.
Mr Morrison and Mr Taylor have argued that their plan would allow car owners to choose when to make the switch to electric vehicles.
This story If Shorten was going to 'end the weekend', PM's EV plan goes further first appeared on The Canberra Times.
Discuss "If Shorten was going to 'end the weekend', PM's EV plan goes further"


Transforming The Legal Studies Classroom: Clickers And Engagement, Susan Park J.D., Denise Farag J.D.
For students with developmental disabilities (DD), postsecondary education opportunities are increasing and they require focused academic skill instruction. Tools for progress monitoring (e.g., Curriculum-Based Measurement; CBM) are needed however, research with CBM and students with DD is limited. Participants will be able to evaluate the technical adequacy of these instruments.
Reread-Adapt and Answer-Comprehend (RAAC) is an intervention targeting difficulties with reading fluency and comprehension. Previous research has demonstrated RAAC to be effective for students with and without disabilities. This study extended research using RAAC by using goal setting and rewards. Participants will learn how to use these strategies to implement less intrusive changes for when a student does not respond to an empirically-based intervention prior to more intrusive changes (e.g., duration, frequency, different intervention).
A little over a year ago The Chronicle of Higher Education published a piece titled "Creating Your Web Presence: A Primer for Academics." We were excited to see some of the strategies Miriam Posner recommended for academics wanting to create and maintain a web presence. We had been doing many of the things Posner recommended, as well as a number of others. Thus, in many ways this article builds on Posner's piece but argues that faculty should be taking even more steps to build, maintain, and ensure that others can find their presence on the web.
I was invited to give the annual talk on transitioning into a tenure-track position from the Ph.D. at USC. This talk was sponsored by USC's Center for Excellence in Teaching.
Presenters will share (a) tools for monitoring child outcomes and implementation of key features of PWPBS, and (b) strategies for using these tools to make data-based decisions and inform practice in early childhood settings.
This article describes a promising model in comprehensive special education personnel preparation to support the recruitment and retention of special education teachers in rural areas. The approach draws on several bodies of research to include best practices for teacher education, online service delivery, collaboration among key stakeholders, and the development of strong mentoring and induction programs. The implementation plan, based on evidence-based practice in special education and online learning, is presented. A key element of this plan is developing and maintaining strong relationships among rural districts, the state department of education, and higher education.
The PEBS Survey is a self-assessment of universal, targeted and individualized program-wide positive behavior supports in early childhood settings. It provides an assessment of staff perception of current implementation and priority for improvement of key features of program-wide positive behavior support.


Nukes are all the rage these days. The US and Russia just trashed the IRBM or intermediate range ballistic missile treaty inked by Reagan and Gorbachev back in the good old days.
But wait, there's more. A Russian diplomat warns that the New Start treaty signed by Obama and then Russian president Medvedev is also in peril.
...Ryabkov expressed particular worry about U.S. plans to produce new, low-yield nuclear weapons, warning that it could dramatically lower the threshold for their use.
In what might be a first, Russia, the United States and France yesterday launched nuclear capable missiles within hours of each other.
But wait, there's more. Not to be left out, China is making nuke news of its own. The South China Morning Post reports that, after 55 years, China is mulling over its "no first use" policy on nuclear weapons.
According to Zhao Tong, a fellow in Carnegie's Nuclear Policy Programme, based at the Carnegie–Tsinghua Centre for Global Policy, the US and its allies are stepping up their anti-submarine warfare in the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean.
In a report late last year, Zhao said this was increasing mistrust between the two countries and raising the possibility that Beijing might rethink the "no first use" nuclear weapons policy, which has been in place since the first Chinese nuclear test in 1964.
In a separate report, the Washington-based US-China Economic and Security Review Commission said Beijing was looking at expanding its nuclear delivery systems, setting off debate in China over whether its nuclear arms should be used only as a deterrent and not as a "first strike".
But wait, there's more. Satellite images have come out in the press lately of a ballistic missile factory in the desert near Riyadh in Saudi Arabia.
The Saudis, it seems, want a missile capability similar to Iran's. That's the almost good news. The bad news is who is apparently giving the Saudis a hand - Pakistan and China.
US defence experts told CNBC that the development indicates a growing desire by Riyadh, Washington's longtime ally, to take offensive measures without the approval of its main weapons sponsor.
Pakistan conducted its first nuclear bomb test in 1998. India now believes Pakistan has amassed upwards of 140 nuclear warheads. At one point, early in its nuclear history, Pakistan's Ali Bhutto referred to his country's device as the "Islamic Bomb." That was interpreted as imbuing the weapon with a pan-Muslim (Sunni, that is) connotation. And, in fairness, the father of Pakistan's bomb, Abdul Khan, who stole most of the secret technology while working in Europe, was involved in helping Qaddafi's Libya with its own nuke programme.
Well, I could go on but I think that's enough nuke news for one day.
Such a fine looking angle. Anyong.
Today is Friday.. when possible I spend the entire day in a public library.. will I slip into a military mood ? Or look at historical photos ? Collected imagery of nature ? There is something special about spreading open a book that is almost 4 feet wide when opened with captioned glossy images. West Coast indigenous art is one of my faves.. might be just the ticket !
This week has made my skin crawl a bit, Sal. I wrote an earlier piece on why IRBMs, intermediate/short range ballistic missiles are so problematic. Then the talk about scrapping New Start, China re-evaluating "no first strike," Saudi Arabia's ballistic missile plant and testing range, and Trump's plan to develop a whole new range of tactical nuclear weapons. That's a full plate. In my day, which was the tac nuke era, we used to take the piss out of Anita Bryant and call them "those little bags of instant sunshine."