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Q: Predict the next number in a sequence of decreasing probabilities Apologies if the question is phrased incorrectly, i've struggled to understand the right terminology which would have allowed me to research this myself.
I have a series of probabilities in a table, where the probability of an event happening three times is less than the probability of it happening twice.
I have historical data of predictions showing the predicted probability of an event happening two and three times. I then have more predictions which only show the probability of it happening twice, but are missing the predictions for the event happening three times.
The complete data that had predictions for the event happening both two and three times appears to increase in a fairly logical pattern and I think I should be able to estimate what the probability of the event happening three times is where that data is missing.

two_events
three_events
diff
percent_increase

20.78
5.42
15.36
73.917228

21.14
5.58
15.56
73.604541

23.78
6.76
17.02
71.572750

23.96
6.89
17.07
71.243740

24.98
7.32
17.66
70.696557

24.99
7.32
17.67
70.708283

25.22
7.43
17.79
70.539255

26.65
8.14
18.51
69.455910

28.02
8.85
19.17
68.415418

29.57
9.67
19.90
67.297937

30.94
10.42
20.52
66.321913

31.05
10.49
20.56
66.215781

31.29
10.62
20.67
66.059444

32.00
11.03
20.97
65.531250

32.71
11.44
21.27
65.025986

34.21
12.33
21.88
63.957907

34.31
12.39
21.92
63.888079

35.56
13.17
22.39
62.964004

36.13
13.52
22.61
62.579574

36.46
13.74
22.72
62.314866

36.58
13.81
22.77
62.247130

38.86
15.31
23.55
60.602162

39.97
16.06
23.91
59.819865

41.62
17.22
24.40
58.625661

41.83
17.37
24.46
58.474779

42.95
18.22
24.73
57.578580

45.15
19.35
25.80
57.142857

46.33
20.73
25.60
55.255774

48.45
22.42
26.03
53.725490

48.52
22.49
26.03
53.647980

49.80
23.54
26.26
52.730924

50.78
24.37
26.41
52.008665

52.55
25.90
26.65
50.713606

53.11
26.40
26.71
50.291847

61.85
34.84
27.01
43.670170

62.34
35.36
26.98
43.278794

64.98
38.22
26.76
41.181902

69.28
43.17
26.11
37.687644

72.29
46.91
25.38
35.108590

75.13
50.63
24.50
32.610142

I think I should be able to use this to predict that if the probability of two events happening is 21%, then the probability of three events happening is going to be roughly 5.50% for example.

two_events
three_events
diff
percent_increase

20.78
5.42
15.36
73.917228

21 (example)
??? (presumably 5.50 or 5.51)
???
???

21.14
5.58
15.56
73.604541

To be clear the first column is not sequential in anyway, I am only looking at predicting what the second column would be based on the first.
It also does not need to be a perfect formula, only roughly correct
But I do not know how to come up with a formula to calculate this or the right terminology to use to search for it.

Thanks to a great link in the answers i've been given the following formula:
$$y=a(x+b)^d+c$$
With these variables:
a = 0.00000154534
b = 75.0975
c = 3.47686
d = 6.59594
But I am not sure how to write that out in something like Excel or code such as Python, Javascript or SQL.
If I use
((0.00000154534(21+75.0975))^3.47686)+6.59594
to work out the value of 21, which should be 5.50, they all result in an error and seem to require something between a(x+b).
I assume there is a function for whatever a(x+b) is doing that you would have to use in Excel or similar, but i'm afraid I have no idea what it is called and have found it impossible to Google.
Confusingly typing ((0.00000154534(21+75.0975))^3.47686)+6.59594 into Google comes out with 6.59594 so i'm clearly making a basic error somewhere.
Could you please provide an example either using an Excel formula or code?

A: Welcome to MSE!
What you're describing sounds like you're looking to interpolate or extrapolate from this data to other possible points.
You have two possibilities. In both cases, though, the difference $P_2-P_3$ isn't all that useful. Nor is the increase from one data point to the next. What you'd really like is to find a function such that $P_3=f(P_2)$.
Since this data set looks relatively smooth, you could just do two-point interpolation. In other words, if you have a $P_2$ within the bounds of the dataset, take the points above and below it, and pretend the line they define is the function (for this part of the data). You don't even really have to "graph" it, just find the formula of the line and plug in your $P_2$ value.
Sadly, that only works for interpolation. If you need something outside the bounds of the dataset, you'll have to do more.
Better than two-point interpolation is to use a curve-fitting program. There are several places online to do a curve-fit; personally I like Desmos because it plays well, though sometimes it doesn't like copy/paste. You also need some guess as to the form of the equation for Desmos--other systems likely do, Excel being an example.
This looks approximately quadratic, at least in the middle of its range. Possibly a different exponent would be useful. Letting the $x$-axis be $P_2$ and the $y$-axis be $P_3$, I'd try fitting to the forms:
$$y=ax^2+c$$
or more complex:
$$y=a(x-b)^d+c$$
to account for a possible offset on the $x$-axis.
Good luck!
(I say approximately quadratic because, for instance, $16=40\% \cdot 40$, and $24 \approx 50\%\cdot 50$.)

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The Australian Homelessness Clearinghouse is administered by FaHCSIA. Currently little is known about the experience of single fathers who are homeless and their families. Even less is known about their experience of homelessness services and how these services respond to their needs, particularly their needs in relation to their parenting role.
"Connections between a father and their children remain an essential part of health and transition out of homelessness..."
This resource examined the effects on homelessness of single fathers, how services provided for this group and what the interactions between homeless single fathers, their children and homelessness services entailed.
The report shows a number of gaps in the abilities of service providers to fully consider what homeless single fathers who have children actually need and what impacts this context has on transitioning out of being homeless.
Several important findings have emerged from this report which are often out of the scope of consideration of services, which despite their best efforts sometimes miss important considerations or make standard assumptions about the needs of fathers who present at their services.
The pathways that lead this population to being homeless involve complex interactions and declines in family relationships, occupations, housing and associated connections. For men, separation normally acts as the precursor to being homeless from which eviction and employment loss often follow.
Services are often geared up to provide for single mothers or single fathers and cope less well with fathers who have children with them or who wish to maintain the kinds of connections with their children that would enable them to maintain their mental wellbeing.
The connection between fathering and contact with one's children, and impacts on attaining or maintaining health and wellbeing is only slowly being realised by some services. A key factor in transitioning back to stable housing is that of contact with one's children - so the emphasis on maintaining these connections provides motivation and support for homeless fathers.
Fathers who present for services can still be subject to erroneous assumptions that reduce their confidence and ability to effectively parent their children. These assumptions can further restrict homeless fathers' ability to improvide their situation and also act as reinforcing effects in services that continue to expect low outcomes from homeless men.
Full report that describes interactions between homeless single fathers, contact with their children and responses by services.
Two-page summary factsheet of the report with key findings and implications for services.
Accessible Word two-page factsheet summary of the report.


Sanity is a lone voice crying in the desert.
The world is under increasing threat from as yet undiscovered sources of icefire, but all the people who have answers are cut off from the authorities, kings or councils, with the power to mobilise the scientists and armies to keep the world safe.
Young meteorology student Javes is stuck in the remote desert of the north. The area bristles with technology of an ancient past, but he cannot tell anyone about it because roads and telegraph lines have been cut by bad weather and invading bandits.
Lana, a fellow student, is on her way to meet him, but Aranian soldiers raid the bus that she's travelling on. She is taken to the capital to serve at the king's court.


text:
Reelsville is an unincorporated community in central Washington Township, Putnam County, in the U.S. state of Indiana.  It lies along local roads just north of U.S. Route 40, southwest of the city of Greencastle, the county seat of Putnam County.  Its elevation is 676 feet (206 m), and it is located at  (39.5575439, -86.9669567).  Although Reelsville is unincorporated, it has a post office, with the ZIP code of 46171.

History
Reelsville was laid out in 1852 by John Reel, and named for him. A post office has been in operation at Reelsville since 1852.

References

Unincorporated communities in Putnam County, Indiana
Unincorporated communities in Indiana

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Changes to OpenTable Gift Cards | Now when you activate your OpenTable Gift Card, you will be mailed a physical prepaid Mastercard. Dine at any restaurant that accepts prepaid Mastercard. Bon appetit!
Lucky you! Something delicious awaits. Start by entering your activation or coupon code.


BeTogether Tours is located in Paris. Add BeTogether Tours and other attractions to your Paris trip itinerary using our Paris road trip planning site .
That's great! Our Guide Guillermo explained it very well and he was very attentive to all of us:) Super Recommended!


text:
Centrolene acanthidiocephalum és una espècie de granota que viu a Colòmbia.

Referències
 Ardila-Robayo, M.C. & Rueda, J.V. 2004. Centrolene acanthidiocephalum. Llista Vermella d'Espècies Amenaçades de la UICN 2006. Consulta: 25 d'abril del 2008.

Acanthidiocephalum


The most alluring stories about cities are those that revolve around our relationships to places and each other. Cities are where wealth pours, where the poorest hide and where power plays out in the spaces in between. This has always been the case, though now these flows are more visible than ever before. The social unrest in Baltimore over the past few months has made this clear, as daily footage was streamed around the world of clashes between the state and its citizens, from thousands of perspectives.
However, with increasing exposure, the risk also increases that the story gets boiled down to representations where the most spectacular components – those most resembling a Hollywood film – float to the top and are plucked and presented as wholly representative. The battle lines (sometimes less literal than in Waco) that emerge in cities are often an indication of something more systemic bubbling beneath the surface.
The sensibilities of a researcher or journalist who undertakes what the anthropologist Clifford Geertz called "deep hanging out" is more crucial than ever. What we need in Waco, Baltimore and Brixton is not more shallow coverage of clashes; we need to embolden new ethnographers and long-form journalists in those communities to pen stories from the inside out.
Understanding the nuances of city stories, and tracing those tensions, requires immersion and patience. Whether we are writing about police work, protests, squatting, free parties, banking or parkour, the best socially engaged journalism – like the best university research – is rooted in participation, spiked with empathy, and resists being reduced to spectacle fodder.
As any war correspondent will tell you, immersion can also be dangerous. Going deep can cause us to lose a sense of the broader picture. Hanging out means we might be changed by our experiences. Immersion may mean that we, as storytellers, become part of that story. However, some of the most powerful work about cities has embraced those dangers and folded them into the narrative – as I tried to do in my research with urban explorers in London over the past few years.
When I arrived in London, in 2008, I knew little about urban exploration and even less about photography (the principal medium of these explorers). My first trespasses with what would become the London Consolidation Crew, into the power control rooms of Battersea power station and the derelict corridors of Victorian mental hospitals, were terrifying, thrilling and edifying.
By 2010, I had explored hundreds of locations in five countries with them, including an abandoned Soviet military base outside of Berlin called Vogelsang, where we stood on launch pads that once held nuclear missiles perched and primed to fire at London. Embedded with this crew, I have walked London's hidden rivers, run railway tracks in the middle of the night to access ghost stations in the Tube, dangled my legs over the edge of an 80-storey skyscraper in Chicago and helped build a secret hideout – sans permission – underneath the streets of Paris. Most importantly, though, I built bonds with a community that will last a lifetime, and those experiences saturate everything I write and do now.
Just as the boundaries between academic disciplines are breaking down, so too is the brittle boundary between research and journalism. A clutch of good work through history has straddled this edge. For instance, Henry Mayhew's 19th-century social surveys of London's poor, Douglas Harper's 20th-century visual research on freighthopping, and Alice Goffman's 21st-century ethnographic accounts of African Americans trapped in a revolving door of legal precarity in Philadelphia.
All of these projects share a commitment to immersion that undermines the boundaries between the researcher and the researched. We are saturated in a milieu of small stories about people asserting their rights to cities in various ways. The empathetic eye of the journalist-ethnographer can locate those stories and stick with them, stepping over the line from observation to participation. Doing so carries with it dangers – but then cities have always been dangerous places. That is part of why we love living in them.
The most important ethnography I have ever read, Goffman's gripping narrative of living for six years in an inner-city neighbourhood in Philadelphia made me see race and class in America in a different light, and wonder – as many good ethnographies will – how she ever got as close to the community as she did.
Pink embedded herself with female bullfighters in Andalusia and her photographs of their practice became both invaluable research materials and valuable gifts for the community.
Thompson's first non-fiction novel is a breathless and brave portrait of the most notorious biker gang in the world, which led to him being brutally assaulted for his criticisms of their macho culture, much as he clearly also revelled in it.
A well-written and beautifully photographed ethnography of Harper's experiences in 1960s America, crossing the country with tramps in box cars headed west on the search for transient agricultural work.
In this insightful and often mirthful auto-ethnography, everyday survival meets research methodology when Ferrell quits his job as a tenured professor and lives for eight months on what he finds in other people's bins.
Author, academic and urban explorer Bradley Garrett will be one of the speakers at the Guardian Masterclasses How To Write About Cities seminar on Saturday 23 May. Go here for more details.


UF Information Technology (UFIT) is currently seeking a professional-level Applications Developer Analyst to join Enterprise Systems, a unit within UFIT.
Enterprise Systems maintains and operates the software that powers UF's enterprise-wide computer systems creating the technological foundation for the campus' academic and administrative business functions.
Participates in designing, coding, testing, implementing, quality assurance, documentation and maintenance of application software. Assisting with recommendations towards the development of new code/data/reports or reuse/enhancement of existing.
Works with project team and customers to analyze requirements, create design specifications and prototypes, develop and test new code, and deploy builds.
Makes recommendations for development of new code or reuse/enhancement of existing code.
Participates in component and data architecture design, performance monitoring, product evaluation and buy versus build recommendations.
Provides estimates of the design and development efforts.
Assists with developing best practices related to development, testing, and change management procedures.
The UF Information Technology division is comprised of seven departments reporting to the Vice President & Chief Information Officer. The departments reporting directly to the VP & CIO are: Academic Technology, Research Computing, Infrastructure & Communications Technology, Enterprise Systems, Information Security Office, and the UFIT Business Center. With established governance advisory committees and a set of well-defined, transparent processes aiding decision-making, UFIT strives to provide exceptional IT services in support of UF's mission. For more information about UFIT and its goals and governance, visit: http://www.it.ufl.edu/vp-cio-office/strategic-plan/.
Learn more about UFIT at https://it.ufl.edu/ and @GoGatorsUFIT.
Founded in 1853, the University of Florida is a member of the prestigious American Association of Universities, and one of only six universities in the country with colleges of agriculture, medicine, law, and veterinary medicine. The University maintains a Research-1 classification, the highest level in the Carnegie classification system. UF has more than 54,000 students from all 50 states and 100 countries, 5,000 faculty members, 10,000 employees, 900 buildings in 130 locations around the state, and delivers a $15.5 billion annual impact on the state. The University of Florida includes 16 colleges, 180 centers and institutes, and service and extension programs in all of Florida's 67 counties.
UF is one of the nation's top universities and a dynamic and rewarding place to work. The University seeks to recruit and retain a diverse workforce as a reflection of its commitment to serve a diverse global community. Plus, UF is located in Gainesville, one of Florida's most livable cities. Known for its natural attractions (wetlands, forests, springs, wildlife) and cultural offerings (music, theater, visual arts, and historic districts), the area also is gaining a reputation as a thriving hub for high-tech start-ups, as well as invention and research collaborations. We are excited about what's happening here and know you will want to be a part of it.
$50,000 – $70,000 annually, commensurate based on experience and education. In addition, the University of Florida offers a very competitive benefits package.
To qualify, the applicant must have completed an Associate's degree and have two (2) years of relevant experience; or a high school diploma, or equivalent, and four (4) years of relevant experience.
Appropriate college coursework or vocational/technical training may substitute at an equivalent rate for the required experience.
This requisition is open until filled. Applications will be reviewed as they are received.
Application must be submitted by 11:55 p.m. of the posting end date.
UF Information Technology (UFIT) is currently seeking a professional-level Applications Developer Analyst to join Enterprise Systems, a unit within UFIT. Enterprise Systems maintains and operates the software that powers UF's enterprise-wide computer systems creating the technological foundation for the campus' academic and administrative business functions.


text:
Q: NoneType object is not callable Только недавно начал учить python. Задача состоит в том, чтобы создать key-value хранилище. При запуске только с ключом требуется вернуть его значение из файла, если на вход подается ключ и значение то добавить в файл.
Ошибка при попытке запустить с ключом и значением. Подскажите в чем проблема?
import sys
import argparse
import os
import tempfile
import json

def create_parser():
    parser = argparse.ArgumentParser()
    parser.add_argument('--key')
    parser.add_argument('--value')
    return parser

parser = create_parser()
namespace = parser.parse_args()
str = None
if namespace.value is None:
    storage_filename = os.path.join(tempfile.gettempdir(), 'storage.data')
    if os.path.exists('storage.data'):
        with open(storage_filename, 'r') as f:
            json_string = f.readlines()
        parsed_str = json.loads(json_string)
        bool = False
        for arg in parsed_str[namespace.key]:
            str = ", " + arg if bool is True else arg
            bool = True

        print(str)
    else:
        print("File not found")
else:
    storage_filename = os.path.join(tempfile.gettempdir(), 'storage.data')
    if os.path.exists('storage.date'):
        with open(storage_filename, 'a') as f:
            f.write(dict({str(namespace.key): str(namespace.value)}))
    else:
        with open(storage_filename, 'w') as f:
            f.write(dict({str(namespace.key): str(namespace.value)}))

Ошибка:
C:\Users\Aleksey>python "C:\Users\Aleksey\playground\Key-value хранилище.py" --key Astrakhan --value 1
Traceback (most recent call last):
  File "C:\Users\Aleksey\playground\Key-value хранилище.py", line 39, in <module>
    f.write(dict({str(namespace.key): str(namespace.value)}))
TypeError: 'NoneType' object is not callable

A: В Python нет различия между именами функций (в том числе встроенных) и именами переменных. Поэтому, если вы явно перезаписали str значением None, то вы уже не сможете вызвать эту функцию под этим именем. Выход - никогда (даже если очень хочется) не использовать в качестве имен переменных имена встроенных функций, например str, list и т.д. Если заменить в вашем коде имя переменной str, на любое другое (свободное), то все будет работать нормально.


Green Belt Movement International- Europe is pleased to announce the Third Annual Wangari Maathai Memorial Lecture on Tuesday, June 16th to be held at St James Piccadilly Church. The annual event, in honour of Green Belt Movement founder and 2004 Nobel Peace Prize Laureate, Professor Wangari Maathai, will build upon Professor's lifework and project her legacy for future forest conservation.
Green Belt Movement (GBM) today attended a symposium on the Management of the Ecological Crisis in Kenya at St. Paul's University Kenya; our Executive Director Aisha Karanja was the keynote speaker at the event.
In collaboration with the African Union Commission (AUC), the Government of Kenya, the Green Belt Movement (GBM) and the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) will host a day-long Women and Environment Forum to explore the multiple dimensions of gender and natural resource management.
In recognition of the work of the late Nobel Laureate Professor Wangari Maathai, the African Union (AU) designated the 3rd of March, every year, as Wangari Maathai Day (WMD) to be observed in conjunction with Africa Environmental Day (AED).
Green Belt Movement (GBM) held its 2014 Annual Review at Lang'ata Training Centre on 19th and 20th February 2015.


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Home / Notes / English /
The beginning of English old and middle english (600_1485)
Classified in English
Written at March 30, 2020 on English with a size of 6.13 KB.
Chaucer: What connection used to have his life with literature? BIBLIOGRAPHY
Chaucer was born in London in the early 1340s, the only son in his family. Chaucer's father, originally a property-owning wine merchant, became tremendously wealthy so he was therefore able to send the young Geoffrey off as a page to the Countess of Ulster, which meant that Geoffrey was not required to follow in his ancestors' footsteps and become a merchant. Eventually, Chaucer began to serve the countess's husband, Prince Lionel, son to King Edward III. For most of his life, Chaucer served in the Hundred Years War between England and France, both as a soldier and, since he was fluent in French and Italian and conversant in Latin and other tongues, as a diplomat.
In or around 1378, Chaucer began to develop his vision of an English poetry that would be linguistically accessible to all. Instead, Chaucer wrote in the vernacular, the English that was spoken in and around London in his day.
That the nobles and kings Chaucer served were impressed with Chaucer's skills as a negotiator is obvious from the many rewards he received for his service.
His experience overseeing imported cloths might be why he frequently describes in exquisite detail the garments and fabric that attire his characters. Chaucer held the position at the customhouse for twelve years, after which he left London for Kent, the county in which Canterbury is located.
The Canterbury Tales documents the various social tensions in the manner of the popular genre of estates satire, the narrator refrains from making overt political statements, and what he does say is in no way thought to represent Chaucer's own sentiments.
What books did he write before the Canterbury Tales?
Roman de la Rose (1367): written by Guillame de Loris, but translated into English by Chaucer.
The Book of the Duchess (1369): It is an elegy, and he wrote it because the duchess was his wife´s friend.
The House of Fame (1379): It is a comic fantasy, in which the poet is going to be rewarded.
The Parlement of Foules (1382): This is a beast fable
Troilus and Criseye (Mid 1380s): Eternal love story inspired on a story by Boccaccio: Filostrato.
Is a love story that happens during the war of Troy. Is a tragedy.
General plan of Canterbury Tales
The Canterbury Tales is unfinished. It is a collection of 120 stories where everything is connected. Each story is different (love, saint lives, fairy tales, animals, badwy stories...) Canterbury was a shrine of Christianity in Middle English and the story that everyone tells corresponds with their personality.
Social Hierarchy: Class division
The military state: knight, squire and yeoman
The clerical state: prioress, monk and friar
Laity:
Professionals: merchant, clerk, sergeant of the law, franklin, guildsmen, cook
Good men: parson, ploughman
Stewards: Millers, manciple, reeve (people who works for other people)
Church officers: summoner, pardoner (they take advantage of their position to get money)
The narrator and the author share many features. Chaucer describes with kindness: the knight, the clerk and the ploughman.
General prologue and characters
At the Tabard Inn, a tavern in Southwark, near London, the narrator joins a company of twenty-nine pilgrims. The pilgrims, like the narrator, are traveling to the shrine of the martyr Saint Thomas Becket in Canterbury. The narrator gives a descriptive account of twenty-seven of these pilgrims, including a Knight, Squire, Yeoman, Prioress, Monk, Friar, Merchant, Clerk, Man of Law, Franklin, Haberdasher, Carpenter, Weaver, Dyer, Tapestry-Weaver, Cook, Shipman, Physician, Wife, Parson, Plowman, Miller, Manciple, Reeve, Summoner, Pardoner, and Host. (He does not describe the Second Nun or the Nun's Priest, although both characters appear later in the book.) The Host, whose name, we find out in the Prologue to the Cook's Tale, is Harry Bailey, suggests that the group ride together and entertain one another with stories. He decides that each pilgrim will tell two stories on the way to Canterbury and two on the way back. Whomever he judges to be the best storyteller will receive a meal at Bailey's tavern, courtesy of the other pilgrims. The pilgrims draw lots and determine that the Knight will tell the first tale.
The Miller´s Tale
A tale of bawdy comedy which takes much of its style from the fabliau. The character of the miller is disgusting and even though his personality, Chaucer sends the message that "we have to live with these people". The message of the story is hidden between the words. There is a parallelism between this Tale and the Knight´s one. Both of them are paradox:
He tells the story of an impoverished student named Nicholas, who persuades his landlord's sexy young wife, Alisoun, to spend the night with him. He convinces his landlord, a carpenter named John, that the second flood is coming, and tricks him into spending the night in a tub hanging from the ceiling of his barn. Absolon, a young parish clerk who is also in love with Alisoun, appears outside the window of the room where Nicholas and Alisoun lie together. When Absolon begs Alisoun for a kiss, she sticks her rear end out the window in the dark and lets him kiss it. Absolon runs and gets a red-hot poker, returns to the window, and asks for another kiss; when Nicholas sticks his bottom out the window and farts, Absolon brands him on the buttocks. Nicholas's cries for water make the carpenter think that the flood has come, so the carpenter cuts the rope connecting his tub to the ceiling, falls down, and breaks his arm.
Karma: 8%
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Another pilot for CW, Insatiable, is also setting up in Atlanta in March. A drama inspired by actual Southern attorney and beauty pageant coach Bill Alverson (star of TLC's reality series Coach Charming), it boasts Debby Ryan (Disney Channel's Jessie, pictured), Erinn Westbrook (Awkward) and Michael Provost (Six) among its stars. Dexter co-producer Lauren Gussis is the writer and co-executive producer behind this one, with Andrew Fleming (The Craft) directing.


Grab a pot and some paint and create something bright and fun for Spring! Here are 10 DIY painted pot tutorials to inspire you!
Thank you for sharing superb informations. I am impressed by the details that you have on this website. It reveals how nicely you perceive this subject.
Whatever game you have played i don't know but anytime i have searching the game that you can enjoyed a lot you must have to play this game that i can share with you.


Levy's Basic Series 2.5" chrome-tan leather guitar strap with belt-style adjustment. Adjustable from 38" to 53"
Return Policy: We allow a 48 hour approval period. In the event of a return, the buyer pays shipping both ways. The instrument must be returned in original condition as it was shipped with all hang tags, certificates and warranty cards.


text:
Creative Excellence Fridays - Road to the Superbowl
Creative excellence Fridays - New Year's Resolutions
Creative Excellence Fridays - Couch gating into 2013
Apple's first new commercial for 2013
Superbowl hype. Every year it's also thought of as the Super bowl of commercials with advertisers spending millions to showcase their commercial, and often times their new marketing strategy or product launch. What shall we expect in this years game? Well, besides the game, here's a tee up of some of the advertisers who shelled out the 3.8 million dollars per 30 seconds.
Budweiser, of course.
Jay-Z had creative input into a commercial in which he'll appear.
Audi of America will run one 60-second spot, their sixth Super Bowl appearance in as many years. Their shop Venables, Bell and Partners are still working on the creative and production.
Best Buy hired the much publicized Crispin Porter & Bogusky, to do the creative and social marketing.
Cars.com will return with a :30. They're using new AOR McGarryBowen.
Century 21 will feature their spot from Red Tettemer and Partners.
Coke has let their polar bears drift out on an ice flow and are going a different direction for this year's game spot.
Doritos, for the seventh consecutive year, will run the winner from their annual best amateur-produced commercial.
Ford will attempt to breathe new life into the Lincoln brand after an abysmal fall off since 1990. The spot is said to be featuring an Abraham Lincoln lookalike, vintage Lincolns, and famed historic Lincoln owners Clark Gable and Dean Martin leaning against front fender of the new MKZ through computer wizardry.
GoDaddy is using new shop Deutsch New York to add a bit more maturity to their brand. Their frat boy approach has finally worn thin with new management.
Hyundai and Kia will both be back this year along with Mercedes.
Pepsi is sponsoring the half game show.
And watch for the new Samsung commercial. It's produced by the longtime Apple creative director who jumped ship after the "Genius" campaign to Samsung's new agency 72andSunny.
And finally, one of my favourites from last year, Volkswagen returns. But the dog will not.
Tim McLarty currently works out of Toronto Canada as a writer/voice performer, producer and media strategist producing advertising and entertainment content.
I read somewhere this week, that by January 10th most people have given up on the resolution they made on the 1st. But those first 10 days? An epiphany.
This week's theme? New Years resolutions. And a fine commercial to start from Google, promoting their Google Play service.
A great tag line for Planet Fitness; no gymtimination. I think this may have been the locker room of the Kardashians gym.
Credits go to Red Tettemer + Partners. This spot is so silly and falls in line with the message that Planet Fitness avoids the "gym mentality".
And remember, "bros know when they get their burn on."
Here's a controversial stop smoking commercial from a few years back out of Sweden. This raised a lot of eyebrows and got considerable press. You'll see why after you watch it.
And finally, this spot made me smile and plays off the ridiculousness of peer pressure. It's cleverly executed and the logic makes sense; in an icky sort of way.
Here's hoping you have much creative excellence in 2013.
Tim McLarty currently works out of Toronto Canada as a writer/voice performer, producer and media strategist producing advertising and entertainment content through Ontrack Communications.
Creative Excellence Friday's first blog of the new year looks at Couchgating. It's a word. Look it up. At least that's how it's described in this new KFC viral piece that is starting the rounds. Will this show up on broadcast television? No doubt.
But the beauty of the web allows a piece like this to be played with all the comic timing it requires to have maximum impact. Sometimes it just takes a minute and 12 seconds to say it. This is something we didn't have the luxury of in the pre-net days.
I'm not trying to sound like one of those "in my day things were better" guys. Because I truly love the video canvas and lack of time restrictions. Bring it on.
However, if someone did just happen to want to make a commercial in exactly 60 seconds, here's proof it can still be very effective without "cramping your creative style".
Don't you love the performances? Perfectly cast. And who doesn't know someone like that; that guy/gal who comes around your cubicle with the sole purpose of having you entertain them because they're bored. A million views later, a lot of people obviously agree...ads can be entertaining as hell.
Posted by Tim.McLarty at 1:54 PM 0 comments
Apple is back with their first new commercial of 2013 starring tennis venoms The Williams sisters. The problem is, the product they're promoting is getting the same barbs as Apple maps. It is buggy. At least that's the word according to legions of bloggers who have tried to use the app.
I'll admit I blog from hear say only as I'm still holding on to my Blackberry. And waiting patiently for Rim's much touted Blackberry 10.
But we're talking about Apple here. So, without further ado, here's Apples new commercial featuring Venus and Sarina and the voice of Jeff Daniels.


In the third round of the 2019 RBC Heritage, C.
In the second round of the 2019 RBC Heritage, Billy Horschel sinks a 36-foot birdie putt on the par-3 4th hole.
Tiger Woods made his first public appearance at his own restaurant on Friday night, wearing his green jacket.
Saturday's third round at the RBC Heritage begins a bit later after play was suspended in the second round Friday due to storms.
Defending champion Brooke Henderson shot a 3-under on Friday for a share of the third round lead with Nelly Korda in the Lotte Championship.


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Europe's second biggest oil firm BP plc head Bob Dudley and his partner Reliance Industries Chairman Mukesh Ambani on Monday sought clarity on pricing of natural gas as they felt an interim arrangement being considered by the government was inadequate.
Mr. Dudley, on a stop-over visit on way to Shanghai, along with Mr. Ambani drove to Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia's residence for a breakfast meeting on Monday morning and had sought a meeting with Law Minister Ashwani Kumar.
The duo are believed to have sought clarity on pricing of natural gas from April next year when the current sub-market price of $ 4.2 per million British thermal unit expires.
"They are very concerned, they are very keen that government that a view (soon). That process is underway. I wasn't able to tell him what we are going to decide," Mr. Ahluwalia told reporters in New Delhi.
BP-RIL want the government to spell out a clear roadmap for migrating to market determined gas pricing in the next 3-5 years so as to provide clarity to producers to make investment decisions.
"I did say that there is an EGoM (Empowered Group of Ministers) and it will be considering Rangarajan Committee (recommendation)," Mr. Ahluwalia added.
Mr. Ahluwalia and Mr. Kumar are members of the ministerial panel on gas pricing and allocation (EGoM) headed by Defence Minister A K Antony.
Mr. Dudley, on his second visit in as many months, and Mr. Ambani feel the Rangarajan Committee recommendation of doubling domestic natural gas price to $8-8.5 per mmBtu will be inadequate for bringing high risk deep-sea discoveries to production.


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The Ten Best Political Books of 2012
New Yorker (blog)
A wonderful history of moderate Republicanism. The chapter on George Romney alone is worth the price of the book. Biggest flaw: The author's contention that moderate Republicanism represents a coherent ideology rather than an approach to politics is ...
Amazon wins an e-book fight in Europe - CSMonitor.com
According to settlement terms, retailers can cut e-book prices and offer discounts for a period of two years. And the publishers must suspend "most favored nation" contracts for five years. These contracts effectively barred publishers from selling e ...
Book Review Podcast: Old Hollywood - NYTimes.com
This week in The New York Times Book Review, Molly Haskell reviews two newbooks about old Hollywood: "The Noir Forties: The American People From Victory to Cold War," by Richard Lingeman, and "The Entertainer," in which Margaret Talbot writes...
Tablet's Dominating Ebook Readers
English: A woman cuddling a pile of digital devices: laptops, smartphones, tablets,ebook readers etc. (Photo credit: Wikipedia). Multi-use tablet sales are dominating single-use ebook readers. IHS estimates that ebook sales will decrease 36% this year ...
The New York Review of Books versus Salman Rushdie - latimes.com
For lovers of good literary controversy, Salman Rushdie is the gift that keeps on giving. A few months after the publication of Rushdie's memoir "Joseph Anton," the New York Review of Books (where they specialize in this sort of thing) published a ...
Ristretto | Books for the Coffee Lover - NYTimes.com
They are two very different books. "The Blue Bottle Craft of Coffee" is a thoughtful introduction to this moment in coffee — it's for the everyday drinker who's curious about what goes into that cup. And "Coffee Life in Japan" is a study of the ...
Books 2012: David L. Ulin
The best of these — by Steve Erickson, Hari Kunzru, Lydia Millet, Zadie Smith, Chris Ware — I've cited in my favorite books list because they give me faith in the power of the novel to explain, for a moment anyway, the ongoing tussle of daily life ...
Programmer creates 800000 books algorithmically, starts selling them on Amazon
There's a good reason for that mental image: that's how the majority of books are written. That's not the way it has to be, though. Philip M. Parker, a marketing professor at INSEAD, has a patented system for algorithmically compiling data into book ...
European commission and Apple reach settlement over ebook price fixing
Readers should prepare for plunging ebook prices after the European Commission yesterday accepted commitments from Apple and four major publishers to stop restricting the sale of cheap ebooks. The commission has been investigating the publishers ...
Gene Wolfe wins grand master award for science fiction and fantasy
Gene Wolfe, author of The Book of the New Sun and, according to Neil Gaiman, "one of our finest living writers", has been named a grand master of science fiction and fantasy. The Science Fiction and Fantasy Writers of America (SFWA) announced Wolfe as ...
Are Your Kids' Books Killing Tigers? | Mother Jones
By Zaineb Mohammed
Before you pat yourself on the back for not buying some plastic crap destined for the dump, consider this: The book you bought might actually be destroying the rainforest. On Wednesday, the Rainforest Action Network (RAN) announced that in ...
Blogs | Mother Jones
Why Your Kindle Is an Open Book to the Government | Mother Jones
As a result of similar incidents that occurred over the years, 48 states now have laws on the booksprotecting library records, and the other two have legal directives in place that uphold similar standards. ... Last year, civil liberties groups including the ACLU and EFF, along with Google and other e-book providers, successfully persuaded California legislators to pass a law that forces state authorities to seek a warrant, along with proof that less intrusive methods have been exhausted, ...
MoJo Articles | Mother Jones
American Hero Books voted "Best Book" by Military Writers Society ...
By bniegel
Photo: American Hero Books, written by Alia Reese, is a series of books. For centuries wars have been fought and ... a way to learn more about the world of books. It was not a goal to self-publish, but the realization that it was the best way to get her book out that motivated her to send the bookfor review, said Reese. ... After having the opportunity to meet other nominees and award winners, Reese said she feels more like a creator than an author. "I'm a Marine spouse, I have a master's ...
DoDLive
more book news below
Amazon beaten on price for books beyond top 20 bestsellers
Amazon beaten on price for books outside top 20 bestsellers | Books | guardian.co.uk: "Book lovers keen to enjoy an Amazon-free Christmas but unable to tear themselves away from the online retailer's cut-throat pricing can breathe a sigh of relief: a new study has found that Amazon is only the cheapest option on its top 20 bestsellers, with books further down the chart costing 14% more than competitors. The survey, by global marketing consultancy Simon-Kucher and Partners, analysed the prices of the top 100 print books in the UK between 30 October and 9 November, at Amazon and seven other online booksellers: WH Smith, Blackwell's, Alibris, Kennys, BookFellas, the Amazon-owned AbeBooks and the Book Depository. While Amazon, which some consumers are considering boycotting over its (legal) tax avoidance, was the cheapest option for its top 20 bestsellers – 6% cheaper than competitors – for books ranked 21-50, Amazon charged a premium of 13% compared with the lowest-priced alternative, and for books in its top 51-100, that increased to 15%. "Ask someone where to find the lowest price on a book and they'll tell you to go to Amazon," said managing partner Mark Billige. "But you would be surprised how often this advice in incorrect.". . . "
Book Review Podcast: 10 Best Books of 2012
Book Review Podcast: 10 Best Books of 2012 - NYTimes.com: ". . . Review, the editors select the 10 Best Books of 2012. The five works of fiction include Zadie Smith's "NW," about which the editors write: Smith's piercing new novel, her first in seven years, traces the friendship of two women who grew up in a housing project in northwest London, their lives disrupted by fateful choices and the brutal efficiency of chance. The narrative edges forward in fragments, uncovering truths about identity and money and sex with incandescent language that, for all of its formal experimentation, is intimate and searingly direct. The five nonfiction choices include Katherine Boo's "Behind the Beautiful Forevers.". . . "
The Blurb Economy
The Blurb Economy: Pithy Book Endorsements Are Barely Effective — But Here ...
But the place you're most likely to come across Shteyngart's name is, oddly enough, on the back of somebody else's book. Shteyngart is the reigning blurb king. His short, pithy endorsements are on more than 100 books. Just walk into a bookstore and ...
EL James is USA TODAY's author of the year
Adore it as a sizzling romance bravely probing the forbidden side of sadomasochistic desire or loathe it as demeaning anti-feminist tripe, but James' series has proven that the novel — whether in print ore-book pixels — remains a heavyweight in the ...
2012's big book stories: Gillian Flynn, Oprah, Rowling
You go, 'Girl': The year's breakthrough author was Gillian Flynn, whose third novel, Gone Girl, an addictive mystery about a husband suspected in his wife's disappearance, sold nearly 2 million copies after it went on sale in June. It propelled her ...
Books: New and noteworthy
The buzz: Garfield's Just My Type, a look at fonts, was one of USA TODAY's "10 Books We Loved Reading in 2011." 3. Empress of Fashion: A Life of Diana Vreeland by Amanda Mackenzie Stuart (Harper, non-fiction, on sale now). What it's about: A biography ...
The What To Read Awards: Top 10 Books of 2012
For Salon's first annual What To Read Awards, we surveyed our favorite book critics, both print and online, from high-profile publications to the hottest literary blogs. We asked for their top-10 books of 2012, and then tabulated the winners by ...
Strike out
The shelving of author Richard Ben Cramer's inside look at the life and times of Yankee slugger Alex Rodriguez is costing the writer big time, with publisher HachetteBook Group seeking the return of his $500,000 advance. The publisher is suing the ...
'Mastery' tries to provide a guide to becoming a genius
That, roughly, is the thesis of "Mastery," the latest door stopper from Los Angeles author Robert Greene, whose books include "The 48 Laws of Power" and "The 50th Law," a management book co-authored with rapper 50 Cent. Readers may spot that his new ...
From the Street to Vogue: The Best Style Books
Wall Street Journal (blog)
With this book, she breaks away from the pack again. If you prefer a more scholarly approach, the "Empress of Fashion"—a biography of fashion editor Diana Vreeland—is a hearty meat pie to Ms. Coddington's lemon meringue. Together, the books present a...
Neil Gaiman plans last book-signing tour, ever
Gaiman is the author of many award-winning books for children, teens and young adults; he has written fiction, graphic novels and comics, children's books and films. He's recently been ... Penguin settles in e-book price fixing case · The books behind ...
Inkling cooks up multimedia iPad books
San Francisco start-up Inkling is expanding from textbooks to now offer visual booksfor the iPad. Pictured is CEO Matt MacInnis. ... While that form of e-book works for novels, it's not so keen for how-to or visual books that need photos and videos to ...
Fashioning a life of style and influence
In this section : Books. Book Review. Fashioning a life of style and influence ... Empress of Fashion: A Life of Diana Vreeland. Author: Amanda Mackenzie Stuart; Publisher: Harper; Number of pages: 432; Book price: $35. A child of the belle époque, she ...
Arthur C. Clarke E-Books for Sale in US
Thirty-five titles by the celebrated science fiction writer Arthur C. Clarke, the author of "2001: A Space Odyssey," among other classics, will be released in digital form for the first time in the United States, the independent e-book publisher ...
Designers on Their Favorite Book Covers of 2012 - NYTimes.com
By By JOHN WILLIAMS
We recently asked people in and around the world of graphic design to name one of their favoritebook covers from 2012 and briefly describe its appeal. We didn't allow for repetition of choices, but several of those polled mentioned the cover ...
ArtsBeat
'2001' author Arthur C. Clarke's novels and short stories finally ...
By Jeff Blagdon
American fans of acclaimed science fiction writer Arthur C. Clarke will finally be able to get his material in digital form thanks to a new deal with independent e-book publisher RosettaBooks. The...
The Verge - All Posts
Shakesville: The New Book Shelf
By Guest Blogger
Some of you might remember that I work at a law school library, and while most of what I deal with are books written by lawyers for lawyers and law students, every now and then we get a big batch of recent general treatises on the legal ...
more news below
Best Books of 2012 : The New Yorker: "We asked some of our contributors for their favorite books from 2012. (In the interests of eclecticism, they could list up to three.) Here's what they said. Ann Beattie "The Constant Heart," by Craig Nova: One of our most original, brilliant, disturbing writers, who's so fierce he'll take on anything. Here—dark energy: of love, of the cosmos, and of the interrelationship "
On Amazon, Cooking Up Friendly Reviews - NYTimes.com: "Surprisingly, Amazon says it is completely legitimate to do this. "We do not require people to have experienced the product in order to review," Craig Berman, an Amazon spokeman, said. "Some people write reviews on why they decided not to buy, or write a review as a gift giver rather than the product owner." Perhaps, but I see a future where we have virtual enthusiasm for virtual books. Reviews are crucial to online commerce in a way they never were to offline sales. If Amazon can devise a system that is transparent and fair to all involved — author, reviewer and customer — it will be a greater achievement than same-day delivery."
Ian Rankin, author – portrait of the artist | Books | The Guardian: " . . . How difficult is it to get noticed? I think writers have to be proactive: they've got to use new technology and social media. Yes, it's hard to get noticed by traditional publishers, but there's a great deal of opportunity out there if you've got the right story. How do you know a novel is finished? When the deadline is approaching. I finish a first, second and third draft, then my wife reads it and suggests changes. The next draft goes to my editor and agent, who suggest more changes. I'm often still tweaking after it's been typeset – so it's finished only when it's published and you can't make any more changes. If you take it down off the shelf again, you'll always see things you'd have done differently. That's one of the things that keeps writers writing: the fact that there's always more you can do. What's the biggest myth about being a novelist? That we're introspective, sensitive souls and have arcane knowledge. I used to think that: whenever I heard that someone had taken 10 years to write a novel, I'd think it must be a big, serious book. Now I think, "No – it took you one year to write, and nine years to sit around eating Kit Kats." Is it true that art is 1% inspiration, 99% perspiration? More or less. You need a great idea, but then you've got to carry it through. If you get it right, you're going to be a critical success. But not everyone who works hard gets it right, or has the success they deserve: there's an element of luck. That's why publishers are always surprised when some runaway success comes along, like Twilight or Fifty Shades of Grey. No one can see it coming. . . . "
Google Launches Dead Sea Scrolls Online Library
Google Launches Dead Sea Scrolls Online Library - ABC News: "More than six decades since the discovery of the Dead Sea Scrolls — and thousands of years after they were written — Israel on Tuesday put 5,000 images of the ancient biblical artifacts online in a partnership with Google. The digital library contains the Book of Deuteronomy, which includes the second listing of the Ten Commandments, and a portion of the first chapter of the Book of Genesis, dated to the first century B.C. Israeli officials said this is part of an attempt by the custodians of the celebrated manuscripts — often criticized for allowing them to be monopolized by small circles of scholars — to make them broadly available. "Only five conservators worldwide are authorized to handle the Dead Sea Scrolls," said Shuka Dorfman, director of the Israel Antiquities Authority. "Now, everyone can touch the scroll on screen around the globe.""
Books That Even a Critic Could Love
Each year at this time the daily book critics for The New York Times make lists of favorite books. Favorite is not synonymous with best, so this process can be painful. Brutal honesty is required. We pick what we actually liked, not what we only ...
Dwight Garner's 10 Favorite Books of 2012
As loose and sexy and dark as an early Lucinda Williams song, this memoir — about a long and sometimes desperate hike alone on the Pacific Crest Trail when the author was 26 — makes an earthy and American sound. It's moving, without making you feel ...
Michiko Kakutani's 10 Favorite Books of 2012
The author of this beautifully observed first novel joined the Army when he was 17 and served as a machine-gunner in Iraq in 2004 and 2005. In chronicling the friendship of two young soldiers struggling to stay alive on the battlefield there he has ...
Janet Maslin's 10 Favorite Books of 2012
Both center on Ms. Mantel's brilliant reimagining of Thomas Cromwell, a minor player in most tales of Henry VIII but the major schemer in this ingenious version. "Wolf Hall" was a superb but not essential prologue to the second book's more fine-tuned ...
Book Buzz: 'Fifty Shades Freed' is Amazon's top seller
New and Noteworthy: What new books are on sale now? Check out USA TODAY's guide to five notable titles, including A Higher Call, an inspiring Christmas-related World War II history, and a new Downton Abbey coffeetable tie-in book that's arrived just in ...
A book critic's literary tour of Manhattan
"I wanted to take in Manhattan as a literary tourist," writes Garner, once senior editor of The New York Times Book Review. "I wanted to touch base with haunts old and new. I wanted to see if there is still, for a certain kind of bibliophilic seeker ...
Book News: Exploring Literature, Singing "Ulysses"
book-news_opt.jpg. Newly discovered early writings by Bram Stoker give insight into the "Dracula" author's pre-vampire days. ... An interview with Andrew Solomon about family disconnections and his new book, "Far from the Tree." A tour of the furniture ...
3 Books To Read Before The End Of The World
In books like Russell Hoban's Riddley Walker and Cormac McCarthy's brilliant and brutal The Road, we learn how we shall comport ourselves in the ravaged, dystopian days to come: There will be a lot of fighting, a lot of woeful remembrance of things ...
The Best Book of 2012
The top book on Michiko Kakutani's list of her 10 favorite books of 2012: The Passage of Power by Robert Caro. "In the latest installment of his magisterial, multivolume biography, Mr. Caro uses his wondrous narrative gifts to tell the dramatic ...
Favorite Books of 2012 | Books and Culture
These are not necessarily the best books of the year—though I think some of them qualify—nor the most important. A list of 2012's most important books (so I suppose) would need to include Brad Gregory's The Unintended Reformation, ...
Last Minute Gift Ideas: Books | Travel News from Fodor's Travel Guides
By ncampoy@fodors.com
This is the time of the holiday shopping season when we turn to the best books of the year, whether they're the hottest coffee table tomes or the books we'd want to dive into on a long-haul flight. So with that in mind, we give you our last minute gift ... Despite the fact that it was not our idea, we also love the New York Times' 36 Hours series and book, The New York Times 36 Hours: 150 Weekends in the USA & Canada. Just this once, we condone buying an itinerary book that isn't ours.
Fodor's Travel News
ChessCafe Book and Software Reviews. ... more complex aspects of the author's discussion of the theory of 'corresponding squares,' which we .... Howard Goldowsky from the USA – This book review reminds me of what Mig Greengard said ...
Bill Gates Names Best Books Of 2012
"Every one of these books changed my worldview." So says Bill Gates, a man who knows a thing or two about the world's most pressing problems.
www.huffingtonpost.com/.../bill-gates-best-books-2012_n_23...
Beth Reeks scoops book deal after romance stories are read by ...
'My parents didn't know I was writing until one day I said I was writing books. ... Random House have now released The Kissing Booth as an e-book to buy for £3 . ... Beth's book is on sale as an ebookand hard copies will be published next year ... Beth said she still can't believe she's a publishedauthor when she hasn't yet ...
www.dailymail.co.uk/.../Beth-Reeks-scoops-book-deal-romanc...
Edna O'Brien - 'You have to be lonely to be a writer'
Edna O'Brien interview - 'You have to be lonely to be a writer' - video | Books | guardian.co.uk: "More than half a century after scandalising the world with her taboo-breaking novel The Country Girls, the Irish writer Edna O'Brien is still going strong. As her memoir Country Girl is published, she speaks to Jane Martinson about her 'Mata Hari' reputation, celebrity dinner party guests such as Judy Garland and Sean Connery, how much harder her memoir was to write than her novels, and why she has always embraced her own loneliness. . . ." Listen to Edna O'Brien reading from Country Girl here.
Book review: You can find a job after age 50
Fortunately, a thick brainstorm of a book by Kerry Hannon, Great Jobs for Everyone 50+, can help job-seeking baby boomers -- and those right on their heels -- find work that, as the subtitle puts it, keeps them happy, healthy and able to pay the bills ...
6 can get their Downton fix early; the author is the niece of series creator Julian Fellowes, who penned the introduction to the book. 3. SEAL Team 666 by Weston Ochse (Thomas Dunne, fiction, on sale now). What it's about: You've heard of SEAL Team Six.
Ten Books for the Music Lover on Your Holiday List
Ten Books for the Music Lover on Your Holiday List. comments ... Then I've got somebook suggestions for you. Because who doesn't love a good book, especially one about rock and roll? 1. I Want My ... Then this book would be perfect for them. A ...
Neurologist Oliver Sacks' new book examines 'Hallucinations,' including his own
At 79, Sacks' eyesight is fading, as he chronicled in his 2010 book The Mind's Eye. But his curiosity and empathy, immortalized in the 1990 Robert De Niro-Robin Williams movie Awakenings, remains unquenched. His new book, Hallucinations (Knopf, ...
15 books for the readers on your list
A delightful collection of essays by all kinds of writers — Junot Diaz, Jennifer Egan, Stephenie Meyer, Patti Smith — about the most cherished and influential books on their shelves, each accompanied by a whimsical drawing by Mount. It's like popping ...
Books, DVDs for performing-arts fans
For the multitude of aficionados of TV's fictional British dynasty and their stately manse, this secondbook complements the series' third season on PBS (starting in January). There are abundant glossy photos and enlightening chapters on each of the ...
Style to spare: Fashion books of 2012
The tigresses and peacocks who reign over the world's fashion capitals get their due this holiday season, with a wealth of coffee-table books, biographies and memoirs that flesh out the creative, often quixotic forces behind the provocative layouts and ...
Books for kids: 2 works that stood out in '12
Champaign/Urbana News-Gazette
Here are two particularly good picture books from the "best of" lists this year. — "Each Kindness" (2012, Nancy Paulsen Books, ages 5-9) was created by award-winning author Jacqueline Woodson and award-winning illustrator E. B. Lewis. This large book ...
Printers Row picks: Our favorite books of 2012
Comedy without empathy is empty; Ronson's book is anything but. One last book — one that blurs fiction and nonfiction: "HHhH," offered a fascinating approach to historical fiction as author Laurent Binet imagined the lives of the two assassins who ...
The Book As We Know It Is Dead | PandoDaily
By Adam L. Penenberg
Books Some people get misty-eyed when they speak of books. Plato viewed them as "immortal sons deifying their sires" and a Chinese proverb poeticized books as "a garden carried in the pocket." Elizabeth Barrett Browning believed that "no man can ... My vision for the future of the book is wrapped up in a project I plan to self-publish publish early next year: a full-length narrative non-fictionbook titled "Cloud Racers" about two pilots from the 1930s competing to be the first to fly solo ...
The Green Revolution: Raj Patel, Author, Activist, Economist ...
By Lambert Strether
The Green Revolution: Raj Patel, Author, Activist, Economist http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2012/12/the-green-revolution-raj-patel-author-activist-economist.html. Share. Sunday, December 16, 2012. The Green Revolution: Raj Patel, Author, ...
Best Science Books 2012: The Smithsonian, The Atlantic Wire, San ...
By John Dupuis
Every year for the last bunch of years I've been linking to and posting about all the "year's best sciencey books" lists that appear in various media outlets and shining a bit of light on the best of the year. All the previous 2012 ... San Francisco Book Review Staff Picks. The Last ... Deciding what is and isn't a science book is squishy at best, especially at the margins, but in the end I pick booksthat seem broadly about science and technology rather than something else completely. Lists of ...
Confessions of a Science Librarian
20 Business Book Gift Ideas | Small Business Trends
By Ivana Taylor
I've selected my top twenty books that you can give to the business book lover on your list that will have them grinning ear to ear. I've put them ... Where to get it: www.amazon.com/Good-They-Cant-Ignore-ebook/dp/B0076DDBJ6. Click the ...
E-Media | Los Angeles Public Library
OverDrive offers downloadable e-Books, e-Audiobooks, e-Videos and e-Music. ... e-Books from Baker & Taylor's Axis 360 are available to download and transfer to PCs, iOS devices and Android devices. ... Google Book Search-Library Project ... Over 19,000 titles arranged by author, title, or Dewey Decimal number.
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Clinton aides write book on damage control
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Book Buzz: James Bond book reveal, free Christmas reads
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Simon & Schuster's New Deal With Amazon et al
A new deal--and new pricing:
Simon & Schuster Has a New Deal With Amazon, Other Retailers | Digital Book World: "Simon & Schuster has signed a new ebook retail agreement with Amazon and other ebook retailers. Ebook prices were lowered for Simon & Schuster titles over the weekend on sites like Amazon and Nook.com to levels several dollars below what they had been earlier in the week. Amazon is no longer displaying its usual disclaimer for agency-priced ebooks, "this price was set by the publisher," for Simon & Schuster titles. "We have entered new agreements with our ebook agents that are in compliance with DOJ settlement and we look forward to working with our retailers to expand the readership for our authors and grow the ebook marketplace," said Adam Rothberg, senior vice president of corporate communications for Simon & Schuster. Prices on several Simon & Schuster ebooks were dropped on Friday and Saturday. Shadow's Claim (Immortals After Dark: the Dacians) by Kresley Cole was priced at $7.99 at Amazon on Thursday, lowered to $7.59 on Friday and then to $6.99 on Saturday. The Secret Keeper by Kate Morton was $12.99 on Amazon on Friday and then lowered to $9.99 on Saturday. . . . "
book review 'Sweet Tooth' by Ian McEwan
No room in the books I liked for the double agent.") But the very book she's narrating falls into both categories: It is, on one level, a "Marry me" romance of the conventional Jane Austen sort Serena likes, and it is also a set of Russian dolls ...
Weekend picks for book lovers
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Lena Dunham's Book Proposal Leaks Online
RollingStone.com
Dunham attracted the publishers' attention with a 66-page illustrated proposal, decked out in vintage trade-paperback style and modeled after the advice books of legendary Cosmopolitan editor Helen Gurley Brown. The Power of Lena Dunham's 'Girls' ...
Amazon.com's 100 Best Books of 2012
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A (time) killer of a book site
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New book highlights SC abbey's crèche festival
And the anniversary has been marked with the publication of a new 196-page book, "Finding Bethlehem - A Global Journey Through the Mepkin Abbey Crèche Festival." It features color photographs of manger scenes from both the abbey collection and those ...
Bedbugs found in library books on college campus
WTVR
In fact, the parasitic insects have been discovered between the pages of some booksat a library on a Seattle college campus. Librarians at the University of Washington made the startling discovery when they were checking in some returned books just ...
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management bookhailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in ...
Amazon and Google start e-book sales in Brazil
SAO PAULO | Thu Dec 6, 2012 8:08am EST. SAO PAULO (Reuters) - Amazon.com Inc and Google Inc both opened their digital bookstores in Brazil on Thursday, hot on the heels of e-book offerings by local booksellers in a fast-growing online retail market.
On Amazon, Cooking Up Friendly Reviews - NYTimes.com: "Surprisingly, Amazon says it is completely legitimate to do this. "We do not require people to have experienced the product in order to review," Craig Berman, an Amazon spokeman, said. "Some people write reviews on why they decided not to buy, or write a review as a gift giver rather than the product owner." Perhaps, but I see a future where we have virtual enthusiasm for virtual books. Reviews are crucial to online commerce in a way they never were to offline sales. If Amazon can devise a system that is transparent and fair to all involved — author, reviewer and customer — it will be a greater achievement than same-day delivery. SAVE E-MAIL SHARE PRINT Related Articles Also Tagged:"
Authors exercise their "write" to self-publish
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How to de-risk book publishing
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Philip Pullman: teaching leaves pupils hating books
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Blasphemy case lodged against author
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text:
Doctor: Trump is healthy, did very well on cognitive test
WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump's overall health "is excellent" and he did "exceedingly well" on cognitive screening designed to detect early signs of memory loss and other neurologic functions, the Navy doctor who performed Trump's medical checkup said Tuesday.
Ronny Jackson had issued a blanket declaration that Trump was in "excellent health" after last Friday's exam and promised to provide a fuller readout on Tuesday.
He reported that the 6-foot-3 (1.9-meter) president weighed in at 239 pounds (108 kilograms) -- 3 pounds (1.36 kilograms) heavier than he was in September 2016, the last time Trump revealed his weight to the public.
Trump's blood pressure was 122 over 74, and his total cholesterol was 223, which is higher than recommended.
Trump was 70 when he took office on Jan. 20, 2017, making him the oldest person ever elected to the presidency.
Trump's heart exam was normal, with regular rhythm and no abnormal sounds, which Jackson said led him to conclude with confidence that Trump "has a very strong and a very probable possibility of making it completely through his presidency with no medical issues." Trump has no heart disease.
The 71-year-old president performed "exceedingly well" on cognitive screening, which is not a standard exam for the checkup but which was requested by Trump. The doctor said he had "absolutely no concerns" about Trump's cognitive abilities. He speculated that Trump requested the exam in an attempt to beat back the narrative of the past few weeks that he is mentally unfit for office.
"He's very sharp. He's very articulate when he speaks to me," Jackson said. "I've never known him to repeat himself when he's around me. I found no reason whatsoever to think the president has any issues whatsoever with his thought process."
Trump last revealed details about his health two months before the November 2016 election.
Trump's cholesterol reading from Friday's exam was borderline high even though he takes a low dose of the statin drug Crestor. Jackson said he would increase that dose in an effort to get Trump's bad cholesterol, or LDL level, below 120; it currently is 143.
Trump's body mass index, or BMI, of 29.9 puts him in the category of being overweight for his height. A BMI of 30 and over is considered obese.
Jackson said he prescribed a diet lower in fat and carbohydrates, and exercise. He'd like the president to lose 10 to 15 pounds (4.5 to 6.8 kilograms) over the next year.
Despite the diet and cholesterol concerns, Jackson stressed that Trump's "cardiac health is excellent." He passed a battery of heart exams including a stress test that Jackson said showed an above-average exercise capacity for a man of his age, despite some calcium buildup in his arteries. He also takes a low-dose aspirin for heart health.
Jackson said Trump has avoided some big heart risks -- he's never smoked and isn't diabetic -- and has no family history of heart problems.
Trump did not undergo a psychiatric exam, but he did undergo a cognitive screening test. Called the Montreal Cognitive Assessment, it is designed to detect early signs of memory loss and other neurologic functions -- and Trump had a perfect score, the doctor said.
Cognitive assessments aren't routine in standard physicals, though they recently became covered in Medicare's annual wellness visits for seniors.
AP Medical Writer Lauran Neergaard and Associated Press writer Darlene Superville contributed to this report.
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text:
tappable.co
Stories Of Mobile Madness
Latest article in Stories Of Mobile Madness
Stories Of Mobile Madness 3 min read
Alibaba vs Amazon: the battle is on.
Henri-Jérôme Pauwels
Your baby is online with Pampers – Stories of Mobile Madness
Want to grow your conversion rates like L'Oréal? Use AR. – Stories of Mobile Madness Episode 7
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Stories' Format 5 min read
The Guide to Vertical Video on Social Media - Facebook, YouTube and Linkedin
The Guide to Vertical Video on Social Media
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How Adidas uses Instagram checkout. Stories of Mobile Madness – Episode 1
§§§§§§§
There's a new power couple in town: Adidas has started a love affair with Instagram and it's bringing in the big money.
What happens to tech when politics get involved? Looking at the case of Huawei and Google.
If you want to harness the power of the open web with stories, Tappable's got your back.
The Guardian is in black and white and red no longer, after announcing £800 000 profit for the first time.
Good news for retailers: Generation Z kids are still visiting stores - they're just using their smartphones for the best deals.
ADIDAS & INSTAGRAM: A MATCH MADE IN HEAVEN
Since March, sportswear giants Adidas have been participating in Instagram's 'Checkout from Instagram' beta test. This allows users to shop, buy, and track their ideal goods directly via Instagram.
Although details of how much money brands are paying Instagram to participate in the program have been thin on the ground, the fee is evidently worth it as far as Adidas is concerned. Digiday reports there has been a 40% leap in first-quarter online sales for Adidas.
Adidas has been enjoying a growth period recently, reporting a 24% growth from the third quarter of 2018 to the fourth quarter. This is nothing compared to the first quarter of 2019, however, where they have recorded a total of $6.57bn in in-store and online sales. This comes out at a net profit of around $707 million - a 17% increase in net profit.
The Adidas x Instagram collaboration is one of 20 experiments the Facebook-owned company is trying out in 2019, and if this success is mirrored in the other companies, it looks like we've got ourselves another shopping trend to watch out for.
LEAVING HUAWEI OUT IN THE COLD
While political tensions run high as the Trump administration double down in their economic argument with China,has found themselves on the 'entity list' as a threat to national security.
While Google has had to block Huawei's future access to Android updates, the serious sanctions imposed on the Chinese firm is having an international butterfly effect. To add insult to serious injury, British-based chip designer ARM has announced it will stop all activities with the brand, and retailers around the world have stopped dealing with the company.
While currently there is a temporary license against the sanctions for Huawei, this is a temporary license which seems to offer a temporary reprieve. By August 19th, without further negotiations, the company will no longer be able to offer Google apps on any of its smart technology.
BUILD STORIES WITH GOOGLE AMP
When it comes to allowing your customers and users to interact with your company, stories are a powerful and vital method of communication. Tappable Stories allow you to build your Google "Accelerated Mobile Pages Project" (or Google AMP), creating interactive videos specifically designed for smartphones.
There are three major real-world applications for this technology:
While the concept of paying for ad clicks is familiar, this offers you a post-click user experience which leads to active conversions. The full scope of your potential can be unleashed with Tappable Stories.
Your customers and clients are already using their smartphones for everything from ordering groceries to moving house. If you're not directly talking to them in an aesthetically pleasing way that is optimized for smartphone, you're missing out.
The reality is that content is consumers via mobile. This means that relying on outdated printed formats to translate is exactly the wrong way to convey the news to your audience. Give your readers an up-to-date experience that delivers what they want, when they want.
THE GUARDIAN GROUP IS BACK IN BLACK
For the first time in 20 years, the Guardian has announced that it has attained financial stability.
For the past three years, the company has been running on a gruellingly tight budget, which included cutting costs by 20%. Interestingly, rather than erecting a hard paywall, they offered the opportunity for donation-based membership, which saw them correct financial course.
In 2016, there were 12 000 paying members on the site - this has transformed into 655 000 paying customers and counting. Of these, 360, 000 are paying members on a recurring basis - the other 290 000 pay-for-print papers and digital memberships. This has led to an April '18 - April '19 revenue of $292 million, with an operating profit of $1.47 million.
To get to the first announced profit in twenty years, over the past three years the Guardian has received 1 million payments, with a combination of one-off donations, recurring membership payments, and print sales. Impressively, 55% of all their revenue comes from digital.
GEN-Z ARE MOBILE SAVVY - BUT THEY'RE STILL GOING TO STORES
While there's been a lot of debate about the future of the in-store experience, the statistics are in - and for those making doomsday predictions about the nature of in-store shopping, they make surprising reading.
Shoppers - in particular, Gen-Z shoppers - are still going to stores but they are now interacting with them in completely different ways.
64% of shoppers finish their sales journey in a store - with 39% starting it via mobile technology
69% of shoppers would rather consult a product review on their phone than ask for help from a store employee.
53% would rather use their mobile to find promotions or deals than consult a store employee.
So while there's plenty to be done with driving e-commerce and mobile sales, the savvy store owner will embrace this change in approach to physical shopping and adjust their customer journey as a result.
Want to get more information? Watch or Listen!


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