We are hearing a lot these days about the "back office". Everywhere you look, "efficiencies" are being achieved by slimming down the functions of the back office - that is, that part of an organisation which does not deal directly (face-to-face) with customers and clients, or taxpayers. (I was amused, when looking at a few websites as background for this post, to find that I couldn't view some of them in my local library as they don't make it through the local government firewall. The blocking is a bit arbitrary though: the most well-known - or notorious, depending on your point of view - UK-based outsourcing firms are not blocked).
"An alternative to hiring locally" is how one company advertises itself. Pause to consider that for a moment, and wonder just how any politician could ever recommend such a thing to his/her constituents. Pay, possibly with public money, to send work somewhere else, into someone else's economy (India, in the case of that company)? Bring this down to local level, and you are actually talking about the employment prospects of people you may know (and who have a vote) - and you are talking about impoverishing your own neighbourhood, as people without jobs cannot support local businesses, and some of them will need help in the form of benefits paid by taxing those who remain in employment. In Wales, this point appears to be at least partly understood and acted upon in the awarding of government contracts: it remains to be seen whether this idea will flourish.
Capita is one of several well-known firms who offer not only to achieve efficiency in this area, but also, note, to "improve the end user experience" by doing so. The implication is that the users will be better off without your own in-house way of doing things (and your expensive staff with their long-standing employment rights). This is not very pleasant for a cataloguer to read, but if you're not one you might very well think that's fine. In which case, why stop there? Information Literacy in academic libraries might be a good candidate for outsourcing, when you consider it. Qualified teachers working for an agency (which could be one of the same well-known outsourcing firms) could do the work with more consistency across subjects than subject librarians, and less duplication of effort. (I'm not particularly advocating it myself, just playing devil's advocate and idly wondering whether the reaction to outsourcing might be rather different if it affected people in a more visible role).
The High Visibility Cataloguing blog is one step towards improving the general awareness of what cataloguers do in that mysterious and much-maligned "back office", encouraging cataloguers to emerge and engage, where possible, with the wider library community and beyond.
All larger workplaces have an element of hidden or "invisible" support. There used generally to be far more of these roles: those who have been around for a while will remember that at one time typing was confined to those who had qualifications in it. The back office has been shrinking for a long time. And the back room? A different thing entirely! Possibly not shrinking, but definitely has fewer cataloguers!


When to Replace Your Ducts - Alps Heating & Air Conditioning, Inc.
Replacing the ducts in your home can sometimes be more cost efficient than duct cleaning. Here are some signs that your ducts need replacing!


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Wood awarded major pipeline construction contract
édité le 25/03/2019 - Plus de news de "Wood" - Voir la fiche entreprise de "Wood"
Wood has been awarded a $34 million contract from RH energytrans LLC to construct 28 miles of new pipeline designed to carry natural gas from Pennsylvania to Ohio.
Awarded through a competitive tender process, Wood's scope also includes the construction of the North Kingsville meter station in Ashtabula County, Ohio.
The project is underway and is expected to be completed in Summer 2019.
Andrew Stewart, CEO of Wood's Asset Solutions Americas business, said: "We're delighted to be playing a key role in this strategic project, helping to support the supply of domestic energy to Northeast Ohio communities and industries who have had limited access to natural gas sources.
"This award strengthens our leading position in the North America market, where we have the largest and most vertically integrated pipeline project offering. We will fully leverage our broad capability to deliver this project, bringing together the strength of Wood's expertise to maximize value for our customer. Wood provided the initial technical, environmental consulting and engineering services on this project. We now look forward to progressing that support to the construction phase."
The Risberg pipeline will connect to approximately 32 miles of existing pipeline, originating in the Meadville, Pennsylvania area, extending in a northwest direction and terminating at the North Kingsville Meter Station.
Approximately 16 miles of new pipeline will be installed in Pennsylvania and 12 miles in Ohio.
About Wood
Wood is a global leader in the delivery of project, engineering and technical services to energy and industrial markets. We operate in more than 60 countries, employing around 55,000 people, with revenues of over $11 billion. We provide performance-driven solutions throughout the asset life-cycle, from concept to decommissioning across a broad range of industrial markets including the upstream, midstream and downstream oil & gas, chemicals, environment and infrastructure, power & process, clean energy, mining and general industrial sectors.
Origine : Communiqué Wood
Voir la fiche entreprise de "Wood"
Les dernières news de "Wood"
20/12/2021 - Wood secures $160m of UK North Sea contract wins in Q4 2021, strengthening position as leading partner for asset operations
09/12/2021 - Wood to drive refinery efficiency on Ultra Clean Fuel Project
07/12/2021 - Wood awarded Front End Engineering for Safaniyah and Manifa plant expansions
26/11/2021 - Wood awarded contract for Turkey's largest gas reserve
24/11/2021 - Wood extends long-standing relationship with Equinor in Brazil
26/10/2021 - Wood awarded consenting and FEED contracts for the UK's first hydrogen distribution pipeline infrastructure
11/10/2021 - Wood to support Beach Energy's Trefoil Development Opportunity
30/09/2021 - Wood expands operations in Southern North Sea with Shell and NAM award
19/08/2021 - Wood sees growth in CCUS linked to decarbonisation imperative
10/08/2021 - Wood drives growth in Iraq with specialist engineering award
04/08/2021 - Wood delivering digitally enhanced engineering for STEP project in Algeria
16/06/2021 - Wood extends long-standing relationship with Equinor in Norway
11/06/2021 - Wood extends partnership on Hibernia in Eastern Canada
14/05/2021 - Wood expands downstream work in Australia with new bp contract
06/04/2021 - Wood extends long-standing relationship with TAQA in UK North Sea
19/01/2021 - Wood partners with Spirit Energy on late life solutions for Morecambe Bay gas fields
12/01/2021 - Wood secures $120 million contract for ethylene expansion in China
14/10/2020 - Wood secures $75m Mariner contract with Equinor
28/09/2020 - Wood secures $84m contract for Equinor's Breidablikk development
17/09/2020 - Wood strengthens foothold in Norway's onshore energy sector
09/06/2020 - Wood to modernize U.S. Naval fuel systems worldwide
08/06/2020 - Wood commits to 40% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030
29/04/2020 - Wood secures partnership agreement with Sasol South Africa
11/03/2020 - Shell Catalysts & Technologies and Wood announce an Exclusive Agreement for Shell Smart Choke Technology
21/01/2020 - Wood cements position as strategic partner to Saudi Aramco
11/12/2019 - Wood to deliver modifications for wind-powered North Sea platforms
01/07/2019 - Wood appointed program management partner by INEOS for ground-breaking petrochemicals development
24/06/2019 - Wood continues growth in Norway with two new Equinor contracts
10/06/2019 - Wood secures contract for greenfield petrochemicals project in Oman
29/05/2019 - Wood to lead subsea integration and flow assurance for landmark subsea development in Australia
02/04/2019 - Wood's delayed coking technology set to increase capacity at Port Arthur refinery
27/03/2019 - Wood secures new contract for ethylene and refinery expansion complex in China
25/03/2019 - Wood awarded major pipeline construction contract
19/02/2019 - Wood awarded EPCI contract by Equinor in Norway
13/02/2019 - Wood supports Woodside to achieve first gas on Greater Western Flank
06/02/2019 - Wood and KBR win Crux FEED project offshore Western Australia
05/12/2018 - Major pipeline win for Wood
13/11/2018 - Wood awarded multimillion dollar contract extension for Upper Zakum oil field project
12/11/2018 - Wood secures $53 million of contracts supporting ADNOC Onshore
07/11/2018 - Wood and Nobel Oil enter into joint venture agreement in Azerbaijan
08/10/2018 - Wood secures multi-million dollar contract for refinery in Oman
01/10/2018 - Wood celebrates new partnership with ENPPI in Egypt
28/09/2018 - Wood awarded new assignment with Wintershall in Norway
06/09/2018 - Wood providing operations services to Hess in the Gulf of Mexico
29/08/2018 - Wood wins contract with Equinor to support the Hammerfest LNG development options
28/08/2018 - Wood awarded large strategic modifications contracts by Equinor for Norwegian refinery
27/08/2018 - Wood awarded maintenance data build contract by Total Denmark E&P
23/08/2018 - Wood secures extension to global framework with Shell
20/08/2018 - Wood awarded new contract by Shell's Upstream unit in the Philippines
09/08/2018 - Wood wins new contract for the proposed Scarborough gas field development
Toutes les news de "Wood"

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Universal Classical Basque Music
There's a saying in Basque that goes: "Euskaldun bat: txapela; bi euskaldun: pilota-partida; hiru euskaldun: orfeoia", which loosely translates to "One Basque, one beret; two Basques, a game of pelota; three, a choir". Popular sayings of this type reflect the power and passion of Basque music. Karlos Sánchez Ekiza, professor of music at the University of the Basque Country, has written a comprehensive overview of classical Basque music as part of the ´Basque Culture Collection´. Promoted by the Etxepare Basque Institute, the collection was first published eight years ago. The entire series, including Sánchez Ekiza's contribution, 'Classical Music', has now been republished in an updated edition.
Basque choirs have now garnered international acclaim, but in the past, we also had illustrious performers, such as the violinist and composer Pablo Sarasate and the tenor Julián Gayarre. He also points out that one of the greatest composers of all time, Maurice Ravel was Basque, as were Luis de Pablo, Agustín González Azilu and Félix Ibarrondo. "Clearly, music is one field in which one can best apply the label of 'universal Basque', and the case of Ravel is enough to demonstrate that," says Sánchez.
In his book, Sánchez discusses performers, composers and creators, and examines musical culture from the Enlightenment to the present day, shedding light on the most brilliant musical highlights in the Basque Country: the national opera project in Euskara, the importance of religious music in the Basque Country, the Pamplona-based group Iruñeko Taldea, and the international fame of some of today´s composers, to name a few. The author goes on to analyse vocal and instrumental music, choirs and choral societies, soloists, orchestras and conductors.
Sánchez also discusses Basque music academics and the extensive network of municipal music schools, higher education centres, music conservatories, festivals, concert series and competitions.
About Basque Culture
The re-publication of these twelve books or monographs on Basque cultural expressions originated in 2012. It was then that the ´Basque Culture Collection´ was published in Basque, Spanish and English. The books focused on Basque language, literature, classical music, composition, dance, cuisine, visual arts, traditions and cinema.
The origin of this book dates to 2012, when the Etxepare Euskal Institute published the collection of twelve monographic books on Basque culture for the purpose of offering up-to-date, engaging and authoritative information on Basque creation, presented in an accessible format for anyone wishing to delve deeper into the subject.
The titles and authors of the books were as follows: 'A Brief History of the Basque Language' by Ivan Igartua and Xabier Zabaltza; 'Basque Literature in the Twentieth Century' by Estibalitz Ezkerra; 'Basque Classical Music' by Karlos Sánchez Ekiza; 'Basque Song: Pop, Rock, Folk' by Jon Eskisabel; 'A Collection of Prints', dedicated to visual arts, written by Miren Jaio; 'Basque Cinema' by Joxean Fernandez; 'Architecture and Design' by Peio Aguirre; 'Basque Dance' by Oier Araolaza; 'Bertsolarismo' by Joxerra Garzia; 'Traditions' by Joseba Zulaika; and 'On Basque Cuisine' by Hasier Etxeberria.
Throughout 2021, most of the books in the collection were republished in three bilingual formats: Basque and Spanish, Basque and English, and Basque and French. All of them are available free of charge in digital format.


The neighborhood was quiet when we first arrived at the Hub. "The Hub" is what we call the 200 square foot building we constructed at New Columbia to teach basic bike maintenance and safe riding skills. I was there with two fellow staff members, four Community Cycling Center volunteers, and four volunteers from New Columbia. As we set up our tools and bike stands, the first few kids arrived.
"Can we play with the tire?" they asked. During the two week construction of the Hub this past August, neighborhood kids spent hours playing with a giant truck tire intended for (but ultimately not used in) a "bike tree" sculpture.
This was the first time we had opened the doors since the ribbon cutting ceremony and soon a buzz of activity erupted all around us. People rode or rolled up bikes of all sorts to the registration table. Linda and Omar, our Programs team, passed around forms asking what repairs they needed and what they wanted to learn. They formed a line, and we helped them fix their bikes one at a time.
First up was Jolante. He was a soft spoken young man of about ten years old. According to his form, his bike had a flat tire and a loose coaster cog. I guided him through the steps to reinstall his cog and put a patch on his tube, and only offered him physical help with some rusted axle nuts that wouldn't budge. Afterwords, he pumped up both of his tires, ran down the ramp, and jumped directly on his bike.
Next I met Ali. As we inspected his bike together, he told me that he had only lived in the neighborhood for about two months. He was about thirteen and not very talkative. He indicated that his chain kept falling off, and his rear wheel wobbled. I also noticed that all his bearing systems were a bit loose. Bearing adjustments takes some practice to get perfect, but following my instructions, and with what seemed like little effort, he got them running smoothly.
Muse (pronounced Moose-ah) looked a bit bored when I walked up to him, but when he realized it was his turn, a big grin spread across his face.
"You helped build this," he said, recognizing me.
"So did you," I replied. Muse and I had met during the construction of the Hub when he helped me dig a hole for one of the building's posts. "What's going on with your bike?" What wasn't going on with his bike. He told me someone had stolen it, and his dad had found it again. He wanted to fix it up so that someone in his family could ride it. Muse worked quickly and proficiently. I pointed out the issues, explained how to fix them, and he went at it. For the first time that day, I leaned against the work bench and took a drink of water. "You're really good at this," I said, sincerely impressed.
"I want to work here," was his reply. I told him there might be employment opportunities in the future, and made a mental note to remember his name, Muse. At the end of the day we loaded up our little pick-up to head back to the bike shop. As I stepped into the truck, Jolante rode by with a small group of kids.
"Bye, Jonnie," he yelled. I just smiled and waved.


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ICAEER 2018 was successfully taken place on August 10-12 in Guilin, China!
2018 3rd International Conference on Advances in Energy and Environment Research (ICAEER 2018) was successfully taken place on August 10-12, 2018 in Guilin, China.Thanks to the enthusiastic participation of professors and scholars!
More details of the conference scene, please click!


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Clumsy Theater
Clumsy, slovenly theater:
Fucking Huffington Post. It's poorly staged bukkake for the dull and unimaginative. There's no brink here. A bunch of invented personae are arguing over how to distribute imaginary currencies, in order to pretend that they aren't otherwise doing real harm to living persons for their own emolument.
If you think fiddling with budgets and politics is anything but theater, you are an uninspired idiot and you should put your cookware to good use by bashing yourself in the face with it until you go deaf, dumb and blind and your sensory organs finally match, in capacity and usefulness, your organic data processing capabilities.
When ten thousand robin'oods blossom, and a hundred thousand more conspire to hide them, we'll be "on the brink" of something.
Humbly, Jack Crow at 11:21 AM
absolutely wonderful on that last line.
Well said. It's not even the least bit entertaining, either. It just bores you to tears. Come to think of it, that's probably the point.
fish said...
My unscheduled/unpaid vacation at midnight suggests this is more than theater to my life.
ifthethunderdontgetya™³²®© said...
At least you can visit the beach, fish.
Nice. But there are some cool things about it, if it happens. A few people, like fish, won't get paid, but they won't be working. I think the service people are going to work and they are not going to get paid. I find that intriguing. And the airport folks. The TSA's will risk their lives for $9 an hour, but will they do it for free?
It is also very cool because it is imaginary in the truest sense. They are talking about not spending something which not only doesn't exist, but which they claim they are out of and need to owe less of because they haven't even made the stuff yet! That is actually very fucking cool.
This is the image I was looking for.
fish,
That's what I mean by "...in order to pretend that they aren't otherwise doing real harm to living persons for their own emolument."
The discussion of budgets is theater. But, it has a companion show, which we ourselves perform, having learned to do so almost automatically over the course of learning how not to starve to death.
What would happen if you and your coworkers were to show up, tomorrow. Use your passcodes and entry keys, and start doing what you normally do?
You would be performing the appropriate labor, but you would get no monies or recompense for it, right?
That's because our paychecks are in fact permission slips to give back to the company stores our labor - represented in dollars, etc - at reduced value.
We do this theater every day of our lives. We pretend that the people who say they own things and control things actually do. They don't. There's not enough of them to ever actually keep us under wraps if we decide we no longer want to perform in our pre-scripted roles.
What would happen if only the ruling class was left performing its skits? What if we did the work, and distributed its produce, and didn't ask for their permission to have their permission?
What if you and your coworkers showed up, tomorrow, regardless of the televised theater?
drip,
How true. They are pretending that the fiat money they declare to have value is not sufficient to equal its declared value.
What if we did the work, and distributed its produce, and didn't ask for their permission to have their permission?
Parallel economy.
Hola KFO. que nota?
Soy imparcial, drip.
The circus is especially good right now. I'm plowing through the popcorn. Or were they rice cakes? Not very tasty but heard they're good for me.
Ironically, we would have been fined harshly. Where I work, myself and the people I supervise wanted to continue and would not have been allowed. But I happen to be lucky enough have a job that carries rewards beyond a paycheck.
I pretty much agree with much of the theater of it all, although I think even most of the principle actors are unaware of the dynamics controlling the roles they play. Not so much a shadowy cabal, but driftwood following the current.
So while the outcomes were certain enough that even Digby could predict them, I was not convinced 800k employees wouldn't have to deal without a salary for an indeterminate time. Harm on top of harm.
The Errol Flynn 'stache back in fashion? Never happen.
Gene S. Dio said...
Jack, have you been noticing stuff like this?
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2420887
Gene,
It's not familiar to me, in all honesty. But those aren't circles in which I've ever traveled, and I lack the aptitude and expertise needed to use the computer in that manner.
It's heartening to see that there are those who can, and do.
Sorry, I thought you'd get the handle
Gene S. Dio = Diogenes. if you start reading after the period and wrap back.
It's Justin.
The context of the discussion group is a debate about the conflict between Sony and the hacker group Anonymous.
The story is typical corporate tyranny kind of thing. Sony went after a guy who hacked their encrypted code on his Sony game console that allowed people to access all the content. He published this on a web site. Sony sued his ass off, shut it down, and started tracking down the people who ever accessed his site to sue as well for copyright infringement.
Enter anonymous who then hacks Sony's database and finds the personal information of all the top level executives and begins to harass them personally and their families.
When you said Robin Hoods and such, this is what anonymous is doing essentially on the internet.
If you recall, a few months ago they brought down the private security company HB Gary for its role as a tool of the security state. And they made another fairly successful attack on credit card companies who tried to cut off access of funds to Wikileaks.
The hackers that are doing this stuff are very closely aligned to our beliefs and have acquired the technical knowledge to put those beliefs into action on the internet in a way that matters to the power structure. As proof of that, consider that what they do is illegal.
I saw it, assumed I was wrong, reminded myself not to be clever, and went wool-eyed into an earnest reply.
I'm laughing right now. So that's something.
More later, have to get a kid from school.
PS - Not ignoring what you wrote, elsewhere. In older parlance, I feel convicted by it. Had me at a loss.
I like Anonymous, Justin, but I'm also wary. It's exactly the sort of org/non-org which could be co-opted by spooks and we'd never, ever know it happened.
One of the net goods of the older party (faction) organization which arose in Europe, and its Wobbly/Union analogs in the Americas, was that face-to-face interaction gave emotional heft to the formation of loyalties. Those orgs could obviously still be penetrated by the cops and federales , but members could still know who their allies really were.
Convicted? Me too. I hadn't even though about Anonymous as a counter-argument to the absolutist conclusion I came to about the internet as a medium of activism even though I already had these opinions of them.
I still feel like what I was saying had merit. To me, blog-writing such as what I've been involved with was the equivalent of going to the approved protest spectacle in time for the local news and coming home in time to catch the ball game. Doing what Anonymous does is the equivalent of actually going to a protest prepared to fight and occupy the local courthouse if need be.
Just like in the real world, you have to be willing to learn how to fight and expose yourself to the wrath of authority to be an activist online. Not trying to convict you, convicting myself really, because its clear that I have not been willing to take on those risks. And I convict myself far more than you given the scope of our comparative real life obligations.
Anyway, of anyone writing now in these blogs, you have far more potential than anyone else imo especially when you expose readers to your personal reclamation/redemption project in progress and experiences as an upper management type with access to the power establishment. So I'll still be following along.
The real battle online to come, imo, is over the legitimacy of groups like Anonymous. The powers that be are going to criminalize these types of movements and hit them hard because what they are doing is actually an irritation to business as usual. The analog in my mind is how the media characterized the WTO protesters of 1999. That discussion thread I posted already has the dynamics in play.
Justin McCarthy
Misericorde, Revisited
Because They Are
Dialogue-Ish
Torture is Hip With the In Crowd
Level Seven
All You Need to Know About the Civil War
Today in Unmitigated Douchebaggery
Hills, Run to the
Pay no attention to the man behind the...
..In Unadulterated Good News
Miki Endo
Gliberals


The full installation guide for the new Adobe Sign for SharePoint on-premises solution.
The Adobe Sign solution can only be installed and configured by a Microsoft SharePoint Farm administrator; you will also need administrative privileges on the SharePoint server to install the solution. Please consult SharePoint documentation and your organization's SharePoint administrator for additional systems permissions that may be required to install SharePoint farm solutions. To configure the solution, you also need to be an account administrator on Adobe Sign and have access to your Adobe Sign account Integration Key. System requirements below encompass both the server and client components required to successfully install and run Adobe Sign for SharePoint.
There is a situation that can occur with the previous solutions that can block normal SharePoint users from accessing the site collection.
To correct the problem, remove the web part from the SharePoint page.
8. The End User License Agreement will be presented.
Deactivating the Adobe Sign for SharePoint feature will delete all of the relational tables that enable Agreement status searching and updates. DO NOT deactivate the feature unless you absolutely must. All agreements will remain in Adobe Sign, but your ability to view them in SharePoint will be lost.
Re-running the Setup script will launch the same wizard and system check process.
○ Activate – Activate allows the Admin to activate the Adobe Sign solution on additional Sites in the SharePoint environment. When selected, the Web App / Site Collections page loads, displaying all sites where the Adobe Sign solution is not active (step 9 above).
○ Remove – This option will completely remove the solution from all site collections that Adobe Sign has been activated in. Completed document files will remain in SharePoint.
Agreements that are in process will still be active in Adobe Sign, and will complete normally. The completed documents will no longer be returned to SharePoint.
New installations require an Integration Key to be generated in Adobe Sign and then entered into SharePoint. This key is the access token that authenticates the Adobe Sign and SharePoint environments to trust each other and share content.
The Access Tokens page is exposed showing the keys defined in your account.
○ The Integration Key link is exposed at the top of the definition.
○ Adobe Sign Admin: Users who are allowed to configure the Adobe Sign Solution (i.e. complete the settings page and fill the AdobeSignUserInfo list). Only corresponding site collection or web application administrators are allowed to configure this group. Users belonging to his group can access Personal Settings, Account Settings, Agreement Storage, and Template Mappings tabs under Settings page.
○ Adobe Sign User: Users who are supposed to use the Solution configured by site collection administrators. Users belonging to his group can access only the Personal Settings tab under Settings page.
Adobe Sign requires all users that send Agreements have a license to do so in the Adobe Sign system. Upon first use, a user is automatically provisioned in Adobe Sign if they don't already exist. By default, that user is provisioned using the information found in the users SharePoint profile.
Enabling this feature will inform SharePoint to use the values in the AdobeSignUserInfo list for the purpose of creating new users, and understanding existing user sessions to Adobe Sign.
If the feature is not enabled, then SharePoint will use the values associated to the SharePointUser as defined by SharePoint.
The Audit Trail is always available directly from the Adobe Sign web site. Enabling this feature permits the auto-delivery of the Audit to your SharePoint environment. Redundant, but convenient.
Completed documentation can be configured to be deposited in one specific folder for the whole (global) site collection.
If no global folder is designated, the final signed document will be returned to a Signed Agreements sub-folder that will be created in the document library from which the document was sent.
All signed Agreements are always available on the Adobe Sign web site, and are readily available on the Manage Agreements tab.
Conversely, you can also create a mapping that will extract the form field data from a signed Agreement, and populate a SharePoint list.
Once clicked, the page refreshes again to include two new fields. One drop-down containing all of the SharePoint List fields, and one text field to type in the name of the Agreement form field.
Each field name pairing must be configured explicitly. If a pair needs to be deleted, click the red garbage can icon on the far right of the row.


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HomeNewsVicky Kaushal in Shoojit Sircar's Udham Singh Biopic
Vicky Kaushal in Shoojit Sircar's Udham Singh Biopic
March 4, 2019 Anuj Radia News 0
Vicky Kaushal has apparently replaced Irrfan in Shoojit Sircar's Udham Singh biopic.
Currently, in Mumbai, Irrfan had gone to London for treatment after he was diagnosed with a neuroendocrine tumour in March last year.
Elaborating on why he had to replace Irrfan, Shoojit said in a media statement:
"Irrfan and I have had a discussion on this. He is recovering well and is in a good mood.
He wants to start work on films but for now, he would like to do a film that does not require the kind of strenuous physical activity that this film would.
He told me to move on since we have waited for long on this film.
He and I are in touch and we are working on something else together."
The biopic will tell the story of the martyr who killed Michael O' Dwyer, the former lieutenant governor of Punjab in pre-Independence India, in revenge for the Jallianwala Bagh massacre in Amritsar in 1919.
It was during O'Dwyer's tenure as Lieutenant Governor that the massacre occurred.
Singh was subsequently tried and convicted of murder and hanged in July 1940.
The film will be produced by Ronnie Lahiri under the banner – Rising Sun Films.
"I have been waiting to tell the heroic tale of Shaheed Udham Singh for a very long time.
It is a story very close to my heart.
For it, I needed an actor who could give his heart and soul to the film, be with me and tell the story together.
Vicky fits the bill perfectly. I have seen his work and the dedication he brings to it.
I'm very happy he is on board this project," Shoojit added.
Vicky Kaushal is also elated to be a part of the project and said in a statement:
"Since the time I started working as an actor in the industry, there was a wish list of the directors I wanted to work with.
Shoojit sir was always on top of that list. So it is like a dream come true that he is finally directing me. And, what better story than Udham Singh!
Being a Punjabi, I have always heard about his stories, heard about his life as I was growing up and he has always come across as a mysterious character.
The more mysterious a character, the more stimulating it becomes for an actor and for the director as well.
I am so looking forward to becoming Udham Singh and translating Shoojit sir's vision.
I just feel that this is one person whose life story India should know and I am really excited for this journey to start."
Shoojit's last film was October starring Varun Dhawan and Banita Sandhu.
Udham Singh
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Eve Franklin is a normal teenager until she visits a hidden world with her friend Will Farley, a Guardian of Arkazatinia, and her life takes an unexpected turn. Eve asks a question which alters her destiny and sets her upon a course fraught with peril. Her path is not all adventure and Eve finds adjusting to her new life difficult. Lonely and unhappy, she seeks the friendship of Calab, a moody and heavily conflicted demon, whose advice is … unconventional.
As the threat against her becomes imminent, Eve must learn what she can about the Crown Prophecy to prevent the Crown falling into the hands of the enemy. Can she trust Calab and can she learn what she needs to know in time?
"Where are we going?" asked Eve as she followed Will through the front door. The gravel crunched under his heavy footfalls as Will made his way quickly to his father's car parked in the driveway.
Eve climbed into the car's passenger seat. She had barely closed the door before she was pinned in her seat as Will accelerated away from the house. She quickly pulled on her seatbelt. "Are we going after that thing? That man?" she asked.
Will drove the car into a multi-storey carpark; he pulled the ticket from the machine to raise the barrier and sped up the levels to find an available space. After parking, they ran down four flights of foul-smelling stairs, entered the street and tore towards the train station. Will purchased two open returns for the next train to Milton Keynes, and they headed for the platform.
The two left the waiting area and joined the small crowd gathering on the platform to board the train. The train was relatively quiet, and they managed to find an empty table. A couple and a small child, who was busily colouring a fairy princess, occupied the table next to them. Eve and Will sat opposite each other.
"What is the world like?" she asked.
Will glared at her to keep her voice down and looked at the family next to them who, amidst colouring and chatting amongst themselves, seemed not to have noticed. He reached into his pocket and pulled out a sleek pocket watch that appeared to be coated with some fluid-like substance. He opened the reverse of the watch to reveal a small control panel, which housed a screen displaying the words 'NORMAL MODE', Will pressed a red button on the touch screen panel and the screen now displayed 'SECURE MODE'.
"You mean to tell me that this space age cloaking device has been around since the twenties?" exclaimed Eve.
Eve pressed her hands to her head as she imagined plausible explanations for every UFO disappearance she had heard of—did she just think this was plausible?
Will had spoken calmly though Eve could see that his eyes were betraying a hint of anxiety and she stopped her questioning.
They continued the rest of the journey in silence. Will gazed out of the window, the anxiety, which had settled on him briefly, had left his eyes and his expression gave nothing away. Eve felt a surge of anger rising in her stomach as she imagined all the lies he had told her and all the secrets he had kept from her. She swallowed the feeling and thought instead of everything that he had told her and everything she had seen that day. The world was so different from yesterday; yesterday supernatural beings were the subjects of fantasy: books, movies and TV dramas, but now they were real. She squeezed her temples to push a sharp pain that had formed behind her eyes into a dull ache.
Will shook Eve gently as the train arrived at Milton Keynes Central Station; she rubbed at her neck, which was now sore from dozing off with her head on the window. Her headache, at least, had subsided.
"It's not far," he said, leading Eve out of the train station and into the streets. They walked for around ten minutes with Will using a map feature on his pocket watch to guide them. "We're here," he announced as they approached a large glass fronted building.
Will opened the reverse of the watch to reveal the control panel; he selected a new menu, and a lock replaced the speech display. Concealing the watch from view, he entered a password and instead of the theatre, they saw a beautiful neo-classical building fronted with massive columns.
Eve stared at the material used to construct the building, it looked like stone, but it moved, only slightly, but it definitely moved!
Will laughed as he rang a bell at the door of the Guild of Procnatus and said, "No, the organic matter used to make books dies just as it does in our world." An incredibly handsome man answered the door; Eve felt her mouth fall open at the sight of him.
The man invited them into an elegant waiting area. Despite the grand exterior, the building did not have a vast entrance hall or high ceilings and instead showed a practical use of the great space. Both Eve and Will, expecting a breathtaking scene, found it a little disappointing. They were invited to sit in the waiting area chairs, which had the same 'living' properties as the building. Feeling a little creeped out, Eve preferred to stand.
"Did you say Her Lordship?" she asked.
Her eyes ventured towards the organic floor, and she began to shuffle uncomfortably. Will started to laugh, but quickly silenced himself as the door opened and a young woman entered. She appeared to be around nineteen or twenty and was incredibly beautiful.
"This way," she said, indicating for them to follow her through the door.
She led them down a corridor rather grander than the entrance hall. The walls of the corridor were filled with portraits and news clippings of scientists and scientific feats through the ages. The walls were lined with display cabinets containing a trove of apparatus, gadgets and what looked like random junk. It should have looked cluttered, but its beautiful arrangement could easily pass for an exhibition.
The girl led them into a large office and motioned for them to sit on two chairs in front of a solid oak desk. The office was like a library/laboratory hybrid. The walls were lined with thousands of leather-bound volumes, and more cabinets displayed everything from crude tools to microscopes and numerous planetarium and orrery models. Eve and Will sat (Eve was relieved to find that the wooden seats did not appear to move) and were surprised to find the girl had sat opposite them.
"You're Lord Thalia?" stuttered Will, blushing furiously.
Thalia pressed a button on a panel on the desk.
"Yes, My Lord?" came the crackled reply.
Will stopped as the door opened and another handsome male entered with a tray of food and drinks. Eve stared at the man who was even more beautiful than the man who had answered the door. Breathe, she told herself.
"Eve Franklin," said Eve, her cheeks burning.
"And head tea boy and bringer of scones," Mikæl said, he winked at Eve and she blushed furiously.
Mikæl appeared intrigued and perched on the edge of Thalia's desk and folded his arms. Eve peeled her eyes from his bulging biceps when she realised that she was not breathing.
"That's an Asmodeus demon," observed Mikæl. Thalia showed no reaction.
"I called out to my father to ask if everything was okay," continued Will, "and the demon grabbed me and said, 'I could take him, I could take him somewhere you'll never find him.' My father shouted at him to let me go and said he would do what he asked. Eve heard the raised voices and came into the garden. The demon moved from me to her, he taunted me and said that he could easily kill her. I shouted at him to ask what he wanted. He laughed at me and squeezed Eve around the neck. I tried to fight him off, but he threw me across the garden.
Eve pulled down the collar of her sweater to reveal the bruises the demon had left behind. Thalia had stood and was pacing nervously as she listened.
"What do you mean?" asked Eve.
"It's a common misconception," said Thalia, "demons aren't inherently evil, like everyone they are both good and bad. They have a role to play in the world like everyone else and that role is to provide balance. They challenge people, tempt them from righteousness to test who proves worthy to enter paradise. The demons were angels once, but they tired of the oppression they faced under Heaven's strict rules and started a rebellion, which got very messy and saw them cast out. They formed Hell, their own system and lived by their own rules.
"What option is there?" asked Will anxiously.
"Of course, my queen," he smiled.
"I want to go too," said Will.
The transport Thalia had requested was a vector. It resembled a horse-drawn carriage, but required no horse and propelled along silently at great speed. Eve could not identify a power source, but assumed it had some sort of battery as it had an electronic control panel programmed with the destination. The vector sped away from the guild so fast that Eve could only see the distant landscape of Arkazatinia, anything closer blurred. It was charming and very like the English countryside.
"Is your home based on the British Museum?" asked Eve.
"Thank you," Thalia smiled back.
Eve's curiosity was piqued and she had a ton more questions; however, she worried that she was becoming an annoyance and bit her tongue.
Despite the speed, it still took almost an hour to reach the Guild of Asmodeus. The guild was also built in a classical style and was smaller than the Guild of Procnatus but just as impressive. A demon met the group at the door. He had the same eye colour as the one who had attacked Eve and Will that morning. Eve guessed the species of demons shared characteristics, which was how Mikæl was able to ascertain who had attacked them.
The demon led them through to an impressive library, Eve gasped—the library was so vast she thought it must house every book ever written. Sat in an armchair aside an open fire was the demon who had attacked them. His face made Eve gasp and although he appeared much calmer than he had that morning, his appearance was quite terrifying. He looked to be no more than twenty and had a lovely mop of black, curly hair, but his thickset features and a cruel twist to his mouth gave the impression of an ancient evil lurking within. He could have passed for human, albeit an unattractive one, had it not been for his eyes. They were like brilliant green emeralds or marbles, or as Will had described—like glass. He also had long, deadly claws, which protruded about two inches from the end of each finger.
"Calab," smiled Thalia, extending a warm greeting.
Calab bit his lip and relaxed into his chair. "Why are they so determined to run us out?" he asked.
The door opened and Charon entered with Andrew Farley, who looked furious.
Eve nodded and gave a thin smile. She thought she would be filled with hate for the demon who had left her bruised and fearing for her life; however, she was surprised to find she sympathised with his plight.
Calab shuffled in his seat, his brow furrowed with irritation, "Well, it seems everyone has drawn that conclusion," he said dejectedly.
"You would too if you thought anything through!" continued Andrew.
"So, we rally our armies and start a rebellion!" stated Calab.
MD Laird is from a small town in the north of England. Her hobbies include drinking tea, eating biscuits and daydreaming … lots of daydreaming. When she is not reading and writing, she is daydreaming.


Ottoman Accessory. Perfect solution for comfortable seating for new mothers and their babies as well as soothing, continuous passive motion for the senior population. Overall Dimensions: 19.5"L x 18.5"W x 15.5"H.


The use of internet search data has been demonstrated to be effective at predicting influenza incidence. This approach may be more successful for dengue which has large variation in annual incidence and a more distinctive clinical presentation and mode of transmission.
We gathered freely-available dengue incidence data from Singapore (weekly incidence, 2004–2011) and Bangkok (monthly incidence, 2004–2011). Internet search data for the same period were downloaded from Google Insights for Search. Search terms were chosen to reflect three categories of dengue-related search: nomenclature, signs/symptoms, and treatment. We compared three models to predict incidence: a step-down linear regression, generalized boosted regression, and negative binomial regression. Logistic regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM) models were used to predict a binary outcome defined by whether dengue incidence exceeded a chosen threshold. Incidence prediction models were assessed using and Pearson correlation between predicted and observed dengue incidence. Logistic and SVM model performance were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Models were validated using multiple cross-validation techniques.
The linear model selected by AIC step-down was found to be superior to other models considered. In Bangkok, the model has an , and a correlation of 0.869 between fitted and observed. In Singapore, the model has an , and a correlation of 0.931. In both Singapore and Bangkok, SVM models outperformed logistic regression in predicting periods of high incidence. The AUC for the SVM models using the 75th percentile cutoff is 0.906 in Singapore and 0.960 in Bangkok.
Internet search terms predict incidence and periods of large incidence of dengue with high accuracy and may prove useful in areas with underdeveloped surveillance systems. The methods presented here use freely available data and analysis tools and can be readily adapted to other settings.
Improvements in surveillance, prediction of outbreaks and the monitoring of the epidemiology of dengue virus in countries with underdeveloped surveillance systems are of great importance to ministries of health and other public health decision makers who are often constrained by budget or man-power. Google Flu Trends has proven successful in providing an early warning system for outbreaks of influenza weeks before case data are reported. We believe that there is greater potential for this technique for dengue, as the incidence of this pathogen can vary by a factor of ten in some settings, making prediction all the more important in public health planning. In this paper, we demonstrate the utility of Google search terms in predicting dengue incidence in Singapore and Bangkok, Thailand using several regression techniques. Incidence data were provided by the Singapore Ministry of Health and the Thailand Bureau of Epidemiology. We find our models predict incident cases well (correlation greater than 0.8) and periods of high incidence equally well (AUC greater than 0.95). All data and analysis code used in our study are available free online and can be adapted to other settings.
Copyright: © 2011 Althouse et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Funding: The work was funded by a grant from the Gates Foundation to the Vaccine Modeling Initiative, as well as a grant from the United States National Institutes of Health National Institute of General Medical Sciences Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study (MIDAS) grant 1U54GM088491-0109. BMA holds a National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship under grant number DGE-0707427, and DATC holds a Career Award at the Scientific Interface from the Burroughs Wellcome Fund. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
Google has reported success in using terms entered into its search engine (www.google.com) to predict trends in Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) cases one to two weeks ahead of the US CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report . Several studies have reported similar results for influenza surveillance using Google search data, Yahoo search data, and internet advertising –. The Google research indicates that as the weekly incidence of influenza increases or decreases, the volume of certain internet search terms within the same geographical region change with a high level of correlation and predictability. Using a near real-time ability to collect search data (within 24 hours as opposed to one to two week lead time for US CDC reporting), the researchers were able to obtain information on the trend of ILI patterns in a more timely fashion than traditional surveillance.
Though the first efforts to use search terms from www.google.com have focused on influenza, this pathogen may be one of the more difficult to predict using internet searches. The presentation is non-specific to the pathogen and many searching behaviors that an ill person with influenza might exhibit overlap with searching by individuals afflicted by other pathogens. Pathogens exhibiting a distinct clinical presentation described by disease-specific terms that are widely used by the general population might exhibit the clearest correlation of search terms with disease incidence. Additionally, prediction of incidence is more important for pathogens that exhibit strong temporal variation. Dengue exhibits both of these characteristics: It exhibits a more distinct clinical presentation than influenza, giving rise to more disease-specific terms; and, dengue incidence in many locations exhibits large interannual variability with incidence varying by as much as a factor of ten from one year to the next .
The dengue virus is an arboviral illness of the family Flaviviridae and consists of 4 antigenically distinct serotypes. It is transmitted by the bite of an infected mosquito (Aedes aegypti poses the biggest threat to humans) and infection by one serotype does not confer life-long immunity to another serotype. The incubation period is typically 4–7 days and may present with undifferentiated fever, petechiae rash, nuchal headache, myalgia and arthralgia. The severe clinical manifestation, dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF), is strongly associated with second infections and arises in around 3% of cases .
Prediction of outbreaks of dengue virus in countries with underdeveloped surveillance is of great importance to ministries of health and other public health decision makers who are often constrained by budget or man-power. The clinical presentation of dengue, although overlapping with other pathogens, is more specific to dengue than ILI is to influenza infection, and many of the search terms that individuals might search for when seeking information on dengue are specific to dengue (as opposed to terms such as 'cold'). Thus, internet searches might exhibit stronger correlation with dengue incidence than influenza. Accurate predictions of dengue incidence might allow for more effective targeting of control measures such as vector control and preparation for surges in patients among hospitals, and may significantly increase the rapidity of dengue predictions in areas with less developed surveillance systems.
In Thailand, dengue has been a significant source of morbidity and mortality for over 70 years. DHF was first observed in Bangkok in 1949. The Thai Ministry of Public Health has conducted dengue surveillance since 1968. Incidence in Bangkok varies widely from year from 15,000 cases to over 175,000 cases annually. In Singapore, DHF was a significant cause of childhood mortality, in the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s, prompting vector control efforts that reduced the density of Aedes mosquito breeding sites and precipitated a decline in the incidence of DHF in the late 1980s and early 1990s . However, from the late 1990s onwards, there has been a resurgence of dengue fever despite low levels of Aedes mosquito breeding, culminating in the largest observed epidemic in Singaporean history of over 14,000 cases in 2005. Although there is a trend towards an increase during the middle of the year, there is a wide variation of weekly incidence ranging from 32 to 713 cases during the 2004–2011 period.
The ability to accurately predict a rise in incidence would be a useful way to trigger a series of clinical interventions (deployment of medical teams, clearing of hospitial beds), and public health interventions (escalation in surveillance, public health education and pre-emptive source reduction measures) to reduce the transmission of dengue fever. Internet search term based surveillance could decrease delays associated with traditional surveillance systems and support under-developed systems.
Search data were downloaded from Google Insights for Search (http://www.google.com/insights/search/) on February 18th, 2011 for Singapore and March 2nd, 2011 for Bangkok. Relevant search terms for both were selected by brainstorming common words used in searching for dengue. We searched terms that include words in all three of the official languages in Singapore; English, Chinese Malay and Tamil. Terms for both Singapore and Bangkok were classified into 3 categories: nomenclature, signs/symptoms and treatment. The search terms for the "full models" are shown in Figure 1.
Figure 1. Schematic of step-down search term selection.
Figure shows the search terms used in the full models for Singapore and Bangkok (top boxes), as well as the results of the AIC step-down procedure (bottom boxes).
Google Insights for Search provides related searches that generate a significant volume of results. All relevant related search data were retrieved. Google Insights for Search ignores capitalization, but treats misspellings and different orderings (for example "symptoms flu" and "flu symptoms") as distinct searches. However, the volume of search data for these are small and none were included in model testing.
Often, the Google Insight engine would only return data aggregated by month, because of uncertainty in weekly estimates in terms with low levels of search. For these terms a cubic spline was used to disaggregate the data to weekly responses (using R's spline()); negative values resulting from the spline were set to 0. The data were also regressed with the same model terms using the monthly aggregated data, and similar results were obtained (see below). Importantly, Google Insight returns a sample of the actual search volume, so exact replication of the estimates of the model covariates is impossible. To correct for seasonal variation and confounding by time we included both the month of the year (coded numerically as 1 for January, 2 for February, etc) and a numeric code indicating week and year of the current data point (given in R as the number of days since January 1st, 1970).
Epidemiologic surveillance data were obtained from the Singapore Ministry of Health website which conducts routine epidemiological data collection via the government polyclinics, public hospitals, clinical laboratories as well as via mandatory communicable disease reporting procedures . Clinical and laboratory confirmed dengue fever cases have been reported to the Ministry of Health since 1977 and the data are aggregated by week. Thai monthly incidence data were gathered from the Thai Bureau of Epidemiology website. Since Google provides data on internet searches only since 2004, we only considered dengue incidence data from 2004. Incidence data for both Singapore and Bangkok are presented as the black lines in Figure 2.
Figure 2. Correlation between observed dengue incidence and model fit.
Figure displays observed dengue case incidence for years 2005–2011 (black lines) as well as the model fitted to data from 2005–2010 (solid red lines) and 2010 prediction with 95% prediction intervals (dashed red lines and solid red band) for both Singapore (panel A) and Bangkok data (panel C). Panels B and D show the error between the observed incidence and model fit or prediction.
We considered two outcomes, incident dengue cases and a binary outcome defined to be 1 during periods of high incidence and 0 otherwise. Multiple linear regression, negative binomial regression and generalized boosted regression (GBR) were used to model the weekly incidence of dengue fever using internet search terms . A backwards and forwards step procedure was used to find the linear regression model that maximizes the Akaike information criterion (AIC). Negative binomial regression fit with the full set of search terms in each location was chosen over Poisson regression due to over-dispersion of the search term data. GBR models were fit using the gbm package in R .
Candidate models were trained using 2005–2010 data and used to predict 2011 incidence. Inclusion of 2004 data from Singapore reduced the predictive accuracy of the model. Because the predictions were not qualitatively different, and included a nearly overlapping set of covariates when 2004 was or was not included, we chose to optimize our predictions of incidence in later years by dropping 2004 from the models. To choose between the multiple linear regression, negative binomial regression and GBR models, we determined the model with the largest correlation between the 2010 prediction and lagged incidence. This model was then cross-validated to evaluate prediction performance. We used leave one out cross-validation and an expanding prediction window (both weekly and yearly, forward and backward) for search data dated between January 2005 and through December 2010, and evaluated the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of the predicted values of the left-out data from the observed incidence.
In addition to models predicting incidence, logistic regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM) models were used to predict periods of high incidence . We built models for three different high incidence thresholds defined as the 50th, 75th and 90th percentiles of numbers of cases over the period 2005–2011. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for leave-one-out prediction.
All statistical analyses were conducted in R version 2.12.2 (R Core Development Team).
The AIC step-down model outperformed the GBR and negative binomial model for predicting numbers of incident cases and was chosen as optimal in both Singapore and Bangkok. The best fitting AIC step-down models have the predictor search terms shown in Figure 1. Table 1 shows the model diagnostics comparing the step-down and full models for Singapore and Bangkok. A multiple time series plot showing normalized dengue incidence, the results of the optimized model fits and the error between predicted and observed incidence is presented as Figure 2.
Table 1. Incidence prediction model diagnostics.
To assess the performance of the prediction on data that was not used to fit the model, we used multiple cross-validation techniques. We predicted incidence in 2010 in both locations using models fit to data from 2005–2010. Correlation between predictions of dengue in 2010 and observed dengue incidence for both Singapore and Bangkok are reported in Table 1.
We also assessed predictions for single and multiple observations that were left out of the data set used to fit the model. These results (reported in the Supporting Information S1) indicate a good fit of the step-down model relative to the full model. Additionally, the prediction errors are low in the leave-one-week-out case and the leave-52-weeks-out case. We also see poor performance of the negative binomial model relative to the other models.
For both Singapore and Bangkok, logistic regressions and SVM models were fit to predict the binary outcome of incidence above or below a threshold. Figure 3 summarizes the prediction of the SVM model in Singapore (a similar graph presenting the Bangkok SVM model is presented in the Supporting Information S1), and Table 2 presents the AUC and optimal sensitivities and specificities for the logistic and SVM models for each of the three cutoffs. We can see good prediction for the median and 75th percentile cutoffs.
Figure 3. Summary of SVM prediction in Singapore.
The performance of the SVM model in Singapore. Red circles indicate a prediction of high incidence at the optimal probability found from the ROC curve at right. Black stars indicate observed high incidence not predicted by the model. Panel A and the corresponding ROC curve at right indicate the median cutoff, panel B the 75th percentile cutoff and panel C the 90th percentile cutoff.
Table 2. Threshold prediction model diagnostics.
We compared the performance of our model to a lag-1 autoregressive model using only dengue surveillance data from the last week (Singapore) or month (Bangkok) to predict the next observation. In Singapore, this model performs well, yielding a correlation between predictions and observed cases of 0.950. In Bangkok, the model performs much worse than models using search terms with a correlation of 0.766 (for comparison, the 8 search term model above has a correlation of 0.943). However, delays in compilation of these reports, especially in other locations could mean that these data would be unavailable for an autoregressive prediction model.
We have found that specific internet search terms are highly correlated with dengue incidence. Our best model for data from Singapore which included 16 terms showed a correlation of 0.931 with observed dengue incidence and an . The 8 term model for Bangkok performs equally well with a correlation of 0.869 and an . Out-of-sample predictions are predictably lower, but not significantly so. Our predictions of time periods with high dengue incidence are very accurate with sensitivities and specificities of 0.861–1.00 and 0.765–1.00 for multiple thresholds in each location. Together, these results demonstrate the viability of this data stream in supporting dengue surveillance.
Our model performed similarly to models built in other efforts to predict influenza incidence using internet search terms. Ginsberg et al. found a correlation of 0.90 for influenza incidence in the US using a model that included 45 search terms , and Polgreen et al. fit a series of models to influenza data in the United States and all had values of . In out-of-sample prediction, our models performed slightly worse than the models of influenza produced by Ginsberg et al, which found a correlation of 0.97 (compared to 0.921 in Bangkok and 0.785 in Singapore). It should be noted that our model produces predictions for the entire year including high and low incidence seasons, whereas the models of Ginsberg produce predictions for only the influenza season. The accuracy of our predictions may be due to the clear clinical presentation of severe dengue. The larger interannual variability may also allow us to disentangle seasonal search behavior from dengue specific search behavior.
The search terms included in the models include nomenclature terms, terms describing signs and symptoms as well as treatment seeking. Interestingly, 11 of the 13 search terms that were found to be significant in our final model for Singapore were in English. This suggests that the typical language used for health seeking behavior in Singapore is English. In Bangkok, we also found that three of the seven significant terms are English.
We validated the candidate models using leave-one-observation-out, leave-one-year-out and forward and backward validation techniques. The model performance was fairly consistent across these different approaches. In our validations, we found one year with large incidence to be highly influential for the performance of our model (see Supporting Information S1). We expect that including future years with large incidence might further improve our results.
Singapore has an extremely well developed dengue surveillance system that makes reported cases available to policy makers and the general public with a delay of around one week. In a setting with this rapidity of reporting, it is challenging for an internet search term model to return results more quickly and with better performance than a model that uses only reported cases to predict future cases . This point has been demonstrated elsewhere for predicting consumer behavior: predictive search term-based models perform better when used in conjunction with rich independent data sets . Thus, in Singapore, this tool might best be used as a supplement to existing surveillance systems. However, in other settings, with less developed surveillance systems, an internet search term-based system may yield significant gains in the rapidity of predictions. In Thailand, there are significant delays in the reporting of cases from many areas of the country. Our model may give significant improvements in settings with significant delays. It is conceivable that some dengue-endemic settings in South and Southeast Asia may have significant internet use before surveillance systems are developed and thus an internet search term-based model may be a proxy for routine surveillance in these settings.
Caution must be used when generalizing our method to other settings. Even though we have chosen two settings that have very different rates of internet usage, both countries are of higher income than many of the countries in the region. However, it is reasonable to assume increasing internet penetration in the future. Individual models need to be developed for specific settings using local surveillance data and search terms. This effort shows that this approach may have promise in other settings.
There are several other limitations to our work. Internet searching behavior is susceptible to the impact of media reports as has been found for influenza systems , . The rate of internet use and the rate of health information seeking in this setting may be changing over time and thus our parameters might need to shift over time to incorporate the impact of these changes. Although not affecting performance here, future outbreaks of other clinically similar diseases such as chikungunya may challenge the performance of our model for dengue. Finally, the Google Insight tool returns a sample of actual search data and limits the availability of search terms for which there are very few returns, often aggregating these terms to a large temporal discretization. This limits the utility of these terms for the purposes of prediction.
Search query surveillance is rapidly expanding into many areas of public health including the surveillance of noninfectious diseases and to influencing policy domains –. The current work demonstrates the utility of using search query surveillance to forecast the incidence of a tropical infectious disease. Additionally, and importantly, we have constructed forecasting models using freely available search query data from Google Insights and publicly available surveillance data from Singapore and Bangkok. In addition, we have developed these models using open source software from the R statistical project. Our approach can be readily adapted to other settings where other proprietary efforts can not be implemented. The approach may be an important tool in many dengue endemic settings in supporting the public health response to dengue.
We would like to the thank the Ministry of Health of Singapore and the Ministry of Public Health of Thailand for making dengue surveillance data available as well as Google Insights for Search. We also would like to thank Jon Gellar and John Ayers for helpful comments.
Performed the experiments: BMA. Analyzed the data: BMA. Wrote the paper: BMA YYN DATC. Conceived the study: DATC YYN. Designed the analysis: BMA DATC.
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Edward Trowbridge Collins Sr. (May 2, 1887 - March 25, 1951), nicknamed "Cocky", was a Major League Baseball player from 1906 to 1930. Under the win shares statistical rating system created by baseball historian and analyst Bill James, Collins was the best second baseman of all time.
Collins was known for his steady bat and speed. He broke into the Majors in 1906 with the Philadelphia Athletics and work his way to full time play by 1909. That season, he had a .347 batting average and 67 steals. The following year, Collins stole a career-high 81 bases and won his first of four World Series championships.
Collins moved to the Chicago White Sox in 1915, where he continued to post top-ten batting and stolen base numbers. He returned to the Athletics in 1927 and retired after the 1930 season. Later, he served as the general manager for the Boston Red Sox. With the BoSox Collins helped rebuild the team, and was instrumental in the signings of Bobby Doerr and Ted Williams.
Collins finished his career with 3315 hits, 744 steals, 1300 RBI and a .333 batting average. He won the MVP Award in 1914. He was inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame in 1939.
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text:
SuperhumanRebecca Mead
Vol. 20 No. 10 · 21 May 1998
Wasted: A Memoir of Anorexia and Bulimia
by Marya Hornbacher.
Flamingo, 298 pp., £12.99, March 1998, 0 00 255880 7Show More
Some years ago, the Sunday Times magazine published a memorable portfolio of photographs, nude studies of a young woman who had starved herself into an advanced state of emaciation. Shot in moody black and white, they were not so much portraits of an animated, living being as arty compositions of bone and skin: a nature morte, or near-morte, of body parts which just happened still to comprise a person. The accompanying text explained that the woman pictured wanted to illustrate the hellish consequences of anorexia in order to warn other girls away from experimenting with starvation. Yet there was an unspoken subtext to the words and the pictures which contributed to their haunting power: the unacknowledged narcissism of the subject. Anoretics – the correct medical term for the anorexia-sufferer, on which Hornbacher insists – are typically high achievers and perfectionists; they tend to be proud of their ability to get thinner than anyone else. So even though this girl looked like a Belsen victim, sick and consummately unenviable, it was hard not to think that at least part of the reason she had had the pictures taken was that she was proud of how she looked. She wanted to show off her shocking thinness, to parade her achievement, in the guise of cautioning others from attempting it.
There's something of the same unspoken narcissism about Marya Hornbacher's uneven new book, Wasted. Hornbacher was born in California in 1974, a year after the first articles about anorexia, the 'slimming disease', began to appear in the mainstream American press. At the age of nine, she became bulimic; at 15, she switched to anorexia, and spent the next several years in and out of hospitals, bottoming out, at 20, with a weight of 52 pounds and a life expectancy of a week. This book was written three years later, by which time, Hornbacher tells us, her medical classification is 'Eating Disorder Not Otherwise Specified'. 'It's still there,' she writes of the desire to throw up her food. 'It wheedles at me, after dinner: Come on, you're stressed, wouldn't it feel better? You wouldn't be so full. Come on, just this once? It's always there, every day.'
This book, then, isn't a memoir of 'recovery', written with cagey confidence from the other side of illness, as was Drinking: A Love Story by Caroline Knapp; nor is it an exploration of a long-past period of madness, like Susanna Kaysen's Girl, Interrupted, an accomplished account of the two years she spent at the McLean mental hospital in Massachusetts in the late Sixties. It's a missive sent from inside a sickness; not just a description of what it is like to suffer from an eating disorder, but an expression of that disorder – a symptom, even. The book is strangely bulimic in character: Hornbacher crams her text full with quotations from Anne Sexton, Sylvia Plath, James Agee and Alice through the Looking Glass, adding footnotes that cite the medical or anecdotal literature – gobbets of prose which capture her sense of self, swallowed whole and regurgitated. From the dust-jacket on (Hornbacher is pictured, skinny and sad-eyed), the book has an air of perverse exhibitionism, as if writing about her thinness is a way of keeping her illness alive, albeit in a transmuted form.
Hornbacher doesn't come up with a simple explanation of why her life came to be ruled by one eating disorder or another, though her constellation of childhood conditions is relatively typical. White, middle-class and of above average intelligence, she was effectively an only child (her father also had two children from a previous marriage), the lynchpin in a troubled relationship. Her parents were both in the theatre, and both, she tells us, were funny about food – her mother tending to the anorexic while her father leaned towards bulimia. A marriage crisis caused the family to move to Minnesota when Hornbacher was eight, and by this time, by her own account, she was a disturbed child, compulsively rearranging the items on her dresser, developing systems of magical thinking: eating an apple sandwich in just so many bites to ward off unhappiness. Shortly after the move, she discovered that she could achieve a sense of emotional release by making herself vomit, and that discovery became a way of life.
At 12, she says, bulimia took over her life. She upped her vomiting from once to two or three times a day: 'I did not put a bite of food in my mouth without considering if, when and where I would throw up.' Hornbacher is good on the peculiar, secret rites of the bulimic. She describes how, when bingeing, she would be sure to begin with brightly-coloured foods, like Doritos, before starting in on the pizza and the cookies and the pretzels; when she vomited orange, she'd know that she'd expelled everything she'd just ingested. She describes doing hours of calesthenics in her bedroom, 'wondering if, at the age of 14, I could get a plastic surgeon to do liposuction on every inch of my body, suck each molecule of fat out, leaving me with nothing more than a gleeful clattering set of bones.'
At 15, Hornbacher went to boarding school, to an academy which specialised in the arts, where all the girls talked about the need to lose weight. It was here that she switched disorders. 'I distinctly did not want to be seen as a bulimic,' she writes. 'I wanted to be an anoretic. I was on a mission to be another sort of person, a person whose passions were ascetic rather than hedonistic.' By December, she had decided to eat 100 calories a day; after going home and eating more during the Christmas holidays, she determined to eat only on Sundays, and then to restrict herself to rice. That summer, after months of starving, bingeing and purging, she was committed to an eating-disorders unit, the first of three such hospitalisations within a year. Uncured, she was sent to a juvenile mental institution. She smuggled in laxative tablets, illegal contraband, by hiding them in her shoes on arrival. Released after seven months, she relapsed quickly: left alone in her parents' house for the weekend, she went on a bulimic rampage, described with cinematic vividness.
I stood at the counter, shovelling cereal into my mouth on automatic pilot. I ran out of cereal and moved on to bread, ran out of bread and moved on to eggs, leftovers, ice cream, crackers, stopping every so often to puke in the dark bathroom, staggering back to the kitchen, bumping into door frames and walls that suddenly stuck out in strange places, moving on to the soup that my father had made for me to eat over the weekend. I ate all the soup and threw it up, whole noodles and carrots and peas flooding the toilet bowl, splattering the walls, spinning away when I flushed.
By midnight or so, I'd eaten everything in the house except the lime marmalade that had been sitting at the back of the refrigerator for as long as I could remember. I didn't eat the dog food, either. But I thought about it.
The strength of Wasted lies in passages like this one: the wretched depictions of a life out of control, their urgency accentuated by the sense that Hornbacher has put less distance than might be comfortable between herself and the girl whom she describes. Towards the end of the book she charts the madness of anorexia with excruciating precision: the toilet paper she stuffed in her shoes to stop the soles slamming into the bones of her feet; her surprise, as she looked at herself in the mirror, at seeing a 'tail' – her coccyx, which ought to be blanketed by flesh, suddenly visible.
Less effective are her attempts to analyse her experience, which are often banal. She picks the occasional argument with bits of conventional eating-disorder wisdom: in contradiction to the theory (by no means universally held) that anorexia is a girl's frightened attempt to halt the sexual maturation of her body, Hornbacher contends that the anoretic is trying to assert her independence, to shed the helplessness of childhood by being an expert in self-starvation. It's an unremarkable insight, but one of her better ones. More often she offers a muddled bit of un-thought-out theorising: 'Maybe, in some small way, my anorexic body was an apology to my father for having become a woman,' she says while trying to understand the rift that occurred between them after he learned that she was sexually active. 'Even that is problematic. It's far more plausible to me that my anorexic body was a confused statement directed more at the world than at my father, both an apology for being a woman and a twisted attempt to prove that a woman can be as good as a man.' And so on. Self-involvement is a hallmark of eating-disorder sufferers, but it can make for dreary reading.
One gets the sense that Hornbacher, for all her years of treatment and therapy, hasn't yet absorbed her experience. As a memoirist, at any rate, she has been encouraged to be prematurely confessional. Her memories of her early childhood have the aimless quality of an analysand's free associations: 'Late summer droughts, the wavering air above the road, out back behind the creek, the dapple-grey horse in the yard down the road, the chokecherries, sour, and lemon trees, walnut trees, women in white. The pink stone steps of somebody's pink stucco house, the oranges we ate with some lady.' Therapy, like artistry, works best when its effects are everywhere present and nowhere visible; the lineaments of Hornbacher's hours on the couch are a little too obvious. And the therapeutic process seems far from complete, which makes Wasted less than satisfying as a literary event.
The book is not just a literary event, however: Hornbacher says that she wrote it to alert others to the temptations and dangers of eating disorders. 'I would do anything to keep people from going where I went. This book was the only thing I could think of,' she writes – and no doubt she's sincere. But books have other objectives, and other results. At the very beginning of her adventure into bulimia, Hornbacher says, she took out of the library The Best Little Girl in the World, an account of anorexia nervosa. 'I wanted to be her: withdrawn, reserved, cold, wholly absorbed in her own obsession, perfectly pure. Shutting everything out,' she writes. Now she is, and it is worth considering whether any would-be anorexia-sufferers will be similarly spurred to competition by her superhuman self-abuse.
There's a point where Hornbacher describes how, quite recently, she fell sick after dental surgery and lost 15 pounds in two weeks:
My hands make their way to the sway of my back, snake down to press the twin knobs at the base. My hands, shy as hands meeting up with an old lover, touch lightly, in that breathless disbelief: Are you really here … I wait for [my husband] to say: You've lost weight. I wait for the rush of stubborn pride it will bring, the release of being caught red-handed in bed with someone else.
Wasted is, among other things, a covert love-letter to the eating disorders which sustained her, and, in turn, a new way of sustaining them. Anorexia, Hornbacher says, is 'a visual temper tantrum' – an attempt to compel those around you to notice how upset and angry and pained you are, as well as demonstrating how successfully single-minded you can be. Writing a book can be another way of doing exactly the same thing.
Rebecca Mead is a staff writer at the New Yorker.
Immortally Cute: Alice Sebold
Believe it or not: America's National Story Project
A Predilection for the Zinger: Lorrie Moore
More by Rebecca Mead


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SAN VENANZO
Civitella dei Conti
Poggio Aquilone
Pornello
Ripalvella
Rotecastello
San Vito in Monte
Country House.
Park and Museum Volcanological
As in other parts of Italy, the first town conformation made of fortifications, towers and castles, that characterizes the municipalities of Montegabbione and S. Venanzo, dates back to the end of Roman Empire.To escape from the barbarian invasions from the fourth century onwards, the people went on the top of the hills where they built housesand fortifications towers and walls to defend themselve. When the barbarian invasions ended, fortresses and fortified villages not lost their reason to exist, on the contrary, some were abandoned, others became the piece of the local battles in prder to control an area of great strategic importance placed between Orvieto, Perugia and Todi .there were wars between municipalities, such as those between Orvieto and Perugia, disputes between families, such as the one between the Filippeschi and Monaldeschi, and factions, like Guelphs (supporters of the pope) and the Ghibellines (supporters of the Emperor).
Copyright © 2020 Tourism Portal - City of San Venanzo


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text:
Alan Futterman: Bremerton Symphony and Chorale are ready for Beethoven's Ninth
Alan Futterman
Notes from the Podium
This month, prepare for the thrilling culmination of an excellent season of concerts.
Recently we have brought you tangos at the Admiral Theatre, the Messiah in Port Orchard and music from some of the greatest movies and Brahms' monumental Fourth Symphony at the Bremerton High School Performing Arts Center.
May 18, we invite you to a new location, GracePoint Church, for a bit of Parisian Café music, a bit of Russian jazz, two of our county's finest young pianists, and the greatest symphony ever written, Beethoven's Ninth, complete with the "Ode to Joy."
The fire, excitement and inspiration from this work never goes out of fashion. In my teaching days, I introduced this piece to punk rockers, heavy metal monsters and grunge gurus who were immediately enthralled with Beethoven's original smashing primal chord music. The mostly deaf Beethoven pounding the piano in the hip Hapsburg music scene of 1810 was not unlike Pete Townshend attacking his guitar in The Who.
Beethoven's Ninth Symphony, with the choral finale "Ode to Joy," is not only the towering creation of the classical era, but the symphony against which all other symphonies are compared. The Ninth stands apart from Beethoven's other symphonies, and from nearly all that follow it, by virtue of its message of brotherhood, its grandiose scale, unity of design, and exhilarating finale.
A performance of the Ninth can never be an ordinary event, never just another concert.
This is the reason Leonard Bernstein chose to conduct the Ninth Symphony in Berlin at the fall of the Berlin Wall.
For our performance, some of the finest singers in the Pacific Northwest return to Bremerton: tenor Les Green, mezzo LeeAnne Campos, bass/baritone Damien Geter and a first-time soloist with our symphony, soprano Allison Pohl.
Earlier, I mentioned Parisian Café music. Francis Poulenc misspent his youth frequenting and soaking up the sounds of the clubs and cafes in Paris. This light and pleasing Romantic music permeates all his works. Brilliant and introspective pianist Caleb Winslow, winner of the 2019 Bremerton Symphony Young Artists Competition, brings us Poulenc's last piano concerto.
For a complete change of pace, a previous competition winner, Lucinda King, will perform Nikolai Kapustin's delightful Russian Jazz Piano Concerto No. 2. Some of you might recall that Ms. King has a special affinity for jazz-inflected works, having performed George Gershwin's "Variations on I've Got Rhythm" with our orchestra several years back. For the Kapustin accompaniment, the Bremerton Symphony will be transformed into a stage band with strings. Kapustin asserts that, while his idiom is completely jazz, he does not improvise. All his thrilling and intricate jazz figurations and variations are carefully composed.
See you at the Symphony.