Market Report Spring 2016 - Ultra International B.V.Ultra International B.V.
Significant increases in production based on the most recent forecasts suggest as much as 1.45 MMT (Million Metric Tonnes) of fresh lemons will be produced in the 2015/16 season. However, other reports suggest that the figure will be closer to the 1,300,000 MT we saw last year.
We have already seen the impact on the lemon oil market as supplies rebalance and with it, to some extent, prices. That said, this doesn't apply to all regions as the European fresh fruit and oil markets face far different scenarios, which will also play a role in Argentina's pricing, as demand on them will increase from other markets.
For 2015/2016, fresh lemon exports are projected to increase significantly to 280,000 MT (a 51 percent increase from the previous year), due to the production rebound and less fruit supply in Northern Hemisphere countries.
The main markets for Argentinian exports are the EU and Russia making up for 72% and 16% of all exports respectively. This is around 180,000 MT of fresh lemons.
More good news for the international markets is the Argentine government's decision to remove export taxes in an effort to counter the recent devaluation of the local currency. For lemon oil this means a 3.5% decrease in local taxes, which many producers are looking to pass on to their customers in order to gain a competitive edge.
So in summary it's happier days for the Argentinian producers but not necessarily for all end user markets. With demand increasing both domestically and internationally for fresh fruits and oil, Argentina will no doubt fill many 'boots' and probably at reasonably high prices. The GLOBAL NET POSITION ON LEMON PRODUCTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 3% DOWN on last year.
Overall production volumes have been slightly reduced this season at a time when demand levels are very high. This is particularly the case for any 'Italian' types of oil being produced.
SUPPLIES REMAIN DIFFICULT as production fails to keep up with global demand, which has seen good growth over the past year. There are plans for a plant upgrade, which will increase capacity, but this isn't expected to come online until the third quarter, leaving supplies tight until then.
New production of oil from plantation wood has started to come online bringing with it a sense of relief from those desperate to find alternative sources. This has been a long term event and the benefits should be seen long into the future.
Change to the local wood distribution supply will also come online later this year. It is expected to bring with it better access to wood for other producers who have long been forced to pay higher prices to gain access to wood supplies via different routes. This along with the stocks from the new plantations will see markets more open to processors over the course of 2016. Happier days ahead!
2015 marked a new record production for Australian tea tree oil but despite this there remains very little carryover stocks. Many buyers covered their requirements early so the market has been seemingly flat in recent months. That hasn't detracted from the fact that an overall increased production of 150 MT over the course of the year has been consumed, owing to the fact that tea tree oil is becoming more and more popular.
Expect some CHANGES TO MARKET CONDITIONS this year as we are likely to see some consolidation amongst producers within the local markets and the upcoming changes to the ISO Standards should encourage more use of pure Australian tea tree oil than other less compatible origins.
Interest continues to grow with tangible results now being seen in markets across Europe and Asia. Capacities remain at around 5 MT per annum but thoughts are in place to expand this capacity given current interest and ongoing development work at the end-user level.
The season has been quiet good for this up and coming lemon producing nation with many now happy to consider Brazilian quality as a straight alternative to Argentinian. Production is continuing to grow along with general demand.
Although the season is throughout the year the main harvest period lasts between December and July and heavy rains in January and February hit production hard. That said, there is some availability but supply and demand is delicately balanced.
MARKETS REMAIN VERY FIRM AND VOLATILE as we look towards the second half of 2016 although statistically some figures paint a different story.
Generally the local markets for fresh fruits peak from February to April so many of these off fruits will be picked and sold during this time leaving the available fruits for processing come May very low. This at a time when fruit picking is at its lowest.
The overall FORECAST IS FOR A REDUCTION OF FRUIT BEING AVAILABLE FOR PROCESSING IN THE COMING MONTHS. This will inevitably put pressure on supplies into the oil market during the second half of the year, no doubt keeping prices firm.
This year, shipments from origin are around 10% up on the monthly averages from 2015 but prices (based on FOB rates) are on average 45% higher!
Generally, markets seem stable although firm but it is thought that the supply pipelines from origin to end-users are fairly low as consumers continue to cover only their basic needs. This adds an element of vulnerability to the markets should supplies start to slow as they seasonally do around mid-Summer.
The story of any citrus bi-product will follow the paths of the fresh fruit, juice and oil markets before their own market dynamics play a part, but with the uncertainty surrounding those markets at the moment the future prospects of d'limonene remains delicate.
It is still too early to see how this year's crop will perform but generally the plants came through a mild winter unscathed.
Final calculations from 2015's crop suggest Bulgaria produced and EXPORTED AROUND 200 MT of oil, which was significantly up on the previous year by around 60 MT. That said, today there is VERY LITTLE OIL AVAILABLE IN THE MARKET and nothing at origin, suggesting the markets easily consumed these increased volumes.
We know from recent history that the critical time for lavender yields is around June. Depending on the hours of sunshine and temperatures at that time, yields can be significantly increased or decreased to the extent that if all goes well we can expect perhaps 250 MT this year but if the conditions that prevailed in 2014 occur again, the same plantations could yield us as little, or less than 160 MT.
With additional plantations in recent years we understand there to be around 4,000 hectares of lavender fields in Bulgaria.
Despite the mild winter the cold spring nights could cause some problems for the development of this year's rose plantations, although it is too early to confirm.
After last year's 50% +/- decline in yields rose needs a good crop but we are still several months away from understanding what conditions we will have.
Today both within the market and at origin there is little or no oil available.
Production usually starts mid-May but this could be delayed due to continuous rains in the collection areas. Last year's production was 50 MT less than 2014 at levels of 400 MT. It is anticipated that this year's PRODUCTION VOLUMES MAY BE EVEN LOWER.
Today's markets are quiet as most buyers await the new season. Last year saw prices fall to under $30 /kilo for the first time in recent years but it is likely that we will see prices slowly return to the average price levels that we are used to, which is between $37-$40 /kilo.
The early season has not been great as cold weather destroyed many crops over the winter period. Thankfully after last year's bumper crop, stocks remain reasonable but it is expected that prices will increase over the coming weeks or until the summer season begins from late July.
The market remains delicately balanced, which is a pattern we are starting to get used to for this product. Over the past 12 months, we have seen supply and demand keep fairly in line with each other with the only changes to this being short lived. This comes either when demand spikes or during the seasonal months when harvesting and production fall, as we are seeing now.
After the last production season between November and January, prices softened by as much as $1 /kilo but as production stopped around February and with no surplus stocks in the supply chain, prices have since risen. With no likely scenario of a short-term oversupply, it is worth following the main production times to take your cover. With this in mind, prices will remain firm until May, with June/July, then later in Q4 being the best times to enter the market.
Depending on whom you speak to there has been either zero production or very little production for over 12 months. This has put an immense pressure on supplies and with it market prices. Today prices are higher than they have ever been with no real positive changes foreseeable on the horizon. The season starts in May but it seems production will only be made against firm orders, which will no doubt leave us with no carryover after the short season.
The smaller production in 2015 managed to keep prices firm, which is a trend many expect to see continue despite the new season having just started. Competition amongst collectors, coupled with higher labour and production costs, has meant that early calculations of new season oil actually see prices increase!
The season will continue over the next 4-5 months so maybe there is room for things to improve; however, at this stage this scenario seems unlikely.
The new season has certainly helped to ease supplies and prices after we'd seen prices creep up towards the end of last year. Today there are some good offers available so our recommendation would be to buy now for the rest of 2016.
In 2015 the Chinese had a difficult year competing on the global lavender markets, not helped by strong production from Bulgaria and France. Even today you are able to find some stocks from last year's production with many producers happy to cut their losses and look towards a better 2016. Whether they get one will very much depend not just on their own crop conditions but the conditions of other producing areas. If everyone has a good year it is questionable as to how much the Chinese can compete but that hasn't deterred their interest for now so let's see how the next few months play out.
Today there are little supplies to talk about in the market with the next season not starting until late June. This is the only season planned this year and will last around 8 weeks, until mid-August. As with 2015, there will be no spring season as the government continues to restrict harvesting.
Last year we saw a 40% REDUCTION ON THE PREVIOUS YEAR'S PRODUCTION. We expect similar levels this year to those of last.
Prices remain firm with limited oil to cover until the next crop starting in August. Unfortunately good quality material remains an issue with many having to accept a higher level of methyl chavicol in order not to be forced to pay higher prices.
Production started late March, which is a little earlier than usual. This was in part due to a high demand from the market although the early start may affect overall yields. Although prices today are similar to those of last season the early crop finish and the forecasted hot weather is likely to mean price will increase after the close of the season.
Production should start mid-April but as usual there is a small window for harvesting and most production is made to order. Prices have softened but remain higher than prices from other origins, where we are still finding some carry over stocks from last year, which may affect demand this season for the Egyptian oil.
Prices remain stable at relatively low levels if compared to this time last year. However, it is expected that the new crop, starting in May, could be smaller than usual, which could lead to some supply issues later in the year. It is recommended to cover early.
Difficult to summarise as prices have been low along with demand for some time. There doesn't appear to be much justification for the weak markets and it is hoped that demand will return this year. This could coincide with an expected smaller cultivation this year which could help prices to recover (good if you're a producer!) but to what extent it is difficult to say. There are always some external dynamics to consider with this oil and origin so enjoy the weak and stable price today as they may not be around forever.
Markets have softened a little since the turn of the year with small lots still available from last year's crop. The new season will start around June and is expected to be normal.
After last year's proposed new volumes didn't arrive everyone is hopeful that 2016 will be different. There is a significant amount of new plantations that 'should' yield some results this year with the hope France can increase its output by a few tons. Last year's volumes are estimated to be around 16 MT with every drop selling quickly at record high prices. The NEW PLANTATIONS COULD ADD 5-8 MT MORE OIL this year but as always Mother Nature will have the final say.
Reflecting on recent years we can see that there is little future for this variety as year-on-year output declines. Last YEAR'S PRODUCTION WAS DOWN A FURTHER 15% on 2014. It seems there are still a number of end users who insist on this variety but in reality they are less likely each year to be buying what they think they are buying with volumes of real abrialis almost non-existent. Today there are no stocks at origin.
Despite a strong 2015 production (although without the growth we originally anticipated), demand has remained firm and all stocks at origin are now sold. 2015 production was up around 5% on previous years but it looks like that wasn't enough to fulfil the overall demand. Today, buyers are asking for material to tie them over until the new crop but are finding very little available. Instead many are turning to other sources, such as Spain, and finding they're having to pay much higher prices.
It is too early to predict this season's outcome but so long as there is no major drought during spring and no overly hot pre-harvest period all should be set for a similar output to that of last year.
Recent years have seen this variety decline and with it prices increase and it is unlikely this trend will be any different during 2016. That said there is some good news, as recent new plantations will hopefully add new oil into the supply chain after the 2017 crops. Today there is no material at origin and with the season not starting until July (with oil available late August) expect the market to remain very firm.
Stocks at origin are now depleted after a complete sell out year for French lavender. Production last year was average even if some other lavender types performed better than expected it certainly wasn't the case for Maillette. Whilst other lavenders showed modest GROWTH OF AROUND 4% on average Maillette suffered. As a result, prices finished on average higher than in 2014 as demand for this quality is always high.
As with all lavenders the flowering period before the harvest will determine what yields we can expect. This is always a balancing act by the farmers who have to be ready to move quickly once the right time arrives.
Production is now focused on the Dominican Republic where of late some local restrictions have been in place to prevent the movement of raw material to the factories. This is for deadwood as live wood cannot be harvested as it's under a government protection order. Thankfully we are hearing that these restrictions have been lifted which in time will provide some relief. That said the market is starved of supply and it will take some time before there is a better balance in the market and until then prices will remain high.
Historically sandalwood grew freely in Haiti but was depleted over time because the branches burned well due to their density and dryness making it a good energy source for local households. It is now harvested in the Dominican Republic and is a protected species therefore the industry is reliant on the availability of deadwood.
Supplies are simply not available as the availability of raw materials and basic commodities for processing are short. Last season (ending October 2015) there was no cary over stocks and today there is a backlog of orders to fulfil. In February limited production started again but the key word here is 'limited'. It is likely to take some months before supplies catch up with the demand so expect prices to increase over the next quarter.
The new season has almost concluded with less production than in 2015 due to the declining prices and demand for anethole. Today prices are stable but stocks are low so it could be that during the year we see some price increases.
The 2015 crop saw a 30% REDUCTION on the previous year's output, most of which was planned due to the declining market demand. Markets remain flat with some stocks still available. Crude Mentha Arvensis prices are very low at the moment as producers look to turn over stocks before the new season starting in June.
The new season started a little late with fresh oil beginning to come online mid-April. Markets are fairly quiet at the moment but this could change soon and depending on which will determine prices for the new season. One factor that has come to light is a reduced davanone level in this season's crops brought about by delays in harvesting.
The markets have started to rebalance and as a result prices are now more stable. In 2015 production was down around 30% and the availability of good quality oil became difficult. Whilst we're still not seeing good continuity it is thought that supplies are catching up with demand perhaps owing to a weakened market in recent months. Once we get to the summer harvesting period it is hoped the markets will improve further.
Production has been weak during Q1 as demand is growing and with it prices. A lower output this season could see local oil stocks reduce in the coming months, which will help move prices back to a more attractive level for farmers to cultivate next year.
India's pepper cultivation is reported to be around 195,000 Ha, making it one of the largest in the world, although Vietnam remains the largest exporter of the spice.
Over recent weeks the local markets have seen an INCREASE IN PRICES FOR BLACK PEPPER SPICE with global pepper prices (spice not oil) at an all time high. A recent report into the industry forecasts a 3.2% GROWTH IN THE PEPPER MARKETS over the next 4-5 years. This is based on consumer trends and supported by many of the world's largest food producers.
Today the oil market remains stable but will be influenced by the condition of the spice market. Should it continue to grow and prices rise we may see some increase in oil prices, which has been more of a buyer's market in recent months.
There is a general sense of an improving situation amongst the Indian producers. After a low yielding 2015 and a weaker market new enquiries ahead of this season 1st cut in May have given renewed optimism. It is understood there was around 20-25% ADDITIONAL PLANTING EARLIER THIS YEAR which is hoped will lead to a healthy 1st cut.
Today stocks are almost fully depleted with very little carryover from 2015. Today's prices are not indicative of what may come next as we await the new season and the market's requirements.
Last year we say a 35% REDUCTION IN PLANTATIONS compared with 2014 to try and rebalance the supply in the markets due to weak demands brought about by the introduction of synthetic alternatives. This year it is likely to REDUCE ANOTHER 25% as more and more farmers are discouraged by market prices to invest in production. It is a buyers market!
Finally fresh, uncontaminated lots of this oil have started to come through after months, even years, of ongoing problems. There is still some work to do to ensure it's longer-term sustainability but for now it is pleasing to see some good quality oil. We hope that during the course of 2016 the situation will continue to improve further.
The market is now pure speculation as there is NO FRESH OIL AVAILABLE and none for the foreseeable future. As such today's prices are at all times high and will rise based on who wants what and when. We do not expect to see fresh supplies soon and would recommend you cover any short term needs quickly if you can.
There was almost a 20% GROWTH IN PRODUCTION LAST YEAR as Indonesia continues to express itself in the global market. Whilst still shy of the 2,000 MT China produced in 2015, prices for Indonesia origin remain more competitive and more and more end users are switching qualities. Many still see the two origins as interchangeable but for those who don't there are signs of large users accommodating the small differences in quality.
Supplies are continuing to increase from Sumatra with local prices remaining stable. The only difference in pricing month to month is based on the currency exchange rates but in large this only amounts to +/- 5% when the price advantage Indonesia has over China is closer to 10-15% with China expecting price increases into 2016.
There remains a reasonable balance in the markets despite supplies of clove leaf slowing in recent weeks. Collections are traditionally lower at this time of year with the next main harvest period starting in May. We may see some small price decreases at this time but they could be offset with similarly small movements in the local currency. For now markets remain stable.
There is a lot of interest in this product at the moment as the market continues to assess the viability of this quality as a long term option. It has been seen to be accepted in a number of new and interesting applications. Prices remain steady however supplies are not as consistent as they could be. Hopefully more controls coming from within the supply chain will improve this over the next months.
Despite more apparent challenges within the nutmeg supply the availability of mace for oil production is stable, likely due to the smaller oil market. As a newer product it is gaining momentum and qualities are consistent. Expect prices to remain at today's levels for the short term.
Overall supplies in 2015 improved but this market sector lacks controls and continuity. Supplies are ad hoc and qualities need to be re-worked constantly. Efforts are in place to improve this long term but it will take time to find to reassurances we all like to have when dealing with these premium natural ingredients. Today prices remain firm but stable.
The vision for this oil remains the same as the previous 6 months, namely that we will and are seeing a slow rebalance in the market supply and demand. We saw an 'event' in 2015 when prices dropped sharply and significantly only to become so unattractive to farmers that over time collections reduced and oil stocks diminished. Although there has been little change in the overall market demand the reduction in cheap oil has seen prices slowly increase week on week to a point where it is getting closer to something workable long term. There is still a sense that PRICES COULD CONTINUE TO RISE 5-10% but with fresh crops usually coming online around May we could see this increase slow down until later in the year.
It seems the volatility we've seen over the past 3 years has ended and the price trend for the next few months is stable to firming slowly.
On the surface the markets remain fairly stable with only small ups and downs in recent months largely due to exchange rate movements rather than raw material costs and supply. That said there is always an ongoing challenge within the local patchouli communities to ensure this stability can continue. Each month following droughts or floods in one area there is a need to balance with supplies from other areas. As such more and more efforts are required to keep a consistent export quality with only those with the technologies able to keep on top of this.
This is one reason why Van Aroma has grown to be the world's largest exporter as their state-of-the –art technologies and quality controls have allowed it to develop the raw material market in newer growing areas.
These technologies combined with the constant reinforcement of good farming practices have helped ensure supplies remain stable and therefore prices.
Over recent weeks supplies from Sulawesi have been low due to recent floods but good stocks has meant the market hasn't felt this potential ripple in supply. Supplies from Sumatra are stable but there is nothing coming from Java at present. Fresh production should start early June which will be needed to add some safety stocks back into the supply chain.
The situation simply does not improve with supplies continuing to remain low and market demand increasing by the week. It has been difficult for producers to accommodate even regular clients needs with many new and expecting clients left disappointed.
Earlier in the year we anticipated prices to increase another 15-20% before Q2 and now we're in Q2 we can say the same for the next quarter. There are simple supply and demand dynamics involved here at every step of the supply chain and with each step THE PRICES KEEP GETTING HIGHER AND HIGHER with no real changes expected in the short-term.
There will be some challenging times ahead for the Italian lemon producers after the winter season yielded some poor results. Whilst the number of fruits looked good, dry weather back in November has significantly reduced the yields.
Last year's Italian fresh lemon production was down 2% on the previous year, with imports from Spain (55%) and Argentina (21%) increasing to support the domestic demand. Italy's processing capacities were hit hard in 2014 with 16% FEWER LEMONS PROCESSED than the previous year.
The impact of another poor season has pushed up prices for fresh fruits so raw material costs to processors have significantly increased. To put into perspective Spanish lemons are twice the price of Argentinian lemons and ITALIAN LEMONS ARE 3 TIMES THAT OF ARGENTINA'S!
It is almost certain that Italy will import more lemons this year than last year to compensate and indeed they may become net buyers of oil from other regions. This is another reason why globally the price of lemon oil is likely to remain firm.
No significant change to that last reported, namely prices remain firm amidst a shortage of supply and a strong demand.
The 2015 crop was 15% LESS THAN THAT OF 2014, continuing the decrease we've seen in recent years. This is due to farmers turning their attention to other trees, as the cost of mandarin harvesting and cultivating is too high. Of the 17,000 MT crop estimate, around 10,000 MT will go for processing.
Following a good season and low demand from the fresh fruit markets there is good availability of fruits for processing. The only downside is the intensity of colour for blood orange juice which is not as good as in the past due to warmer temperatures in January and February. Usually colder nights during the winter months help pigment the oranges to give that intense colour.
Generally prices are stable but there is a premium charge for good quality material due to increased global demand.
Mexican producers are keen to highlight that despite Mexico being hit by the current El Niño event (which will last another few months) the effects on the lime crops are seemingly negligible. Whether that opinion changes when the May harvest arrives is still subject to a few variables which can occur in the weeks before harvest begins.
Generally the market and prices remain stable at a little under last year although it is understood that a number of large buyers are yet to cover all their 2016 requirements, which could quickly lead to a squeeze on supply. If this should happen we could see prices increase later in the year. Another factor is the growing domestic and international demand for fresh fruits, which is adding some additional pressures to the number of available fruits for processing.
Difficulties continue with supply with little or no oil available at origin. The same can be said for other North African producing countries like Tunisia.
The season should start in May although the prospects don't create a great deal of confidence for the markets to improve in the short term as demand for the dry leaf also remains high.
Supplies continue to increase catering to the markets growing enthusiasm for this special oil.
The new season will start during mid to late April. Despite this, there seems very little information being provided by the producers as to the crop conditions and expectations. We will have further bulletins on this as we hear more in the coming days/weeks.
Supplies continue to be short but against a slow down in sales prices have weakened in recent months. It is unlikely that supplies will improve in the short term so future pricing will depend on market demand over the coming months.
It is too early to consider how the 2016 crop will perform as this plant isn't harvested until September/October. There is also the added complication of where this plant grows as it is cultivated in the South and South East of Ukraine, where lasting conflict remains and where accessing the territory and crossing borders continues to be over complicated.
Today there is limited material on the market, which in turn is putting some pressure on prices.
The headline statement for clary sage is still that it is in HIGH DEMAND with PRICES REMAINING FIRM. Russian quality has emerged as the preference for many end users as it has become more regularly available than that from other origins, despite the primary reason for its cultivation being for the production of clary sage concrete and not oil. However, early signs for 2016 aren't good with an assessment after the winter suggesting there could be as much as 30-40% FEWER PLANTS THIS YEAR than last!
As with many floral oils the key to a good harvest is determining when to harvest and what the conditions are at the time of harvest. This will only be known come July when the next harvest is upon us. Today the markets are limited with the number of options available for supply small since only a few stockists are carrying material. As such prices remain firm.
The condition of the plants looks to be healthy for this time of the year. So it is expected that there will be a good crop, although it is thought that the acreage of plants around Russia is less than in previous years so the overall yields could be smaller.
Harvest for herb oil will start early June and as always this is generally a made to order product. Any plants not harvested will go on to seed and will be available at a later time to be harvested for seed oil. There is a little carry over from last year but today the markets remain quiet. Prices are expected to remain around the same levels into the new season.
As with coriander herb the condition of the plants look to be healthy for this time of the year so it is expected there would be a good crop, although it is thought that the ACREAGE OF PLANTS AROUND RUSSIA IS LESS THAN IN PREVIOUS YEARS so the overall yields could be smaller.
Harvesting for seed oil begins in July/August with the first shipments made in September/October. After a healthy crop in 2015 and a fall in market prices the market has re-balanced at stable levels. There was a lot of competition from producers last year, which is unlikely to prevail to the same extent this year, which should bring more stable pricing from origin. There appears to be reasonable stocks still available both with traders and at origin which should keep prices stable until the new crop. It is expected when all factors are considered that prices into the new season should remain close to today's levels.
Prices remain firm and are likely to remain so in the short-term despite the spring season usually bringing about fresh supplies.
The few plantations still viable in Russia seem to have made it through the winter period well. That said, we are not expecting big volumes from the area as over recent years plantation areas have been reduced due to market competition and year-on-year weather conditions resulting in poor crops.
There are few offers from South Africa at the moment after what's been described as a terrible season. Drought conditions and high temperatures severely affected the size of the fruits reducing overall yields. It is unclear as to how many lemons made it for processing but based on the lack of offers it wasn't the usual 60,000 MT.
The USDA says South Africa's fresh orange production forecast is virtually unchanged at 1.7 million tons. Exports are expected to be down 50,000 tons but still account for over 25 percent of global trade. The European Union and Russia remain its largest markets.
Most of South Africa's fresh oranges are either consumed domestically or exported to Europe with around 400 MT of oil being produced each year. There are no numbers yet to quantify recent production but it is expected to be DOWN ON PREVIOUS YEARS. Any offers today are at relatively high prices compared to previous years from South Africa but typical of today's global markets.
There have been suggestions that in 2016 South Africa will produce more tea tree oil than in previous years but any small growth will be modest in comparison to the dominance of Australia. Much of South Africa's production is wild harvested and organic and as such has a different place in the market. That said, it has its place and will no doubt continue to be a viable option for those end users looking for a different consumer story.
After a disappointing 2015 few stocks remain at origin and those that do come at premium prices. That said, with French stocks depleted and with limited options available it could be that the Spanish are able to sell at a premium over the next few months.
Limited stocks remain available at origin but at premium prices.
Fresh fruit demand continues to put pressure on local prices and oil processors costs as the Spanish producers struggle to keep ahead of the game when it comes to oil sales.
Having recently dominated supply gaps left by Argentina the roles have been reversed over recent months after Argentina came out of the dark and the Spanish faced increasing prices. Today THE COST OF FRESH SPANISH LEMONS IS DOUBLE THAT OF ARGENTINIAN LEMONS giving local oil producers an immediate disadvantage. That said, we're not comparing apples with apples (or lemons with lemons!) as the qualities are different for many of the end user markets and within Europe the Spanish have a competitive edge over the Italians, who have their own problems.
Quoting recent headlines from Agra-net, Spanish LEMON PRODUCTION IS PROJECTED TO SHRINK BY 35%, which has led to a reduction of 75% in the volume of fruit sent to the industry since the beginning of the season to December 2015.
AILIMPO's lemon harvest forecast for the 2015/16 season estimates an output of 710,000 MT, nearly 35% less than in the previous campaign.
There is no let up in the supply issues which have prevailed for some time now. Small batches are irregularly available and when they do the price is as much as someone is prepared to pay.
Another Spanish nightmare with stocks depleted for months following the dry conditions during spring/summer 2015 and there's still 3-4 months until any new crop will come online. Producers are reluctant to comment on the prospects of the new crop and with prospective buyers waiting in the wings, prices are likely to stay firm.
Reasonable supplies remain from last season's crop with the next harvest coming online from June 2016 with the outlook for this year's crop stable.
New production will start in May with limited supplies remaining at origin during this time. Demand remains high as do prices, which will remain strong until new oil comes online in June/July.
The latest USDA forecast headlines read well – 'forecast increase by 200,000 boxes'! Good news? No! What we missed was the 1.6 MILLION BOX REDUCTION SINCE THE TURN OF THE YEAR. Estimates are now at 10.7 million boxes when back in August 2015 it was 12.3 million.
At the beginning of April, some 74 percent of the red grapefruit and 69 percent of the white grapefruit had been harvested so there is little in the way of future prospects as far as alleviating the supply crisis we're enduring. Although most harvesting is set to be destined for the processing sectors.
Today prices remain extremely firm, in particular for white grapefruit with limited supplies of both white and pink remaining at origin.
There is some irony in the fact that global fresh grapefruit production is up 300,000 MT given the large increase in cultivated areas in China, however, these are primarily for the growing fresh fruit markets. Hard to believe given the problems in the oil markets! Tough times ahead!!
Generally the market is stable with only small variances in recent forecasts over those made late 2015. Overall fruit harvesting has been similar to the previous year at 900,000 MT.
Lemon acreage increased this year by 1,000 acres to 56,300 acres and processed fruit increased to 260,000 MT. As with many countries, the United States is now importing more lemons than ever before. With a growing domestic fruit market and a relatively static local production this is a trend that is likely to continue.
It's another damming statistic which ultimately throws the long term future of Florida citrus production into question with year-on -year disappointments now something all too common.
There's no hiding the troubles in Florida and the net result for the market is higher prices, which today show no signs of improving in the foreseeable future.
The market has been firming in recent months as supplies dwindle in the market. Following a disappointing 2014 crop after heavy rains disrupted harvesting it was expected that prices would firm throughout the off season which is exactly what is happening. The new season starts this month so it is possible we will see an improvement in supply and price over the coming weeks.


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The industry is booming. Millions of dollars are being spent on sports gambling, with several states legalizing the practice recently across America.
The Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act of 1992 prevented states from authorizing sports betting, but New Jersey wanted to change that in order to revamp Atlantic City. So in 2012, then-Governor Chris Christie contradicted this national law and signed a New Jersey legislation that enables casinos and racetracks in New Jersey to participate in limited sports betting. Many professional leagues, at the time, were opposed to such a practice, but that changed by the end of the decade.
Fast forward to June of 2018. Delaware became the only state besides Nevada to fully legalize sports betting, with New Jersey following suit a week later. As of the start of 2020, 19 states have legalized sports betting, either for online practices only or in casinos only.
The majority of states are taking steps to do the same, all thanks to Christie's determination when he found out how much money the Garden State was losing without it.
Christie/Murphy v. National Collegiate Athletic Association headed to the Supreme Court in 2018, arguing about the government's control over individual states' law-making abilities.
The 10th Amendment protects states' rights to make their own laws, but the 1992 act was protected under the Supremacy Clause, simply meaning that it is the law of the land.
But the Supreme Court subsequently overturned the act, 6-3, saying it was unconstitutional.
Now, the industry is booming. New Jersey earned approximately $4 billion in sports betting revenue in 2019. Leagues, too, have been increasing profit margins thanks to the creation of Internet-based sportsbooks such as FanDuel and DraftKings, the two leaders in sports betting.
"The National Basketball Association argued that its costs for ensuring the fairness of its games would go up with the implementation of gambling and that the league should be compensated," a Pew Research Center study, published by Elaine S. Povich in 2018, explained.
Online sportsbooks are becoming more popular as states legalize the web-based practice. But some states have banned the mobile version of it. Players deposit money prior to betting, and they can do so for individual games, player-on-player matchups and more.
A large draw to sports gambling is the fact that it gives fans a chance to have a more intimate tie to in the game they're watching. In all, the industry totals about $150 billion in revenue, according to legalsportsbetting.com.
Leagues, like the NBA, many of which were against sports betting for years ,are now in favor of it. The argument often heard from leagues is that it will lead to teams fixing games, or even worse, seeing officials/referees bet on them. A fix to that, MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred said in 2017, is to allow in-game betting for specific events, rather than which team will win a battle.
And that's exactly what the creation of online sportsbooks has done. Now, the industry is exceeding all expectations.
Lovers of fantasy sports are taking their passion and knowledge to the betting side of things. The transition has been simple for fantasy sports fanatics, who often pride themselves on having extensive knowledge of the leagues they participate in.
But there is always the worry about those who develop a gambling issue, which is one of the arguments about sports betting, simply because it is so easy to participate in. For those who think they might have an issue or know someone who might have one, call the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
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Joseph Wolkin is the former editor of the Levittown Tribune, Syosset-Jericho Tribune and Anton Media Group's automotive special section and county news section. A graduate of Stony Brook University, Joseph has been published in dozens of publications. He is the author of Grandma: The Story Of A Boy And His Grandma.
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Tag Archives: Kate Mara
New Releases for the Week of April 6, 2018
(Paramount) Emily Blunt, John Krasinski, Noah Jupe, Millicent Simmonds, Leon Russom, Cade Woodward, Doris McCarthy. Directed by Steven Spielberg
The Earth has been overrun by deadly creatures that hunt totally by sound; even the slightest noise an be fatal. A family finds a refuge in an abandoned home but soon determines that survival does not thrive in silence.
See the trailer, clips, video featurettes and B-roll video here.
Release Formats: Standard, DBOX, Dolby Atmos, IMAX, RPX, XD
Rating: PG-13 (for terror and some bloody images)
(Universal) Leslie Mann, John Cena, Ike Barinholtz, Kathryn Newton. The parents of three beautiful high school-aged daughters are horrified to discover that their sweet little princesses have made a pact to lose their virginity on prom night. Now they head out on a desperate mission to keep the maidenheads of their daughters strictly out-of-bounds.
See the trailer, clips, video featurettes, an interview and B-roll video here.
Rating: R (for crude and sexual content, and language throughout, drug content, teen partying, and some graphic nudity)
(Entertainment Studios) Kate Mara, Clancy Brown, Jason Clarke, Olivia Thirlby. This is the story of the infamous scandal that rocked the Democratic Party to its core and essentially put a permanent "Keep Out" sign on the White House lawn for Ted Kennedy.
Genre: True Life Drama
Rating: PG-13 (for thematic material, disturbing images, some strong language, and historical smoking)
(Fox Searchlight) Starring the voices of Bryan Cranston, Greta Gerwig, Bill Murray, Edward Norton. In a future where a tyrant has banished all dogs to a contaminated island, a brave young boy goes to the forbidden island to find his lost dog and bring him home. This is the latest from Wes Anderson of The Grand Hotel Budapest and The Fantastic Mr. Fox fame.
See the trailer, video featurettes, interviews and clips here.
Now Playing: Regal Winter Park Village
Rating: PG-13 (for thematic elements and violent images)
The Miracle Season
(LD Entertainment) Helen Hunt, William Hurt, Tiera Skovbye, Erin Moriarty. A powerhouse high school girls volleyball team is hit by a terrible tragedy. They must find a way to pull together and put themselves in a position to win the State Championship but the odds are against them.
See the trailer, clips, interviews, a video featurette and B-roll video here.
Genre: Sports Drama
Rating: PG (for thematic elements)
Subedar Joginder Singh
The Other Side of Hope
Florida Film Festival, Orlando FL
Posted in Weekly Preview	| Tagged 2018, A Quiet Place, April 6, Bill Murray, Blockers, Bryan Cranston, Chappaquiddick, cinema, Cinema365, Clancy Brown, Edward Norton, Emily Blunt, Films, Greta Gerwig, Helen Hunt, Ike Barinholtz, Isle of Dogs, Jason Clarke, John Cena, John Krasinski, Kate Mara, Kathryn Newton, Leon Russom, Leslie Mann, movies, Noah Jupe, Olivia Thirlby, Previews, The Miracle Season, William Hurt	| Leave a reply
Posted on June 8, 2017 by carlosdev
Megan and Rex are on the job.
(2017) True Life War Drama (Bleecker Street) Kate Mara, Tom Felton, Bradley Whitford, Geraldine James, Common, Edie Falco, Will Patton, Ramon Rodriguez, Shannon Tarbet, Miguel Gomez, Jonathan Howard, George Webster, Corey Johnson, Sam Keeley, Catherine Dyer, Melina Matthews, Jonah Bowling, Parker Sawyers, Victoria Budkey. Directed by Gabriela Cowperthwaite
We all know who man's best friend is; the loyal and beloved canine. Dogs not only act as companions when we get home from work, they also work with us as service dogs, drug sniffing dogs and in the military, bomb-sniffing dogs. Their sensitive noses can detect things the human nose can't.
If you told this to Megan Leavey (Mara) back in 2000, she likely wouldn't have cared. Adrift in a fog of alcohol and grief for her childhood best friend who had recently passed away due to a drug overdose, she lives with her mother (Falco) who cheated on Megan's dad Bob (Whitford) with his former best friend (Patton), a chronically unemployed drunk whom Megan is well on the way to emulating. Directionless, she decides to join the Marines mainly to get out of a town that she sees no future for herself in.
As anyone who has been in the military will tell you, your problems follow you into the armed forces after you enlist. Megan gets wasted while off-duty and does something unmentionable, getting her in hot water again. As punishment, she is sent to clean out the dog kennels where the dogs who are being trained to sniff out bombs are being trained with their handlers.
Megan has trouble relating to people but for some reason the relationship between the handlers and their dogs – personified by Andrew Dean (Felton), a legend in the Corps and an unusually compassionate guy who helps Megan find her way. After pestering Gunny (Common), the commander of the K9 training unit, to get accepted into the K9 unit, she is finally given a dog to train – Rex, a German Shepherd who has bitten his former trainer hard enough to break his arm. Rex is aggressive, impulsive and difficult to control; like Megan I suppose it could be said he has trouble relating to people. The two outsiders slowly bond and eventually get shipped out to Iraq.
Megan, a tiny woman, gets little respect from her fellow handlers and from the soldiers whose lives she is to protect; the Marines is about as patriarchal an organization as you're likely to find but Megan and Rex become very proficient at what they do, saving hundreds of lives before one mission in which….well, you're going to have to watch the movie to find out.
Some time passes and Megan has been discharged from the Corps, returning to civilian life and once again she's having difficulty relating to people. However this time she is coping with PTSD, understandable considering the high-stress job she did for the Corps overseas. She has pushed just about everyone in her life away from her, including Matt Morales (Rodriguez), a fellow handler whom she had been developing a relationship with in the Corps. Only her dad Bob remains and when a cause she can believe in is given to her, with her dad's gentle prodding Megan steps back into life and fights as hard as she did not only in Iraq but to get to Iraq.
In many ways, this is like a Hollywood movie – and of course, it is a Hollywood movie – but the story is based on actual events. There is a real Megan Leavey (she appears in pictures during the end credits) and a real Rex. I don't know if Mara captured the real Megan Leavey but she delivers a well-rounded performance that while not exceptional is enough to carry the movie nicely. Mara sometimes gets overshadowed by her sister Rooney but she's a very talented actress in her own right who just needs the right role to really break out into the next level. This isn't it but hopefully it will lead her to roles that can get her there.
Common is rapidly going from rapper slash actor to actor slash rapper; he channels Louis Gossett Jr. a little too much here (see An Officer and a Gentleman) but if I was going to have any actor channel Gossett, it would be Common. He has the military bearing to carry the role off; it surprises me somewhat that he didn't have military experience himself or come from a military family. Just good acting I suppose but that tells me that the rapper is more than just a handsome guy who can rap; he is likely to have some terrific possibly Oscar-worthy performances in his future.
The best parts of the movie take place in Iraq; there is a great deal of tension throughout those sequences and even in the down time between missions we can see Megan opening up to Morales and letting him in. Before that however, the movie drags quite a bit; it feels like we're waiting for something to happen but the filmmakers first have to go through the motion of getting us from point A to point B with stops at A.1, A.2, A.3 etc. etc. It's a little too extended for my taste and I wish they could have condensed that part of the movie somewhat.
Cowperthwaite is best known for her documentary Blackfish which is also animal-centric. I'm a dog person so it was easy for me to get hooked on this movie; fellow dog lovers will also have the same ease in getting into the film. Film buffs might find this a bit overly sentimental but I suppose it can't be helped; the subject matter revolves around the bond between Marine and dog and the reliance each has upon the other. It's a strong message and while I don't think that this movie necessarily presented it in the strongest light, it does a good enough job that make it worth seeking out among all the big budget summer blockbusters that dominate the cinematic landscape this time of year.
REASONS TO GO: The in-country sequences are the best in the film. The dogs are terrific.
REASONS TO STAY: The movie is pure Hollywood (in a negative way). Too much time is spent waiting for things to happen; much of the training sequences could have been lopped off.
FAMILY VALUES: There is some war violence, profanity, a little bit of sensuality and adult themes.
TRIVIAL PURSUIT: Both Mara and the real Megan Leavey grew up in the suburbs of New York City.
COMPARISON SHOPPING: Max
NEXT: The Most Hated Woman in America
Posted in New Releases	| Tagged adrift, alcoholism, Bleecker Street, bomb detection, boot camp, Bradley Whitford, cinema, Cinema365, Common, divorce, Edie Falco, Films, Geraldine James, gunnery sergeant, human-canine bond, IED, Iraq, K9 unit, Kate Mara, Megan Leavey, movies, Ramon Rodriguez, reviews, screw-up, socially awkward, Tom Felton, training, true life war drama, upstate New York, USMC, Will Patton	| Leave a reply
New Releases for the Week of June 9, 2017
(Universal) Tom Cruise, Russell Crowe, Annabelle Wallis, Sofia Boutella, Courtney B. Vance, Jake Johnson, Marwan Kenzari, Sean Cameron Mitchell. Directed by Alex Kurtzman
The brand new Dark Universe shared cinematic universe featuring Universal's classic movie monsters kicks off here with the story of an evil curse, safely entombed for millennia beneath the sands of Egypt, unwittingly reawakened by an American adventurer. Now cursed himself, he must race against time to stop a creature of pure malevolence with the aid of Dr. Henry Jekyll, the head of a mysterious multinational corporation called Prodigium.
See the trailer, clips and video features here.
Release Formats: Standard, 3D, IMAX 3D
Genre: Horror Action
Rating: PG-13 (for violence, action and scary images and for some suggestive content and partial nudity)
(Gravitas) Victor Almanzar, Julia Stiles, Elizabeth Rodriguez, John Leguizamo. After serving honorably in the Middle East, a U.S. Marine comes home hoping to return to civilian life while turning his back on his violent past. However, sometimes there's no escaping one's past.
Genre: Crime Drama
Now Playing: AMC Loew's Universal Cineplex
(A24) Joel Edgerton, Christopher Abbott, Carmen Ejogo, Riley Keough. As an apocalyptic event decimates the world, a man, his wife and son hole up in a remote home. When a desperate family arrives at his door seeking refuge, he decides to give it to him but soon paranoia and mistrust give way to something within that may be worse than what lies outside the walls of his compound.
See the trailer, clips, interviews and a video feature here.
Rating: R (for violence, disturbing images and language)
(Bleecker Street) Kate Mara, Tom Felton, Common, Ramon Rodriguez. A young woman, unable to socialize properly and adrift through life, decides to enlist in the U.S. Marines to see if she can find a direction for herself. After a disciplinary hearing leaves her to being assigned kennel clean-up duty she enlists in the K9 unit and is assigned Rex, an unruly and aggressive dog. Somehow the two misfits manage to bond and form an impressive team until one misstep puts both their fates in jeopardy.
See the trailer, clips, an interview and a featurette here.
Genre: True Life War Drama
Rating: PG-13 (for war violence, language, suggestive material, and thematic elements)
(Fox Searchlight) Rachel Weisz, Sam Claflin, Iain Glen, Holliday Grainger. A young English man during the Regency era plots revenge against his beautiful cousin, believing that she murdered his guardian. However, as he gets to know her he begins to fall for her romantically – but is she the innocent he believes she is or a cold blooded murderess he first thought she was?
See the trailer, a clip and a featurette here.
Now Playing: AMC Disney Springs, Cinemark Artegon Marketplace, Regal Oviedo Marketplace, Regal Waterford Lakes, Regal Winter Park Village
Rating: PG-13 (for some sexuality and brief strong language)
ALSO OPENING IN ORLANDO/DAYTONA
Ami Tumi
I Called Him Morgan
Raabta
ALSO OPENING IN MIAMI:
David Lynch: The Art Life
Es Por Tu Bien
Godha
I, Daniel Blake
ALSO OPENING IN TAMPA:
Legion of Brothers
ALSO OPENING IN JACKSONVILLE:
Like Crazy
Posted in Weekly Preview	| Tagged 11:55, 2017, Amanda Wallis, Carmen Ejogo, Christopher Abbott, cinema, Cinema365, Common, Courtney B. Vance, Films, Holliday Grainger, Iain Glen, It Comes at Night, Jake Johnson, Joel Edgerton, John Leguizamo, Julia Stiles, June 9, Kate Mara, Megan Leavey, movies, My Cousin Rachel, Previews, Rachel Weisz, Ramon Rodriguez, Riley Keough, Russell Crowe, Sam Claflin, Sofia Boutella, The Mummy, Tom Cruise, Tom Felton	| Leave a reply
New Releases for the Week of December 2, 2016
Posted on December 1, 2016 by carlosdev
(High Top) Carice van Houten, Aaron Eckhart, David Mazouz, Emjay Anthony, Catalina Sandino Moreno, Keir O'Donnell, Tomas Arana. Directed by Brad Peyton
An exorcist with the ability to enter the subconscious of his patients is assigned a tormented young boy with a particularly nasty demon inside. Fighting off the powers of this demon is no easy task, but the exorcist will also have to fight the demons of his past if he is to save the boy – and himself.
Rating: PG-13 (for intense sequences of horror violence, terror, disturbing images, brief strong language, sensuality and thematic elements)
(Freestyle Releasing) Ryan O'Quinn, Shawnee Smith, Danielle Nicolet, Kevin Sizemore. A businessman in a small town finds himself fighting the weak economy as Christmas approaches. Normally a sponsor of the town Christmas pageant, he finds himself forced to cancel the event. The friendship of a young boy whose faith is nearly boundless convinces him that he made the wrong decision and he turns to trying to save the pageant against all odds.
Genre: Faith-Based Drama
Now Playing: AMC Altamonte Mall, AMC Disney Springs, AMC West Oaks, Cinemark Artegon Marketplace, Epic Lee Vista, Regal Oviedo Marketplace, Regal The Loop, UA Seminole Towne Center
Rating: PG (for some violence, thematic elements and brief mild language)
(The Orchard) Rebecca Hall, Michael C. Hall, Tracy Letts, Maria Dizzia. Christine Chubbuck is a local newscaster in the Sarasota area in the 1970s. She's smart, beautiful and ambitious, but suffers from depression in the face of personal and professional frustrations. What she does is shocking and makes broadcast news history.
Now Playing: Regal Oviedo Marketplace
Rating: R (for a scene of disturbing violence and for language including some sexual references)
(Lionsgate) Shia LaBeouf, Jai Courtney, Gary Oldman, Kate Mara. A U.S. Marine returns home from Afghanistan and finds it to be a far different place than where he left it. His estranged wife and son have disappeared and as he searches a landscape little different than the one he left, he is accompanied by a battle-hardened comrade who is more likely to shoot first than to ask questions later.
Now Playing: AMC Loew's Universal Cineplex, Regal Winter Park Village
Rating: R (for some disturbing violence and language throughout)
(A24) Zoe Kazan, Ella Ballentine, Scott Speedman, Aaron Douglas. A divorced mother and her headstrong daughter are driving late at night on a lonely road in the woods to take the girl to see her father. They get into an accident when a wolf runs out in front of them. They manage to call 911 and get a tow truck out but it soon becomes clear that they are being hunted by something malevolent and strong.
Now Playing: AMC Disney Springs
Rating: R (for language and some violence/terror)
Posted in Weekly Preview	| Tagged 2016, Aaron Eckhart, Believe, Carice van Houten, Catalina Sandino Moreno, Christine, cinema, Cinema365, David Mazouz, December 2, Emjay Anthony, Films, Gary Oldman, Incarnate, Jai Courtney, Kate Mara, Keir O'Donnell, Man Down, Michael C. Hall, movies, Previews, Rebecca Hall, Scott Speedman, Shawnee Smith, Shia LaBeouf, The Monster, Tomas Arana, Tracy Letts, Zoe Kazan	| Leave a reply
Morgan (2016)
Mirror images.
(2016) Sci-Fi Thriller (20th Century Fox) Kate Mara, Anya Taylor-Joy, Rose Leslie, Michael Yare, Toby Jones, Paul Giamatti, Michelle Yeoh, Chris Sullivan, Boyd Holbrook, Vinette Robinson, Brian Cox, Jennifer Jason Leigh, Crispian Belfrage, Amybeth McNulty, Jonathan Aris, Charlotte Asprey, Frank Cannon, Bobby Marrio, Martin O'Sullivan, Chrissie Harris. Directed by Luke Scott
As our technology and scientific understanding progress, we will be confronted by questions having to do with what it means to be human – and whether or not that definition is broad enough to cover the wonders that are sure to follow. Will artificial life forms have the same compunctions we do? Can we ever truly trust them?
Morgan (Taylor-Joy) is the results of a bio-engineering experiment using artificial DNA. She is brilliant, strong and yet emotionally immature; she's only five years old chronologically speaking although she is in her teens in terms of physical development. When she suddenly and without warning attacks a psychologist (Leigh) in the compound, the corporation funding the experiments sends risk analyst Lee Weathers (Mara) to make the determination if the plug should be pulled on the experiment.
When she reaches the secluded Pacific Northwest compound where the scientists studying Morgan are housed, she is met with wariness. Lee is surprised to find the personal attachment many of the scientists have with Morgan with the exception of nutritionist Skip Vronsky (Holbrook) who still refers to Morgan as "it." The rest of the team has bonded with the girl in spite of the attack on one of their number; they show affection towards her, even though they keep her in what amounts to a cage.
After an examination by another psychologist (Giamatti) ends in disaster, the lead scientist on the Morgan project (Yeoh) reluctantly decides to terminate Morgan which meets with resistance from the team, but Lee is adamant that the directive be carried out. However, like all living beings, Morgan is possessed with a strong survival instinct. She also has not only the ability to use it, but deadly abilities not even her handlers were aware she had.
Artificial life forms gone amuck have long been a staple of Hollywood sci-fi horror films. This isn't really a horror movie per se, although there are some pieces of shocking violence here (particularly the initial sequence). Mostly this is a thriller with philosophical overtones as the cold, calculating Lee is put up against the occasionally sympathetic Morgan, although at the end of the film all our sympathies are confused.
Most will see the twist coming, although that isn't the fault of the actors involved. Mara and Taylor-Joy both play polar opposites for much of the movie and both do credible jobs, with Mara getting a slight edge in terms of performance. The supporting cast, including Leigh, Yeoh and Giamatti, are stellar and are sadly underused here; their combined screen time is probably less than ten minutes all told and we end up wishing to have seen more of them by the time the movie ends.
There are some beautiful images here as well, with Ireland subbing for the Pacific Northwest. Then again, this is a micro-budgeted film and that unfortunately shows in some of the production design; for whatever reason the housing compound for the supposedly high tech facility is ramshackle and looks pointedly like the Psycho house. If they had just gotten ordinary dormitories it would have looked more realistic and I can't believe it would have cost them any more to use, particularly in the exterior shots.
Mostly this is a credible thriller that goes off the rails near the end of the movie when it becomes a standard action film and quite frankly, the action portions aren't particularly noteworthy. That spoils some of the nifty mood making that Scott engaged in during the bulk of the movie, in which viewers are given a disturbing feeling that things Aren't Quite Right Here, which of course most would know anyway from seeing the trailer.
Scott has some good techniques and when he gets something in his wheelhouse, he knows what to do with it. I can't say if he'll end up being as good or better a director as his dad but for my money he has the potential to do so. Let's hope he finds the right material to enable him to do just that.
REASONS TO GO: Mara is cold and remorseless. The film raises some interesting philosophical questions.
REASONS TO STAY: Another film peopled with characters who don't behave like real people. Several terrific actors in the cast are wasted in roles that go nowhere.
FAMILY VALUES: The violence in the film is pretty brutal; there's also a fair amount of foul language.
TRIVIAL PURSUIT: Scott is the son of director Ridley Scott.
COMPARISON SHOPPING: Ex-Machina
NEXT: Train to Busan
Posted in New Releases	| Tagged 20th Century Fox, Anya Taylor-Joy, artificial intelligence, bioengineering, Boyd Holbrook, Brian Cox, brutal attack, cinema, Cinema365, corporate politics, eye-gouging, Films, Jennifer Jason Leigh, Kate Mara, manufactured DNA, Michelle Yeoh, Morgan, movies, Pacific Northwest, Paul Giamatti, psychiatric interview, psychosis, research compound, reviews, risk analyst, sci-fi thriller, Toby Jones, Vinette Robinson	| Leave a reply
New Releases for the Week of September 2, 2016
Posted on September 1, 2016 by carlosdev
(20th Century Fox) Kate Mara, Anya Taylor-Joy, Toby Jones, Paul Giamatti, Boyd Holbrook, Jennifer Jason Leigh, Michelle Yeoh, Brian Cox. Directed by Luke Scott
A corporate troubleshooter is sent to a remote lab to investigate a recent accident and to evaluate whether the program being conducted there should be continued. When she arrives, it soon seems that the culprit behind the chaos is a seemingly innocent whose facade hides enormous potential – and incredible danger.
See the trailer, clips and a featurette here.
Rating: R (for brutal violence and some language)
Don't Think Twice
(The Film Arcade) Mike Birbiglia, Gillian Jacobs, Kate Micucci, Keegan-Michael Key. When the member of a popular New York City improv troupe gets a big break on an SNL-like late night sketch show, the others in the group – all friends – begin to realize that the odds are that not all of them are going to make it after all. And maybe, none of them will.
Rating: R (for language and some drug use)
(RLJ) Alain Moussi, Georges St-Pierre, Dave Bautista, Jean-Claude van Damme. After his brother is killed in the ring by a brutal fighter, a young man swears vengeance upon the man that killed him but in order to beat him, he'll have to get training from the best of the best – a kickboxer by the name of Durand.
Genre: Martial Arts
Now Playing: AMC Disney Springs, AMC Loew's Universal Cineplex
(DreamWorks) Michael Fassbender, Alicia Vikander, Rachel Weisz, Jack Thompson. Just after the First World War, an army vet takes a job as a lighthouse keeper on the rugged, isolated Australian coast, two days ride from anywhere and only seeing a supply boat once a season. Here he brings his strong-willed wife and here they try to bring a baby into the world, but meet with miscarriages and a stillbirth. One day she hears a baby's cries on the wind and finds a baby in a lifeboat with a dead man. Believing this to be a sign from God she keeps the baby for her own against her husband's better judgment. However, when they return to the mainland, they discover that their choice may have been devastating for someone else – a woman who may well be the true mother of the child.
See the trailer, clips, interviews and B-roll video here.
Rating: PG-13 (for thematic material and some sexual content)
The Ninth Life of Louis Drax
(Miramax/Summit) Jamie Dornan, Sarah Gadon, Aaron Paul, Oliver Platt. After surviving eight near-death experiences, a little boy plunges off a cliff – and miraculously survives, but is left in a coma. In order to find out what really happened, an acclaimed neurologist tries an experimental procedure to get inside the boy's mind – and finds something sinister lurking there.
Genre: Supernatural Thriller
Rating: R (for some disturbing images and brief strong language)
(Pantelion) Omar Chaparro, Martha Higareda, Monica Dionne, Rocio Garcia. After a bank robber is released from prison, he goes to recover his stolen money which he'd buried in a schoolyard. Unfortunately, while he was inside the school built a gymnasium on top of where he buried the loot. In order to get into the gym and dig for his cash, he must masquerade as a substitute teacher at the school – which quickly escalates into chaos.
Now Playing: AMC Disney Springs, AMC The Loop, Epic Theaters at Lee Vista
Rating: PG-13 (for crude sexual content, drug material, teen smoking and drinking, brief strong language and gestures and thematic elements)
(A24) Matthew McConaughey, Naomi Watts, Ken Watanabe, Katie Aselton. A suicidal American enters a Japanese forest at the base of Mt. Fuji to finish himself off. While there he finds a Japanese man lost in the impenetrable woods and the two become friends. Finding the way out of the forest however turns out to be a lot more difficult than finding their way in. This is the latest from director Gus Van Sant.
Rating: PG-13 (for mature thematic material, some disturbing images and brief strong language)
(Invincible) Johnny Depp, Lily-Rose Depp, Harley Quinn Smith, Adam Brody. A pair of comely convenience store clerks in Winnipeg, Manitoba is chagrined to discover they'll have to be working when they could be at the party of the year. To make matters worse, their store is ground zero for an interdimensional invasion of…Nazi sausages. I couldn't make this stuff up if I tried. Thankfully, director Kevin Smith can.
Release Formats: Standard (playing Friday night at midnight only)
Rating: PG-13 (for crude humor, sexual references, some violence and brief drug material)
Posted in Weekly Preview	| Tagged 2016, Aaron Paul, Adam Brody, Alicia Vikander, Anya Taylor-Joy, Boyd Holbrook, Brian Cox, cinema, Cinema365, Dave Bautista, Don't Think Twice, Films, Georges St-Pierre, Gillian Jacobs, Jack Thompson, Jamie Dornan, Jean Claude van Damme, Jennifer Jason Leigh, Johnny Depp, Kate Mara, Kate Micucci, Katie Aselton, Keegan-Michael Key, Ken Watanabe, Kickboxer: Vengeance, Michael Fassbender, Michael McConaughey, Michelle Yeoh, Mike Birbiglia, Morgan, movies, Naomi Watts, No mances Frida, Oliver Platt, Omar Chaparro, Paul Giamatti, Previews, Rachel Weisz, Sarah Gadon, September 2, The 9th Life of Louis Drax, The Light Between the Oceans, The Sea of Trees, Toby Jones, Yoga Hosers	| Leave a reply
Posted on October 19, 2015 by carlosdev
Matt Damon takes a break.
(2015) Science Fiction (20th Century Fox) Matt Damon, Jessica Chastain, Kristen Wiig, Jeff Daniels, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Michael Peňa, Sean Bean, Kate Mara, Sebastian Stan, Aksel Hennie, Benedict Wong, Mackenzie Davis, Donald Glover, Nick Mohammed, Chen Shu, Eddy Ko, Enzo Cilenti, Jonathan Aris, Gruffudd Glyn, Naomi Scott. Directed by Ridley Scott
The exploration of other planets is a dangerous undertaking, maybe the most dangerous thing that humankind can do. So many things can go wrong. When compounded with human error, life or death can rest on a single decision made not always by ourselves but by others as well.
The Ares III manned mission to Mars is going well into its 18th day but then mission control in Houston detects an oncoming storm, a massive one that will force the crew to end their mission early and blast off into space. Already the escape vehicle is tipping over dangerously in the Martian sand. As the crew struggles to prepare for an emergency liftoff, the storm hits with brutal wind force. A piece of debris slams into astronaut Mark Watney (Damon) who is blown into the storm. His beacon and life signs indicator both are off. After a brief search in the storm fails to turn up Mark or his body, expedition leader Melissa Lewis (Chastain) is forced to leave Mars without him.
Except Mark isn't quite dead yet, to quote Monty Python. Yes, he's injured and his suit electronics non-functional but he's alive. He gets back to the habitat and assesses his situation. He has food rations and water for a further 30 days but it will be four years before NASA can mount a rescue mission, assuming they realize that he's still alive. As Mark says in his video logs that are to chronicle his struggle to survive, he'll have to science the shit out of things in order to create drinkable water out of rocket fuel, grow potatoes from some vacuum packed spuds in an environment where nothing grows (let's just say that he utilizes both the shit and the science), and manage to keep the atmosphere breathable in the habitat. It's a daunting task.
Mark has a doctorate in botany so he's a pretty smart guy. However, he knows that any one of a million things can go wrong. He has to contact NASA and once they realize that he's alive, he has to stay that way until they can get there. However, it isn't going to be just Mark on the line; when his crew discovers he's still alive, they will put their own lives on the line to get their colleague and teammate back and what could be more heroic than that?
Ridley Scott is a prolific director who has a history of making screen worlds come to life, from ancient Rome to rural Provence to a doomed spaceship. Here the Red Planet – desolate and arid, although a mere four days before this movie opened NASA announced that water flowed on Mars – becomes a living creature, deadly as a cobra and majestic as a moose. Shot in Tunisia on red desert sands, The vistas are bleak and alien but realistic.
He got NASA's cooperation on the movie which while it doesn't come off as a two hour advertisement for the space agency, does portray it in a heroic light in much the same way Apollo 13 did. NASA doesn't do movies that don't have the right science; here they made something like 50 pages of notes in order for the solutions to the various problems that Mark Watney come up with are grounded in real science and are the lot of them quite ingenious.
Scott also had the good sense to put a stellar cast in place. While this is Damon's movie without a doubt (more on that in a minute), he gets plenty of support including Daniels as a beleaguered NASA chief, Wiig as a press officer trying to spin the story the right way, Bean as a project manager whose first and only loyalty is to the crew who have placed their lives in his hands, Ejiofor as a NASA manager tasked with getting Watney home and Peňa as Watney's closest friend on the crew. All of them do memorable work in parts that have in many cases much less screen time than they are used to.
But as I mentioned, this is Damon's movie from start to finish and he responds by turning in maybe the best performance of his career. Certainly come Oscar nomination time he will have a very good shot at making the short list. He gives us exactly the heroic astronaut we're looking for; one who is lonely and vulnerable but who faces his issues with intelligence and aplomb. He is a man who absolutely refuses to lie down and quit where many would have. Dying 145 million miles away from home is simply unacceptable.
The science in the film has been vetted by no less a personage than Neil deGrasse Tyson (who also recorded a trailer for the film) who proclaimed it accurate for the most part other than some minor details; for example, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena doesn't work on manned missions, but the one element that doesn't pass the science test is the storm that scrubs the mission; because the atmosphere on Mars holds 1% of the air pressure than the atmosphere on Earth, the dust storms there (and there are dust storms on Mars) are much less violent and only pick up the lightest of dust. Having a wind storm on Mars that has the capability of picking up debris and slamming it into the body of an unsuspecting atmosphere doesn't work but of course it is necessary to the plot that the crew believe that one of their number is dead, otherwise they would never leave without him. Like our military, NASA leaves nobody behind.
But what we have here is a rare movie that promotes intelligence and individual scientific knowledge. Granted, we are unlikely to ever be put in a situation in which our science IQ is all that stands between us and oblivion, but it is a reminder of how important science is not just into making new cell phones for us to use but to our own survival as well. The kind of problem solving Watney exhibits is the kind of problem solving we need for our own future as our global climate changes, which may lead to famine and starvation. We'll need a lot of Mark Watneys to get us out of that one. Nonetheless any movie that gives us this kind of portrayal of science and scientists and does it in a story that is this compelling gets the highest praise I can offer.
REASONS TO GO: Damon is brilliant. Gripping story with real life science. Maintains tension throughout. Realistic-looking Mars (other than the storms).
REASONS TO STAY: Not everyone likes science fiction..
FAMILY VALUES: Some foul language, images of injuries and brief male posterior nudity.
TRIVIAL PURSUIT: Ridley Scott delayed filming on his Prometheus sequel to make this film.
CRITICAL MASS: As of 10/18/15: Rotten Tomatoes: 93% positive reviews. Metacritic: 81/100.
COMPARISON SHOPPING: Gravity
FINAL RATING: 10/10
NEXT: Pan
Posted in New Releases	| Tagged 20th Century Fox, Aksel Hennie, based on a novel, botany, Chiwetel Ejiofor, cinema, Cinema365, Donald Glover, Films, individual scientific knowledge, Jeff Daniels, Jessica Chastain, Kate Mara, Kristen Wiig, Mackenzie Davis, manned mission, Mars, Matt Damon, Michael Pena, movies, NASA, potatoes, problem solving, reviews, Ridley Scott, Science Fiction, Sean Bean, Sebastian Stan, stranded, supply ship, The Martian, work the problem	| Leave a reply


Hailing from South Africa, DJ Maphorisa is bringing gqom to the masses.
Gqom is a genre of electronic music with its roots in Africa, drawing influence from South African deep house and kwaito - a blend of hip-hop and house. It's an evocative style, characterized by dark energy, broken beats, long build-ups and tribal sounds. Although it draws similarities to the feel of tech house and the menace of grime, gqom stands in a space of its own.
While DJ Maphorisa may not be a household name, he's garnered global attention with co-production credits on Drake's "One Dance" and Major Lazer's "Particula". Back home, he has helped shaped a lot of the sounds coming out of Africa. In an interview last year, he mentioned, "You can't conquer the world if your home doesn't know you." Musicians inspired and dedicated to their culture tend to create unique, heartfelt productions, and DJ Maphorisa is no different.
This weekend, he will be taking over the decks for Beats 1's weekly radio show, One Mix. Expect tunes from his exclusive Gqom Wave compilation, among a ton of other radio ready hits. Take a look at air dates below!.
Before the mix, we got to catch up with DJ Maphorisa, as he shared some of his musical insights and experiences.
DJ Maphorisa: It was at my high school. I DJ'd at a beauty pageant.
She helped me put my first gig together in my hood, Soshanguve and we pulled in 6000 people.
DJ Corry Da Groove inspired me to start DJing and then DJ Njava inspired me to produce beats.
I go out to the movies, I like partying, hitting up clubs and listening to other DJs. So I go out every weekend.
The country with the most underrated dance scene?
4 keys you must never forget in a scale… Respect, hard work, dedication and stay humble.
Billboard Top 100 festival in New York backstage with Major Lazer.
What's a unique travel experience you've had?


#throwback September, 2016. I never had the chance to visit #Japan yet, but this doesn't prevent me from taking pictures with the beautiful pink pink #cherryblossoms #🌸 #sakura . The Japanese Garden in Auburn, #Sydney is small yet filled with delicate #Japanese features. You could forget you're in #Australia across the #pacificocean while spending a nice morning here.


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N.E.W.S » ed get together with the Dolphins front o
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#1 | ed get together with the Dolphins front o 23.03.2019 01:14
ST. SIMONS ISLAND, Ga. - Ted Bishop was ousted Friday as president of the PGA of America over a sexist tweet and Facebook post directed at Ian Poulter.Bishop was irritated by remarks Poulter made in his book on the Ryder Cup captaincy of Nick Faldo in 2008 and Tom Watson this year. He referred to Poulter as Lil Girl on Twitter when stacking up Poulters feats next to Faldo. In a Facebook post, he noted that Watson (with eight majors) and Faldo (with six majors and the Ryder Cup record for most points) were getting bashed by Poulter.Really? Sounds like a little school girl squealing during recess. CMON MAN! he wrote.The PGA of America board voted Friday to remove him, meaning Bishop will not be invited to future PGA Championships and Ryder Cups, or any other courtesies extended to past presidents. He is the first PGA president to be ousted. Bishop had one month left on his two-year term.Bishop, who has two daughters, apologized to Poulter and anyone else I might have offended in a statement.But the head pro from Indiana went down swinging.Bishop said his fellow PGA officers asked him to resign Friday and he refused, wanting instead to apologize in person to the board and let the process run its course.The board heard me out and then voted to impeach me, he said. That is the due process and I respect that, as painful as it might be.In removing Bishop as president, the PGA of America board said the remarks were inconsistent with associations policies.The PGA of America understands the enormous responsibility it has to lead this great game and to enrich lives in our society through golf, PGA chief executive Pete Bevacqua said in a statement. We must demand of ourselves that we make golf both welcoming and inclusive to all who want to experience it, and everyone at the PGA of America must lead by example.The PGA of America has 27,000 members, about 1,100 of them women. Bevacqua said in a telephone interview that he received a lot of negative feedback from all types of sources, internal and external. He declined to specify whether PGA female members were part of that.Bishop was irritated by comments Poulter made in his book released this week about the Ryder Cup captaincy of Faldo in 2008 and Watson this year at Gleneagles. Bishop was with Faldo at The Greenbrier on Thursday when he tweeted to Poulter, Faldos record stands by itself. Six majors and all-time RC points. Yours vs. His? Lil Girl.The Facebook post was even stronger. Bishop deleted both Thursday evening and said in an email to The Associated Press that I could have selected some different way to express my thoughts on Poulters remarks.Derek Sprague, expected to be voted in as the next president at the Nov. 22 annual meeting, was appointed the interim president. Paul Levy will handle the roles as vice-president and secretary until the election.Bishop has been one of the most outspoken presidents of the PGA of America. But his social media rant got him into trouble.This is a classic example of poor use of social media on my part and if I had the chance to hit the delete button on the things that I sent out yesterday, I would without hesitation, Bishop said. The PGA of America asked me to avoid any interaction with the media in the past 24 hours and that is why I did not issue a formal and public apology, which I have wanted to do since early this morning.Bishop described the consequences as drastic, but that he has to live with his mistake.Today, all I have left is my PGA membership and that will always mean the world to me, Bishop said. He is president of Legends Golf Club in Franklin, Indiana.Suzy Whaley, a teaching pro from Connecticut who qualified to play a PGA Tour event in Hartford in 2003, is among three PGA members running for secretary at the Nov. 22 election. If she wins, Whaley would be in line to be PGA president in 2018.Whaley said she found Bishops remarks to be insulting.I was extremely disappointed and they were definitely sexist, Whaley said in a telephone interview. Im of 100 per cent belief that we need to empower young girls. Asked if she complained to the PGA officers, Whaley said, I didnt have to do that.The PGA of America took incredibly swift action and are taking this extremely seriously, Whaley said. Obviously, its critical that we are inclusive.Poulter was on a plane to China when Bishop posted his remarks and wasnt aware of them until he landed and found his phone filled with messages.Is being called a lil girl meant to be derogatory or a put down? Poulter said in a statement. Thats pretty shocking and disappointing, especially coming from the leader of the PGA of America.Bishops boldest move as president was to pick Watson as the U.S. captain, saying he was tired of the Americans losing. But the move backfired when Watsons heavy-handed style didnt mesh with a younger generation. Watson, 65, was the oldest captain in Ryder Cup history.Poulter in his book said that Watsons decision-making completely baffles me. He was referring to benching Phil Mickelson and Keegan Bradley for both sessions Saturday. He also was critical of Faldo for his commentary on Golf Channel during the Ryder Cup that Sergio Garcia was useless in 2008. Faldo was captain of the only European team to lose in the last 15 years, and Poulter wrote, So whos useless? I think Faldo might need to have a little look in the mirror.Davis Love III described Bishop as a friend and a great supporter of golf and said he would not remember his presidency for this incident. Among other things, the PGA joined up with the LPGA Tour to help pay for its oldest major. The Womens PGA Championship will be sponsored by KPMG, which will use the week to host a major conference for women executives.I have said things in my passion for the Ryder Cup that I wish came out differently, Love said. We all make mistakes on social media. Cheap Salomon Shoes Uk . -- The Chicago Bears agreed Tuesday to a one-year contract with defensive lineman Israel Idonije and are bringing him back for a second stint. Salomon Shoes Clearance Uk . - The Seattle Seahawks have signed nine players to 2014 future contracts, including quarterback B. http://www.salomonsaleuk.com/. Zimmermann became the National Leagues first 16-game winner, pitching seven solid innings to lead the Washington Nationals past the Philadelphia Phillies 3-2 Wednesday night. Salomon Outlet Store Uk . Claude Noel will be the man behind the bench when the team hits the ice of the MTS Centre to begin its inaugural season. Salomon Shoes Sale Online . Johnson shared an update after his surgery Tuesday on Twitter. He also wrote, "now lets get on the grind." The running back told The Tennessean he was having surgery in Pensacola, Fla. NEW YORK -- Jonathan Martin spent nearly seven hours going into "great detail" with the NFL counsel investigating his claims of his harassment in the Miami Dolphins locker room. What came up in their talks, he isnt saying for now. He would say this: He still wants to play in the NFL. Martin -- in town because the league is trying to gather information about the bullying he says he was subjected to by teammate Richie Incognito -- arrived at the Manhattan office building of special investigator Ted Wells on Friday morning, and didnt emerge until shortly after sunset. Mobbed by media, he stood in the camera lights and read a statement. "Although I went into great detail with Mr. Ted Wells and his team, I do not intend to discuss this matter publicly at this time," Martin said. "This is the right way to handle the situation. "Beyond that, I look forward to working through the process and resuming my career in the National Football League." After that, he and attorney David Cornwell went back into the building, later leaving via a side exit. The crowd outside the building drew attention from office workers and tourists all day. Some even stopped to watch and wait, and most seemed familiar with Martins story. Even Miami-based hip-hop artist Rick Ross came by. His record label is located in the building across the street. Incognito has acknowledged leaving a voicemail for Martin in April in which he used a racial slur, threatened to kill his teammate and threatened to slap Martins mother. Incognito has said he regrets the racist and profane language, but said it stemmed from a culture of locker-room "brotherhood," not bullying. Incognito is white and Martin is black. Teammates, both black and white, have said Incognito is not a racist, and theyve been more supportive of the veteran guard than they have of Martin. Incognito has been suspended by the Dolphins. He filed a grievance Thursday against the team over his suspension, and has said his conduct was part of the normal locker-room environment. Dolphins owner Stephen Ross also plans to meet with Martin, who said Friday that he will indeed get together with the Dolphins front office. On Monday, Ross said two committees would examine the locker-room culture. Players have been virtually unanimous in saying it doesnt need to be changed. At Dolphins practice Friday, long snapper John Denney, the teams players union representative, was asked about problems. "I cant say I saw it firsthand because Im not an offensive lineman, and Im not in their offensive line room.dddddddddddd I can tell you from my perspective, and having been in this locker room, I never saw it coming," he said. "I can say that. It was a surprise to me. There did not seem to be an increase in behavioural problems. Its been the same here my entire career." Coach Joe Philbin also talked to reporters but kept his focus on football. "I believe in the guys we have in the locker room," he said. "I believed in them before this all took place, before all this scrutiny came upon us. "And I believe in them today." While Martin was in New York, and long before he spoke, Incognitos grievance was a talking point in the locker room some 1,300 miles away. "Hes got to do what hes got to do. Im never going to tell somebody how to run their life," wide receiver Mike Wallace said. "You got to get your money, man. I dont really have too much to say about it." Martin alleges he was harassed daily by teammates, including Incognito, and the case has raised questions about job security for Philbin, his assistants and general manager Jeff Ireland. Philbin won a vote of confidence this week from Ross, but that could change depending on the findings of Wells, who was brought into the situation last week. Wells is expected in Miami next week to talk with Dolphins players, coaches and staff. Wells will determine the role of Philbin, his staff and Miami management in the case, and his report will be made public. One issue is whether anyone on the coaching staff ordered Incognito to "toughen up" Martin, a second-year tackle from Stanford who became a starter as a rookie but played poorly at times. Martin left the team two weeks ago and has been with family in California undergoing counselling for emotional issues. Centre Mike Pouncey missed practice Friday because of an illness and is listed as questionable for Sundays game against San Diego, raising the possibility the Dolphins will be without a third starting offensive lineman. The case inspired a national debate about workplace bullying and attracted a daily throng of 100 media members or more at the Dolphins complex. In Manhattan, both CNN and Fox News Channel were on hand outside the meeting. The Dolphins (4-5) have slumped after a 3-0 start, and on Sunday they play at home for the first time since the scandal broke. "All we have to do," defensive end Cameron Wake said, "is concentrate on playing the game on Sunday." ' ' '
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