Various attempts have been made to narrow the likely range of the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) through exploitation of "emergent constraints." They generally use correlations between the response of climate models to increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations and a quantity in principle observable in the present climate (e.g., an amplitude of natural fluctuations) to constrain ECS given measurements of the present-day observable. However, recent studies have arrived at different conclusions about likely ECS ranges. The different conclusions arise at least in part because the studies have systematically underestimated statistical uncertainties.
For example, Brown and Caldeira (2017) use fluctuations in Earth's top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) energy budget and their correlation with the response of climate models to increases in GHG concentrations to infer that ECS lies between 3 and 4.2 K with 50% probability, and most likely is 3.7 K. Assuming t statistics, this roughly corresponds to an ECS range that in IPCC parlance is considered likely (66% probability) between 2.8 and 4.5 K. By contrast, Cox et al. (2018) use fluctuations of the global-mean temperature and their correlation with the response of climate models to increases in GHG concentrations to infer that ECS likely lies between 2.2 and 3.4 K, and most likely is 2.8 K. These estimates are quite different from another, albeit not statistically significantly different. Why?
Figure 1a shows the relation in 29 current climate models between ECS and the strength with which the reflection of sunlight in TLC regions covaries with surface temperature. That is, the horizontal axis shows the percentage change in the reflection of sunlight per degree surface warming, for deseasonalized natural variations. It is clear that there is a strong correlation (correlation coefficient about -0.7) between ECS on the vertical axis and the natural fluctuations on the horizontal axis—an example of an empirical fluctuation-dissipation relation in the models. The green line on the horizontal axis indicates the probability density function (PDF) of the observed natural fluctuations. The center 66% of this PDF is indicated by the green shaded band.
There are several problems with this kind of inference. Most fundamentally, the inference revolves around assuming that there exists a linear relationship, and estimating parameters in the linear relationship from climate models. But it is not clear that such a linear relationship does in fact exist, and estimating parameters in it is strongly influenced by models that are inconsistent with the observations, such as models 2 and 3, and to a lesser degree, model 28 in Figure 1. In other words, the analysis neglects structural uncertainty about the adequacy of the assumed linear model, and the parameter uncertainty the analysis does take into account is strongly reduced by models that are "bad" by this model-data mismatch metric. Models that are inconsistent with the data, such as models 2 and 3, strongly influence the result, whereas the influence of models such as 7, which are consistent with the data but off the regression line, is diminished (they primarily affect the ECS uncertainty through their contribution to the variance of residuals). Given that there is no strong a priori knowledge about any linear relationship—this is why it is an "emergent" constraint—it seems inadvisable to make one's statistical inference strongly dependent on models that are not consistent with the data at hand.
Often analysis parameters (such as the choice of how the TOA energy fluxes are averaged in space) are chosen so as to give strong correlations between the response of models to increases in GHG (e.g., ECS) and the natural fluctuations. This introduces selection bias in the estimation of the regression lines, which leads to biased estimates and underestimation of uncertainties in parameters such as the slope of the regression line (e.g., Miller 1984). In other words, when analysis parameters and subsets of regression variables are chosen so as to make a correlation large, thereafter estimating the correlation leads to biased estimates with underestimated uncertainties. This underestimation of uncertainties propagates into underestimated ECS uncertainties.
When regression parameters are estimated by least squares, the observable on the horizontal axis is treated as being a known predictor, rather than as being affected by error (e.g., from sampling variability). This likewise leads to underestimation of uncertainties in regression parameters. This problem can be mitigated by using errors-in-variables methods.
We in fact first tried to estimate ECS from the data in Figure 1a in the way described above, based on regression lines estimated by a robust regression method. But the uncertainties looked too small. So we developed an alternative inference procedure that does not suffer from some of the problems above. The idea is to arrive at a posterior PDF for ECS by weighting each model's ECS by the likelihood of the model given the observations of the natural fluctuations. We used a measure from information theory, the Kullback–Leibler divergence or relative entropy, to estimate the logarithm of this model likelihood (Burnham and Anderson 2010). In this analysis, models such as numbers 2 and 3, which are inconsistent with observations, receive essentially zero weight—unlike in the regression-based analysis, they do not influence the final result. No linear relationship is assumed or implied, so models such as 7 receive a large weight because they are consistent with the data, although they lie far from any regression line. The resulting posterior PDF for ECS is shown by the orange line in Figure 1b. The most likely ECS value according to this analysis is 4.0 K—shifted upward relative to the regression estimate, toward the values in the cluster of models (around numbers 25 and 26) with relatively high ECS that are consistent with the observations. The likely ECS range stretches from 2.9 to 4.5 K. This is perhaps a disappointingly wide range. It is 50% wider than what the analysis based on linear regressions suggests, and it is not much narrower than what simple-minded equal weighting of raw climate models gives (gray line in Figure 1b). But it is a much more statistically defensible range.
Even such a more justifiable inference still suffers from several shortcomings. For example, it suffers from selection bias, and it treats the model ensemble as a random sample (which it is not). It also only weights models (see our previous discussion of this issue). ECS far outside the range of what current models produce will always come out as being very unlikely. Yet what is the probability that Earth may in fact have an ECS outside the range of the current models? It is quite possible that there are processes and feedbacks that all models miss, and the probability of that being the case may not be all that small, given, for example, the rudimentary state of modeling clouds and their climate feedback.
This was a really informative post. The plain-language explanations of the various limitations of the linear regression approach to emergent constraints were especially useful. So, thank you!
To my knowledge, the vast majority of emergent constraints-based work has focused on fields related to climate sensitivity — either ECS itself or specific feedbacks. But there seems to me no a priori reason why it couldn't be applied to other aspects of the global warming response — e.g. regional precipitation change. Would you agree, or is there reason to suspect that emergent constraints are less well suited to hydrological fields and/or regional scales?
Yes, I agree. To put it perhaps more broadly: Covariances (e.g., between natural variations in cloud cover and temperature, or between natural variations in carbon uptake and physical climate variables, as in Cox et al. 2013) can be very valuable metrics for model evaluation. And I would go further: we should use them not just to evaluate models, but to make component models (e.g., for clouds, the carbon cycle etc.) better.
It appears that you corrected your example Emergent Constraint on 25th Jan. Can you say what you did and why?
Also, would you mind posting the (x,y) coordinates for the data in the scatter plot (your Fig 1a) along with the mean and stdev of the observational constraint?
(1) Assume a regression model , where is .
(2) Estimate the parameters , , and from the climate model (ECS, ). Then predict ECS using the observational .
(3) Repeat (1) and (2) by bootstrapping pairs (ECS, ) from the climate models and predicting ECS, drawing normal noise terms .
There are several variants of this procedure possible (available in the code on GitHub). For example, one can use robust regression or ordinary least squares for the estimation. In the prediction, one can also draw from a (stationary) bootstrap sample of the observations (as we did in the paper), or just use the observational mean. All of these variants give essentially the same result. I think using standard regression inference as in your paper should be asymptotically equivalent (under the assumption of model adequacy). With OLS and using the mean observations as predictor, the estimated mean ECS is 3.68 K, standard deviation 0.58 K.
This is a great post – thanks!
It seems to me there are 2 natural ways to use emergent constraints. One approach is to interpret everything through the functional relationship between the constraint and the quantity to be predicted. This is basically the approach you're criticizing in this note. The other approach (which you advocate) is to weight models based on their agreement with observations – basically throwing out models which seem unlikely. In my mind, the value of your note is in providing motivation for why one approach is better than the other. Would you agree with this characterization?
Also, I'm not sure I agree with the argument that it's wrong to assume a linear relationship exists. The whole goal of emergent-constraint hunting is to find predictors which we have reason to expect are tightly-related to our predictand. In this context even models whose predictors are far outside of the observational range can be valuable for clarifying the slope and uncertainty of the predictive relationship. It also seems unfair to say that the model-weighting approach is better because it doesn't rely on the existence of a linear relationship when you *chose* the variable to compare against observations on the basis of that variable providing a good linear fit to your predictand. Are you objecting in particular to the assumption of a linear rather than a higher-order relationship? Or are you arguing against using data points which are far from observations? Note that my intuition is that model weighting is better than linear fitting… I'm just playing devil's advocate here because the motivation for disliking linear fitting is still not entirely clear to me.
Do you plan to publish this work? I'd like to cite it!
Thanks for your thoughts. My views are a bit more nuanced. A main point I wanted to make is that assuming a linear (or any other functional) relationship, without actually knowing a priori that it holds, leads to underestimation of uncertainties. The reason is that in the inference procedure, the functional relationship represented by the assumed model is treated as known, only with unknown parameters. Structural uncertainty about the assumed model is neglected; only parametric uncertainty is taken into account. If some fluctuation-dissipation relation for the climate system were known to exist, we would not need 'emergent' constraints but would have actual constraints, and would have far fewer problems estimating climate sensitivity!
Given that the (usually) linear relationship is not assured to hold, I am concerned about an inference procedure that relies on a linear relationship that is selected in part because it looks strong in models. It leads to selection bias, and it often (as in the example above) is most strongly constrained by models that are not consistent with data. As you say, that would be fine if there is in fact good scientific reason for the linear relationship to hold. But do we really believe this to be the case, e.g., for low-cloud and turbulence parameterizations, on which the relationship in the above example (and probably in many other emergent constraints) depends? That is, do we really believe that all or most parameterizations represent the relevant physics correctly, but just happen to exhibit (perhaps because of different parameter choices) weaker or stronger responses to perturbations? I am not convinced, and hence I would be cautious about making inferences dependent on models that are inconsistent with data.
That being said, model weighting has its own issues. As you say, it still is affected by selection bias because it is also useful only if there is some clear (though not necessarily linear) empirical relationship between something observable and climate predictions. I do not want to advocate model weighting as the cure for all inference challenges with emergent constraints. But I do want to advocate for caution, as you nicely did in your 2014 paper on data mining for emergent constraints. I think we all need to be more cautious about stating probabilities for climate sensitivities.
Thanks for the reply, which I wholeheartedly agree with. Perhaps we could say that probabilistic statements about climate sensitivity ignore uncertainty regarding the true relationship between predictor and predictand. That uncertainty can be broken down into 2 pieces: statements based on model weighting ignore uncertainty about how tight (and real) the constraint actually is, while statements based on an assumed functional relationship not only neglect uncertainty related to constraint validity, but also ignore uncertainty regarding what the correct functional relationship should actually be. In either case, assigning probabilities to ECS based on emergent constraints makes me uncomfortable.
Thank you for this excellent post. I very largely agree with what you say, including the key point that it is quite possible that ECS may be outside the range of current models. I have a few comments, if I may.
Regarding the emergent constraint used in Brient & Schneider (2016), it is noteworthy that if the models are weighted by reference to their consistency with the data, regression of ECS on TLC reflection variability explains almost none of the intermodel ECS variation – the R-squared is negligible. While that certainly justifies the rejection in the paper of the usual linear relationship assumption, I'm not sure that a likelihood-weighted model-averaging approach is very satisfactory either.
One problem is that many models are closely related to and/or have similar characteristics to other models, but are nevertheless given full weightings. For instance, the method gives substantial weightings to both IPSL-CM5A-LR and IPSL-CM5A-MR, but these models differ only in their resolution.
More fundamentally, if a constraint is satisfied by one or more low sensitivity models and one or more high sensitivity models, how can it be considered to give useful information about ECS? The fact that more of the constraint-satisfying models have high ECS than have low ECS seems very weak evidence that ECS is high. The models are, as we know, not a random sample.
It is interesting that both IPSL-CM5A-LR and IPSL-CM5B-LR, respectively a high (4.1 K) and low (2.6 K) ECS model, closely satisfy the observational constraint. Although the later CM5B model scores marginally less well on your KL divergence measure, it has improved representation of the convective boundary layer and cumulus clouds, of tropical SW CRF and of mid-level cloud coverage. The fact that developing a model can leave its satisfaction of an observational constraint unaltered but drastically change its sensitivity seems to me to fatally undermine the emergent constraint approach in relation to any constraint for which this can occur.
These points all support the need for caution regarding emergent constraints that you advocate.
PS The mean ECS of 3.45 ± 0.76 K given in Table 1 of Brient & Schneider 2016 looks wrong; the simple mean is 3.34 K. Maybe the median ECS (which is 3.45 K) was given by mistake?
Thanks for your comment. You are right to worry about the effect of correlations among models on any likelihood-weighted inference, e.g., about ECS. I tried to make the same point, perhaps too briefly, in the final paragraph of the post: Model weighting still assumes the models form a random sample, which is not the case, for the reasons you point out.
If "a constraint is satisfied by one or more low sensitivity models and one or more high sensitivity models," with model weighting, at least this would be reflected in the posterior ECS–in that it may not be much different from the prior. And of course, any scalar metric of model adequacy is incomplete at best and can lead to situations like the one you describe with the IPSL models, where a model may seem marginally worse by one scalar metric but is better by several other metrics.
And I agree that too strong reliance on emergent constraints can me misleading.
Finally, thanks for pointing out the error in our Table 1. We do indeed seem to have reported the median ECS (apparently because we talked about the median in other places in the paper). But Florent assures me the other values in the table are indeed mean values.
How you calculate the correlation between CO2 concentration and temperature and do you think that correlation occurs in both directions?
There are many types of calculation and I would like to know how you count this correlation?
In my opinion, correlation occurs in both directions.


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Travel Blog » North America » Canada » Saskatchewan » Regina » Blogs » Shumiatcher Art Collection, part 2 of 2,
Shumiatcher Art Collection, part 2 of 2, other art in the exhibit
North America » Canada » Saskatchewan » Regina
Rainyb
NORVAL MORRISSEAU (1932 - 2007) (nm)
Norval Morrisseau (1931 – 2007), known as the "Picasso of the North", was an important aboriginal Canadian artist who was born in 1931 on the Sand Point Ojibway reserve near Beardmore, Ontario & died in Toronto in 2007. He was renamed "Copper Thunderbird" at age 19 by a medicine woman after he was very sick & has signed his art works with this new name since. For more info & links about his life & works see intro text. Norval is by far my favorite Canadian native artists ;o)
This album, part 2 of my McKenzie Art Gallery/Shumiatcher series, features other art pieces (other than Inuit), in the Shumiatcher collection exhibition, most of which shows their love of Canadian & Saskatchewan aboriginal art & their support of these artists. Also included are some photos of the exterior & atrium of the beautiful TC Douglas Building (1979) which is home to the gallery. The building was named after TC (Tommy) Douglas, former premier & Saskatchewan's most notable and influential politician known as Canada's "Father of Medicare".
More info: http://esask.uregina.ca/entry/douglas_thomas_clement_1904-86.html
NORVAL MORRISEAU (1931-2007)
Norval Morrisseau, known as the "Picasso of the North", was an important aboriginal Canadian artist who was born in 1931 on the Sand Point Ojibway reserve near Beardmore, Ontario & died in Toronto in 2007. He was renamed "Copper Thunderbird" at age 19 by a medicine woman after he was very sick & has signed his art works with this new name since.
Morriseau founded the Woodlands School of Canadian art and was a prominent member of the "Indian Group of Seven". As the sole originator of his "Woodland" pictographic style he has become an inspiration to three generations of artists. He was
a member of the Royal Canadian Academy of Arts & was made a Member of the Order of Canada in 1978. In 2005 and 2006, the National Gallery of Canada in Ottawa organized a retrospective of his work. This was the first time that the Gallery dedicated a solo exposition to a native artist.
Introduced to the Canadian public at the Pollock Gallery, Toronto, in 1962, Morrisseau was the first artist of First Nations ancestry to break through the Canadian professional white-art barrier. Throughout the 1960s Morrisseau's pictographic style grew in popularity and was often perceived by other Cree, Ojibwe and Ottawa artists as a tribal style, to be adapted for their own cultural needs. By the 1970s younger artists painted exclusively in his genre.
http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.ca/en/article/norval-morrisseau/
Images gallery of his colorful paintings: http://tinyurl.com/ndmshcm
Interesting note: The cover art for the Bruce Cockburn album Dancing in the Dragon's Jaws is a painting by Norval Morrisseau.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dancing_in_the_Dragon's_Jaws
Other important Canadian native artist & personal favorites are Ontario native artists Daphne Osjig (1919 - ): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daphne_Odjig
Images gallery: http://tinyurl.com/pngzh5y
and Mannitoba native artists Jackson Beardy (1944 - 1984)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jackson_Beardy
Images gallery: http://tinyurl.com/olr4ru4
Lorraine Brecht
Joined August 12th 2014 Trips 0
Blogs 44 Guestbook 143
Photos 1,599 Forum Posts 33
KENNETH C. LOCHHEAD (lo)
"The Kite"
Kenneth Campbell Lochhead (1926 – 2006) was a Canadian professor and painter who was one of the esteemed group of artists called the "Regina Five". He was made an Officer of the Order of Canada in 1970 "for his contribution to the development of painting, especially in Western Canada, as an artist and teacher". He was also awarded the Governor General's Awards in Visual and Media Arts in 2006 & made a member of the Royal Canadian Academy of Arts. He died of cancer in Ottawa in 2006. More info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kenneth_Lochhead His web site link: http://www.kennethlochhead.com/index_1.html
lo - Train Wagon (1952)
ALLAN SAPP (1928 - )(as)
Allen Sapp is a well-known & respected Canadian Cree painter who was born in 1928 on the Red Pheasant Reserve south of North Battleford SK & currently lives in North Battleford. His work & life story have become an inspiration to many & the subject of numerous books and television documentaries over the years.
Allan Sapp was made an Officer of the Order of Canada " in 1986 for his portrayals of Native peoples and of life on the reserve". He was awarded the Saskatchewan Order of Merit in 1985, was elected to the Royal Canadian Academy of Arts in 1975, & received the Governor General's Award in 2003 for English language children's illustrations for the book "The Song Within My Heart". More info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allen_Sapp His gallery web sie: http://www.allensapp.com/ His bio: http://www.allensapp.com/about/the_life_and_art_of_allen_sapp.html Images gallery of his art works: http://tinyurl.com/pmshhsx
HENRY BEAUDRY (1921 - ) (hb)
Henry Beaudry is another Cree First Nations artist from Saskatchewan + a World War II veteran & POW survivor. Born in 1921 on the Poundmaker First Nation, he is the great-grandson of Chief Poundmaker. After seeing a poster Beaudry enlisted in the Canadian Army in 1941 at the age of 19 & received his training in eastern Canada. During World War II, Beaudry saw action in southern Europe, especially in Italy. His interesting story can be found here: http://www.sicc.sk.ca/archive/saskindian/a97apr32.htm His web site: http://henrybeaudry.com/ A documentary revealing the life story of P.O.W survivor and artist, Henry Beaudry. Https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z6yx9OfjWVA Images gallery of his paintings: http://tinyurl.com/pb2gjr5
HAIDA carvings (ha)
The Haida are an indigenous people of the Pacific Northwest Coast of North America. Their main territory is the archipelago of Haida Gwaii (formerly the Queen Charlotte Islands) in northern British Columbia, but a group known as the Kaigani Haida live across the Dixon Entrance on Prince of Wales Island in Southeast Alaska. Haida society continues to be very engaged in the production of a robust and highly stylized art form, a leading component of Northwest Coast art frequently expressed in large wooden totem poles. More info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haida_people http://www.virtualmuseum.ca/edu/ViewLoitLo.do?method=preview〈=EN&id=9361 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northwest_Coast_art Image galleries of Haida art: http://tinyurl.com/pmauzr5 http://tinyurl.com/pxedelz
The Haida are most famous for their totem poles.
CLAY PIECES (cp)
Ben H
This is a very interesting art collection
I love the aboriginal paintings. Thanks!
Contact Lorraine Brecht (Rainyb) - a lack of a response does not mean that you have permission to use material from this page.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Maples Group Appoints Of Counsel Duo in the Cayman Islands
Maples and Calder (Cayman) LLP, the Maples Group's law firm, is pleased to announce the promotion of Cayman Islands-based lawyers, Adam Huckle and James Meehan, to Of Counsel.
These new Of Counsel appointments form part of the firm's wider 2021 Cayman Islands promotions, which included the appointment of six new partners across the firm's Corporate, Dispute Resolution & Insolvency, Funds & Investment Management, Regulatory & Financial Services and Trusts & Private Client practice groups.
Commenting on the latest appointments, Cayman Islands Managing Partner, Matthew Gardner said, "Adam and James are talented and respected lawyers who are highly deserving of their promotions to Of Counsel. These appointments reflect their hard work and dedication to consistently delivering high calibre service to their clients, practice areas and the wider Maples Group. "
This year, the firm announced a record number of promotions, promoting 24 lawyers in total which included 15 new Partners and 9 new Of Counsels across its global network.
About the Of Counsel
Adam Huckle
Adam's practice has an emphasis on complex trusts and regulatory disputes. Adam's broader regulatory practices focuses on economic sanctions, cross-border conduct of business, duties of confidentiality, anti-corruption and bribery, licensing, record retention and mandatory reporting and information exchange.
James Meehan
James advises on the establishment, authorisation, operation and maintenance of all types of Irish domiciled investment funds, with particular focus on ICAVs regulated under the UCITS or AIFMD regime. He advises on a broad range of asset classes and the implementation of strategies through a variety of fund structures.
Advising on the laws of the BVI, the Cayman Islands and Ireland, our global Dispute Resolution & Insolvency team provides expert legal advice on cross-border litigation and contentious and non-contentious restructuring. We offer a broad range of dispute resolution and insolvency services, bringing an unrivalled depth of experience to each dispute and ensuring that you receive fast, accurate and pragmatic advice.
Advising on the laws of the BVI, the Cayman Islands, Ireland, Jersey and Luxembourg, our global Funds & Investment Management team provides expert legal advice on every aspect of the life cycle of an investment fund including set up, management and investment across a broad range of fund structures and management entities.
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by Gulamsawrar
by Kapil Kumar Goyal


The plenary made the Times Higher, although the reportage gave it a negative spin, rather than focussing on the positive aspects I suggested throughout. Nevermind – all publicity good publicity, etc – and I appreciate that some of you found the time to pile in and correct the reporter on her tone in the comments below the article. (If I have one comment on the slightly sensational reporting – its that they didnt focus on the fact that I said things about the state of the Humanities at King's, when giving a plenary at a Humanities conference at King's. Surely more of a story? But nevermind! It made the Times Higher!).
I've had lots of email, and twitter, messages from those who agreed – and vehemently disagreed – with points I made in the plenary. Thanks for all your comments. I am, of course, pleased to discuss any points that anyone would like to make to me, whether on email or via twitter.
I admit that I wasn't expecting all of this! But it is nice when you have worked hard on something (and I worked hard on the plenary – it could have gone horribly wrong to be a relatively young scholar standing up in front of the whole discipline for an hour…) to get a reaction. Thanks for your feedback, and (in general) your support.


text:
Щъркелите (Ciconia) са таксономичен род птици от разред Щъркелоподобни. Белият щъркел е символ на няколко европейски страни и е птица, която още от древността влиза във фолклора и културата на местните народи.

Разпространение
Родът е представен от 7 вида като 6 от тях са представители на Стария свят. Само видът Ciconia maguari обитава Южна Америка. Фосилните находки обаче показват, че в миналото видовото разнообразие на представителите на рода е било по-голямо в Америка от това в континентите на Източното полукълбо.

Някои от видовете са мигриращи като прелетите им се извършват благодарение на топлите въздушни течения. Летят с изправена шия.

Класификация
Род Щъркели (Ciconia)
 Вид Абдимов щъркел (Ciconia abdimii)
 Вид Белогуш щьркел (Ciconia episcopus)
 Вид Щъркел на Сторм (Ciconia stormi)
 Вид Американски щъркел (Ciconia maguari)
 Вид Черноклюн щъркел (Ciconia boyciana)
 Вид Бял щъркел (Ciconia ciconia)
 Вид Черен щъркел (Ciconia nigra)

Описание
Птиците от рода са сравнително едри, около един метър високи, размах на крилете около 180 cm имат сравнително дълга и тънка човка. За разлика от представителите на други родствени родове щъркелови птици тези от род Ciconia се характеризират с голямо разнообразие на оцветяването на перушината. Младите птици имат кафеникав оттенък на тъмната част от оперението, който постепенно преминава в черен с напредване на възрастта.

Птиците не издават особени звуци с изключение на малките, които писукат. Най-характерен звук при тях е тракането с клюна, което е особено изявено при белите щъркели.

Размножаване
Щъркелите живеят предимно в колонии, а доста често представителите на двата пола образуват трайни двойки. Строят огромни гнезда по дърветата, с изключение на южноамериканския вид, който гнезди на земята. Поне три вида са синантропни и строят гнездата си в близост до хората и дори върху техните домове.

Снасят средно по 4 – 5 яйца и отглеждат по едно поколение годишно.

Хранене
Птиците се хранят с жаби, насекоми, червеи, млади птици, гущери и гризачи.

Източници

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Life insurance is an investment, an significant part a individual's financial management. It is like a lifesaver following the death of a person. It shields the economies of someone they got working so hard in their lifetime. A person's death is unpredictable, only so like the future is unpredictable. Following the dead, a person who was making it becomes difficult for the family to continue with their life. However, if a person has life insurance bought their savings won't go in vain.
It helps people in lots of ways to cover up their financial crisis when in need. For a person to obtain a house is the biggest step they must take in their lifetime. It takes many years to save a lot of cash and purchase a home for them. So it would be a painful thing to have damaged their property and spend the same amount again to build their house again. To be able to prevent such saddening scenario, a person conveys the ideal insurance which is cape coral home insurance.
Cape coral life insurance comes with benefits like the coverages are renewable, the premiums are affordable and adjustable too, Next is that the universal life insurance that's designed to adjust the shifting coverage needs of a individual, it's by far the most flexible policy At Cape Coral Home Insurance, universal life insurance comes with the benefits such as taxes-deferred credit, It's the flexibility of coverage and a person can correct the death benefits.
Cape coral home insurance covers some significant things like the cost is being replaced, liability on personal things. Additionally, it covers the physical structure of their home and assists financially whenever there's a reduction of property due to a natural disaster. Every individual has their own tastes and demands so the insurance company technical to satisfy every need of these people. It fulfils a individual's needs along with their budget. They explain all of the coverage very considerably in particulars to clear all the confusion of these people.


text:
est un album live de la chanteuse Nico retraçant sa tournée européenne de janvier-mars 1982.

Titres

Toutes les chansons sont de Nico, sauf indication contraire.

 Janitor of Lunacy – 4:02¹
 All Tomorrow's Parties (Lou Reed) – 4:44¹
 Sãeta (Nico, Philippe Quilichini) – 4:19²
 Sãeta (Nico, Quilichini) – 2:56⁶
 Vegas (Nico, Quilichini) – 3:13²
 No One Is There – 4:02³
 Innocent and Vain – 2:23⁴
 Secret Side – 3:43³
 Procession – 3:06⁴
 Heroes (David Bowie, Brian Eno) – 5:52⁵
 Femme Fatale (Reed) – 3:03⁴
 All Tomorrow's Parties (Reed) – 2:43³
 I'm Waiting for the Man (Reed) – 6:30¹
 The End (John Densmore, Robbie Krieger, Ray Manzarek, Jim Morrison) – 8:13³

 ¹ : enregistré à Bologne, le 28 mars
 ² : enregistré à Rotterdam, le 7 mars
 ³ : enregistré à Copenhague, le 14 février
 ⁴ : enregistré à Londres, le 18 janvier
 ⁵ : enregistré à Amsterdam, le 6 mars
 ⁶ : Piccadilly radio session, janvier

Personnel

 Nico : chant, harmonium
  :
 Martin Bramah : guitare, chœurs
 Rick Goldstraw : guitare
 Una Baines : claviers
 Steve Garvey : basse, chœurs
 Toby Toman : batterie

Références

Album de Nico
Album live sorti en 1982


Pigeon is the most famous and most important animal at the zoo - or at least that's what he would say! He is shown in different exhibits soaking in the limelight. In reality, people are there for the other, much more majestic creatures like elephants or crocodiles. Unfortunately, Pigeon's cockiness and presence is quite the irritant to both people and animals. He is oblivious to their true feelings. Eventually his big-head leads him too close to a lion and he is gobbled up! This book cleverly makes the illustrations an integral part of the story. The lecture preached by Pigeon on how to be famous is sabotaged by the reality of the pictures. Readers can see Pigeon growing more reckless and annoying. The situations are even more humorous for adults who are familiar with the context of obnoxious bird behavior such as scavenging for food at the picnic table or pooping in undesirable places. The illustrations are very unique with earthy tones and keep the feel of crayon or chalk sketches. How To Be Famous is a quirky addition to your child's collection of animal books.
Smith, Carlie (2017) "How to Be Famous," Children's Book and Media Review: Vol. 38 : Iss. 5 , Article 36.


Did you know that Benicia was an occasional stop on the Pony Express route? Find out how the Pony Express changed California and the nation at this presentation by Sutter's Fort historical presenter and expert, Steve Beck. He'll highlight California's early history and its effect on U.S history and the uniting of the West and the East. Presented by Benicia State Parks Association.


Find free and low-cost things to do with kids in Westchester today, February 4, including fun activities and events the whole family can enjoy. See what's going on today in Westchester's museums, galleries, and libraries for some educational fun; in the parks, for outdoor and nature activities; and in the theaters, for children's concerts and performances. Plus, get details and directions on any street fairs or holiday festivals happening February 4. For even more free and low-cost upcoming events in Westchester, check out our complete calendar of events.
Tap your toes, clap your hands, and sing along with Miss Eileen, the superstar of Musical Munchkins. Program is open to Greenburgh Library Cardholders only! Please enter your child's name when registering for the session.
Reading with a therapy animal can help reluctant readers, new language learners, and anxious readers gain confidence and develop a love of reading. Children in 1st grade and up are invited to read to a specially trained dog. Sign-up is required.
Bring your family or a group of friends to learn the ins and outs of maple sugaring. This is a one-on-one event and times must be reserved in advance. Fee is $50/group and includes tapping experience, a bottle of maple syrup once the season has ended, and a souvenir photo/frame.
Set in the East Village of New York City, RENT is about falling in love, finding your voice and living for today. Winner of the Tony Award for Best Musical and the Pulitzer Prize for Drama, Rent has become a pop cultural phenomenon with songs that rock and a story that resonates with audiences of all ages. Jonathan Larson's Rent follows a year in the life of a group of impoverished young artists and musicians struggling to survive and create in New York's Lower East Side, under the shadow of HIV/AIDS. How these young bohemians negotiate their dreams, loves, and conflicts provides the narrative thread to this groundbreaking musical.
A story time for children of all ages, from newborns to school age children, with a parent or caregiver.
Musical Munchkins, Westchester's original music program is 35 years strong! Some programs merely entertain. We build strong minds and bring children to understand and love music from the age of 6 months through 6 years old. The coolest of drums, instruments and music from around the globe, rhythm and movement games, inventive props, visuals, and use of puppets for animal songs, captivate and inspire children to create music with us. Our nurturing, experienced teachers capture hearts, while stimulating a child's developing brain. We hope you love coming to the library to experience our unique program.
Arc Stages to present Dancing Lessons by Mark St. Germain, beginning February 1. Pleasantville, N.Y. —Pleasantville theater company Arc Stages presents Dancing Lessons to continue their fourth season for their professional company, the Next Stage. This follows the successful run of Forbidden Broadway earlier this year. The Next Stage focuses on showcasing new, innovative work by a wide variety of exciting and talented writers. It is the third wing of a company that also includes a thriving Educational Stage and Community Stage. Performances will be held at Arc Stages, located at 147 Wheeler Avenue in Pleasantville NY. Friday, February 1 at 8pm Saturday, February 2 at 8pm Friday, February 8 at 8pm Saturday, February 9 at 8pm Sunday, February 10 at 2pm Friday, February 15 at 8pm Saturday, February 16 at 8pm Tickets are $36 for adults, $28 for students/seniors. To purchase tickets, please visit www.arcstages.org or call 914-747-6206. Dancing Lessons will be directed by Stephanie Kovacs Cohen and features Sara Brophy* & Matt Baxter Luceno*. Dancing Lessons centers on Ever, a young professor with Asperger's syndrome, who seeks the instruction of a dancer to learn enough about dancing to survive an awards dinner. Senga, the dancer, is recovering from an injury that may stop her dancing career permanently. As their relationship unfolds, they're both caught off-guard by the discoveries—both hilarious and heartwarming—that they make about each other and about themselves. About Arc Stages Arc Stages is a multifaceted arts organization in Pleasantville, New York, which is composed of three theatre companies under one roof. The Educational Stage: an educational theatre company where students of all ages (youth and adult) can explore the world of theatre through a professional rehearsal process, master classes, outreach and intensive ensemble work. The Community Stage: a community theatre company for actors, singers and technicians from all walks of life that offers the best in American musicals and dramas. The Next Stage: a professional theatre company that endeavors to produce high quality contemporary theatre as well as new works, cabaret, workshops and staged readings.
Play everyone's favorite game! Prizes will be awarded to winners.
Winter offers families a unique opportunity to visit the wolves during their favorite time of year. Learn about the mythology, biology and ecology of wolf families and discover why this season is such a magical time for packs in North America. Whether the wolves are living on the Arctic tundra or the woodlands of the southwest, wolf families are out searching for prey as their maturing pups experience their first winter season. Guests will visit Ambassador Wolves Alawa, Nikai, and Zephyr as well as potentially behold the WCC's critically endangered red wolves and Mexican gray wolves. Guests will enjoy hot beverages in our woodstove-heated classroom. Please dress for COLD weather.
A fun free bilingual (English/Spanish) music program for children ages 0-5 years old with a parent/caregiver. Flor Bromley teaches Spanish through music, movement, puppetry, and theater based games. No registration required.
Come to learn, and experienced players welcome! Join Monday chess club with instructor Ray Jones and enjoy some friendly competition. For children grades 3 and up. Registration begins December 21.
Delight and stimulate your toddler's brain with books, rhymes, and music. Toddler Time is for children ages 2 to 3 with an adult.
Music and motion for walkers under 2 with an adult. (And bubbles, too!) Just drop in.
Stories and songs for birth to 5-year-olds with an adult. Just drop in!
Card games, board games, and retro video game tournaments. Something new will be offered each week.
Trove Time is an early literacy playtime for ages 2-4 with a caregiver. Children and their caregiver will play together, hear stories, and learn about enriching a child's life and increasing their early literacy skills. Tickets will be given out on a first-come, first-served basis beginning 30 minutes prior to the program.
Enjoy fresh, winter-grown produce along with a diverse variety of meats, cheeses, breads, prepared foods, and more. It's a great way to support local agriculture and eat healthy year-round.
Try to ID and count birds at the bird feeders at Croton Point Nature Center with volunteers from Saw Mill River Audubon viewing the feeders from inside the Center. Beginners encouraged. Great opportunity for photography too.
From fish and vegetables to cheese and baked goods, shop all the delicious flavors of winter and find out what the season has in store.
Fathers can drop in with their children for this fun-filled animal adventure. All children must be accompanied by a caregiver. No pre-registration required. Suggested for ages 3 to 7.
A half hour of rhymes, songs, and stories that encourage early literacy skills for ages 0-2 with a caregiver.
Stop by this fun-filled hour with your little one to make crafts and meet animals while learning about the natural world. Children must be accompanied by a caregiver. Drop-in class, no pre-registration required. Suggested for ages 18 months to 4 years.
Looking to connect with other parents of young babies while learning from the experts? Join this free monthly drop-in group for to share breakfast and conversation with other parents. Each month will feature a different speaker, on topics including sleep issues, nutrition, dealing with in-laws, separation, and more.
The Museum is partnering with Melissa & Doug Toys and Scattered Books of Chappaqua, NY, to offer a colorful, vibrant, enriching selection of toys and books for infants through middle school-aged children. All the books and toys will reflect the Museum's own goals of encouraging play and imagination, critical thinking, problem solving, and fun.
A portion of the proceeds from sales from the shop will support the Museum's educational programs and exhibits. The shop will feature a range of books curated by Scattered Books, from touch books for our youngest children to chapter books for middle school readers. The toys selection offered exclusively by Melissa & Doug will range from child-scaled grocery stores to the puzzles, toys, and imagination-building playsets that the company is known for.
The Pop Up Shop is a pre-cursor to a permanent gift shop planned for the expansion of the Westchester Children's Museum, with construction set to begin in early 2019.
Discuss new titles and learn drawing and sketching techniques from a local artist. Pizza will be served.


Nate's professional career began in Nashville TN as a PA working for one of the nations's premier event planning firms.
Within a couple of years Nate had stepped out on his own and launched Grateful Inconvenience Inc., a boutique creative agency focusing on still and motion photography and design services. Nate has designed and produced sets for artists such as Taylor Swift, Shania Twain, Lionel Richie and Keith Urban. His live production team has produced VIP experiences for CMT, The Academy and the CMAs. When Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler and his bride to be Kristin Cavallari approached him about designing their wedding he and his team jumped at the chance. Images from that particular celebrity nuptial wound up gracing the cover of People Magazine.
Never one to sit still, Nate's projects have taken him around the world. He and his team have shot and produced film and photography in China, Indonesia, Central and Sub Saharan Africa, Ethiopia, Cambodia, China, throughout most of South America and even North Korea. With a global network of fixers and production talent, Nate's true passion is for creating socially impact-full connections. He and his team are passionate about the craft of visual storytelling.
This portfolio is a representation of the GI INC team's current work.


It's Thursday, which means playgroup day, unfortunately it got cancelled so we settled for feeding the ducks and doing some crafts!
I pulled out another old favourite, and yes, its *that* dress, the New Look Swallow dress mark one. Except mine is actually the tunic top, but from the tall range so it kind of looks like a dress, but you get my drift! I love this dress because I can rockabilly it up and wear it with cute heels, victory rolls and a pretty flower. Today I went for functionality, popped in on with leggings, slouchy socks (yeah, I'm *that* cool) boots, and denim jacket.
Very nice ! where is your denim jacket from ??
What's up Dear, are you in fact visiting this website regularly, if so afterward you will absolutely get nice knowledge.
Thanks for finally writing about > "OOTD - *That* Dress" < Loved it!
to grasp your feed to keep up to date with forthcoming post.


As a budding entrepreneur or an established business owner, you will always need to continually develop yourself. Once you launch that website or hit that sales goal, your development and self-improvement doesn't stop! It only escalates to a point of higher efficiency and education. How will you feed your psyche's appetite? Here are the top 5 resources to do so!
LinkedIn is a free social network for business professionals. If you haven't created a LinkedIn profile for yourself yet – I HIGHLY encourage you to do so, as the benefits are limitless. With LinkedIn, you have the opportunity to build connections with other big industry leaders, develop relationships with other businesses (helpful for B2B selling), as well as showcase your track record and display what you've done.
Seth is an amazing guy, simply put. He combines business and humor with the right amount of motivation, and as a best-selling author, Seth's advice is as golden as you can get. The first book I read by Seth was "Ideavirus", which subsequently inspired me to write my eBook Getting an Idea. The man packs enough inspiration and determination in each and every one of his blog posts that you'd be foolish not to take advantage of his witty advice.
As their tagline says, the ideas shared at the TED talks are ideas worth spreading. I actually made it a habit for myself to watch a TED talk every time I went on the treadmill. I think I've gotten through about 40 TED talks so far, and I wholeheartedly believe that the material presented in the talks helped form me into a better thinker and a better entrepreneur. Check TED out – you can't go wrong!
Quora is an excellent professional development resource because it enables you to both answer industry-related questions as well as ask other professionals for feedback to your own curiosity. This site opens up the doors for you to get into the heads of your customers as well as other entrepreneurs and innovators!
Ben Horowitz runs a website on teaching startup founders how to effectively manage their teams and become better CEOs. Ben's use of witty rap-lyric influenced banter and enticing topics make it a must read. The interesting combination of the two, along with its minimalist appeal, will have you reading his blog for hours on end – soaking up as much advice as humanly possible.
Personally, I've used ConversionXL on multiple occasions, and a lot of their advice has funneled into my work. Learning from other professionals becomes a valuable resource when you become a professional yourself. ConversionXL will help you grow your userbase, increase lead generation, and draw traction to your website!
Best of luck with these resources, my friends!
You are at the perfect stage in life: 2015. It's easier than ever to become an entrepreneur, especially with all of the vast improvements in technology and emerging markets. You now have limitless opportunity to test the market and see what sticks – making it possible for your entrepreneurial dreams to come true!
Although a lot of people who have that entrepreneurial spirit have it buried deep down inside of them. They're afraid to take that leap, to take that chance in successfully launching a startup. I say forget your phobias and withdrawals – take control of your life, your business – your dreams.
It's time to start taking steps to take control of your own life, and there's absolutely no better way to do that than to take ultimate control of your career, through starting your own business.
We all innovate. We all see ways life could be improved and imagine ways we could accomplish that. Although while many of us remain "wantrepreneurs", for the sake of this post that judgement is nonexistent.
So let's start at one end of the spectrum: sales. Those who work in sales do the nitty gritty work that most entrepreneurs either struggle with or outsource. Converting a lead to a sale is one of the most difficult aspects of any industry, and one of the primary determinants of success. Each sales person, in their own respect, is an entrepreneur. Have you ever received those internship or representative job offerings in which you sell X product for Y commission? Granted those opportunities are usually involving scummy managers or business practices, they are still a kickstart for entrepreneurship.
Moving across the spectrum, we land in the middle, where its abundant in 9-5 weekend warriors who work as an employee by day, but a CEO or brainstormer by night. These are the types of entrepreneurs who are on the fence about becoming a full time entrepreneur. They either have families or overly demanding jobs and cannot dedicate too much of their free time to projects and side businesses, but still have that entrepreneurial spirit following them around.
Wise words which have been said by many: there is no trying, only doing. And while I partially disagree with that statement, the principle of the matter is that you cannot flip flop as an entrepreneur. You have to be willing to sacrifice sleep and time with friends in order to achieve greatness. While there is always room for balance, it takes time in attaining such order.
In fact, as a 9-5 weekend warrior, what you should worry about most is efficiency: how you can think efficiently and brainstorm effectively. I highly recommend you signup for my mailing list in order to receive your own copy of my eBook Getting an Idea – a process which revolutionizes brainstorming and helps you generate genuine ideas. I'll go as far as to say that the book will guarantee you an idea. But you'll have to see for yourself.
Finally, we move onto the other end of the spectrum: full time entrepreneurs. These are people like Neil Patel, Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates, Warren Buffet, etc.. But these are also people like you and me: anyone who dedicates their 5 o'clock to midnight time slot, after their 9-5 day job, works an additional 35 hours per week. Thats's practically another full time job!
Although I'm here to say that the 35 hours is by no means a requirement. Many successful entrepreneurs, including myself, try to limit themselves to 2 hours per day. That's two hours of quality work.
I suggest working at a more balanced pace because you're most likely tweeting or reading or researching throughout the day, not to mention the amount of time you spend fantasizing about your life as an entrepreneur.
All in all, we're all entrepreneurs when you look at entrepreneurship as a spectrum of individuals who all possess varying skills and levels of commitment. Many can make the argument that not everyone is an entrepreneur, and my only response to that is not everyone is an entrepreneur yet.
If you aspire to become an entrepreneur, start today. Don't make up excuses, don't try – just do. Entrepreneurship is unique in that it is what you make of it.


Chicago Bliss At Los Angeles Temptation is an event that takes place from May 11 - May 11, 2018 and may cause room availability issues or hotel rates to increase. Hotels near Citizens Business Bank Arena and hotels close to Rancho Cucamonga are listed below. Search for cheap and discount hotel rates near the Chicago Bliss At Los Angeles Temptation Rancho Cucamonga, CA for individual or group travel.


text:
Iran, Uzbekistan to develop transit ties
Tehran, IRNA – Iranian and Uzbek officials in a meeting expressed readiness to strengthen cooperation in transit and transportation, information center of Iran's Ministry of Roads and Urban Development announced on Thursday.
Exports via Iran's western border grow by 466 percent
Tehran, IRNA – Head of Khostawi Border Customs Organization of Qasr-e Shirin city in western Kermanshah province said on Wednesday that the value of Iranian goods exports through this border this year to Iraq has grown by 466 percent and has grown by 279 percent in terms of weight.
Iran's non-oil export in 10 months rises to $38 billion: Official
Tehran, IRNA - Iran Newspaper reported on Wednesday, quoting head of the Islamic Republic of Iran Customs Administration (IRICA) Alireza Moghadasi, that new statistics of Iran's foreign trade show that Iran's non-oil exports in the beginning 10 months of the current Iranian calendar year (starting on 20 March 2021) reached $38.763 billion.
Headlines in Iranian English-language dailies on Jan 26
Iran, Azerbaijan agree to construct border bridge
Tehran, IRNA - Senior transportation officials from Iran and Azerbaijan signed an agreement on Tuesday to construct a road bridge on Astarachay River running along the joint border.
Education; at top of Finland, Iran priorities
Qazvin, IRNA - Ambassador of Finland to Tehran in his meeting with Qazvin Governor said that there are new interests and fields of cooperation between Finland and the Islamic Republic of Iran, especially as Helsinki is interested in educational cooperation between the two countries."
US energy market under pressure due to Iran oil sanction: Analyst
Tehran, IRNA - Imposition of sanction on Iran's oil export has caused some difficulties for the United States when it comes to dealing with high energy prices ahead of 2022 midterm elections in the US, an expert says.
Tehran, IRNA - The following headlines appeared in English-language newspapers in the Iranian capital on Tuesday, January 25, 2022:
Pakistan planning to open new border points, boost trade through ports with Iran
Islamabad, IRNA -- The government of Pakistan is planning to open new border crossings with the Islamic Republic of Iran along with enhanced cooperation between the ports of the two countries to promote bilateral trade.
Tehran, IRNA - The following headlines appeared in English-language newspapers in the Iranian capital on Monday, January 24, 2022:
Vice president: Gov't aims to nullify sanctions' effects
Tehran, IRNA – Iranian Vice-President for Economic Affairs Mohsen Rezaei said that one of many objectives of President Ebrahim Raisi's recent visit to Moscow is to nullify unlawful sanctions.
Iran triples trade transactions with neighbors
Tehran, IRNA – Rapporteur of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Commission said that the volume of the country's trade transactions with the neighboring countries has tripled over past months and economic activities have noticeably risen.
Envoy: Iran issues permit for diesel transit to Afghanistan
Tehran, IRNA - Iran's special envoy for Afghanistan Hassan Kazemi-Qomi said that Iran has issued three-month permit for diesel transit to Afghanistan for three month.
Conference on women's social, educational role in Islam held in Baku
Baku, IRNA – On the occasion of the birth anniversary of Hazrat Fatimah (PBUH) recognized as Mother's Day in Iran, a conference about the social and educational role of women from Islamic perspective was held at Cultural Center of the Islamic Republic of Iran in Baku.
Expert urges Iran, Russia to remove banking, transit barriers
Tehran, IRNA - Head of the Center for Contemporary Iranian Studies in Russia Recep Safarov called on Iranian and Russian officials to remove logistic, transit, and banking road-blocks.
Tehran, IRNA - The following headlines appeared in English-language newspapers in the Iranian capital on Sunday, January 23, 2022:
Iran-Russia common capacities should be leveraged: Official
Tehran, IRNA– Deputy chairman of Iran-Russia parliamentary friendship group drew attention to the common capacities and advantages of Iran and Russia in production sector.
Tehran, IRNA - The following headlines appeared in English-language newspapers in the Iranian capital on Saturday, January 22, 2022:
Economy min: Facilitating banking transactions part of Iran-Russia agreements
Tehran, IRNA – Economy Minister Ehsan Khanduzi in a tweet on Wednesday elaborated on the agreements reached with his Russian counterpart, including facilitating the bilateral banking transactions.
Iran Rail Transit grows 202 percent
Tehran, IRNA - The Islamic Republic of Iran Railway has reported a significant increase in the rail sector performance in transit, passenger transport, and freight transport in the last nine months.
Iran among world's 14 power plant builders
Tehran, IRNA – A senior official in the Ministry of Energy said that Iran is among the 14 countries in the world capable of constructing power plants.
Iran's trade with Russia to be facilitated
Moscow, IRNA – Iran's Minister of Finance and Economic Affairs has said that banking obstacles on the way of Iranian businesspersons residing in Russia will be removed and trade exchange will be facilitated.
Iran-Russia to boost oil cooperation
Moscow, IRNA – Iran's Oil Minister Javad Owji explored ways to boost oil cooperation with his Russian counterpart Nikolai Shulginov here on Tuesday.
Oil, gas main factors of Russia-Iran economic cooperation: Academic
Tehran, IRNA – Russia and Iran enjoy abundant economic commonalities in oil and gas sector; thus, they are expected to cooperate in developing complementary economic and trade ties, an Iranian professor said.
Russia-Iran ministers to discuss energy cooperation
Moscow, IRNA - Iranian Minister of Petroleum Javad Owji is going to hold talks with Russian Energy Minister Nikolay Shulginov on mutual cooperation.
Capacity exists for direct transit with Russia through Caspian Sea: Official
Tehran, IRNA – The managing director of Amirabad Ports and Navigation Organization said on the verge of President Ebrahim Raisi's visit to Russia that Iran is organizing direct transit with Russia through the Caspian Sea and completing the ro-ro terminal of Amirabad, which can ease Iran's worries on land transit.
World Bank predicts 2.6% economic growth in Raisi administration
Tehran, IRNA - The World Bank has predicted in its latest report that Iran's economic growth during President Ebrahim Raisi's first administration will increase to 2.6 percent.
Russia strategic partner to Iran: Ex-envoy
Tehran, IRNA - Iranian former ambassador to Moscow Mahmoud-Reza Sajjadi emphasizing that the situation in the world is not in a way that a country can live in isolation, said that Russia is a strategic partner to Iran.
Russia-Iran trade ups by 41% in 9 months
Tehran, IRNA - Trade volume between Russia and Iran has increased 12 percent in terms of weight and 41 percent in terms of value in the first nine months of this Iranian calendar year (March 21, 2021 to December 21, 2021), according to an Iranian official.


Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) announced an upgrade to its OneView tool, an infrastructure automation engine that provides software-defined intelligence across HPE servers, storage devices and other products.
"HPE OneView is your infrastructure automation engine built with software intelligence," HPE says on its Web site for the product. "It streamlines provisioning and lifecycle management across compute, storage and fabric and enables IT staff can control resources programmatically through a unified API.
"With HPE OneView, infrastructure can be configured, monitored, updated and repurposed with a single line of code, allowing IT teams to more effectively meet changing application needs."
With that unified API, the company said in a statement yesterday from a Las Vegas conference, OneView delivers that infrastructure intelligence, workload template automation and open integration to help enterprises provision infrastructure in order to realize improved operational efficiencies.
OneView works with HPE enterprise systems such as HPE ProLiant, HPE BladeSystem, HPE 3PAR StoreServ, HPE Hyper Converged solutions and HPE Synergy, described as "the industry's first composable infrastructure."
A new global dashboard, which simplifies IT operations for large-scale and globally distributed environment deployments including remote sites. It gives users an "at-a-glance" view of their infrastructure no matter where it's located, and supports physical, virtual, hyper-converged and composable infrastructures.
"Organizations need tools that enable them to simplify IT operations, respond to business demands at cloud speed and increase productivity, ultimately freeing up IT resources required to deliver new and innovative services to their customers," said exec Ric Lewis in a statement yesterday. "Our mission is to make IT simple for customers. Whether they are managing and maintaining infrastructure, running traditional applications or developing new revenue generating services on cloud native applications, HPE OneView is the infrastructure automation engine built to make that all possible."


If you've ever worked with honest-to-goodness professional advertising copywriters you know that they can be among the most cynical, glib people you've ever met. Suffice it to say, Bob Hoffman is a former copywriter.
"Spectacular failure?" I've had some experience to the contrary, but I do agree that many marketers sell distorted assumptions.


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Home Dela Quist
Dela is an internationally renowned email marketing thought leader who uses innovative data analysis to challenge many of the myths and preconceptions in the industry. One of Excite's first European directors, he pioneered email as a marketing channel back in the 1990s, and worked closely with UKNet Year on a groundbreaking initiative to develop free, child-friendly and safe email addresses for all UK school pupils. Dela has served many years as a member of the UK DMA's Email Marketing Council and chair of the EMC's Benchmarking Hub. He has also served on the executive management group of the IAB and on the steering committee of Future of European Advertising Stakeholders (FAST). Dela is also popular on the international speaking circuit, where his lively, thought-provoking style makes even the most seasoned marketers re-think their views on email.


First Person Thoughts: I am most motivated to make films not because I love movies or images or even telling stories (I, of course, love all of these things), I am driven to make films because life is one long, profound hallucination for us all; and watching them is a brief respite from this barrage. To quote one of the all-time-greats, "The artist is always the servant, and is perpetually trying to pay for the gift that has been given to him* as if by a miracle."
*This is an almost perfect quote if it weren't for the use of the word "him." This should say "her or him or anyone".


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BahamasSan SalvadorOther San SalvadorSnow Bay Beach Resort
Snow Bay Beach Resort
Other San Salvador, San Salvador, Bahamas
Photos Video MatterPort 3dVR Map
Damianos Sotheby's International Realty
Sarah Chemaly
TDER4C
About Snow Bay Beach Resort
Welcome to Snow Bay, a stunning turnkey beachfront estate nestled on the southeast end of San Salvador just steps away from Snow Bay National Park and designed for luxury, relaxation, peace, and tranquility. Built in 2019 and comprised of four seaside villas, three of which offer direct ocean views, Snow Bay offers over 5,000 sq. ft. of luxurious eco-friendly living space spread out over a generous 1.84 acres. Snow Bay's creative site plan allows for the option to operate a stunning boutique resort, which Snow Bay is already licensed for, or enjoy as a secluded family escape. Constructed with insulated concrete forms (ICF) for strength, longevity and energy efficiency, all villas are modern in design with concrete roofs, stone exteriors, air-conditioning and cool ceramic tiling throughout. The sea view villas also feature impact-resistant sliding glass doors treating guests to panoramic views of the ocean and pulling in the trade winds which flow consistently and steadily over San Salvador November through May making the island a dream destination for sailing, kitesurfing, and windsurfing. Snow Bay's sleek modern design combined with the rustic island charm of San Salvador creates an ambiance of sophisticated simplicity. The main villa is customized with a well-equipped kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances, a chest freezer, breakfast bar, large pantry, water softener and a reverse osmosis water system. Step outside and relax in your freshwater infinity pool that is enhanced with an efficient chlorine generating
cleaning system, and take in stunning views of the blindingly blue, crystal clear Bahamian waters. Just steps from the pool lies Snow Bay Beach, 200 feet of white powder sand so soft that your feet sink with every step. Snow Bay was built with sustainability and economy in mind (there are no water or electric bills for this property), and includes 72 ground-mounted solar panels, two water wells, a reverse osmosis system supply sufficient water for villas and irrigation, a 28 KW water-cooled diesel automatic generator and a 37-ft. concrete retainer wall that runs the length of all three Seaview villas for additional peace of mind. This solar-powered system is a sustainable energy system that is unlike anything else in The Bahamas.
Located approximately 200 miles southeast of Nassau and about a one-hour flight from Florida, the waters surrounding San Salvador reach as deep as 4,000 meters (or 2.5 miles), attracting divers, snorkelers and fishermen from around the world, particularly from the French and European markets. The property is approximately 6 miles from the international Airport and Cockburn Town which has several grocery stores and restaurants. To serve this ever-growing tourism market, Air Caraibes has increased its airlift with direct flights from Paris to San Salvador. The island is also served by direct daily flights from Nassau on American Airlines and BahamasAir , weekly flights from the U.S. and Canada.
Stall Shower And Tub
Galley Kitchen
Beach, Ocean, Waterfront, Storm Window, Storm Door
Lot Feature