Findlay Galleries, an iconic 149-year old family art business founded in 1870 represents over 100 artists and artist estates with locations in both Palm Beach and New York.
with exclusive representation of Contemporary Artists and Artist Estates.
Findlay Galleries is proud to present our current March Palm Beach exhibition, Jean Dufy: La Société Parisienne. This exhibition continues the tradition and relationship of over sixty years of representation – since the 1950s – beginning when Wally Findlay and Jean Dufy forged a lasting friendship that evolved into Dufy 's emergence as one of the premier artists of the century – we have been proud to celebrate his paintings, watercolors, gouaches, and drawings worldwide.
Findlay Galleries is proud to present a collection of recent works by American contemporary artist Mary Sipp Green. Mary's work trademarks skies, with layers of color that have a perception beyond the merely visible. She depicts the land around her, not the tangible qualities, but the softly washes memories of a place. Mary's recent works will be on view at our Palm Beach Gallery through March.
Findlay Galleries is proud to present our New York March exhibition by Vietnamese artist Le Pho. Le Pho's works are a fascinating combination of Oriental artistry with influences of contemporary Western art. For the most part, he specialized in semi-Impressionist studies of flowers and figures and handled them with delicacy and unusually fluid transparency of color. In his early years, Le Pho preferred painting on silk instead of canvas, and to do so, developed a technique all his own.
Findlay Galleries is proud to present our New York Exhibition Between the Dawn: The Fire in Yellow. This exhibition illuminates the visual poetry and divinity found in paintings completed in a predominantly yellow palette. From Le Pho to Landfield, a great many canvases from our stable of artists have made expressive and impressive use of the color.


Multiple Shadows in CSS - View in Firefox, Chrome etc.
In this tutorial you will learn how to create some awesome shadow effects in CSS! The syntax, sample code and explantions are included below.
If your browser supports Css Box Shadow Property then you can see multiple colored shadows below.
Multiple shadows can be made using the same code that is used for making single shadow.
To make these multiple shadows we just need to define multiple shadow value and seperate them with a comma.
Then we'll position the shadows using different values for x-offset and y-offset values.
The shadow value which comes last is positioned at the back of all the shadows.
ImportantFor Multiple Shadow the values are seperated by commas.
Here the Blue (#0000FF) colored shadow is defined first so it is positioned at the top of other shadows.
Then the Green (#008000) colored shadow, defined with 30px Blur Offset.
Then at last the Orange (#FF4500) colored shadow with negetive values of X-Offset and Y-Offset, positioned at the back of all the shadows.
So lets create some multiple shadows just like the Example 1 above.
First we'll have to create a div with id= sample inside the   tag.
Now we'll have to write Css codes for the div refering to its id= sample .
→ This is the selector id for the div with id= sample , any property that we define here will be applied to any div that has an id= sample .
→ To set width and height for this div.
→ To create a 4 pixel wide, solid Grey ( #444 ) colored border.
-webkit-box-shadow: Multiple shadow values seperated by comma.
Multiple shadow values seperated by comma.
→ Here the Line 10 defines Css Box Shadow Property for IE9 and for Opera 7+.
→ Line 18 defines Css Box Shadow Property for Mozilla Firefox.
→ And Line 27 defines Css Box Shadow Property for Webkit Browsers like Safari and Google Chrome.
We'll start filling our
 with inner Shadows.
As we are creating inner shadows we need to add this keyword "inset" before every value that we define.
We just need to change the values for X-Offset and Y-Offset and the color, the Blur Radius and Blur Offset values remains the same.
We'll need to Refer to this Y-X Axis for defining positions for the shadows. This is not the regular X-Y axis.
You can see the positive and negetive values in the brackets which represent positive or negetive ( X-Offset , Y-Offset ) values in the Quadrants.
→ This code creates a Red ( #CC0000 ) Colored shadow in the First Quadrant with positive X and Y Offset values.
→ This code creates a Green ( #CC0000 ) Colored shadow in the Forth Quadrant with positive X and negetive Y Offset value.
→ This code creates a Orange ( #FF4500 ) Colored shadow in the Third Quadrant with negetive X and Y Offset values.
→ This code creates a Blue ( #0000CC ) Colored shadow in the Second Quadrant with negetive X and positive Y Offset value.
Now we add outer shadows to our
. Now we do not need to add this keyword "inset".
To make Shadow effects like Example 3 above.
Every thing is same as explained above for (Example 1). Just add one more Border Radius property to the (Example 1) above to get Shadow Effectes like Example 3.
Here's the Stylesheet code for Example 3.
Here I've used 11 shadows to make the effect. First We'll look at the code and then I'll explain the shadow properties.
→ To create a 5 pixel wide, solid Grey ( #333 ) colored border.
→ Here the Line 12 defines Css Box Shadow Property for IE9 and for Opera 7+.
→ Line 23 defines Css Box Shadow Property for Mozilla Firefox.
→ And Line 34 defines Css Box Shadow Property for Webkit Browsers like Safari and Google Chrome.
We will start adding the inner shadows to the
 with id= example2 i.e.
.
→ Here the X-offset and Y-offset Values are set to zero so the shadow is at the central position.
→ Blue (#0000ff) Colored Blur radius is set to 12 pixel and offset at 4 pixel.
→ Light Blue(#1E90FF) Colored Blur radius is set to 12 pixel and offset at 10 pixel.
→ Violet(#9932CC) Colored Blur radius is set to 12 pixel and offset at 10 pixel.
Now we'll fill the outer shadows.
→ Grey(#333333) Colored Blur radius is set to 4 pixel and offset at 10 pixel.
→ Light Grey(#AAAAAA) Colored Blur radius is set to 6 pixel and offset at 15 pixel.
→ Negetive Y-offset of -20 pixel is set for this shadow.
→ Red (#CC0000) Colored Blur radius is set to 50 pixel and offset at 50 pixel.
→ Grey (#333333) Colored Blur radius is set to 12 pixel and offset at 50 pixel.
→ Negetive X-offset of -20 pixel and Positive X-offset of 30 pixel is set for this shadow.
→ Greeen (#00CC00) Colored Blur radius is set to 50 pixel and offset at 50 pixel.
→ Positive X-offset of 20 pixel and Positive X-offset of 30 pixel is set for this shadow.
→ Yellow (#FFD700) Colored Blur radius is set to 50 pixel and offset at 50 pixel.
This is the best way to change the looks of your website, as it needs no images, It's made in Pure CSS Coding. This Box Shadow may have some compatibility issues with the old browsers, but runs perfectly on the Latest Browsers.


The Premier League is drawing to a close and there is still something left to play for at both ends of the table. Swansea City are currently four points clear of the relegation zone, but as they have to play two of the three teams below them, their position is far from secure. Meanwhile, their opponents this weekend have a small chance of finishing in the top four. Although it seems unlikely, they won't have given up hope and a win this weekend will put the pressure on the teams ahead of them.
Despite the struggles of the bottom three, Swansea haven't been able to move clear of danger, as they Welsh club haven't won any of their last five Premier League matches. Carlos Carvalhal had a good start to life as manager, but his momentum has now been lost and there will be a section of the support that are glancing nervously over their shoulders with only four matches left to play. Their fate is in their own hands, but their level of performance will need to improve if they are to survive in the top-flight for another year.
Chelsea's title defence has been underwhelming at best and it looks unlikely that they will be able to qualify for next season's Champions League unless there is a huge turnaround over the coming weeks. At the time of writing, they are five points behind Tottenham and the Blues must win their remaining fixtures to even stand a chance. Antonio Conte's future looks uncertain, but his team did qualify for the FA Cup final last weekend and that could provide the momentum required to finish the season strongly.
Swansea have only scored two goals in their last six matches across all competitions. They will need to show improvement over the coming weeks if they are to stay up comfortably.
Last weekend was the first time that Chelsea had kept a clean sheet in 11 matches.
Although the team have struggled to break opposition sides down this season, Jordan Ayew has impressed in a forward role under Carlos Carvalhal. He arrived in England as a player with potential, but he failed to live up to the hype while at Aston Villa. There was a fear that he would never make the grade in the Premier League after being relegated as part of one of the worst teams in recent history. However, he was given a chance by Swansea and after a slow start, he has emerged as one of the key players. This season, he has scored seven goals in the league and they have been vital in keeping the Swans afloat for now. Chelsea aren't the most convincing at the back this season and Ayew's pace and movement could cause them problems on Saturday.
Eden Hazard hasn't had the best season in terms of goals and assists, but he has consistently impacted matches in a positive manner. There is nobody better at causing havoc while running with the ball as he can beat defenders at will. The best players often up their game and take responsibility in big matches. The Belgian international certainly did that last weekend, as he completed nine dribbles and made five key passes. He was nearly unplayable and he had a telling impact on the game as he got the assist for the opening goal. This may not be an important match, but Hazard will want to have a big part to play over the summer and he benefit from going into the World Cup in good form.
Swansea face a defensive crisis this weekend with Federico Fernandez and Kyle Bartley both set for scans to assess injuries. Luciano Narsingh is a doubt for the home side, while Renato Sanches, Leroy Fer and Wilfred Bony remain on the treatment table.
Danny Drinkwater and Ethan Ampadu remain out injured. Neither will be able to play a part this weekend. However, David Luiz is getting closer to a return. Olivier Giroud is set for a Premier League recall after three goals in his last two matches.
Carvalhal will be hoping that the home support is enough to coax a performance out of his players. Chelsea have been far from unbeatable this season and have lost matches against Watford, West Ham United and Bournemouth this season. It could be that the visitors have their focus on the FA Cup final and let their performance levels drop as a result. That said, they have been steadily improving during recent weeks and they will be keen to continue their upturn in form. Given their lack of threat shown by the home side recently, an away win appears the most likely result.
Categories: Chelsea (NN), Cheslea, EPL Index Featured Article, EPL Index Match Previews, Swansea City, and Swansea City (NN).' 'Tags: Ayew, CFC, Chelsea, Chelsea (NN), Chelsea Stats, english Premier league, EPL Index Match Previews, EPL Match Preview, EPLIndex Match Preview, EPLIndex Match Previews, Hazard, Premier League Match Preview, and Swansea City.


In the heart of the Cuenca Mountains lies the city Cuenca, a medieval city par excellence. Located on what looks like a rock especially built for this city, the old part dominates over the area, with its hanging houses overlooking the old ruins of its Moorish castle. There is a great view on as well as off the city, which both should not be missed when in Castilla la Mancha or the neighbouring areas of Madrid and Valencia. Surrounded by mountain areas and river canyons the flair of this city is wonderful, very charming and just a must-see for holidaymakers, nature lovers, or just travellers who like a pleasant combination of history, nature and culture.
Don Quixote, the famous literary adventurer calls this region his home in the novel 'The Ingenious Gentleman Don Quixote of La Mancha'. Who read the book has a picture of this beautiful area in the Spanish inland in mind. There are four Archaelogical Parks with some of the oldest rock paintings ever found in Spain. For nature lovers the area has a lot to explore and discover, with tons of natural reserves and parks. The area has a rural touch and relatively little population, being the perfect location for a getaway of the surrounding areas such as Madrid, Valencia, or Murcia.


text:
Dr Fu Siong Ng
BSc, MBBS, PhD
Chiswick Medical Centre
Bond House, 347-353 Chiswick High Road, London, United Kingdom, W4 4HS
Dr Fu Siong Ng is a Consultant Cardiologist and Cardiac Electrophysiologist at Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust and at Chelsea and Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust. He is also a Clinical Senior Lecturer in Cardiac Electrophysiology at Imperial College London.
Dr Ng qualified with distinctions from St. George's, University of London. He trained in Cardiology and Cardiac Electrophysiology in London at Hammersmith and St. Mary's Hospitals. Dr Ng obtained his PhD from Imperial College London and spent a year doing a postdoc at Washington University in Saint Louis, USA. Upon his return to the UK, he took up a Consultant and Clinical Senior LEcturer position at Imperial College London. Dr Ng is accredited as a Cardiac Electrophysiology Specialist by the European Heart Rhythm Association and is a Fellow of the European Society of Cardiology.
Dr Ng is an expert in cardiac electrophysiology and heart rhythm disorders. He performs catheter ablation procedures for a range of arrhythmias (e.g. atrial fibrillation, atrial tachycardias, atrial flutter, supraventricular tachycardia (SVT), ventricular ectopy/tachycardia) and implants implantable cardiac devices (e.g. pacemakers, defibrillators, loop recorders, biventricular pacemakers (CRT)).
Dr Ng has a keen interest in clinical research where his focus is on understanding complex arrhythmia mechanisms and developing new technologies and treatments to improve the outcomes of patients with arrhythmias. He leads several translational research projects including first-in-human clinical studies on low-energy atrial defibrillation studies.
ECG monitor
Invasive catheter ablation procedures
Pacemaker /defibrillator implantation
Cardiac arrhythmias
BSc Clinical Pharmacology - University of London - 2000
MBBS - University of London - 2003
PhD - Imperial College London - 2011
Contact Dr Fu Siong Ng

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
Eastern Front/Severed Heaven
Hotel California, New Chester Road, Birkenhead
Reviewed by Matthew Ford
Since Carcass split and Anathema mellowed, it's been a rare thing for Merseyside to play host to (musical) brutality, but two of the UK's finest unsigned metal bands - Eastern Front and Severed Heaven - went a long way to make up for a seemingly endless line of Beatles rip-offs. Birkenhead's recently refurbished Hotel California - home to the weekly Friday Rock Show - was the scene of some of the most challenging metal music you're likely to witness in the area.
The first band on stage was Ipswich-based Eastern Front (above), purveyors of 'War Torn Black Metal'. Suitably garbed in corpse paint, leather and spikes, there is no doubting the accuracy of that description, but there is much more to the band than just an image. Their studio recordings are characterised by thunderous drums, angular guitar riffs and throat-destroying vocals. In a live setting, the intensity is amplified tenfold. It's a pleasure to see vocalist Metzger so wilfully damaging his vocal chords for the sake of his art, and the acoustic passages serve as a stark contrast to the raw and bludgeoning heaviness which pervades almost all of their set. The songs are full of war-themed imagery, which only makes them all the more hard-hitting. Eastern Front were voted the best unsigned metal band last year by The Metal Underground (www.themetalunderground.co.uk), and it's easy to hear why with the epic 'Blood On Snow' ringing in my ears. The five-piece are about to commence work on their debut album, which, based on this performance, promises to put them up their with the big guns of black metal.
It wasn't long before Severed Heaven brought their brand of 'chuggy' death metal (with ample black metal influence, and some doom too) to the stage. An all-female band based in Leeds, they set out to tear down the notion that metal is for men only. The evidence that women can play it too - for anyone who really needed it - was clearly on display throughout the set. But don't get the wrong idea - it's not just about gender politics, by any means. The music is as menacing as metal comes and, along with the crushing riffs, rumbling bass and rapidfire drumming, the vocals are devastating. Frontwoman Satanica uses the 'death growl' style utilised by countless male vocalists and yet - with certain notable exceptions - it's still very unusual to hear a female vocalist using it, and especially with such genuine defiance and aplomb. Severed Heaven are simply a metal band, and they are a stunningly good one at that. The songs are epic and accomplished compositions; 'The Fallen Flesh Of Worthlessness (Purifying Reign)' ranges from a melancholic opening to the brutal chugging which is just made for headbanging. Meanwhile, the likes of 'Soul Desecration' and set closer 'Earth Decayed' are fine examples of variety in both tempo and dynamics. The band promise a hefty gigging schedule throughout 2008, and are currently performing new, as yet unavailable material, as well as their previously established fan favourites. On top of that, they're a tight live unit, so you definitely get your money's worth.
It's hard to see how Severed Heaven couldn't achieve anything they have the desire for and, as with Eastern Front, it's difficult to comprehend why they remain unsigned. However, if this gig is anything to go by, both bands will surely be signing recording contracts, and hopefully soon, as they deserve a wider audience. In the meantime, they need you at their shows. Both are gigging regularly around the north west, and it won't be long before they're back in Merseyside.
For more information on these bands, visit the following websites:
www.myspace.com/easternfrontuk
www.myspace.com/severedheaven
www.severedheaven.co.uk
Comments are closed for this review


text:
¡Ladran, luego cabalgamos! es el primer álbum de estudio de la banda española Bürdel King. Fue lanzado al mercado el 20 de septiembre de 2011. Los temas que tocan las canciones son sexo, amor, alcohol y rock and roll.

La frase que da nombre al disco es una expresión popularmente atribuida a Don Quijote de la Mancha que en realidad proviene del poema Ladrador (1808) de Goethe.

Lista de canciones

Intérpretes
 Cantante y compositor: Txus di Fellatio.
 Guitarrista: Alberto Marín.
 Guitarrista: Frank.
 Bajo: Sergio Martínez.
 Teclista: Javi Díez.
 Batería: Anono Herrero.

Colaboraciones
 Voz femenina: Patricia Tapia.

Referencias

Enlaces externos
 Página del grupo.

Álbumes de 2011

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Ninety-seven-year-old Katherine G. Johnson was a pioneer in American space history. A NASA mathematician, Johnson's computations have influenced every major space program from Mercury through the Shuttle program.
Willie Mays, 84, who ended his esteemed baseball career with 660 home runs, became the fifth all-time record-holder in the sport.
Shirley Chisholm made history in 1968 by becoming the first African-American woman elected to Congress. She helped found the Congressional Black Caucus, ran for president in 1972, and served seven terms in the House of Representatives.
Now, they are among 17 Americans who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom, the nation's highest civilian honor, presented to individuals who have made especially meritorious contributions to the security or national interests of the U.S., to world peace, or to cultural or other significant public or private endeavors.
Chisholm's medal will be presented posthumously.
Click here to read the complete list of award-winners.


text:
Convergence Rates of Gaussian ODE Filters
Kersting, H., Sullivan, T. J., Hennig, P.
arXiv preprint 2018, arXiv:1807.09737 [math.NA], July 2018 (article)
A recently-introduced class of probabilistic (uncertainty-aware) solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) applies Gaussian (Kalman) filtering to initial value problems. These methods model the true solution $x$ and its first $q$ derivatives a priori as a Gauss--Markov process $\boldsymbol{X}$, which is then iteratively conditioned on information about $\dot{x}$. We prove worst-case local convergence rates of order $h^{q+1}$ for a wide range of versions of this Gaussian ODE filter, as well as global convergence rates of order $h^q$ in the case of $q=1$ and an integrated Brownian motion prior, and analyse how inaccurate information on $\dot{x}$ coming from approximate evaluations of $f$ affects these rates. Moreover, we present explicit formulas for the steady states and show that the posterior confidence intervals are well calibrated in all considered cases that exhibit global convergence---in the sense that they globally contract at the same rate as the truncation error.
pn Kersting, H., Sullivan, T. J., Hennig, P. Convergence Rates of Gaussian ODE Filters arXiv preprint 2018, arXiv:1807.09737 [math.NA], July 2018 (article)
Counterfactual Mean Embedding: A Kernel Method for Nonparametric Causal Inference
Muandet, K., Kanagawa, M., Saengkyongam, S., Marukata, S.
This paper introduces a novel Hilbert space representation of a counterfactual distribution---called counterfactual mean embedding (CME)---with applications in nonparametric causal inference. Counterfactual prediction has become an ubiquitous tool in machine learning applications, such as online advertisement, recommendation systems, and medical diagnosis, whose performance relies on certain interventions. To infer the outcomes of such interventions, we propose to embed the associated counterfactual distribution into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) endowed with a positive definite kernel. Under appropriate assumptions, the CME allows us to perform causal inference over the entire landscape of the counterfactual distribution. The CME can be estimated consistently from observational data without requiring any parametric assumption about the underlying distributions. We also derive a rate of convergence which depends on the smoothness of the conditional mean and the Radon-Nikodym derivative of the underlying marginal distributions. Our framework can deal with not only real-valued outcome, but potentially also more complex and structured outcomes such as images, sequences, and graphs. Lastly, our experimental results on off-policy evaluation tasks demonstrate the advantages of the proposed estimator.
ei pn Muandet, K., Kanagawa, M., Saengkyongam, S., Marukata, S. Counterfactual Mean Embedding: A Kernel Method for Nonparametric Causal Inference Arxiv e-prints, arXiv:1805.08845v1 [stat.ML], 2018 (article)
Model-based Kernel Sum Rule: Kernel Bayesian Inference with Probabilistic Models
Nishiyama, Y., Kanagawa, M., Gretton, A., Fukumizu, K.
Arxiv e-prints, arXiv:1409.5178v2 [stat.ML], 2018 (article)
Kernel Bayesian inference is a powerful nonparametric approach to performing Bayesian inference in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces or feature spaces. In this approach, kernel means are estimated instead of probability distributions, and these estimates can be used for subsequent probabilistic operations (as for inference in graphical models) or in computing the expectations of smooth functions, for instance. Various algorithms for kernel Bayesian inference have been obtained by combining basic rules such as the kernel sum rule (KSR), kernel chain rule, kernel product rule and kernel Bayes' rule. However, the current framework only deals with fully nonparametric inference (i.e., all conditional relations are learned nonparametrically), and it does not allow for flexible combinations of nonparametric and parametric inference, which are practically important. Our contribution is in providing a novel technique to realize such combinations. We introduce a new KSR referred to as the model-based KSR (Mb-KSR), which employs the sum rule in feature spaces under a parametric setting. Incorporating the Mb-KSR into existing kernel Bayesian framework provides a richer framework for hybrid (nonparametric and parametric) kernel Bayesian inference. As a practical application, we propose a novel filtering algorithm for state space models based on the Mb-KSR, which combines the nonparametric learning of an observation process using kernel mean embedding and the additive Gaussian noise model for a state transition process. While we focus on additive Gaussian noise models in this study, the idea can be extended to other noise models, such as the Cauchy and alpha-stable noise models.
pn Nishiyama, Y., Kanagawa, M., Gretton, A., Fukumizu, K. Model-based Kernel Sum Rule: Kernel Bayesian Inference with Probabilistic Models Arxiv e-prints, arXiv:1409.5178v2 [stat.ML], 2018 (article)
A probabilistic model for the numerical solution of initial value problems
Schober, M., Särkkä, S., Philipp Hennig,
Statistics and Computing, Springer US, 2018 (article)
We study connections between ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers and probabilistic regression methods in statistics. We provide a new view of probabilistic ODE solvers as active inference agents operating on stochastic differential equation models that estimate the unknown initial value problem (IVP) solution from approximate observations of the solution derivative, as provided by the ODE dynamics. Adding to this picture, we show that several multistep methods of Nordsieck form can be recast as Kalman filtering on q-times integrated Wiener processes. Doing so provides a family of IVP solvers that return a Gaussian posterior measure, rather than a point estimate. We show that some such methods have low computational overhead, nontrivial convergence order, and that the posterior has a calibrated concentration rate. Additionally, we suggest a step size adaptation algorithm which completes the proposed method to a practically useful implementation, which we experimentally evaluate using a representative set of standard codes in the DETEST benchmark set.
PDF Code DOI Project Page [BibTex]
pn Schober, M., Särkkä, S., Philipp Hennig, A probabilistic model for the numerical solution of initial value problems Statistics and Computing, Springer US, 2018 (article)
Analytical incorporation of fractionation effects in probabilistic treatment planning for intensity-modulated proton therapy
Wahl, N., Hennig, P., Wieser, H., Bangert, M.
Medical Physics, 2018 (article)
pn Wahl, N., Hennig, P., Wieser, H., Bangert, M. Analytical incorporation of fractionation effects in probabilistic treatment planning for intensity-modulated proton therapy Medical Physics, 2018 (article)
Probabilistic Approaches to Stochastic Optimization
Mahsereci, M.
Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen, Germany, 2018 (phdthesis)
ei pn Mahsereci, M. Probabilistic Approaches to Stochastic Optimization Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen, Germany, 2018 (phdthesis)
Probabilistic Ordinary Differential Equation Solvers — Theory and Applications
Schober, M.
ei pn Schober, M. Probabilistic Ordinary Differential Equation Solvers — Theory and Applications Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen, Germany, 2018 (phdthesis)
Probabilistic Line Searches for Stochastic Optimization
Mahsereci, M., Hennig, P.
Journal of Machine Learning Research, 18(119):1-59, November 2017 (article)
pn Mahsereci, M., Hennig, P. Probabilistic Line Searches for Stochastic Optimization Journal of Machine Learning Research, 18(119):1-59, November 2017 (article)
Convergence Analysis of Deterministic Kernel-Based Quadrature Rules in Misspecified Settings
Kanagawa, M., Sriperumbudur, B. K., Fukumizu, K.
Arxiv e-prints, arXiv:1709.00147v1 [math.NA], 2017 (article)
This paper presents convergence analysis of kernel-based quadrature rules in misspecified settings, focusing on deterministic quadrature in Sobolev spaces. In particular, we deal with misspecified settings where a test integrand is less smooth than a Sobolev RKHS based on which a quadrature rule is constructed. We provide convergence guarantees based on two different assumptions on a quadrature rule: one on quadrature weights, and the other on design points. More precisely, we show that convergence rates can be derived (i) if the sum of absolute weights remains constant (or does not increase quickly), or (ii) if the minimum distance between distance design points does not decrease very quickly. As a consequence of the latter result, we derive a rate of convergence for Bayesian quadrature in misspecified settings. We reveal a condition on design points to make Bayesian quadrature robust to misspecification, and show that, under this condition, it may adaptively achieve the optimal rate of convergence in the Sobolev space of a lesser order (i.e., of the unknown smoothness of a test integrand), under a slightly stronger regularity condition on the integrand.
pn Kanagawa, M., Sriperumbudur, B. K., Fukumizu, K. Convergence Analysis of Deterministic Kernel-Based Quadrature Rules in Misspecified Settings Arxiv e-prints, arXiv:1709.00147v1 [math.NA], 2017 (article)
Early Stopping Without a Validation Set
Mahsereci, M., Balles, L., Lassner, C., Hennig, P.
arXiv preprint arXiv:1703.09580, 2017 (article)
Early stopping is a widely used technique to prevent poor generalization performance when training an over-expressive model by means of gradient-based optimization. To find a good point to halt the optimizer, a common practice is to split the dataset into a training and a smaller validation set to obtain an ongoing estimate of the generalization performance. In this paper we propose a novel early stopping criterion which is based on fast-to-compute, local statistics of the computed gradients and entirely removes the need for a held-out validation set. Our experiments show that this is a viable approach in the setting of least-squares and logistic regression as well as neural networks.
ps pn
link (url) Project Page Project Page [BibTex]
ps pn Mahsereci, M., Balles, L., Lassner, C., Hennig, P. Early Stopping Without a Validation Set arXiv preprint arXiv:1703.09580, 2017 (article)
Krylov Subspace Recycling for Fast Iterative Least-Squares in Machine Learning
Roos, F. D., Hennig, P.
Solving symmetric positive definite linear problems is a fundamental computational task in machine learning. The exact solution, famously, is cubicly expensive in the size of the matrix. To alleviate this problem, several linear-time approximations, such as spectral and inducing-point methods, have been suggested and are now in wide use. These are low-rank approximations that choose the low-rank space a priori and do not refine it over time. While this allows linear cost in the data-set size, it also causes a finite, uncorrected approximation error. Authors from numerical linear algebra have explored ways to iteratively refine such low-rank approximations, at a cost of a small number of matrix-vector multiplications. This idea is particularly interesting in the many situations in machine learning where one has to solve a sequence of related symmetric positive definite linear problems. From the machine learning perspective, such deflation methods can be interpreted as transfer learning of a low-rank approximation across a time-series of numerical tasks. We study the use of such methods for our field. Our empirical results show that, on regression and classification problems of intermediate size, this approach can interpolate between low computational cost and numerical precision.
pn Roos, F. D., Hennig, P. Krylov Subspace Recycling for Fast Iterative Least-Squares in Machine Learning arXiv preprint arXiv:1706.00241, 2017 (article)
Nonparametric Disturbance Correction and Nonlinear Dual Control
Klenske, E. D.
(24098), ETH Zurich, 2017 (phdthesis)
ei pn sf
ei pn sf Klenske, E. D. Nonparametric Disturbance Correction and Nonlinear Dual Control (24098), ETH Zurich, 2017 (phdthesis)
Efficiency of analytical and sampling-based uncertainty propagation in intensity-modulated proton therapy
Wahl, N., Hennig, P., Wieser, H. P., Bangert, M.
Physics in Medicine & Biology, 62(14):5790-5807, 2017 (article)
The sensitivity of intensity-modulated proton therapy (IMPT) treatment plans to uncertainties can be quantified and mitigated with robust/min-max and stochastic/probabilistic treatment analysis and optimization techniques. Those methods usually rely on sparse random, importance, or worst-case sampling. Inevitably, this imposes a trade-off between computational speed and accuracy of the uncertainty propagation. Here, we investigate analytical probabilistic modeling (APM) as an alternative for uncertainty propagation and minimization in IMPT that does not rely on scenario sampling. APM propagates probability distributions over range and setup uncertainties via a Gaussian pencil-beam approximation into moments of the probability distributions over the resulting dose in closed form. It supports arbitrary correlation models and allows for efficient incorporation of fractionation effects regarding random and systematic errors. We evaluate the trade-off between run-time and accuracy of APM uncertainty computations on three patient datasets. Results are compared against reference computations facilitating importance and random sampling. Two approximation techniques to accelerate uncertainty propagation and minimization based on probabilistic treatment plan optimization are presented. Runtimes are measured on CPU and GPU platforms, dosimetric accuracy is quantified in comparison to a sampling-based benchmark (5000 random samples). APM accurately propagates range and setup uncertainties into dose uncertainties at competitive run-times (GPU ##IMG## [http://ej.iop.org/images/0031-9155/62/14/5790/pmbaa6ec5ieqn001.gif] {$\leqslant {5}$} min). The resulting standard deviation (expectation value) of dose show average global ##IMG## [http://ej.iop.org/images/0031-9155/62/14/5790/pmbaa6ec5ieqn002.gif] {$\gamma_{{3}\% / {3}~{\rm mm}}$} pass rates between 94.2% and 99.9% (98.4% and 100.0%). All investigated importance sampling strategies provided less accuracy at higher run-times considering only a single fraction. Considering fractionation, APM uncertainty propagation and treatment plan optimization was proven to be possible at constant time complexity, while run-times of sampling-based computations are linear in the number of fractions. Using sum sampling within APM, uncertainty propagation can only be accelerated at the cost of reduced accuracy in variance calculations. For probabilistic plan optimization, we were able to approximate the necessary pre-computations within seconds, yielding treatment plans of similar quality as gained from exact uncertainty propagation. APM is suited to enhance the trade-off between speed and accuracy in uncertainty propagation and probabilistic treatment plan optimization, especially in the context of fractionation. This brings fully-fledged APM computations within reach of clinical application.
pn Wahl, N., Hennig, P., Wieser, H. P., Bangert, M. Efficiency of analytical and sampling-based uncertainty propagation in intensity-modulated proton therapy Physics in Medicine & Biology, 62(14):5790-5807, 2017 (article)
Analytical probabilistic modeling of RBE-weighted dose for ion therapy
Wieser, H., Hennig, P., Wahl, N., Bangert, M.
Physics in Medicine and Biology (PMB), 62(23):8959-8982, 2017 (article)
pn Wieser, H., Hennig, P., Wahl, N., Bangert, M. Analytical probabilistic modeling of RBE-weighted dose for ion therapy Physics in Medicine and Biology (PMB), 62(23):8959-8982, 2017 (article)
Probabilistic numerics and uncertainty in computations
Hennig, P., Osborne, M. A., Girolami, M.
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 471(2179), 2015 (article)
We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such uncertainties, arising from the loss of precision induced by numerical calculation with limited time or hardware, are important for much contemporary science and industry. Within applications such as climate science and astrophysics, the need to make decisions on the basis of computations with large and complex data have led to a renewed focus on the management of numerical uncertainty. We describe how several seminal classic numerical methods can be interpreted naturally as probabilistic inference. We then show that the probabilistic view suggests new algorithms that can flexibly be adapted to suit application specifics, while delivering improved empirical performance. We provide concrete illustrations of the benefits of probabilistic numeric algorithms on real scientific problems from astrometry and astronomical imaging, while highlighting open problems with these new algorithms. Finally, we describe how probabilistic numerical methods provide a coherent framework for identifying the uncertainty in calculations performed with a combination of numerical algorithms (e.g. both numerical optimizers and differential equation solvers), potentially allowing the diagnosis (and control) of error sources in computations.
ei pn Hennig, P., Osborne, M. A., Girolami, M. Probabilistic numerics and uncertainty in computations Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 471(2179), 2015 (article)
Camera-specific Image Denoising
Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen, Germany, October 2013 (diplomathesis)
ei pn Schober, M. Camera-specific Image Denoising Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen, Germany, October 2013 (diplomathesis)
Quasi-Newton Methods: A New Direction
Hennig, P., Kiefel, M.
Journal of Machine Learning Research, 14(1):843-865, March 2013 (article)
Four decades after their invention, quasi-Newton methods are still state of the art in unconstrained numerical optimization. Although not usually interpreted thus, these are learning algorithms that fit a local quadratic approximation to the objective function. We show that many, including the most popular, quasi-Newton methods can be interpreted as approximations of Bayesian linear regression under varying prior assumptions. This new notion elucidates some shortcomings of classical algorithms, and lights the way to a novel nonparametric quasi-Newton method, which is able to make more efficient use of available information at computational cost similar to its predecessors.
ei ps pn
website+code pdf link (url) [BibTex]
ei ps pn Hennig, P., Kiefel, M. Quasi-Newton Methods: A New Direction Journal of Machine Learning Research, 14(1):843-865, March 2013 (article)
Analytical probabilistic modeling for radiation therapy treatment planning
Bangert, M., Hennig, P., Oelfke, U.
Physics in Medicine and Biology, 58(16):5401-5419, 2013 (article)
ei pn Bangert, M., Hennig, P., Oelfke, U. Analytical probabilistic modeling for radiation therapy treatment planning Physics in Medicine and Biology, 58(16):5401-5419, 2013 (article)
Nonparametric System Identification and Control for Periodic Error Correction in Telescopes
University of Stuttgart, 2012 (diplomathesis)
ei pn Klenske, E. D. Nonparametric System Identification and Control for Periodic Error Correction in Telescopes University of Stuttgart, 2012 (diplomathesis)


Partly to generally cloudy in the hilly regions , partly cloudy in the rest of the country. Isolated brief rain possible at one or two places of the hilly regions. Chances of light snowfall at a few places of the high mountaineous region.
Partly cloudy in the central and western regions , mainly fair in the rest of the country.


I have been trying to include Karthspire Scout in a lot of different decks. The only good ones I came up with so far are Doomcrag warrior and this one.
Why no Pit Lion and/or Siege Catapult?
Siege Catapult is probably a good pickup to replace Mudcrabe Merchant if you so like. Pit Lion I'm not a fan, Young mammoth is probably better as you can play it without prerequisite (+ piercing).


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Business / Corporate
Malaysia low-cost carrier AirAsia to re-enter market via Rakuten tie-up
Malaysian low-cost carrier AirAsia Bhd said Tuesday it will establish a new company in Tokyo to re-enter the Japanese market from which it withdrew last year.
Japan's biggest online retailer Rakuten Inc. is expected to invest in the new AirAsia unit and cooperate with it in developing and operating air ticket reservation systems.
AirAsia expects to see an expansion in budget carriers' share of air passengers in Japan that is now limited to 7.5 percent, far below the 30 percent-plus shares in North America, Europe and Southeast Asia, industry sources said.
For its part Rakuten intends to take advantage of its online retail know-how to develop air ticket reservation and sales systems that tie in with its travel business, the sources said.
The online retailer also hopes to expand its Southeast Asian business operations through the partnership with AirAsia.
AirAsia set up AirAsia Japan as a joint venture with All Nippon Airways Co. in August 2011 to launch low-cost carrier services.
But they terminated the joint venture in June 2013 over disagreements on sales strategy coupled with sluggish business performance.
AirAsia Japan has been renamed Vanilla Air, serving as an LCC unit of ANA Holdings Inc.
Malaysia, LCC, AirAsia


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Evan Mobley hits late jumper, Cavaliers beat Suns 90-88
TOM WITHERS
CLEVELAND (AP) — Evan Mobley couldn't remember the last time he made a winning shot. He'll never forget his first one in the NBA.
"Hopefully," he said, "more to come."
Mobley's 14-foot jumper with four seconds left — off an assist from Donovan Mitchell — helped the Cleveland Cavaliers rally for a 90-88 victory Wednesday night over the slumping Phoenix Suns, who lost their fourth straight.
Mitchell finished with just 20 points two nights after...
Mitchell finished with just 20 points two nights after scoring 71 — the seventh player in league history to score at least seven. But on Cleveland's final possession, he drove and fed Mobley, who calmly knocked down his mid-range shot in his return after missing two games with a sore ankle.
Mobley was just 1 of 8 from the floor before knocking down the biggest shot of his young career.
"What people aren't going to talk about is him relocating," Mitchell said of his 21-year-old teammate. "He got into my vision and he was right there in that moment, naturally. That's what makes him special."
The Suns had a chance to tie it, but Mikal Bridges missed a jumper in the final second. Mitchell snared the rebound and fired the ball to the other end in celebration as the NBA's top defensive team got one last stop.
Caris LeVert scored 21 points to lead the Cavs, who spent most of the night chasing the Suns.
Mitchell was just 6 of 20 from the field (3 of 12 on 3s) after his historic performance, but he made a critical 3-pointer with 40 seconds left to tie it 88-all.
"I really didn't have my legs tonight," he said. "I was trying to will myself just to be solid."
Chris Paul scored 25 points and Deandre Ayton added 15 points and 18 rebounds for Phoenix, which went just 1-5 on a trip and dropped to 4-12 since Dec. 5. The Suns have struggled without injured All-NBA guard Devin Booker, out with a groin strain.
"It's been that kind of trip," Suns coach Monty Williams said. "That was a hard way to lose a game. The guys are hurting after a game like that we should have won."
Cleveland was without All-Star guard Darius Garland, who missed his third straight game with a sprained right thumb.
Before the game, Cavs coach J.B. Bickerstaff acknowledged the possibility of an "emotional hangover" for his players following Mitchell's memorable night.
That was certainly the case in the first half as the Cavs came out flat and missed their first 15 3-point attempts while scoring a season-low 33 points before halftime.
Despite the Suns' recent slide, which has only worsened without Booker, Williams has been pleased with his team's togetherness. Practices have stayed spirited and he's seeing a team determined to fix things.
"We're just waiting for the breakthrough," he said. "No splintering. We keep plugging away and that has been our mentality from the jump. That's what I keep telling the guys, 'keep pushing."
SCORING BINGE
While Mitchell's 71-point outburst is the highest in the league this season, 40- and 50-point games have become a regular occurrence.
Bickerstaff believes the scoring spike is a combination of factors, including defensive rules that allow offensive freedom and a generation of elite players who began working on their individual skills at a young age.
"The league is in a wonderful place as far as talent," he said. "It literally seems like every night you're seeing somebody do something spectacular."
Suns: Booker has missed five straight games since reinjuring the groin Dec. 25 at Denver. … G Cameron Payne didn't play in the second half due to right foot discomfort. … Bridges played in his 348th consecutive game, the league's current longest Ironman streak. He has never missed a game as a pro or at Villanova.
Cavaliers: Mitchell added 11 assists Monday, meaning he accounted for 99 points — the second most in league history behind Wilt Chamberlain's 104 in 1962. … Reserve G Raul Neto gave the Cavs a lift with a season-high 14 points. … Garland took part in the team's morning shootaround, wearing a protective wrap on his thumb. It's possible he'll return later this week.
Suns: Host Miami on Friday night.
Cavaliers: Open a five-game trip Friday night at Denver.


Only screenplays produced under Writers Guild of America jurisdiction (or a collective bargaining agreement) and formally submitted for consideration are eligible for the prizes, which means some of this year's leading movies are out of luck. Among them: Django Unchained (from the pen of Quentin Tarantino), Les Misérables (William Nicholson), Amour (Michael Haneke), and Beasts of the Southern Wild (Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin). Look instead for nods to The Master (by Paul Thomas Anderson), Zero Dark Thirty (Mark Boal), and Argo (Chris Terrio). The announcements will be made January 3.


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Home EDITOR'S PICK Why Pakistan Needs to Reach Out to Russia – Gen Mirza Aslam...
Why Pakistan Needs to Reach Out to Russia – Gen Mirza Aslam Beg
Verbatim report of the beginning of the meeting of Russian President Vladimir Putin with muftis of religiousdepartmentsof Muslims in Ufa
The geopolitical realities of the region, beckon Pakistan, to "shake-off the American baggage" and accept Putin's offer of joining the ranks and files of the oppressed Muslim world
GEN (R) MIRZA ASLAM BEG
[dropcap]T[/dropcap]he Russian President while talking to our President at Tashkent recently, said "we are all Muslims" meaning thereby that, we all have a common "tormentor" who, during the last three decades, has destroyed more than half a dozen Muslim countries, killing over two million of them. Now it has turned toards Russia to destroy its economy, by imposing unwarranted sanctions' and blocking the oil supply life lines. Thus the Muslims and the Russians are the oppressed people, with a common cause, to stand together, to fight the evil of global barbarity. That is "Putin's vision for overcoming the logic of conflict in tomorrow's world."
Thus a new conflict spectrum is now developing, determining the contours of the global geo-strategic order. It is similar to the cold war order of the past, but is different in its dimensions as it pulls and gravitate towards it almost all the geo-economic centers of power of the world, masked by US Pivot to Asia Strategy. Thus the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) has been forged to counter Chinese rising economic and military power, which challenges US hegemony in the Indo-Pacific region.
The non-aligned India has signed the Logistic Exchange Memorandum of Agreement (LEMOA) with Washington on 29 August 2016, which provides facilities to the armed forces of the two countries to operate from either country military bases. India never allowed foreign powers to operate from its military bases, yet it now accepts a complete shift from non-alignment by "rejecting bloc mentality for strategic autonomy."
The signing of the US-India military agreement will "make the logistics of joint operations so much easier and so much more efficient," US Defense Secretary Ash Carter said in a news briefing with Indian Defense Minister Manohar Parrikar on Monday. Reuters
India now is one of the big buyers of advanced weaponry and USA is equally a big vendor of weapons. It is a marriage of convenience for both, with USA expected to sell worth over $150 billion dollar military hardware in the near future. No doubt India is dreaming to become a super-power of the world with more than 600 million Indians living below the poverty line.
The Americans lost their longest war in Afghanistan despite the support from NATO and the allies with combat troops, armed with most modern weapon technology. But they do no accept defeat as the Soviets did in 1989. They lack the grace to accept the reality and are engaged in conspiracies and deceit to prevent the establishment of the Islamic State in Afghanistan, under the Taliban.
Now they have formed US-India-Afghanistan Partnership (UIAP) to stabilize Ashraf Ghani's government tottering on its feet. But they are destined to lose, because they have failed to understand the Afghans, who are fighting their war of liberation for the last thirty five years, defending their ideology, their values and traditions. Their ideology has been challenged by the Americans and the allies, ignoring the logic of the Chinese saying that "Do not take-on the revolutionaries, unless you have an ideology, stronger than theirs." And there is no ideology, stronger than the ideology of Islam, embraced by the Afghans.
The specter of US-India-Afghanistan Partnership (UIAP) thus has prompted the Russians, the Chinese and the Pakistanis, to form a regional alliance, also to be joined by Iran, now disenchanted with the Americans, after the nuclear deal. Iran has already allowed the Russians to use their Hamadan Airbase against the Syrian rebels. Afghan Taliban have developed good relations with Russia, China and Iran and have not drifted away from Pakistan either, despite Pakistan joining against them as a coalition partner of USA, in war against Afghanistan.
The specter of US-India-Afghanistan Partnership (UIAP) thus has prompted the Russians, the Chinese and the Pakistanis, to form a regional alliance
Mullah Omar reminded Pakistan in very clear terms "you have joined our enemy in their war on us, yet we regard you as friends, because our national interests and destiny are linked." His words provide the logic to Pakistan to join the regional alliance of Russia, China, Pakistan, Iran and Afghanistan (RCPIA) to counter the machinations of LEMOA and UIAP and restore balance in the region.
In my article, titled "Afghanistan after Mullah Omar" I wrote last year, I said:
"The cross-currents of interests of the Global powers and regional countries make the Afghan situation more complex. The American and their coalition partners want Afghanistan destabilized, so that the emerging coalition of Russia, China, Pakistan and Iran does not materialize, and the China-Pakistan-Economic Corridor (CPEC) benefits, do not extend beyond Pakistan. India is particularly perturbed about the impact of CPEC, on the Khalistan Movement in Punjab and the freedom movement in Kashmir, because both the regions and the movements complement each other, and find themselves deprived of the economic benefits of the CPEC, so long as Pakistan does not grant the 'Most Favored Nation Status' to India, whose 'Look North Policy' thus would remain unrealized. An intriguing situation indeed, which could undermine the geopolitical realities of the region."
The geopolitical realities of the region, beckon Pakistan, to "shake-off the American baggage" and accept Putin's offer of joining the ranks and files of the oppressed Muslim world, as partners in distress, to share his vision for overcoming the logic of conflict in tomorrows world."
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BJP Leader and Netaji's Nephew Chandra Bose Wants Muslims Included in CAA
Nehtaur, Aligarh, Jamia — How Qurratulain Hyder's Aag ka Darya Imagines India


The latest Census data shows Geelong might be the second largest city in Victoria, but we are leading the way in new dynamic careers and industries.
This is great news for our regional career seekers, and all those planning to move here for our attractive lifestyle, school and living choices. It appears our career opportunities are just as inviting.
Geelong Careers is currently crunching the 2016 census data to tell the complete and updated story of Geelong's changing workforce.
The view of our future is far reaching and surprising . Our top trending industries: health, education, agribusiness, logistics, ICT, advanced manufacturing , construction and hospitality continue to grow. These are joined by professional services, up 16.5%, administration and safety services, up 12.4%, and arts and recreation up 20%.
To be ready we have to plan. Geelong Careers is committed to leading our region in preparing the 21st century work force we need to ensure our region achieves its full potential.


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West London News
Heathrow crash: Family pay beautiful tribute to victim of horror crash that killed 3 British Airways cabin crew
Dom Fell's family have described him as 'the most loving and kind young man you could wish to meet'
Andy WordenEditor
Dominic Fell and two friends were killed in a horrific crash on New Year's Eve
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The family of one of the victims of a horrific crash close to Heathrow Airport have paid a moving tribute to him.
Dominic Fell, 23, died along with fellow British Airways cabin crew Rachel Clark, 20, and Joe Finnis, 25, when their Toyota Yaris collided with a lorry in Stanwell just minutes before midnight on New Year's Eve.
In a statement his family said: "Our Dom - he grew up in Grimsby, went to Tollbar school, studied photojournalism at LCC (London College of Communication) and travelled the world working for BA, which he loved.
"But Dom was so much more than that. He was a true original; boring wasn't a concept he'd ever grasped. Our lives have been packed with laughter and so much fun because of him and we will miss him dearly.
"Dom, without doubt, was the most loving, generous, and kind young man you could ever wish to meet. He'd do anything for anybody especially his family and friends. We are all shocked and devastated to have lost him from our lives.
Joe Finnis was one of three BA crew members to die in the horror crash
"In the words of his mother, 'Dom left an indelible mark on everyone's life, he was a true gem and gentleman'.
"We will all love Dom endlessly and he will live forever in our hearts."
The family thanked everyone who had offered their condolences.
'Fly higher angels' - Tributes pour in for 3 British Airways crew killed in Heathrow crash
They added: "It's heartwarming to know he was loved by so many. We'd also like to thank all of those who have made donations to the BA Angels page, the generosity has been overwhelming.
"When we know more about Dom's funeral, we'll let everyone know."
Rachel Clark had completed her BA flight attendant training just weeks ago (Image: Facebook)
At the time of writing more than £85,000 has been raised for the victims' families on a fundraising page named BA Angels in their memory.
A fourth BA employee - a 25-year-old woman - was left in a serious condition as a result of the crash.
The collision took place at the junction of Bedfont Road and Long Lane at 11.39pm.
The lorry left the road and ended up in Longford River, which runs parallel with Bedfont Road.


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Hurricane forecasters adopt NCAR radar technique
The National Hurricane Center will implement a new technique this summer, developed by researchers at NCAR and the Naval Research Laboratory (NRL), to continually monitor landfalling storms in the United States.
Emission reduction assumptions for carbon dioxide overly optimistic, study says
Reducing global emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) over the coming century will be more challenging than society has been led to believe, according to a new research commentary.
Bridging the physical and social sciences
Patricia Romero Lankao, NCAR's Research Applications Laboratory • As a sociologist, Romero Lankao seeks to understand the human dimensions of environmental issues.
Timothy Killeen will become NSF Assistant Director for the Geosciences in July 2008
Arden L. Bement Jr., director of the National Science Foundation (NSF), today announced the appointment of Timothy Killeen to become NSF assistant director for the geosciences.
Volunteers across nation to track climate clues in spring flowers
A nationwide initiative starting tomorrow will enable volunteers to track climate change by observing the timing of flowers and foliage.


A cast of characters land on an island with a mystery to solve. Thankfully, it's not like Lost.
It's been a while since I've experienced a visual novel where my curiosity was piqued from the very start. Seer's Isle shows you a set of gorgeous, almost dreamlike scapes before plunging you straight into the action – a cast of characters on a fragile boat in the middle of a storm.
Seer's Isle is set in a fantasy version of medieval northern Europe (very specific, I know). The story takes place on a mysterious island, where a group of men and women, all from different tribes and clans, have been chosen to go to the island and undergo the trial of the seers. If they pass the trial, they will be bestowed with the seers' power, and return triumphantly to their homelands to become revered shamans.
At first, all of the characters seem like familiar tropes: the motherly, spiritual one; the headstrong, burly warrior; the sarcastic and cynical outsider; the young pup who is clearly well out of his depth. But through some impressive writing, these preconceptions are quickly dispelled. The game is refreshingly skilled at showing, rather than telling, you about these characters. You aren't told exactly what these characters are thinking, or what they're like – instead, you read it in their responses to each other, you see it in their expressions, you find it between the lines of text.
It's a tricky thing to land right at the beginning of a game – setting the scene for a mystery and the people involved, without revealing too much. The unfurling continues at a nice pace, unhurried and yet moving with purpose. Each scene feels well-crafted, and since visual novels both live and die by their art and their writing, I was very pleased to find that Seers Isle has excellence in both, in spades.
The artwork is detailed, with lovely landscapes and well-drawn characters with distinctive features and expressions. There are some beautiful examples of light and shadow; with firelight dancing across characters when they camp for the night, dappled sunlight on a forest floor; stark, bright and cold daylight hitting a snowscape. A lot of effort has also been put into the music, dreamlike pieces which match the mood of the whole game perfectly and even shift to match the mood of each individual scene. There are even little touches like a dynamic dialogue system, giving the game an air of a digital comic book at times.
All of this is great, and it is easy to get wrapped up in. But if there is a criticism, for me it is that the illusion of choice and influence that the game does so well at setting up starts to crack when it comes to the ending, and becomes especially stark with multiple playthroughs.
In visual novels, particularly in ones that highlight how your choices matter, there are certain points where you are able to see the puppetmaster, to see exactly where the narrative branches. In some complicated ones, it is harder to see the lines and how your choices shape the outcome. In Seer's Isle, at first it feels very much like your choices matter, and there is an impressive number of achievements to unlock.
But if you consider things closely, you'll find that in reality, although there are seven characters, you are really only going to see 4 characters through to the very end. In hindsight, this should be somewhat obvious, since there are four traits that light up as you progress through the game and make certain choices, think how choices in Dragon Age or Mass Effect move you up/down a set of scales. But I'm not sure that this is really what the scales are about, and there's no indication of whether you're edging more down one path than the other, and therefore how your relationships with characters are progressing until you're very close to the endgame.
I think part of what bothered me about this game is that it starts off showcasing a group of characters, but in reality, the game is not about them as a group, it's about one character overall. Without getting too far into spoiler territory, this is why you can only really take one character with you to the very end. Which is fine, but it does seem like a little bit of a shame, and almost like an unfair plot twist where about two-thirds of the way through, the story takes a turn and reveals its true intention. It is a little frustrating to realise that in this cast of seven, you won't be able to experience everyone's story, despite the game suggesting that you can, simply because they don't have one to experience.
Let me put it this way. You start off with seven characters, but through various circumstances, and as the journey progresses, in the style of this story the cast starts to thin out. But at a point two-thirds of the way through, another angle is introduced and the game turns into a singular character study, then right at the end, it is revealed to be a kind of love story. The first time this happened, I thought it might be a particular ending, particular choices which had influenced how the story unfolded. A few characters that I found interesting didn't make it through my first playthrough, but I thought this would be resolved with several more playthroughs, to get all of the endings and experience all of the stories.
Except it happened again. And again. And then I realised that no matter how much I wanted to learn about these characters, some of them were never destined to progress past the midway point, and no matter what my choices are, they would leave the group and I would be left with a story which felt very different to how it started.
That's not necessarily a bad thing, to end up somewhere different, but the way it was done did feel a little bit like peeking behind the curtain and seeing the puppetmaster. There were one or two occasions where characters would just be written out abruptly in a way that didn't do them justice, and wasn't in keeping with how the story had played out so far. For example, in one playthrough, I ended up taking two characters close to the summit and the game's conclusion. I thought that I had made favourable choices for both of them, so that they would both make it to the end. However, through some arbitrary calculation, the next day, one character had just disappeared – I woke up and they just weren't there. Up to that point, I had seen a lot of scenes with both of these characters, and there was no obvious branching to indicate that some sort of choice would be made in which one character disappeared and the other carried on.
"Oh well," the game basically said, "looks like they just wandered off in the night! Off to the conclusion you go!" It broke my immersion a little bit, and when it happened in a second and third playthrough, it rankled. I saw the limitations, and in a game that had done so well at the start to make me think that there was a lot of depth to it, to see evidence that things were actually more shallow than I thought was… disappointing.
Having said that though, I think that it's more a praise than a criticism – perhaps it's because they did such a good job of teasing a multitude of stories early to begin with, that I'm disappointed that there isn't more. A playthrough takes 1.5-2 hours depending on your reading speed, and it was entrancing enough for me to play through it several times, just to grab every nugget of extra backstory I could, to experience every flashback, every vision, every conversation. As long as you are aware of the limitations of the format, there is still a lot to be seen, read and experienced on the island.
Seer's Isle is available now on Steam and itch.io. Find out more at seersisle.com or follow @novabox.


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Cars in all their splendour roar on Luxe.TV! Collector cars, luxury SUVs, exceptional sedans, discover all the novelties from the most prestigious brands: from Bentley to Bugatti, Ferrari to Jaguar, Aston Martin to Rolls Royce, not forgetting the future with Tesla! But Luxe.TV thinks about all fans of powerful engines with a selection of flamboyant motorcycles and incredible yachts.
Let's sail on the Hanse 508!
It was presented as a world premiere at the Cannes Yachting Festival in 2018 and ever since it has enjoyed great success. Today we sail aboard the Hanse 508! Reklama: Duomenų apsaugos pareigūno...
The Levante One of One: customisation by Maserati
To give a glimpse into the future customisation service, the trident brand unveiled at the 2019 edition of the Geneva Auto show a special example of their luxury SUV.
2019 Audi R8 Coupe V10 performance quattro: motor racing in its blood
With its very forward cockpit, heavily marked wheel arches and impressive diffuser, the new Audi R8 incorporates many design elements from the world of motorsport and Audi's history in this field.
Mercedes GLC Coupé gets refreshed face and more power
A GLC coupé that logically takes the aesthetic evolutions and technical changes from its big brother.
Bentley Celebrated 100 years at the Geneva Motor Show
Amazing cars for Bentley's centennial celebrations! At the Geneva Motor Show, Bentley kicked off its 100th anniversary celebrations, launching a new edition with the evocative title of Centenary...
Geneva: back on the launch of the Aston Martin Lagonda
We take a look back in images at one of the main events at the 2019 edition of the Geneva International Auto Show, the launch of three new vehicles by Aston Martin. The Lagonda all-terrain, the...
Geneva: 3 Battista unveiled by Pininfarina !
It's not one, but 3 Battista's that were unveiled in Geneva by Pininfarina! The objective of the event was to show the potential of customization offered by Pininfarina. The Italian coachbuilder who...
In Geneva, Christian von Koenigsegg unveiled his new supercar Jesko
At the latest Geneva Motor Show, Christian von Koenigsegg unveiled his new supercar called Jesko, a tribute to his dad, Jesko von Koenigsegg.
Geneva: Aston Martin Lagonda All-Terrain Concept
Aston Martin unveils the future of the luxury SUV at the Geneva auto show. Aston Martin is proud to present in Geneva their Lagonda All-Terrain Concept, a concept car that offers a first look of...
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Q: Differentiability and Continuity for multivariable functions I have encountered these 2 claims in one textbook, asking whether they are true or false. Searching through the web, however, I was not able to correctly answer them(even understand their concepts). It would be grateful if you can help me.
$1)$ If a function $f(x,y)$ is differentiable at $(a,b)$, then $f$ has partial derivatives with respect to both $x$ and $y$ there.
$2)$ If a function $f(x,y)$ is differentiable at $(a,b)$, then all the first-order partial derivatives of $f$ are continuous at $(a,b)$.

A: 1) is true.  This is usually part of the definition of differentiable.
2) is false.  A typical counterexample is $f(x,y) = \frac{xy^2}{x^2+y^2}$ at $(0,0)$.  Both partial derivatives exist at $(0,0)$, and have value $0$.  But away from $(0,0)$,
\begin{align*}
   \frac{\partial f}{\partial x} &= \frac{y^2(y^2-x^2)}{(x^2+y^2)^2} \\
   \frac{\partial f}{\partial y} &= \frac{2x^3y}{(x^2+y^2)^2}
\end{align*}
and these derivatives do not approach $0$ as $(x,y) \to (0,0)$.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


New records added to the collections page!
The collections are increasing with the addition of new records!
The exhibition « Au cœur des palmiers » that took place in the Musée des cultures guyanaises in Cayenne (French Guiana) has ended. However, it is now possible to find the objects that were shown in the exhibition within our collections' page.
Come and see new batches of items from Wayana, Wajãpi, Kaliña and Ndjuka groups.
As the online catalogue is still under construction, you are welcome to visit the collections page regularly to keep current of all new records addition.


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New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell announces that the greatest free show in the world will go on as scheduled with some route modifications, during a press conference at New Orleans Police Department on South Broad Street in New Orleans, Tuesday, Dec. 21, 2021. Mardi Gras is on March 1, 2022. (Photo by David Grunfeld, NOLA.com | The Times-Picayune | The New Orleans Advocate) in New Orleans, Tuesday, Dec. 21, 2021. (Photo by David Grunfeld, NOLA.com | The Times-Picayune | The New Orleans Advocate)
The 1,100-plus members of the Krewe of Muses roll down the Uptown New Orleans route on a 26-float parade entitled "Muses the Musical" on Thursday, Feb. 28, 2019.
STAFF PHOTO BY MICHAEL DeMOCKER
Orpheus parades up Napoleon Avenue in New Orleans on Monday, February 24, 2020. This year's theme, "Beastly Kingdoms of Orpheus," featured 38 floats with a total of 1,500 male and female members.
STAFF PHOTO BY CHRIS GRANGER
A Cajun Mardi Gras LSU football head coach Ed Orgeron float rolls in the Krewe d'Etat parade on the Uptown route in New Orleans, Friday, Feb. 21, 2020. The satirical parade rolled with 24 floats behind Hermes.
STAFF PHOTO BY SOPHIA GERMER
The Krewe of Endymion 2019.
FILE PHOTO/ THE TIMES-PICAYUNE | THE NEW ORLEANS ADVOCATE
The Hard Rockk Hotel in the background as Zulu parades in downtown New Orleans on Mardi Gras on Tuesday, February 25, 2020.
New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell announces that the greatest free show in the world will go on as scheduled with some route modifications, during a press conference at New Orleans Police Department on South Broad Street in New Orleans, Tuesday, Dec. 21, 2021. Mardi Gras is on March 1, 2022. (Photo by David Grunfeld, NOLA.com | The Times-Picayune | The New Orleans Advocate)
The Mardi Gras route changes also are temporary for this year, said NOPD Superintendent Shaun Ferguson, and will be reevaluated before the next Carnival season, during a press conference at New Orleans Police Department on South Broad Street in New Orleans, Tuesday, Dec. 21, 2021. Mardi Gras is on March 1, 2022. (Photo by David Grunfeld, NOLA.com | The Times-Picayune | The New Orleans Advocate)
The Mardi Gras route changes also are temporary for this year, said NOPD Superintendent Shaun Ferguson, and will be reevaluated before the next Carnival season, during a press conference at New Orleans Police Department on South Broad Street in New Orleans, Tuesday, Dec. 21, 2021. Mardi Gras is on March 1, 2022. (Photo by David Grunfeld, NOLA.com | The Times-Picayune | The New Orleans Advocate) in New Orleans, Tuesday, Dec. 21, 2021. (Photo by David Grunfeld, NOLA.com | The Times-Picayune | The New Orleans Advocate)
New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell announces every krewe is being asked to make route adjustments for Mardi Gras 2022 during a press conference at New Orleans Police Department on South Broad Street in New Orleans, Tuesday, Dec. 21, 2021. Mardi Gras is on March 1, 2022. (Photo by David Grunfeld, NOLA.com | The Times-Picayune | The New Orleans Advocate)
Zulu and Endymion altered, all parades trimmed: Cantrell reveals 2022 Mardi Gras routes
BY DOUG MACCASH | Staff writer
Doug MacCash
The Zulu parade will skip Canal Street next year. Endymion will forgo a jog over to St. Charles Avenue and Magazine Street has been pruned from all Uptown Mardi Gras parade routes in 2022.
Those were the most dramatic changes to this year's routes announced by Mayor LaToya Cantrell during a news conference at New Orleans police headquarters Tuesday.
In October, Cantrell said that because of overstretched first responders, she was considering a plan that would require all 2022 Mardi Gras parades to follow the same path along St. Charles. But in the end, she said, the parade alterations were not a "one-size-fits-all" proposition.
Instead, the mayor, in consultation with the New Orleans Police Department and other city agencies, plus input from the leaders of the various Carnival krewes, arrived at shorter routes that represented what she called a "shared sacrifice."
All parade paths were changed in some way, the mayor said, but no krewe needed to change the day it traditionally rolls.
Police Superintendent Shaun Ferguson said routes were shortened largely because NOPD needs to simultaneously patrol parades and New Orleans neighborhoods, and is currently lacking in manpower.
"Currently there is a significant reduction in the number of officers available for parade duty," Ferguson said. "We must be real with what we have right now."
The NOPD did not respond to questions related to the current size of the force and how its staffing level compares to the 2020 Carnival season.
Ferguson said the ranks of the department would be especially taxed on the Saturday before Fat Tuesday, when parades would take place simultaneously Uptown, in Mid-City and Algiers. Yet the superintendent pledged that, thanks to the trimmed parade treks, there would be "officers in every block."
Mardi Gras 2022 parade route maps: See changes to Uptown parades, Endymion, Zulu, Rex
New Orleans officials announced changes Tuesday to Mardi Gras 2022 parade routes, as the city struggles with limited police staffing for the C…
Certain traditions suffered as the parades were whittled down.
"We had to make some concessions," said Dan Kelly, president of the Krewe of Endymion, which presents one of Carnival's most spectacular processions. "Or we may have had to go Uptown, which we really didn't want to do because of the size of all of our floats."
In past years, Endymion's enormous, multi-segmented floats wound their way from City Park to the Superdome, with a detour to the Gallier Hall reviewing stand on St. Charles. This year, the parade will head directly to the Dome. But the mayor promised that the city would erect an official reviewing stand along the Endymion route, where – presumably – she will toast the passing juggernaut.
"We're a little disappointed that we can't go down St. Charles Avenue," Kelly said, "but we can certainly understand that it's for this one year."
At Tuesday's press conference, both Cantrell and Ferguson made it clear that the shortened parade routes were a temporary fix, not a permanent solution to the city's service personnel shortages. Ferguson said that in the future, routes would be reassessed, "based on our capacity as a public safety team."
For some groups, changes to routes represent more than just a shortening of parade duration. For the majority-Black Zulu Social Aid and Pleasure Club, the uniqueness of their path from Central City to the Treme is a symbol of the group's history. Zulu President Elroy James said that, though the club's parade route is 80% intact, the loss of the Canal Street leg is significant.
"We were not able to ride on Canal Street until 1968, and the organization started parading in 1910," James said, referring to the era of racial segregation. "And so that Canal Street journey is one that the organization relishes, because it represents what we could not do."
Zulu was unable to roll on Canal in 2020 because of the collapse of the Hard Rock Hotel, so this will be the second year that the parade will lose that significant stretch.
However, James said, the group understands the need to put public safety first in 2022. Big picture, he said, the trimming of the parade will be "a win for the culture of Mardi Gras."
Mardi Gras updates: Nyx seeks members, Avegno queen of Krewe du Vieux, Red Beans' $3.5 mil den
The Coronavirus pandemic forced the cancelation of Mardi Gras 2021, but in November a city hall spokesperson declared that next year, "barring…
There will be fewer bead-snagging spots along the Uptown curbs next year, because all parades that previously began on Jefferson Avenue have moved 12 blocks downtown to Napoleon Avenue. And those that usually begin on Napoleon will start closer to St. Charles. Both the Rex and Iris parades, which start on the lake side of St. Charles, have been trimmed to launch closer to the turn onto St. Charles from Napoleon.
The 2022 path of the Thoth parade, which traditionally begins its route with a winding course through Uptown meant to pass hospital patients and others who would otherwise be unable to attend parades, was not discussed specifically at the press conference. But based on the parade route descriptions issued by the city Tuesday, it will begin on Napoleon with the other Uptown processions in 2022. NOMTOC has been trimmed, but will remain on the West Bank as usual.
Some parades may decide to drop out of Carnival 2022 for reasons of their own, the mayor said, but they are in no jeopardy of losing their permits for future parades.
NO.zulu.022520_30.JPG
Cantrell described Tuesday's announcement as "the day you've been waiting for," and considering that the COVID-19 pandemic made parading impossible in 2021, New Orleans parade fans have indeed been eager for assurances of normalcy.
"The big news and the best news," Cantrell said, is that Mardi Gras is returning in 2022. "It is happening!"
If there was an elephant in the room, it was the omicron variant of the coronavirus that seems to be adding to a sharp uptick in cases.
"We are very much zeroed in on the impact that the omicron variant is having across the world," Cantrell said. She encouraged residents to be vaccinated and boosted, if eligible. She also encouraged the vaccination of children as well, plus testing, masking and all the other virus-suppressing precautions.
But, Cantrell said, it's still necessary to remain vigilant. "As we mentioned from the very start," she said, "if things go wrong in our city, I will have to make decisions as I've made in the past."
"We will follow the data and we will follow the science," she said.
NO.detat.022220.015.jpg
A Cajun Mardi Gras LSU football head coach Ed Orgeron float rolls in the Krewe d'Etat parade on the Uptown route in New Orleans, Friday, Feb. …
This makes Mardi Gras 2022 seem more certain: New Orleans announces vendor permit lottery
In any other year, the city's announcement Wednesday would herald nothing more than the beginning of an obscure bureaucratic process.
Sixth-grade girls stalk Monkee in the French Quarter, get autographs, give kisses
Luckily, Jan Gilbert had her sixth-grade report card in her purse. It would have been really awkward to ask Michael Nesmith for an autograph w…
Email Doug MacCash at dmaccash@theadvocate.com. Follow him on Instagram at dougmaccash, on Twitter at Doug MacCash and on Facebook at Douglas James MacCash.
Stephanie Grace: LaToya Cantrell lays down her marker on Mardi Gras
With the omicron variant on the march and scattered events getting canceled, uncertainty is once more in the air, just as it's been at the sta…
Will Sutton: Carnival parades aren't the only big deal in NOLA. Will krewes still have parties?
Joan of Arc parade kicks off Mardi Gras season 2022 with plague doctors Jan. 6
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Krewe of Muses tells riders they must be fully vaccinated - no exceptions
It's Twelfth Night. Watch, follow live as Joan of Arc kicks off the season of parades
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