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• Телевидение онлайн - ТВ онлайн - США - WFAA
WFAA онлайн прямой эфир
WFAA
WFAA, virtual channel and VHF digital channel 8, is an ABC-affiliated television station serving the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex that is licensed to Dallas, Texas, United States. Смотреть
Телеканал WFAA онлайн бесплатно
13WMAZ
США / Местное ТВ
13WMAZ is a television station in Central Georgia. The station signed on for the first time on September 27, 1953. It is the fourth-oldest station in
16 WAPT
США / Погода
With its first broadcast in October 1970, WAPT became Jackson's first ABC affiliate. Today, the station features four daily newscasts and boasts the
США / Общественное Тв
ABC News is the news division of the American Broadcasting Company, owned by the Disney Media Networks division of The Walt Disney Company.
KUSA, virtual and VHF digital channel 9, is an NBC-affiliated television station licensed to Denver, Colorado, United States. The station is owned by
3BTV
3BTV is broadcast by i2i Technology Ltd. 3BTV combines cutting edge Internet skills and technology with the highest quality production values.
США / Новости
Cable News Network (CNN) is a U.S. cable news channel founded in 1980 by Ted Turner. Upon its launch, CNN was the first channel to provide 24-hour


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Q: "language" attribute on Rails ActiveRecord model I'll try to figure out some strange behaviour from a ActiveRecord model. The model have a language field, which is filled with a language identifier ("de", "en")
If I want to access the language attribute from the from a model object, I'll get nil.
 $> foo = Product.first
 => #<Product id: 1049488, ... , language: "en", ...>

 $> foo.id
 => 1049488

 $> foo.language
 => nil

 $> foo.send("language")
 => nil

 $> foo.to_yaml
 => "--- !ruby/object:Product \nattributes: \n  ... language: en\n ..."

 $> foo.language
 => "en"

It seems like a hidden lazy loading "feature" or something else is trying to interventing here. Is it the field name "language" which causes this behaviour or is there some other mechanism which I dont understand?
I use the following Gems inside my Rails project:

*

*rails 3.0.0

*jquery-rails

*sqlite3-ruby

*mysql

*rmagick

*acts_as_tree

*dbi

*dbd-odbc

*solr-ruby

*progressbar

I've also checked various "reserved words" list for collisions but no list has language on it. When the column name will be changed to lang, everything works fine. So, it is a naming problem, but I can't track it down. Are there any tools to get a call-stack or something else from a given method in Ruby to locate the problem?

A: A Ruby application often starts to behave strange or weird if you have a name conflict. Maybe it is some kind of reserved word, or a conflict between a column and a method name. Do you have anything else which is named language in your model or in your plugins?

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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Q: How to give the permission to each user in winforms using c# How to give the User permission in winform?
For Example
My application is based on retail shops,so the every employee having username and password,the Super Admin(Manager) he needs to give the permission to each user

*

*NOT all employees have the full rights to access all the forms.

*In each forms they have to access only selected controls only
for ex. User x have permission only for ADD and Edit only, but not To delete the record.

*The User x not suppose enter discount more than 25%

*The Super Admin Have the permission to allow access to every employee.
In this I need some logic references
may grateful.

A: As Somewhere Mentioned above you need a role based architecture.
In your database Of users you should include role column.
At the time of user log in you have to get role of of the user having particular
user name and password and store in some global static variable which can be used throughout
application.
And according to role,set visibility true or false for each form on form load method.

A: you should develop a Role-Base windows application. This tutorial describe what you need
i hope it helps you


Home » From the Corner Office » Do You Plan to Vote?
What are you doing on Election Day? Is it on your calendar? If it isn't, it should be. Check now. If it isn't there, put it down. Now. Tuesday, Nov. 6.
USA Today recently reported in a cover story that 90 million Americans who are eligible to vote this year probably won't. That is a tragedy. The article says that these citizens say that they are too busy, fed up and disillusioned. Not very good reasons.
If you are too busy, there are all kinds of ways to vote early. And it really might take less time than going to a polling place on Nov. 6. And you can take time to really think about how you want to cast your ballot. This might be an excellent option if you truly can't make it to the ballot box that first Tuesday in November.
Fed up? Seriously now, is this a rational reason to NOT vote? If you are fed up, this is the strongest argument anyone could make to say you MUST vote. How can you change whatever it is that you are fed up with if all you do is sit in your favorite chair and watch election returns after dinner? If you really want to be fed up, be fed up with those people who don't vote.
Disillusioned? Come now. Look around you. Innovation. Imagination. The energy of those around all of us – family, coworkers, friends. We see hope and imagination every day. People we know care about the future. People intend to make it a better place. We are capable of that. History is full of examples, and the future won't be any different if we all participate. That includes making sure your voice is heard in this great democratic process.
Aside from the fact that voting is a fundamental (constitutional/unalienable) right of every citizen of this country, there is a lot a stake. And it isn't just the 2012 election. It is much more than that. Look over the course of history. More times than not, there is a lot at stake. If there wasn't, we wouldn't have elections. Why go to all of that trouble if elections didn't matter? But they do matter. A lot.
First, if you don't exercise your right to vote, you have a right to complain. No vote means no right to complain.
And second, how are you going to feel when your colleague or friend or family asks if you voted and you have to say no? That is setting a really bad example.
So, don't set a bad example and don't surrender your right to complain. Put Election Day on your calendar right now. Then make it a point to show up.
Editor's Note: Voter registration closes on Oct. 9, 2012, for November 2012 General Election. (Mail-in voter registration applications must be postmarked on or before the registration deadline.) Register today!
In recent weeks but also over the course of my travels through life, we come to a period called elections season and talk turns to "winning" this elective office or that one. Invariably, if imprudent enough I will share the fact that as I get older more and more I include Libertarians and "Non of the Above" in my choices when I enter a polling place.
This usually brings a judgment that I am some how "Throwing away my vote". When I hear that I think back over the votes I have cast since 1976. When I look at where we have come in the ensuing 30+ years I have to say I feel that many of those votes were thrown away regardless of whether I "won" or not. As I look back I am happier about the vote I cast for Ross Perot where I "lost" than many I "won".
It seems to me that our political process is more about creating what I think is nicely called a "base" by each party and then they jointly try to discourage anyone else from getting their butts off the couch to scramble things up a bit. Do not fall prey to this strategy. Election day is the day when all those with the money and smoozability have to hold their breath and at least wonder if they can play the game for another year or so. Including IACPAc.
So please join me in "Throwing away your vote" this year and all the future years of your life. If I have to walk into the poll and take a ballot and leave it blank I will. The look on the poll worker's face would be worth it.
Some may say that is throwing away your vote from the perspective of, it is not a lot different than just sitting on the couch. But I would argue that I have always found a few races where I was willing to vote for someone and have voted those races. But even if not it would be important to demand of the news media etc. a full accounting of the elections. I think it would be interesting the first year that "non of the above" got more votes than the candidates. It is a clear message to the tea leaf readers of all parties that if they just had found someone that we would have voted for they could have won the election. I think it could provide some needed encouragement to those that should run but don't, because they have no faith that the sacrifice would be rewarded.
So I would like to say in the most loving way I can to friends and family that when you "hold your nose" and vote for someone on "your ticket" even though you really are not happy with the candidate you are wasting your vote because you put off the day when we can hope for meaningful change in the way our government treats us.
I know that I am expected to avoid Politics and Religion in discussions with clients, friends and family but like a moth to the candle I sometimes allow myself to be drawn in to the light. It hasn't been without bumps and bruises but on balance it has usually been an enriching experience for me on some plane. Hope to see you at the Polls.
No matter the circumstances or issues or what the expected outcome I always vote.
Do you think people should vote if they don't really know too much about politics or history and the economy?
I believe everyone should vote. I have voted in very election, primary and general, since I was 18. I also am appalled at the lack of knowledge on candidates basic issue stances and apathy that I have seen through the years. Unfortunately, too many people rely on the commercials to tell them about the candidates and not do any research/reading on their own.


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UCL 2034
Report on progress
Principal themes
Key enablers
Sharing our work with the wider world
UCL was the first university in England open to all, irrespective of race, religion or gender. We remain committed to raising aspiration and improving access to education. We recognise and act on our responsibility to share our work with wider society, proactively engaging in dialogue with communities to ensure relevancy in our activities.
Provost's Public Engagement Awards 2020
From a community garden in Harlesdon to innovative wheelchairs in Kenya, the winning projects in this year's Public Engagement Awards exemplify the extraordinary diversity of UCL research and the breadth of talents that our academics bring to the world.
One of six winners of over 40 nominations was Beatboxing after Laryngectomy led by Dr Evangelos Himonides (Institute of Education) with charity Shout at Cancer. The charity specialises in speech training with music after laryngectomy, the surgical removal of the voice box due in most cases to cancer.
Together they enlisted the help of a national champion and involved local young people to find that beatboxing which celebrates the creation of novel sounds, was the perfect medium to share positivity around the voice in all its forms. This form of 'creative rehabilitation' has been seen as a beacon of hope for the laryngectomy community. We are so proud to see the communities that have developed around this and all the projects awarded this year.
Learn more about the awards, and see 2020 winners, on the UCL Culture website.
The Bartlett Promise
We need innovative ideas from diverse backgrounds to shape the wold around us. At The Bartlett, UCL's Faculty of the Built Environment, we promise to improve access to the built environment professions so that the industry is reflective of our multicultural society. We launched The Bartlett Promise Scholarship in 2020, to address this need. A programme with a mission to diversify our student body by supporting talented students regardless of their means.
Ocean physicist delivers Royal Institution's Christmas Lectures
In December 2020, Dr Helen Czerski (UCL Mechanical Engineering) was one of three scientists chosen to deliver the Royal Institution's Christmas Lectures, broadcast on national television on the theme of 'a user's guide to Planet Earth'. Helen's lecture shared her research on the Earth's heating and plumbing systems, showing how shifting ocean water distributes heat and nutrients around our planet.
UCL East programme responds to COVID-19 community needs
Our new campus on Queen Elizabeth Olympic Park in east London will be the biggest expansion to the university since its foundation in 1826, giving us the opportunity to engage in exciting new partnerships with neighbouring communities.
Listen & Respond sought to address issues resulting from Covid-19 by partnering academics from across UCL with voluntary and community sector organisations local to UCL East. The resulting rapid response projects funded by UCL Culture focused on issues including money advice, childcare support, access to green space and mental health. The organisers are now developing an online 'Matching Platform' to facilitate further collaborations between UCL academics and local communities.
YouTube Widget Placeholderhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w6KH2VEIN1c&ab_channel=UCL

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Worship: To help children to enjoy times of praise and to create opportunities for children to be drawn into the presence of God.
Authentic community: It is our desire to build genuine relationships in a cross cultural group of kids and to foster a genuine love and respect for each other. Relationships are built (particularly in the older children's programmes) through small groups, and with more mature Christians who lead them by example.
Fun, creative & innovative programmes: Meeting with Jesus and learning to love others is FUN! Our aim is to make it just that!
Check out our Youth page for info relevant to our High Schoolers!
This is a youth group for all Grade 4 – 7 kids on Friday evenings 6:15 – 8:15pm during the school term.
Friday Blaze is for kids in Grades 4 – 6. Grade 7's separate for 'Eternity'.
Make sure you don't miss Fridays! We have great evenings packed with games, treats, prizes, worship and gospel focused teaching from the Bible.
Contact Jeremy at the church office for more.
Kidz Klub is a ministry to children who live in our local community of Observatory, Salt River and Woodstock. At Kidz Klub we provide a safe and loving environment for local children to play crazy team games, sing high-energy action songs and win prizes, as well as being introduced to Bible teaching through story telling, puppet shows and special guest interviews. Each week the Kidz Klub team visits the children in their homes, providing a gateway to building better relationships with the children, and befriending their families and the wider community. Kidz Klub meets every Saturday morning during the school term at the Jubilee Centre from 10 – 11.30am.
This is a family vibe! On a Friday evening, once a month, all Jubilee children from grade 1, 2 & 3 meet with their parents in a Jubilee family's home. We share supper together, play games, learn about important Biblical and family values and have fun together. Our vision is to teach Biblical values and to support parents to continue growing these values with their children during the week. To find out more about 123 FUN email Jeremy: jeremyh@jubilee.org.za.
This is a time when we as a church thank God for new babies in our community, pray for them and ask for parenting grace and wisdom in the awesome responsibility of raising kids! It does not make the child a Christian, nor is it a dry christening – it is simply a time of prayer and thanksgiving for these little ones. You can sign up for an upcoming Baby Prayer event at the Info Desk on a Sunday, or contact Sally on sallyp@jubilee.org.za.


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ICT, Unified Communications and Digital Services
Provider: Telecoms & Tech Academy
Location: Distance
Course type: Company-Specific / In-House
Next available date Request Information
Request Information Contact
A deeper understanding of the wider concepts and features of ICT (Information Communications Technology) is required to implement the next wave of opportunities.Specifically, how those concepts are used as the foundation for operators to offer a range of Digital Services and a Unified Communication Services – including cloud-based services, M2M, wholesale, enterprise, content and entertainment, advertising, and payments.
Participants will be able to:
Engage and contribute more effectively to the organisation's future development of ICT-based services.
Assess and analyse the big-picture impact of ICT techniques and features applied to both unified communications and digital services.
Develop their knowledge of ICT, Unified Communications and Digital Services, identifying opportunities that can be monetised.
Evaluate the major implementation options for key ICT-based services.
Identify and assess key technologies, platforms and features that maximise the emerging business environment.
Gain confidence to make decisions on procurement and implementation that minimise risk, are commercially viable and are aligned with the strategy and goals of the wider organisation.
Contribute effectively to their specific areas of operation, with a greater degree of commercial acumen and innovation.
Work more effectively with other functions within the organisation.
Telecoms and Tech Academy
Telecoms & Tech Academy (formally Telecoms Academy) is part of KNect365 Learning. We are borne out of Informa's rich history enhancing individuals and businesses with knowledge. Our global network allows us to tap into unique resources and networks. We provides the...
Fill out your details to find out more about ICT, Unified Communications and Digital Services.
Contact the provider
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Telecoms & Tech Academy
30-32 Mortimer Stree
W1W 7RE London
Show phone number Phone no: +44 (0) 207 017 4144
Contact Telecoms & Tech Academy
Find out more about this ICT, Unified Communications and Digital Services course - simply fill out your details:
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MTN improves operational efficiency and cross-functional collaboration


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16" Statue of Our Lady Of Fatima
This statue of Our Lady of Fatima features a hand-painted detail and gold accent that measures 16" and comes with a deluxe gift box for easy storage or gift-giving, A perfect companion for your bedside or an ideal on a prayer corner in your home!
Item No.: ST-VG021
Resin: 16" H
Features a hand-painted detail and gold accent.
Inspired by Spanish craftsmanship.
Comes with a Spanish nameplate.
Rosary not included.
It comes in a gift box for gift giving or easy storage.
Story & Symbolism:
Based on the three shepherds in Fatima, Portugal in 1917 during World War I. On the Marian apparitions, they have claimed to have seen an apparition of the Blessed Virgin Mary. The Blessed Virgin Mary told the children three things that they were advised to keep secret, it is then called the secret of Fatima. Our Lady of Fatima is said to be a Catholic title of the Blessed Virgin Mary. The feast of Our Lady of Fatima was officially celebrated in the year 1930.


What is a trade debtor?
A trade debtor is a customer who hasn't yet paid you for your goods or services.
The amount that goes on your business's balance sheet for trade debtors is the sum of all its unpaid invoices as at that point in time.
For example, if you issued two invoices for £100 each on 1st March, and you were paid for these on 1st April, as at 31st March, your balance sheet would show a trade debtors figure of £200.
If your business is registered for VAT, then the trade debtors figure will always show inclusive of VAT, because that is the amount your customers will pay you.
FreeAgent's accounting software features an Invoice Timeline, so you can see at a glance which invoices have been paid and who you need to chase up.


Not a confession in the strict sense but an admission joined to an inquiry about a bodily abnormality. My purpose in posting this was not to fill this site with National Inquirer sensationalism. There is more than enough of that kind of nonsense already!
OK Thanks; but I would prefer a to hear from people who shared or still DO share my specific bodily oddity.


• Encourage further learning by listening, understanding, contributing, researching and participating in discussion and relevant excursions about new topics.
• Tap the great reservoir of knowledge, skills and experience of retired men and women.
• Provide a venue for the meeting together of like minded people to learn, contribute and to make new friends in their local community.
"Those who teach shall also learn.
This is particularly true of U3A which calls us to active learning, often beyond our comfort zone. This provides the zest and excitement of research and discovery about topics which, in our busy working lives, were completely inaccessible to us.
• For half the time there is an invited speaker, a leader in their field of expertise.
• Refreshments are provided with the opportunity to socialise.
Study groups taking it in turn to present their "best", recent talk(s).
• Meets regularly once or twice a month.
• Its programme is chosen and presented by its members.
• Members are supported in organising their presentation if wished.
• Each member takes responsibility for presenting, to the rest of the group, information on the chosen topic. This may come from their own background, experience or research.. Outside speakers are sometimes invited to present but, on the whole members enjoy the opportunity to extend themselves.
• Meets in members' homes or at community centres.
• A convenor from the group organises the "nuts and bolts".
• Any member should belong to at least one of these groups. There is no upper limit to how many groups a member may belong to. Just time!
• The real socialising takes place in these small groups.
• By doing this we strive to fulfil the spirit of U3A as stated by Peter Laslett who founded U3A.
Special Interest [Study] Groups are U3A's point of difference from other groups for Seniors. Within these groups, the main learning and fellowship occur.
• Responsible for such tasks as president, secretary, treasurer, new members, newsletter, setting up the venue for meetings, catering, publicity, convenor support, organising the major speaker and website.
Each U3A is autonomous and may be slightly different from its neighbour, depending on what resources are available within its membership and within the community. Contact the U3A in your area to obtain more information on the structure and offerings.
The model outlined above is British, the French model being quite different. In France and some other European countries, U3A study groups are taught by working academics, rather like our Continuing Education courses. In Britain, Australia and New Zealand, most U3As are self-help endeavours.
• Continuing Education classes possibly at Universities and Polytechs.
• Service groups such as Rotary and Lions.
• Sports clubs including Chess, Bridge, Mah Jong, Craft and gardening clubs.
• Social groups such as "Friendship" which offer social contact and interesting speakers.
Before joining U3A, we need to read and consider that U3A is none of the above, although it does contain elements of some of them.
Joining a group which suits our needs and in which we can fully participate is very beneficial to us and to the group as a whole. Active participation is the key to that active brain and fulfilment!
More is learned when we are babies and small children than at any other time in our lives. Exploration impelled by curiosity and energy and supported by loving carers, ensure that this happens. Imagination and a sense of adventure make our little ones creative and responsible citizens. Retirement gives us time and space to take up again this type of learning.
Thus we are not a University in the modern sense.
The Law in New Zealand is that we can't use University in our title as it reserved for the current University qualification establishments.
Professor Pierre Vellas and colleagues of Toulouse University recognised the pool of experience, knowledge and intelligence of retired people. They launched U3A in 1973. Eight years later there were 60 of them in France. In the "French Model", each U3A maintains strong links with a university and is based on attending lectures. His son, also named Pierre Vellas, is at present a U3A leader in France.
"those who teach shall also learn and those who learn shall also teach".
Since then U3A has spread world wide. Some indication of this spread can be seen here >.
It came to New Zealand in 1989 at Remuera in Auckland. There are now 83 U3As throughout the country, mostly espousing the "English Model". It is believed that this model promotes increased personal learning, confidence and enjoyment by reading, research, discussions and field trips.


Atherm R&D team is well equipped to study mechanically, thermally your need. Each single production is launched once both your technical team and ours have together found out the most relevant solution.
But this study service is also at your disposal without any product manufacture. Should you need our expertise we offer you the opportunity to use our know how coming from the possibility to correlate calculations and thermal design with our prototypes and testing experience.


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CA Castro Valley
Castro Valley is a census-designated place in Alameda County, California, United States. As of the 2000 census, it is the fifth most populous unincorporated area in California and the twenty-third most populous in the United States. The population was 61,388 at the 2010 census.Castro Valley is named after Don Guillermo Castro, who was a soldier in the Mexican army and a rancher.First known for chicken ranches, Castro Valley eventually became a bedroom community.
51 Photos Open Sat 1PM-4PM
21325 Justco LN, Castro Valley, CA 94552
Listing Provided By Raquel Nikravesh (License ID: 01258377) of Raquel Nikravesh, Broker
14 Photos new
2668 Totten ST, Castro Valley, CA 94546
Listing Provided By Frank Quinn (License ID: 01354078) of Sereno Group
3875 Castro Valley Blvd 60, Castro Valley, CA 94546
Listing Provided By Patty Tovar (License ID: 01474112) of Cal Real Estate


How might we add value to a customer's life through rewarding their loyalty?
Wunderman run Shell's global loyalty programme, we began to see consistent problems across the world of users dropping off during or after registration, a high percentage of cards never being registered - or used more than once. The customer experience team in London was initially tasked with simplifying the onboarding experience to ensure that more customers would complete the process. However, we uncovered much larger problems.
How did we approach the challenge?
While we had been tasked to uncover problems and create solutions within the customers sign up and registration to the programme, our approach is to go broad in our research, taking in and analysing the impact and value of every moment in the customers' experience. This approach rewards the investment it takes.
Using Turkey as a test market we began by conducting stakeholder interviews with franchise owners, interviewing Shell staff, product owners within the business and customers themselves. Using data we segmented our audience into different types of users, in turn interviewing the 'extreme users' of Shell's loyalty programme. This included people who had been active users for over 10 years, people who had never used, users that used the account for long term saving and those that bought the odd treat.
Dealers don't believe in ClubSmart and as business owners, they don't understand how the programme benefits them.
Frontline staff have little to say or leverage to encourage customers to sign up to ClubSmart.
Customers don't understand points as a currency, the process of collecting is confusing and the reward is not compelling.
Customers feel that frontline staff are unhelpful.
Communications are infrequent, confusing, inconsistent, and the language used increases cognitive load.
We worked with key stakeholders within Shell to action some of the items we found, from the bottom up we worked with frontline staff and franchise owners to educate them on the benefits of ClubSmart. From the top down we changed the metrics that dealerships were measured on, from 'volume of fuel sold' to 'share of experience' where stations will be implementing NPS measurements, and Shell will reward them accordingly.
Through collaborative creative sessions we decided to encourage the already competitive behaviours we had witnessed in dealerships with introducing leagues and scoring based on volume of registered users to ClubSmart.
We conducted a series of workshops that explored the findings, insights, and principles of the experience. To provoke conversation we mapped every moment in the journey from beginning to end.
The initiatives created in this project are currently being tested in the Turkey market, to the client Wunderman facilitated the understanding of the current customer experience through the multitude of touch-points that Shell have created. We audited these and made recommendations for changes throughout the journey.
We supported creative workshops where we conceptualised solutions to the uncovered challenges and opportunities. Wunderman is now consulting on the roll out of these initiatives.


Forget friction and factions, political results are all about fractions.
Have you ever been in a conversation where someone says "You'll never guess what happened next…." and you DID guess? They can't believe it, right? They think you're a flippin' genius!
I'm Shaz Jones. Over the years I've been featured on national television (A Current Affair), radio (ABC, Qantas Business Radio, 2SM etc) and multiple times in local print media – as well as internationally (Wired Magazine USA, and others in Japan, Finland etc). I've also spoken at media conferences (ABC Radio), business networking functions, high schools, and church-based events including prophetic conferences, bible colleges, Sunday services and women's events. And I write a book every year.
I am a degree-qualified business professional, serial entrepreneur and an Australian Internet Pioneer. I have been making money online ever since June 1994.
But perhaps my best work was one night when my sister asked me to help my nephew with his homework. She thought it was a technology problem, so I'd be able to help.
My nephew, Jamin, is on the autism spectrum. He's reasonably high-functioning Aspy. In his first year of high school his mother asked me to help him with his mathematics homework on the computer.
The module was on fractions. It didn't take long for me to realise he was really struggling. After a bit more digging, I uncovered two real problems. Firstly, he didn't understand the very basics of how fractions worked. Secondly, he believed that people who were good at homework were just "better guessers" than he was. He had no concept that there was a way of doing things that would get you to the right answer every time. Guaranteed.
Once I showed him how fractions worked and he experienced the transformation of being able to know the right answer every time, he wouldn't stop doing his homework until the computer confirmed his 100% result. And, after years of her own heart-ache and frustration, let alone her son's, his mother thought I was a genius!
I think a lot of people are like Jamin when it comes to media, especially social media. They're really just guessing. They're frustrated and demotivated. It seems like a waste of time and effort. They can't work out why others seem to be "media darlings". Are they just "better guessers"?
Even the best of guessers, like very well-experienced "old media" commentators, didn't see the political shifts coming over the last few years – so they were totally caught off-guard by results like Brexit and Trump.
I never would have guessed they'd try to blame Cambridge Analytica, Facebook or the Russians. They're still trying to find someone to blame (which totally misses the point). Meanwhile, they're overlooking the real lessons here.
It used to be that being elected before was an asset. Name and face recognition, your track record of getting things done, your network of contacts, party supporters and donors, meant you had a whopping advantage over your opponents.
The data is showing now that the pendulum has swung way the other way. You are multiple times (not just fractions) more likely to win an election if you have none of that. Especially when the most is at stake and media involvement is at its highest e.g. national or state elections versus local elections. Yet most political parties are still choosing candidates based on what has stopped working. Because they're still using advisors whose advice has stopped working.
I have been making money online ever since June 1994.
There was a lot of guessing at the start. But my first $10K pay day online was in 1996, and by 1998 I'd made my first million dollars online. Things are constantly changing online, so twenty years later the techniques aren't the same. But I know how to crack the code and get to the right answer, every time.
These days, I manage digital assets to help leaders and influencers optimise their online influence. I worked with the Australian Electoral Commission during the 2016 Federal Election campaign. I was the NSW Media and Operations Manager for Rev Fred Nile MLC's CDP in 2017 during the Marriage Equality campaign. And started working with Geoff Lee MP in 2018.
Would you like to meet to see if I can be of assistance in managing media assets (such as editing/writing a community newsletter, correspondence, or running complete social media marketing campaigns) for you?
I understand some of this work may already be being done, but with an election getting closer every day, and the new Skills Development Allowance, you may want to invest in ways to sharpen those skills, using data techniques that mean you can get the right answer, every time, for a fraction of the real cost of a failed campaign.
For example, did you know that for the exact same cost – same everything else – simply having a photo of someone, anyone, even if they're widely hated, with their thumbs up, will multiply the amount of likes you get on a facebook post? That's why my facebook profile picture is of me standing in front of the thumbs up sign at Facebook Headquarters in Silicon Valley. People tell me all the time there's "nicer photos" of me I should use as my profile picture. But they're just guessers. I've seen the data. I'm a knower.
If you don't invest in managing your digital assets strategically, you'll never guess what happened next to your political career…. but I will – guaranteed.
Let's chat. Book a time for your 4-step Political System Consultation.


text:
Digging For Truth
Is it True that If We Do Not Follow Jesus, We Will be Deceived by Sorcery?
What's Lust have to do with it?
Anger - What do we do with anger?
Babylon is fallen, Come Out of Her My People
Being Industrious in our Temporal Affairs
Diligance vs. Laziness
God Is Our Strength
How to Treat Fellow Humans - Aug. 2011
Learning in the School of Christ
Question about the Celebration of Christmas
Showers of Blessing from Above
Ted Wilson - Preparation for Latter Rain - Aug. 2, 2011
Ted Wilson - Sermon at GC Session (July 3, 2010)
Ted Wilson Sermon to GYC - Jan. 1, 2011
Ted Wilson's Message to Annual Council - Oct. 13, 2012
The Parable of Lazarus and the Rich Man
Topics for Future Sermons
Universalist vs Remnant
What Does the Bible Say about Diet
What is a Soul? How can we see one?
What is Christmas for?
What is Faith? And how can I get some?
Why Satan Hates Us
With Whom Do Mediums Speak ?
Article - Saved While Sinning
Article - Women's Ordination
Article -Signs that your church has become a club
Article-Regional Conferences-Segregation in USA
Church at Pergamos
Church of Ephesus
Church of Laodicea
Church of Philadelphia
Church of Sardis
Church at Smyrna
Fate of the Apostles and members of early church
Nurture, Retention, Reclaimation
Our Need for Improvement
Prophecies in 5th and 6th Trumpet
Shepherd's Rod Apostasy exposed
THE CHURCH OF THYATIRA
Three Angel's Message - Revelation 14
When was Jesus really Born - Study
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Statement on Human Sexuality - Nov. 2015
Unions and Conferences in NAD
Unity in Mission document - approved 10/11/2016
Videos on Three Angel's Tube
Chapter 1 - 18th Edition with changes shown
Church Manual Changes
Study in Reinstatement of Membership
Study of Church Governance and Unity - Sept. 2016
Working Policy L60 section 15
Writing of EGW in the Church Manual
Countdown to Sunday Laws
First Sunday Law - proposed by Senator Blair-1888
Bible Prophecy Studies
1888 Chapter 102 - Uriah Smith
Book - Desire of Ages
Book - Last Day Events
Book - Patriarchs and Prophets
Book-Christ Object Lessons (Contents)
Celebrate Thanksgiving
Newly Released Manuscripts - 2015
No Respect of Persons (Gospel Workers, 330)
Pioneers of Advent Movement
Prayer Meeting - Pastoral Ministry, Chap.32
Preparation for Time of Trouble
RH, Dec. 16, 1890 - Duty of Confession
Selected EGW Quotations ( 7,000 phrases )
1. The Word of God
10. Experience of Salvation
11. Growing in Christ
12. Doctrine of the Church
13. Remnant and Its Mission
14. Unity in the Body of Christ
1. The Godhead
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5. God the Holy Spirit
7. Nature of Man
8. Great Controversy
9. Life, death, resurrection of Christ
Scriptures Used-OT
Great Controversy (1911)
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Chapter 38 - Final Warning
T H E F I N A L W A R N I N G
- - PAGES 603 TO 612
Audio Recording of Chapter 38 - - Full reading of chapter in 20 minutes - hear it as you read it -
"I saw another angel come down from heaven, having great power; and the earth was lightened with his glory. And he cried mightily with a strong voice, saying, Babylon the great is fallen, is fallen, and is become the habitation of devils, and the hold of every foul spirit, and a cage of every unclean and hateful bird." - "And I heard another voice from heaven, saying, Come out of her, My people, that ye be not partakers of her sins, and that ye receive not of her plagues." Revelation 18: 1, 2, 4. {GC 603.1}
This scripture points forward to a time when the announcement of the fall of Babylon, as made by the second angel of Revelation 14 (verse 8), is to be repeated, with the additional mention of the corruptions which have been entering the various organizations that constitute Babylon, since that message was first given, in the summer of 1844. A terrible condition of the religious world is here described. With every rejection of truth the minds of the people will become darker, their hearts more stubborn, until they are entrenched in an infidel hardihood. In defiance of the warnings which God has given, they will continue to trample upon one of the precepts of the Decalogue, until they are led to persecute those who hold it sacred. Christ is set at nought in the contempt placed upon His word and His people. As the teachings of spiritualism are accepted by the churches, the restraint imposed upon the carnal heart is removed, and the profession of religion will become a cloak to conceal the basest iniquity. A belief in spiritual manifestations opens the door to seducing spirits and doctrines of devils, and thus the influence of evil angels will be felt in the churches. {GC 603.2}
Of Babylon, at the time brought to view in this prophecy, it is declared: "Her sins have reached unto heaven, and God hath remembered her iniquities." Revelation 18: 5. She has filled up the measure of her guilt, and destruction is about to fall upon her. But God still has a people in Babylon; and before the visitation of His judgments these faithful ones must be called out, that they partake not of her sins and "receive not of her plagues." Hence the movement symbolized by the angel coming down from heaven, lightening the earth with his glory and crying mightily with a strong voice, announcing the sins of Babylon. In connection with his message the call is heard: "Come out of her, My people." These announcements, uniting with the third angel's message, constitute the final warning to be given to the inhabitants of the earth. {GC 604.1}
Fearful is the issue to which the world is to be brought. The powers of earth, uniting to war against the commandments of God, will decree that "all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and bond" (Revelation 13:16), shall conform to the customs of the church by the observance of the false sabbath. All who refuse compliance will be visited with civil penalties, and it will finally be declared that they are deserving of death. On the other hand, the law of God enjoining the Creator's rest day demands obedience and threatens wrath against all who transgress its precepts. {GC 604.2}
With the issue thus clearly brought before him, whoever shall trample upon God's law to obey a human enactment receives the mark of the beast; he accepts the sign of allegiance to the power which he chooses to obey instead of God. The warning from heaven is: "If any man worship the beast and his image, and receive his mark in his forehead, or in his hand, the same shall drink of the wine of the wrath of God, which is poured out without mixture into the cup of His indignation." Revelation 14: 9, 10. {GC 604.3}
But not one is made to suffer the wrath of God until the truth has been brought home to his mind and conscience, and has been rejected. There are many who have never had an opportunity to hear the special truths for this time. The obligation of the fourth commandment has never been set before them in its true light. He who reads every heart and tries every motive will leave none who desire a knowledge of the truth, to be deceived as to the issues of the controversy. The decree is not to be urged upon the people blindly. Everyone is to have sufficient light to make his decision intelligently. {GC 605.1}
The Sabbath will be the great test of loyalty, for it is the point of truth especially controverted. When the final test shall be brought to bear upon men, then the line of distinction will be drawn between those who serve God and those who serve Him not. While the observance of the false sabbath in compliance with the law of the state, contrary to the fourth commandment, will be an avowal of allegiance to a power that is in opposition to God, the keeping of the true Sabbath, in obedience to God's law, is an evidence of loyalty to the Creator. While one class, by accepting the sign of submission to earthly powers, receive the mark of the beast, the other choosing the token of allegiance to divine authority, receive the seal of God. {GC 605.2}
Tuesday Conference call ended here on Jan. 22, 2019
Heretofore those who presented the truths of the third angel's message have often been regarded as mere alarmists. Their predictions that religious intolerance would gain control in the United States, that church and state would unite to persecute those who keep the commandments of God, have been pronounced groundless and absurd. It has been confidently declared that this land could never become other than what it has been -- the defender of religious freedom. But as the question of enforcing Sunday observance is widely agitated, the event so long doubted and disbelieved is seen to be approaching, and the third [angel's] message will produce an effect which it could not have had before. {GC 605.3}
In every generation God has sent His servants to rebuke sin, both in the world and in the church. But the people desire smooth things spoken to them, and the pure, unvarnished truth is not acceptable. Many reformers, in entering upon their work, determined to exercise great prudence in attacking the sins of the church and the nation. They hoped, by the example of a pure Christian life, to lead the people back to the doctrines of the Bible. But the Spirit of God came upon them as it came upon Elijah, moving him to rebuke the sins of a wicked king and an apostate people; they could not refrain from preaching the plain utterances of the Bible—doctrines which they had been reluctant to present. They were impelled to zealously declare the truth and the danger which threatened souls. The words which the Lord gave them they uttered, fearless of consequences, and the people were compelled to hear the warning. Great Controversy, page 606.1 Read entire Chapter 38
Thus the message of the third angel will be proclaimed. As the time comes for it to be given with greatest power, the Lord will work through humble instruments, leading the minds of those who consecrate themselves to His service. The laborers will be qualified rather by the unction of His Spirit than by the training of literary institutions. Men of faith and prayer will be constrained to go forth with holy zeal, declaring the words which God gives them. The sins of Babylon will be laid open. The fearful results of enforcing the observances of the church by civil authority, the inroads of spiritualism, the stealthy but rapid progress of the papal power -- all will be unmasked. By these solemn warnings the people will be stirred. Thousands upon thousands will listen who have never heard words like these. In amazement they hear the testimony that Babylon is the church, fallen because of her errors and sins, because of her rejection of the truth sent to her from heaven. As the people go to their former teachers with the eager inquiry, Are these things so? the ministers present fables, prophesy smooth things, to soothe their fears and quiet the awakened conscience. But since many refuse to be satisfied with the mere authority of men and demand a plain "Thus saith the Lord," the popular ministry, like the Pharisees of old, filled with anger as their authority is questioned, will denounce the message as of Satan and stir up the sin-loving multitudes to revile and persecute those who proclaim it. {GC 606.2}
As the controversy extends into new fields and the minds of the people are called to God's downtrodden law, Satan is astir. The power attending the message will only madden those who oppose it. The clergy will put forth almost superhuman efforts to shut away the light lest it should shine upon their flocks. By every means at their command they will endeavor to suppress the discussion of these vital questions. The church appeals to the strong arm of civil power, and, in this work, papists and Protestants unite. As the movement for Sunday enforcement becomes more bold and decided, the law will be invoked against commandment keepers. They will be threatened with fines and imprisonment, and some will be offered positions of influence, and other rewards and advantages, as inducements to renounce their faith. But their steadfast answer is: "Show us from the word of God our error"-- the same plea that was made by Luther under similar circumstances. Those who are arraigned before the courts make a strong vindication of the truth, and some who hear them are led to take their stand to keep all the commandments of God. Thus light will be brought before thousands who otherwise would know nothing of these truths. {GC 607.1}
Note: See Luke 21: 11-18
Conscientious obedience to the word of God will be treated as rebellion. Blinded by Satan, the parent will exercise harshness and severity toward the believing child; the master or mistress will oppress the commandment-keeping servant. Affection will be alienated; children will be disinherited and driven from home. The words of Paul will be literally fulfilled: "All that will live godly in Christ Jesus shall suffer persecution." 2 Timothy 3:12. As the defenders of truth refuse to honor the Sunday-sabbath, some of them will be thrust into prison, some will be exiled, some will be treated as slaves. To human wisdom all this now seems impossible; but as the restraining Spirit of God shall be withdrawn from men, and they shall be under the control of Satan, who hates the divine precepts, there will be strange developments. The heart can be very cruel when God's fear and love are removed. {GC 608.1}
As the storm approaches, a large class who have professed faith in the third angel's message, but have not been sanctified through obedience to the truth, abandon their position and join the ranks of the opposition. By uniting with the world and partaking of its spirit, they have come to view matters in nearly the same light; and when the test is brought, they are prepared to choose the easy, popular side. Men of talent and pleasing address, who once rejoiced in the truth, employ their powers to deceive and mislead souls. They become the most bitter enemies of their former brethren. When Sabbathkeepers are brought before the courts to answer for their faith, these apostates are the most efficient agents of Satan to misrepresent and accuse them, and by false reports and insinuations to stir up the rulers against them. {GC 608.2}
In this time of persecution the faith of the Lord's servants will be tried. They have faithfully given the warning, looking to God and to His word alone. God's Spirit, moving upon their hearts, has constrained them to speak. Stimulated with holy zeal, and with the divine impulse strong upon them, they entered upon the performance of their duties without coldly calculating the consequences of speaking to the people the word which the Lord had given them. They have not consulted their temporal interests, nor sought to preserve their reputation or their lives. Yet when the storm of opposition and reproach bursts upon them, some, overwhelmed with consternation, will be ready to exclaim: "Had we foreseen the consequences of our words, we would have held our peace." They are hedged in with difficulties. Satan assails them with fierce temptations. The work which they have undertaken seems far beyond their ability to accomplish. They are threatened with destruction. The enthusiasm which animated them is gone; yet they cannot turn back. Then, feeling their utter helplessness, they flee to the Mighty One for strength. They remember that the words which they have spoken were not theirs, but His who bade them give the warning. God put the truth into their hearts, and they could not forbear to proclaim it. {GC 608.3}
The same trials have been experienced by men of God in ages past. Wycliffe, Huss, Luther, Tyndale,Baxter, Wesley, urged that all doctrines be brought to the test of the Bible and declared that they would renounce everything which it condemned. Against these men persecution raged with relentless fury; yet they ceased not to declare the truth. Different periods in the history of the church have each been marked by the development of some special truth, adapted to the necessities of God's people at that time. Every new truth has made its way against hatred and opposition; those who were blessed with its light were tempted and tried. The Lord gives a special truth for the people in an emergency. Who dare refuse to publish it? He commands His servants to present the last invitation of mercy to the world. They cannot remain silent, except at the peril of their souls. Christ's ambassadors have nothing to do with consequences. They must perform their duty and leave results with God. {GC 609.1}
Read more: John Wycliffe ( Chapter 5 ); Jon Huss (Chapter 6); Martin Luther (Chapter 7 & 8 )
As the opposition rises to a fiercer height, the servants of God are again perplexed; for it seems to them that they have brought the crisis. But conscience and the word of God assure them that their course is right; and although the trials continue, they are strengthened to bear them. The contest grows closer and sharper, but their faith and courage rise with the emergency. Their testimony is: "We dare not tamper with God's word, dividing His holy law; calling one portion essential and another nonessential, to gain the favor of the world. The Lord whom we serve is able to deliver us. Christ has conquered the powers of earth; and shall we be afraid of a world already conquered?" {GC 610.1}
Persecution in its varied forms is the development of a principle which will exist as long as Satan exists and Christianity has vital power. No man can serve God without enlisting against himself the opposition of the hosts of darkness. Evil angels will assail him, alarmed that his influence is taking the prey from their hands. Evil men, rebuked by his example, will unite with them in seeking to separate him from God by alluring temptations. When these do not succeed, then a compelling power is employed to force the conscience. {GC 610.2}
But so long as Jesus remains man's intercessor in the sanctuary above, the restraining influence of the Holy Spirit is felt by rulers and people. It still controls to some extent the laws of the land. Were it not for these laws, the condition of the world would be much worse than it now is. While many of our rulers are active agents of Satan, God also has His agents among the leading men of the nation. The enemy moves upon his servants to propose measures that would greatly impede the work of God; but statesmen who fear the Lord are influenced by holy angels to oppose such propositions with unanswerable arguments. Thus a few men will hold in check a powerful current of evil. The opposition of the enemies of truth will be restrained that the third angel's message may do its work. When the final warning shall be given, it will arrest the attention of these leading men through whom the Lord is now working, and some of them will accept it, and will stand with the people of God through the time of trouble. {GC 610.3}
The angel who unites in the proclamation of the third angel's message is to lighten the whole earth with his glory. A work of world-wide extent and unwonted power is here foretold. The advent movement of 1840 to 1844 was a glorious manifestation of the power of God; the first angel's message was carried to every missionary station in the world, and in some countries there was the greatest religious interest which has been witnessed in any land since the Reformation of the sixteenth century; but these are to be exceeded by the mighty movement under the last warning of the third angel. {GC 611.1}
The work will be similar to that of the Day of Pentecost. As the "former rain" was given, in the outpouring of the Holy Spirit at the opening of the gospel, to cause the upspringing of the precious seed, so the "latter rain" will be given at its close for the ripening of the harvest. "Then shall we know, if we follow on to know the Lord: His going forth is prepared as the morning; and He shall come unto us as the rain, as the latter and former rain unto the earth." Hosea 6:3. "Be glad then, ye children of Zion, and rejoice in the Lord your God: for He hath given you the former rain moderately, and He will cause to come down for you the rain, the former rain, and the latter rain." Joel 2:23. "In the last days, saith God, I will pour out of My Spirit upon all flesh." "And it shall come to pass, that whosoever shall call on the name of the Lord shall be saved." Acts 2: 17, 21. {GC 611.2}
The great work of the gospel is not to close with less manifestation of the power of God than marked its opening. The prophecies which were fulfilled in the outpouring of the former rain at the opening of the gospel are again to be fulfilled in the latter rain at its close. Here are "the times of refreshing" to which the apostle Peter looked forward when he said: "Repent ye therefore, and be converted, that your sins may be blotted out, when the times of refreshing shall come from the presence of the Lord; and He shall send Jesus." Acts 3: 19, 20. {GC 611.3}
Servants of God, with their faces lighted up and shining with holy consecration, will hasten from place to place to proclaim the message from heaven. By thousands of voices, all over the earth, the warning will be given. Miracles will be wrought, the sick will be healed, and signs and wonders will follow the believers. Satan also works, with lying wonders, even bringing down fire from heaven in the sight of men. Revelation 13:13. Thus the inhabitants of the earth will be brought to take their stand. {GC 612.1}
The message will be carried not so much by argument as by the deep conviction of the Spirit of God.The arguments have been presented. The seed has been sown, and now it will spring up and bear fruit. The publications distributed by missionary workers have exerted their influence, yet many whose minds were impressed have been prevented from fully comprehending the truth or from yielding obedience. Now the rays of light penetrate everywhere, the truth is seen in its clearness, and the honest children of God sever the bands which have held them. Family connections, church relations, are powerless to stay them now. Truth is more precious than all besides. Notwithstanding the agencies combined against the truth, a large number take their stand upon the Lord's side. {GC 612.2}
Thought Questions and Notes for Chapter 38
Continue to Chapter 39 - - Time of Trouble
Return to Previous Chapter - The Scriptures a Safeguard
Return to Great Controversy - The Book page
Great Controversy (1911) Chapter 1 - Destruction of Jerusalem Chapter 10 - Progress of Reform in Germany Chapter 11 - Protest of the Princes Chapter 12 - French Reformation Chapter 13 - Netherlands & Scandinavia Chapter 14 - Later English Reformers Chapter 15 - French Revolution Chapter 16 - Pilgrim Fathers Chapter 17 - Heralds of the Morning Chapter 18 - An American Reformer Chapter 19 - Light Through Darkness Chapter 2 - Persecution in the First Centuries Chapter 20 - Religious Awakening Chapter 21 - A Warning Rejected Chapter 22 - Prophecies Fulfilled Chapter 23 - The Sanctuary Chapter 24 - In the Holy of Holies Chapter 25 - God's Immutable Law Chapter 26 - Work of Reform Chapter 27 - Modern Revivals Chapter 28 - Facing Lifes Record Chapter 29 - Origin of Sin Chapter 3 - An Era of Spiritual Darkness Chapter 30 - Enmity Between Man & Satan Chapter 31 - Agency of Evil Spirits Chapter 32 - Snares of Satan Chapter 33 - First Great Deception Chapter 34 - Spiritualism Chapter 35 - Liberty of Conscience Threatened Chapter 36 - Impending Conflict Chapter 37 - Scriptures a Safeguard Chapter 39 - The Time of Trouble Chapter 4 - The Waldenses Chapter 40 - God's People Delivered Chapter 41 - Desolation of the Earth Chapter 42 - Controversy Ended Chapter 5 - John Wycliffe Chapter 6 - Huss and Jerome Chapter 7 -- Luther's Separation From Rome Chapter 8 - Luther before the Diet Chapter 9 - The Swiss Reformer GC Appendix - Chapter 18 Introduction


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Hezbollah's Delusions
Posted on March 10, 2011 by jonathanspyer
Global Politician- 12/10/2009
The latest events in Lebanon offer an image in miniature of larger regional developments. The Iranian-backed Shi'ite Islamist movement Hezbollah is pursuing a long-term strategy intended to eventually deliver Lebanon into its hands. In the short term, the greater commitment of the movement's cadres and its public is delivering impressive results. But at the core of the strategic thinking of Hezbollah and its patrons lie a series of delusions, which are likely to bring about the defeat of the movement over time. Between that point and the present, however, further strife and conflict are likely.
The pro-Western March 14 movement won an unexpected victory in elections in Lebanon in June. But the subsequent protracted coalition negotiations succeeded in emptying that victory of most of its content. The composition of the new Lebanese government will enable the Hezbollah-led opposition to block any legislation not to its liking. More important, the new government's official mission statement will include a commitment to maintain Hezbollah's independent, Iran-facilitated military capacity.
Supporters of March 14 had little choice but to concede to the demands of the "losing" side in the election. The violence of May 2008 proved conclusively that they are incapable of resisting the armed might of Hezbollah. Hezbollah may have paid a price in terms of its legitimacy in the eyes of non-Shi'ite Lebanese for demonstrating its power, but it acquired the ability to silence any further dissent on issues it deems of cardinal importance.
But the foundation of the new Lebanese government is ultimately only one small element within a larger process taking place in Lebanon. This is the way the power of Hezbollah and its constituency is growing in all areas of life in the country. The organization recently released a new manifesto. A particularly notable aspect of the document was the call for an end to "sectarianism" in Lebanon and the expression of the desire for rule by an "elected majority." This demand reflects the self-confidence of the movement, rather than a newfound appreciation for democratic principles.
While it is impossible to carry out accurate demographic surveys in Lebanon, Hezbollah certainly believes that the Shi'ites are on the rise demographically, due to their high birthrate and low(er) emigration rate. Senior Israeli officials who are knowledgeable about the country concur with this assessment. They also note the growing strength of Shi'ite officers in the Lebanese Armed Forces, particularly at mid-level. This development, alongside the latest political moves, is slowly blurring the borders between the official Lebanese state and the parallel state maintained by Hezbollah.
The slow, full-spectrum advance of the Shi'ite Islamist camp in Lebanon resembles developments elsewhere. No one situation is exactly like any other, of course, but it is not hard to detect the common elements in the steady advancement of Islamic politics in Turkey, the rise of Islamist radicals within the Iranian clerical regime, the onward march of Hezbollah and the strides made in recent years by Palestinian Islamism. In all cases, this is not the delusional, apocalyptic Islamism of Al-Qaida and its ilk. The rising Islamic forces in the region do not go in for violence-as-gesture, nor do they envisage the triumph of the rule of righteousness in the immediate future.
The significant differences between these rising forces and the delusional Salafi fringe has led many in the West to believe that "pragmatic," localized Islamism can be accommodated rather than confronted. Such a belief ignores a large part of the picture. Certainly in the case of the regime in Iran – in particular in the form it has assumed since the disputed election of last June – and its ally in Lebanon, the political methods may at times be slow and cumulative, but the ends are serious and sincere, and note should be taken.
Hezbollah's new manifesto condemns the United States as the "root of all terror," and a "danger that threatens the whole world." The document also reiterates the call for the destruction of Israel, describing the need to "liberate Jerusalem and Al-Aqsa" as a "religious duty" for all Muslims. There is not a shred of evidence to suggest that these sentiments are intended for the printed page only. Indeed, recent visitors to Lebanon speak of a high, almost delusional state of morale among circles affiliated with Hezbollah. In the closed world around the movement, it is sincerely believed that the next war between Israel and Hezbollah will be part of a greater conflict in which Israel will be destroyed.
The true balance of power is rather different, of course. And as Hezbollah slowly swallows other elements of the Lebanese system, the conclusion being reached in Israel is that any differentiation between the movement and the nest it has taken over is increasingly artificial – and will not be maintained in a future conflict.
The history of the region shows that anti-Western ideological waves can indeed eventually be accommodated and dealt with pragmatically – but this cannot be achieved at the moment of their rise. The examples of pan-Arabism and Palestinian nationalism suggest that only following military defeat and socioeconomic failure are flexibility and pragmatism likely to make an appearance. Political Islam has not yet reached this stage. Current events in Lebanon show its local Shi'ite manifestation to be in a state of rude health. It is brushing aside local foes, marching through the institutions, as tactically agile as it is strategically deluded. Yet its latest manifesto suggests that it remains the prisoner of its ideological perceptions. The recent history of the Middle East, meanwhile, indicates that gaps between reality and perception tend to be decided – eventually – in favor of the former.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized and tagged al-Qaida, Hezbollah, Iran, Lebanon, March 14 movement, Salafi, Shi'ites. Bookmark the permalink.


Microsoft is calling people to join Microsoft Office Live Meeting open exclusively to members of the System Center Influencers Program on on 9/15 2009. If you aren't a part of our System Center Influencer program send your bio and Windows Live ID to [email protected]. "Proactive management of the applications and IT services running in your datacenter is challenging, particularly where you are having to use inadequate or disparate tools, or just not having sufficient time due to interruptions, other projects, and having to complete the necessary daily or weekly tasks," announced.


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Argenta is a bank based in Belgium that also operates in the Netherlands and Luxembourg. The Argenta headquarters are in Antwerp.

History
The Argenta Group has been active in Belgium since 1956 and in Luxemburg since 1987. It has been active on the Dutch mortgage market since 1997 and attracting savings in the Netherlands since 2004. All group activities exclusively consist of financial activities for families and individual clients relating to attracting savings, granting loans, distribution of collective investments and offering life and non-life insurance products. In 2021, Argenta reported to own and operate 348 ATMs.

Structure
Investeringsmaatschappij Argenta NV (abbreviated, Investar NV), a mixed financial holding of the Van Rompuy family, holds 86.81% of the shares in the Parent, with the remainder of the shares owned by Argenta Coöperatieve CVBA ("Argen-Co"), which is a recognised cooperative undertaking in accordance with the Act of 20 July 1955 on a National Council for Cooperatives.
Argenta Bank- en Verzekeringsgroep nv is the holding company of the Argenta Group. Argenta Bank- en Verzekeringsgroep nv is a mixed financial holding within the meaning of article 3, 39° of the Banking Act.
Argenta Spaarbank has one subsidiary, Argenta Asset Management S.A. Argenta Asset Management S.A. is a Luxembourg company which is responsible for the management and central administration of the Argenta Group's collective investment undertakings, i.e. Argenta Fund sicav and Argenta Fund of Funds sicav, which are open-end investment undertakings under Luxembourg law. The latter is a fund of funds (also known as an umbrella fund). This means that the assets of various sub-funds are invested in other collective investment undertakings.
In addition, Argenta Spaarbank has a branch office in the Netherlands.
Argenta Assuranties nv is a duly licensed Belgian insurance undertaking. Argenta Assuranties has one subsidiary, Argenta-Life Nederland N.V., an insurance undertaking organized under the laws of the Netherlands. It offers term life insurance linked to housing loans. It also manages a portfolio of mortgage insurance policies.

See also

Lists of banks
List of banks in Belgium

References

External links

argenta.nl
argenta.lu
argentalife.lu

Banks established in 1956
Banks of Belgium
Companies based in Antwerp
Banks under direct supervision of the European Central Bank

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Lunch during the trek because fresh and hot lunch is available enroute in many points.
Any expenses which is not mentioned in inclusion .
12:00pm Explore Kasol, known as the 'Little Amsterdam'.Explore Israeli cafes and shops to buy souvenirs from.
5:00pm-Start walking back to the campsite.
7:00pm Reach campsite and freshen up.
8:00pm Onwards enjoy dancing along with a bonfire.Dinner at the campsite.
7:00 - 8:00am Have breakfast at the campsite and freshen up then Head to Barshaini by car.
8:30am Start trek to Kheerganga from Barshaini with local guide Walk through rivers, waterfalls, narrow walkwaysand apple orchards.
1:00pm Have lunch on the way at the first cafe comes after 7km or at the Rudra Naag cafe which comes after another 3-5km Take a refreshing dip at the mystical hot springs of Kheerganga.
6:00pm Arrive at campsite and rest.
Start trek down to kheerganga to barshaini.Reach kasol from barshaini by car.
End of tour at kasol.
We are the locals of the region, having natural expertise and certification in mountaineering. Give us a chance to show you the beauty of our valley! The money you spend goes to the local economy.


Get your online shop off to a flying start with this fashionable WooCommerce-compatible theme that's rolling in style that will draw in the crowds to browse your stock. Optimized for mobiles and tablets, you can offer an amazing purchase flow across the full range of devices, with impressive tiled layouts and smooth product previews.
Build an upscale fashion online store with this beautiful ecommerce WordPress theme.
We created our inStyle theme for those aiming to take their business to the web, there is no finer base to work from. With support for WooCommerce, the premier ecommerce solution for WordPress, adding products and categories is simple and understandable. For that additional layer of sophistication, we've prepared multiple plugins with superior functionality.
Our NSP widget can be used to create classy product showcases to entice your customers to make that purchase, as well as article highlights that can promote your sales, fashion blog posts, upcoming trends and more. Get users coming to your site regularly for your blog, and you've got a whole new way to get sales.
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Developing Trends in the Music Sync Space — A Worldwide Conversation With Leading Female Music Supervisors
One of These Three Companies Will Change Live Concerts Forever
Neil Jacobson-Led Music Acquisition Corporation Pushes $200 Million IPO
The Music Acquisition Corporation, a music-focused blank-check company founded by former Geffen Records president and Hallwood Media founder Neil Jacobson, has officially debuted on the stock market.
On Tuesday, February 2nd, the Music Acquisition Corporation formally announced the pricing of its $200 million IPO, consisting specifically of 20 million units at $10 apiece. Each unit encompasses one of the company's Class A shares and one-half of a warrant to purchase an additional share for $11.50. (Investors can only redeem whole warrants, however.)
The offering is set to close tomorrow, February 5th, and once the units begin trading separately, Music Acquisition stock proper will be listed as TMAC on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), with the warrants adopting the symbol TMAC WS. At the end of today's trading hours, Music Acquisition units (TMAC.U on the NYSE) were worth $10.75 apiece.
The release announcing the IPO's pricing indicates that Music Acquisition "may pursue an initial business combination target in any industry or geographic region." Nevertheless, the entity "intends to focus its search for an initial business combination on businesses that are either directly or indirectly connected with the music sector," so as to capitalize upon the experience and skillsets of its current executives.
Aside from Neil Jacobson, former Barclays managing director Todd Lowen serves as Music Acquisition's COO, while Michael Levitt, Ben Silverman, and Tunde Balogun have seats on the company's board.
The Music Acquisition Corporation's $200 million IPO arrives just weeks after Atlanta Braves owner and SiriusXM majority stakeholder Liberty Media rolled out a $500 million IPO for its own "special purpose acquisition company."
Worth noting is that Liberty Media also possesses about one-third of Live Nation and five percent of Indian music streaming platform JioSaavn. Like Music Acquisition, Liberty's acquisition company priced its units at $10 apiece out of the gate, and each unit came with one-fifth of a warrant to purchase a share at $11.50.
In other IPO news, Tencent-backed ByteDance rival Kuaishou began preparing a more than $5 billion stock-market listing in Hong Kong late last month. The video-sharing and livestreaming platform arrived on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange today – Friday morning local time – and shares quickly skyrocketed past their original value.
At the time of publishing, Kuaishou shares were hovering around $38.88 (HK$301.4), having briefly approached $45 per share earlier in the morning. Separately, Universal Music Group's long-awaited IPO is less than 12 months away, according to the Big Three label's Vivendi parent company, while Believe Digital is reportedly preparing a multibillion-dollar listing of its own.


It's Saturday and the second day of a short 2 day music festival in the Catskill Mountains of New York. The weather today at the Catskill Chill is awesome, the clouds have burned off and the music line-up for today is great. I'm looking forward to several really good acts today including everybody's' favorite one man band, the incomparable Keller Williams, Pink Floydish Particle and one of U-Melt's last live performances.
It's Saturday and the second day of a short 2 day music festival in the Catskill Mountains of New York. The weather today at the Catskill Chill is awesome, the clouds have burned off and the music line-up for today is great. I'm looking forward to several really good acts today including everybody's' favorite one man band, the incomparable Keller Williams, Pink Floydish Particle and one of U-Melt's last live performances. Looks like it's filled in quite a bit and folks are up here just for the day, but they say it's still not anything like the attendance the Catskill harvest festival used to draw. They have 2 stages set up and they are both covered yet they have open air sides for an outdoorsy feel. The main stage has covered bleacher seating and the music sounds good. The first band I wanted to catch today was up rather early, they're called Sim Redmond Band, if you haven't heard their music they sound a little like Fleetwood Mac with Christine McVee. I think their song "Save Me" as well as a few others they do could be a big hit nationally because they are sort of catchy.


If your little one isn't quite old enough to read just yet, this soft, tremendously tactile book can put the story in their hands. Designed for sensory stimulation the crinkly pages also pack an auditory punch! The simple contrast illustrations make silhouetted images ideal for baby eye engagement and development.
Part of the Crinkly Book of Aussie Animals Series, which includes From the Bush, From the Ocean and From the Outback, this simple storybook is a beautiful way to introduce your bub to the wonderful world of Australia's native fauna. This would also be a cute little gift idea for overseas newborns.
A gorgeous way to introduce wee ones to our native fauna, this collection would also make a wonderful gift for overseas newborns (nice and light to post, too!).
With just two words of text per page, this graphic story will have your baby mesmerised in monochrome.
A story of friendship, belonging and impulse decision!
I Just Ate My Friend by Heidi McKinnon follows the tail of a nameless yellow-speckled monster, who is in search of a new pal, after eating his first one. This simple, innocent and humorous story takes the reader on a friendship journey, filled with marvelous illustrations.
Our little monster discovers the implications of his snacking blunder when searching for a new friend. Each potential new chum comes up with a reason as to why the friendship wont work and hope is almost lost until we come across another green-speckled monster of similar size and shape. A friendship is struck, but that's not the end, can you guess what happens?
The hilarious storyline pays tribute to the impulsive nature of children and the consequences of that spontaneous action. It also sweetly epitomizes a child's search for friendship and belonging.
Perfect for ages 2 and up I Just Ate My Friend can be used to discuss friendship and why we shouldn't mistreat friends or it could simply be read as a comical monster story.
The gorgeous illustrations are accentuated by the black starlit background, which makes the book both easy to read and magical to look at.
Step into the world of Grace and Katie, two twins who don't always see eye to eye. Grace loves everything to be organized and neat, while Katie likes all things bright, bold and messy. We sure do know some siblings like this!
The two sisters come head to head when they decide that they want to draw a map of their home and street. When it becomes obvious that they wont be able to agree on how the map should be done, they each decide to create their own. To their surprise this doesn't go quite as planned. Perhaps working together might have been more fun for everyone!
This book is an imaginative exploration of individuality, sisterhood, creativity and appreciating each other's differences. This story encompasses a beautiful lesson for any siblings.
The illustrator of Grace and Katie, Liz Anelli makes pictures using collage and printmaking as well as paint, pencils and computer generated images. Her picture books are known to explore the world we live in through detailed illustrations, cityscapes and maps.
Turns out it's pretty nice inside the belly of the beast – there's delicious food, elegant table settings and, best of all, dancing.
With a nod to traditional fables and a wink to the reader, the award-winning Mac Barnett and Jon Klassen offer a tale of cooperation and creative cuisine that is sure to entertain the big and small.
We love that Radio Rescue! Is a uniquely Australian story, which tells the tale of the introduction of pedal radios to outback communities. This fascinating and informative book uses detailed Illustrations and a thoughtful storyline to give a realistic portrayal of Australian history.
Jim and his parents love station life. Jim hunts for rabbits, explores with his dog bluey and chases goannas. Life on the station is an outdoor wonderland full of discovery, but sometimes it gets a little lonely. Jim's parents are always busy working and his only friend lives miles away.
One day, the arrival of something strange and foreign ignites immense excitement at the station. This weird contraption otherwise known as the pedal radio means that Jim and his family can now send messages by morse code and even hear voices from the main base. As the story continues the importance of communication becomes even more apparent.
Australia's past in bought to life in the beautiful contrast between highly detailed grey scale illustrations and fold out spreads of colourful rich landscapes.
Australia's beloved Justine Clarke is both a child and adult favourite. Channeling her Playschool days she has released a fantastic songbook collection of 16 songs, arranged for voice and easy piano. A fun and energetic book to excite kids into bringing words off of the page. the songbook includes full lyrics, chord symbols, colourful illustrations and fun activity pages.


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Home/Rhupunt
Note: In an effort to get as many forms in here as we can before April, we're going to get a streamlined entry going here. Check back in later for more elaborate posts, including history etc.
The Rhupunt (pronounced hree'-pint) is a Welsh poetry form, of the AwdlAn awdl was originally a poem of indeterminate length with a single end rhyme throughout, in a single meter. In the 12th century, The Poets of the Princes treated this iteration of the awdl as a poem in its own right, but by that time it was becoming more common for it to consist as one part of a larger... More class of stanzaic forms
each stanza may have three, four, or five lines
each line has four syllables
within each stanza, all lines, with the exception of the last, share a single end rhyme
all of the last lines share a secondary end rhyme-the last line carries the rhyme from stanza to stanza
there's a variation known as the long rhupuntNote: In an effort to get as many forms in here as we can before April, we're going to get a streamlined entry going here. Check back in later for more elaborate posts, including history etc. The Rhupunt (pronounced hree'-pint) is a Welsh poetry form, of the Awdl class of stanzaic forms Structure: • each stanza may have three, four, or five lines... More, each stanza is written as a single line, and the lines are paired in couplets
an example of the long RhupuntNote: In an effort to get as many forms in here as we can before April, we're going to get a streamlined entry going here. Check back in later for more elaborate posts, including history etc. The Rhupunt (pronounced hree'-pint) is a Welsh poetry form, of the Awdl class of stanzaic forms Structure: • each stanza may have three, four, or five lines... More would be
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the long RhupuntNote: In an effort to get as many forms in here as we can before April, we're going to get a streamlined entry going here. Check back in later for more elaborate posts, including history etc. The Rhupunt (pronounced hree'-pint) is a Welsh poetry form, of the Awdl class of stanzaic forms Structure: • each stanza may have three, four, or five lines... More holds the structure in every other way as the RhupuntNote: In an effort to get as many forms in here as we can before April, we're going to get a streamlined entry going here. Check back in later for more elaborate posts, including history etc. The Rhupunt (pronounced hree'-pint) is a Welsh poetry form, of the Awdl class of stanzaic forms Structure: • each stanza may have three, four, or five lines... More, you just put the lines all together into one. All the, lets call them sublines, have the same syllable count, the rhyme scheme above, and secondary rhyme. Therefor in one couplet, there can be a long line that is longer than the other. Etc.
In Welsh poetry, the awdlAn awdl was originally a poem of indeterminate length with a single end rhyme throughout, in a single meter. In the 12th century, The Poets of the Princes treated this iteration of the awdl as a poem in its own right, but by that time it was becoming more common for it to consist as one part of a larger... More meter conforms to the cynhaneddMerriam Webster defines Cyndhanedd (pronounced kung-han-eth) as "a strict intricate system of alliteration and rhyme used in Welsh poetry." It was developed by the 14th century and codified in the Caerwys Eisteddfod (Assembly of Bards) of 1523. In Welsh poetry, it's an elaborate system of sound relationships involving accent, alliteration and internal rhyme, and comes in four basic types. Cyndhanedd lusg... More (click to see glossary term): rules of harmony governing consonance or alliteration. Translating Welsh meter rules into English is almost impossible, but trying to get as close as you can when writing a Welsh form is usually best practice.
2020-02-25T15:07:52-05:00By Poetics Online|
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Apologies for not being around much since my Favourite Albums of 2014 splurge a few months back. I really wish I had an exciting excuse for my absence as well. But, sadly, it's simply that my long-suffering Mac decided it was time to lay down and die earlier in the year.
I'm not in any position to be buying another computer soon either. So that essentially means my writing career is dead in the water. Still, such is life, and rather than mope about that, I thought I'd take the opportunity to keep on highlighting some great New Zealand music whenever I can wrangle time on a computer somewhere.
Today's a good day to start that wrangling too. Because May 1st marks the beginning of New Zealand Music Month. If you're reading this from far away, and you're wondering exactly what New Zealand Music Month entails, it's exactly as it sounds. It's a month where homegrown music is wholeheartedly celebrated in New Zealand with a lot more local shows and stacks of media coverage.
Generally, all that coverage favours mainstream bands. And you'll find New Zealand musicians and music fans who don't think NZ Music Month amounts to much at all. I'm not one of those people. I think, if I have the chance to shout about the New Zealand bands I like, then I'll take every opportunity I get to do just that. So, in that spirit, I thought I'd do my bit for New Zealand Music Month by doing a quick post every day during May to shine the spotlight on some great metal, punk, or hard-edged experimental music from round my neck of the woods.
You can follow my posts right here, on my Twitter account, or on Six Noises' Facebook page.
First up, here's Auckland doom/heavyweight stoner rock band Lord of Solitude. The band released a couple of tracks via Bandcamp a few days ago, and they're well worth checking out. Enjoy.


43. Description. (Summarize the nature of the application and the services to be provided). Application for registration of a new Domestic Receive Only earth station. This station includes one antenna that and is used only for reception of analog audio from U.S. licensed satellites (ALSAT).