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Ten crucial questions about the world in 2023
The New Statesman's writer at large identifies important global trends for the year ahead – and makes some predictions.
By Jeremy Cliffe
Sviatohirsk Cave Monastery, damaged by shelling, in Sviatohirsk, Donetsk, eastern Ukraine. Russia will be hoping that the West tires of supporting Kyiv. Photo by Sameer Al-Doumy/AFP
This is the fourth "ten crucial questions about the world" in the year ahead that I have written for the New Statesman. To look back on the past three is to recognise the imperfect nature of the exercise. In early 2020 I concentrated not on whether the world would soon be consumed by a pandemic but whether the US and Iran might go to war following America's assassination of the Iranian general Qasem Soleimani. At the start of 2021 I pondered whether vaccines would bring a return to normality, whether the US would really leave Afghanistan and who would win the German election. In early 2022 I reflected on the Russian troops massing on Ukraine's borders yet concluded that a full-scale invasion was unlikely.
But I offer three points in defence of the exercise. First, I have not yet raised a "crucial question" in one of these pieces that has not turned out to be genuinely crucial in the year that came. Second, where my predictions have been wrong, I have acknowledged as much at the end of each year by grading them each on a scale of zero (entirely wrong) to three (entirely right). My 2020 predictions scored 18 out of a possible 30, my 2021 ones scored one more, 19, and my 2022 ones scored 17. Third, to go back and reread those past "ten crucial questions", the predictions contained therein and the grading exercises one year after each is to recognise that there is value in asking oneself what matters and anticipating what might happen; not because one can ever get everything right, but because to do so is to force oneself to examine and test one's assumptions.
So in that spirit, here are ten crucial questions about the world in 2023 – and predictions for each. As ever, I will return to these in December to see how I did.
1. Will Russia use chemical or nuclear weapons in Ukraine?
Ukraine made some spectacular advances in the second half of 2022, around Kharkiv in the east and Kherson in the south. Might its next move be to cut the Russian-occupied zone of the country in two by retaking the Black Sea coastal corridor around Melitopol? That would put immense pressure on enemy forces on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River and in Crimea. The latter, occupied by Russia since 2014, is of particular sensitivity to the Kremlin. Might that be the point at which Vladimir Putin – his regime by this stage potentially wobbling – turns to chemical or nuclear weapons to reverse the tide of the war?
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Prediction: To attempt to read the mind of a dictator with a firm record of delusional behaviour is foolish, but to the extent that the Russian president retains some residual strategic faculties he will not take this step. His best hope is to slow the pace and intensity of the conflict, turning it into an attritional war and playing for time in the hope that the West will tire of backing Kyiv, especially following the 2024 US presidential election. To break the taboo of chemical or nuclear weapons use would do the opposite, so I consider it unlikely.
2. Will the "Global West" continue to prove resilient?
Last year was when the "Global West" (the US plus its allies in Europe and the Pacific) showed its resilience. It found greater unity on the invasion of Ukraine than many would have predicted, Nato has been revitalised by the war and the new security reality in Europe, while in Asia the US has deepened its alliances and shown its enduring technological power in the form of the Chips Act, a major blow to the strategically crucial Chinese semiconductors industry. Will this trend continue in 2023?
Prediction: Fractures will grow in 2023. Joe Biden's administration will not give up the vast subsidies and "Buy American" provisions in its Inflation Reduction Act. Rather, with the 2024 election nearing and the economic interests of blue-collar swing states growing in political salience, it will deepen them. Particularly in a year of global recession, this will inflame relations with the rest of the Global West and prompt tit-for-tat protectionism. Divisions will also grow over China (with Germany, France and Italy seeking a more independent relationship and even Pacific allies like Japan and South Korea bridling at elements of the "tech war") and over the endgame in Ukraine (where Western unity will come under strain as debates intensify over whether and when to nudge Kyiv towards the negotiating table).
3. Will Nigeria turn a corner?
Africa's most populous country holds a general election on 25 February, when it will elect a new federal president and new upper and lower houses of the federal legislature. Nigeria has the potential to be one of the giants of the 21st century; the World Bank predicts that by 2100 it will be the world's second-most populous country after India. But even since its first democratic transfer of power in 2015 it has struggled with a dysfunctional economy, regional conflict, corruption and jihadism. At the vote next month many younger voters are vesting their hopes in Peter Obi, a social-media savvy third-party candidate pledging a fresh start and accountability, as a means of moving beyond the country's discredited two-party system. Will they prevail?
Prediction: Nigeria's electoral system tends to favour two-party politics, because it rewards geographical breadth of support. Obi's backers are concentrated in centres like Lagos in the urban south. So his victory remains a long shot.
4. Will there be de-escalation or yet greater tensions in the eastern Mediterranean?
Tensions in the eastern Mediterranean rose markedly in 2022. This was especially down to Turkey's autocratic president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who had a bad year economically at home, but a good one internationally as an influential broker between the West and Russia. This combination of domestic weakness and foreign strength saw him escalate tensions with Greece (warning last month that Turkish missiles could hit Athens), Cyprus (intensifying Turkish drilling activities off the island's coast) and the Kurds (whom he blames for the terrorist attack in Istanbul in November). In June 2023 Turkey goes to the polls. How will that affect a region that looks increasingly like a powder keg?
Prediction: Tempers will boil over into a full-blown security crisis. Polling puts Erdoğan in line with, or even behind, the opposition in the election and it is a real possibility that he will lose power. That in itself would be a good thing. But in the six months before the election, that prospect may well prompt the Turkish president to use foreign-policy adventurism to rally support or even justify postponing the vote. This might take the form of launching a ground incursion against Kurds in northern Syria (to the benefit of Islamic State), triggering a naval crisis off Cyprus or landing troops on one or more of the Greek islands. That the Greek prime minister, Kyriakos Mitsotakis, who is mired in a wiretapping scandal, also faces an election by July only increases the chances of escalation in the Aegean.
5. Will India emerge as a new superpower?
No major economy grew as fast as India's in 2022. China's woes and growing trans-Pacific tensions are encouraging international firms to turn instead to the subcontinent. India has also benefited from the digital boom of recent years, for which its services economy in centres like Bangalore has been well-placed. Like Turkey it has gained leverage by being a "pivot" state in the global response to Putin's war in Ukraine – it is also a partner crucial to the US in its rivalry with China. Also significantly, India will in 2023 overtake China to become the world's most populous country. In the year to come, will these developments converge to make India a third superpower alongside the US and China?
Prediction: There are indeed reasons to be bullish on India. Yet its politics provides countervailing grounds for scepticism. Narendra Modi, the prime minister, has lately intensified his assertion of a Hindu chauvinist national identity that marginalises hundreds of millions of Indians, sows the seeds of conflict and violence and threatens to stifle the country's energies. With an election looming in 2024, his focus will be on reinforcing his nationalist BJP's electorate. That is not a solid basis for Indian superpower-dom.
6. Will Russia hold together?
The war in Ukraine has made Putin more dependent on Russia's periphery. He has drawn disproportionately on the outlying republics within its borders, like Chechnya, Dagestan and Buryatia, for troops to send to the front. Figures with power-bases there, like Ramzan Kadyrov, head of the Chechen Republic, and the head of the Wagner mercenary group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, have grown in influence. And as the quagmire in Ukraine has diminished Putin's global standing he has also become more reliant on states just beyond his borders, like Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, for enduring international influence.
Prediction: In 2023, as the war drags on and its futility becomes more obvious at home, the centrifugal forces spinning these satellites of the old Russian empire outwards will accelerate. Unrest will grow in the internal republics, possibly up to the point of breakaway attempts and civil war. Instability there will recoil onto the Russian metropole, from its depoliticised business elites to the siloviki (the influential military officers in government) around Putin, from whom his successor will be drawn in the conceivable, though not yet probable, event that he falls. Meanwhile from Minsk to Bishkek, states formerly ascribed to Russia's "near abroad" will increasingly disregard and even confront Moscow and turn instead to other powers – from the US and EU to Turkey and China.
7. Will Iran's protests contribute to peace in the Middle East?
Iranian protesters, overwhelmingly women, took to the streets following the death in September of the student Mahsa Amini at the hands of the morality policy for allegedly failing to wear her headscarf correctly. They have snowballed and put the Khamenei regime under real pressure. At the time of writing, early elections are mooted. Regime change cannot be ruled out. So what will an Islamic Republic in flux mean for the wider Middle East?
Prediction: Some form of substantive shift in the regional balance of power will originate in Iran this year. The optimistic scenario is that the protesters prevail, the Khamenei regime is overthrown (or at least replaced with some new transitional authority) and Tehran's international relations are reset for the better. Unfortunately, the pessimistic scenarios are both more likely and more numerous. It could be that the regime stirs up conflict in the wider Middle East to reassert its supremacy at home, as it has done before. Instability might also come from Iran's deepening military alliance with Russia and the emboldening effect of the new air defences and jets it stands to receive from Moscow in return for its drones and ballistic missiles. Or it might result from the acceleration of Iran's nuclear programme, with Tehran now intensifying its enrichment of uranium after talks in Vienna stalled in September. Whether expressed through its proxies in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen, or in direct belligerence towards powers like Israel or Saudi Arabia, one or more of these shifts will meaningfully change the geopolitics of the region in the next 12 months.
8. Will the EU seize its window for reform?
Things are stirring in the European Union. The war in Ukraine has pushed defence and energy integration up the agenda. Momentum behind new eastern enlargement is growing and with it the case to overhaul the union in preparation, by streamlining decision-making on major economic and foreign policy topics for example. The European Commission and Parliament are both arguing for a convention leading to treaty change as part of the Conference on the Future of Europe (a sort of citizen consultation exercise) and Paris, Brussels and Berlin agree big reforms of some form are needed. Coming between the 2021-22 Franco-German election season and the 2024 European election and institutional turnover, 2023 is the obvious window for change. Will the chance be seized?
Prediction: Internal divisions will mean the union largely misses it. Relations between France and Germany are tetchy and both have lost face in central and eastern states over their comparatively conciliatory stance towards Russia. Right-wing populist governments in Italy and Poland (at least until the latter's election in the autumn, which might bring in a more moderate, pro-European government in Warsaw) do not help either. Combined with grim economic news and a yet harsher, though survivable, energy crunch next winter, all this will mean that the EU muddles through the year, with at most patchy and sporadic progress on topics such as defence, rather than achieve the great leap forward needed.
9. Where will the unexpected bad news occur?
Every year crises or disasters occur that are not on the calendar, yet rise to the top of the global news agenda. Recently, disproportionately many of them have been products of international interdependence ("connectivity wars", Mark Leonard calls them in his book The Age of Unpeace). That trend allows us to highlight some of the known unknowns that could become major stories.
Prediction: Here I roll forward two items from my 2022 "bad news" entry: the world continues to underestimate the chance of the fragile peace in the western Balkans breaking down and of a crippling cyberattack or some other meltdown of its increasingly sensitive digital infrastructure. Other areas of concern: a worse-than-expected global economic turndown; a major increase in European populist authoritarianism amid the continent's economic difficulties; the Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva becoming mired in domestic difficulties and hence falling short of expectations, particularly on the Amazon; growing authoritarianism in states such as Algeria and Tunisia triggering new crisis in north Africa; humanitarian or security crises accentuated in the world's poorest regions by the global slowdown; and a resurgence of Covid-19 brought on by China's sudden abandonment of its "zero-Covid" strategy.
10. Where will the unexpected good news occur?
Where the bad news is often, though not always, sudden and dramatic, the good news of a given year often takes place far from the television cameras and the rankings of social media trends. Yet these items can be even more significant than the doom-laden stories that make the headlines. Here, too, it is worth contemplating the "known unknowns".
Prediction: As with the bad news, here my "predictions" are more points to watch – of varying degrees of likelihood. One good news item almost certain to materialise is that the roll-out of renewable energy around the world will greatly accelerate under the pressure of the energy crisis. Another reasonable bet, given the pace of advance already, is that the mRNA vaccine breakthroughs of Covid-19 will generate at least one major breakthrough in another field, like cancer. Less certain are potentially positive events in specific countries. Lula could surprise on the upside in Brazil, especially when it comes to the existential question of the Amazon's future. Ethiopia in November reached a ceasefire in its Tigray War. Could that mean a move back from the brink towards the great hopes vested in that country only a short few years ago? In Europe, some countries could defy the prevalent gloom: Britain's relations with the EU may improve; Spain's election may not, as widely expected, see the country's far-right join the first national government since the Franco years; there is a genuine chance that the authoritarian Law and Justice party will lose power at the autumn Polish election.
[See also: What China's devastating Covid outbreak means for the rest of the world]
Topics in this article : Climate change , European Union , Iran , Russia , Vladimir Putin
Jeremy Cliffe
@JeremyCliffe
Jeremy Cliffe is Writer at Large, based in Berlin. He focuses on Europe and global politics. Formerly he was International Editor and before that The Economist's Charlemagne columnist and Brussels Bureau Chief.
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Q: sending file using built in bluetooth application in android I am sending file using following code in my android application :
Intent intent = new Intent();
intent.setAction(Intent.ACTION_SEND);
intent.setType("image/png");
intent.putExtra(Intent.EXTRA_STREAM, Uri.fromFile(file) );
startActivity(intent);

But it shows me list like email , bluetooth , and many other. I dont want this list and should be sent directly  without user interaction to perticular paired device .
Is it possible in android ?
Thanks in advance.

A: Nope, current API's will not allow you to bypass user confirmation, but you can do this programmatically using the Bluetooth API's after the pairing stage. Establish a RFCOMM and then use InputStream/OutputStream to receive/send files. A great place to start is looking at the BluetoothChat example by google.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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Rolls-Royce Silver Cloud - 1964
12:03:00 AM By Unknown 1964, Classic Car, R, Rolls Royce, Silver Cloud 0 comments
ROLLS ROYCE SILVER CLOUD ....
After the Second World War, Rolls-Royce Silver Cloud, literally meaning "Rolls-Royce Silver Cloud" is the main model of the British manufacturer " Rolls-Royce Limited . " The amazing Rolls-Royce Silver Cloud is probably the car that has the most success for the brand. The range of cars is built from 15 April 1955 until 31 March 1966 and replaces the Silver Dawn "Dawn of money" directly into the factory Rolls-Royce in England ....
The Rolls Royce Silver Cloud Silver Dawn succeeds in 1955. It is also built on a separate chassis, as was done at the time that can be delivered directly to bodybuilders chosen by customers as James Young, Mulliner Park Ward or. The rear suspension is always made of a rigid axle suspended by a leaf spring. It measures 5.38 m long, 1.89 m wide and weighs about 1.95 tonne. A long-wheelbase version, stretched to 101.6 mm, was available from September 1957, very similar in appearance to the standard model, but with more space for passengers. In a very elegant, flowing lines make the Rolls Royce Silver Cloud the most beautiful of all Rolls-Royce factory bodywork. Despite its imposing proportions, no heaviness, that the majesty and distinction ....
Last Rolls-Royce separate chassis, the Rolls Royce Silver Cloud beat, with nearly 7,500 units built, all production records of the firm. The four drum brakes are hydraulic and assisted. The suspension is independent wheels on the front axle and rigid semi-elliptic springs back. The steering became an option in 1956, and air conditioning. In addition to the sedan, the Silver Cloud, during its ten years of existence, received some body coupes and convertibles. As long versions, they were mostly bodied by James Young. These are ceremonial limousines for rich people or royalty, the image of the Parisian dealer ordered to by King Hassan II of Morocco (two-door version). Between 1955 and 1966, it will be available in three versions slightly improved both technically and amenities and accessories. Ultimately, the main improvement of the Rolls Royce Silver Cloud will be in 1958, when the 6-cylinder engine was replaced by a V8 with the dual aim of improving performance and satisfy a demand of the U.S. market, rather accustomed to this kind motorization ....
In 1963 presented the Rolls Royce Silver Cloud III Version. Weight is increased with 100 kg lost on the scale. The new changes will focus primarily on the inside and more particularly to a new redesigned dashboard with instruments that are now grouped behind the wheel. The equipment adopts electric windows, the interior is slightly revised in its ergonomics and comfort. Finally, transformations are discrete but effective and Rolls Royce Silver Cloud does is thereby not fundamentally transformed in order to continue to receive clients who appreciate ride comfortably in a real English show and everything Cathedral in silence ....
Regarding the mechanics of the Rolls Royce Silver Cloud , it was originally equipped with a six-cylinder antique cast iron reaches the end of development and whose design dates back to 1922. The Silver Cloud I will actually release the last six cylinders Crewe since version II Silver Cloud dedicates the passage of Rolls-Royce V8 in 1959. The impressive 6.2-liter V8 engine of short-stroke crankshaft and mounted on five stages is made of aluminum, with a block and cylinder heads interchangeable. It is also equipped with hydraulic valve lifters. Power is supplied by two SU carburetors and modified the compression ratio is 9:1. It evaluates its power, because it is not officially announced by the factory to a value close to 220 hp at 4500 r / min. The automatic transmission version is entrusted to three reports of the General Motors Hydramatic box. Despite its 2100 kg, speed approaching 185 km / h and runs from 0 to 100 km / h in about 12 seconds, rather flattering figures for limousine luxury of time. In driving sustained consumption flirts with thirty liters per hundred kilometers. With three versions, the Rolls Royce Silver Cloud is by far the "best-seller" of the famous British brand. Vintage Classic model popular with collectors today is trading around € 50,000 in good condition. In 1966, it was replaced by the Silver Shadow ....
Displacement: 6.2 Liters
Power: 220 hp at 4500 r / min
Speed: 185 km / h
Acceleration: 0 to 100 in 12'' 0
Alfa Romeo Alfetta GTV 6-1980
Opel Manta B I240 - 1978
Bertone Mantide - 2009
Oldsmobile 98 Coupe Hardtop - 1960
Holden Hurricane - 1969
By Generation
Click to choose a label Classic Car (37) GT and Super Car (1) Modern Car (7)
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Authored by Martin W. Bowman.
We have a copy, the original English version, in hardcover. Published by The Crowood Press (Marlborough) in 2002 and issued with the 1861264925 ISBN number. This book is 28.5cm tall, 23cm wide and 2.1cm deep.
It is in fine condition despite sligth marks of use on dust cover.


MBC Pro Sports 1 HD, 2 HD, 3 HD 4 @ 3.1E - Satellite Channels Info.
Know about MBC Pro, It is feeds are available on different satellites and are using Biss encryption, biss encryption can be decode with a 16 digit based key.
The Middle East Broadcasting Center (branded as MBC or MBC Group) is the first private free-to-air satellite broadcasting company in the Arab World. It was launched in London in 1991 and later moved to its headquarters in Dubai in 2002. MBC Group provides multiple channels of information, interaction and entertainment. MBC Group includes 11 television channels: MBC1 (general family entertainment via terrestrial), MBC2 and MBC MAX (24-hour movies), MBC3 (children's entertainment), MBC4 (entertainment for new Arab women via terrestrial), MBC Action (action series and movies via terrestrial), MBC Persia (24-hour movie channel dubbed in Persian), MBC Bollywood (24-hour Bollywood movies dubbed in Arabic), Al Arabiya (the 24-hour Arabic language news channel); Wanasah (24-hour Arabic music channel) and MBC Drama coinciding with the Group's 20th anniversary, and offers 24/7 Arabic Drama. The Group also includes two radio stations: MBC FM (Gulf music), and Panorama FM (contemporary Arabic hit music); as well as O3 productions, a specialized documentary production unit.
Here are some recently found MBC Pro Feeds with their biss keys.


Trafalgars – St Patricks Day – Morrissey Homestead Inc.
Today we are going to stay local and join others for an Irish lunch at Trafalgars. With music playing throughout the day we can sit and enjoy a yummy meal. Even get up and have a dance. Don't forget to come dressed in your green clothes from hats to shoes. MUST HAVE PROOF OF ID CARD.


Byculla zoo was eastablished in the year 1861 and is formerly known as Rani Bagh or Jijamata Udyaan. It is located in Byculla and is the oldest zoo in India. It is spread over 48 acres. The zoo also provide good facilities to its visitors like good parking area for visitors, clean washrooms and there is also cafe for refreshment.
Regular days timings is from 09:00 AM To 05:30 PM. The zoo is closed on Wednesday.
The zoo has multiple attractions like double-beaked hornbills, pelicans, egrets, Japanese storks. The best attraction for kids is the teasing monkey and singing birds. There are big giant elephants which also attracts the visitors alot. Then comes the large crocodile pond where the crocodiles hanging around the pit. There is the lioness named Jimmy. You can also see two pink hippopotamus and a rhino in the pond.


Here at DC Engaged, we know that no matter how different you may be from every other client we have sent down the aisle, there is one thing we know that you value! Without a shadow of a doubt every single person we serves values the power of a partnership!
Partnership is more than a tax benefit, it is someone to collaborate with, bounce ideas off of, and build a dream. Partnerships are an inate support structure that enablesyou to see the gaps in skills and help to fill them. It is an opportunity to build ideas off of and to support each other's natural talents. It is a person, who you know will be with you through thick and then.
Because we know partnership is so important to you, we have made sure it is part of the very DNA of our company. When you book with us, you don't just get one planner, you get two. While one planner is there to take the lead and be your primary point of contact, your planner also has a backup with her every step of the way. This ensures that you don't need to worry if your planner is going to get hit by a bus the morning of your wedding, because you have a second planner, who knows you and your wedding inside and out, ready to step in and take over.
An Introvert's Guide to Wedding Day!
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Q: Create a tar.gz file and transfer it to network server I have a Raspberry pi running on my home network along with a Macintosh that acts as a backup server.  I am attempting to craft a Python3 script that will run on the Pi to create a tar.gz backup of the Pi's home folder (along with all of the contents) and transfer it to the Macintosh using SSH.  I have the SSH connection (using keys) running but am stumped when I try to create the backup file and transfer it.
My code so far:
#!/usr/bin/python3

import paramiko
import tarfile
import os

ssh_client = paramiko.SSHClient()
ssh_client.set_missing_host_key_policy(paramiko.AutoAddPolicy())
ssh_client.connnect(hostname = '192.168.1.151', username = 'usernamehere')

print("I'm  connected!")

#The following statement is the problem as I see it

tar czvf -  ./home/PiOne/ | ssh_client -w:gz "cat > ./Volumes/PiBackups/PiOne/PiOneClone.tar.gz"

print("File transferred!")

ssh_client.close

I would appreciate any help in creating the script!

A: I think there is something easier to transfer a file from your VM to your local machine. Also that you are using SSH
scp -i /path/your/targz/file user@ip:/path/to/local/machine

Check permission while doing that using
ls -lh


Sears employees told NOT to speak Spanish!!!
If I moved to another country I would learn their language out of respect to their country. Also as a way to find my way around and communicate with folks. No here WE are expected to learn somebody's language who decides to come here or pay for interpreters and the like so THEY can communicate and get around. We print up government documents in all kinds of different languages that costs piles of money to do so. On and on and we pay for it all through taxation. It's complete nonsense. I haven't shopped at Sears for some time but will be perusing their wares this weekend. Somebody finally steps up against the insanity that is being pushed onto us all.
In American people need to speak and read English.
I am sick hearing and seeing all that other crap as English should be forced to be used in America.
If people can read or speak OUR language then they need to learn it or leave.
English is the pre dominant language of the US and most of the business world. However you have crazy Xenephobic Americans who hear another language ( in this case Spanish) and feel "threatened by it.
We went through this debacle in Miami in the 1970s when there a referendum to make "English" the official language of Miami and it failed!
Guess what? English is still spoken in Miami inspite of having the highest foreign born population of any major city in the country! Miami has 3 official languages now and that is English, Spanish & Creole and it reflects it's population. Isn't that what Government is supposed to do? Serve it's population?
I really don't get why so many Americans are scared of speaking another language like Spanish considering we have about half a billion people to the south of us whose language is Spanish.
Every time you utter these state's names you are speaking Spanish : Nevada, Colorada, Arizona, Florida, Texas (Tejas) , Montana , California, etc.
No, it is your attitude that is stupid. Co-workers when on the clock should be speaking English. Even when off the clock (breaks and lunches) is it very devisive blabbing in a foreign language when those conserving know English. At least have the decency to go off in a private corner to hold your foreign language conversation.
I'm afraid that the laws pertain to the "provider" of the services. If you own a restaurant, you can not refuse to serve an Afro-American because his/her skin is dark. You must treat ALL RACE, COLOR, CREED. OR NATIONAL ORIGIN equally. Language is part of that treatment. It follows NATIONAL ORIGIN. Federal law. And, it's being violated.
If a patron of a business does not speak English (hopefully they are a tourist and not a citizen) and an worker interpreter can be provided that's fine but I object to workers on the clock conversing with each other in a foreign language when they know English. Why in the world would you bring up skin color? It has nothing to do with it.


Firstly, starting an online business can be cost-effective is advertised, it sure is a tangible source of income for you. In case you wish to target television audience, you can tie up other ways to earn money online has increased by leaps and bounds. Optimization is the key to achieve higher rankings, of revenue generation for a business and gets paid for his efforts. Wordpress and Blogger are two popular platforms that provide a contains title tags and meta tags in the correct form. Suppose you are looking for the nearest spot near your city to go those are as follows: Starting a travel agency is a lucrative business idea.


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Using the narrative of Le Petit Prince as her guide, Tory Burch's Resort '19 presentation formed a c..
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UK-based makeup brand, Illamasqua famous for its extravagant products is now about to release s new astounding nail polish collection, which is inspired by the Rave scene of the 90's. The new nail lacquer collection, Paranormal UV promises to be quite surprising once you go under dim club lights.
With just three colors for the nail polish, Illamasqua manages to draw all of our attention, because all of the three tones glow under a black light. Moreover, if you apply a UV top coat, that is entitled mysteriously – Geist, the dull nail polish will be glowing in the dark in the intimate clubbing atmosphere. The UV top coat can also be used to create different patterns that will also glow in the dark under certain lighting.
So this way you get a day and night nail polish in one bottle. Besides, the UV top coat might be quite a find, as it might turn any nail polish ready for rave night out. The official sales of the Summer 2013 Paranormal UV Collection were launched on April 30, 2013 and they will be available at Sephora for $17.00 each.


I am positively preoccupied by the idea of a getaway. A trip to a coast with crystal clear waters, soft white towels and refreshments served a la coconut. May has arrived in sunshiney grandeur, holding the promise of new travel destinations and new ventures, so in celebration of the adventure ahead I've been letting my mind do some additional wandering. Perhaps not to all corners of the earth that are still new to me; really, it's just the sandiest ones.


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SEEMAXRUN
holidays, humor
return of what denis leary thinks about st. patrick's day
Because this post is just that cool. Yay! [Also I always pray to God I am spelling that man's name right, ahhh!]
I wish I could tell you —
The original source for this. I can't. I found it on Tumblr and have always loved it. If you know the original source, drop me a line. Meanwhile —
What Denis Leary Thinks About St. Patrick's Day
First thing's first: There are many Irish-Americans in this country who
celebrate St. Patrick's Day in a quiet and sober manner, perhaps heading off to work with a muted-olive tie or a small emerald pin as their nod to the day's events. There are also those who go to the 7 A.M. mass at St. Patrick's Cathedral and consider the day a prayerful tribute to the patron saint of all things green. There are still others who awaken the morning of March 17 and carry on as if it were just another 24 hours — no drinking, no fighting, no puking.
I don't know any of these people.
Therefore, this piece will be about the red-blooded, hard-boiled, hammer headed souls who patrol the St. Patrick's Day arena as if it were life's last call. If you consider the image of a working-class Mick named Fitzy caterwauling down Fifth Avenue wearing a kelly-green plastic derby, well oiled on whiskey and slurring his words, an offensive and demeaning stereotype, then call the Irish Anti-Defamation League (IDLE) right now. I think the number is 1-800-NO-FITZY.
I've spent several hundred official and unofficial St. Patrick's Day celebrations in New York City over the years, and the calm, bespectacled intellectual Irishman clutching his copy of Finnegan's Wake is a rare sight
indeed. Unless he's passed out around 3:15 A.M. in the back booth at McQuigan's Pub.
No, March 17 is not for the squeamish. It's for the thirsty masses. Those young rebels willing to shout and scream about their Irish blood, the chosen few who will toss raw eggs into open cab windows, the banshees who only want (as House of Pain so eloquently put it) to "get off their feet and jump around." That's what St. Patrick's Day is all about. Doing incredibly stupid things while under the influence of alcohol and wearing neon-green clothing.
Herewith, a guide to spending the day in the Big Apple. This is what I'll probably be doing this year.
Meet best friend Sully at Greek diner for traditional Irish-American breakfast of wet toast, runny eggs, cold home fries, bitter black coffee, three cigarettes, and the sports page. Curse the Knicks. Marvel at pat Riley's hair.
Corner of Ninth and 39th. Ring Fitzy's buzzer 23 times. On the twenty-fourth try, he buzzes us up. Find him naked on the living-room floor surrounded by empty Bud Tall Boys and an open can of paint. His entire body, including his hair, is green.
Arrive at the corner of 51st and Fifth and take our places for the parade. Sully steals three cans of Molson out of some Italian guy's cooler. Fitzy tosses a half-eaten green hot dog into the middle of the Staten Island Marching Men's Choir.
Fitzy gives Mayor Giuliani the finger. Mayor waves back. "Fuckin' typical," Sully says. Fitzy steals three more beers from the Italian guy.
The Francis Mulcahy School of Irish Step Dancing pauses right in front of us and runs through a rigmarole of jigs and reels. Fitzy bops out into the street and joins them by doing a variation on the twist. Two cops promptly escort him back to the curb. Ends up one of them (Blaney) is Sully's second cousin. All charges dropped. I steal a few more beers out of the cooler. We toast the NYPD.
The Italian guy accuses us of raiding his stash. Waves his fists in the air. Sully punches him on the neck. Fitzy pulls out a lighter and starts to melt the cooler. Two more cops show up. So happens, one of them (O'Keefe) is Fitzy's dad's old neighbor from Brooklyn. Tells the Italian guy to "Move it along, pal, this ain't Columbus Day." Brawl breaks out between Irish and Italian bystanders. We throw several punches, grab the cooler, and split.
Drop into St. Patrick's Cathedral for a quick gander at the Lord. Crack open a couple of beers. Sully and I debate the merits of a short confession. Sully's argument — "In a half hour, at the bar at Paddy Reilly's it's gonna be standin'-room only" — wins out over mine, which involves Eternal Damnation. We opt for a fast Our Father, five bucks in the poor box, and a brief round of candle-lighting. Fitzy, meanwhile, steals a sip of Holy Water.
In the cab downtown, our driver, one Adjid Sakeel, expresses his opinion that the Irish Lesbian and Gay Organization should be allowed to march in the parade. Fitzy — his large green mug plugged right into the pay slot — begs to differ: "They awready got their own parade downtown inna Village. We don't go down there, so why should they come uptown ta ours?" Adjid says, "Because this is America." "No it ain't," counters Fitzy. "This is New York City. It's a whole different ball game." The argument ends with Fitzy barking like a dog and Adjid veering all over Second Avenue. We get out at 29th Street. I give Adjid a $3 tip and the cooler.
Stop in at Paddy Reilly's for a few pops. Several rounds of green beer and whiskey. Rogues March — a local band made up of guys who used to know members of the Pogues — bash through a loud, boisterous show. The lead singer — Joe Hurley — stretches his voice to the point of aneurysm. We toast the IRA. We toast the cease-fire. We toast the pope. Fitzy pukes.
Stop in at Molly Malone's Pub for a few more pops. Eat several slices of green pizza made by Sweeney the Bartender's wife. She's Italian. We drink green champagne and vodka. Sweeney calls JFK the greatest man who ever lived. Fitzy calls Mario Cuomo a fag. Mrs. Sweeney kicks Fitzy. Sully pukes.
About a Quarter Past Eight
Over at the Emerald Inn, we drink green Guinness and recite dialogue from The Quiet Man verbatim. The Stogues — a local band made up of guys who used to know the mother of one of the guys in the Pogues — play "Danny Boy," and Fitzy starts to cry, green tears streaming down his puffy green cheeks. As Sully and I pat Fitzy on the back, the lead singer passes out.
Sometime After Ten
Head over to A Blarney Stone, where we order a drink called the Shane
MacGowan — three ounces of vodka, four ounces of gin, six ounces of Irish whiskey, a teaspoon of something that smells like turpentine, and half a beer. You gotta down it in two slugs. Makes you spout poetic musings with a tongue so thick only Shane could understand. The Problem is — he ain't here. Fitzy stuffs an entire green bagel in his mouth, swallows it almost whole, downs his MacGowan, and says, "Now this is the life!"
That Same Night
Stop in at Sin-é. Place holds only 75 people, 72 of whom look like they just stepped off the boat. People without green cards drinking green beer. We're in time to see another local band (really local, since they live in the cellar) take the stage. Call themselves the Fogues. Made up of guys who used to be friends with guys who once bought a round for the guys who used to roadie for the Stogues. During "Thousands Are Sailing," the guitar player leaps up into the air and stays there. For what seems like a long time. His head is stuck in the ceiling; he gets a standing ovation. The lead singer asks if there's a carpenter in the house. There is. Thirty-three of them, to be exact.
The fact that we're in the Dublin House is news to all three of us. But it's printed right there on the matches. And the wall. And the back of the bouncer's T-shirt. As my old man used to say: "Wherever the hell you go, there you fuckin' are."
Later Still
The thing about painting yourself green is this: It's a great symbolic way to show your support of the Old Country and your family tree, but it's a terrible way to go out drinking. Mostly because your friends can't tell when you're about to puke. The point is, we didn't see it coming when Fitzy leaned over an Englishman named Trevor — who was explaining his support of the peace process in Ireland — and let blow. The hot dog, the pizza, the bagel — they made a comeback even Travolta woulda been proud of. And set off a brawl the likes of which we may never see again. Seventeen Englishmen, 27 Micks, and a side order of Hispanic, African-American, and Polish guys. When the cops show up (Carelli, Tiveiros, Jackson, etc.) none of them is related to Fitzy or Sully, so they just pack the whole melting pot in the back of a couple of paddy wagons (just for the sake of historical irony, I guess) and drop us off downtown. I share a cell with Fitzy and a Puerto Rican plumber named Bob. He says the cell gives him "déja-vu" because he had the same one after the Puerto Rican Day Parade last year.
I wake up to the sound of Mickey Mantle repeatedly pounding a Louisville Slugger across the side of my face. I make a count of my few remaining brain cells — eight and holding. Bob's droning on about pipe wrenches and putty knives when they come to take us to court. Ends up the judge (McSwiggin) is not only a fifth cousin of Fitzy's mom but also happened to be in Dublin House last night when the hot dog hit the fan. He thinks the Englishman, the Queen, and the United Kingdom had it coming. All charges dropped. (That should be the motto above the entrance to the Irish Embassy.) We tell the judge about Sully, and fifteen minutes later, me, Sully, Fitzy, and Bob are sitting in P.J. Clarke's chugging Bloody Marys and discussing the merits of indoor plumbing — copper pipe vs. plastic. Fitzy says he likes plastic: "It's more modern. And it don't look shiny." Sully and I make our minds. Bob turning a light shade of burnt sienna — pukes.
copyright Max Adams ©
Photo credits Chesher Cat & John Allen
Today's social media platform experiment: CounterSocial


Budapest's public bike-sharing system is a great way to travel around the city – and the first half an hour of each ride is free! Unlock a bike and get riding today: it is faster than walking and cheaper than a cab, plus you can discover the amazing sights of Budapest!
You can hire bikes using Budapest's public bike-sharing system, MOL Bubi.
There are currently 126 docking stations and 1,526 public bikes available for use all over the city.
It costs 500 HUF to access the system for 24 hours: the first 30 minutes of each journey is free.
For continuous use over 30 minutes, an overuse fee of 500 HUF is charged for each additional 30 minutes.
Bikes can be picked up using a bank card at the touchscreen terminals of the docking stations, via the website or using the official MOL Bubi app.
The scheme includes the Buda side, so you can saddle up anywhere downtown cross a bridge to Batthyány Square, or start at Clark Ádám Square in Buda and finish at Fővám Square in Pest. When planning your journey, make sure to check online whether there are bicycles available at the station of your choice, where the nearest docking station is and if your destination is within 30 minutes by bike. For example, to get started, you can buy a 500 HUF access for 24 hours, ride the bike for 25 minutes in the city center and return the bike to one of the stations in District 5. Later the same day, you pick up another bike and ride for about 20 minutes to Margaret bridge and return the bike at nearby Jászai Mari Square. The first 30 minutes of each journey is free so if you make sure that you dock back each bike before the 30 minutes are up and pick up a new one to continue your trip, you can ride free all day with a 500 HUF ticket.
The MOL Bubi bikes are available for pickup at any of the docking station terminals – just touch the screen and follow the instructions to begin.
Getting started is easy – simply hire a bike, ride it where you like, then return it to any of the docking stations across the city.
In possession of a valid ticket or pass, you can use the system free of charge for up to 30 minutes per hire. Please always double check that the bike is securely docked and it cannot be removed by trying to pull it out. This is essential, otherwise the system will not detect that you stopped using the bike and it will continue to count usage time/fees. For continuous rides over 30 minutes, extra usage fees apply, which gradually increase depending on the period of use!
Please note: When purchasing a ticket, a deposit of 25,000 HUF per bike is blocked in your bank account. When the validity period of the ticket expires – after 24 or 72 hours or one week (168 hours), respectively – payment is settled and the fee of the purchased ticket, the usage fee for rides over 30 minutes are deducted from the deposit. In case you requested a VAT invoice, the postal fee will also be deducted. Unblocking of the deposit will take place – depending on the procedures of the issuing card company and your bank – within 4-15 banking days after the expiration of the validity period of your ticket.
The MOL Bubi system can also be used with either your registered mobile phone number along with the 6-digit PIN-code, or with the help of the MOL Bubi mobile app. BKK Centre for Budapest Transport does not provide user insurance coverage for general passenger liability for accidents or third-party liability. Customers are advised to get private insurance. Most bankcards include some type of insurance and also household insurance policies contain liability coverage.
Get familiar with the Hungarian cycling rules with the help of this useful Cycling Knowledge Base before you enter traffic.


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Q: How to select columns from active record? Using Devise to set the current user and current company,
I have an active record of User which contains certain fields that should not be exposed in some cases like password etc.
#<User email:*** password:***>
How can we select only selected attributes and keep them as active record object only.
output should be
#<User email:****>
current_user is getting created from devise helper.

A: In Active Record, you can use the select method to choose the attributes you want to retrieve from the database. Here's an example:
current_user.select(:email)
This will return a new Active Record object with only the email attribute populated, while keeping the other attributes as nil.
Note that select returns a new instance of the Active Record object and does not modify the original object. To persist the changes, you need to assign the result to a new variable or update the original object:
selected_user = current_user.select(:email)
Alternatively, you can use the attributes method to retrieve a hash of attribute names and values, and then select only the desired attributes:
 attributes = current_user.attributes.slice("email")
selected_user = User.new(attributes)
This will give you a new instance of the User model with only the selected attributes.


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Beatrice W. Welters Breast Health Outreach & Navigation Program
Email: bewell@nyumc.org
We help women in medically underserved communities access breast cancer screening, diagnosis, treatment, and support services.
The Beatrice W. Welters Breast Health Outreach and Navigation Program educates women about breast cancer and the critical importance of screening. Early screening can help identify cancer when it can be most effectively treated. The program also assists women in navigating the healthcare system through one-on-one guidance and direct interaction.
Through the Welters Program at Perlmutter Cancer Center, patient navigators identify women who could benefit from breast cancer screening through outreach and educational programs in community venues that women routinely visit, such as beauty salons, churches, and mosques. This includes African American women, who are twice as likely to be diagnosed with aggressive types of breast cancer that are harder to treat, and Hispanic and Latina women, for whom breast cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related death.
Our certified genetic counselor helps patients understand their inherited cancer risk by reviewing personal and family medical history.
Our patient navigators help women secure breast health services, such as low-cost and free mammograms, and provide them with active support, from diagnosis and treatment to survivorship. This may include reminders about and rides to and from medical appointments, assistance with record keeping, and help communicating with doctors and other staff. The program also provides opportunities for women to have access to promising new therapies through clinical trials.
Women at high risk for breast cancer can access screening services by calling 844-902-9355 or emailing bewell@nyumc.org.
Beatrice W. Welters, former United States Ambassador to the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago, philanthropist, and Perlmutter Cancer Center advisory board member, established the program in 2016 after her own experience surviving breast cancer.
In addition to contributions from Ms. Welters and her family, the program has received philanthropic support from the Laura and Isaac Perlmutter Foundation.
Watch a video from WABC-TV to get more information about our program.
Kathie-Ann Joseph, MD,	MPH
Co-Director | Breast Surgery, Surgical Oncology
Dr. Joseph is an associate professor in the Department of Surgery at NYU Langone Health and director of breast surgery at NYC Health + Hospitals/Bellevue, where she is chair of the Cancer Center committee. She works with women who have breast disease and those who are at high risk of developing it. A recipient of the American Cancer Society's Leadership in Cancer Care Award, she has been named Physician of the Year at NYC Health + Hospitals/Bellevue and one of the top 10 Caribbean-born female doctors in the United States.
Joseph E. Ravenell, MD
Co-Director | Internal Medicine
Dr. Ravenell is an associate professor in the Departments of Population Health and Medicine and the associate dean for Diversity Affairs and Inclusion at NYU School of Medicine. In 2010, he established the Men's Health Initiative, a community-based research and outreach program to address health inequities in New York City. The initiative has partnered with more than 200 community-based organizations, provided cancer prevention education to more than 20,000 New Yorkers, and enrolled more than 1,000 black men into research studies that address colorectal cancer screening.
Anita McFarlane , MPH
Ms. McFarlane has served as the Director of Grants and Public Policy at Susan G. Komen Greater NYC. She has worked in cancer health disparities for more than 20 years.
Margaret Cheng , MSN, WHNP-BC
Case Manager and Clinical Coordinator
Ms. Cheng is a board-certified women's health nurse practitioner. She received a BA in psychology from Bryn Mawr College before earning a BSN and an MSN at the University of Pennsylvania with a specialty minor in adult oncology.
Megan Haseltine , LMSW
Administrative Director, Patient Screening and Navigation Programs
Ms. Haseltine has worked for the New York State Department of Health and community-based organizations in New York and St. Louis, Missouri. She is an adjunct faculty at the Silberman School of Social Work at Hunter College.
Patricia Hepburn-Moody
Community Health Representative and Patient Navigator
Ms. Hepburn-Moody works to increase awareness for cancer research and screening while navigating people through care. She has volunteered for the American Cancer Society.
Neftali Perez
Prior to joining the program, Mr. Perez was a mental health navigator for an ambulatory care clinic at NYC Health + Hospitals/Woodhull.
Berangere Pierre-Louis
Ms. Pierre-Louis has a background in colorectal cancer navigation as well as advocacy for children with special needs.
Karen Rosario
Ms. Rosario graduated with a BBA in business with a concentration in health. Prior to joining NYU Langone, she volunteered at NYC Health + Hospitals/Bellevue's patient advocacy office.
Lisa Vega
Ms. Vega has an MBA from the University of the West Indies, St. Augustine. A breast cancer survivor, she volunteers for the American Cancer Society and Susan G. Komen Greater NYC.
Sheila Willis
Ms. Willis has served as a navigator for the American Cancer Society. She is a passionate advocate who shares valuable health information with the public.
Cancer Research Needs More Minorities in Clinical Trials
Patient Navigates Healthcare Disparities with Expert


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L'eruzione del Nevado del Ruiz del 1985 è avvenuta dopo sessantanove anni di dormienza. Il 13 novembre 1985 l'eruzione del vulcano colse le città vicine impreparate, anche se il governo colombiano aveva ricevuto avvertimenti di evacuare la zona da più organizzazioni di vulcanologia quando erano state rilevate attività vulcaniche nel settembre del 1985. La lava conseguente all'eruzione provocò circa 23.000 morti.

Quando la colata piroclastica fuoriuscì dal cratere vulcanico, sciolse i ghiacciai delle montagne, creando quattro enormi lahar (colate di fango, frane e detriti indotte dal vulcano) che scesero a circa 60 Km/h. I lahar presero maggiore velocità incanalandosi nei sei principali fiumi alla base del vulcano ed infine riversandosi sulla città di Armero, uccidendo più di 20.000 dei suoi 29.000 abitanti. Contando le vittime di altre città, particolarmente di Chinchiná, le vittime in totale furono circa 23.000. Filmati e fotografie di Omayra Sánchez, una giovanissima vittima della tragedia, furono pubblicate in tutto il mondo. Altre fotografie dei lahar e le conseguenze del disastro catturarono l'attenzione di tutto il mondo e suscitando accese polemiche sul grado di responsabilità che aveva avuto il governo nel disastro. Uno striscione, esposto durante un funerale di massa celebrato ad Ibagué, recitava, "Il vulcano non ha ucciso 22.000 persone. Il governo le ha uccise".

Le operazioni di soccorso furono gravemente ostacolate dalla composizione del fango, che rese quasi impossibile muoversi senza rimanere bloccati. Nel tempo in cui gli operatori umanitari raggiunsero Armero, dodici ore dopo l'eruzione, molti dei feriti morirono. I soccorritori rimasero inorriditi davanti allo spettacolo che trovarono: alberi divelti, corpi umani sfigurati ed intere case ridotte a mucchi di detriti. Si è trattato della seconda eruzione vulcanica per numero di morti del ventesimo secolo, dietro soltanto all'eruzione del Monte Pelee del 1902, e la quarta a partire dal 1500. L'evento è stato una catastrofe prevedibile, aggravata dalla non consapevolezza del potenziale distruttivo del vulcano. Geologi e altri esperti avevano avvertito le autorità ed i mass media circa il pericolo imminente nel corso delle settimane e dei giorni precedenti all'eruzione. Le mappe delle città a rischio erano state preparate, ma non fu data loro sufficiente visibilità. Il giorno dell'eruzione si tentò di evacuare la città, ma una grave tempesta limitò le possibilità di comunicazione. Molte vittime rimasero nelle proprie abitazioni, così come erano state istruite, credendo che l'eruzione fosse finita mentre il forte rumore della tempesta potrebbe avere impedito a molti di sentire i rumori del Nevado del Ruiz, finché non fu troppo tardi.

Dopo il disastro, il Nevado del Ruiz eruttò più volte e continuò a minacciare le 500.000 persone che vivevano lungo le valli fluviali del Guali Combeima, Chinchina e Coello-Toche. Un lahar (o un gruppo di lahar) di dimensioni simili a quelle che si formarono nella tragedia del 1985, potrebbe raggiungere una distanza di circa 100 km dal vulcano, e potrebbe anche essere innescato da una piccola eruzione. Per contrastare questa minaccia, il governo colombiano ha istituito un ufficio specializzato, che promuove la consapevolezza delle minacce naturali. Lo United States Geological Survey ha anche creato il programma Volcano Disaster Assistance ed il Volcano Crisis Assistance Team, che riuscì ad evacuare circa 75.000 persone dalla zona attorno al monte Pinatubo, prima della sua eruzione del 1991. Nel 1988, tre anni dopo l'eruzione, il dottor Stanley Williams dell'Università di Stato della Louisiana ha dichiarato che "Con la possibile eccezione del Monte Sant'Elena nello stato di Washington, nessun altro vulcano nell'emisfero occidentale viene osservato in modo così elaborato come il Nevado del Ruiz". Inoltre, molte delle città della Colombia hanno sviluppato programmi di sensibilizzazione e di preparazione alle catastrofi naturali, che hanno contribuito a salvare molte vite umane in caso di disastri naturali. Soprattutto vicino al Nevado del Ruiz, gli abitanti sono diventati particolarmente diffidenti nei confronti dell'attività vulcanica: quando il vulcano eruttò nuovamente nel 1989, oltre 2.300 persone che vivevano attorno al vulcano furono evacuate.

Collegamenti ad altri fatti di cronaca

L'evento eruttivo iniziò appena una settimana dopo la tragedia dell'Assalto al Palazzo di Giustizia di Bogotà dove 100 persone vennero uccise in un brutale assalto paramilitare. Secondo il libro del 1993 di Anna Carrigan The Palace of Justice: A Colombian Tragedy, dopo la fine dell'attacco, circa 28 vittime dell'attentato sarebbero state sepolte nelle stesse fosse comuni dedicate alle vittime dell'eruzione, e si presume coperti di acido per rendere difficile l'identificazione, rendendo impraticabile qualsiasi indagine forense futura.. Entrambi gli eventi misero in cattiva luce il governo di Belisario Betancur Cuartas e le autorità colombiane agli occhi dell'opinione pubblica.

Documentari sul disastro di Armero
L'audiodocumentario Il paese che non c'è più - I sopravvissuti di Armero (di Fosco d'Amelio e Raquel Llopis), andato in onda all'interno della trasmissione TreSoldi di Radio3 (RAI), racconta l'intera storia del disastro di Armero attraverso le voci delle persone coinvolte durante la fase di pre-eruzione, durante e dopo il disastro, in particolare concentrandosi sulla vita dei sopravvissuti.

Note

Altri progetti

Eventi del 1985
Eventi eruttivi
Catastrofi nel 1985

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


I suspect that the main force of the subjunctive mood in till death us departe and until death should part us is to emphasize that the timing is uncertain, not that death does not come to everyone. The twists are telegraphed, questions are left unanswered, it all takes a very long time to get there, and it feels awfully familiar along the way. Although the actors in the movie are all beautiful, and they tried to do a good job but its just a bad movie. Not the answer you're looking for? She told me to think of what happened to the cup in terms of cause-and-effect relationship. And I saw the holy city, new Jerusalem, coming down out of heaven from God, prepared as a bride adorned for her husband. Although there are some good acting efforts, the production can't support the actors.
Yet that is what couples do when they promise to remain together for the remainder of their lives. Eventually, the us and do were swapped, giving us the modern version: till death do us part. Leaving aside the insurance fraud that sets up her new life and her plan's extreme inattention to detail she and her co-conspirators decline to list a time of death on hospital records. They were going to be together forever and have their happily ever after, but it's never good to have a possessive husband. After listening to her, my mind just went blank and I became speechless. You can sync your Guest List Manager and wedding website to update everything at once. Cross-posted with Lucas, a thing I seem to be making a habit of doing today! They came to life and reigned with Christ for a thousand years.
Let us take the third step to increase our wealth by righteous means and proper use. There Abraham and Sarah lie buried together. Yet the one thing that Christ demands of us is that in the essentials of our lives and attitudes we be different. Of course there is nothing wrong with traditional marriage. But the only time the record reveals that he wept was when Sarah died.
Publication date: Jan 3, 2019. I appreciate the flattery of most remakes. But if we face the light, as Abraham did all through his life, looking at that light streaming from the city whose builder and maker is God, then the only shadow comes temporarily when some object obscures the light for a moment. And walk in love, as Christ loved us and gave himself up for us, a fragrant offering and sacrifice to God. He remembered how Sarah cried bitter tears over that barren womb and how in her desperation to give him a son, she offered her handmaid, even at the cost of her pride, and Ishmael was born. But plenty of people still use traditional vows — either in whole, in part, or adapting some portion of them.
What Does the Bible Say About Until Death Do Us Part?
Things were happening too soon without any explanation. His memory ran back through the years and retraced the love that drew them together, through the bad times and through the good, till they were one in body, mind, and heart. Because it has attracted low-quality or spam answers that had to be removed, posting an answer now requires 10 on this site the. Exact phrases vary slightly from place to place and among different clergy, so ask your to tell you what they prefer. If Abraham had not remembered that he was a pilgrim and a stranger, his heart would have been crushed to despair by the death of his beloved life's companion.
By this time the little family of Abraham, Sarah and Isaac had moved back from Beer-Sheba to Hebron, under the oak of Mamre, where they had first lived when they came into the land of Canaan -- rather like going back to their honeymoon cottage -- and here Sarah died. The phrase is quite old: it was part of the Book of Common Prayer from 1662 see. According to the Irish Translation Forum online, it is: go scaradh an bás sinn, which literally translates to until death parts us. He remembered the sunlight glittering in her hair when he first saw her, the radiance of her face on her wedding day, the softness of her touch, and the grace of her caress. He remembered, too, how at long last, glory shone in her face when her own son, Isaac, lay in her arms.
His faith is not weakened by the death which occurred here, but rather, it is strengthened by it. Why not just till death part us? The rest of the dead did not come to life until the thousand years were ended. Luckily, her best friend is able to help her flee. The wife brings the husband water -- baby you know I don't like water so she responds oh yeah baby, I forgot and he responds baby is something wrong that you forgot? It was Mary who anointed the Lord with ointment and wiped his feet with her hair, whose brother Lazarus was ill. But I think you should set up another thread if you wish to discuss these issues. This will only contain spoilers if you haven't seen Sleeping with the Enemy.
So the field of Ephron in Machpelah, which was to the east of Mamre, the field with the cave which was in it and all the trees that were in the field, throughout its whole area, was made over to Abraham as a possession in the presence of the Hittites, before all who went in at the gate of his city. Did he not make them one, with a portion of the Spirit in their union? This is the kind of individualism that lifting your eyes from the paltry, temporary, transitory, every day happenings and setting them on those eternal issues that alone satisfy the heart can give you. Either the original sold their rights or there's going to be a lawsuit. As we sometimes sing in the old hymn, There is a light in the valley of death now for me, since Jesus came into my heart. However, clearly it is familiar to some people such as Packard, and it is very interesting that in English we still sometimes feel an urge to use the modal verb should after until. You are a mighty prince among us.
I've read that do here is used because it's an old way to indicate the subjunctive. Many Jewish couples today do want to exchange spoken vows; they are now included in many Reform and Conservative ceremonies. If it were not so, would I have told you that I go to prepare a place for you? And he said to Ephron in the hearing of the people of the land, But if you will, hear me; I will give the price of the field; accept it from me, that I may bury my dead there. Remember, nothing on earth satisfies the pilgrims and strangers passing through this land. Watch real wedding videos on from different cultures, religions and traditions to get ideas for your own wedding vows. The room was carpeted and the girl didn't hear him come in, and he saw her kneeling beside her bed. Abraham's pagan friends do have, however, a genuine sense of respect and honor for the man of faith.
And as he stood there, he heard her say, Oh, my heavenly Father, Oh, my Father, my heavenly Father. Memories passed through his fingers like pearls on a string. This is a picture of the man of faith. And the same goes for Nichec's may do us part. In your sentence, the subjunctive is used after until: in this context, do is subjunctive and does is indicative. We can still visit the cave of Machpelah in Israel.


Are you looking for a recipe for a cake or dessert, then you've come to the right place, every month after hours of scanning around the internet I pull together those recipes that I truly have to try to want to share, then I narrow it down to my favorites and post them here for you all to drool over and of course try for yourself ...... enough said, on with the baked goody-goodies.
Deliciousness all on one page!
I truly don't think I've ever seen a more mouthwatering colourful cake in my life, this is full on sunshine on a plate, you look at this and you know there's going to be a party and a party in your mouth. I am already planning on when I can cook this cake and who for, my daughter has seen it on here and has put in her order and she also wants me to cook it again a week later for her brother's birthday - definitely a hit with everyone that sees it and actually extremely simple to put together, of course if you're not keen on Kit Kats you could use any chocolate goodie that your heart desires. And if it's a more adult cake you're looking for, although I don't know a grown-up that doesn't want to devour this on sight, perhaps filling the top of the cake with strawberries or raspberries to cut through and lift the taste of the sweet frosting and chocolate ganache.
I tried this recipe out just this month and it turned out perfectly - this is much easier than it looks, took absolutely no time at all to put together and you could speed it up even more by using a readymade frosting, my only tip is that you should make sure you cover the sides in enough lovely squishy frosting so that the Kit Kats have something to stick firmly to.
Here is the one I made for my friend's son's birthday - he chose to have Skittles on top of it instead of M&Ms, I wouldn't recommend it - too hard and chewy, something like Dolly Mixtures, chocolate buttons or Maltesers would be my choice!
Here is another version of this cake that a friend sent to me on Facebook - this is soooo cute, I have to try to make this version and I know just the person I'm going to surprise with it. The little pigs are made out of pink marzipan or if anyone is allergic to nuts then I suggest you use Royal or Fondant icing. And as for the chocolate ganache have a look at my Rocky Road Birthday Cake, also highly delicious, (see the link below) which should be just perfect for that.
Don't these little desserts look really elegant? You just know that your dinner guests are going to be delighted to have these put in front of them, and you also know that when they start to eat them they are going to get mouthfuls of mouthwatering, light lemony pleasure.
These are the kids' favorite breakfast pancakes, hands down this is what they want and the original featured here is extremely tasty, but what my children prefer is my pancakes done this way, I'm afraid no amount of chocolate is going to cover the wholewheat as far as they're concerned, so here you will find the link to the originals in the photograph and below that the link to my pancakes which you can vamp up if you want a less healthier version. Either way they are a divine start to the day or a perfect weekend brunch.
I included these especially for my daughter, she adores candy cane, known in the UK as holiday mint rock. She also adores cupcakes and when I found this recipe that combines two of her special favourites I just had to make them for her, these are a wonderful treat and the fact that they look so very pretty in their two-coloured swirls just makes them perfect.
When you can tell the kids that they can have cookies for breakfast and know that what they're eating is going to be very good for them then everyone's going to be happy. These scrumptious divine little tasty snacks have a number of superfoods in them; blueberries, pecans and oats, they're perfect when your children don't want to eat anything for breakfast and of course they are just ideal for healthy snacks at school and in lunchboxes - AND the grown-ups love them too.
These yummy little devils look innocent enough but are packed full of flavour, the marzipan-almond flavour melts into the dark chocolate brownie taste, they are decadent and just the thing for an afternoon chat with the girls and some rich creamy coffee. Treat yourself and your friends to these wonderful little pieces of heaven, I like to cut these into tiny little one bite morsels, I'm all about the cute.
Okay the first thing I noticed about this cake was the pieces of Reese's Peanut Butter Cakes on top, so immediately I know that I'm going to love this and I know what it's going to taste like. The fact that the next two things which are always high on my agenda are smothering this cake; chocolate and cream and I'm now so excited I can't wait. Anyone lucky enough to be presented with this is going to be feeling exactly the same way - guaranteed success on a plate.
What can I say about this Chocolate and Peanut Butter Cake? It looks fabulous ............ it tastes fabulous .......... it's certainly not on any diet because it's not fat free .......... but do I care? Not one bit, this is to die for cake, creamy, a peanut butter taste that doesn't quit, and chocolate sponge that balances it all out beautifully - perfect for a special event or just a family gathering, whoever you make this for they're going to love you for it.
I love pears and so does my family, I have pureed them for a dessert when they were babies, I poach them and pour chocolate sauce and cream on them, and although it's rather kitch I adore them out of cans in their own sweet juices. One of my family's favourite quick desserts is tinned pears with a self-saucing chocolate sponge on top baked in the oven and served with cold double/heavy cream, so simple and quite delicious.
Here is an elegant, stunning looking dessert to enhance any occasion, poached pears wrapped in fluffy, crisp puff pastry, I hadn't thought of doing this before, I don't know why because now I've seen it it just makes so much sense. So have a look at this website, the photography is stunning, the instructions are wonderfully clear, and the dessert, well it speaks for itself - sublime.
Yes I know that people think pancakes are for breakfast, or just for that one day of the year, Pancake Day, well not in our house, Sunday mornings, friends staying over, friends popping over for lunch and nothing in the cupboard then this is my answer to that, I always have milk and I always have flour, actually I'm a flour hoarder, every time I see a new flour I haven't tried I buy it, I have cupboards of flour and of course where there's flour there's baking going on, don't worry it never gets wasted, I hate waste.
Now as far as pancakes go these are a whole new world of pancakes, I've served these little beauties in the garden after a barbecue and it doesn't matter how full people are they always seem to have room for them. Pancakes are cheap to make, amazingly filling and if you don't really want a sandwich for lunch then how about some pancakes and fresh fruit with a dollop of Greek Yoghurt? One of my favourite treats.
When I first saw this photograph it literally took my breath away, not only is the quality of the photograph brilliant the whole concept of chocolate and orange always captures my attention, I love it, and this recipe is a fabulous example of this perfect marriage of flavours.
These cupcakes are exactly what they should be there is no muffin-denseness about them, they are light and full of flavour, the use clementine zest gives it a zing which cuts through the wonderfully rich dark chocolate (always my preference) ganache, topping it all off with a candied clementine segment is sheer genius, this is creativity in the kitchen at it's best.
Doesn't this look wonderful? Anything in miniature always gets me and this is no exception. What an elegant way to celebrate someone's birthday, their own little mousse cake that they don't have to share with anyone else, obviously you will have to make a number of these or there will be an almighty fight at the dinner table.
Three chocolates, let me explain that for you, a layer of chocolate, then a layer of chocolate and then another gorgeous, light, flavoursome layer of chocolate. Okay now you need to go away and make this for someone special and if you don't have someone special, make it, send me an invitation and I will come and join you, and I'll try hard not to be followed.
Making a chocolate cake from scratch is easy and can result in a decadent, beautiful dessert. When baked in a Mary Ann pan, this chocolate cake, topped with raspberries and whipped cream, is sure to impress.
Sunshine on a plate, a twist on Jaffa Cakes but homemade and much bigger - yum!
A most luxurious and stunning chocolate cake with a rocky road topping perfect for a birthday or special treat.
The taste of fresh strawberries is abundant in this simple strawberry pie. Pick fresh strawberries for best results.
I can't wait to make the kitkat cake for Red Nose Day on Friday!!
Thank you all for your encouragement will do a new delicious desserts hub very soon.
Yum! They all look so delicious I can't decide which I'd like to attempt making first! Thanks for sharing!
Hi Faith, it's incredibly easy, much simpler than I thought and everyone is always blown away by it, actually I think I would use the Cadbury Fingers next time I make it as I find that unless you have an incredibly sweet tooth the Kit Kats make it sweeter.
Love the Kit Kat cake idea. Will have to keep that one in mind for the future!
I made the Kit Kat Cake today, see the photo above, basically very easy, I used a chocolate fudge cake recipe for the cake and you definitely need a sweet tooth if you're having this - I would recommend cutting thinner slices than you think you'd want, so 2 Kit Kats per person - oh and it cuts beautifully.
Wow! The Kit Kat Cake caught my eye immediately while browsing. Definitely going to return to this Hubpage.
I'm so glad you all love the recipes as much as I do, I am making the Kit Kat Cake (I just love saying that) tomorrow for my friend's son as he will be 16, (Happy Birthday Thomas) except that he wants Skittles instead of M&Ms and since it's his birthday he should have whatever his heart desires.
@Claudia - why can't you bookmark hubs? Then again you could always click on each of the links that you want to keep and bookmark the recipe pages.
I think I gained 10 pounds just looking at these photos. Those desserts look scrumptious!
Oh my! You have several irresistible desserts here. I´d like to try almost all of them, especially the breakfast cookies, the pears in puff pastry and the chocolate peanut butter combinations. Great work! I wish I could still bookmark hubs to keep this one in my folder.
Ooh, the KitKat cake looks amazing. Interesting that it's chocolate cake inside--for some reason, just looking at it, I anticipated it would be an ice cream cake. Of course, I'm sure there's no limit on variations . . . Great collection!
They all look great, but the first one looks spectacular. I would love to try some of that Kit Kat M&M cake! Great job compiling top ten desserts for this month! Voted up.


Posted April 15, 2016 on People's War from the Three-Way Fight blog. Republished here in light of debates over whether Donald Trump and the Islamic State (ISIS) are fascist in character. First published as "Two Ways of Looking at Fascism" by Socialism and Democracy.
Political events since the September 11, 2001, attacks have raised the issue of fascism in new ways. People on both the right and the left have described Islamic rightist forces such as al-Qaeda and the Taliban as fascist -– but for very different reasons. Neoconservatives and Bush administration officials have denounced "Islamofascists" to help justify the so-called war on terrorism and the military occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan. By contrast, some leftists describe some of these same groups as fascist -– not to rationalize U.S. expansion, but to highlight the fact that there are major political forces today that are deadly enemies of both the left and U.S. imperialism.
Across eastern Europe and northern Asia, the collapse of the Soviet bloc, followed in many countries by a drastic decline of living standards and the rise of large-scale criminality and a host of right-wing nationalist movements.
In many parts of Asia, Africa, and Latin America, the cooptation or defeat of revolutionary leftist insurgencies and governments and the growth of diverse populist or religious-based oppositional forces.
In much of the world, the acceleration of capitalist globalization dynamics such as capital flight, international mass migration, commodification of women's labor, the growth of international mass culture, and the erosion of traditional local institutions –- and the upsurge of ambivalent or hostile responses to all of these from various points on the political spectrum.
Sven Beckert has produced a fascinating and wide-ranging history of cotton, from its early appearance in household production in Asia thousands of years ago, via its modest debut in local exchanges, to its eventual role as a key ingredient in the Industrial Revolution and its continuing importance for today's consumers, poor or rich.  Importantly, this is an account of both stages of cotton's production, in the fields as well as the factories, agriculture as well as manufacture. A German historian now based in the United States, Beckert is the author of The Monied Metropolis (2001), a study of the consolidation of New York's bourgeoisie in the latter half of the nineteenth century. His new book, Empire of Cotton, is enriched by research into documents and archives from two dozen countries. This is by no means untrodden territory. Giorgio Riello in his—also prizewinning—Cotton: The Fabric that Made the Modern World (2013) has recently provided a fascinating account of how and why Asia's manufacturers (for him, India's in particular) were displaced by Europe's. Both are works of much greater ambition than the general run of commodity histories—anecdotal narratives of cod, coal or tobacco, for instance. For its part, Empire of Cotton is closer in explanatory reach to Sidney Mintz's path-breaking story of sugar, Sweetness and Power (1985), though through the lens of economic history, not cultural anthropology. Beckert aims to recast our understanding of 'the making and remaking of global capitalism', and with it the modern world.


text:
La Neuville-lès-Dorengt är en kommun i departementet Aisne i regionen Hauts-de-France i norra Frankrike. Kommunen ligger  i kantonen Nouvion-en-Thiérache som ligger i arrondissementet Vervins. År  hade La Neuville-lès-Dorengt  invånare.

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