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Revenue and Data Management
Big bang? When 'big data' gets too big
Has the incredible sophistication of big data in the airline business gone too far? In some cases yes, says EyeforTravel guest columnist Tom Bacon. He argues that applying it in too granular a way can, in fact, lead to worse performance.
Airlines helped invent 'big data'. After all, the revenue management department compiles bookings by fare by market by day by days-before-departure and then uses this gargantuan database to develop regression-based algorithms for forecasting future bookings. If that isn't enough to make you site up then consider this: a 50 aircraft airline will typically generate 7.5 million forecasts based on 50+ million datapoints each night! Yes, we forecast the number of passengers who will pay $129 for a 7am September 4th flight from Chicago-Los Angeles flight between 30 and 35 days before the flight! Similarly, we forecast the total revenue for the last flight of the day for Detroit-New York LaGuardia flight the Friday before Easter!
Certainly this is impressive and many airlines – and other industries -- have now taken this 'big data' analytics to even 'bigger' levels. However, in my view, the incredible sophistication has in some cases gone too far. Statisticians know that forecasts based on highly granular inputs don't always produce more accurate aggregate forecasts. But many airlines seem to believe that the more granular, the more precise we can be, the better performance we'll have.
Once upon a time I worked for a national economic forecasting firm that developed quarterly forecasts for various macro-economic metrics – including gross domestic product, inflation, and personal income and other metrics. The forecasts were based on an integrated model of the economy based on statistically-derived drivers. We used the macro-forecasts, in turn, to forecast the performance for more specific industries for our various corporate clients. The total demand for goods in the US was not forecast based on each individual good's micro forecast - which, arguably, would have been a much more granular approach. In fact, we used the macro forecasts to forecast the more micro activities. We developed accurate aggregated forecasts – based on macro activity and an integrated model of the economy – and in turn applied them to generate forecasts for more micro-level activities, including demand for TV advertising and regional telephone services.
Picking it apart
However, for many airlines, the demand forecast for a particular flight is the sum of the forecast of each price point. This approach introduces considerable statistical error that more often than not leads to greater inaccuracy. Rather than offering greater precision, the more precise approach often drives tremendous aggregate forecast error.
o Flights and fares are often substitutes for each other. To forecast $129 fares and $159 fares separately and then sum them -- rather than forecasting demand at a more aggregate level – ignores this substitution effect. In fact, demand for $159 fares could be increasing BECAUSE of the decline in $129 fare availability. By summing demand for fares that serve as substitutes, the forecast model can be much more robust.
o Flights and fares also tend to move together (the statistical name is co-linearity). As overall demand increases – with stronger market or macro-economic performance – demand for each fare level will tend to increase. Again, the best way to capture this aggregate market effect is to model the co-linear elements together rather than try to forecast each separately.
o At the most granular level there is considerable noise or volatility. Developing a simple regression model through historic demand for some of the higher fares, for example, is often futile.
§ Forecasting the 1.0 passenger expected to pay $500 for a certain flight at a certain time on a certain date in the future has lots of error inherent in it. A 1.0 'average' passenger demand could be based on a group of five corporate passengers travelling together one time in the base period and, more often than not, there was no such demand.
§ More robust patterns can emerge from more aggregated data. What is the next likely number in this series: 0, 4, 1, 0, 5, 2? Forecasting demand in price points of only one to three passengers is false precision. A clearer pattern is likely to emerge with larger numbers that are the sum of multiple price points, for example: 10, 12, 15, 12, 18, 20
Of course, to optimise fare availability, revenue management must forecast both aggregate demand for a flight AND demand at the various price points. As in my economic forecasting scenario, however, the better approach is to forecast at a more aggregate level (demand for 150 passengers) and then use that, in turn, to produce the more micro-level forecasts for use in RM (for example, 3% of the aggregate demand is likely to be $299 fares).
Airline case study
I recently worked with an airline that found they were forecasting flight demand at too micro a level – at each price point for each O&D. A 150-passenger aggregate forecast for a flight could be the sum of 200 separate micro forecasts. In aggregate, the flight level forecast was consistently overstated – and at times it could be 40% too high! The RM System closed most flights in response to the forecasted high demand. The highly granular forecasting approach resulted in an essentially unusable system. Revenue management, prudently, overrode the RM system-developed forecasts much of the time.
The RM vendor acknowledged the problem and helped develop a forecast modeling approach at a more aggregate level – and that new approach dramatically improved forecast accuracy. We clustered demand based on fare rules – recognising that fares under the same rules can more easily be substitutes for each other and that the most unrestricted tickets (full changeability/full refundability), for example, may represent more differentiable demand.
Of course, 'big data' has proven tremendously useful for airlines in revenue management. Other industries have followed airlines in this arena – and applied big data successfully in whole new ways. However, airlines also prove that big data on its own is not the answer to all business problems. Applying big data in too granular a way can lead to worse performance. Certainly airlines – and other users of big data – need to be cautious in applying it inappropriately.
This guest article is by Tom Bacon, a former executive at five different airlines and industry consultant in revenue optimisation. His views are his own and do not reflect those of EyeforTravel.com. Questions? Contact Tom at tom.bacon@yahoo.com.
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PWHPA solidifies leadership group, plans for future
Two board members talk about updates, challenges
By Michelle Jay@michelle_jay3 Jul 23, 2019, 4:45pm EDT
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Plans for the Professional Women's Hockey Players Association are coming together.
The group of nearly 200 players who are opting to sit out of any North American professional league this fall released their nine-player board, a more concrete number of players, plans for the future, and more through their website and in a recent interview published by espnW.
Chief among the updates was the naming of the PWHPA's nine-person Board. They are Jocelyne Lamoureux-Davidson, Hilary Knight, Kendall Coyne-Schofield, Noora Räty, Shannon Szabados, Brianne Jenner, Liz Knox, Kimberly Sass, and Alyssa Gagliardi.
"We wanted to make sure that all areas and aspects of women's hockey were covered so that they had representation," Szabados told The Ice Garden. "So that's why you'll see the National Team players, non-National Team players, some from Canada, some from the US, some from Europe, some goalies, some forwards."
It was by no means a surprise when Knight, Coyne-Schofield, and Szabados were named as members of the board. Together, the trio were touted as the leaders of the initial For The Game movement back in May. Lamoureux-Davidson, the only player on the board who did not play in a professional league last season, and Jenner round out the US and Canadian national team members. Räty is the only non-North American voice, a Finnish National Team member with experience in a variety of leagues and team settings after playing in men's leagues in Finland and for KRS in the CWHL. Knox, Sass, and Gagliardi fill out the group, representing the professional players who aren't a part of the picture for their respective national teams.
When the opportunity to be on the Board presented itself to Gagliardi, she jumped at it, knowing how valuable her perspective as a player who wasn't on a national team could be. "I think it was really important to have non-National Team members on the Board because the majority [of the PWHPA] is non-National Team members, and that comes with other factors like girls having full-time jobs," Gagliardi said in an interview with The Ice Garden. "I think everyone just thought it was really important that those voices were equally represented."
The Board is a fluid group as well. In creating the supporting legal documents with Ballard Spahr LLP — the same firm that supported the 2017 US National Team boycott as well as the US National Soccer team — the PWHPA Board was broken into three groups of three with different terms of service, according to Szabados.
"I think there's a one-year, two-year, and three-year terms," she explained. Players will elect and vote for Board members at the end of each term. "[That way] there's a good turnover and a good mix every year," Szabados explained.
The Board was also formed to ensure that each region would have a voice. Communication across such a large group of players from across the globe is something that Gagliardi identified as a challenge early on.
Each Board member represents an geographic region — Gagliardi has Boston and Szabados has Buffalo — and is in charge of communicating with the players in those areas. The remaining areas are Minnesota, the tri-state New York/New Jersey/Connecticut region, Calgary, Markham, Montreal, Toronto, and "other."
According to espnW, there are 173 "due-paying members." Gaglairdi confirmed membership dues were $25, specifically meant to be low so as not to be a deterrent to players.
"The dues were to have a clear picture of which players are opting in to to be members," the former Boston Pride defender explained. "Obviously, we respect everyone's choice in the matter no matter which way they go. But [this] was a way to kind of make sure that people had to kind of buy-in to get into the group ... Players that paid the dues [will] have access to the resources and ice time and exhibitions."
That money went to a PWHPA fund to help jump-start the group, but that isn't how they're planning on paying for ice time. Bryan Hicks, the PHWPA's COO, told espnW the association has plans for training opportunities for members, exhibitions between regions and against colleges, and showcase events for youth players. The PWHPA is planning to secure the ice time for those events through "some partnerships and sponsorships and different areas of funding," Gagliardi explained.
The group is realistic about the fact they are doing something brand new for themselves and for women's hockey. Szabados identified that as one of the greatest challenges the PWHPA faces. "As a group, [we are] trying to get everything organized and get sponsors in and then trying to find out how to reallocate that," she outlined. "This is brand new for women's hockey, so we're all trying to figure it out together and do it on the fly."
To assist with that end, the association's support team has an abundance of experience.
The PWHPA brought in Hicks, the director of officiating for ECAC's women's hockey teams, to serve as its COO. Hicks has also worked with Billie Jean King, a vocal supporter/advisor of the PWHPA, and her partner Ilana Kloss, who is listed on the support team as an advisor. Chelsea Purcell, former Markham Thunder general manager and former Head of Strategic Partnerships of the CWHL, is the corporate sponsorship consultant in Canada, while Sheryl Shade holds the same spot in the US. Steve Conforti, who also worked with the CHWLPA, rounds out the group as a marketing consultant.
As a whole, the group is extremely forward-thinking, as shown by the fact that the Board has plans for three-year terms. "I think hopefully this is a lifelong thing for women's professional hockey," Szabados shared. "This is just kind of a long term goal regardless of where we're playing or what we're doing, we always want to have this association so that players are taken care of."
They're being slow and methodical though, and are being careful not to rush into anything. Both Szabados and Gagliardi were quiet on what's coming for the fall, but they did share that the PWHPA should have announcements coming soon.
In the short term, they just want to make sure they're still out there, making a difference. "The goal is to make sure that players are still playing and we're in front of the young girls that are looking up to us," Gagliardi said. She also stated that the PWHPA wants to prove that there is a market out there for watching the best players in the world play each other.
"It's kind of crazy, but it hasn't ever happened," she explained to The Ice Garden. "There's always been a divide or just no option to do that other than the US-Canada games. So it's really exciting that there'll be some opportunities to showcase that talent level and those groups facing off against one another."

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
module Opscode
  module ChefClient
    module Helpers
      include Chef::Mixin::Language

      def chef_server?
				if node["platform"] == "windows"
					node.recipe?("chef-server")
				else
					node.recipe?("chef-server") || system("which chef-server &> /dev/null ") || system("which chef-server-ctl &> /dev/null")
				end
      end

      def create_directories
        return if node["platform"] == "windows"
        server = chef_server?

        %w{run_path cache_path backup_path log_dir conf_dir}.each do |key|
          directory node["chef_client"][key] do
            recursive true
            if key == "log_dir"
              mode 00750
            else
              mode 00755
            end
            if server
              owner "chef"
              group "chef"
            else
              owner value_for_platform(
                ["windows"] => { "default" => "Administrator" },
                "default" => "root"
              )
              group value_for_platform_family(
                ["openbsd", "freebsd", "mac_os_x"] => [ "wheel" ],
                "default" => "root"
              )
            end
          end
        end
      end
    end
  end
end

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
Home > Science and technology > Mobile and gadget
Samsung patent announces a strange phone with a sliding foldable display
Technology companies like Samsung are interested in filing various patents for digital devices, but not all of these patents necessarily lead to the actual product. For this reason, it is not possible to take the design of all published patents seriously. In this regard, Samsung has released a new and strange patent that looks like a sliding clamshell phone. This patent of Samsung was sent to WIPO (World Intellectual Property Organization) on June 10, 2021 (June 20, 1400) and was recently registered on December 16 (December 25).
This patent Described as a "folding and sliding electronic device", it describes a device that appears to be out of place to bend its folding display in any way possible. The first thing we see in this patent is its foldable aspect. This is conceptually simple enough, though we have not yet seen anything other than the original designs.
The idea behind this design is probably that you can drag the bottom of the screen to remove the part that is like a drawer under the body of the phone and see a larger screen. This means that users can pull out a larger screen and use it if they need it. Understanding the design concept of this sliding folding display is easy, but on the other hand, how Samsung intends to implement this design is very difficult.
However, perhaps the most interesting and confusing design of this patent is a method. Where the screen can be folded. Part of the display panel appears to be detached in front of the rolling mechanism with a hinge underneath. Published images of this patent show that the hinge can slide with the rest of the display components when rotated in or out of the body, using a total of four rollers.
This design is very similar to the design Samsung's current clamshell phones, the hinge of which allows part of the screen to be up and away from the body of the phone. We assume that this hinge acts like the hinge used in current clamshells when adjusting the angle to the freedom display. It should be noted, however, that this design does not appear to support the ability to close the screen completely without creating wrinkles.
What you can apparently do with such a display depends on how far you have the screen. If you rotate the size, you can determine how far the screen is in or out. Using this type of display is probably the biggest question mark in the minds of users. Of course, we should note that Samsung has not released more information about this patent, and we should finally wait for more news about the design of this display to be available to us in the future.
As you probably know, the Korean technology giant with Having a 93% share of the clamshell smartphone market, it was able to taste success in this field and it definitely needs to offer different clamshell phones to continue this trend. The story of Samsung clamshell smartphones began in 2019, when the Korean company did its job with the launch of the Galaxy Fold. The product had many weaknesses and many users thought that the Korean company would fail in this project and the dream of producing clamshell smartphones would be postponed for a few more years. But this did not happen and users and enthusiasts welcomed this attractive product.
per year In 2020, Samsung continued this trend by introducing two foldable models, the Galaxy Z Fold and Z Flip, and this year, the Galaxy Z Fold and Z Flip 3 have helped Samsung to conquer the clamshell phone market. In this regard, one of the reputable Korean sites reported that the company intends to launch 2.9 million Galaxy Z Fold 4 units and 9.6 million Galaxy Z Flip 4 units next year, with a total of 8.9 million Samsung clamshell phones. We will see.
On the other hand, it is said that Samsung has set a goal of producing 2.5 to 3 million Z-Fold 3s and 3.5 to 4 million Z-Flip 3s. In other words, if these statistics are correct, the production of Samsung clamshell phones in 2022 will be significantly higher than this year.
Tags: samsung, patent, announces, strange, phone, sliding, foldable, display
READ NEXT IN: science and technology / mobile and gadget
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Many of you probably still think that iPhones are more expensive than Android phones, but this is a misconception.
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Korea News Agency The Korea Herald in a report on the reasons why Samsung lags behind Apple in the competition for virtual and augmented reality gadgets. According to the report, Samsung has been obse
A possible release date for the new iPhone SE has been revealed
According to Ross Young, a well-known whistleblower, production of the new generation iPhone SE will begin this month and in about two months, according to Ross Young The mass key of this phone is key
A well-known whistleblower has revealed the exact release date of the Galaxy S22 series
While Samsung has not yet officially announced when it will unveil the Galaxy S22 series, one of the most famous technology revealers has revealed the exact release date of this series. .


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"Measures to prevent the spread of the COVID-19 virus are being implemented in the facility. If you need a COVID-19 test to return to your country, please contact us by phone: +385 453 027, or e-mail: info@premantura-resort.hr. To perform the test, you need to make an appointment at least 7 days in advance."
These Website Standard Terms and Conditions written on this webpage shall manage your use of our website, Hotel Premantura Resort accessible at https://premantura-resort.hr.
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Certain areas of this Website are restricted from being access by you and Hotel Premantura Resort (Grota gradnja d.o.o.) may further restrict access by you to any areas of this Website, at any time, in absolute discretion. Any user ID and password you may have for this Website are confidential and you must maintain confidentiality as well.
In these Website Standard Terms and Conditions, "Your Content" shall mean any audio, video text, images or other material you choose to display on this Website. By displaying Your Content, you grant Hotel Premantura Resort (Grota gradnja d.o.o.) a non-exclusive, worldwide irrevocable, sub licensable license to use, reproduce, adapt, publish, translate and distribute it in any and all media.
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You'd be forgiven for not knowing that Ford built a handful of GT40s with roadster bodywork. Ford's open-topped GT40s were only used as development prototypes, and of the six built, only one survives in original condition. That car, with chassis number GT/108, is listed for sale by U.K. dealer Girardo & Co. and will be displayed during Monterey car week.
If this was simply the only surviving GT40 roadster, it'd be one of the most important GT40s ever built, but its story is much more interesting. GT/108 was built in early 1965 by Ford Advanced Vehicles (FAV) in the U.K. In March 1965, it was tested at Silverstone by Sir John Whitmore and Richard Attwood and soon after was sent to Shelby American in California.
Under Shelby American's ownership, the car was developed extensively by legendary engineer and driver Ken Miles and displayed at various races around the country. It was also used at an event for Ford VIPs, where Carroll Shelby gave Henry Ford II a ride. It's believed that this was the only time Ford ever rode in a GT40. Later that year, GT/108 was displayed at the U.S. Grand Prix at Watkins Glen, where it was driven by that year's F1 champion, Jim Clark.
All the other GT40 roadsters were later converted to hardtops or cut into pieces to avoid a dispute with the U.S. government over the way they were imported, but somehow, this one survives. Even though it was never actually raced in period, this is easily one of the most important GT40s of all time.
Price is available "upon request," and according to specialty insurer Hagerty, other Mark I GT40s in concours-quality condition hover around $5 million. Considering this car's history and rarity, GT/108 is probably worth significantly more than that. If you want to see it, it'll be at The Quail in Monterey this week.


text:
Miracle needed for beatification of 'St. Paul of Korea'
Catholics urged to record miraculous healing through the intercession of a 19th-century theologian and missionary
Rock Ronald Rozario
Published: September 08, 2021 03:39 AM GMT ▾
Updated: September 10, 2021 02:55 PM GMT
Venerable Father Thomas Choe Yang-eop (1821-61) evangelized and baptized thousands of Catholics in Korea during its early days of Christianity. (Photo: Catholic Times of Korea)
Korean clergy and laypeople have urged the Catholic Church to refrain from rushing the canonization process of Father Thomas Choe Yang-eop, a prominent 19th-century theologian priest and evangelist.
This year Catholics in Korea are celebrating the 200th birth anniversary of Father Choe (1821-61), dubbed the "St. Paul of Korea" for his legendary missionary endeavors during the early days of Catholicism in the East Asian country.
In 2004, Father Choe was declared a Servant of God when the Vatican initiated an investigation into his life and works as part of the process for sainthood recognition. In 2016, Pope Francis declared him venerable after the Vatican accepted the evidence of his holiness.
The Vatican needs to approve a miracle attributed to the candidate's intercession for beatification, the next stage of the process. For the final stage of canonization, another miracle is needed if the candidate is not a martyr.
While many Korean Catholics expected Father Choe to be beatified this year, it has been delayed for the miracle test.
Father Ryoo Han-young, a Catholic priest who petitioned for the beatification of the iconic clergyman, said the process has been delayed as the Vatican didn't accept a miracle due to lack of scientific evidence.
The timing of the beatification of Father Choe is determined by God, so there is no need to think in a hurry
"Medical screening systems in Korea and Europe are different. Now the Korean Church needs to consult experts for the miracle screening," Father Ryoo told the Catholic Times of Korea.
The priest appealed to Korean Catholics to systematically record the progress of any miraculous healing through the intercession of Father Choe that can lead to his beatification.
The failure to have the miracle attributed to Father Choe approved by the Vatican shows the Church moved hastily rather than effectively with a process without prior experience, said Dr. Cha Gi-jin, honorary director of Yangop Church History Research Institute.
Father Lee Seong-jae, head of the Baetti Martyrs Shrine in Cheongju Diocese, said there was no need to hurry the process.
Korean 'martyr of sweat' named venerable by Pope Francis
Catholics pray for canonization of 'St. Paul of Korea'
Korean martyrs' pilgrim site recognized by Vatican
"The timing of the beatification of Father Choe is determined by God, so there is no need to think in a hurry," Father Lee said.
"I believe that if Father Choe's beatification is delayed, God has a will to provide better things for us."
Thomas Choe was born on March 1, 1821, to a Catholic family in Cheongyang-gun village in the Hoseo region in the southwest of the Korean Peninsula. He was the eldest of six children of Francis Choe Kyeong-Hwan and Mary Yi Seong-rye.
The family moved from one place to other due to the persecution of Christians during the rule of the Joseon dynasty and finally settled in Surisan in Anyang in Gyeonggi-do province, according to official church records.
Francis Choe was martyred on Sept. 12, 1831, and Mary Yi was martyred on Jan. 31, 1840.
During a visit to Korea, Pope John Paul II canonized Francis along with 103 martyrs including Andrew Kim Taegon and French missionaries on May 6, 1984. Pope Francis canonized Mary alongside fellow martyrs on Aug. 16, 2014.
Thomas Choe studied in a seminary in Macau, China, where his companion was St. Andrew Kim Taegon, the first native Korean priest and the patron saint of clergy in Korea. Choe was ordained a diocesan priest in Shanghai, China, in 1849.
Following a brief priestly ministry in China, Father Choe returned to Korea when Christians were facing persecution and killing at the hands of Joseon dynasty rulers.
He contributed to the development of the liturgy, catechism and theology of the Korean Church
Father Choe traveled thousands of kilometers, visiting villages and comforting persecuted Christians. He evangelized and baptized thousands of Catholics. He earned fame as "the martyr of sweat."
He faced abuses and persecution from royal forces. During a visit to Christian villages, he was arrested, beaten and dumped naked in the middle of the night amid chilly, snowy winter, according to the Vatican's Pontifical Council for the Family.
He contributed to the development of the liturgy, catechism and theology of the Korean Church by composing liturgical hymns with traditional Korean melodies and translating a catechism and a prayer book from Chinese.
He also enthusiastically promoted devotion to the Cross and Sacred Hearts of Jesus and Mary. However, he always considered himself "the least of Christ's servants, a son and useless priest of Korea."
Father Choe died of typhoid on June 15, 1861.
French missionary Bishop Siméon-François Berneux (1814-66), who was also martyred during the anti-Christian purge in Korea, believed Father Choe was a holy priest and called him "St. Paul of Korea."
About 56 percent of South Koreans have no religion, 20 percent are Protestant, 8 percent are Catholic and 15.5 percent are Buddhist, according to official government records.
Church officials say South Korea has about 5.6 million Catholics spread across three archdioceses, 14 dioceses and a military ordinariate.
1 Comments on this Story
JIAL
St.Paul pray for us!


BobA If you don't own a hopper and you have a big job this will work fine.
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URSuperb
Best Websites for Free Unlimited Spoof Calling
Every time we pick up a phone when we hear a call, how do we identify who is the person calling us?
We look at the caller's ID information appearing on the screen.
This can help us identify if the caller is known or unknown.
Anyone can trespass this verification, and this may lead to deceptive scams and hoaxes, which may be very hard to trace. offers is caller ID spoofing.
1 What is Caller ID Spoofing?
2 Uses of Caller ID Spoofing
3 SpoofTel
4 CrazyCall
5 BluffMyCall
6 SpoofCard
7 Prankowl
8 My Phone Robot
9 Covert Calling
9.1 Curated For You
What is Caller ID Spoofing?
Caller ID spoofing is the practice that causes the receiving device to display that the caller is different from the original caller. Caller ID spoofing has been used for prank calls and has caused many troubles with various people in the past.
Some calls have also led to scams and frauds, while others have caused people to get extremely uncomfortable.
It also finds applications in telemarketing and elections.
Uses of Caller ID Spoofing
Caller ID spoofing can be used to hide true identities and impersonate a different one. It gives the caller access to a recipient who is only selectively available and tricks anyone into taking their call, which won't be possible if their true identity is known.
Other than this, caller ID spoofing can find utility in various personal and professional areas.
For example, it can be used by law enforcement officers to identify the location of a suspect by impersonating as a close friend.
Doctors and teachers can set up a caller ID of their office to help their patients/students/guardians from home and thus protecting their privacy by not publishing their private numbers. It can also be used in fun areas, as a means for pranking your friends and annoying them.
This technology can be both ethical and unethical, depending on how it is being used.
Spoof calling is not that much of a high-end task. And many websites let you use this feature inconvenience. Some sites even provide other features like speech parameters and recording so that the calls seem more genuine.
So let's get straight to discussing which websites are the very best for unlimited spoof calling:
SpoofTel
SpoofTel provides you with a free 15-second spoof call trial where they will ask you your phone number, the number of the receiver, and the number that you want to be displayed as a caller to the recipient.
The website also provides a voice change feature if the caller wishes to change their natural voice. The four sound profiles provided are- man, woman, boy, and girl. There is another feature provided, soundboard, which helps you to add already provided sound effects and even create a few custom ones.
After entering the captcha code, the user can press Call to make the call.
If you enjoy the service, then you can sign up for the website.
This will remove the time restriction and expose several different features, which might be recording or spoof SMSing or many others.
The users receive SpoofMinutes as call duration, and this can be either purchased or borrowed. Either the internet can be used to make the calls or even their toll-free numbers.
Download App for Desktop
Download App for iPhone
CrazyCall
To get started, choose your country; fill the caller ID that you want to be displayed as a caller to the recipient, and also the number of the receiver. Now you have to press the "Get me a code" button, and then you will receive a number that you will have to call and a code for the purpose of verification.
Call the given number and enter the code.
This will then allow you to connect to the recipient.
CrazyCall also has a mobile application for both Android and iOS platforms. They provide a great customer support service and take all your queries and requests. The only limitation to this website is their service is available only in seven to eight major countries.
No registration is required for this site.
Their Terms also state that the content of your call would be checked for vulgarity.
Download for Android Download for iPhone
BluffMyCall
This site provides a free trial to their users. The free trial window asks the user to enter the dialler's number, the number of the receiver, and the caller ID that you want to be displayed as a caller to the recipient.
There are various features provided such as voice changing and recording.
After filling the preferences, click on the "Place Call" button. This will connect you to a spoof call. The website allows a free spoof call for a duration of two minutes.
The website also provides various other features and options, which can be used after you sign up to the service. The site uses a credit system and provides various packages that allow you to buy those credits to make spoof calls.
In different countries, one credit holds different values.
SpoofCard
This is one hell of a website with some quite amazing features.
One of them is that you can straightaway send your calls to the recipient's voicemail. This is extremely helpful in conditions when talking to the receiver might lead to your cover being blown, as the one-sided message will help in retaining credibility.
It is claimed that they are the provider the first real-time voice changing feature, that allows the users to sound like a man or woman along with effects playing in the background that give the impression that the caller might be in a disc, all in real-time. It also provides you the feature of spoof texting.
A free trial is available.
Users can also sign up and buy credits as the website follows the credit system.
They also provide apps for both Android and iOS.
Prankowl
This prank calling website permits you to prank call your loved ones.
This website has a list of sound options and asks you to pick one. You have to enter the recipient's number along with a caller ID that you want to be displayed on the receiver's phone, although this is optional.
You can click on the "Click on start call" button to make the spoof call. It also allows you to record calls.
My Phone Robot
This website offers a bonus scheme which gives 150 credits to those users who sign up using Facebook or Twitter. This gives you at least seven spoof calls.
This website offers the feature to send pre-recorded calls to the receiver. It also allows you to view the call history.
Covert Calling
This website allows you to make three calls with thirty seconds duration for the free trial.
For this, you have to enter the dialler's number, the number of the receiver, and the caller ID. Caller ID is for display as a caller to the recipient.
The captcha displayed is to be entered and click on the "Submit" button.
The website works in a manner where first, you will receive a call, then the recipient will be called, and the connection is then bridged for the spoof call to happen. You can then sign up to buy their very affordable plans.
You can also call from your phone by dialing their 800 number.
I hope we helped you with your pranks.
Now you can have fun annoying your friends!
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John Scalzi writes books, which, considering where you're reading this, makes perfect sense. He's best known for writing science fiction, including the New York Times bestseller Redshirts, which won the Hugo Award for Best Novel. He also writes non-fiction, on subjects ranging from personal finance to astronomy to film, was the Creative Consultant for the Stargate: Universe television series. He enjoys pie, as should all right thinking people. You can get to his blog by typing the word "Whatever" into Google. No, seriously, try it.
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"I never imagined that a kiss could kill my baby": the pain of a mother after losing her daughter
A deep sadness lives the family of the small Kiara Cummins, who died 14 days after being born in the city of Yorkshire in England, the product of a herpes that she would have acquired through a kiss.
Kelly Ineson and Thomas Cummins They were new parents and yearned for the child's birth, however, and for reasons they are still investigating, her daughter died of an infection that over the course of time became a sepsis: an inflammatory response of the body to a serious infection
"We were always very careful and we did not let in anyone who looked ill or who did not wash our hands. We asked ourselves if we remembered someone who, with bubbles, had kissed her, but never and never would," said the mother. one Daily Mail.
Doctors induced the child to a pharmacological coma and told his parents that if he survived, there would be a high probability that he would end up with brain damage.
"There is insufficient information on this disease, not even in health professionals. All I want is for parents and doctors to instruct themselves about the simple herpes virus and how devastating it can be, "he said.
Still not understanding what happened, Kelly said he reviewed "every detail of what happened again and again, desperately searching for an answer to what happened, but I do not think he finds it, and that's what's killing me. told us that it is very likely that Kiara contracted the virus when someone kissed her. Never, even in my worst nightmare, did I imagine that a kiss could kill my baby and I do not want any other parent to have to go through this. "
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Home Apple Apple response to the evasi0n jailbreak tool
Apple response to the evasi0n jailbreak tool
Jailbreak – not just the new features of the operating system and advanced functionality iOS devices. Hacking the firmware – it is also a lot of problems that arise for users. Many readers are faced with instability of the smartphones and tablets, fast discharge, and the incompatibility of many popular tweaks to iOS 6.1, the application idle "weather" and other side effects of jailbreaking.
Typically, jailbreakers are willing to sacrifice for the sake of a little more functional devices and a favorite tweaks.But whether "improve" some characteristics of the devices, losing the others? Apple employees believe that there is.
Designed Apple iOS operating system with iPad, iPhone and iPod touch operate reliably.Unauthorized changes to the iOS Jailbreak can lead to numerous problems for jailbroken iPad, iPhone, iPod touch. Here are some examples of problems that may arise after the break-in:
Instability: Frequent and unexpected crashes of the device, crashes and freezes of built-in apps and third-party apps, and loss of data.
Safety vulnerabilities: Safety compromises were offered with the aid of these adjustments that might permit hackers to steal non-public data, injury the tool, assault the wi-fi community, or introduce malware or viruses.
Shortened battery lifestyles: The hacked tool has led to an accelerated battery drain that shortens the operation of an iPhone, iPad, or iPod contact on a single battery cost.
Unreliable voice and knowledge: Dropped calls, sluggish or unreliable knowledge connections, and delayed or inaccurate region knowledge.
Disruption of products and services: Products and services reminiscent of Visible Voicemail, Climate, and Shares were disrupted or now not work on the software. Moreover, 1/3-birthday party apps that use the Apple Push Notification Carrier have had issue receiving notifications or acquired notifications that had been meant for a unique hacked software. Different push-primarily based services and products corresponding to iCloud and Change have skilled issues synchronizing knowledge with their respective servers.
Lack of ability to use future tool updates: Some unauthorized changes have brought about injury to iOS that isn't repairable. This can lead to the hacked iPhone, iPad, or iPod contact turning into completely inoperable when a future Apple-equipped iOS replace is put in.
Apple strongly cautions towards putting in any device that hacks iOS. Additionally it is necessary to notice that unauthorized amendment of iOS is a violation of iOS finish-consumer license settlement and as a result of this, Apple could deny carrier for an iPhone, iPad, or iPod contact that has put in any unauthorized instrument.
At last hacked iPad, iPhone, iPod contact could lose the flexibility to put in future updates iOS. Apple strongly recommends towards the usage of purposes that may crack the iOS. Along with unauthorized adjustments to iOS is a violation of the person license settlement, ensuing within the Apple can refuse carrier to iPad, iPhone, iPod Contact with tool piracy.


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La Máquina de Pinball (The Pinball Number Count en la versión original) era una serie de fragmentos animados que aparecía en el espacio infantil Barrio Sésamo. En cada capítulo, se mostraba como una bola de pinball recorría una extravagante máquina de pinball mientras los Pointers Sisters cantaban una canción (contando números). La canción terminaba al llegar al número doce, que en cada fragmento se centraba en un determinado número.

Se hicieron episodios para los números desde el dos al doce. Para el número uno nunca se hizo.

Cada fragmento contenía partes comunes a los demás al principio y final del corto, como el lanzamiento de la bola o la salida de la bola del juego. Entre estas dos secuencias, había diferentes animaciones (específicas para cada número y segmento) de la bola en juego. En esta parte central, se mostraba una escena en la que una serie de dispositivos movían la bola por el interior de la máquina. Esas escenas, estaban ligadas a un tema, como un parque de atracciones, la jungla, el bosque, el desierto, el circo, un campo de golf, una granja, etc.

Fue producida y animada por Jeff Hale's Imagination Inc. La animación fue dirigida por Hale quien también desarrolló el concepto y diseño de los fragmentos. La animación recuerda estilos como el pop art o la psicodelia contemporánea, puestos de manifiesto en los golpeadores, los coloridos motivos geométricos o los fantásticos artilugios de la máquina.

La música fue compuesta por Walt Kraemer, quien también hizo las veces de productor, y fue arreglada por Ed Bogas. La letra era de los Pointer Sisters. De los arreglos de los once cortos emanaban sonidos de la cultura urbana de los setenta, sobre todo jazz y funky, y en menor medida otros estilos como el Calipso caribeño. Las secciones intermedias (específicas para cada número), contienen un solo instrumental improvisado (había tres diferentes) sobre una progresión básica de saxofón soprano, guitarra eléctrica y Calipso.La letra fue arreglada del mismo modo, con los Pointers gritando los números del dos al doce a diferente intensidad cada vez que la bola golpeaba una diana.

Fragmentos animados de Barrio Sésamo

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Q: Use HasMany OR HasOne in the same Model on Sencha Ext JS? I am looking for a way to give a model the capability to use both hasmany and hasone relations based o the records it gets.
As far as I know, hasmany expects an array of objects while hasone expects an object itself.
I am consuming data from a SAP's soap services, and the same service sometimes sends only one record (gotten as an object) or several records (gotten as an array of objects). Unfortunately I have no access to the code of those services.
This is my store:
Ext.define('FamilyModel', {
    extend : 'Ext.data.Model',
    config : {
        fields : [ {
            name: 'index',
            type : 'string',
            mapping: 'indice_familia'
        },
        {
            name : 'id',
            type : 'string',
            mapping: 'familia'
        },
        {
            name: 'description',
            type: 'string',
            mapping: 'desc_familia'
        }],
        hasMany: [{
            model: 'ProductModel',
            name: 'products',
            associationKey: 'Materiales'
        }]
    }
});

So, is it posible to handle this two kind of relations on the same model? Thanks!

A: HasOne is only a special case of HasMany. Anyway, HasOne implementation was buggy in pre-ExtJS 5 versions so I'd always use HasMany.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
Q: Append bannercode from a webpage I've got a problem I'm having trying to append a bannercode to the end of an URL. The customer journey is as follows:

*

*Person receives an email which contains a link to a site (SITE1), the URL will contain a banner code e.g. www.site1.com?banner=helloworld

*Once the person is on this site, there are 2 buttons which take the customer to a second site:

*

*Button 1 goes to https://www.site2.com/page1

*Button 2 goes to same URL/page2

$(document).ready( function () {
    var banner = String($.query.get('banner'));
    if(banner){
        href = $('a[href^="https://"]').attr("href") + "?banner=" + banner;
        $('a[href^="https://"]').attr("href", href);
    }
});

Basically what happens is, the piece of code I have makes both buttons go to the same URL for example button 1. How can I get the script to not change the URL for all buttons? Thanks in advance.

A: Do I understand you right: you want to add banner part for every link, but keep the original part unchanged?
$(document).ready(function(){
var banner=String($.query.get('banner'));
if(banner){
    $('a[href^="https://"]').attr('href',function(){
        return this+'?banner='+banner;
    });
}
});

or in shorter:
$(document).ready(function(){
    (banner=$.query.get('banner'))?$('[href^=https]').attr('href',function(){
            return this+'?banner='+banner}):null;
})


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Here are the crucial dates and associated events or people throughout the History of our church prior to 1900. If you are interested in further information on any listed then click on the appropriate words or dates that are underlined and this should take you to a more detailed page.
1788: Wesley's April 10th diary describes that at 'about noon I preached in Ashton to a loving and lively people and then went on to Oldham.
1865: Whitsunday. A Hallelujah Band walked from Sheffield to Ashton and held a gospel service in the town hall. It was well attended and this included a Mr William Western, a local butcher whose shop was in Bow St. He heard the gospel for the first time and was converted.He joined the Wesleyan Church in Stamford St (believed to have been situated a little farther up Stamford St towards the West End and on the opposite side of the road to the present Methodist Church) William was well known in the town for his heavy drinking habits and upon conversion he immediately felt a deep concern for the salvation of his drinking pals.
William soon realised that he should not be evangelising alone and got together with other Christians from all the denominations of the town to discuss how to influence others for Christ. The outcome of the meeting was the establishment of 'The Ashton Evangelical Mission'.
1875: On 16th March The Ashton Evangelical Mission became the Christian Brotherhood Mission.
1882: The Christian Brotherhood Mission had developed to the point of needing a Mission Hall of its own and on Whitsunday 28th May the Old Cross Mission was opened. It was to be led by Mr William Western, 17 years after his conversion.
1882: 1st July. The Old Cross Mission sent out invitations to the women involved in prostitution around the town. Over 100 attended to hear Mr Christian of the London Midnight Society preach the word.
Stedman, had ancestors still involved in the leadership of the church a century later.


text:
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Art Skills: Sketching Ideas in Notes
Art Skills: Sketching Ideas in Notes - 12:00 p.m. – 12:30 p.m. - Apple Stanford Shopping CenterDetails
Music Lab for Kids: Making a Theme Song - 12:00 p.m. – 1:00 p.m. - Apple Stoneridge MallDetails
Music Skills: Getting Started with GarageBand - 12:30 p.m. – 1:00 p.m. - Apple HillsdaleDetails
Art Lab for Kids: Make Your Own Emoji - 1:00 p.m. – 2:00 p.m. - Apple OakridgeDetails
Photo Walk: Taking Portraits on Location - 1:00 p.m. – 2:30 p.m. - Apple Valley FairDetails


Wrap It Storage Straps were through bolted to the wardrobe unit with machine screws, washers, and self locking nuts. This one is to hold our 25′ water hose.
Two Storage Straps were mounted to secure tire jack on the edge of the pre-formed shower base under the wardrobe. This keeps them dry and out of the way.
These are the machine through bolts, and washers on the wardrobe/bath side.


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Santa Monica Observer - Community, Diversity, Sustainability and other Overused Words
By Kate Kuykendall
Visit National Parks, Contribute to the Westside's Local Economy
National Park Service Quantifies Just How Much National Parks Contribute to the Local Economy
Anacapa Island Lighthouse.
Thousand Oaks, Calif. – A new National Park Service (NPS) report for 2016 shows that 906,605 park visitors spent an estimated $39.4 million in the local community while visiting Santa Monica Mountains National Recreation Area. That spending supported 557 jobs and contributed $54.3 million to our local economy.
In the past year, visitors to Channel Islands National Park spent an estimated $22.4 million in local gateway regions, supporting 315 jobs and providing $31.9 million in economic benefit.
"The trails and scenic vistas of the Santa Monica Mountains offer an escape for nearly a million visitors each year," said Superintendent David Szymanski of Santa Monica Mountains National Recreation Area. "We are happy to know that the park also provides a strong economic benefit to the local community."
"The NPS has a presence in every community in the United States, including ours," said Channel Islands National Park Superintendent Russell Galipeau. "National park tourism is a significant driver in our economy, returning $10 for every $1 invested in the NPS."
The peer-reviewed visitor spending analysis was conducted by economists Catherine Cullinane Thomas of the U.S. Geological Survey and Lynne Koontz of the NPS.
The report shows that, nationwide, 331 million park visitors spent $18.4 billion in communities within 60 miles of a national park. This spending supported 318,000 jobs; 271,544 of those jobs are found in these gateway communities. The cumulative benefit to the U.S. economy was $34.9 billion.
Couple on Santa Cruz Island, Channel Islands National Park
Although Middle and West Anacapa are not open to hiking (they are set aside for the island wildlife except for a small beach on the West islet called Frenchy's Cove that can be reached only by boat), East Anacapa has about 2 miles of trails. Once visitors have scaled the rugged cliffs using the stairway from the landing cove, they will find a figure eight-shaped trail system that meanders over gentle slopes to dramatic overlooks, magnificent coastal views, and the last permanent lighthouse built on the west coast. An interpretive trail guide is available on the island to interpret these and other island resources.
To learn more about national parks in California and how the NPS works with California communities, go to: http://www.nps.gov/california.
The report is available at the NPS Social Science Program webpage: go.nps.gov/vse.
The Kingdom of the Lowlands Offers clandestine cannabis coffeeshops to Pancakes
Life is Sweet in Napa Valley - Intimate Micro-Experiences in the World of Wine, Food, & the Art of Relaxation (PART TWO)
Let's Getaway: Dutch Edition Travel Product Review including Babbel, Olbas Oil, Nomader
Ottoman Empire: BESH. In the Heart of Dubai, You Will Find the Most Authentic Turkish Kitchen
Soaking It Up: The Enchanting Healing Waters of Glen Ivy Hot Springs
From Earthquakes to Mu...Alyssa Erdley
City Council Sells Out...Alyssa Erdley
Anti-War Demonstration...Samuel Alioto
Federal Lawsuit Claims...Craig Crosby
Celebrate the Kumquat...Kat Thomas
Hide the Guns and Chur...Stan Greene
Songs of Fantasy at th...Samuel Alioto
Shirley Caroline Skeel...Carolyn Lupe
Secret Room Event Kick...Preity Uupala
Firemen Extinguish Fir...Patrick Nulty
Santa Monica Observer
Central Tower Building
1424-4th Street, Suite 310
© 2020 SMMC, LLC


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Spotlight on Feast of Fools (plus GLBT Podcasting)
By Pink Banana Media - August 25, 2008
One of the most popular talk shows on the Internet today, as well as one of the originals in the gay market, Feast of Fools, alternately know as Gay Fun Show or simply FoF, is a mix of celebrity interviews, news commentary, author chats, cocktail recipes, grooming advice, political forum, new artist musical interludes, gift opening, and letter reading.
The show has won Best GLBT Podcast from the People's Choice Podcast Awards and Best Podcast from the Gay Bloggies. As the most widely downloaded gay podcast, its availability has brought GLBT-themed programming to listeners in cities, towns, and rural areas across the country and around the world.
These Guys Get Social Networking and Web 2.0!
Yes, they may have won some fantastic awards and have created a show with fans worldwide, but one of their greatest strengths is that not only do they keep contemporary with their pop culture and show content they produce 5 times per week, they also stay way ahead of the curve when it comes to using t…
Gay Wedding and Marriage Resources
Making news around the globe, the legal rights and recognition of gays & lesbians is becoming manifested in the definition of marriage. More and more companies and communities across the US are recognizing the union of two gay men or women in terms of civil unions or domestic partnerships, granting them the same basic rights as heterosexual married couples. Health insurance benefits, estate planning and more are becoming commonplace in many gay & lesbian lives, but not all. The right of marriage, however, along with all of its legal and tax implications, is the final goal for many gays & lesbians. It would be society's way of showing that once and for all gays & lesbians are now deemed equal in the eyes of the law.
Several countries around the world have already legalized gay marriage including Denmark, The Netherlands and now Spain. In North America, Canada has legalized gay marriage, and the subsequent travel by gays and lesbians to these destinations to have t…
Power Networking Lunch Presentation in Dallas
I had a great time here in Dallas today (Aug 14, 2008) doing a Web 2.0/Social Networking presentation following the Power Networking Lunch here at Maggiano's in North Park.
It was a great turnout, and prior to doing my presentation, I got to participate in the Power Networking as well... business networking merged with speed dating on steroids. It was my first one and I loved it!
More photos can be found at:
http://picasaweb.google.com/mattskal/DallasPowerNetworkingPresentationAug2008
http://www.glbtchamber.org/
August 2008 Gay Business Report
The Power of the Automated News Feed
How Plaxo, Friendfeed and even Facebook utilize 3rd party programs such as Picasa, YouTube and Flickr to keep you up-to-date in this even more fast-paced Information Age
If you're like many of us out there, you've been using Plaxo for a few years now. It's been a great tool, primarily used by the business community, in keeping one's Outlook up-to-date when your friends and other contacts change jobs, move or even get a new cell phone number. Change jobs and all you had to do was update your Plaxo information in order to get that job update out there to hundreds of your Outlook contacts simultaneously, and vice versa… one of your Outlook contacts moves to a new city, and voila, your Outlook information is automatically updated..... How to Turn a Cold Call into a Warm Call Using LinkedIn.com
The new way to research and find the best contacts to start with when making business outreach to a company
First there was Friendster a…
How to Turn a Cold Call into a Warm Call Using LinkedIn.com
First there was Friendster and then there was MySpace. Along the way, Plaxo leveraged its access into your Outlook contact database to launch Plaxo Pulse and Facebook hit the scene going from the college dorm to Main Street USA. In between all of this, chugging along as if it had the entire business landscape to itself, was LinkedIn.com, a site focused on just the business-to-business connections needed in the social networking world. Starting out as a more employment-oriented site, LinkedIn.com has grown in popularity over the past year to become almost the de facto Online Chamber of Commerce, allowing business people from around the world to network and connect in ways not possible just a few years back.
The simplest use of LinkedIn.com is its power in connecting with your business contacts found in your various e-mail address books, as well as connecting with those business…
Current Automotive Advertising Trends in the GLBT Market
In anticipation of the August 2008 release of the Gay Market Report, Pink Banana Media has released one of its key marketing reports looking at the automotive industry's recent advertising and marketing trends in the GLBT community. Using the $712B projected buying power of the US GLBT community as a reference point, this information is even more timely considering the overall downward trends in consumer automotive purchases this year.
Authored by Joe LaMuraglia of GayWheels.com, this marketing report includes the most recent GayWheels.com Top 10 Most Researched vehicles list, which helps to shed light on what GLBT automotive consumers are researching online when making their car buying decisions. It also brings to light both the history of automotive advertising in the GLBT community, and where this advertising is today, with companies such as Subaru, Cadillac and Saturn continuing to send the signal that they are in this marketplace for the long term.
In addition, the Top 10 report…
Spotlight on Feast of Fools (plus GLBT Podcasting)...
How to Turn a Cold Call into a Warm Call Using Lin...
Current Automotive Advertising Trends in the GLBT ...


Photographer Grant Slater captures Russia's Akadempark–a lost Soviet science town that's turned into Putin's new hub of innovation.
One image in the photo series Silicon Forest shows Nick Volynkin, an employee of a mobile entertainment startup, grinning up at the camera, his face illuminated by the light of his laptop. Sitting awkwardly in a conference room full of gleaming monitors, Volynkin is the image of any under-caffeinated, overworked twenty-something you'd find in Silicon Valley. Instead he's deep in the heart of the Siberian forest, where Russia has its own burgeoning technology sector.
This is Akademgorodok, President Putin's answer to the global arms race, where a swanky new Akadempark complex hosts startups, entrepreneurs, incubators, and academics from all over the country. Though the building's new, the town is not–it's been around since the 1960s when the country's brightest scientists gathered there far from the watchful eye of Soviet-era Moscow. The place was an intellectual haven in a country of idealogical restraints: scientists lived in cushy apartments, held lively debates in local social clubs, and made significant advancements in previously dismissed fields like cybernetics and genetics.
Unfortunately, the dream was short-lived; the Brezhnev era brought an end to those freedoms and with it the Akademgorodok. Recently the area has been experiencing a bit of resurgence under Putin, who is hoping to revive it as a hotbed of 21st-century innovation. In his photos, Brooklyn-based photographer Grant Slater captures vestiges of the Akademgorodok–in a solitary stone monument, older machines–alongside the flashy new 13-story Akadempark and its brainy inhabitants. As Oliver Wainright writes in the Guardian, Putin's drive to make this the Silicon Valley of Russia has ushered in a mix of federal and private money totaling around $1 billion. IBM, Intel, and Schlumberger all have outposts there, though most of the other tech heavyweights–Microsoft, Cisco, and Google, for example–still populate the more established tech hub of Skolkovo, near Moscow.
See more of life at Akademgorodok in the slide show above or head over to Slater's website for the full selection.


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Notes navigation: Browse by title • Browse by author • Subject index
Feddersen and Sandroni: A theory of participation in elections
Disclaimer. Don't rely on these old notes in lieu of reading the literature, but they can jog your memory. As a grad student long ago, my peers and I collaborated to write and exchange summaries of political science research. I posted them to a wiki-style website. "Wikisum" is now dead but archived here. I cannot vouch for these notes' accuracy, nor can I even say who wrote them. If you have more recent summaries to add to this collection, send them my way I guess. Sorry for the ads; they cover the costs of keeping this online.
Feddersen and Sandroni. 2002. A theory of participation in elections.
This is overly simple, but here's the basic idea: The turnout game generates endogenous payoffs for doing your part--in other words, a payoff for doing your duty by voting. In essence, we all are conditional cooperators; I'll vote if you vote, and this is our civic duty. I get an extra payoff from cooperating with this duty.
Since we recognize that voting is costly, and that our coalition (party) only needs a certain number of vote to win, we coordinate on some cutoff point; those for whom voting is more costly than this cutoff do not vote, and those for whom voting is less costly than this cutoff do vote. The cutoff will be a bit lower for the minority coalition than for the majority coalition (so a slightly higher proportion of the losing coalition will turn out).
So basically, this is an argument asserting that civic duty is group based.
Feddersen and Sandroni model "A two-candidate election in which a large population of agents may vote for candidate 1, vote for candidate 2, or abstain. Voting costs vary within the population and a single vote is never pivotal" (4). Note that the non-pivotal aspect of their model differs substantially from most rational choice accounts.
Rule-Utilitarianism
A rule-utilitarian is defined as "An agent who receives a payoff for acting according to a strategy profile (a rule)" (3). Harsanyi (1992) links this conception to the maximization of social welfare. Feddersen and Sandroni drop this assumption because of the problems it creates--i.e. people disagree about which candidate will maximize social welfare. Instead, they assume the endogeneity of preferences.
Endogenous Preferences
There are two types of rule-utilitarian agents in Feddersen and Sandroni's model. Some prefer candidate 1 and others prefer candidate 2. An agent's type is endogenously determined, and "Each agent has an action he should take and receives an additional payoff from taking this action" (4). The endogeneity assumption reflects the reality that self-interest, religion, sense of social justice, etc... can determine one's preferences. The payoff derives from the agent's sense of "doing their part" (11). Ethical agents receive a payoff for doing their part. Abstainers receive no payoff for doing their part.
A rule defines "how each agent should behave (i.e. a rule is an arbitrary mapping from voting costs to the action space)" (4). The agent's choice of a rule is determined by his or her preference type. That is, agents "rank rules according to their preferences" (5).
An agent's behavior profile is consistent if his or her behavior "follows from the agent's preferred rule" (5). Feddersen and Sandroni claim that "If agents' behavior is consistent then there exists a cutoff point for each type such that agents with voting costs below this threshold should (and will) vote for their favored candidate. Agents with voting costs above the threshold abstain" (5).
(Note: This is the derived voting rule. We all want "enough" people from our coalition to vote, but we don't want everybody from our coalition to vote, since that will be wasteful. So we have a rule that people vote if their costs are under a certain cutoff.)
Turnout Preferences
The model assumes that "Fixing the probability candidate 1 wins the election, all agents prefer lower turnout since it produces lower social costs" (13).
Results of Model
After using some (quite technical) game theory, the authors present the following results: "The fraction of voters in the minority group who participate in the election is greater than the fraction in the majority, but the majority has a higher chance of winning the election...Expected turnout goes to zero as the level of disagreement vanishes...Expected turnout is increasing in the importance of the election and the expected margin of victory is decreasing on the level of disagreement" (33).
Comments and Criticism
It seems that the endogenous preferences assumed in the model cannot account for strategic voting. Their model only accounts for a two-candidate race, and has nothing to say about the voting behavior of members of small third-parties. In addition, the agents' preference for lower turnout seems unrealistic. Do people really care that much about whether too many people vote? Reality seems to confirm that people like high turnout, if anything. The authors comment on this issue on page 13, but their explanation seems pretty weak. I don't think that I am alone in believing that the "social cost" of an overdetermined outcome in an election is negligible.
Research by the same authors
Feddersen: Rational choice theory and the paradox of not voting
Research on similar subjects
Baron: Political action versus voluntarism in social dilemmas and aid for the needy (5 shared tags)
Coate and Conlin: A group rule-utilitarian approach to voter turnout (5 shared tags)
Coate, Conlin, and Moro: The performance of the pivotal-voter model in small-scale elections (5 shared tags)
Fowler: Altruism and turnout (5 shared tags)
Jankowski: Altruism and the decision to vote (5 shared tags)
Jankowski: Buying a lottery ticket to help the poor (5 shared tags)
Conradt and Roper: Consensus decision making in animals (4 shared tags)
Prins: Ecology and behavior of the African buffalo (4 shared tags)
Feddersen, Timothy (author) • Sandroni, Alvaro (author) • Political Science • Political Theory • Altruism • Voting • Turnout
Wikisum home: Index of all summaries by title, by author, or by subject.
This portion of my website (/notes/) is the site formerly known as wikisum.com. Many years ago, my friends in graduate school and I would routinely share our reading notes with one another. We all read each article, but we crowdsourced the responsibility of summarizing our readings. When we were preparing for our comprehensive exams, I collected many of these summaries from peers and imported them into a wiki (wikisummary, or wikisum), hoping it would take off and attract hordes of graduate students and political scientists interested in maintaining an up-to-date knowledge base of all political science has to offer. It turns out I was too optimistic. Hundreds of people read the summaries, but almost nobody contributed new ones. Eventually, I quit renewing the wikisum domain and converted the contents into this static website. The summaries grow more dated each year, but since they might still have some use, they're still here—even if the name "wikisum" has become a bit of a misnomer. Enjoy.


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Archives and manuscripts (1)
In the library (75)
82 results for ""Hemorrhagic fever.""
Lifting the impenetrable veil : from yellow fever to Ebola hemorrhagic fever and SARS / Charles H. Calisher, Ph.D.
Epidemic hemorrhagic fever : preliminary draft / by Claudius F. Mayer.
Mayer, Claudius F.
Bibliography of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome / D. Carleton Gajdusek, Lev G. Goldfarb, Dmitry Goldgaber.
Gajdusek, D. Carleton 1923-2008.
Bibliography of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (muroid virus nephropathy) / D. Carleton Gajdusek, Dmitry Goldgaber, Ellen Millard.
Tick-borne encephalitis and haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Europe : report on a WHO meeting, Baden, 3-5 October 1983.
World Health Organization. Regional Office for Europe.
Dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever / edited by Professor Duane J. Gubler, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Associate Professor Eng Eong Ooi, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Professor Subhash Vasudevan, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Professor Jeremy Farrar, Oxford University Clinical Research Unit, Vietnam.
Gubler, D. J.
A treatise on febrile diseases. Including intermitting, remitting, and continued fevers ; eruptive fevers, inflammations, hemorrhages, and the profluvia ... / by A. Philip Wilson.
Philip, Alexander Philip Wilson, 1770-1847.
A treatise on febrile diseases, including intermitting, remitting, and continued fevers ; eruptive fevers, inflammations, hemorrhages, and the profluvia ... / by A. Philip Wilson.
International Colloquium on Ebola-Virus Infection and other Hemorrhagic Fevers : Antwerp 6-7-8 December 1977.
International Colloquium on Ebola-Virus Infection and other Hemorrhagic Fevers (1977 : Antwerp, Belgium)
Acute infectious hemorrhagic fevers and mycotoxicoses in the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics / by D. Carleton Gajdusek.
"Acute infectious hemorrhagic fevers and mycotoxicoses in the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics2, by D. Carleton Gajdusek
RAMC/810/6/8
Royal Army Medical Corps Muniments Collection
Practical observations on the cure of hectic and slow fevers and the pulmonary consumption: to which is added a method of treating several kinds of internal hemorrhages / [Moses Griffith].
Griffith, Moses, 1699-1785.
Practical observations on the cure of hectic and slow fevers, and the pulmonary consumption, to which is added, a method of treating several kinds of internal hemorrhages / By Moses Griffith.
Griffith, Moses, 1723 or 1724-1785.
Observations on the bark of a particular species of willow, showing its superiority to the Peruvian, and its singular efficacy in the cure of agues, intermittent fevers, fluor albus, abscesses, hemorrhages, etc / [Samuel James].
James, Samuel.
Practical observations on the cure of hectic and slow fevers, and the pulmonary consumption: To which is added, a method of treating several kinds of internal hemorrhages. By Moses Griffith, M.D. of the Royal College of physicians, London.
M.DCC.LXXVI. [1776]
Observations on the preparation, utility, and administration of the digitalis purpurea, or foxglove, in dropsy of the chest, consumption, hemorrhage, scarlet fever, measles, &c. including a sketch of the medical history of this plant, and an account of the opinions of those authors who have written upon it, during the last thirty years / by William Hamilton.
Hamilton, William, 1772-1808.
Observations on the preparation, utility, and administration of the digitalis purpurea, or foxglove, in dropsy of the chest, consumption, hemorrhage, scarlet fever, measles, &c. including a sketch of the medical history of this plant, and an account of the opinions of those authors who have written upon it, during the last thirty years / By William Hamilton ... Illustrated by cases.
Clinical aspects and epidemiology of haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome : analysis of clinical and epidemiological experiences in Hungary / T. Trencséni and B. Keleti.
Trencséni, Tibor.
Ebola virus haemorrhagic fever : proceedings of an International Colloquium on Ebola Virus Infection and other Haemorrhagic Fevers, held in Antwerp, Belgium, 6-8 December, 1977 / editor, S.R. Pattyn.
International Colloquium on Ebola Virus Infection and other Haemorrhagic Fevers (1977 : Antwerp, Belgium)
Ebola junction.
Wright, John.
Afternoon drama : Ebola.
Breman, Joel G.
Government response to the House of Commons Science and Technology Committee 2nd Report of session 2015-16 : science in emergencies : UK lessons from ebola / presented to Parliament by the Secretary of State for Health by Command of Her Majesty.
Great Britain. Department of Health


Happy Valentine's Day, everyone! I personally love this day because it's yet another opportunity to talk about the most important kind of love -- SELF-LOVE. This month's Next Generation Yoga Lesson Plan "I Love Myself" is all about self-love and bringing a piece of Rose Quartz to class can take the self-lovin' to the next level. Rose Quartz is a stone of the heart and unconditional love for oneself and others. It's one of the most important crystals for healing the heart and the heart chakra ... and it's also really pretty!
At the beginning of class, the children can pass the Rose Quartz around the circle and share what they love about themselves and/or say the affirmation, "I love myself!" I'm smiling right now looking at this beautiful crystal that has touched over 100 pairs of hands* in the last week. The kids have LOVED the self-love sharing experience and I'm feeling inspired to use crystals more in the classes I teach, so stay tuned for more suggestions and teaching tips with these special and magical Kids Yoga class props.
Have you used crystals in the Kids Yoga classes you teach? Or are you inspired to do so? I'd love to hear your thoughts. Feel free to comment below.
If you don't already have the NGY "I Love Myself" Lesson Plan, you can purchase a copy for 2-7 yr. olds here and/or 8-13 yr. olds here.
* I'm definitely disinfecting the Rose Quartz with doTERRA's On Guard in between classes and it will certainly be ready for a cleansing after tomorrow's classes! Lol!


Oases are isolated stretches of vegetation found in the desert generally surrounding a water body. They are blessings in disguise which provide habitat to all life forms. Oases can be termed as the jewel hidden away among the countless sands of the desert. They not only quench the thirst of humans crossing the arid dry deserts but also satisfies mankind's eternal search for beauty. Here is the list of 10 pretty wonderful oases villages around the world.
It is located near the city of Sabha in South Western Libya. This oasis glitters in the heart of the Sahara desert the world's largest desert. The tall green palm trees standing strong on a foundation of endless spread of the yellow sand is a treat to the eyes.
Hard to believe it is not the creation of a painter's brush but an actual grace of Mother Nature! Huacachina is a wonderland concealed in the undulating sand dunes of Peru complete with a shining lagoon and loads of greenery off the city of Ica. The picture perfect village provides a complete package of aesthetics and convenience to the travellers.
An ancient oasis renowned for its role in providing solace to the Silk-route traders rests peacefully under the scorching sun south of the city of Dunhuang in China in the Gobi Desert. Here one can collect Chinese souvenir and enjoy camel ride in the desert. Try imagining what the oasis will look like in a full moon night!
Tucked away in the African country of Tunisia at the foot of mountains of the Djebel el Negueb is the mountain desert oasis of Chebika. The place is often rightly referred to as 'the castle of the Sun'. In the past Roman soldiers used the place as an African outpost which is nowadays frequented by tourist. Drawn by its remote other worldly beauty one of the Star Wars movies was shot here.
Situated in the inland of the Atacama Desert in North Chile the charming and happy town of Pica has formed around the oasis of Pica. The fog of the Pacific Ocean helps greenery sprout in this desert land. The pleasant oasis is also frequented by the Chilean flamingos. The temperatures soar high here and so the communal spring come oasis of Pica is used by the locals for bathing purpose.
The magic of the Gobi desert does not end in China but extends into its neighbour Mongolia. The beautiful oasis of Zulganai located in South Mongolia owes its existence to the river Zulganai which originates in the Mountain of Altan flows through the desert and vanishes into the sands. Rare migratory birds flock around Zulganai's cane and willow vegetation.
Ein Gedi finds its mention in the Bible and is often referred as an oasis in the Garden of Eden. It provides a rare blend of history, architecture and wilderness of nature. This pretty oasis is located west of Dead Sea in the Judean desert between Masada and Qumran Caves in Israel. The place attracts both nature lovers and religious people. It is hailed as the most important oasis of Israel.
This beacon of life with olive and palm trees glitters in a no-man's land in the Libyan Desert 560 Kms from Cairo. 'Siwa' means protector of the Egyptian Sun God Amon-Ra. The oasis is known for the Greek Oracle temple dedicated to the Egyptian Sun God Amun once visited by King Alexander the Great himself! The mystical Siwa also boasts of a pool where Queen Cleopatra is believed to have swum according to the legends. The charm of Siwa is reflected in the language and customs of the locals who speak their own Berber Language and wear traditional costumes.
This splendour of nature is carved in the Southern end of the Great Salt Lake Desert in the Juab County Utah. The history of the place is fascinating and one cannot help imagining what it would be to fly back in time and live here. The area used to be the ancient Lake Bonneville which no longer exists. Sometimes the old shorelines are visible at stretches. The marshy oasis attracts several life forms particularly birds.
The green canopy springing up in the cold white sand desert of Ladakh nestled in the northern tip of India in one of Asia'a best kept secret. Nubra valley can be reached from the city of Leh in the Karakoram Ranges. Foreigners need an inner line permit to visit the place. In Nubra valley one can enjoy view of Bactrian camel plying in the desert. These camels were brought by the caravan who once crossed this place to reach China along the Silk Route. The land of snow, sand and magically blue sky is sure to take your heart away.