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There are golden eagles, (and at the Festival of the majority) who have been caught and tamed only for a holiday. In their study leaves several months. Learn more at this site: Elon Musk. These beauties perfectly handle all their duties, but in the mountains hardly feed themselves and enrich the host valuable fur. But for routine hunting (if at all possible so-called hunting!) for commercial production of animals required train the eagle a few years. It should be noted that the principle of "carrot and stick" is not quite there.
Proud bird absolutely nepriemlet "stick" and can only accept graciously "Carrot" in the form of pieces of meat. From the earliest days of chick-eaglet is fully dependent of his parents and gets them all he needs. In his boyhood plumage is light gray or yellowish color. And in this time and must be forced to steal from the nest, which is hidden among high rocks destroyed, where it is inaccessible to the enemy. And again I hear the familiar story that needs to stress the danger of nestling production: how Returning inappropriately eagles wings blows thrown down a loser.
Eaglet not see much difference between father-mother and the man who had regularly fed and warm. That is so unpretentious and is tame (very apt word), the golden eagle. In my opinion, this training can not be named because the team does not understand the golden eagle, and subject to nature-ordained instincts and get used to not fear the man and the horse adapts to stay on hand and swinging into the saddle. On the rock carvings (petroglyphs) in Central Asia, depicting scenes of hunting, there are silhouettes of dogs, but no hint of domesticated birds of prey. But Marco Polo H111 century already mentioned the ability to Asians use birds of prey. In our time hunting with birds of prey is experiencing a wave of revival. Mongolia, Altai, Kyrgyzstan, the Middle East … Until now, there are rumors that the price of hunting falcon in the Emirates rolls over to tens of thousands of dollars. In my memory, about seven years ago, our customs contraband was intercepted by a large party of falcons from Mongolia Balabanov, intended for export outside of Russia. Incomparably entertaining this kind of hunting, if only because the gap between man and nature – is minimal. My impression is, of course, is subjective, but I do not understand the pride of "hunter", to pay huge money for something to fill up from a powerful rifle huge elephant. I feel sorry for his victim and himself. I know exactly where I'll be in early October next year. Once again I want to experience moments of excitation and excitement to his ruthless catch-close look yellow eyes, hear proud scream over the defeated animal. I hope to feel the sheer weight of the arm feathered friend, he removed the leather klobuchek and send a piercing cry of an eagle in the blue mountain sky .


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Home / Cities / Delhi News / Delhi government orders an audit of seven city hospitals
Delhi recorded a huge jump in cases on Sunday with 293 people testing positive for Covid-19, taking the total to 2,918. Fifty-four people have died of the disease so far.(Vipin Kumar/HT file photo)
Delhi government orders an audit of seven city hospitals
The seven hospital where the audit will be done are: All India Institute of medical Sciences (AIIMS), Safdarjung Hospital, Ram Manohar Lohia, Pandit Madan Mohan Malviya, Rajiv Gandhi Super Speciality hospital, Max hospital in Saket and Indraprastha Apollo hospital.
By Risha Chitlangia and Anonna Dutt | Hindustan Times, New Delhi
UPDATED ON APR 27, 2020 02:20 AM IST
With an increasing number of healthcare workers testing positive in the national capital, the Delhi government's health department has requested the National Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) to do an assessment and audit of implementation of guidelines and standard operating procedure (SOPs) followed at seven city hospitals.
Delhi recorded a huge jump in cases on Sunday with 293 people testing positive for Covid-19, taking the total to 2,918. Fifty-four people have died of the disease so far.
With several healthcare workers and patients visiting various hospitals in the city testing positive for Covid-19, district authorities raised the issue of hospitals becoming a major source of infection in a meeting with Delhi's lieutenant governor Anil Baijal held on April 21.
"We haven't received any such letter yet. We do inspect the quarantine facilities etc sometimes but not hospitals. In case of such complaints, the health ministry constitutes special teams – of which NCDC officers might be a part – for inspections like it is happening in other states," said Dr Sujeet Singh, director, National Centre for Disease Control. Central teams have been sent to states like Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, and Telangana among others.
This comes on a day when at least 29 healthcare workers – including12 doctors and 11 nurses -- tested positive for Covid-19 in Baba Saheb Ambedkar hospital in Rohini. Earlier this week, 57 people from the hospital had been quarantined after they came in contact with a suspected Covid-19 patient, a 40-year-old woman from Jahangirpuri, where six of the eight containment zones from North district are located. In another hospital in Jahangirpuri – the non-Covid-19 Babu Jagjivan Ram Memorial hospital -- at least 44 healthcare workers had tested positive for the infection.
On Saturday, a security guard and a nurse from the cancer centre of All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) tested positive for Covid-19. So far, at least eight healthcare workers – all from the non-Covid-19 areas of the hospital – have tested positive for the infection. Two of the children of nurse also tested positive for the infection.
South Delhi district magistrate BM Mishra told HT, "Nearly 30% of the cases reported in my district are of healthcare workers."
The chemotherapy area had to be shut for a couple of hours for sanitisation on Saturday after the nurse got her report. Several of the 40 chemotherapy patients who visit the centre in a day have also been advised home quarantine. At least 70 healthcare workers from the hospital are in quarantine.
"There is a team that is contact tracing and will advise home quarantine or testing to colleagues and patients who might have come in contact with the nurse," said Dr DK Sharma. All the patients from gastroenterology department of the hospital, where another nurse had tested positive, tested negative for the infection.
A staff of Batra hospital tested positive on Sunday. The woman, who lives in Malviya Nagar, was employed in the hospital's pharmacy. "Four of her family members have been put in institutional quarantine and one low risk contact has been put in home quarantine," said a senior district official.
In a letter to NCDC director, dated April 24, Delhi government's health secretary Padmini Singla referred to the above mentioned hospitals and wrote, "It has been reported that doctors, nurses and other support staff (of the above mentioned hospitals)…are getting themselves infected with COVID-19 and becoming a source of infection in the society when they go to their respective homes. It is suspected that proper guidelines and SOPs may not be properly followed in these hospitals."
The government requested the NCDC to carry out a "quick assessment and audit of implantation of various guidelines, SOPs and other measures in these hospitals" to prevent the spread of the infection to doctors etc.
"The increase in the number of health care workers, those posted at hospitals and their contacts testing positive is a cause of concern. It might be that adequate measures for protection are not being taken by hospital authorities, including those which are not treating Covid-19 cases. There is an urgent need to fix these lapses," said a district magistrate (DM), requesting anonymity.
Delhi coronavirus COVID 19

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Home » Microdosing 101 » Microdosing Substances » Which psychedelic to use for microdosing? What are the differences?
Which psychedelic to use for microdosing? What are the differences?
A frequently asked question our team gets is: "Which substance – psychedelic – should I take to start microdosing?" Unfortunately, this question is not all that easy to answer. Which substance for microdosing is best suited for your specific aim depends on many factors:
Personal preference
Your energy level
Your intention for microdosing
Microdosing for reasons (ailments) such as ADHD, ADD, migraine, cluster headache, depression, burnout, PMS, social anxiety.
Whether you are using medication
What is the difference between LSD, (1cP-LSD) and Magic Mushrooms and Magic Truffles for microdosing?
LSD belongs to the family of lysergamides.
Psilocybin belongs to the tryptamine family.
LSD has a longer effect than magic mushrooms (psilocybin). The sub-perceptual effect of a microdose of LSD and 1cP-LSD can last up to 10 hours. This makes the time of intake especially important. We therefore definitely recommend taking your microdose before 10:00 in the morning.
LSD is one of the most potent (most powerful) psychedelics out there. The fact that the dose is stated in micrograms (one thousandth of a milligram) is significant. It is difficult to determine exactly how much LSD a papertrip (or blotter) contains without a lab test. This makes dosing small doses extra difficult.
Some people are more sensitive to LSD than others. The threshold value (that is the amount where people start to notice a mild psychedelic effect) varies from person to person and is between 5 and 50 micrograms.
People also react differently to equal doses. The experiences of microdosers often speak of an increase in creativity, energy, problem-solving ability and focus. But of course this remains a subjective experience. Like other psychedelics, LSD amplifies emotions and feelings. For example, your creativity may surface when you start working with art or music, but if you choose to have a good conversation with one of your loved ones, for example, there will be more emphasis on connection, reflection or emotions. .
LSD and 1cP-LSD has an affinity with the dopamine and serotonin receptors. Psilocybin mainly on the serotonin receptors.
Mushrooms and truffles cause mild nausea more often than LSD and 1cP-LSD
Magic mushrooms and truffles cause fatigue in some people. This is in contrast to LSD, which gives most people more energy.
Differences San Pedro cactus vs. Psilocybin (shrooms and magic truffles)
Mescaline and psilocybin are two naturally occurring psychedelics. The substances differ in pharmacology, effects and therapeutic value. Both have been used for thousands of years by indigenous peoples for spiritual, medicinal and religious purposes.
It takes a little more preparation to process the fresh San Pedro cactus into a powder for microdosing than magic truffles that are freshly are available and immediately suitable for consumption.
Growing mushrooms for microdosing also takes quite some time compared to the legal fresh mescaline in the cactus is often unknown because it differs per harvest and even per cactus, so after To obtain cactus powder, you always have to 'look for' a good dose and thus find out how strong your cactus is. This is in contrast to the truffles. These are the most stable in their strength. Certainly also in comparison with mushrooms, which can differ in strength per flight (harvest) and per mushroom.
If microdosing with mushrooms makes you a bit restless, working with mescaline-containing cacti is a very good alternative.
Mescaline is a stimulant, it has a longer effect than truffles/mushrooms – even in small doses. So it's a bad idea to take it at night unless you don't want to sleep. The morning is the perfect time to take it.
Compared to psilocybin-containing mushrooms such as magic mushrooms and magic truffles, we observed the following differences in effects with microdosing.
Slow onset, takes 1.5 hours before the full effect is noticeable
Works longer: 7 to 10 hours
Gives milder physical energy
More philosophical
Gives a soothing relaxed effect for many people
Better sense of smell
Several reports report that there is less tolerance than the other psychedelics
However, the psychoactive experiences of this psilocybin and mescaline differ from each other. Yet both can bring about a shift in consciousness that changes you profoundly. In addition, they are both used for spiritual, medicinal and recreational purposes.
Mescaline and psilocybin are found in life forms in nature. For example, psilocybin can be obtained from various mushrooms. More than 180 species have been found to contain the psychoactive compound, or its derivative, psilocin. You can find these mushrooms in many places in the world. From South America, Europe and Africa to Asia.
However, Mescaline is found in a number of species of cacti. Think of the Peruvian torch (Echinopsis peruviana) and San Pedro (Echinopsis pachanoi). It is also found in the Peyote cactus (Lophophora williamsii). All species occur naturally in the United States and Mexico.
Traditional usage
Psilocybin mushrooms have been part of human culture for thousands of years, as archaeological finds suggest. Images of it have been found in prehistoric art all over the world. Especially in the form of cave paintings. Authors like Terence McKenna and Graham Hancock go even further. For example, they have argued that psychedelics, such as psilocybin, may have played a fundamental role in human evolution and history. At least, as far as our self-consciousness and abstract thinking are concerned.
Psilocybin-containing mushrooms were used for spiritual purposes by the indigenous people of Mesoamerica. For example, statues, stones and motifs have been found in regions of South America. For example, the Aztecs and Mazatecs believed that the mushrooms were sacred.
Mescaline has also been used for a very long time. For example, the cacti were ceremonially consumed by Native Americans in present-day Texas, New Mexico, and South America.
Psilocybin is converted by the body to psilocin, which is responsible for the psychoactive effects that follow. The compound is known to bind to serotonin receptors in the brain. And especially to the 5-HT 2A receptor.
Mescaline also binds to serotonin receptors in the brain, in particular to receptors 1A, 2A, 2B and 2C. It is also known for its binding to dopamine receptors.
Effects of psilocybin-containing mushrooms and truffles
An average active dose of psilocybin mushrooms is between 1 and 3 grams (with dried mushrooms of the Psilocybe Cubensis variant). A microdose with dried mushrooms is between 0.1 gram to 0.4 gram of dried magic mushrooms. It is better to dry and process them for microdosing, because magic mushrooms contain 90% of moisture. Truffles contain less moisture (60-70%). An average microdose of dried truffles consists of between 0.3 and 0.8 grams. For fresh mushrooms, this is between 0.5 and 2 grams.
Microdosing with psilocybin causes a subtle change in perception and perspective. This change results in less mental noise, being more in the present moment and experiencing more connection with yourself, other people and nature. These effects are the result of synesthesia because the different parts of the brain communicate and work together better and more in a subtle way. The subconscious becomes more conscious, freeing up space to choose differently.
Effects of mescaline-containing cacti (San Pedro & Peyote)
Mescaline dosages may differ depending on the strain. Is it a mescaline hydrochloride, mescaline sulfate or purified mescaline? A strong dose of mescaline hydrochloride is between 300–500mg. The effects appear between 45–90 minutes after ingestion. The experience can then last up to 8 hours.
Mescaline is reported to cause visual hallucinations in the form of patterns, spirals and mosaics. Intense visuals of animals and people would also occur.
Mescaline is known for disrupting the sensations of spatial awareness and touch. For example, things may appear much closer or further away than they actually are. And hard objects can feel soft and vice versa. Abolition of the ego can also happen. In doing so, you lose your sense of self and connection with the physical world.
We are still working on this page. Our team would love to hear from you which substance works well for you, and your observations. Please get in touch via info@microdosinginstitute.com.


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As was mentioned before, very little college writing is initiated by students. Instead, a typical piece of college writing is a response to an instructor's assignment. The vast majority of these assignments are information-based (the instructor wants the student to report information), with both analysis and argumentation filling secondary rolls. Understanding the ways these goals interact is important for college writers.
In the past, students might have encountered general categories of writing like informative, persuasive, or narrative. Other times, students might have encountered the five paragraph theme. What's important to remember about these categories is that they are not exclusive, and that the goals often overlap. Imagine a tiger—is it a striped animal, a furred animal, or a clawed animal? It is difficult to inform readers without persuading them that the information is correct, and it is really difficult to create a narrative that contains no information.
Types and categories are only useful when they help us, and they are spectacularly not useful when we assume that the mental boxes we used to sort things a few years ago are the same categories that apply now.
When writing, student writers need to let the assignment and the content dictate their organizational pattern. Many times, an idea that would fit into a 5-paragraph essay format for a high school class will, in fact, require vastly greater development in college; suddenly, there are more than five paragraphs. Likewise, while the student might prefer it if all assignments fit nicely into modes that have been learned in the past, the most common mode found in a college essay is the challenging paper. Instructors often deliberately construct assignments that combine paper types and that ask for the student to do new things.
The teacher is not being difficult for the sake of being difficult (well, probably not, anyway). However, remember the purpose of college writing—the teacher is trying to use the writing assignment as a way of getting at some other, probably more important—skill or issue. In other words, the point of the assignment is to learn something. An assignment that exists only on one level is likely to let the student fall back into 'auto pilot' mode and stop learning.
Do not assume that papers exist in separate boxes. The truth of the matter is that most college papers are going to consist of multiple "modes" or "formats" at the same time. More importantly, the rules that work for one teacher might not work for another. Because the two top goals should be to learn and to do well on the assignment, a student writer needs to look at what the teacher is asking for. If it fits a pattern that the student has already learned, that's fine. Otherwise, students need to be able to adapt.


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Freebies for Manhattan and Brooklyn renters may have maxed out
While close to half of all new leases still come with some kind of concession, market share of Manhattan landlord concessions in January declined year over year, after 43 consecutive months of increases
If you're a renter signing a new lease now and you don't get some kind of concession, you can blame it on the buyers who are camping out in the rental market.
While close to half of all new leases still come with some kind of concession, market share of Manhattan landlord concessions in January declined year over year, after 43 consecutive months of increases, to 44.5 percent, down from 49.3 percent, according to the latest Elliman Report for Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Queens rentals.
"The underlying driver is the sales market slowdown," says Jonathan Miller, president of real estate appraisal firm Miller Samuel and the author of the report. Buyers are spooked by changes in the tax code and are putting purchases on hold, choosing to rent instead. That disruption, coupled with an influx of high-end inventory, is sending rents higher in Manhattan and Brooklyn, and could signal that concessions may be peaking in those boroughs.
Miller cautions that "one data point doesn't make a trend" and that "there's been tremendous consistency" in the increase of leases with concessions, which are typically a month or two of free rent, or involve the owner paying the broker's fee.
"The trend could continue but it's too early to tell," Miller says.
In Manhattan, the median rental price rose 4.6 percent year over year to $3,425. The vacancy rate fell to a very tight 1.65 percent, and the number of new leases declined 7.9 percent.
A decline in new leases actually signals stability in the rental market. And new leases fell much more dramatically in December for Manhattan: 38.5 percent.
"When I see a decline in new leases, it means rising renewals," Miller says. Tenants are choosing to stay in place—for a variety of reasons, including the high cost of moving. What's hidden in these numbers are the new rents—it's impossible to tell whether tenants are renewing at the same rent, or rents that are higher or possibly lower.
So owners are the winners here. "Landlords are successful in retaining tenants, they are the direct beneficiaries of cooling sales market," Miller says.
In Brooklyn, the market share of landlord concessions declined marginally year over year, after 35 consecutive months of increases to 47 percent, down from 47.5 percent. Median rent rose 3 percent to $2,832. The number of new leases rose 5.5 percent
Queens is seeing a rise in new development, which is pushing up rents. However, the percentage of new leases with concessions increased for the fifth consecutive month, to 58 percent from 50.8 percent, and the number of new leases increased for the seventh consecutive month.
Median rent increased 6.2 percent to $2,815. The number of new leases was up 4.6 percent and inventory declined 19.6 percent.
Manhattan rental market saw substantial drop in new leases in December
New report: Buyers are starting to 'camp out' in the NYC rental market
Report: How much you need to earn to rent in NYC's neighborhoods
Brooklyn concessions landlords market reports new development Queens rent renters
The 7 most common construction defects: A condo buyers guide
How I won a $444 per month UWS studio in New York City's affordable housing lottery
How to find a great contractor in NYC
Closing credits: Here's how much NYC sellers are paying now—and how to negotiate your own deal sweetener
Why NYC is a city of renters, a subway station in bloom, & more
Roommates from hell: New Yorkers recall their worst experience sharing an apartment
How much does it cost to renovate a bathroom in Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Jersey City?


Quit smoking and alcohol: Alcohol contains carcinogen, a substance that can cause cancer. According to the Canadian Cancer Society, having just one drink a day can increase a woman's risk of breast cancer by up to 13 per cent. Quitting smoking not only lowers your risk of breast cancer but also improves your overall health. Quitting reduces the risk of lung and heart diseases and other cancers too.
Maintain a healthy body weight: If obesity occurs later in life, like after menopause, it is likely to increase the risk of cancer. Less body fat means less exposure to estrogens and other hormones. Maintain your weight at a healthy level throughout your life.
Motherhood and breastfeeding: Plan to have your first child before your thirties and breastfeed your baby as long as you can. Studies have found that women who breastfed their babies for six months or longer have a lower risk of breast cancer.
Have a healthy balanced diet: A balanced diet is critical for a healthy body. Include plenty of vegetables, fruit, grains and other healthy items to boost your immune system and reduce the risk of any disease.
Exercise regularly: For healthy adults, the Department of Health and Human Services recommends at least 150 minutes a week of moderate aerobic activity or 75 minutes of vigorous aerobic activity weekly, plus strength training at least twice a week.
Unavoidable factors such as inherited genes or having dense breast tissue can increase the chances of having breast cancer. Early detection is important for early treatment which can improve chances of recovery.
If you find any irregularities, see your doctor.
Clinical breast exam (CBE): The American College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists recommends that women should have a CBE by a healthcare provider, between ages 29 to 39 every 1 to 3 years and after age 40 every year.
Mammogram: This is an effective method to screen for early signs of breast cancer.
Breast MRI: This method uses radio waves and magnets to take pictures of breast tissues.
Making lifestyle changes and educating yourself about your available screening options is the key to staying healthy and minimizing your risks of breast cancer.


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Ronald "Ronnie" H. Bedford (* 2. Juni 1931 in Bridgeport, Connecticut; † 20. Dezember 2014 in Powell, Wyoming) war ein US-amerikanischer Jazz-Schlagzeuger.

Bedford stammte aus einer musikalischen Familie; mit zehn Jahren begann er Schlagzeug zu spielen. Sein frühes Vorbild war Gene Krupa. 1949 tourte er mit Louis Prima, leistete anschließend den Militärdienst bei der U.S. Army ab, wo er in einer Militärkapelle spielte. Danach tourte er mit dem Quintett von Benny Goodman, mit dem er u. a. im New Yorker Central Park und in der Londoner Royal Albert Hall auftrat. Er arbeitete außerdem mit Benny Carter und für verschiedene Broadwayshows. Für zwanzig Jahre gehörte er dem Trio des Pianisten Morris Nanton an. 1980 zog er mit seiner zweiten Ehefrau nach Wyoming, wo er an Colleges und Universitäten der Region unterrichtete, ab 1986 am Northwest College in Powell. Ferner war er Mitbegründer des Yellowstone Jazz Festival. Für seine Aktivitäten zur Förderung der Jazzmusik in Wyoming erhielt er den Governor's Award for the Arts. Im Bereich des Jazz war er zwischen 1955 und 1999 an 71 Aufnahmesessions beteiligt, u. a. auch bei Sam Donahue, Don Elliott, Pee Wee Russell, Rod Levitt, Bobby Hackett, Johnny Richards, Chuck Wayne, Lee Konitz, Bernie Leighton, Hank Jones, Carmen Leggio, Buddy DeFranco, Jimmy Maxwell, Don Friedman, Warren Chiasson, Morgana King, Chris Connor, Dick Meldonian, Walter Norris, Harold Ashby, Susannah McCorkle, Arnett Cobb und George Masso.

Diskographische Hinweise
 Walter Norris With Ronnie Bedford & George Mraz: Stepping On Cracks (Progressive Records, 1982)
 Bill Watrous Quartet With Derek Smith, Linc Milliman and Ronnie Bedford: Roaring Back Into New York, New York (Famous Door, 1983)
 Ronnie Bedford Quartet Featuring Tommy Newsom and Bill Charlap: Just Friends (Progressive, 1993)
 Ronnie Bedford & Friends: QuaDRUMvirate (Progressive, 1999), mit Steve Wiest, Derek Smith, Eric Thorin

Weblinks

Einzelnachweise

Jazz-Schlagzeuger
Musiker (Vereinigte Staaten)
US-Amerikaner
Geboren 1931
Gestorben 2014
Mann

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


September 11, 2001 - We Will Never Forget!
Today marked the 17th year in which we remember those who gave their lives while serving as a crew member. During the celebrations that occurred at the 9/11 Memorial Museum in New York City, the Flight 93 Memorial in Shanksville, PA and the USS Midway Memorial celebration in San Diego, CA, Flight Attendants came together with family and friends to remember not only those who were lost but also those who loved them. These events are somber events normally filled with great reverence and respect for the lives lost that day – passengers and crew alike.
This year, however, the Flight Attendants who travelled to Shanksville to attend the annual Flight 93 Memorial were met with a surprise of a different type, one they will likely long remember. Arrangements were made for these Flight Attendants to travel from locations around the world from the Pittsburgh International Airport by bus to the Memorial.
As we always do, today's group arrived one hour ahead of schedule. While waiting, they learned of a Presidential stop at the event and were forced to look at messages printed on shirts that clearly indicated it was a planned campaign stop. The disrespect and mean spirited "leadership" that makes sacred ground a disgusting campaign stop is appalling. While this action delayed the arrival of our Members to the event, be assured their presence was appreciated by the family and friends of those who were lost that fateful day 17 years ago. #Never Forget has a specific meaning as it pertains to these Memorial Services. For those who were in attendance at today's Memorial service in Shanksville it is likely they will long remember the lack of respect shown to those who died as well as all those who were in attendance at the Memorial.
Flight Attendants are encouraged to review the following parameters priors to entering their October bids for the September 12 through the September 17 primary bid period.
You can save your bids and come back to them at any time while the bid period is open.
Remember that saving your bids does not submit them. You must use the "Submit" button to ensure your bids are on file. The absences of the "Save" button and the notification in the top right-hand corner of the Primary Line Bidding screen are indicators that your bids have been submitted.
Once you submit your bids, you will receive a "Bids Submitted!!" message indicating that they are now on file.
You can make changes to your bids as many times as you wish while the bid period is open and resubmit your bids by pressing the "Submit" button. However, only your last submitted bids will be considered.
DO NOT click the "BACK" button or refresh your browser while you are entering your bids. These actions will result in all your unsaved work being discarded. The Primary Line Bidding screen is a separate browser window. Therefore, if you need to return to the CCS home screen, save your work and select the CCS home screen tab in your web browser.
After submitting your bids, verify that the bids displayed are the bids desired. If you need to make changes, you will need to make changes and re-submit your bids.
CCS will allow you to enter and submit bids that you may not be qualified for; however, those specific line bids will not be awarded during the schedule award process if you do not possess the qualification for the flying in the line.
Additional information may be found in the Bidding and Awards guide located on our website.
The "Opt" area allows Flight Attendants to choose between several options for monthly maximums and will apply to the type of line you are awarded.
The monthly maximum for a Lineholder is 95 credited hours and for Reserves 100 credited hours. Both Lineholders and Reserves may opt to a mid-level opt, either 100 or 105 hours, respectively. The highest level of opting is over 100 hours for lineholders and over 105 hours for Reserves.
While many Flight Attendants desire to opt for higher hours, maintaining 95:00 hours maximum is an option as well. If you exceed or are projected to exceed your monthly maximum, a legality code will be shown in your Master Schedule and your schedule will need to be adjusted to bring your projection down below your monthly maximum.
If you are assigned a line of flying that exceeds your monthly credited maximum, you may contact Scheduling in advance of the start of the month to have your line adjusted below your monthly maximum.
If you choose not to have your line adjusted prior to the start of the month, you will then be required to fly your line so long as you do not exceed your monthly maximum on an actual (block) basis (95:00 or 100:00 of block time.) If you opt for the unlimited maximum, you will be expected to fly the trips in your line.
In the operation, if you are projected over your monthly actual (block) maximum hours, and dropping a pairing is necessary, your preference as to which pairing to drop will be subject to the concurrence of you and the crew scheduler. If no agreement is reached, the dropped pairing will be subject to the approval of the Crew Schedule manager. If you are scheduled over your maximum actual (block) flight time, Crew Scheduling will reassign you.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Both Lineholders and Reserves may opt at any time during the schedule month at their discretion through the Electronic Bulletin Board (refer to the Trip Trades & Adjustments Guide, when available) or by calling either FAST or Crew Scheduling.
For additional information, refer to the Legalities publication.
In addition to individual line bids Flight Attendants may also bid a "block bid" or submit a bid for a range of line numbers. There is no minimum, so you can block bid as few or as many lines as you want.
After you enter a line number in the white box of the "Line" field, switch the toggle button, located in the "Block Bid" field from "NO to "YES".
Once switched to "Yes", a white box will appear in the "End Line" field so you can enter the ending line number of your block bid.
Note: You can block bid in ascending or descending order. Example: When bidding for all line numbers between 0123 and 0324 in ascending order with no specific position Flight Attendants first enter 0123, then 0124, then 0125, etc.) or may block bid 123 – 324.
Flight Attendants may also choose to bid a Line of Flying to fly with another Flight Attendant. To place a Buddy Bid on file, both you and your buddy must indicate this on the Primary Line Bidding screen by including the buddy's employee ID in the Buddy Bidding section.
1. Submit identical line numbers but different positions (or "Any").
2. Submit mirrored line numbers (lines having the exact same flying but different line numbers) with different positions (or "Any").
a. An example would be an LQ Flight Attendant bidding on an LQ line that mirrors the same pairings as a non-LQ line. There will be different line numbers bid for each Flight Attendant, but the lines are "mirrored" where the pairings flown operate on the same days of the month with the exact same flying contained in the pairings. The bids of both Flight Attendants will be awarded according to the seniority of the junior Flight Attendant.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Mirrored Line numbers are two different numerical lines within the bid packet that are identical (same pairing dates, segments, layovers, etc.). The only difference between the two lines are positions and pairing numbers.
International Purser Flight Attendants may buddy bid with non-International Purser Flight Attendants; International Purser Flight Attendants may buddy bid with other International Purser Flight Attendants but only for Vacation Relief Lines in the Primary bid or matching Reserve Lines.
LQ Flight Attendants may buddy bid with non-LQ Flight Attendants; LQ Flight Attendants may buddy bid with other LQ Flight Attendants but only for Vacation Relief Lines in the Primary bid or matching Reserve Lines.
After making your selections, click the "Save" button to record your choices. You may also "Submit" at this point or wait to submit until you've finished the entire bidding process.
Additional information on Sick Leave can be found in the Pay Guide.
If you want to bid a Vacation Relief Line, you may enter "RLF" to bid all Vacation Relief Lines (Domestic and International) or you may enter a specific line number(s), or line number ranges assigned to Vacation Relief Lines.
More information about Vacation Relief Lines bidding is found in Chapter 4, Section B of the Bidding and Awards guide.
The 35-in-7 rule applies only to Reserve Flight Attendants and states that a Reserve may not be scheduled to exceed 35:00 flight hours in any 7 consecutive 24:00 hour periods. A Reserve may elect to waive this legality by selecting the 35-in-7 Reserve Waiver Box on the Primary Line Bidding screen during the monthly bid submission. For more information on 35-in-7 and Reserve Preferencing, please refer to the Reserve Guide.
Note: Reserves may not be rescheduled to exceed 35-in-7 without their consent.
If a Reserve is assigned only Domestic pairings, or a mix of both Domestic and International pairings, the 35-in-7 rule shall apply.
If a Reserve is assigned only International pairings, the 35-in-7 rule shall not apply.
The 35-in-7 rule only applies to actual working flight time (block time) not deadheading or credit time.
The 35-in-7 rule is for schedule planning purposes only. If flight time increases during the actual operation of the pairing, the Flight Attendant must fly out the pairing, even if 35-in-7 is exceeded.
Note: Any 35-in-7 legality code will appear in your Master Schedule.
It is important to note there has been a change to the application of the 35-in-7 waiver as it applies to the box on the monthly bid screen for pre-merger United Flight Attendants. Whereas in the past this box applied only to the seven day period at the conjunction of the old and new month schedule, checking the box on the bid card in CCS will not indicate that you are waiving your 35-in-7 for the entire schedule month.
Annual Enrollment Benefits Fairs Coming Soon.
Upcoming dates and locations for annual Benefits Fairs can be found on Your Benefits Resources (YBR). Watch for additional information concerning your 2019 benefits to be released soon.
As a reminder, Flight Attendants based in domiciles from which flights to/from the Peoples Republic of China are operated, including deadheading crews, will be required to have a PRC crew visa, effective as of October 1, 2018.
Flight Attendants based in the following locations who are not currently in possession of the PRC crew visa are strongly encouraged to start the PRC crew visa process as soon as possible. Expense reimbursement for the cost of the visa can be processed by submitting a receipt via the Concur reporting system.
Detailed information on PRC crew visa process and application can be found here.


How To Connect To The Internet Using A Broadband Connection ( WINDOWS 8 ) 4 Go to the Settings tab on your Desktop, and click on control panel . 4 click Network and Sharing Center, 4 click Set up a connection or network, 4 Then, click Connect to the Internet. 4 Now select Broadband Connection (PPPoE). 4 Fill in the username; password and click on connect to setup your PPPOE connection. 4 �... 5/11/2013�� Windows 8.1/IE 11 Does Not Automatically Connect to the Internet. I can't find the dial and redial options anywhere. I' m connecting through PPPOE but only manual.
I recently came back from a 3 month trip and turned on my Windows 8.1 machine to find that nothing worked. For some odd reason, several apps would not connect to the Internet and I could not connect to the Windows Store.
5/11/2013�� Windows 8.1/IE 11 Does Not Automatically Connect to the Internet. I can't find the dial and redial options anywhere. I' m connecting through PPPOE but only manual.


I , Martin Slagt, the author of the "Rugbycoach.com" website, do not claim to be any kind of expert. I am merely attempting to compile information that I have read in books or that has been presented to me by knowledgeable sources and from my own experiences as a rugbyplayer and a coach.
I am not liable or responsible to any person or entity for any errors contained on this website, or for any special, incidental, or consequential damage caused or alleged to be caused directly or indirectly by the information contained on this website.
Any application of the techniques, ideas, and suggestions on the "Rugbycoach.com" website is at the reader's sole discretion and risk.
I do not accept liability for the content or actions of any website to which "Rugbycoach.com" is linked.
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You may, for non profit and personal or educational uses only, print and otherwise reproduce the pages of "Rugbycoach.com". Good luck! Where pages are reproduced then appropriate acknowledgement of authorship shall be given to "Rugbycoach.com". Pages or articles on the "Rugbycoach.com" website may NOT be copied for use on other websites without my strict permission.


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France's fake news law will be used to silence critics, win elections
Source: intellihub
(INTELLIHUB) — There is really only one reason a law would be put into place to stifle so-called 'fake news' and that is so the real purveyors of fake news, like CNN, can continue to push theirs.
The people at the top of the pyramid who are actually running the entire show appear to have it all figured out. In a world where down is up and up is down fake news appears almost everywhere but the real fact of the matter is that most of it comes from mainstream sources, like CNN. So, withal, I have to ask: Will the new laws be used to crackdown on sources like CNN that always publish garbage or will the powers-that-be let agencies like CNN roll with whatever smut they like while other smaller but more trustworthy outlets get targeted over 'fake news'? Will the powers-that-be use the law as a weapon to remove controversial reports?
The AFP out of Paris reports:
France is the latest country attempting to fight the scourge of fake news with legislation — but opponents say the law won't work and could even be used to silence critics.
The draft law, designed to stop what the government calls "manipulation of information" in the run-up to elections, will be debated in parliament Thursday with a view to it being put into action during next year's European parliamentary polls.
The idea for the bill came straight from President Emmanuel Macron, who was himself targeted during his 2017 campaign by online rumors that he was gay and had a secret bank account in the Bahamas.
Under the law, French authorities would be able to immediately halt the publication of information deemed to be false ahead of elections.
As you can see, it looks like the French will soon be fully controlled. Not to mention, the Orwellian trend will likely follow lockstep in America as the New World Order tightens its restraints on the general populace.


This spring I got cabbage twice in my CSA box. One cabbage was the size of a basketball. I like cabbage a lot but it can be a challenge to use it. I made a nice batch of coleslaw, boiled dinner, and then steamed some with potatoes, onions and kielbasa. All these meals were super tasty. But I still ended up having a half a cabbage to use. So I decided to give in and make a time-consuming family recipe for Stuffed Cabbage rolls.
Stuffed Cabbages are actually a party of the cuisine of many different cultures. Most people think of them as being a Jewish or Eastern European dish. The Jewish version is covered in tomato sauce and uses beef, chicken or a mixture as the meat in the filling. The Eastern European version is typically stuffed with pork.
My family doesn't come from either of these ethnic backgrounds though. We're Greek so our cabbage rolls are completely different. The filling is ground lamb, rice, spearmint, and onion. The sauce is a lemon sauce, the same type of lemon sauce that often is server over stuffed grape leaves (aka dolmades) and used in avgolemono soup. This type of thing is a form of dolma which actually come in a huge variety of vegetables which can be stuffed and fillings.
There are two challenges with making the cabbage rolls. First, pre-cooking the cabbage and separating the leaves out so that you can stuff them. You have to be careful when you peel off the individual leaves otherwise you'll shred them. Second, making the lemon sauce. You are dealing with eggs here and it is very, very easy to curdle the eggs and end up with a sauce that is has scrambled eggs bits in it. Gross! There are several tricks. First, let the eggs sit out so they come to room temperate. Second, make sure not to use heat that is too high. Third, whisk vigorously and constantly. When you put the lemon juice and reserved water in, make sure they are right at hand so you can immediately add them without stopping whisking.
In mixing bowl, combine the ground beef, spearmint, rice, egg, salt, pepper, onion, and milk. Mix well. Blanche cabbage leaves until limp for 1 minute in boiling water. Allow leaves to cool. Fill each cabbage leaf with ground beef mixture. Wrap leaf around ground beef mixtures. Place stuffed cabbages in large pot and cover with water. Bring to a boil and simmer for 45 minutes. Remove rolls from hot water.
Whisk eggs in double boiler until frothy. Add lemon juice, and ¼ cup of the hot water from reserved from cooking the cabbages. Whisk until thickens.
Serve cabbage rolls with lemon sauce on top.


Sorting in the vibratory bowl feeder (rotary feeder) with a dual-track outlet. After sorting, there is a 90° turning of both tracks, in order to transfer the parts onto a ready carrier plate (8-fold).
The carrier plate is then turned by 180°, so that the required take-off position at the customer's interface can be put into effect.
Bowl feeder for washer; Vibratory bowl feeding and handling system to feed and orientate washers – 3 sizes (CSA/UL Approved) Read more.
Bowl feeder for cap; Vibratory bowl feeding and handling system to feed and orientate cap (CSA/UL Approved) Read more.
Vibrating bowl feeding and handling system to feed and orientate Plunger Read more.


Oil and Fuel for Outdoor Power Equipment in Edmonton -- Timberland Supply Inc. Oil and Fuel for Outdoor Power Equipment in Edmonton -- Timberland Supply Inc.
In addition to outdoor power equipment, Timberland Supply has all the oil and fuel that Edmonton homeowners and professionals need to keep their equipment running smoothly. Using the right type of fuel and oil is critical to keeping equipment running properly. On the other hand, using the wrong type of fuel or oil can destroy your equipment and void your warranty. Please contact us if you are not sure what type of fuel or oil to use with your equipment.
How do I know what type of oil and fuel to use with my equipment?
Consult the owner's manual published by the manufacturer to determine what type of oil and fuel to use with your equipment.
What is the difference between fuel for 2-stroke and 4-stroke engines?
Two-stroke engines use a mixture of oil and fuel rather than straight gasoline. If you fail to use a mixture with the right fuel-oil ratio, you can ruin your engine. While you can mix your own fuel, if you don't know what you're doing it's best to purchase pre-mixed 2-stroke fuel, such as that produced by Aspen and available at Timberland Supply.
Is it ok to leave fuel in the tank of my equipment during the off season?
It really depends on the type of equipment, the amount of time it will be stored, and whether or not you use stabilizer in the fuel. Consult your user manual for recommendations, or just call us and ask.


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Tag Archives: Ro Khanna
Following Up: Mercury News Treats H1B Debate as Non-News
Posted by Alan Tonelson in Following Up
Following Up, H1B, immigrants, Immigration, journalism, Mercury News, Neil Chase, Norman Matloff, Ro Khanna, Silicon Valley, tech, tech workers, workers
The story of the video of a major debate on U.S. immigrant tech worker policies that earlier this week looked like it was being kept under wraps now looks like the story of a video that never was – due to some astonishingly unenterprising journalism from the Mercury News, Silicon Valley's main newspaper and therefore a leading source of information on the technology industry.
As RealityChek regulars know, the story began with a June 1 debate in Silicon Valley centering on the controversial H1B immigrant visas. Squaring off were the Valley's new Democratic Member of Congress, Ro Khanna and Norman Matloff, a professor of computer science at the University of California, Davis. (A tech entrepreneur took part in the event, too, but in a minor way.)
Technology companies claim that the H1B and similar programs are crucial to accessing the world's best talent. Critics charge that they've overwhelmingly been used to cut their costs by replacing native-born U.S. workers with much cheaper foreign counterparts. Khanna favors relatively modest changes to H1B policies; Matloff believes major surgery is needed.
Matloff, who's become a valued friend of mine, has written that the event marked the first time a debate has been held between an elected official and a researcher on the topic, a major event in that sense. (Khanna has not disagreed.) Matloff also noted that a videographer from the Mercury News was present and apparently recording the proceedings.
Yet the Mercury News failed to cover the debate and never posted a recording on its website. Matloff asked a reporter on the paper to find out why, and was told that a recording existed, but that "it was essentially scrapped as a standalone report, but there's apparently a possibility that parts of it will be used in coverage of Rep. Khanna. Not sure the reason(s) for this…" Matloff then speculated that the paper failed to make the video public because Khanna performed poorly – leading the Mercury News, which editorially has sided with the tech industry on H1B and related issues, to consign it to non-event status.
I emphatically agreed that the video's import deserved to see the light of day, and last Sunday urged the Mercury News to post it both to perform a public service on a major technology policy area and to affirm its journalistic chops. Gratifyingly, the post and follow-up tweets prompted Khanna readily to agree, and to call openly for the video's posting. (For the record, he contends that it was Matloff who was highly ineffective.)
Two days later, Matloff and I got answers from Mercury News editor Neil Chase. In the version he sent Matloff, he wrote, "We had a photographer there who captured some still photos and some video for use with a future story, but we didn't attend with the intention of taping the full debate and did not."
Based on information Matloff had shared with me and my own journalistic experience, yesterday, I sent Chase the following email. I had hoped to get a response from him in time to prepare this post, but no such luck yet:
Dear Neil,
Many thanks for your comment to my blog and my apologies for the short delay in responding.
I must confess, though, that the response leaves me somewhat mystified on two counts.
First, the statement that the Mercury News videographer did not "record the whole event" doesn't track with an email from one of your reporters, Ethan Baron, to Matloff. Baron said, in response to the latter's query re the video's availability, "it looks like the video was essentially scrapped as a standalone report, but there's apparently a possibility that parts of it will be used in coverage of Rep. Khanna." Granted he's conveying some uncertainty here. But Matloff also has written in his blog that "the videographer seemed to be taping continuously." In addition, Matloff noted that "the video cam [was] on a high tripod, seemingly much for an occasional clip."
Similarly, it sounds odd, as your email indicates, to give the videographer the responsibility for choosing the portions of the debate to be shot. Was this the case? If so, what were the criteria used to determine what was captured? Or were they simply taken to get a bit of file footage of each participant, irrespective of what they were saying at the time?
Second, I certainly don't mean to tell you how to do your job. But as someone with a journalistic background, I'm hard pressed to understand the paper's seemingly offhand attitude toward this event. After all, the H1B issue has been described as crucial by the dominant industry in the region served by the Mercury News, and it's surely of comparable importance to all your tech worker subscribers. The new Congressman from your area, Rep. Khanna, has been touted by several national publications as a rising star in the Democratic party, and possibly all of national politics. To his credit, he was willing to appear in public with an outspoken, prominent critic of the H1B and related programs – a rare event at the very least, according to Matloff. And of course, H1B and other immigration issues have become even greater controversies nationwide since the last presidential campaign heated up. So from all appearances, the leading paper of Silicon Valley would be expected to view the debate was highly newsworthy from the get-go. And yet it seems from your email that no coverage was ever planned.
Now it's clear that some fur was flying at the event, and that Rep. Khanna and Matloff are begun feuding in public over what was said and over their qualifications to claim expert status on the issue. I.e., because of this aftermath, their debate has become by any reasonable definition even more newsworthy.
So I respectfully make the two following requests:
1. Would you check whatever video archive you have – including whatever the videographer might possess – to determine conclusively whether a full recording of the debate is indeed available? (If not, I would hope to find out how it was disposed of, and why.)
2. Would you assign a reporter to cover this emerging Khanna-Matloff dispute — in which a local Congressman who's increasingly prominent nationally has publicly gone after a critic on an issue that's one of his top legislative priorities, and a major national concern? The Mercury News would get an excellent scoop, and perform a valuable public service at the same time.
Thanks for your consideration, and I look forward to your reply.
As per the email, I'm still hoping that the Mercury News finds a recording and shares it, and that it reports on the differences between Khanna and Matloff, which cut to the heart of the debate on H1B and broader questions and arguments concerning the future of the domestic workforce in an age of rapid innovation. At a time when Fake News abounds, it would amount for welcome coverage of some real news.
Following Up: Progress in Freeing the Mercury News H1B Debate Video
Following Up, H1B, Immigration, Mercury News, Norman Matloff, Ro Khanna, Silicon Valley, social media, tech workers, Twitter
What a day it's been for RealityChek on Twitter today! Yesterday, I posted on the peculiar failure of the Mercury News, the top newspaper in technology industry center Silicon Valley, to post a video it made of a landmark and apparently heated recent debate on the H1B visa program. Under this controversial feature of U.S. immigration policy, American employers can secure foreign workers they can demonstrate are needed because they boast special talents that generally can't be found in the U.S. workforce.
Thanks to this item, and to some tweets today, I seem to have persuaded the most prominent participant, Rep. Ro Khanna (D.-Cal.) to ask the paper to release the full version.
Another participant in the event, University of California, Davis computer science professor Norman Matloff, had already made such a request, but got a "Thanks, but no thanks"-type answer.
So this morning, I decided, via Twitter, to ask Khanna to join the campaign. It was great to see him respond, and after a few tweets back and forth, at about 1:45 PM EST, he declared, "I have told them [the Mercury News] I would welcome the release of the tape if they have one. I would love for this to be public. I'm all for transparency." So let's hope that a request from a Member of Congress will do the trick. And let's also hope that the paper still has the video!
I've asked Khanna to let me know the Mercury News' answer as soon as he can, and of course, I'll pass the word on to you – ideally with a link – right away. And FYI, you can get in on this kind of action first-hand yourself by following me at @AlanTonelson. As with RealityChek, feedback is always welcome, and that includes heavy doses of snark!
P.S. Just for a bit of context, a major point of contention between Khanna and Matloff is a bill sponsored by Democratic Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois and Republican Senator Chuck Grassley of Iowa that attempts to address H1B-related problems. Khanna is another sponsor of the legislation; Matloff considers its remedies inadequate.
Im-Politic: Free the Mercury News H1B Debate Video!
H1B, H1B visas, Im-Politic, immigrants, Immigration, media bias, Mercury News, Norman Matloff, Ro Khanna, Silicon Valley, technology companies, technology workers, Voice of America, wages
There's been no shortage of controversy stirred up by the H1B visa program that brings immigrants to the United States to take jobs allegedly requiring special talents – mostly in technology companies. So when what could well have been the first public debate ever that centers on this subject is held that included a researcher on the visas (who has charged that they overwhelmingly go to foreign workers who simply lower wages for companies who want to replace more expensive Americans) and a politician who's been strongly in favor, you'd think a major newspaper would find that pretty newsworthy.
In the case of the Mercury News, however, you'd be wrong. And much worse, it looks like the San Francisco Bay area daily is keeping a video of the event under wraps because it makes the politician – whose views closely mirror the paper's pro-H1B editorial stance – look absolutely terrible.
Here's the skinny on the event. Precisely because there's no recording available, I'm relying on this account from participant Norman Matloff, a computer science professor at the University of California, Davis, a leading national authority on immigration issues and the H1B program in particular, and a strong critic of the latter. Joining Matloff on a panel convened at the newly opened offices of the Voice of America's Silicon Valley bureau were freshman Silicon Valley Congressman Ro Khanna and Kamran Elahian, who Matloff describes as "an immigrant tech entrepreneur."
According to Matloff, most of the H1B exchanges took place between him and Khanna, who has been characterized in the press as "the favorite of the tech industry since he tried to first overtake incumbent Mike Honda in the 2014 election" in large part because of his defense of the domestic tech industry's H1B practices.
As Matloff describes it, Khanna – who has also been described in the national media as a rising Democratic party star and champion of pragmatic fixes for economically besieged middle class Americans – was stunningly ignorant about recent H1B-related news developments. More troubling: Khanna sunk to thinly disguised personal (and completely unjustified) attacks on Matloff and several times seem to have flown off the handle when presented with evidence that clashed with his preconceived ideas.
I'd say "Don't take my (or Matloff's) word for it; see for yourself" – but I can't. The debate was filmed by the Mercury News, but in response to a query from Matloff about whether the video would be posted, a reporter he knew at the paper told him that
"it looks like the video was essentially scrapped as a standalone report, but there's apparently a possibility that parts of it will be used in coverage of Rep. Khanna. Not sure the reason(s) for this, but I know videos of such events are often just used in bits and pieces…"
As Matloff noted in an email to me, "Certainly it would have cost the Merc nothing to put the video on the Web, quite easily and simply." And it's hard to disagree with his judgment that the paper "would be performing a major public service by placing the video online (in full, of course)."
So it's necessary to take seriously Matloff when he speculated, in that same email to me: "I can certainly see the Merc wanting to protect Rep. Khanna. They had endorsed Khanna, and generally feel their loyalty is to the tech industry. Their coverage of H-1B has been fair, but their editorial position has always been pro-H-1B."
Matloff's views are hardly dispositive – though I have always found him to be scrupulously honest. What could not be clearer, however, is that the Mercury News could reenforce its claims to objectivity by posting the video. With every passing day that it fails, the case for questioning its motives can only grow.


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Project Syndicate: With global trade barely growing, there's no cushion for the world economy
NEW HAVEN, Conn. (Project Syndicate) — With the benefit of full-year data, only now are we becoming aware of the danger the global economy narrowly avoided in 2019. According to the International Monetary Fund's latest estimates, world gross domestic product grew by just 2.9% last year — the weakest performance since the outright contraction in the depths of the global financial crisis in 2009 and far short of the 3.8% pace of post-crisis recovery over the 2010-18 period.
On the surface, 2.9% global growth doesn't appear too shabby.
But 40 years of perspective says otherwise. Since 1980, trend world GDP growth has averaged 3.5%. For any economy, including the world as a whole, the key to assessing growth implications can be found in deviations from the trend —a proxy for the so-called output gap.
Uncomfortably close
Last year's shortfall from trend (0.6 percentage points) brought growth uncomfortably close to the widely accepted global recession threshold of approximately 2.5%.
Predicting shocks is a fool's game. Yet the draconian measures that China is now taking to contain the lethal Wuhan coronavirus only serve to remind us that shocks are far more frequent than we care to think.
Unlike individual economies, which normally contract in an outright recession, that is rarely the case for the world as a whole. We know from the IMF's extensive coverage of the world economy, which consists of a broad cross-section of some 194 countries, that in a global recession about half of the world's economies are typically contracting, while the other half are still expanding — albeit at a subdued pace.
The global recession of a decade ago was a notable exception: by early 2009, fully three-quarters of the world's economies were actually shrinking. That tipped the scales to a rare outright contraction in world GDP, the first such downturn in the overall global economy since the 1930s.
For global business-cycle analysts, the 2.5%-3.5% growth band is considered the danger zone.
When world output growth slips to the lower half of that range — as it did in 2019 — the risks of global recession need to be taken seriously. As is typically the case for official, or institutional, forecasts, the IMF is projecting a modest acceleration of annual world GDP growth to 3.3% in 2020 and 3.4% in 2021.
But as the physicist Niels Bohr once said, "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it is about the future." Just ask the IMF, which has revised down six consecutive iterations of its global forecast. Obviously, there is no guarantee that its latest optimistic projection will be realized.
Downside risks are especially worrisome, because a 2.9% growth outcome for the world economy underscores the lack of a comfortable cushion in the event of a shock.
As I noted recently, predicting shocks is a fool's game. Yet the draconian measures that China is now taking to contain the lethal Wuhan coronavirus only serve to remind us that shocks are far more frequent than we care to think.
A few weeks ago, it was the possibility of a hot war between the United States and Iran. And before that, there was the increasingly contentious U.S.-China trade war.
The point is that below-trend global growth, especially when it moves into the lower half of the 2.5-3.5% range, is nearing its stall speed. That leaves the world much more susceptible to recession than it would otherwise be in a more vigorous environment of above-trend global growth.
Global trade stalls
The same message comes through loud and clear in gauging the risks to the global trade cycle — long the major engine of global growth in an increasingly integrated, supply-chain-linked world economy.
The IMF's latest assessment put global trade growth at just 1% in 2019 — its seventh consecutive downward revision. Indeed, last year was the weakest trade performance since the historic 10.4% plunge in 2009, which was the worst contraction since the early 1930s.
Compared to the 5% average over the 2010-18 period, the slowdown of world trade growth to just 1% in 2019 is all the more alarming. In fact, it was the fourth-weakest year since 1980, and the three worse years — 1982, 2001, and 2009 — were all associated with global recessions.
Global trade growth has never recovered to its pre-crisis pace, a shortfall that has been the subject of intense debate in recent years.
Initially thought to be a consequence of unusual weakness in business capital spending, there can be no ignoring the impact of protectionism following the start of the U.S.-China trade conflict. Now that the two sides have agreed to a truce in the form of a "phase one" trade deal, there is hope that the trade prognosis will improve.
Reflecting that hope, the IMF's January update calls for a modest rebound to 3.3% average growth in world trade over the 2020-21 period. But with the average U.S. tariff rate on Chinese imports likely to remain at about 19% after the accord is signed — more than six times the pre-trade-war rate of 3% — and with worrisome signs of escalating U.S.-Europe trade tensions, this forecast, like those of the past several years, may turn out be wishful thinking.
All this bears critically on the precarious state of the global business cycle.
Historically, the rapid expansion of cross-border trade has been an important part of the global growth cushion that shields the world economy from all-too-frequent shocks. From 1990 to 2008, annual growth in world trade was fully 82% faster than world GDP growth.
Now, however, reflecting the unusually sharp post-crisis slowdown in global trade growth, this cushion has shrunk dramatically, to just 13% over the 2010-19 period.
With the world economy operating dangerously close to stall speed, the confluence of ever-present shocks and a sharply diminished trade cushion raises serious questions about financial markets' increasingly optimistic view of global economic prospects.
This article was published with permission of Project Syndicate — A Global Economy Without a Cushion.
Stephen S. Roach, a faculty member at Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, is the author of "Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China."
More from Project Syndicate:
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Pace of new-home construction skyrockets in December to a 13-year high, but significant headwinds remain


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text:
Das Inlandsprodukt ist ein Produktionsindikator, d. h., es dient zur Angabe des Wertes aller in einer Periode erzeugten Waren und Dienstleistungen im Inland, d. h. innerhalb der geographischen Grenzen einer Volkswirtschaft. Hierin enthalten sind auch Güter, die von Unternehmen im Inland produziert werden, deren Eigentümer Ausländer sind. Nicht enthalten hingegen sind Güter, die inländische Unternehmen im Ausland produziert haben. Das Inlandsprodukt ist ein Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Leistungsfähigkeit einer Volkswirtschaft. Man unterscheidet dabei zwischen dem Bruttoinlandsprodukt BIP (einschließlich der Abschreibungen) und dem Nettoinlandsprodukt. Zur Berechnung des Inlandsproduktes gibt es drei Ansätze, die aber (mathematisch) jeweils das gleiche Ergebnis liefern, die
 Entstehungsrechnung
 Verwendungsrechnung und
 Verteilungsrechnung
Bei der Entstehungsrechnung wird die Produktion einer Periode (Produktionswert) nach Abzug der Vorleistungen (man erhält die Bruttowertschöpfung), abzüglich der unterstellten Bankgebühren (man erhält die bereinigte Bruttowertschöpfung) zuzüglich der Nettogütersteuern (Gütersteuern abzüglich Gütersubventionen) errechnet; bei der Verwendungsrechnung werden die Erträge aus dem Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktionskonto in ihrer
 konsumtiven oder
 investiven Verwendung (brutto: einschließlich der Abschreibungen)
 bzw. in ihrer Verwendung als Export abzüglich der Importe

betrachtet, bei der Verteilungsrechnung wird die Aufteilung des BIPs auf
 Lohneinkommen einerseits (Arbeitnehmerentgelt) und
 Kapitaleinkommen anderseits (Unternehmens- und Vermögenseinkommen, brutto: einschließlich der Abschreibungen) betrachtet.

Vom Inlands- zum Inländerprodukt
Während beim Inland ein bestimmtes Territorium (Inland) mit den darauf liegenden Produktionsstätten betrachtet wird, werden beim Nationaleinkommen die Inländer, die auf diesem Territorium ihren Wohnsitz haben, betrachtet. Diese können Primäreinkommen aus dem Ausland bekommen, was dann dem Inlandsprodukt hinzuzufügen wäre, um das Inländerprodukt zu erhalten. Außerdem sind im Inland Primäreinkommen entstanden, die an Personen, die im Ausland wohnen, fließen. Diese sind vom Inlandsprodukt abzuziehen, um zum Inländerprodukt zu gelangen. Das Inländerprodukt ergibt sich also als Inlandsprodukt, abzüglich der Primäreinkommen, die an die übrige Welt geflossen sind, und addiert die Primäreinkommen, die aus der übrigen Welt an Inländer geflossen sind. Bei der Kategorie "Inländer" kommt es auf den Wohnsitz an, nicht auf die Staatsbürgerschaft.

Bewertung zu Marktpreisen
Das Inlandsprodukt, brutto wie netto, und das Nationaleinkommen, brutto wie netto, wird zu Marktpreisen bewertet, also einschließlich der Produktions- und Importabgaben abzüglich der Subventionen.

Weblinks
 Wichtige VGR-Zusammenhänge vom StBA erklärt

Volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung


We're on our final day here in sunny Florida! Kidz in Motion's child passenger safety conference is a great place for CPS technicians, instructors, and safety professionals from across the industry to meet, encourage each other, and to learn about new trends or techniques. Day one was amazing, but day two was really where we got into the nitty gritty of passenger safety topics and workshops. Dr. Ben Hoffman gave an eye-opening presentation on child poverty's relationship to passenger safety and the overall weaknesses in safety education. There were also panels on emerging trends in car seat safety and advances in technology being used in car seats and vehicles, and even a seminar on social media and the child passenger safety field. This conference has given us the chance to reflect on where we've come and where we're going, as well as to think about how to apply what we've learned in an effort to continue to serve our communities.
Britax– Many of our readers will be happy to know that all Britax seats, except the Parkway and Parkway SGL, are currently made in the US. We will be partnering with Britax for a review and giveaway of the Britax B-Safe 35, so stay tuned for that on Sunday! Britax now only allows using dedicated sets of lower anchors when installing a child restraint, no longer can you borrow lower anchors even if the vehicle allows. Along with this change, Britax has discontinued rear face tethering on newer models of convertible seats. These changes are not currently planned to be retroactive, and as always, review your restraint manual before installing your child restraint. When in doubt, contact the manufacturer for information or clarification. We got fantastic information about the recent recall for Britax convertible ClickTight seats. Their tech representative, Sarah Tilton, assured us that fix kits will be shipped quickly and also offered helpful tips and suggestions regarding application of the kit's lubricant.
Clek– Recently Clek released their infant-thingy to allow the use of their convertible seats from birth. We recently were able to check it out and offer a review of the insert for our readers. There were no real changes to their convertible line or boosters. Clek did clarify that for the Oobr high back booster, there may be a gap behind the seat in some vehicles due to the angle of vehicle head rests. When lower anchors are used, only the head rest has to touch the seat back. Clek has published a list of child restraint and passenger safety laws for the US and Canada, which can be found as a PDF file. This is a great resource for parents, caregivers, and safety professionals alike.
Cybex- We saw the new Solution M-Fix booster seat, featuring individually adjustable Liner Side-impact Protection (LSP) system. The M-Fix has a 12 position adjustable back and a three position adjustable headrest for comfort while sleeping, as well as rigid LATCH installation. It also features an optimized ventilation system. The M-Fix joins an already strong line of high back boosters, including the Solution Q2-Fix and the and the Solution X-Fix. Unlike the other seats in the line up, the M-Fix has a set torso support so only the head rest moves. This can give a little more freedom in using it next to other seats and less of a confined feeling for those kids who prefer a little more movement.
We also got to see a prototype of the new rear facing only seat, the Cloud Q. The Cloud Q reclines flat for use outside the car. The base is the same as the Aton 2 / Aton Q with the load leg. The seat features a no re-thread harness, 11 position adjustable head rest and large UVB50 canopy. We have no current ETA on the Cloud Q. You can see both Fiona and Jo fit nicely in the harness. As this was a prototype seat, there may be changes made before final production that might further enhance the fit in this seat.
Diono– It is always good seeing the Diono representative Allana Pinkerton at conferences. She spoke very clearly on several panels and is ready to help whenever needed. We've said it before, but we're so thrilled that we'll say it again – the Monterey dedicated booster is back! We will have an updated review on the re-released version during Child Passenger Safety Week next month. Updates to current convertible seats are also big this year; when using a forward facing convertible Diono seat for a child over 25 pounds, the adjustable bottom must be down. This does not include prior models at this time, only the ones with this information in the manual. We're really happy to relay another change to the Diono manuals for convertible seats: Diono convertibles will not require replacement after a minor crash. Currently, Diono's booster seats already follow NHTSA's guidelines for reuse after a minor crash, and the convertibles will be following suit. If you unsure if your seat needs to be replaced, the Diono team is always happy to answer questions. Above, among the photos of Diono's current lineup, we've shown an internal metal frame from a Diono convertible seat. It's really cool to be able to see what goes into these seats!
Coming soon in your Diono box – a starter booklet that explains features, provides fantastic tips and tricks, and even offers parents the chance to win cool prizes by becoming a "SuperFan." For more info, check out Diono on Facebook.
Evenflo– On average, 37 American children die in hot cars each year. Evenflo is attempting to lower that number with their new SensorSafe technology. SensorSafe consists of a chest clip and a plug for the OBDII system of cars, 2008 and newer (though many vehicles before this date may still have the technology available in their vehicles). The system alerts the parent/caregiver that the child is in the car with a series of tones. Currently, the technology is only available on the SensorSafe Embrace 35 DLX infant seat, which is available at Wal-mart. Please do note that SensorSafe is only intended for use on this product and is not for use on other child products or car seats. To find out more information on this innovative technology, please see the Evenflo SensorSafe website. We plan to have a full review out quickly on this seat!
Another new seat from Evenflo is the Lite Max 35 infant seat. This new infant seat comes in two trims, the regular and the Platinum. The Platinum is a stand alone seat with more premium fabrics and will retail for $149.99, same as the SensorSafe. It has the Outlast temperature regulating fabric that is also available on other Platinum models. The regular version is available as a travel system. Both have limits of 4-35lbs, 19-32″, and feature a lock off on the base. The seats have great, thick soft goods, including strap covers, buckle cover, and a substantial infant insert.
Kiddy– We saw Kiddy's Evolution Pro rear facing only seat along with their World Plus shield combination seat and their Cruiserfix Pro dedicated booster. A review of the Evolution Pro car seat will be available soon. We look forward to seeing more from Kiddy and enjoyed seeing them at KIM.
UPPAbaby– When we (consumers and technicians) talk to manufacturers, they really listen. UPPAbaby heard some concerns about their Mesa rear facing only seat and made changes which will be sure to please. There are new fashions this year, and they come with breathable, temperature regulating inserts and padding. The belt lock off on the base has a new two piece design, which we feel really makes it easier to use. The recline indicator window was made a little smaller so that parents can feel more confident that their base is installed at just the right recline. New graphics on the carrier itself, including ones indicating handle placement in the vehicle, and updated graphics and stickers on the base and car seat help to highlight these limits and functions, plus they offer instructions for use and installation. A function not available on the 2015 Mesa is the European belt path installation. This change will not be retroactive so if you already own a Mesa please follow the instructions in your manual. UPPAbaby has been very receptive to comments and suggestions, and made great changes this year in response.
We really look forward to our last day at Kidz in Motion and feel this has been a great opportunity for us. If you're a CPS technician or instructor, or work in the passenger safety field, this is the one conference you simply cannot miss. We have made invaluable connections with technicians and programs across the country, and we're already planning to attend next year's conference.


text:
written & directed by Julia Fennell
When Judy Thomas, a devout pastor, is condemned to Hell for her single imperfection of wearing clothing with mixed fabrics, she is forced to learn that the difference between a sinner and a saint is just a few letters.
Elma Ling Hoffman (Judy Thomas) is a fourth-year Art History and Religious Studies major.
Laura Mahaniah (Andrea Johnson) is a first-year with an interest in TAPS and Linguistics. She has previously acted in My H8 Letter to the Gr8 American Theatre and a couple of virtual readings. As per her previous bio, she would like to remind everyone who has not yet done so to learn what a Djungelskog is, and assures them that they will not regret it.
Harry Franklin (Simon Peters)
Zander Galluppi (God/Satan/Ensemble) is a fourth-year Ph.D. candidate in the Committee on Immunology. He has performed in ten UT/TAPS shows – some of his favorite credits include The Old Man and the Old Moon (Cookie/Solomon/Ghost Singer), Animals Out of Paper (Andy), Love's Labour's Lost: A New Musical (Longaville), and Peter and the Starcatcher (Smee). Additionally, Zander is currently serving in his third term on UT Committee. Outside of UT, Zander has performed with the Hyde Park Community Players and regionally with This Moment Productions, Beverly Arts Center, and Underscore Theatre Company as part of their Chicago Musical Theatre Festival. Catch him this June appearing as Antipholus of Ephesus in Beverly Arts Center's The Comedy of Errors! Zander would like to thank the cast and crew of Original Sin for their hard work and support in an unconventional rehearsal process!
Jess Aaron (Ensemble) is a first-year intended Philosophy and Law, Letters and Society major. She has previously appeared in several productions with the Dean's Men and is super excited to be performing in her first musical at the University of Chicago. She hopes you enjoy the show!
Alex Nobert (Ensemble) is a first-year Environmental Science major. She has previously participated in Spring Quarter 24 Hour Theater as an actor, but other than that, this is her first show! She would like to thank everyone who worked hard to make this show happen despite the circumstances, and her roommates, who had to endure her constant singing in their apartment while they tried to study.
Julia Fennell (Director/Librettist/Composer) is a first-year working toward a B.A. in Theater and Performance Studies. She is currently working on a new full-length musical entitled Cole, Carved. She's worked on several UChicago productions, including as the assistant stage manager for My H8 Letter to the Great American Theatre.
Michael Schuhler (Stage Manager) is a first-year Business Econ major with a minor in Physics. He has previously worked on Theatre24 productions (Actor/Producer) and is currently serving on the UT Committee. In his free time, he enjoys music and singing.
Maxine King (Production Manager) is a fourth-year Mathematics and Computer Science double major. She has previously worked on Dry Land (Production Manager), Macbeth (Production Manager), Measure For Measure (Scenic Designer), Richard III (Scenic Designer), Much Ado About Nothing (Assistant Scenic Designer), and As You Like It (Assistant Props Designer).
Carolyn Johansen (Costume Designer) is a second-year double-majoring in Economics and Chemistry. This is her first show with UT.
Daisy Marshall (Lighting Designer) is a first-year at the College. Original Sin is her first production with UT. Though she learned lots from her experience with theater in high school, she couldn't be happier to move up from her coveted "Assistant Stage Sweeper" position. Accordingly, she is immensely grateful to the cast and crew for creating this amazing performance.
Jack Cramer (Sound Designer and Engineer/Assistant Composer/Ukulelist) is a second-year Music major and Economics major. (Although the latter is coming under greater and greater scrutiny). He has previously worked the Radio24 show, I Arkansas a Ghost (Sound Designer/Composer), but is otherwise new to University Theatre!
Leah Profitt (Dramaturg)
Melia Allan (Vocal Director/Assistant Sound Engineer) is a second-year Political Science and Music major. While they have been singing in Motet Choir and the Vocal Studies program since their first year, Original Sin is their first UChicago Theater production, and they are psyched to be a part of this wonderful show.
Honor Torrance (Choreographer) is a first-year in the College. She has previously worked on the Theater24 Autumn 2020 and Winter 2021 shows (Actor, Graphic Designer), in which she took on serious and challenging roles such as Vampire Romeo and Girl Being Chased By Ghost Of Former US President Bill Clinton.
Seraphina Halpern (Assistant Director) is a first-year in the College. She has previously worked on My H8 Letter to the Gr8 American Theater (Assistant Video Director).
Lena Maghraoui (Assistant Production Manager) is a second-year studying Environmental Science and Arabic. She previously acted in Antony and Cleopatra with the Dean's Men, and this is her first experience with management. She is so grateful to Maxine King for her incredible patience and kindness in guiding Lena through this new side of theatre, and she hopes you enjoy the show!
Carissa Greene (Assistant Vocal Director)
Callie Rosenzweig (Assistant Sound Designer) is a first-year Psychology major from Palo Alto, CA. Original Sin is her first UT show, and also her first experience with sound design—she was primarily an actress, not a techie, in high school. Callie is excited to be getting involved in UT, and she can't wait to join the community in person next year!
Jane Kelly (Assistant Costume Designer) is an assistant costume designer and a second-year Creative Writing and Business Econ major. This is her first experience with UT or theater in general, but she looks forward to working on many more shows and learning all about the different roles that go into a spectacular production.
Sam Casale (Guitarist) is a third-year Cinema and Media Studies major with a double minor in Neuroscience and Music (he is just as confused by this combination as you are). He has produced and recorded for a variety of artists that cover genre spans from rap, folk, jazz, and just about anything people ask him to do. Connect with him @samyesman on Insta for all your guitar/production needs!
Najee Ahmad (Pianist) is a fourth-year Psychology and Music major. In the past, he has performed with Le Vorris and Vox Circus and really misses doing that because it was super fun and everyone should go to at least one circus open gym next year if things are open pls thanks.
Jeremy Burroughs (Pianist) is a fourth-year student studying Computational and Applied Mathematics. He participates in the university's Piano Program and plays cello in the University Chamber Orchestra. With this orchestra, he has performed with the Gilbert and Sullivan Opera Company.
Elissa Kwon (Assistant Sound Engineer)
Jo Blankson (UT Liaison)
Allegra Hatem (Tech Staff Liaison)