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GSL Code S 2019 S2 | Ro32 | Group B | Quick Recap
The content of the article
| GuMiho vs Trust | Mad World
| Impact vs Zest | Stylistic Destruction
| Impact vs Trust | Ladder Level Mistakes
| GuMiho vs Zest | Day Of Reckoning
| GuMiho vs Trust | Close But No Cigar
As if we needed any more proof this is the most unforgiving and competitive tournament in Starcraft II – especially after the events of Group A – tonight's games further demonstrated how quickly your fortune can change regardless of who you are.
Warning: Spoilers Ahead, Obviously.
Heading into today there were two clear choices when it came to determining who "should" get out, provided you were going off name value alone – GuMiho and Zest – but on the other side stood a pair of dangerous underdogs (admittedly one more so than the other). By the end of the night, you could certainly say things didn't go "according to plan" for the favorites.
For the third straight Code S season now, Impact has made it to the Ro16 and today he did it with a flawless 4-0 record to finish 1st, partially thanks to a very fortunate upset in the other initial match. After his phenomenal performance at the Super Tournament, GuMiho looked to be the clear pick to get out first in this group, which is why it felt really surprising when instead he found himself battling for survival after falling convincingly against Trust – yet the Towel Terran still ultimately managed to regroup in time to take down both Protoss players in order to sneak through in 2nd place.
It was kind of shocking to watch Trust play out of his mind on Kairos Junction, where he tore the Towel Terran limb from limb. The relentless early pressure, Tank snipes with his Blink Stalkers, denial of Stim and overall immaculate play from the Protoss made this first map look utterly unwinnable for his opponent. If you had told me we were watching Stats or Zest or Classic playing against GuMiho here, I would have believed you without any hesitation.
The story on New Repugnancy was basically the exact opposite. Trust made mistake after mistake, got unlucky, supply blocked himself to directly counteract his own strategy with the Blink Stalkers and in general looked to be in shambles. If you had told me we were watching a Diamond ladder game on the NA server, I would have believed you without any hesitation. This is why it felt extremely disheartening to watch GuMiho refuse to go into a later game or even up in tech and instead tirelessly try to smash through a Protoss player who'd had everything that could possibly go wrong for them happen (including losing a Warp Prism full of Templar to a random Mine).
I have to give some credit to Trust for keeping it together on that last map of the series despite everything going wrong for him, but it's also impossible to overlook the fact GuMiho was the driving force behind that outcome. After what he'd shown us against the likes of Stats and even Classic, I found myself in utter disbelief that he could lose a game from such an amazing position. Regardless, just like that, Group B was busted completely wide open.
Rivalries can be a funny thing to follow, there are some which are incredibly back and forth – GuMiho vs Dark comes to mind – and others which seemingly only ever go one way (Group A's decider match in a nutshell). I hadn't been aware of Impact's dominance in this particular clash until it was recently pointed out to me and I think today's games were a clear indicator as to what type of rivalry this is.
In an effort to make a point of establishing this as a victim/nemesis relationship, on Cyber Forest unfortunately Zest decided not to go for the new brand of PvZ he'd refined from Stats, instead the Protoss just went for a regular Stargate build. Impact likely grinned his face off when he saw this, since that resulted in his early rush Queen / Roach / Ravager / Ling bust completely smashing Zest's defenses, which took us immediately into the next game.
Being already up in the series, the Zerg then decided to play out a more normal game on King's Cove – and Zest pretty much let him, going for old standard play of his own, granted featuring some impeccable Warp Prism Archon harassment – but then Impact took the space given to him to get very fancy (something that always makes me worried, see Armani's last game of the tournament) with Drop Overlords and Hydra Lurker.
In what felt like a checkmate move out of nowhere, the Zerg managed to siege up his army in a terrific position and inch by inch Zest was made more and more desperate, until eventually the pressure reached a tipping point which resulted in the Protoss walking his forces into the Lurkers, getting utterly destroyed and being sent down to the losers match.
Read: IEM Season 13 - Katowice. The Americas Server Qualifier takes place today, at 2pm Pacific Time!
When both underdogs win, it usually makes for a weird winners match, where no one seems to have an edge. Impact was having none of it, though, looking completely uninterested in getting Protossed throughout this series.
Trust's early game on Port Alexander looked on another level, it genuinely seemed like he had recovered after that terrible second map against GuMiho. The sneaky proxy Gate that got great early damage in, coupled with his smooth transitions and very fast follow up Immortal push were all steering this boat ship in one clear direction. As soon as the proverbial final push arrived at Impact's base, though, things changed. Trust's control faltered, his Warp Prism got sniped and as a result the game instantly flipped, with the Zerg armies eventually pushing across the map and running over the follow-up-less Protoss.
As we watched Impact queue up Lings on King's Cove before his Speed was even done, I'm sure many of us thought back to our first ladder games, back when we didn't think walling off was that big of a deal. In what can pretty fairly be described as a glorified second Diamond level game from Trust, the Zerg completely smashed his opponent in record time to effortlessly waltz his way out of the group in first place.
I may as well have chosen "Wreckening" as the title of this match, considering how smashed Zest got by the end of the night.
The proxy Stargate on King's Cove that started off this series did fuck all, which was really unfortunate for a variety of reasons, one of the most important ones being that GuMiho was going for mech this game. In spite of taking a slow third and getting contained for the majority of the map, the Towel Terran leaned on his Speed Cloaked Banshees to win the war of attrition and steadily built up an incredible army that completely destroyed the Protoss when the inevitable battle took place. Zest did his best not to go for a later game, expand or tech up his army – the plan, it seemed, was to crush GuMiho before he could get to the later stages of his build, but the Terran was bulletproof.
Kairos Junction after that was a weird one, with Zest hiding/saving three Oracles that would go into the enemy base at the exact perfect time to cause incredible damage and essentially make GuMiho "all in" with a TY-esque push he'd planned. In a bit of a mind boggling turn of events, though, when the Protoss pulled his army back to defend for whatever reason it wasn't enough to prevent the Towel Terran from causing significant damage to his opponent, eventually snowballing the game back into his favor and sealing the deal on Zest's nightmare of a day with the abysmal 0-4 score.
The best game all night from Trust would ironically end up being the first one he played, his immaculate play was nowhere to be found in this rematch he choked away.
Make no mistake, on Kairos Junction it was clear GuMiho had made the necessary adjustments – the Towel Terran's positioning, control and timing were much better than in their original clash – but it still felt like Trust was stuck playing the same style and hoping it would work. Considering what happened next, in hindsight I don't blame him. Nevertheless, on this first map, it was clear GuMiho would remain large and in charge, forcing the reluctant gg from his opponent.
New Repugnancy, however, felt like a replay from their original encounter here. Trust stuck to his guns and GuMiho likely thought to himself "this guy is choking so hard right now, all I have to do is push again and he'll crumble". The Towel Terran was almost right, which in Starcraft means you lose. It's a very binary game in that regard, there's no consolation trophy for playing well, you either win or you're out.
Thankfully for GuMiho, the decision that would decide the outcome of this series came down to his opponent letting the jitters get the best of him. Automaton was where Trust decided to mix things up by going for proxy Gates and essentially putting himself all in – understandably, since he'd basically done the same build four games in a row prior to this, although he did win three of them so there's that – but that basically gift wrapped things for his reasonably paranoid opponent, who was not only ready but pretty much checkmated his way to a win as soon as the Banshees showed up and there was nothing to deal with them. Trust started off the day with a bang, but regrettably – one more time – went out with a whimper, to Terran fans' utter relief and joy.
Read: 2019 Ladder S1 Map Pool Statistics from Premier Tournaments - The Curious Case of Year Zero
Listen, today definitely didn't feature the best games, it's hard to pretend otherwise – but it was still a really cool show largely off the back of Impact's clear hunger to win, coupled with GuMiho's recovery after tedious play and circumstances presented themselves.
Match of the Night – I have to give it to Impact for the way he completely styled on Zest, this was the clearest "I know what you're going to do and I'm going to wreck you" series I've seen in a while. If there were "performance bonuses" handed out to the players, he would be earning one tonight after the complete annihilation of both his opponents (granted, Trust's mistakes were a lot more clear which is why I went with the first match).
Finally, here are some of my Takeaways from Group B:
Impact wasn't tested at all today. It feels harsh to say, but that doesn't bode well for his chances in the Ro16. Still, you can only beat the opponents put in front of you and he did a marvelous job today. Here's hoping he can keep it up and eventually push his name next to the likes of Dark, soO, Rogue.
GuMiho gave us all a scare or two tonight, I'm sure, but you have to give him credit for adapting to his opponents and doing the best with what he had to work with. The Towel Terran definitely didn't look as good as he did in the Super Tournament (where he was facing arguably better competition) so I hope for his sake he picks up speed in the Ro16 because I know he's capable of so much more.
Trust has to be kicking himself, surely, since this was probably one of the most beatable versions of GuMiho he'll ever get to play against. It really felt like after his flawless performance on the first map he played a different player took his place. I definitely feel sorry for him that he didn't manage to make it out, clearly his skill level is high enough, but the intangibles can be a bitch – choking in particular is an awful thing to experience, something GuMiho himself can attest to and sympathize with, surely.
Zest seems to be on a quest to make Rogue's 2019 not look so bad. I do feel for him, since he lost to a nemesis and then had to play against a GuMiho who got woken up after a terrible start to the day, but in the end the buck has to stop with you when you're a former GSL Champion and generally widely considered one of the best players for your race (especially when seemingly every other Protoss with less name value than you is doing great at the same time).
Keep in mind these are just my observations. As always, if you feel differently let everyone know why in the comments below.
See you tomorrow for Group C, where Classic will need to extend his PvZ dominance in order to make it to the Ro16 and possibly start walking on the path towards a Maru-less Code S Final!
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GSL Code S 2019 S1 | Group C Quick Recap
What can you even say about today's games in Group C, what a wild and emotional roller-coaster. Warning: Spoilers Ahead, Obviously. GuMiho decided that wearing a towel wasn't niche enough and came in with a mask as well to prove it doesn't really matter if you feel good, all that matters is what you can…
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What a stellar way to start the day! Some high level Code S games were on display today in GSL's last competitive Ro32 Group G. Warning: Spoilers Ahead, Obviously. TY reminded people why he's a top 2 Terran player in the world - - by absolutely demolishing the competition on every level to secure the…
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Couples, were you married in 1966 or 1991? If so, you are warmly invited to celebrate your 25th or 50th Wedding Anniversary with the Diocese of Paterson. Bishop Serratelli will be the main celebrant at Mass at St. Peter the Apostle Church, Parsippany on Sunday, November 6, 2016 at 4:00 PM. Arrangements can be made by contacting the rectory at 973-627-0422. Registrations will be accepted through Monday, October 24, 2016. Information will be sent from the Office of Family Life once your registration has been processed. Congratulations on this joyous occasion.
We mark the 26th Sunday in Ordinary Time as we gather to celebrate the Lord's Day. The Scripture texts for this Sunday once again bring our attention to the poor. This is a common theme for the prophets as well as the Evangelist Luke. In today's Gospel the Lord Jesus tells the parable of the "Rich Man and Poor Lazarus." The nameless rich man is indifferent to the plight of his neighbor. So wrapped up in himself, he does not see the suffering of the one who is just outside his door and is in need of his help. Although the rich man does not see, the Lord sees all and turns the tables so that in eternity Lazarus suffers no more and the rich man is now in torment.
Bishop Serratelli visited our new school, the Divine Mercy Academy, after celebrating Mass on September 20th.
John Robert Verola and Tyler Large were recently baptized at Sacred Heart of Jesus Parish. We welcome them into our parish community. Please pray for them and their families.
Voter registration will take place the weekend of September 24-25 to encourage all eligible parishioners to vote in the November elections. This is a non partisan effort to encourage us to be faithful citizens.
The Monday evening holy hour will resume on Monday, October 3rd at St. Cecilia from 7 PM to 8 PM. The Most Blessed Sacrament will be exposed and the sacrament of penance will be available at that time. Please come to church and spend some quite time with our Lord.
The 20/20 Pro-life Vision Conference is a historic, non-denominational event is designed to incrementally end abortion by collaborating with churches and educating the public about the humanity of the babies in the womb. This Conference will be held on Saturday, Oct. 1, 2016 from 8:30 AM to 5:00 PM at the Evangel Church, located at 1251 Terrill Road in Scotch Plains, NJ.
Divine Mercy Academy is proud to announce an intergenerational program called Grandfriends in Faith. The goal of this program is promote love, unity, and warm fellowship between youth and senior adults.
As we gather to celebrate the Lord's Day we come to the 25th Sunday in Ordinary Time. The Scripture texts remind us of the needy and our accountability as stewards of God's resources. The Apostle Paul writes to his protégé Timothy reminding him of the constant need to lift up one's hands in prayer for the sake of all.
First Holy Communion classes will begin in October for children of our parish ages 7-8, second grade. Mrs. Lucy Rovegno will serve as the catechist. Classes will meet following the 10 AM Sunday Mass on the 2nd and 4th Sundays of the month in the rectory basement classroom. Please call the rectory office for registration and other information. The first class will take place on Sunday, October 9th from 11-11:45 AM.
The K of C Soccer Challenge takes place on Saturday, September 24, from 2PM to 4PM at Lower Knuth Field, 40 Cooper Road, Denville, NJ 07834.
First Holy Communion classes will begin in October for children of our parish ages 7-8, second grade. Mrs. Lucy Rovegno will serve as the catechist. Classes will meet following the 10 AM Sunday Mass on the 2nd and 4th Sundays of the month in the rectory basement classroom. Please call the rectory office at 73-627-0422 for registration and other information. The first class will take place on Sunday, October 9th from 11-11:45 AM.
In our celebration of the Lord's Day we come to the 24th Sunday in Ordinary Time. The theme of reconciliation and mercy are presented to us in the Scriptural texts for this Sunday. The Gospel Acclamation which is sung for today's liturgy is: "God was reconciling the world to Himself in Christ and entrusting to us the message of reconciliation." This passage is taken from the Second Letter of Saint Paul the Apostle to the Corinthians, Chapter 5, Verse 19 in which he reminds us of our duty as ambassadors for peace.
The Diocesan Commission for Catholic Filipino Ministries (DCCFM) is honoring two Filipino Saints: St. Lorenzo Ruiz and St. Pedro Calungsod, on Saturday, September 17, 2016 at St. Clare R.C. Church located at 69 Allwood Road, Clifton NJ 07014.
All incoming 9th and 10th Grade Students should be aware that Confirmation sign-up for classes this fall are underway. All 9th & 10th grade students who are parishioners of Sacred Heart, and intend to receive the Sacrament should be enrolled in faith formation. Please fill out the form on this website as soon as possible, and return it to Michele Shaffer or the rectory. If you have any questions, please contact Michele by phone at 973-625-9274.
The 2017 Parish Trip will be to Sicily & The Amalfi Coast. Father Zig will again be leading a trip next spring to Siciliy and the beautiful Amalfi Coast, from April 20 to May 3, 2017. Participants will enjoy breathtaking scenery, historic cities, centuries-old hilltop villages and wonderful cuisine. An information meeting for all interested travelers will take place on Tuesday, September 20th at 6:00 PM. in St. Cecilia Hayes Hall.


Hillside is no longer open...it was bought by a private homeless center.
Getting a doctor to call and deliver information on patient illness, diagnosis, and expected outcome is next to impossible. When our family member got sick and was moved to another room, not one single person in the family was called by any staff member. After doing some research on this facility and seeing the fines they have paid due to violations, and the ratings they have received, I am not quite sure why the sign in front says it is the best nursing home in the city. Having called a week ago asking to have an actual doctor call the family, and being told that a doctor would call at their convenience, and now 6 days later, still without any call back, I would have to say I am deeply unimpressed. I am also deeply unimpressed with the amount of missing clothing that our family member has. It is truly saddening how seniors who have little or no voice in their life, let alone their treatment, the daily activities they get to participate in, or otherwise, and I ashamed that this is what it comes down to for some. Make sure, if you are reading this, to make a living will and a will for once passed. The two stars are for some of the under paid staff that are not nurses and doctors that do a decent job. I say decent, and not magnificent, because I have heard them yell back at dementia patients. As frustrating a screaming and rude dementia patient can be, it is incredibly unprofessional to yell back at them.
Staff all act very nice but adequate care is not delivered. Many promises were made to provide a sensor pad commode, stimulating pad for comfort and circulation during my father's 5 day stay. Only the first 2 were delivered late the last night of his stay. The previous day during a 20 minutes absence when our family wasn't with him, he went to the bathroom by himself! He could have fallen, as he often had at home, and broken a hip or something, leaving him to die, not only with Alzheimer's but in great pain and discomfort. Even after registering our complaints with administration here and our hospice care at Millcreek, services were not delivered as promised. I don't know what other nursing homes are like and guess there are worse places, but I would never recommend Hillside to anyone with a serious condition requiring constant care! If our family didn't take shifts to be with my father around the clock, he would have suffered and been neglected. Response times calling for help are much too long. The second night when my father urgently needed to use the bathroom, the wait time was about 20 minutes. The aid looked like she had just woken up. Don't let their niceness fool you into trusting them with the care of yourself or your loved one. Btw, the food is processed standard American diet (SAD) and designed to make you sick. How can anyone hope to get well on that?!
Beautiful community with a wonderful staff!
Mission At Hillside Rehabilitation Center was reviewed by Medicare to have a rating of 2 out of 5 stars.
Medicare determines the expected staffing time per resident per day depending on level of care the residents of Mission At Hillside Rehabilitation Center require. It is important to compare the reported time to expected time for a single facility instead of comparing the amount of time per resident of two facilities. Learn why.


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Home » 'Cognitive Bias' » Peak Oil responds, "The report of my death was an exaggeration."
Peak Oil responds, "The report of my death was an exaggeration."
A recent post entitled The Welcome Death of Peak Oil by George Koch on the Ludwig von Mises Institute of Canada website begins with the following optimistic comment: "Improved technology and more efficiency mean North America could eventually become an oil exporter." [i] The author goes on to argue that technology has placed the theory of Peak Oil in its grave and that energy independence for North America is just around the corner. That Peak Oil is a mistaken and buried theory has been argued recently elsewhere,[ii] and the idea of North American energy independence is one that has been and continues to be widely disseminated by the corporate media, the oil industry, and investment firms.[iii] There is one significant problem, however. The statement is based on an unsound foundation.
The notion that hydraulic fracturing will result in American energy independence appears to have been debunked.[iv] In fact, just recently Faith Birol, president of the International Energy Administration, has stated that the increase in American oil production is simply a surge, not a revolution.[v] To put it simply: the bold assertion of energy independence is predicated on early production numbers of shale oil wells; unfortunately, these production rates cannot be sustained for very long except through an exponential increase in the number of wells drilled.[vi] This only serves, however, to increase the speed at which the resource deposit is drawn-down, quickening the arrival of the day that the wells will no longer be economically viable. It is interesting to note that a number of companies have already lost money investing in shale oil and others are actively looking to get out of the business.[vii]
If an argument's underlying foundation is faulty, then it is axiomatic that the conclusion drawn from it is also flawed. To paraphrase that classic movie, Monty Python and The Holy Grail, Peak Oil is 'not quite dead yet'. In fact, I would argue that it is alive and as pertinent as ever, perhaps more so. I offer the following evidence to support that view.
While the American government was not interested in the topic of Peak Oil when Marion King Hubbert first proposed the model for petroleum resource depletion in 1948, by 1974, shortly after his prediction of US oil production peaking became reality, Hubbert was asked to provide written testimony to a Congressional committee writing the National Energy Conservation Policy Act as to the impact of Peak Oil on the monetary system.[viii] Jimmy Carter's administration was driven by the concept of finite resources, creating the Department of Energy and prompting the president to present the issues in a televised speech in 1977.[ix]
More recently, the secretive National Energy Policy Development Group (NEPDG)–that was created only ten days after George Bush defeated Al Gore for the 2001 presidency and placed under the direct authority of Vice President Dick Cheney–brainstormed for ten meetings over an nine week period from January to May 2001 about Peak Oil and other energy security issues; issues that would significantly shape American government policies for the next few years. Although agendas and minutes of the meetings have been classified, seven pages were released after two lawsuits. These pages show that the group was reviewing how much oil remained in the world, where it was located, and who controlled it.[x] The public report from the NEPDG made dozens of recommendations based on the underlying belief that oil resources were finite and securing them were in the national interest of the United States.[xi]
The picture has not changed. The shale oil 'boom' is a short-term blip in a long-term trend that has been known to the American government for decades. The fact is the previous American administration perceived the issue of energy security as one requiring immediate response by all levels of government. I think most would acknowledge that the geopolitical tensions and military interactions in the Middle East over the last several decades have been centred upon one main objective: control of the oil and gas in the region. The idea of Peak Oil was very much driving American policy, especially foreign policy, less than a decade ago and it's naïve to believe it is no longer a driving force in the current administration's geopolitical strategising. Despite assurances and rhetoric, the current administration has not drawn down the number of military personnel in the Middle East and has actually become involved in additional conflicts in the region (e.g. Libya, Syria).[xii]
Leaving North America for the moment. It was only three years ago that the Future Analysis Branch of the Bundeswher Transformation Centre, a branch of the German military,[xiii] carried out its initial study for the German government's Federal Ministry of Defence on the impact of Peak Oil.[xiv] As taken from the report's Forward: "…the purpose of security-related future analysis is to acquire knowledge precociously and scientifically based in order to refine conceptual specifications and objectives without making predictions…[and] to enable the Federal Ministry of Defence to identify long-term issues with relevance to security policy at an early stage..." That Germany focused this branch's first research on the topic of Peak Oil and its security implications speaks volumes as to the seriousness of finite oil resources and how they will impact the globe.
But back to the idea that Peak Oil is dead and buried. Here is what the report has to say: "It is a fact, however, that oil is finite and that there is a peak oil. Since this study is mainly focused on understanding cause-effect relations following such a peak oil situation, it is not necessary to specify a precise point in time…. Depending on the development of globally relevant factors, we cannot rule out that peak oil could have serious security policy implications within the review period of the 30-year investigation perspective" (emphasis added). So, the German military and the German Federal Defence Department not only believe that Peak Oil exists, but that the country must begin to prepare for the implications of Peak Oil sooner rather than later.
I think one has to take a step back in temporal perspective to get a good view of Peak Oil and to understand it and its implications for our global, industrial world. After about 200,000 years of low energy existence, humans happened upon a one-time windfall of energy-intensive resources and it has taken us less than two centuries to reach the production peak of this resource bonanza. On the way up the curve we have used the easy-to-retrieve and highest energy-return-on-energy-invested (EROEI) resources first, leaving us the less energy efficient (lower EROEI) and much more difficult-to-retrieve and expensive dregs; much of which may never get extracted.
Small 'successes', such as that of the American shale oil industry's, are seen as minor deviations or perturbations in the long-term picture that emerges. For example, discoveries at Prudhoe Bay, Alaska, bumped up American oil production for a few years in the late 1970s and early 1980s but by the mid- to late-1980s the country resumed its journey down the Hubbert curve that began in 1970. The same pattern seems to be emerging with the 'shale boom;' a slight blip in the production numbers for a couple of years beginning in late 2009 and then it will be back to the downward slide of Hubbert's Peak in the not-too-distant future.
This is not just true of the U.S.. It is true of every oil-producing country. Peak Oil is factual and based upon geologic patterns observed in every finite resource extracted to date. In fact, M.K. Hubbert predated his work on petroleum resources by studying extraction rates for various minerals that mimic the Hubbert curve.[xv]
The implications of Peak Oil are sure to be extremely upsetting to many. They range from James Howard Kunstler and John Michael Greer's argument that the transition from fossil fuels will be a rather gradual fall from grace that will take generations, with possible spits and spurts of crises[xvi], to Michael Ruppert's more apocalyptic and quick-moving collapse scenario. The reality of it, however, cannot be denied. But denial, of course, is the first stage of the Kubler-Ross model, also known as the five stages of grief, that psychiatrist Elisabeth Kubler-Ross uses to argue that when faced with impending death or some other horrible fate, a person will experience a series of emotional stages: denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance.[xvii]
We won't know when we've actually passed the peak of the Hubbert Curve with respect to oil production except in retrospect, and there are not likely to be any apocalyptic scenarios emerging as a result when we do; the truth is we may have already passed the point–global production rates of conventional oil have not moved above the levels reached in 2005/06.[xviii] There are many who have learned to accept it as inevitable but there are also a great many people still in the denial stage about Peak Oil.
Until more people arrive at the last stage of acceptance, we are destined to hear and read more stories with the theme reflected in Koch's post. That Peak Oil is dead, technology will continue to save the day, and it's time to move along, there's nothing to see here. Unfortunately, I believe that the longer we maintain policies based on a denial of its existence, the less likely we will be able to prepare ourselves adequately and the more dire of the consequences will emerge.
What will befall an energy-dependent society as it begins its trip down the global, post-peak curve of Hubbert's model can only be imagined. Will it reflect the brutal world of the television show Revolution where the power grid has failed due to wayward nanites?[xix] While failure of the grid in this science fiction series is not the result of Peak Oil, grid failure is a real possibility in a post-Peak Oil world, as pointed out by Richard Duncan in his Olduvai Theory.[xx] Will there be a massive die-off of humans as some predict?[xxi] Nobody knows.
One thing is sure though.
Peak Oil is dead, long live Peak Oil.
[i] G. Koch. The Welcome Death of Peak Oil. http://mises.ca/posts/blog/the-welcome-death-of-peak-oil/. November 9, 2013.
[ii] R. Wile. Peak Oil is Dead. http://www.businessinsider.com/death-of-peak-oil-2013-3. March 29, 2013.
B. Walsh. The IEA Says Peak Oil is Dead. That's Bad News for Climate Policy.
http://science.time.com/2013/05/15/the-iea-says-peak-oil-is-dead-thats-bad-news-for-climate-policy/. May 15, 2013.
D. Blockman. As Fracking Rises, Peak Oil Theory Slowly Dies. http://www.forbes.com/sites/davidblackmon/2013/07/16/as-fracking-rises-peak-oil-theory-slowly-dies/. July 16, 2013.
K. Smith. No Peak Oil Really is Dead.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/modeledbehavior/2013/07/17/no-peak-oil-really-is-dead/. July 17, 2013.
[iii] G. Smith. U.S. to Be Top Oil Producer by 2015 on Shale, IEA says.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-12/u-s-nears-energy-independence-by-2035-on-shale-boom-iea-says.html. November 12, 2013.
P. Domm. Ship, baby, ship! Calls come for U.S. to export oil. http://www.cnbc.com/id/101087815. October 4, 2013.
R. Plank. North American Energy Independence Now Possible. http://www.chron.com/business/energy/article/North-American-energy-independence-now-possible-4007354.php. November 4, 2012.
D. Burney and F.O. Hanson. Pipelines are the ticket to North American energy independence. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-debate/pipelines-are-the-ticket-to-north-american-energy-independence/article8952216/. February 22, 2013.
C. Assis. North America energy independent by 2020, but still tied to markets: report. http://blogs.marketwatch.com/energy-ticker/2013/09/27/north-america-energy-independent-by-2020-but-still-tied-to-markets-report/. September 27, 2013
Wood Mackenzie Press Release. Wood Mackenzie: Global Geopolitics Reshaped by North American Energy Independence. http://www.woodmacresearch.com/cgi-bin/wmprod/portal/corp/corpPressDetail.jsp?oid=11572576. September 26, 2013.
S. Arsenault. U.S. could reclaim role as net energy exporter. http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2013/08/2013831142514713250.html. August 31, 2013.
[iv] W. Koch. Could fracking boom peter out sooner that DOE expects? http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/11/03/fracking-boom-bust-us-energy-independence/3328561/. November 3, 2013.
T. Whipple. The Peak Oil Crisis: The Shale Oil Bubble. http://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-10-30/the-peak-oil-crisis-the-shale-oil-bubble. October 30, 2013.
R. Heinberg. America's natural gas revolution isn't all it's 'fracked' up to be. http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/Opinion/2013/1023/America-s-natural-gas-revolution-isn-t-all-it-s-fracked-up-to-be. October 23, 2013.
M. Mushalik. The U.S. will always remain a crude oil importer. http://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-10-31/us-will-always-remain-crude-oil-importer. October 31, 2013.
S. Kelly. Could California's Shall Oil Boom Be Just a Mirage? http://www.desmogblog.com/2013/11/07/could-california-s-shale-oil-be-just-mirage. November 7, 2013.
M. Lardelli. The propaganda campaign against peaking fossil fuel production. http://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-11-05/the-propaganda-campaign-against-peaking-fossil-fuel-production. November 5, 2013.
J.D. Hughes. Drill, Baby, Drill: Can unconventional fuels usher in a new era of energy abundance? http://www.postcarbon.org/reports/DBD-report-FINAL.pdf. February 2013.
[v] K. Cobb. Will the real International Energy Agency please stand up? http://resourceinsights.blogspot.ca/2013/11/will-real-international-energy-agency.html/ November 16, 2013.
[vi] SRSrocco. The coming bust of the great Bakken Oil Field. http://srsroccoreport.com/the-coming-bust-of-the-great-bakken-oil-field/the-coming-bust-of-the-great-bakken-oil-field/. November 16, 2013.
M. Katusa. U.S. #1 in Oil: So Why Isn't Gasoline $0.80 per Gallon? http://www.caseyresearch.com/cdd/us-1-in-oil-so-why-isnt-gasoline-0.80-per-gallon. October 29, 2013.
[vii] K. Sloan. What's next for oil shale? http://thebusinesstimes.com/whats-next-for-oil-shale/. October 8, 2013.
G. Chazan. Shell write-down bad new for US shale.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/cf41cc36-fab2-11e2-87b9-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2jdcgNfoR. August 1, 2013.
G. Chazan. Peter Voser says he regrets Shell's huge bet on US shale.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e964a8a6-2c38-11e3-8b20-00144feab7de.html?siteedition=intl. October 6, 2013.
[viii] M. King Hubbert. On the Nature of Growth. http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/OnTheNatureOfGrowth.pdf. 1974.
[ix] J. Carter. Primary Resources: Proposed Energy Policy. http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/primary-resources/carter-energy/. April 18, 1977.
Miller Center, University of Virginia. Jimmy Carter. http://millercenter.org/president/carter/essays/biography/print.
[x] M. Ruppert. Collapse. http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1503769/. 2009.
Wikipedia. Energy Task Force. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_Task_Force
On the Issues. Dick Cheney on Energy and Oil. http://www.ontheissues.org/celeb/Dick_Cheney_Energy_+_Oil.htm.
Haliburton Watch. Energy Task Force. http://www.halliburtonwatch.org/about_hal/energytf.html.
Sourcewatch. Cheney Energy Task Force. http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Cheney_Energy_Task_Force.
[xi] Report of the National Energy Policy Development Group: Reliable, Affordable, and Environmentally Sound Energy for America's Future. http://www.gcrio.org/OnLnDoc/pdf/nep.pdf. May 2001.
[xii] T. Dokoupil. Who's the War President? http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2011/08/05/president-obama-president-bush-and-the-march-of-u-s-soldiers-abroad-where-they-are-and-why.html. August 5, 2011.
D. Degraw. Obama Far Outdoes Bush in Escalating War–The Numbers Will Surprise You. http://www.alternet.org/story/144449/obama_far_outdoes_bush_in_escalating_war_–_the_numbers_will_surprise_you. December 8, 2009.
P. Woodward. More US troops deployed overseas under Obama than Bush. http://warincontext.org/2009/10/13/more-us-troops-deployed-overseas-under-obama-than-bush/. October 13, 2009.
[xiii] Wikipedia. Bundeswehr. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bundeswehr.
[xiv] Future Analysis Branch, Bundeswher Transformation Centre. Peak Oil: Security policy implications of scarce resources. http://www.jpods.com/JPods/004Studies/PeakOil_StudyEN_GermanArmy.pdf. November 2010.
[xv] M. King Hubbert. Future Ore Supply and Geophysical Prospecting: Mineral Properties Now Entering a New Epoch. http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/FutureOreSupply.pdf. January 1934.
[xvi] J.M. Greer. The Long Descent: A User's Guide to the End of the Industrial Age. http://www.newsociety.com/Books/L/The-Long-Descent. 2008.
J.H. Kunstler. The Long Emergency: Surviving the Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Century. http://www.amazon.ca/The-Long-Emergency-Catastrophes-Twenty-First/dp/0802142494. 2005.
[xvii] Wikipedia. Kübler-Ross Model. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kübler-Ross_model.
E. Kübler-Ross. On Death and Dying. http://www.amazon.ca/On-Death-Dying-Elisabeth-Kubler-Ross/dp/0684839385. 1997.
[xviii] M. McDermott. IEA chart says conventional oil production peaked in 2006. http://www.treehugger.com/corporate-responsibility/iea-chart-says-conventional-oil-production-peaked-in-2006.html. November 11, 2010.
D. Biello. Has Petroleum Production Peaked, Ending the Era of Easy Oil? http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=has-peak-oil-already-happened. January 25, 2012.
[xix] Wikipedia. Revolution (TV Series). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revolution_(TV_series).
[xx] R. Duncan. The Olduvai Theory. http://www.thesocialcontract.com/artman2/publish/tsc1602/article_1362.shtml. Winter 2005/06.
The Olduvai Theory: Terminal Decline Imminent. http://www.thesocialcontract.com/artman2/publish/tsc1602/article_1362.shtml. Spring 2007.
America: A Frog in the Kettle Slowly Coming to a Boil.
http://www.thesocialcontract.com/artman2/publish/tsc1602/article_1362.shtml. Fall 2007.
The Olduvai Theory: Towards Re-Equalizing the World Standard of Living. http://www.thesocialcontract.com/artman2/publish/tsc1602/article_1362.shtml. Summer 2009.
[xxi] M. Savinar. The Peak Oil and Die-Off. http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/eco/traducao-DieOff.pdf
J. Siman. Speaking very gently about die-off. http://www.resilience.org/stories/2006-10-10/speaking-very-gently-about-die. October 10, 2006.
N. Hagens. Jay Hansen and Dieoff.org. http://www.theoildrum.com/story/2006/7/13/21018/2121. July 24, 2006.
Tags: Business, Dick Cheney, Energy, Hubbert, International Energy Agency, Jimmy Carter, M. King Hubbert, Middle East, National Energy Conservation Policy Act, Oil and Gas, Peak oil, United States
By https://olduvai.ca in 'Cognitive Bias', Canada, Collapse, Energy, U.S./Mexico on November 24, 2013 .
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In this second of a series of columns, Illinois law dean and professor Vikram David Amar explains how the Arizona legislature has exceeded its power under the Seventeenth Amendment in prescribing how—rather than simply whether—the governor must make a temporary appointment to a vacant US Senate seat.
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text:
James Edward "Trey" Hardee III (Birmingham, Alabama, 1984. február 7. –) világbajnok és olimpiai ezüstérmes amerikai többpróbázó. 2009-ben megnyerte a berlini világbajnokságot. Két évvel később ismételt és a tegui világbajnokságon is győzedelmeskedett. A 2010-es dohai fedettpályás világbajnokságon hétpróbában szerzett bajnoki címet. A 2012-es londoni olimpián honfitársa Ashton Eaton mögött ezüstérmet nyert.

Karrierje

Egyéni csúcsok

Jegyzetek

Források
 Profilja az IAAF honlapján

Amerikai atléták
Többpróbázók
1984-ben született személyek
Amerikai olimpiai ezüstérmesek
Élő személyek

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Common problems with VM backups include low disk space, low memory, interdependencies and so on. Learn how to overcome these issues and more with this expert advice.
Although backing up VMs is usually a straightforward and reliable process, things sometimes go wrong. Here are some of the most common problems that can occur with VM backups.
It's easy to scoff at the idea of a backup target running out of space. After all, a good backup administrator meticulously monitors available storage to ensure this problem doesn't happen. Even so, backup targets can unexpectedly run out of space.
As with any other type of backup, when a VM backup runs out of space, it's usually the result of unexpected data growth. This problem tends to be somewhat more prevalent in virtualized environments because VMs are highly dynamic. An administrator might, for example, live-migrate several VMs to a different host, thereby changing the volume of data that resides on the host. Likewise, an admin might create a collection of new VMs without stopping to think about the effect the new VMs will have on the backup.
While it's fairly obvious as to why running low on disk space on a backup target would cause problems when backing up VMs, dwindling storage space on a specific virtualization host or even within a VM can also cause problems for backups. There are a few different reasons for this, but the main reason has to do with the way Volume Shadow Copy Services (VSS) works.
By default, VSS has 120 seconds to prepare a shadow copy. If this process doesn't complete within the designated time, VSS will generate a flush writes timeout error (0x80042313). If a system is running low on available disk space, then it can cause the New Technology File System to run much more slowly. Solid-state drives also slow down as they begin to fill up. These factors can cause VSS to timeout before a shadow copy can be created -- never mind that a disk that's nearly full might lack the capacity required by the VSS buffer.
The Windows OS is designed to use a pagefile to overcome physical memory shortages. If memory begins to run low, then memory pages are swapped between memory and disk. Excessive swapping leads to a condition called thrashing, in which the pagefile is being bombarded with swap requests, and the machine runs very slowly as a result. Incidentally, this condition isn't unique to VMs. It can happen to physical machines, as well.
As previously noted, VSS has a limited amount of time within which to create a snapshot. Excessive virtual memory paging can slow the VM to the point that the VSS snapshot process isn't able to complete within the allotted time. It's worth noting that excessive swapping isn't the only potential cause of this condition. Any excessive I/O load could potentially cause problems for VSS.
Backup or restoration problems can also occur as a result of the complex interdependencies that so often exist in a virtualized environment.
When backing up VMs or restoring them, problems can also occur as a result of the complex interdependencies that so often exist in a virtualized environment. A multi-tier application might depend on Active Directory, domain name system and various database servers. The only way to adequately protect such an application is to back up all of the dependency resources.
The thing that can make this tricky is dependency resources can be scattered among hosts, and they might even reside in the public cloud or within nested virtualized environments that the backup can't see. This is why recovery testing is so important. Testing is the only way to know for sure if a complex application is properly protected.
Another common problem with backing up VMs is, sometimes, not all of the VMs residing on a particular host are backed up. This particular problem might occur if the organization is performing guest-level backups and neglects to add newly created VMs to a backup job. The problem can also occur if you perform host-level backups, but the backup software isn't configured to automatically detect and protect new VMs.
Although I've never seen this problem happen, I've heard stories of Hyper-V VMs failing during backup on high-density hosts. The reason why this happens is because there are some Hyper-V VMs that have to be briefly placed into a saved state in order to be backed up. This is especially true for VMs that are running an OS that doesn't support Hyper-V Integration Services.
If a neighboring VM is configured to use dynamic memory, then it's theoretically possible for such a VM to claim some of the VM's memory while it's in a saved state. When the VM is taken out of the saved state, there might not be enough memory space available for the VM to start.
What are some other common issues with VM backups, and how can they be overcome?


This module is part of the Attention and Memory: Volume I CD.
It is available as a separate CD.
High Level Attention is the core group of exercises in our program for remediation of attention deficits due to attention deficit disorder, traumatic brain injury, and stroke.
Target Audience: Appropriate for ages 7-Adult for ADD/ADHD, Mild TBI, K–Adult, Frontal lobe syndrome, Executive function disorder, Autism Spectrum.
The tasks provide cognitive rehabilitation for deficits in four types of attention: sustained, alternating, divided, and focused. This CD is appropriate for training: attention, visual perception/processing, and executive function disorders found in Autism, Aphasia, and TBI.
The purpose of Stopwatch is to learn to sustain attention and stop the clock within .15 (fifteen hundredths) of a second from the 10 second goal. This task targets vigilance, sustained attention, and reaction time.
The client establishes the rhythm and internal pacing necessary to sustain attention using visual and auditory cues. In the training level, the computer shows the stopwatch numbers and counts with the client for 10 seconds. At the 10 second level, the computer shows numbers and counts with the client to 5 seconds. The client continues to count aloud, or mentally, and hits the spacebar to stop the clock at 10. The goal is to get as close to the 10 second mark as possible. Once the client is within .15 of a second average over ten trials for three consecutive runs, the level of difficulty can be increased to 15 seconds. To pass the 15 second level the client should average .20 (20/100 ths) over three consecutive trials of 10 runs each.
The goal of Catch of the Day is to improve visual scanning and identification as the complexity of the visual field increases. It may be used to train compensatory strategies for hemianopsia and left side neglect. There are thirteen levels of difficulty.
Visually scan the field and find the 3 hidden numbers. There are always three numbers to find. The numbers are between 1-9. The goal is to find the numbers as quickly as possible. Goal: at levels 1-8 < 10 seconds; at levels 9-10 < 20 seconds average. Improve your clients' working memory by requiring them to find all three numbers and type them in, instead of clicking on each number as they find it.
The goal of Stoplight is to improve shifting attention skills; train sustained, alternating, and divided attention and reaction time. This game can be helpful in determining driving readiness. This is the most important of all the games for improving speed of information processing.
Small Yellow = Stop (Use Key J or 1) (The light is now yellow and far away. By the time you get there it will be red, so Stop).
Begin at the training levels to learn stop and go alone (i.e. red/green only). Then practice the yellow lights alone. When finger manipulation of stop and go is satisfactory, play the game using all elements for decision making. Move to a faster level when the Avg. % correct for 10 trials is 86% or higher. Keep playing until the score at .5 (1/2 a second per light) is 69% or better.
The goal of Hoops is to utilize planning and high-level reasoning skills to rebuild a stack of hoops. Teach the concept of "What do I need to do next?". The game includes four levels of difficulty for practicing higher order thinking skills.
The client will move a stack of hoops from peg 1 to either peg 2 or 3. Only one hoop can be moved at a time. Only smaller hoops can go on top of larger hoops. A finished stack has large hoops on the bottom and the smallest hoop on the top. The goals are speed and accuracy.
The goal of Stimulus Field Attention Training is to improve shifting of visual attention for rapid processing of an iconic stimuli. Clients must "learn to wait." Stimuli presentation can be set to be predictable or unpredictable.
For Levels 1, 2 and Complex, two stimuli are displayed. The client responds to the presentation of two matching stimuli by pressing the spacebar or clicking the mouse. In Level 1, play using the default tempo until the client has attained an 85% correct response rate for three consecutive trials, then use the Tempo option button to decrease the length of the interval between stimulus displays. When the client is successful at the .7 second interval, move on to Level 2.
Level 2 starts with an interval of 3 seconds and a stimulus display time of .7 seconds. The objective is to increase the interval (when nothing occurs) to 15 seconds. Some clients may have difficulty with the default interval. For these clients, pick a short interval and move to longer intervals when the client can tolerate the interval and is not making extra hits or exhibiting inattentive behavior.
When the client has successfully completed Levels 1 and 2 move to the Complex level. In this level, neither the stimulus length nor the interval length is fixed. They vary within the tempo and interval parameters that are chosen by the clinician in the menu bar. The default tempo is 5 seconds and the default interval is also 5 seconds. Adjust the tempo and interval to allow your client to practice controlling impulsivity and waiting patiently. Continue playing until the client has mastered these skills.
Once the basic exercise is mastered, the background, target, and distractor can be chosen to add difficulty to the exercise and train specific attention deficits.
Match Ups! is a visual memory/verbal rehearsal game of concentration. The Choose Picture Cards allows the client to practice matching road signs, letters, faces and more.
The clinician assists the client in choosing one of the four levels. The client then turns over one card by clicking on it with the mouse. The client hears the object labeled, observes the picture/symbol on the card, and tries to recall where they have seen a matching card. When the client clicks on their choice the card will turn over. If the cards match they will disappear from the screen after 3 seconds. If they do not match they will be turned over when the client chooses the next card or clicks on the arrow key at the bottom left corner of the screen. The client may hear the object labeled again by clicking on the picture. The client continues to uncover pictures and find matching pairs until all of the matches have been found. The client is then given the option of choosing a skill level and playing another game. The cards are automatically reshuffled unless the client chooses to play the same game over by clicking on the replay button.


text:
Home Africa News
Africa: The United States and Africa
by anthony fleishman
in Africa News
documentBy Antony J. Blinken, Secretary of StateAbuja — Good morning, everyone. Thank you very much, Vice President Koroma. Thank you for the very kind introduction, but thank you especially for your leadership here at ECOWAS – not just today, but every single day. And it's very good to be here at ECOWAS, which makes vital contributions across the region to economic integration, security, democracy, climate, health, and more.And it's great to be back in Abuja on, indeed, my first trip to sub-Saharan Africa as U.S. Secretary of State.The "Giant of Africa" is an apt nickname for Nigeria, because this country looms large.Your strengths are undeniable – a dynamic democracy, a robust economy, and a very powerful civil society.The challenges you face are undeniable as well – including the disruption and insecurity caused by terrorism and armed groups.Then there's Nigeria's cultural influence.People everywhere listen to afrobeats; they read Wole Soyinka and Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie; they watch Nollywood movies; they cheer for Nigerian athletes; they eat jollof rice. (Laughter.)Now, I know there's a fierce rivalry among West African countries about who makes the best jollof – well, I'm a diplomat, so I'm going to steer very clear of that one. (Laughter.)But in short, what happens here in Nigeria is felt around the world.And that – in a nutshell – is why I've come to Abuja.The United States knows that, on most of the urgent challenges and opportunities we face, Africa will make the difference. We can't achieve our goals around the world – whether that's ending the COVID-19 pandemic, building a strong and inclusive global economy, combating the climate crisis, or revitalizing democracy and defending human rights – without the leadership of African governments, institutions, and citizens.Countries like Nigeria are not just global leaders, they are increasingly prominent around the world beyond this region, and they're deserving of a prominent seat wherever the most consequential issues are discussed.Institutions like the African Union, ECOWAS, SADC, IGAD should play a larger role – and they should have a greater voice in global debates.The United States firmly believes that it's time to stop treating Africa as a subject of geopolitics – and start treating it as the major geopolitical player it has become.The facts speak for themselves.This is a continent of young people – energized, innovative, hungry for jobs and opportunity. By 2025, more than half the population of Africa will be under age 25. By the year 2050, one in four people on Earth will be African. And Nigeria will surpass the United States as the third most populous country in the world.Africa is poised to become one of the world's most important economic regions. When the 54-country African Continental Free Trade Area is fully implemented, it will comprise the fifth-largest economic bloc in the world, representing a huge source of jobs, consumers, innovation, and power to shape the global economy.As we work to end the COVID-19 pandemic and strengthen global health security, we must work closely with the countries of Africa to build public health systems here that can prevent, detect, and respond to future emergencies – because as these past two years have taught us, none of us are completely protected unless all of us are protected.As the urgency of the climate crisis grows, our focus will increasingly be on Africa – to solve an emergency that threatens our collective security, our economies, and our health. Here, where the potential for renewable energy is greater than anywhere else on the planet, we see not only the stakes of this crisis but also – also its solutions.At this moment of testing for democracy around the world, we see across Africa a microcosm of what democracies can achieve – as well as the challenges that they must overcome.And as we debate how to govern the use of technologies to ensure they strengthen democracies – not undermine them – the choices that governments, industries, and innovators make here will affect people's rights and freedoms everywhere for a long time to come.For all these reasons and more, I believe Africa will shape the future – and not just the future of the African people but of the world.That's why I'm here this week, visiting three countries that are democracies, engines of economic growth, climate leaders, drivers of innovation.We've just come from Kenya, where we announced a new initiative to help more people get vaccinated against COVID-19; committed for the first time to join negotiations on a global agreement to combat ocean plastic pollution; and launched a project with National Geographic to empower young people across Africa fighting against the climate crisis.Here in Nigeria, we marked the signing of a $2.1 billion development assistance agreement that supports our collaboration in the fundamentals: in health, in education, agriculture, good governance. Later today, I'll visit the "Innov8" start-up hub, to meet some of the inventors and founders who embody Nigeria's entrepreneurial drive.And then in Senegal, I will join four U.S. companies signing agreements to collaborate with the Senegalese Government on infrastructure projects; visit the Institut Pasteur de Dakar, which is working toward COVID vaccine production with American support and investment; and meet with women tech and business leaders, because women are a powerful force for growth and innovation – in Senegal and everywhere.My trip reflects the breadth and depth of our partnerships in Africa – how we're working together to find innovative solutions to new challenges, and how we're investing in long-term sources of strength, rather than short-term fixes.Now, I know I'm hardly the first American secretary of state to come to Africa and promise different and better engagement. Too many times, the countries of Africa have been treated as junior partners – or worse – rather than equal ones. Too often, we ask our partners to help uphold and defend an international system that they don't feel fully reflects their needs and aspirations. And we're sensitive to centuries of colonialism, slavery, exploitation that have left painful legacies that endure today.I also know that many countries across the region are wary of the strings that come with more engagement, and fear that in a world of sharper rivalries among major powers, countries will be forced to choose. So I want to be clear – the United States doesn't want to limit your partnerships with other countries. We want to make your partnerships with us even stronger. We don't want to make you choose. We want to give you choices.Together, we can deliver real benefits to our people, on the issues that matter most to them.To start, here today I want to address five areas of common interest: global health, the climate crisis, inclusive economic growth, democracy, and peace and security.First, we must end the COVID-19 pandemic and "build back better" before the next global health emergency.The United States is making good on our commitment to provide COVID vaccines to the world.This week, we hit a new milestone: 250 million doses delivered worldwide. By next spring, that number will be well over 1 billion donated doses. We've also announced that we'll significantly ramp up our vaccine manufacturing capacity, to meet global need.We've provided more than 50 million doses to 43 African countries, and more are on the way – all of this – all of this with no political strings attached.We've given more than $1.9 billion in COVID-related assistance, for urgent needs like emergency food and other humanitarian support.And the new public-private partnership, the Global COVID Corps, will connect American businesses with countries that need logistical help with the so-called "last mile" – turning vaccine doses into actual shots in arms.Kenya will be the first country to partner with the Global COVID Corps, and we plan for it to be the first of many.We're following the lead of the African Union. When the numbers of vaccines coming to Africa didn't come close to meeting the need, the African Union stepped forward. It made a plan to buy and distribute doses – and the United States supported it.We're also supporting countries like South Africa and Senegal in their work to manufacture vaccines themselves, and we want to invest more in efforts like these, because increasing vaccine production in Africa makes it easier to distribute them, which saves lives.Likewise, the Africa CDC has been a vital partner throughout the pandemic. And we hope other regions will see the success of the Africa CDC and create their own centers for disease control, because a global network of regional CDCs would put the world on stronger footing for the future.This pandemic has revealed how vulnerable all of us are. We have to seize the opportunity to strengthen global health security. On this, the United States and the countries of Africa are uniquely well-positioned to lead, because we've spent decades working together to improve health across the continent.PEPFAR, for example, has saved millions of lives, brought the world to the edge of the first AIDS-free generation – and transformed public health infrastructure, including here in Nigeria, where the investments we made years ago in labs and clinics formed the backbone of this nation's COVID response.We know how to do this work together. Let's take on the challenge of global health security – for the sake of our countries and countries around the world that will be safer if we act and we lead.Second, we have to step up our response to the climate crisis.Its catastrophic impacts are evident across the continent – in drought, deforestation, failing crops, floods, advancing deserts, food insecurity, competition for resources, economic losses, migration. Lake Chad was a vital source of water, food, livelihoods for people for centuries. Now it's almost gone – shrunk to one-twentieth the size that it was 60 years ago. If you look at the satellite photographs, they're dramatic.And the fact that Africa is bearing this burden despite being responsible for only a small fraction of the emissions that caused the crisis in the first place makes it critical that developed countries – including the United States – do much more to support Africa against this threat.Now, a few weeks ago, President Biden launched the President's Emergency Plan for Adaptation and Resilience. He'll work with our Congress to allocate $3 billion every year by 2024 to finance climate adaptation projects around the world. It's the largest commitment ever made by the United States to reduce the impact of climate change on those most endangered by it.As part of this plan, we will support the Africa Adaptation Initiative – launched by heads of state across Africa six years ago – and especially their accelerator program, which aims to plan and finance infrastructure that's energy-efficient and resilient to climate change.We'll continue our work with the African Union and other regional partners on climate-smart investments in agriculture, protecting forests, and improving climate education.And to reduce emissions – while also creating jobs and increasing access to affordable energy – the United States and our partners across Africa are making major strides in clean energy.Through our Power Africa program, we've connected more than 25 million homes and businesses across the continent to electricity, 80 percent of which is based on renewables. We're helping advance the Mega Solar partnership to develop Africa's largest solar farm – a joint project by Botswana and Namibia, along with international finance institutions. Our own Development Finance Corporation supports renewable energy across Africa, including a solar project here in Nigeria, wind farms in Senegal and Kenya.These ventures could be just the start of our partnerships in so-called "green tech" – the industries and infrastructure of a low-carbon, climate-resilient future – everything from solar panels to electric bikes and cars to sustainable shipping.It's a huge opportunity to boost economic competitiveness, to strengthen supply-chain resilience, to create jobs, to drive innovation.Just look at what Nigeria has done in "financial tech" – with electronic payments, cryptocurrency, digital banking. And imagine what we could achieve together in building our green economic future.Vanessa Nakate, the Ugandan climate activist, gave an urgent plea in Glasgow last week to world leaders, when she said that young people don't believe our climate promises anymore."Prove us wrong," she urged. Well, let's meet that challenge together.Third, we must build a more stable and inclusive global economy.The COVID-19 pandemic is not only a health crisis; it 's an economic crisis as well. We must rebuild – and we must build back better.The United States has supported Africa's economic resilience throughout the pandemic – for example, by backing the suspension of debt for 32 African countries to date and getting more capital flowing to your economies.Looking ahead, we want to help create the kind of opportunity that doesn't benefit only the well-off but creates good jobs for people at every income level and lays the foundation for more inclusive and environmentally sustainable growth for years to come.That's why we admire the African Union's Green Recovery Action Plan, particularly its emphasis on climate finance.The Prosper Africa initiative aims to increase two-way trade and investment. Our Africa Growth and Opportunity Act – known as AGOA – provides duty-free access to American markets, and we're working to make sure African countries take full advantage of it.We welcome the African Continental Free Trade Area, because we want to see Africa's economic power in the world grow. More consumers should gain access to African goods and services. More jobs must be created for Africa's young people – the global workforce of the future.And together, we can help shape the rules of the world economy – to ensure that the benefits of trade are widely shared and do a better job of protecting our workers, our innovation, and our planet. The Global Minimum Tax, which 130 countries have agreed to, is a strong step in the right direction; it will raise billions in revenues for countries and end the global race to the bottom that had corporations moving from one place to another to pay as little in taxes as they could.Finally, our commitment to inclusive growth is behind our Build Back Better World initiative, which aims to help close the global infrastructure gap.The need is staggering – it'll cost trillions of dollars a year to close that gap. But we have to act, because infrastructure needs are holding back growth and opportunity in too many places. By meeting those needs, we can improve people's lives, strengthen economies, and protect the planet at the same time.Now, just as important as the "what" is the "how."Our approach will be sustainable, it will be transparent, it will be values-driven.We want to create local jobs and benefit local communities. We support anti-corruption and transparency measures, so leaders and citizens can evaluate whether deals made on their behalf really are worth it. And we want to protect workers and the environment.Too often, international infrastructure deals are opaque, coercive; they burden countries with unmanageable debt; they're environmentally destructive; they don't always benefit the people who actually live there.We will do things differently.Now, anyone who spends time in Lagos, the Western Cape, Nairobi, knows that optimism, innovation, and the sheer drive of people across Africa, especially young people, is plain to see.Americans know something about that kind of ambition and that kind of ingenuity.That's why I think we're natural economic partners – and why we should take our engagement much further.Fourth, we must strengthen democracy.This is a critical moment.Authoritarianism is on the rise around the world. Technology is being used to silence dissent and prosecute citizens – and democracies must answer the call to fight back against disinformation, stand up for internet freedom, reduce the misuse of surveillance technology, establish standards of responsible conduct in cyberspace.Meanwhile, governments are becoming less transparent. Corruption is growing. In many places, elections are flashpoints for violence. And the pandemic has accelerated many of these trends.We see this happening across Africa – leaders ignoring term limits, rigging or postponing elections, exploiting social grievances to gain and maintain power, arresting opposition figures, cracking down on the media, and allowing security services to enforce pandemic restrictions with brutality.Many Africans are now living under at least partially authoritarian governments.And militaries have taken over civilian governments four times this year; that's the highest number in four decades.There are good news stories about democracy in Africa, too.Niger, which had its first-ever peaceful transfer of power this year. Or Zambia, where the opposition party won elections, something few believed would be allowed to happen. Citizens there woke up long before dawn, some sleeping all night at polling stations, to make sure that they could vote. And even in places where democracy is under duress, it's inspiring to see people courageously raising their voices and calling for change – like the citizens marching in the streets in cities across Sudan to restore the civilian-led transition.Still, the recession of democracy in many places in Africa cannot be denied. And it is not – it is not the will of the people. Survey after survey in countries across the continent show that the people of Africa – be they Ghanaian or Zambian or Ugandan or Tanzanian – support democracy.When given the choice between multiparty elections or strong-man rule, one-party states, or military control, they choose multiparty elections.That makes it all the more important that leaders show leadership and stop the democratic backsliding that is wiping away their citizens' aspirations.Now, I want to emphasize that democratic backsliding is not just an African problem. It's a global problem. My own country is struggling with threats to our democracy. And the solutions to those threats will come as much from Africa as from anywhere.We need countries from every part of the world to share best practices, to make public pledges, to hold each other accountable. And we need to show how democracies can deliver what citizens want, quickly and effectively. When we fail to do that, people lose their trust in the democratic model, and that fuels the arguments that authoritarian governments make – that their system is better.Now, that's exactly the idea behind the Summit for Democracy that President Biden will host next month, and we very much look forward to Nigeria's participation. Sign up for free AllAfrica Newsletters Get the latest in African news delivered straight to your inbox Together, we must vow to fight what former President Obama called "the cancer of corruption," which drains billions of dollars from economies while undermining people's dignity and gutting their faith in the system.We have to protect free and flourishing civil societies, which give citizens a peaceful means to express grievances and to push for change.And we have to relentlessly defend human rights, which are the foundation of free, just, and stable societies.Americans and Africans share a yearning to live in places where their rights are respected, their voices are heard, their governments answer to them and deliver for them. Working together, we can support democracy, in our countries and around the world.Fifth, we must advance lasting security and peace.We know that instability and insecurity are at the top of nearly every Nigerian's mind. The same can be said for people in Ethiopia, Somalia, Mozambique, Cameroon, Mali, Niger, and other countries across the continent. The threats posed by violent extremists, by criminals, internal armed conflict – these threats are very real, and so present in people's lives. So is their potential to destabilize nations and regions, to undermine development, to ignite humanitarian disasters.Part of the answer is effective and professional security forces and local law enforcement that can protect citizens while respecting human rights. And many of our partners across Africa want to build their capacities in these areas.But tackling the root causes of conflict is just as important – maybe even more important. Not everything can be solved with more or better-equipped armed forces. And attempts to address violent extremism have at times had the perverse effect of violating people's rights, contributing to grievances, and furthering cycles of violence.We urge governments to contribute to and commit to criminal justice and security sector approaches that respect rights, as well as greater accountability for abuses, which is critical for earning the public's trust.We think we can achieve better results in confronting insecurity if we work together to expand economic opportunity, especially for young people and others who might be drawn into criminal activity out of desperation, out of a feeling that they have no other choice.And to resolve conflicts, we stand ready to support swift and sustained diplomacy with national leaders; with regional organizations; with international allies and partners' citizens – including women, who must always be at the table when peace is negotiated; and also with international institutions, including the United Nations.That's what's happening right now with the crises and conflicts in Ethiopia, Sudan, and Somalia. African leaders and institutions have stepped up to steer the diplomatic response. African diplomats are leading engagement at the United Nations, the World Trade Organization, the African Development Bank. The United States is using our diplomacy in all the ways we can to support these efforts.So I've covered a little bit of ground. But everything I've said can be boiled down to this: the United States wants to strengthen our partnerships across Africa in ways that serve your interests, our interests, and the interests of people worldwide whose lives and futures depend in part on what we can achieve together.And as a sign of our commitment to our partnerships across the continent, President Biden intends to host the U.S.-Africa Leaders Summit to drive the kind of high-level diplomacy and engagement that can transform relationships and make effective cooperation possible.I said at the start that Africa is a continent of young people. I've met a few of them on this trip. Many of the issues I've mentioned today will help unleash their potential, by creating new opportunities for them to lead, to learn, to build careers, to serve their communities, to achieve their dreams.One of my favorite examples of partnership between the United States and Africa is YALI – the Young African Leaders Initiative. It creates educational exchanges and networking opportunities for extraordinary young people across Africa. I've been lucky enough to meet with many YALI fellows and alumni – and I always walk away dazzled.They're starting social enterprises, helping people get vaccinated, studying agriculture and counseling at-risk teenagers, working in governments and writing for newspapers, creating art and using it to forge connections in Africa and around the world.They are – quite simply – unstoppable.Our charge now is to take a page from their book.Let's channel their optimism and their energy as we meet today's challenges and opportunities together.Let's build the future that young people in all of our countries want and deserve.Thank you so very much for listening. (Applause.)
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Ninth Circuit Opinion on Terry Frisk
In United States v. I.E.V., a Juvenile Male, the Ninth Circuit reiterated the parameters of a frisk pursuant to a Terry stop. The facts of the case involved a male (juvenile) passenger of a car which was detained due to an alert by a drug-sniffing dog. The officers didn't find that the boys in the car were either threatening or likely to flee. Nonetheless, an officer testified that he found the juvenile to be "nervous" and "fidgety" and so both boys were patted down. An officer felt an object under the juvenile's shirt, lifted his shirt without permission, and discovered a brick of marijuana. The juvenile defendant appealed the district court's denial of his motion to suppress the marijuana found under his shirt.
The Ninth Circuit concluded that the police officers had no particularized suspicions directed at the unthreatening defendant to justify the Terry frisk at its inception; the searching officer exceeded the lawful scope of the frisk by lif…
Deliberately running red light can result in conviction for assault with deadly weapon
This week the California Court of Appeal concluded that a driver who deliberately races through a red light at a busy intersection and collides with another vehicle, causing injury to another, can be convicted of assault with a deadly weapon. "Assault with a deadly weapon requires proof of an intentional act committed with knowledge of facts that would lead a reasonable person to realize that physical force would be applied to another as a direct and probable consequence of that act." Drivers beware!
The Case is: People v. Aznavoleh, ____ Cal.App.4th ____, ____ Cal.Rptr.3d ____, 2012 D.A.R. 15249 (2nd Dist. 2012) November 06, 2012 (B231434)
Size of medical marijuana collective doesn't bar defendant from introducing MMPA defense
Defendant's conviction for sale and possession of marijuana was reversed and remanded where the trial court erred in disallowing the defendant from offering his defense under the Medical Marijuana Program Act (MMPA), with respect to distribution to patients who associated for the purpose of collectively cultivating marijuana. Contrary to the trial court's ruling, the large membership of defendant's collective, very few of whom participated in the actual cultivation process, did not as a matter of law prevent defendant from presenting an MMPA defense.
The case is People v. Jackson, Cal.App.4th, Oct 24, 2012 (D058988).
San Francisco Mayor Lee's Stop-and-Frisk Policy: A Legal & Statistical Review
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The Supreme Court of the United States held in Terry v. Ohio that police may briefly detain a person if they have reasonable suspicion that the person is, or is about to be engaged in criminal activity. When police additionally have reasonable suspicion that the person may be armed, they may "frisk" them for weapons; this includes a limited search of the suspect's outer garments for weapons, but not for contraband, like drugs. This is known as a "stop and frisk." If the officer uncovers further evidence during the frisk, the stop may lead to an arrest, but if no further evidence is found, the person is releas…
Is possession with intent to distribute a "substantial step" towards committing a crime, thereby establishing federal venue?
On July 16, 2012, the U.S. 9th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled in United States v. Pariseau that possession with intent to distribute qualifies as a substantial step towards the commission of a crime; therefore, it established federal venue in the district where the crime began.
Two cases from other circuits have addressed this issue directly: United States v. Muhammad, 502 F.3d 646 (7th Cir. 2007) and United States v. Zidell, 323 F.3d 412 (6th Cir. 2003). Both cases affirmed venue on the principle that possession with intent to distribute is a continuing crime, and venue is proper wherever the crime began, continued or was completed. 18 U.S.C. § 3237(a).
It was held in United States v. Scott, 767 F.2d 1308, 1312 (9th Cir. 1985) that prior conduct may "be of such a nature that a reasonable observer, viewing it in context, could conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that it was undertaken in accordance with a design to violate the underlying statute."
In United States v. Pariseau, the de…
When do prior convictions become final for federal sentencing purposes?
On June 22, 2012, the U.S. 9th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled in United States v. Suarez that upon successfully completing California's deferred entry of judgment program, that conviction cannot be subsequently used in a later federal sentencing for a California drug charge.
As held in People v. Mazurette, 14 P.3d 277, 230 (Cal.2001), if a defendant successfully completes a rehabilitation program, the charges against him would be dismissed. This is done because it has been found that most nonviolent drug offenders could benefit much more from treatment and education than from jail and a criminal record. California's deferred entry of judgment ("DEJ") allows such an alternative, as it permits eligible defendants to be diverted out of the criminal court and into a drug rehabilitation program.
Here, the 9th Circuit held in that when a plea never ripens into a final judgment or a legally cognizable sentence, there is no "final" prior conviction for purposes of later drug charge sentenci…
Does An Employee Who Uses a Work Computer for Non Business Purposes Commit a Federal Crime?
On April 10, 2012, an en banc panel of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals limited the application of the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act ("CFAA"), 18 U.S.C. § 1030, to violations of restrictions in accessing information, i.e. "hacking," rather than criminalizing violations of restrictions on use of information obtained through authorized access of a computer.
In United States v. Nosal, an ex-employee of an executive recruiting firm was prosecuted on the theory that he persuaded current company employees of the company to access the company's proprietary database and provide him with information in violation of corporate computer-use policy, presumably to start a competing business. The government claimed that the violation of this private policy was a violation of the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act (CFAA). Following a decision issued in 2009 by the Ninth Circuit, the district court ruled that violations of corporate policy are not equivalent to violations of federal computer crime la…
US Superme Court case update
The United States Supreme Court, led by Judge Scalia, ruled that a federal district court had the discretion to order that defendant's federal sentence run concurrently to the anticipated, but not yet imposed, state court sentence. This was Sester v. United States, March 28, 2012; 10-7387.
For assistance with federal sentencing and related issues, contact the attorneys at Campbell & Jayne LLP at: http://www.bayarea-criminaldefense.com/.
U.S. Supreme Court Rules Installation & Monitoring of GPS Tracking Device on Suspect's Vehicle Constitutes a Search
The United States Supreme Court ruled unanimously this past January that attaching a GPS device to suspect's car constitutes a search within the meaning of the Fourth Amendment, and thus requires a valid search warrant. The case, United States v. Jones, arose when the Washington D.C. police department installed a GPS device on Mr. Jones' car as part of a drug trafficking investigation. They tracked his movements for almost a month, ultimately leading them to a stash house in Maryland containing nearly 100 kilos of cocaine and $1 million.
A trial court convicted Jones and sentenced him to life in prison. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit reversed, finding that the police's gathering of evidence after its warrant for the GPS tracking device had expired violated the Fourth Amendment. Once before the Supreme Court, the justices faced the question of what constitutes reasonable privacy rights in the digital era.
The opinion by Justice Antonin Scalia – joined by Roberts, Kenn…
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San Francisco Mayor Lee's Stop-and-Frisk Policy: A...
Is possession with intent to distribute a "substan...
When do prior convictions become final for federal...
Does An Employee Who Uses a Work Computer for Non ...
U.S. Supreme Court Rules Installation & Monitoring...


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Epidendrum pachydiscum är en orkidéart som beskrevs av Eric Hágsater. Epidendrum pachydiscum ingår i släktet Epidendrum och familjen orkidéer.

Artens utbredningsområde är Peru. Inga underarter finns listade i Catalogue of Life.

Källor

Orkidéer
pachydiscum


Legendary jazz musician Oliver Mtukudzi' who already has 66 albums under his belt, is ready to give fans his 67th offering that is packed with "life lessons and an Oliver sound".
The 65-year-old said the most significant thing about his upcoming album' Hanya'Ga (Concern) was the message.
"My 67th album is meant to share a message of introspecting and I'm hoping people learn a thing or two from it. It's an album I wrote last year after I realised that the world keeps getting tangled up in 'unnecessary' problems. All because we are focused on competing and being better than the next person.
Mtukudzi said that he learnt to play the guitar by experimenting and even though professional guitarists once laughed at his experiments' it has stood him in good stead.
Oliver said that words from his mother about what makes great music always inspires him to do better.
Mtukudzi added that his music always carries the theme of self-discipline.


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alter table SEC_USER add CHANGE_PASSWORD_AT_LOGON tinyint^

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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


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Aldersgate Commons
Inside an Aldersgate Apartment
Student Staff
Glide-Crawford Residence Hall
Johnson Residence Hall
Kresge Residence Hall
Trustees Residence Hall
Off-Campus and Non-Traditional Housing
Resources & Handbooks
Student Life Staff
Aldersgate's name is an homage to the Aldersgate community in London, England, where John Wesley (the father of Methodism) once experienced an intensely spiritual, life-altering encounter with God. As he described it, "I felt my heart strangely warmed. I felt I did trust in Christ, Christ alone for salvation; and an assurance was given me that He had taken away my sins, even mine, and saved me from the law of sin and death."
Asbury University's Aldersgate complex is comprised of six apartment-style buildings, as well as the Spanish and Kenyon Houses. This living environment offers an opportunity for students to participate in a smaller community where they may get to know one another very well, and be known themselves. That happens through shared meals, study sessions, downtime together, targeted opportunities to grow spiritually, and a myriad of other activities.
Living in Aldersgate also provides students with ample opportunities to develop as servant leaders. And intentional service projects each semester, both on campus and in the local community, are another important element of Aldersgate life. We welcome upperclassmen to join our Aldersgate community and believe this unique residential experience will be a transformative feature in their life stories.
In Aldersgate Commons, you will find yourself truly at home in a fellowship that respects who you are as an individual, supports you in your studies, encourages you toward deeper intimacy with our holy and living Lord, and welcomes you to participate in a dynamic, life-enriching community as you learn to live out God's call upon your life.
The Resident Director (RD)
The Resident Assistants (RAs)
Faculty Hold Terminal Degrees
More than 80% of Asbury's full-time faculty have terminal degrees.