text:
Diary of a mothering worker. April 13, 2018.
Posted by grrlscene under momentous trivialities: diary of a mothering worker | Tags: CAISO, constitution, end homophobia, Equal Opportunity Commission, equality, freedom, Friends for Life, I am OneTT, IGDS, Jason Jones, Jones v TT, Justice Devindra Rampersad, LBGTI human rights, right to family, right to privacy, Sexual Offences Act, Silver Lining Foundation, Trinidad and Tobago, Womantra, Women's Caucus |
An attuned ear hears a shackle when it falls. It's a surreal sound, when an instrument of inhumanity hits the ground broken, clanging with its iron weight of history. Instinctively listen for the heart-piercing exultations of emotion that echo out powerfully. Also be stopped still by a black hole of quiet horror that you may yet again hear that shackle clink close around a human body.
If the pores on your skin raised, as did mine when I heard Justice Devindra Rampersad's judgment on Thursday, it's because I never anticipated that a shackle's fall could sound and feel like the force of a supernova when it collapses, its vibration sheer disintegrating your heart, leaving you in breathless tremors and shaking tears.
The boldness of the judgment and the interval of freedom it created for the first time in hundreds of years, like a slash in colonial space-time continuum, can't be anything but celebrated.
There are thousands of bodies in the nation which had been existing in fear, shame and silence and which, for the first time, felt included, protected and free. It is like the future time-traveled and arrived to rock the vibrational field of the present, in a way so many citizens dared to dream, but despaired they wouldn't live to see.
Justice Rampersad's judgment in Jones v TT ruled that Sections 13 and 16 of the Sexual Offences Act, which criminalize buggery, or acts of anal sex, and same-sex genital touching, are unconstitutional. He held that the "savings clause", which retains the legality of colonial law despite our republican status, doesn't apply. This is because, in 1986, the Sexual Offences Act was repealed and "replaced", thus creating new, post-1976 law.
Also new law was created with the unprecedented extension of penalties for buggery from 5 years to 25 years and creation of a new prohibition, titled "serious indecency", and explicitly meant to criminalise lesbianism for the first time (by legislating that only men could have sexual access to women). In other words, this is new law, not simply a re-enactment and continuity from 1925.
Second, he argued that even if the savings clause could hold, its intention was to continue and preserve protections of citizens' rights in the move from colonial subjection to independent nationhood, not deny rights, discriminate or victimize. In this case, relying on the savings clause as justification goes against its spirit.
Additionally, he agreed that Jason Jones' right to privacy was denied, observing that such privacy had not been conceptualized in early colonial law, but was now an accepted ideal. Use of the savings clause to deny that right again defies its intention.
Regarding the Act itself, its violation of Sections 4 and 5 of the constitution were already acknowledged by parliament in 1986. It is possible to infringe upon individuals' constitutional rights, under Section 13 of the constitution, but the burden is on the parliament to fully justify its necessity, which it has not done. Passage of legislation by 3/5 majority, however procedurally legitimate, isn't enough. Religious or majority view and public opinion isn't enough. Political expediency is far short of enough in the face of signed international conventions and global and liberalizing standards of dignity, decency, equality and human rights. Claiming parliamentary prerogative isn't enough, or might be enough in Britain where no constitution exists so parliamentary law is highest authority, but not in Trinidad and Tobago where the constitution should be supreme.
In other words, Jah bless our republican status and the possibilities for future-facing Caribbean jurisprudence. Why rely on British law when we have our own constitution? Why still carry habits of prisoners when we are freed from such imprisonment?
Without the savings clause as a defense, the 1986 Act was always unconstitutional and unjustified, and unreasonably and arbitrarily denied rights to privacy, family, intimacy and equality to all citizens and couples. Its legitimacy was founded on its own fiction and presumptions, like the emperor with no clothes.
To write that race, colour, gender, age or sexual orientation is not all that encompasses a person's soul nor their value to society or themselves is to wield something other than the master's tools to dismantle the master's house. This is the ultimate dream of Caribbean emancipation.
For this to occur in real life and in our generation is overwhelmingly beautiful, and feels cosmically huge. On appeal, we hope the disturbing metallic edge of manacles, re-clasped on those who call for our love, is not something we have to hear. To them, do not turn a deaf ear.


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A TUSCAN CHILDHOOD
by Kinta Beevor ‧ RELEASE DATE: April 8, 1999
A thoroughly charming memoir of a childhood in Italy between the world wars. The English have always loved Italy, especially Tuscany. Nourished by romantic visions and illusions, they—ve flocked there to buy up large tracts of land and working farms. Aubrey Waterfield, the artist, was one of many such. He purchased La Fortezza della Brunella, an imposing 16th-century castle set on a hill, in 1916. With him he brought his wife, son John, and five-year-old daughter Carinthia (who became Kinta Beevor). Their Anglo-American coterie included only the very best of families and such luminaries as Bernard Berenson and D.H. Lawrence. The children were more fascinated, though, by their father's fanciful "garden in the sky," a splendid Eden perched on the castle's roof. The castle—from its immense kitchen and sumptuous odors to the legend of a massacred garrison still haunting the place—became the focal point of life. By her own admission, Beevor's childhood was formed more by her contact with the locals and an imperious aunt than with her mother. Humorous, witty, and insightful comments abound here on the cultural differences separating the English and the Italians: e.g., regarding personal relationships, the rearing of children, and the preparation and consumption of food. Speaking of her parents, the late Beevor (who died in 1995) writes, "They had all of the luxuries of life but none of the necessities . . . they seldom had money for those things that their relations considered the basis of civilized life." Reflecting on the Italians, she observes (as have many others): "Fundamentally, the Italian wants to give pleasure." And: "The Italians, unlike the Germans, were saved from the worst effects of ideology by their own cynicism about politics and the press," though the author does detail the cruel barbarism of the Fascists and Nazis during WWII. The nostalgic, enchanting book closes on a note of infinite sadness in remembering a way of life now lost. (32 pages b&w photos, not seen)
Publisher: Pantheon
Categories: GENERAL NONFICTION | BIOGRAPHY & MEMOIR

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


WPP-owned BDG/McColl and retail specialist Section D have formed a working agreement and are engaging in joint projects. The acquisition of Section D by WPP has not been ruled out.
BDG/McColl new business manager Susan Williamson confirms that the two groups have been talking about establishing a relationship for "about a year".
"We have complementary skills and are interested in the same sort of projects," she says. Section D is a small Harrogate consultancy which places emphasis on research and strategic thinking, while BDG/McColl is a big organisation with the ability to implement major projects.
Williamson says the two groups have already embarked on joint projects, but is keeping details under wraps. Although Section D traditionally sticks to retail work, Williamson describes that sector as "blurring at the edges".
The exact nature of any long-term relationship is still under discussion.
BDG/McColl chairman Stephen Hitchins was among several WPP staff present at the launch of Section D's latest retail sector report in London last week, suggesting that the relationship between the consultancies has become a strong one. "We find Section D culturally compatible," says Williamson.
Section D's third retail report explores the challenges facing retailers. Consultancy director Bob Stansfield says even retailers such as Boots and Marks & Spencer could do better in design and service terms.
He says Boots, for example, is well known as a pharmacy and cosmetics chain, and questions why it also sells typewriters.


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Flashback: Snow in Buenos Aires – first time in 89 years
Anthony Watts / July 18, 2009
Flashback: More from the "weather is not climate" department.
NOTE: These are news stories about unusual July weather in Argentina from 2007 which I thought might interest readers. Please note these stories are not from 2009.
Picture: snow falls over the obelisk, in the center of Buenos Aires. From Clarin.
Killer Cold Snap Grips South America
Argentina's capital, Buenos Aires, has seen snow for the first time in 89 years, as a cold snap continues to grip several South American nations.
Temperatures plunged to -22C (-8F) in parts of Argentina's province of Rio Negro, while snow fell on Buenos Aires for several hours on Monday.
From Treehugger:
Snow in Buenos Aires: Was it Global Warming?
"It does not have to do with climate change, though climate change could have cooperated somehow by increasing humidity".
Teleconnection perhaps?
from the BBC:
Buenos Aires sees rare snowfall
Buenos Aires residents came out on the streets to see the snow
Two deaths from exposure were reported in Argentina and one in Chile.
In Bolivia, heavy snowfall blocked the nation's main motorway and forced the closure of several airports.
In Argentina, several provinces in the Andes have been placed under a storm alert, according to the national weather centre.
h/t to Ron de Haan
from Metsul
One of the most important cold spells to affect Southern Brazil in recent times brought record low temperatures, widespread and severe frost as well as snow to the region. On Thursday (July 12th), the state of Rio Grande do Sul was whitened by frost.
The freezing temperature was associated to the same air mass that prompted the first snowfall to the city of Buenos Aires (Argentina) in 89 years. Temperature in the city of Bage, state of Rio Grande do Sul, fell to minus 3,8 degrees Celsius, the lowest since 1955. Nearby, inside Uruguay, the national low in Mercedes was minus 6,6 degrees. At least three Uruguayans died in consequence of the cold temperatures. On Wednesday (July 11th), Porto Alegre, the state capital of Brazil's southernmost state of Rio Grande do Sul, had one of its lowest ever recorded daily highs under clear sky conditions. The high only reached 9 degrees. In the following morning, the city awoke with frost inside the urban heat island, a rare fact not observed since July 14th 2000. The low temperature of 0,3 degree was the lowest since July 14th 2000. In the green areas of southern Porto Alegre, a 1.5 million inhabitants city, frost was intense and even the water has frozen in the ground. At midmorning ice could still be seen over cars parked in the streets.
More from Metsul
July 18, 2009 in Weather.
Major storm to impact the central and eastern US
Snowmageddon warnings in North America come from tropics more than Arctic stratosphere
Another year, and still no increase in severe U.S. tornadoes
← Out of Africa: A new paper by Christy on surface temperature issues
Compelling video: Angry voters confront Congressman who voted for cap and trade →
90 thoughts on "Flashback: Snow in Buenos Aires – first time in 89 years"
M. Simon says:
The high today in Rockford, Illinois is estimated to be 68 F.
Current temp 11:23 AM local time is 65F.
Jimmy Haigh says:
Impossible. Doesn't that Argentinian snow know that the world has never been hotter than it is now?
More from Treehugger:
"… we can speak about 'extreme phenomena' that happen more often. Some examples are the droughts, flooding or the snow at unusual places that accompany the global warming process".
And we wonder why we can't have a serious debate with these people…
Stephen Wilde says:
Snow in Buenos Aires is not in itself significant.
A large area of cold for a long period of time is significant.
The cooling phase of the oceans is coincident with a sun less active than for 100 years.
The air circulation systems are clearly nearer the equator than they were during the recent warming spell.
We can now say that a peak of warming has been passed and we must now wait to see what the Earth has in store for us.
Not a propitious time to engage in climate manipulation.
urederra says:
Ummm…. I recall reading this exact piece of news last year.
Maybe a Deja Vu?
Nope, It did happen two years ago.
http://www.clarin.com/diario/2007/07/09/um/m-01453873.htm
Sorry is in Cervantes' tonge, but you can see the very same pic you use in this blog entry and the newspaper is dated 07 July 2007
http://www.elpais.com/yoperiodista/articulo/Periodista/Republica_Argentina/nieve_en_buenos_aires_congreso_de_la_nacion_argent/Nieve/Buenos/Aires/elpepuyop/20070709elpyop_7/Tes
Here is another one, also in Spanish, dated 10 July 2007
REPLY: Yes, please see the update. I had this on "schedule" intending to come back later and finish it while I'm waiting for a plane at the airport today. But after going to get a shower this AM discovered I had bungled the "schedule" feature and it was actually live. See the update from Metsul.
– Anthony
Janet Rocha says:
Didn't it snow in Buenos Aires last winter ? I think that they now have had two succesive years of snow.
This is news from 2007…
Maybe the way they put their dates mislead you.
REPLY: Please see the update. I had this on "schedule" intending to come back later and finish it while I'm waiting for a plaine at the airport today. But after going to get a shower this AM discovered I had bungled the "schedule" feature and it was actually live. See the update from Metsul.
Ron de Haan says:
This cold spell also effected Brazil.
Anthony, maybe you should add this article to the current posting:
http://www.metsul.com/secoes/visualiza.php?cod_subsecao=32&cod_texto=858
Here is one from the Guardian in English.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2007/jul/10/argentina.weather
Late April's fool, Antony?
Please note that this report was from back in July 2007…
Garacka says:
Doesn't South America have poor temperature sensor coverage?
Then, depending on whether the cold hits key stations that are used to interpolate into the uncovered areas, this cold snap may not get the proper representation. On the other hand, maybe everything is good with the interpolation schemes and we'll see uncovered SA areas cool off on the world temperature color charts
david atlan says:
It seems also to snow here in Europe:
Austria, in some regions roads over mountain passes: compulsory snow chains on cars:
http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20090718_OTS0012
Just for the record, we have seen similar events last year.
Al Gore was right, expect cold in some areas and records to be broken. It's just 70 here in Ky today and expected to get in the 50's tonight. Gore was right, the cold is coming to all places of the earth. It's all caused by CO2 and Global Warming!!!!
STAFFAN LINDSTROEM says:
Well, this was 2 years ago but next Thursday morning something similar MAY
happen…But if the next snowfall after that occurs in 2099…STILL only weather…
pkatt says:
Looks chilly:) Let me just add that to the list of first time in almost 100 year events we have been seeing on the cool side of weather lately.
WAZUP? says:
"BBC: Last Updated: Tuesday, 10 July 2007, 09:27 GMT 10:27 UK "
REPLY: yes, please see the update, this wasn't a finished article and accidentally went live before it was finished. It is finished now. – Anthony
Pasoa says:
Is this a recyled news ? I hear about snow in Buenos Aires just one or two years ago.
Have I stepped back in time?
These articles are from 2007.
REPLY: Please see the update and other explanations in comments further up. I apologize for the confusion. – Anthony
Nonoy Oplas says:
I wish that snow will also fall in Manila and other cities near the equator. Even for just an hour… Then the warmers in our country will have nothing more to say.
Brute says:
I've come to the conclusion that our politicians are purposely ignoring the evidence that Anthropogenic Global Warming is a fraud. (Probably apparent to this audience for sometime).
I've written my Congressman several times highlighting the lack of correlation between CO2 and Temperature, decreases in hurricane activity despite increases in CO2, Arctic ice and Antarctic ice expansion, global sea ice at record levels, problems with surface station siteing, etc…… in a vain attempt to have him change his vote regarding Cap & Tax each time receiving a form letter thanking me for my "support" and indicating his "concern" for the "health" of the planet and his rationalization for supporting draconian regulation/tax increases to combat this mythological "climate" boogeyman.
In other words, THEY DON'T CARE ABOUT THE FACTS. They are hell bent on legislating control over citizen's personal lifestyles and the means of production to fit their socialist model employing underhanded political tactics, agenda driven science, payoffs and deception to accomplish it.
This is not "right wing hyperbole" or scare mongering………government wrestling control over industry and our personal lives is happening right now despite the evidence that proves AWG is a sham. No doubt about it.
Strong words I know, but there is no disputing this now. Everyone has had the opportunity to do the research on their own and become informed.
Weather becoming Climate?
Snow in Brasil and Uraguay
5 Sep 2008 … What began in the morning as granular snow and sleet quickly became … that produced the first snow in Buenos Aires since 1918 last year. …
http://www.iceagenow.com/Snow_in_Brazil%20and%20Uraguay.htm – Similar
2007 – Other parts of the world
Historic snow in Buenos Aires – First snowfall since 1918!!!! And record winter in South America. Bariloche breaks cold record with MINUS 22ºC smashing …
http://www.iceagenow.com/2007_Other_Parts_of_the_World.htm – Similar
Record_Lows_2001
In Buenos Aires, snow fell for the first time since 1918. In Peru, 200 people died from the cold and thousands more became infected with respiratory …
http://www.iceagenow.com/Year_of_Global_Cooling.htm – Similar
DennisA says:
In 2004 a working paper from the UK Tyndall Centre contained these observations:
"In this paper, we explore under what conditions belief in global warming or climate change, as identified and defined by experience, science and the media, can be maintained in the public's perception."
"As the science itself is contested, needless to say, so are the potential policy changes. So how then do people make sense or construct a reality of something that they can never experience in its totality (climate) and a reality that has not yet manifest (i.e. climate change)?"
"To endorse policy change people must 'believe' that global warming will become a reality some time in the future."
"Only the experience of positive temperature anomalies will be registered as indication of change if the issue is framed as global warming."
"Both positive and negative temperature anomalies will be registered in experience as indication of change if the issue is framed as climate change."
"We propose that in those countries where climate change has become the predominant popular term for the phenomenon, unseasonably cold temperatures, for example, are also interpreted to reflect climate change/global warming."
Thus did cold become hot and black become white.
"The Social Simulation of the Public Perception of Weather Events and their Effect upon the Development of Belief in Anthropogenic Climate Change"
http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp58_summary.shtml
Adam from Kansas says:
All of a sudden Intellicast is forecasting for Wichita to be a bit cooler than normal for the last half of July, when we see temperatures around 93-94 for the high and the highest they're forecasting is 91.
And guess the latest revision for their forecast for the high next Tuesday, a whopping 77 degrees, we still have a ways to go before the hot season is usually over though, though it may or may not get hot again.
Weather may be not climate, but apparently there's reports of abnormal cold this month in both hemispheres, and then there's El Nino (TAO site again) starting to look like it may end up struggling to stay alive later on or not making it another month and going *poof*
RobP says:
Anthony may have boo-booed slightly, but this has still been a cold winter in s America:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8146995.stm
"Children die in harsh Peru winter"
I think this was covered in WUWT, but I can't find where.
What it does show is how cold weather kills more than hot weather – but of course, weather is not climate……
DennisA (10:22:04)
That Tyndall document is highly incriminating and deserves wider dissemination.
The link wouldn't let me save it. Can it be saved and distributed more widely ?
Is it protected in any way and are you in a position to release it ?
Hans Verbeek says:
In a normal Dutch summer we have 3 days with highs above 30 degrees Centigrade.
In 2006 we were very lucky and had 11 days above 30 degrees.
2007 and 2008 were summers below average: just one day above 30.
In 2009 we are still waiting for the first hot summerday.
"Having listed the variables, it must be restated that our concern is with the process of belief formation, that is, with the dynamic interaction of the above events in the social construction of the reality of global warming or climate change".
The above is an extract from that Tyndall Centre document referred to by DennisA.
A clear confession that the science has been subordinated to political manipulation.
Tyndall would have a fit.
oMan says:
Went to a conference in Geneva Switzerland last week hosted by World Intellectual Property Organization (UN affiliated agency). Topic: "Intellectual Property and Public Policy" and one of the four main policy areas was "Climate Change" where speaker after speaker used that term as a synonym for global warming, took it as gospel, and called for innovative technology to capture carbon and mitigate the impact of rising temperatures and oceans, etc. These people are part of THE global policy elite and for them it's a done deal.
By the time they wake up and smell the coffee, which they will do only at gunpoint, the policy and legal and financial damage will be far along. Very, very depressing.
Billy Bob says:
Anthony:
You must be on your plane by now, but I think the post is still a bit confusing, even after the update. I may be a little slow, but it took me a few reads and clicking on the Metsul link to figure out that the Metsul link was actually a current event and not just part of the flashback. Just a heads-up for the sake of clarity.
Enjoy reading the site and appreciate all the hard work you and the contributors put in.
rbateman says:
Long range forecasts are showing big drops in August.
What with the continued lack of sunspot acitivity (and the kitchen sink which come with the territory), falling temps leapfrog Southern Winter to Northern Winter. Each jump comes with it's freeze multipliers..
Anybody who can't figure out what comes next, go sit in the corner with your Pie a-la-Gore.
Nogw says:
However…NOAA says the sea in front of Buenos Aires is RED on fire:
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomw.7.16.2009.gif
How do you call this?
Jerry Lee Davis says:
This is bit off-topic, but I would like to mention that the University of Colorado has just updated their website http://sealevel.colorado.edu/ with about 3-months worth of 2009 sea level data. It is even more clear now that sea level is no longer rising.
A couple of notes: (1) Apparently all the data have been edited, so to work with one of the data sets one needs to download it all, and (2) if cubic polynomials are fitted to the data sets, they all four show local maxima in 2008 or early 2009 (no need to point out to me that this is not very sound analysis–I know that already).
Adam from Kansas (10:25:49) :
"Poof" is what's left of Wall-E Nina after Eva Nino shot him with her raygun.
and this :
"By quasi-reality we mean a reality that thus far is
defined by expert knowledge and is surrounded by uncertainty."
The cold spell will last three days more: (acording to http://www.clarin.com )
As I said: look at the red burning spot noaa shows in front of Buenos Aires…
Eduardo Ferreyra says:
Snow in Buenos Aires was a rare event, at least during the 20th Century. But during the Little Ice Age the extremley cold climate/weather was the main cause for the extermination of the first settlers in 1516. The extense frosts prevented the small population to raise cattle and have decent crops. They mostly perished of hunger, and the rest was killed by the Indians when they were so few and weak that couldn't defend thmeselves.
But Buenos Aires is now a huge heat island (about 12 million people) and has a big buffer in the Río de la Plata that keeps the temperature amplitude down. Temps in the city are consistently about 6ºC higher than in the country 60 miles away, where extense "black" frosts have been happening during the last weeks.
One notorius thing is that most cities founded by Spanish Conquistadores were during the winter. Expeditions came always from Santa Cruz, in Bolivia and Asunción, Paraguay, quite in tropical areas. But they had to stop and make camp due to the terrible cold weather/climate they encountered. My city, Córdoba, was founded on July 6th, 1573. We are at 34ºS, 64ºW and our clima is "mediterranean", with a wide temperature amplitude. An example: in my house, 10 miles west of Córdoba, a ranch in open country, we had -6.20ºC in the morning, but at 4:00 pm we had 20ºC because the sun was shinning nice and there was a warm breeze coming from the northwest.
During the cold winter of 2007 it snowed in the entire central region of Argentina, and even snowed in Tucumán, on the Tropic of Capricorn. In my area there always snow in the mountains 40 miles west of the city (from 1500- to 2200 m altitude) when there is enough humidity for clouds to be formed. This year it also snowed but not as much as in previous years due to the severe drought we have been experiencing.
According to an analysis of records I did in 2004, our area has been cooling noticeably since 1987. The article (in Spanish, though the graphs are universal) can be found in: http://www.mitosyfraudes.org/Calen5/CordobaTemp.html
But as temperatures have been going down since 2004, the cooling trend is even greater. I must (and will) update the graphs.
not sure what the point of this is other than to show an old cold weather event. In that case it was cold at various times in the past few years here in Vancouver except when it wasn't.
david atlan (09:45:12) :
I posted a comment yesterday in this blog saying that I was watching Le Tour de France live on TV and while they were climbing a mountain, I can't remember if it was Platzelwasel or Firstplan, it was snowing.
It wasn't the Alps, like I said yesterday, but in North-East France, close to the border with Germany. The thing is that these mountains are not as high as the Alps (the road through Platzelwasel is 1200 m over sea level) but it was snowing, nonetheless.
Stephen Brown says:
Stephen Wilde (10:48:02) :
I've saved it. Just open the .pdf and then click the floppy disc icon in the Adobe screen toolbar, select the destination, cick and it's done.
rbateman: Can you show us the long range forecasts that show these big drops for next month, I would like to see them and whether they have been proven when it comes to accuracy, will you please provide the links 🙂
Nasif Nahle says:
Yesterday, I heard an AGWist talking about the current meteorological phenomena. He said (in Spanish): "The climate is changing and it is happening due to the global warming caused by the carbon dioxide emitted by the human beings."
He said it on a top-audience hour through a high-rating radio-station. He's a radical environmentalist, not a scientist or an engineer, who makes his life from environmentalist activities. Unfortunately, the anchor was absolutely on this irrational posture and didn't question a single word but, to the contrary, agreed with the posture.
Regarding the assertion of the environmentalist, I would take the first phrase, "The climate is changing" and would add "Because the climate has been always changing". On the last two phrases I would say, "It is impossible that global warming produces global cooling", and "the carbon dioxide, whether emitted by humans beings or not, is heated up by the energy transferred from the surface, but does not heat up anything". It is similar to a water bucket placed on a stove burner. The heat emitted by the burner heats up the water, water would not heat up suddenly if there is not a primary energy source at a higher temperature than water's own temperature. Similarly, the hot water would not warm up to the stove burner until you reach the temperature at which the stove burner was when it was on fire, but until you reach a temperature of equilibrium.
If they had requested me for evidence from nature, I would have given them data obtained from the daily observations that I made during twilight -nighttime- sunrise from spring to autumn. I started measuring the radiation emitted by the surface during twilight per each hour using a radiometer. The first hour the temperature of the soil was 26.3 °C. The next hour the temperature had dropped down to 25.4 °C, and so it went dropping down until midnight when the temperature of the soil was 24.3 °C. The radiation emitted during sunrise caused a soil's temperature of 19.2 °C.
On the other hand, sometimes the temperature of the atmosphere was 1 °C to 0.4 °C higher than the temperature of the soil and other times it was lower than the temperature of the soil. The equilibrium temperature happened between 20:00 and 23:00 hours; however, the soil was not heated up by the atmosphere because the equilibrium temperature was given by decreases of the temperature of the air, not by increases of the temperature of the soil. The latter phenomenon is evidenced by the higher temperature of the soil after the crossed points occurred. The explanation for this increase of the temperature of the soil resides on the transfer of energy from the subsurface materials of the ground, which exhibited a larger energy load than the upper surface of the ground.
Sometimes the air was at a lower temperature than the soil; however, the relative humidity was higher than during the hours previous to decreases of the temperature of the air. In none of the latter cases the temperature of the soil increased by the effect of radiation emitted from the atmosphere. The evidence from this data is that the relative humidity is inversely proportional to the temperature of the surface and the air.
You can get your own conclusions.
Stephen Brown (12:03:49)
Thanks, it worked this time.
http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp58.pdf
I think it crosses certain moral and ethical boundaries.
Those people are paid by the taxpayer to tell the truth as best they can.
If the truth is in doubt then they should not hide that.
In this case they go further. They admit that the truth is in doubt but for public consumption there is a consensus and the science is settled.
That may be a criminal deception.
In a democracy it is for the people to make decisions through the voting system. To make decisions they need the truth.
Denial of the truth by a taxpayer funded body is a criminal misuse of taxpayer resources.
Manipulation of perception is a negation of democracy because decisions made without full knowledge are decisions denied.
That paper is the sort of thing that would have been common and unexceptional in pre 1989 Russia.
Frank Lansner says:
OT: Sealevel updated from Colerado university, here downloaded data in graphic:
http://www.klimadebat.dk/forum/vedhaeftninger/sealevelmar2009.gif
http://theweatherwiz.com/forcast-usa.php
You have to go at least 11 days into the future, otherwise it links you to standard forecasts.
Pick the city of your choice, and jot down the results.
Have some fun.
And – and – The 'heat wave' in North Central Texas came to an end with an unseasonable cold front (and rain!) from the north … we saw temps this morning in the low 70F range whereas we usually see morning low temps in the low to mid 80F range …
Frank Lansner (13:44:20) :
It's on topic, indeed. We're leaving the icehouse period characterized by a regression phase which in turn will evolve towards a warmhouse characterized by a transgression phase which a highstand similar to the Pleistocene highstand phase. Nothing new under the Sun.
The problem is that some people attributes this kind of natural phenomena to human activities, which is utterly pseudoscience as the idea gives no chance to realistic natural explanations. Have you noticed that the detractors of the natural explanation never use experimentation for support their arguments? They say, for example, Svensmark's theory is erroneous and purely non sense; but they never say on what real events they are basing their heckler rhetoric.
They could say something like "in 2000 models made by such and that scientists demonstrated the unfeasibility of Svensmark's theory", but they cannot say something like "the reproduction of Svensmark's experiments by such and that scientists gave opposed results". Got it?
Stephen Wilde (10:48:02) : Re: the Tyndall document
The title of this is: The Social Simulation of the Public Perception of Weather Events and their Effect upon the Development of Belief in
Anthropogenic Climate Change
and this seems to be a "research" report rather than a statement of policy. For example, from page 11:
"Based on our assumption that the framing of the issue has a significant impact for the public's social construction of the issue we begin with two preliminary propositions:
Proposition 1. a. Only the experience of positive temperature anomalies will be registered as indication of change if the issue is framed as global warming.
Proposition 1. a. Both positive and negative temperature anomalies will be registered in experience as indication of change if the issue is framed as climate change.
Figure 4 displays the process by which the data from the natural sciences is entered into the model and subsequently …"
There are two 1.a. terms in the original; may be a typo
However, as to saving the thing, I went to the link above and then right clicked on the Full document link there and saved the full 41 page PDF. But I haven't read all 41 pages.
Tom in snow free Florida says:
Nogw (11:05:33) : "However…NOAA says the sea in front of Buenos Aires is RED on fire:
NOAA also had "light snow" in Key West FL last week.
newsbird says:
Europe has also been hit each winter with record freezing temeperatures. In the summer they get record heat waves. Yes, there is climate change and all is not good with change. Take Obama – NO GOOD CHANGE.
http://newsbird.wordpress.com/
commonsense says:
Poor Argentinian People!
Argentina has faced a series of disasters in last year:
1) March 2008: a massive peasant strike and uprising against the 50-60% taxes over agro-exportations
2) October 2008- until now: the country is badly hit by the global recession and financial crisis
3) January-March 2009: the worst drought in recent aregentinian history, nearly a million catlle died of stavation. Argentina may need for first time in history meat imports
4) May 2009 until now: Argentina is the worst hit country in the world by the 2009 H1N1 swine flu pandemic, whith a mortality rate over 5% the highest in the world, if this trend persists, millions of argentinians will die of viral influenza pneumonia.
5) July 2009: The present cold wave, that will surely made the pandemic situation worse, because the infection and death rates will increase because of the cold weather.
My solidarity with the Argentinian People, and shame on the current incompetent administration!
Rick (11:31:41) :
Fascinating. I'm sure if you Team up with Dr Mann, the two of you can invent some new statistical method, and by smearing some temperature anomalies from nearby measurement sites in Maui and Oahu, you would be able to show consistent unprecedented warming in Vancouver even when it wasn't.
VG says:
My view is that the Metsul story should have been posted on top, cause' the warmistas will use it against (us) just a personal view .. the global climate wars LOL…
Araucan says:
@urederra
It was between Vittel and Colmar in Vosges mountains (NE of France) and it was only rain.
http://www.letour.fr/2009/TDF/LIVE/us/1300/videos.html
Dennis Wingo says:
Looks like record cold in North Alabama tonight.
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=35976
We call this the Christy/Spencer effect.
Frank: Looking at your plot, I get the impression that you copied the new 2009 data and appended it to data for earlier years that you copied some time in the past. If so, you may wish to recopy the entire data set, going back to 1993, because Colorado has changed the prior numbers a bit as well as putting out the 2009 data. The revised graph, and polynomial, will be slightly different.
Commonsense, I agree with most of what you said about Argentina misfortune in the last 7 years of the present Kirchner family kingdom. But I beg to disagree about the "swine flu" pandemic. Figures given by our officials are made up (they make up the inflation index showing an inflation 20-30% of the real one).
Actually, the "pig flu" as we know it, has about 0,4% mortality, compared with 2-5% of the common flu we have every year. They count as people with the A1 flu (the pig one) all people who have some lines of fever and group them under the "pandemic" A1 flu label. We have in my city (1,3 million) only 9 deaths out of 3000 suspicious cases, and all of them were people with previous critical lung condition that would have died anyway even with a common cold.
Our previous national health minister (a lady with a degree in accounting!) resigned and the new minister is a corrupt one that two years ago was caught making up statistics on child mortality in his province (Tucumán) to prove his governor's and party's health policies were fine.
In Argentina nobody can trust any figure, number, statistic or claim made by any person in the government. We know that and laugh at politicians but—what else can we do? There is no way we can get rid of politicos by voting differently. It only aggravates the problem, as what they call here "democracy" is just the shortest path to "demagoguery" and the institution of a "tyranny of the majority" that always oppresses the minorities –that is, common people who work hard and only hopes a real terrible disease will kill all politicos in the country.
If I am allowed to say, Argentina (my country) is the best example of the ruling of Murphy's Law: "If something can go wrong, IT WILL –but in the worst possible sequence of events."
Nasif Nahle (12:28:37) :
"… and "the carbon dioxide, whether emitted by humans beings or not, is heated up by the energy transferred from the surface, but does not heat up anything…".
The Warmist view is the sun (neglecting the infrared spectrum) radiates energy down through a transparent atmosphere with no transfer of energy to the greenhouse gases When the energy hits the earth, high level radiation in the UV and visible range is transformed into heat or infrared energy. The infrared energy is radiated up and on the way from the earth to outer-space the greenhouse gases absorb the infared energy and keep it from reaching outer-space. Then the COOLER atmosphere transfers this earth derived heat energy back to the WARMER earth raising the earth's net temperature. Since the Second Law does not allow this with out work (a la heat pump) Rabett says the SUN is the driver (heat pump) so the second law is not violated.
This Warmist view neglects the excitation of CO2 electrons by direct sunlight. Some of the excitation energy must be from the sun. If we keep to the time sequence, during the day, the sun's energy would have first priority since the energy goes sun-air-earth and then back to air. Only CO2 molecules not at a high energy state already would be available to be excited by energy radiated back from the earth. Second the amount of infrared energy from the sun is much greater than that from the earth. (the graphs shown by the Warmists change the scale on the earth radiated infrared energy so it looks the same as the sun's instead of much less)
Let us look at nature:
At the same latitude the climate with a high humidity will be moderated compared to a desert. Very high day time temperatures followed by low night time temperatures are the norm in low humidity. This means that the action of the greenhouse gases is to SLOW the energy transfer from the sun. Moisture captures some of the incoming energy from the sun during the day thereby lowering the day time temperatures. "….Water vapor absorbs heat and releases it slowly….At night, when the humidity is high, the atmosphere retains more heat, and nighttime temperatures stay somewhat high. On dry nights, however…., the atmosphere cools off rapidly.,,," Straight from a Warmist paper the full quote is below.
"…Water vapor is the main reason for the greenhouse effect, in which certain gases in the atmosphere allow sunlight to pass through, but absorb heat released from the Earth (when sunlight strikes the Earth it changes from visible light to infrared radiation, or heat). Without this effect the Earth would be about 33°C cooler than it is at present (that is, 60°F cooler). Human-caused emissions, leading to increased levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other gases in the atmosphere may accelerate the greenhouse effect. Water vapor absorbs heat and releases it slowly. At night, when the humidity is high, the atmosphere retains more heat, and nighttime temperatures stay somewhat high. On dry nights, however, with little water vapor to absorb heat, the atmosphere cools off rapidly…." http://www.waterencyclopedia.com/Ce-Cr/Climate-Moderator-Water-as-a.html
The fallacy is neglecting the role of sunlight in warming up greenhouse gases during the day and attributing the warming to black body radiation from the earth ONLY. In other words "greenhouse gas" interrupts the journey of some of the infrared energy from the sun to the earth during the day and then releases the energy at night. This model is consistent with the temperature moderation seen when the humidity is high. (College thesis anyone?)
J.Hansford says:
Geez….! Snow every 89 years…. That's as about as infrequent as Halley's Comet!
Shawn Whelan says:
The price of food is going to go through the roof.
Buy grain and make money.
A.Syme says:
I have noticed that daytime temperatures have not been reaching forecast highs. Usually during summer months the high is higher than forcasted.
(Denver Colorado)
Eugenio Hackbart - Brazil says:
Forecast models are indicating a huge polar air incursion in South America in the next few days. If the models prove to be correct, it will be one of the coldest events – not the coldest – in the region in recent memory, maybe decades. Here is the latest ECMWF model run to next Thursday.
http://www.metsul.com/__editor/filemanager/files/2008/europeu1707a.JPG
Temperature ranging from -8 to -10C in 850 hPa are quite rare to see in the Buenos Aires region.
Gail Combs (18:50:25) :
The second law is not violated for the system Sun-Earth. Nonetheless, as it is formulated by AGWists, it is violated for the system atmosphere-Surface.
This is the best part of your explanation because it implies induced negative absorption given that photons at a given frequency interact with matter particles. During daytime, the solar photon stream is stronger than the surface photon stream, so the photons emitted due to negative absorption by the interaction between solar photons and matter particles follows the trajectory of the stronger stream, the solar photon stream in this case, and thus the energy is absorbed by the surface. The amplitude, wavelenght and frequency of the photons emitted back by the surface allow another photon stream weaker than the solar photon stream, i.e. the surface photon stream. Given that this photons interact with the air molecules whether they are or not excited, but instead they vibrate at the same frequency of the photons of the surface photon stream, the trajectory of the induced negative absorption of the air molecules is the same than the trajectory of the surface photon stream. This way, the Sun does not act as a "heat pump" during the energy transfer from the surface to the atmosphere and there is no violation of the second law of thermodynamics. That's what nature exhibits and there is no need of implausible invented mechanisms like "climate loops" and Rabett's "solar heat pumps".
Gail Combs (18:50:25):
Indeed. AGWists are compelled to neglect the role of the Sun on Earth's climate because they are urged to validate their fallacies. The first obstacle to their idea is the Medieval Warming Period, so they have tried to erase that period.
Second, the main source of energy for the climate, the Sun, is hindrance to their ideas, so they are trying to unlink the Sun from our planet. They say that the carbon dioxide heats up the Earth when the carbon dioxide is not a primary source of energy. As you have said, the Sun heats up the surface and the surface heats up the atmosphere.
Third, those enormous concentrations of carbon dioxide present during geological eras when the Earth was undergoing frosty temperatures, and vice versa, constitute a foremost stagger for them, so they are picking up small periods from the geological timescale for attempting to mislead the public through masking their ideas with real observations.
Finally, the most efficient "greenhouse" gas is, undeniably, water vapor; however, AGWists turn a blind eye for not including strongly the water vapor in their models adducing that its concentration is highly variable. That's an evasive argument, of course.
It seems AGW proponents are trying to rewrite science, or to construct a new pseudoscience, with solipsist deconstructive arguments.
Stephen Wilde: At last someone else agrees with me about the insidious nature of the government funded propaganda campaign. Whilst indeed it was a working document, it shows quite plainly the thinking that has driven the Tyndall Centre since its inception. In November 2007, I had a paper published in Energy and Environment based on the document. Energy & Environment, Volume 18, Number 6, pp. 805-813, November 2007. Abstract here: http://cat.inist.fr/?aModele=afficheN&cpsidt=19047320
An earlier parent document with some of the content can be found here: http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/Spinning%20temperature%20out%20of%20control.pdf
The campaign about aviation emissions started with them and they are widely quoted by the aptly named Plain Stupid activist group. The idea of individual carbon credits with your own swipe card started life with them. They have been working closely with NGO's since their inception, especially Greenpeace and FoE.
Try this one as well:
Tyndall Centre Working Paper 72: Does tomorrow ever come? Disaster narrative and public perceptions of climate change
·	The general public garners most of its knowledge about science from the mass media (Nelkin, 1987; Wilson, 1995). Therefore the role of the media is significant in the public's cognition and perception of climate change issues.
·	The ways in which television, radio and newspapers communicate complicated issues of science, technology and politics to the public has reached a critical point in post-industrial society as the media has become highly influential and immensely powerful (Wahlberg, 2000, Weingart, 2003). Its sway over the public psyche is evident in all sectors with public understanding of science in particular being communicated by media eager for topical news.
·	The media play an important role in reporting often the most shocking and attention grabbing climate change headlines to lay audiences.
·	Science and the media tend to inhabit a grey or undefined region within the socio-political psyche, a void in which the metrics of scientific process are often lost in translation from academic findings to news headline.
·	Moser and Dilling (2004: p.41) advocate the use of more relevant or 'trusted messengers' in order to improve credibility and legitimacy in the communication of climate change to lay audiences. They suggest that pioneering industry leaders will appear more legitimate or relevant to industry audiences, religious leaders more legitimate in providing the moral argument and (in the case of climate change) even using the skills of artists, story-tellers and musicians to popularise what is seen by many as a 'dry' scientific matter, as a "deeply human affair".
All sound familiar?
The Institute for Public Policy Research, one of the UK government's favourite think tanks, had this advice for public agencies interfacing with the public in August 2006:
"Treating climate change as beyond argument
..it is our recommendation that, at least for popular communications, interested agencies now need to treat the argument as having been won.
This means simply behaving as if climate change exists and is real, and that individual actions are effective.
The 'facts' need to be treated as being so taken-for-granted that they need not be spoken.
The certainty of the Government's new climate-change slogan – 'Together this generation will tackle climate change' (Defra 2006) – gives an example of this approach. It constructs, rather than claims, its own factuality."
And it's all about "The Science" isn't it?
I would never think it snows there. It always seems warm. Snow is a mess to drive in. I rather have warm weather all year long.
If one were to post "Golden Coldies," we could post Feb. 1934 in NYC when it got to -15 Fahrenheit.
More to the point for Buenos Aires, check out how cold it's supposed to get there this week. The Weather Underground is predicting SNOW throughout much of the pampas, along with very heavy drought-busting rain (and unusual cold) in the Federal District. Could history repeat itself?
It's official, the temperature in my area of Alabama set a record low last night, one that is 7 degrees below the average and one degree below the previous record.
http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/K8A0/2009/7/19/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA
Hmmm….. Didn't hear about this anywhere!
tallbloke says:
I notice a lot of the founder members of the organisation are from the University of East Anglia.
Now who do we know from there who is behind HADcru?
starzmom says:
Three nights of record low temperatures at the KCI airport, supposedly an official temperature site, although it doesn't show up in any of the climate network websites. Can anybody tie all of these monitoring stations/official temperature sites/ etc., together?
tallbloke (13:33:59)
Absolutely right. University of East Anglia is a network centre for several climate institutes, including Tyndall and the Climate Reseach Unit: http://www.uea.ac.uk/zicer/. This is how consensus works, you set up a new institute every few months, using mostly the same staff, the same data and the same agenda and you have yet another scientific body adding their weight to the consensus.
The current Tyndall Director of Strategy and chief scientific advisor to DEFRA is Bob Watson, ex IPCC chairman before Pachauri, former Chief Scientist and Director for Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Development (ESSD) at the World Bank. Before the World Bank, he was Associate Director for Environment in the Office of Science and Technology Policy in the Executive Office of the President in the Clinton/Gore White House. Prior to that he was Director of the Science Division and Chief Scientist for the Office of Mission to Planet Earth at NASA.
Hadley itself is part of the Met office and under the control of the MoD.
This is how certain Hadley were about global warming in 2005, just before the Exeter Conference on Dangerous Climate Change:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/hadleycentre/pubs/brochures/index.html (I can no longer find this on the Hadley site but I do have the pdf)
Stabilising climate to avoid dangerous climate change — a summary of relevant research at the Hadley Centre, January 2005
What constitutes 'dangerous' climate change, in the context of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, remains open to debate
Once we decide what degree of (for example) temperature rise the world can tolerate, we then have to estimate what greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere should be limited to, and how quickly they should be allowed to change. These are very uncertain because we do not know exactly how the climate system responds to greenhouse gases
The next stage is to calculate what emissions of greenhouse gases would be allowable, in order to keep below the limit of greenhouse gas concentrations. This is even more uncertain, thanks to our imperfect understanding of the carbon cycle (and chemical cycles) and how this feeds back into the climate system
The science is settled…..
henrychance says:
We will be selling fur coats at mardi Gras and Carnival.
bluegrue says:
@Anthony
There seems to be a bit of confusion here (see e.g. Billy Bob above). Both articles are from 2007. The Metsul article is marked as "Alexandre Amaral de Aguiar – 15/07/2007 19:04:21″ at the bottom of the page, the date in the top right corner is the current date – yes, it's confusing. Also note
The freezing temperature was associated to the same air mass that prompted the first snowfall to the city of Buenos Aires (Argentina) in 89 years" so again they are from the same year.
Whatever may be brewing in Argentina/Brazil (see Eugenio Hackbart – Brazil (20:49:56)) right now, it is covered in none of your featured articles.
A current 36-hour forecast says today 63°F high, tonight 48°F low, tomorrow 58°F high.
REPLY: Yes this was something that caught my eye that was published along with three other scheduled articles before I left on a cross country flight Saturday. Being with the same July timeframe, it seemed like a good recap. I regret that a combination of lack of time and a mistake in setting up the publishing time put this online before I had a chance to get back to finishing it.
I've made a change right above the first photo to make it clearer that these are both from 2007. If somebody still gets confused, not much I can do to help them. – A
Ex head of Tyndall Centre speaks out:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/05/06/founding-director-of-the-tyndall-centre-for-climate-change-time-to-ditch-consensus/
John Tyndall himself said this in his preface to his book on acoustics:
"The subject is treated experimentally throughout, and I have endeavoured so to place each experiment before the reader that he should realise it as an actual operation."
And this about the seperation of science and religion:
"religious sentiment should not be permitted to intrude on the region of knowledge, over which it holds no command"
beng says:
1912, 1917, and now 2009 have seen unusual cold events during periods of unusually low solar activity.
Just a coincidence? I dunno.
It must be the Watts effect again or has Al Gore plans for a visit?
This is no flashback but a real time event building up now.
COLD AND SNOW IN SOUTH AMERICA
By Eugenio Hackbart, METSUL
One of the coldest air eruptions this decade is expected in the next few days in Argentina, Uruguay and part of Southern Brazil. First, a major extra tropical cyclone will develop near Rio de la Plata region this Tuesday and early Wednesday. Forecast models suggest an explosive cyclogenesis and the risk of torrential rain and damaging winds in the Buenos Aires province and Uruguay. Coastal areas could face hurricane force wind gusts. The 985 hPa cyclone will quickly eject to lower latitudes in the South Atlantic, deepening even more to a 960 hPa low, favoring a very cold air incursion in the continent.
The associated front will race trough Uruguay, Northern Argentina and Southern Brazil with possible severe weather (high winds, hails and even isolated tornadoes). A pre- frontal low level jet will transport warm air ahead of the front and could bring gusts of warm and dry wind from the North that could exceed 100 km/h in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, this Tuesday and early Wednesday. The polar air will cover much of Argentina, Uruguay and Southern Brazil on the second half of the week with freezing temperature, frost and even snow.
Snow could fall and even accumulate in parts of the province of Buenos Aires where
snow is not so common. Snow in the city of Buenos Aires could not be ruled but, but an event like July 9th 2007 is unlikely. Snow is more likely in the regions of Tandil, Mar del Plata and Bahia Blanca and could accumulate as not seen for a long time in the higher elevations of the Sierra de la Ventana. Snow is not off the cards also in Uruguay, according to some forecast models. The last time it snowed with accumulation in Uruguay was on August 1st 1991. In the capital Montevideo, the last snow event happened on June 1980. Nights will be extremely cold to the region's patterns from Thursday to Sunday. In Rio Grande do Sul, Southern Brazil, this winter is the coldest so far since 1996.
From http://www.icecap.us, ICECAP IN THE NEWS, download the PDF about this event.
Joe romm is very distrurbed over this. It can't validate Soros.
I thought 2007 was hot. Beyond imagination? Surely Algore also is aggitated. His home stat is coolest evah last month and we know his carbon footprint is massive.
Who claims their
"models" predicted the snow and cold?
Second night of record low temperatures in north east Alabama
Last night it was a full four degrees below the record.
Accu Weather published the following article on the recent storm and the following cold wave:
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=rss&article=8
Have a look at the Chaitén Webcam.
There is snow on the hills:
http://www.aipchile.cl/camara/detail.php?cameraID=116
Neven says:
Congratulations, you had me fooled for a couple of days. Just couldn't take it down after you found out it was from 2 years ago, could you? How I'd love to take a poll of all the people who visit this site and ask if they could remember if this article was for 2007 or for 2009.
You run the best Science Blog for 2008, Anthony. You cannot do this and then not remove it. You really can't. It's not proper, it's not ethical, it's going too far and I don't care what the AGW propaganda machine does.
REPLY: I knew while I was writing it that is was from 2007, but it initially got posted before I finished it because I was setting up several blog posts for scheduled release while I was traveling. This was the last one, and I botched the setup for scheduling, but planned to finish it while waiting in the airport which has free wifi. While I was showering and packing I discovered that instead of being scheduled it was live, and I had limited time to work on it then. Sure I could have taken it down, but people had already commented on it. At that point whether I removed it or left it up I'd be damned if I did, damned if I didn't. For those that can't seem to read the NOTE at the top, there's nothing I can do to help you. Besides there's nothing wrong with reviewing something interesting from a couple of years ago. I covered it then too. Since there's always some people complaining about virtually every post I make here, this one is no different. I just did a flashback to the moon landings in 1969, which also occurred this month, but 40 years ago, should I remove that too lest some fool that wasn't alive then think it is from this year?
People that make expectations of me should walk a mile in my shoes and read some of the abuse I get just for putting up regular stories. As for your complaint, I really can't help you. Its up and it will stay up. – Anthony
Over at Icecap they have a posting on a major winter storm which hit Buenos Aires Wedensday morning, July 22, 2009. There is snow just to the south of the city. If the snow moves a bit north, Buenos Aires will have its second snow in 91 years.
A new "Watts Up Effect?"
Yep, here it is: http://www.perfil.com/contenidos/2009/07/22/noticia_0033.html
My apologies, Anthony, you don't have to take down the blog post. Or you can save this one for 2011. 😉
So, snowing in Buenos Aires for the second time in 91 years. That cancels out those two recent 14+ day heat waves in Melbourne (which is supposed to happen to happen about once every 1,200,000 years). It's good to know everything is normal.
Yes, the flashback has become reality within days after publishing.
What are the odds of that happening?
pkasse says:
This just in from NWS via wunderground.com:
Statement as of 6:25 am EDT on July 23, 2009
… Unusually cool July for Central Park…
For some perspective… here are the top ten coolest julys on record
since 1869 for Central Park in New York city:
coolest
avg. Temp. Year
72.3 2000/1871
Due to the unusually cool conditions thus far in July… here are
some interesting facts to note…
With an average daily temperature of 71.7… currently running 4.6
degrees below normal… this July is on track for the 2nd coolest
on record. Below average temperatures have occurred on 20 out of
22 days… with the other two days being normal. There have been
zero above normal days.
Central Park has only reached 85 degrees once this month… on the
17th… and has not yet reached 90 degrees this Summer. If this
continues through the end of the month… it will only be the
second time since 1869 that 90 degrees was not reached in June or
July. The only other time this occurred was 1996.
There is a new pdf about the snow storm with weather maps available at Climate Depot: 'Worst snow event in 50 years' hits South America
Eduardo Ferreyra : I am happy you appreciate my solidarity with your people.
But my numbers on the flu pandemic were the ones of World Health Organization and also the ECDC ones .Those are updated every day, and wikipedia did updates every day with WHO and ECDC data (now that WHO has stopped the count, wikipedia only put the ECDC data ).
The NUMBERS say that WORLDWIDE the mortality is near 0,5% ( five times the mortality of common influenza) but in Argentina is over 5% ( ten times the wordwide mortality and five times the Mexico one). Remeber that the 1918-1919 pandemic killed between 50 and 100 MILLION worldwide with a mortality smaller than the current Argentinian one.
THIS IS NOT COMMON FLU. The critical data are:
Genetic makeup: mixture of swine , human and avian influenza viruses("triple reassortant")
Age groups more hit: ADOLESCENTS AND YOUNG ADULTS (more than 60% of the cases).
Killer mechanism: the virus itself doesn`t kill. What kill you is an overreaction of the immune system, called a cytokine storm. Your immmune system sends million of white cells to the infected lungs, but instead of destroying the virus, this trigger and inflammatory response that destroy the lung tissue, and your lungs get filled with fluids plenty of dead cells ( here in Peru, we call it "pus"). The nightmare reality is that THE STRONGER THE IMMUNE SYSTEM IS, THE WORSE THE LUNG INFLAMMATION. This explain why most victims are YOUNG adults, not weaken old aged or infants .
If you don`t want that your own defenses kill you in an auto-immunitary attack, YOU MUST TAKE THE ANTIVIRAL DRUGS AT THE FIRST SYMPTOMS. Most of the young healthy adult victims died because they don`t take the drugs at time, the virus multiplicated in the lungs and so their immune system got crazy.
The authorities that say that the victims were all already weakened people are not telling you the truth. This is only 30% of the cases.
I read about this killer mechanism in an article about the outbreaks in Mexico. The early may WHO reports( WHO do not did a statistical analysis of the June cases and in July stopped counting) also showed the odd age distribution off illness and mortality.
Remember: BEWARE A/H1N1 2009 swine influenza and save your life!
Commonsense, I have no doubts about the cytokine reaction. But have come to accept Mark Twain's Golden Rule of Scepticism: "There are lies, damned lies, and Statistics."
In my province common flue (or "gripe") has a mortality rate ranging from 2 to 5% according to the years, about the same as the national average. In our 19th week of the year there were already about 300,000 flu cases in Argentina, the vast majority corresponding to common flue, and an "estimated" 100,000 cases of A1H1N1 or "porcine" influenza. Estimates are just that: a guess, and not even an educated or informed guess.
The A1 flu (after a detailed lab analysis) accounts in my province for about 3000 cases in a population of 2.4 million, and only 6 deaths, but on people already having lung problems and inmune system depression (a seven month premature baby, a transplanted patient, etc).
However, our national health officials are lumping together all deaths either from A/H1N1 flu or from common flu as being caused by the A/H1N1 flu. Those flawed statistics are sent to the WHO who has no way of knowing if they are good or not and contribute to the general misinformation that comes from all over the world.
And Tamiflu, the drug designed to cure the "avian" flu (the one that killed less than 60 people in the world in 8 years!) didn't work with the flu, as it does not work with the porcine flu. What must be investigated is if the vaccine has not killed more patients than it supposedly saved, as it happened with the avian flu.
Keith/ Kentucky says:
[No religious pronouncements, please. ~ Evan]
Eduardo Ferreyra :
The WHO and ECDC data only count LABORATORY CONFIRMED A/H1N1 ( it is not just A1, it`s H1N1( type 1 Hemaglutinin + type 1 Neuranimidase). These are the only believable data. What is just a statistical guess is that there are more than 100 000 cases in Argentina. The WHO/ECDC data show 197 deaths out of 3056 cases, or a jaw-dropping mortality of 6,4%.
6,4% mortality (1 death every 16 cases) is , if the data are representative, an enormous rate.
Common flu has a mortality of just 0,01% (or 1 out of 2000), mainly among infants or old aged people.
As I said before, the more endangered people by swine influenza are instead YOUNG ADULTS, because they have strong immune systems that can then trigger the suicidal cytokine reaction.
What might happen in your city ( please tell me the name of the city) is probably the same that is happening where I live, Lima ,the peruvian capital: the people that got sick receive at right time the tamiflu drug, and that prevent the cytokine reaction but cannot save the already-ill people from the more common complication of all influenzas: secondary bacterial pneumonia, that must be instead treated with antibiotics.
Oseltamivir (tamiflu) block the neuranimidase protein if the virus, stopping its spread from one cell to the other. The common HUMAN (not swine) A/H1N1 and the avian A/H5N1 are resistant to this drug, but thank God that the SWINE A/H1N1 is still sensible to the drug ( it might become resistant as it evolves or reassort with human seasonal A/H1N1 influenza).
When that resistance will appear, you must get another neuranimidase inibitor called Zanamivir (Relenza), that don`t come in tablets but instead come as an aerosol that you must breath (like the drugs for asthma).


The purpose of the Training and Placement is to guide students to choose right career and to give knowledge, skill and aptitude and meet the manpower requirements of the Industry.
Gathering information about job fairs and all relevant recruitment advertisements.
Identifying the needs and expectations of the companies to assist them in recruiting most suitable candidates.
Organizing pre-placement training/workshops/seminars for students.
To assist students in obtaining placement in reputed companies.
Highlighting articles on departmental notice boards regarding Competitive & Industrial Career Opportunities.
Inform students about the available job opportunities in government sectors and off campus drives.
Keeping in view the industry requirements, the training curriculum is designed for preparing the students as entry level Graduate Engineer Trainees.


clue: It's too bad this sharpshooter with three first names didn't live to hear the Dead Kennedys.
player landmarks: This was the first goo solved by D. R. and Angela Lathem-Ballard.
trivia: This goo was part of Round Thirteen, in which each goo was dedicated to a particular player. This goo was created for Jeff Flom, who hated the Kennedy family. The original image for the goo is a doctored version of the famous photograph of Jack Ruby shooting Oswald.


text:
The Ten Most Indispensable Tigers
The Tigers infield defense will take a big hit if shortstop Jose Iglesias goes on the disabled list.
(Photo credit: Julian Gonzalez, Detroit Free Press)
By virtually all accounts, the Tigers are heavy favorites to win the American League Central Division in 2014. Advanced projection systems rate them as anywhere from six wins (ClayDavenport.com) to nine wins (BaseballProspectus.com) better than the runner-up Indians with the Royals a close third. The Tigers superior talent gives them a cushion against under-achieving players and injuries, but many things can go wrong in a long season.
Even the best teams can only sustain so much misfortune and every year the grand plans of some pre-season favorite is derailed by unforeseen circumstances. The hardest thing for analysts or anyone else to predict is injuries and the loss of key players for extended periods can dramatically change the course of a team's season.
The reason why injuries to starting players hit teams so hard is that most clubs do not have adequate alternatives at most positions and the 2014 Tigers are no exception. The only bench players one might expect to perform above "replacement level" might be outfielder Rajai Davis and infielder Steve Lombardozzi and both will probably receive significant playing time even if there are no major injuries.
So which Tigers regulars are the most indispensable? The top ten are listed below.
1. Miguel Cabrera
The entire Tigers offense revolves around the two-time MVP and would struggle mightily without him. Losing Cabrera for a large portion of the season would erase most of the edge the Tigers have over the Indians and Royals. Even if they moved Victor Martinez to first in his absence, they would still need to add another bat to the order and they have no adequate internal options. I don't think anyone wants to see Jordan Lennerton or Daniel Fields replacing Cabrera.
2. Justin Verlander
The Tigers top three starting pitchers could be 2a, 2b and 2c, but Verlander is listed first because he has the longest track record of success and durability. Losing Verlander might not hurt quite as much as losing Cabrera because they have such a strong rotation, but it would be a huge hit. The most obvious replacement would be left-hander Jose Alvarez, a pitcher you don't want to see getting more than a few spot starts.
3. Max Scherzer
Scherzer might not match his 2013 season, but is capable of coming close and the Tigers can't afford to lose him for an extended period of time.
4. Anibal Sanchez
See Scherzer above
5. Austin Jackson
A lot of people seem to be down on Jackson after a somewhat disappointing 2013, but he's still an important part of the team offensively and defensively. Despite his tremendous speed, Rajai Davis is not a great defender and is not even second on the depth chart in center. Don Kelly is. Chances are they would go with some combination of the two if Jackson were out for a long time and that would be a big drop off.
6. Ian Kinsler
Second base might be the position where they have the best back-up option in Lombardozzi, but he doesn't come close to Kinsler who is expected to be an important cog in their offense.
7. Alex Avila
Avila battled injuries last year including concussion problems and it slowed him down at the plate and in throwing out runners. The pitchers apparently work well with him and he was one of the top catchers at pitch framing in 2013 according to Baseball Prospectus. If he continues to miss time with injuries this year, it will be a blow to the Tigers. Back-up cather Bryan Holaday is a capable defender, but won't hit much. Another possibility is that James McCann is ready to help at the MLB level, but I wouldn't count on him playing a big role this year. Avila is already experiencing back stiffness this spring so keep an eye on him.
8. Jose Iglesias
The Tigers are focusing more on speed and defense this year and Iglesias is an important part of the new approach. The shortstop position is one of the Tigers weakest bench spots. Lombardozzi has not played much shortstop, so Hernan Perez would likely take over if Iglesias has a lengthy absence. The problem is that Perez is more of a second baseman than shortstop. It is concerning that Iglesias is currently experiencing trouble with his shins as he had a similar problem last September.
9. Joe Nathan
Statistical analysts often point out that bullpens are a crap shoot and that most closers are replaceable. This is true to an extent, but I think that dependable relievers are sometimes undervalued by the modern metrics. Nathan is the only Tigers reliever with a reliable track record of success and they need him to solidify the bullpen. Flame thrower Bruce Rondon might be able to close if necessary, but they would still lose Nathan's innings if he were hurt.
10. Victor Martinez
As the Tigers second best hitter, Martinez might be the only thing preventing Cabrera from racking up 150 bases on balls.
Anonymous March 02, 2014
We definitely need a big year from Martinez and he could even go ahead of Nathan in the order.
Where would you have ranked Fister and Fielder if they had not been traded?
Lee Panas March 02, 2014
Fielder would have replaced Kinsler on the list. If they still had Fister., it might have changed a few things because that would have made other pitchers more dispensable. Last year, if one of their big three got seriously injured, they could have moved Smyly into the rotation. This year, they don't have anyone who could step in like that.
Interesting, well if the pitchers drop as a group and you had all 4 together, then I guess you would be considering putting AJ maybe all the way up to 2? Or would he split those pitchers and would Fielder stay behind at least 3 pitchers? I guess I'm wondering how many spots are between AJ and Fielder or if they are connected on the new list.
Just thinking about it makes it really interesting to mesh together the perspective of what those players were worth and in comparison to each other. So it seems like we might have traded 2 of our Top 7 indispensable players this year.
opus131 March 02, 2014
"I think that dependable relievers are sometimes undervalued by the modern metrics." I'm with you. I was fascinated to see your post some time back debunking "momentum", showing that a team was apparently no more or less likely to win following a really dispiriting loss where a late lead was blown. Even so, I think that not having a reliable closer, in whom the team has faith, is psychologically exhausting over such a long season. I look at both the '67 and '83 Tigers, and even today I just can't see where they were not the premiere teams in the league. I really believe that the fact that neither of those teams ever quite sorted out who would hold a ninth inning lead (even allowing for the fact that there were far more complete games, especially in '67) took more out of those teams than can be discerned with objective metrics. I was hardly a big Mayo Smith fan, but he patched together quite an effective bullpen in '68. And of course we had the MVP pitching the ninth in '84.
There could be a psychological component, but I was thinking more along the lines of good relievers pitching in a lot of close games. The ability to win close games allows teams to outperform what their raw numbers suggest they should be doing and good bullpens helps teams win more close games. They also take pressure off starting pitchers because they can be removed earlier and don't have to throw as many pitches.
Tigers Opening Day Lineup
Ten Predictions for Tigers Batters in 2014
Mark Fidrych Book Contest
Jose Iglesias Likely Out for Season. What Now?
2014 Forecast: Tigers Going All the Way This Year
Pitch Framing Measurement Evolves and Avila Still ...


With many people opting for #meatlessmonday, choosing to cut back on saturated fats, reducing body acidity, environmental choices, and vegetarian and vegan diets rising in popularity, many of us are eating less animal-based protein sources, so we thought we'd share a bit about protein so you can go forth and eat with confidence.
Protein is part of the macronutrient family of foods – that also include fats and carbohydrates – that give us our calories, a.k.a. energy, and are essential to life and growth. Protein is made up of up to amino acids of which there are 20, nine of which the body cannot create, which are called essential amino acids.
The nine we need are: histidine, isoleucine, leucine, lysine, methionine, phenylalanine, threonine, tryptophan, and valine.
Protein is attributed to growing our muscle mass when it breaks down in the body, and comprises around 15% of our body weight. Research findings suggest that eating protein stops food cravings and contributes to feeling fuller for longer, and improves mood regulation and brain function.
1 gram of protein is equivalent to 4 calories, and we need between 10 – 35% of our daily calories to be derived from protein sources. So for women on a normal diet maintaining a healthy body weight, that's around 1,900 calories per day, so approximately between 46g and 166g of recommend protein intake per day. And for men, who need to eat around 2,400 calories per day, that equates to between 56g and 210g of protein per day, divided across three main meals and healthy snacks.
Alternatively, some dieticians suggest eating a safe level of around 1 gram of protein per kilogram of body weight, per day – ideally 20 – 30g of protein per meal.
First step is to not think you need to eat all your daily protein in one go or from one source. You can mix up your protein sources in an exciting, varied diet every day.
Almost all foods contain some protein, except highly processed foods, alcohol and oils, and we need to eat protein for its essential amino acids. Proteins that contain these essential amino acids are often referred to as 'complete' proteins. But don't get too hung up on every protein source containing every essential amino acid. In a balanced, considered daily diet you'll get them all throughout the day, and that's what is most important. In fact, dieticians believe a quality plant-based diet definitely contains all essential amino acids you need.
Quinoa, buckwheat, edamame beans, pumpkin seeds, green peas, chia seeds, tempeh.
Almonds, pistachios, cashews, kidney beans, chickpeas, oatmeal, sesame seeds, brown rice, barley, lentils, seaweed and spirulina, hemp seeds, flax seeds, whole grains.
Four protein-inspired recipes to enjoy this week!
Keep reading for more tasty, fun Almond Breeze inspo!


text:
Exploring American Monsters: West Virginia
Jason Offutt March 28, 2017
West Virginia has always been a rebel. During the American Civil War, fifty counties of the Confederate state Virginia split off to form their own state West Virginia. This was the only state admitted to the Union during the war, and is the only state to have separated from a Confederate state. The Appalachian Mountains make up two-thirds of West Virginia, covering most of its 24,230 square miles in forested peaks and valleys. Bordered by the northern states Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and the southern states Virginia, and Kentucky, West Virginia is simultaneously considered the northernmost Southern state, and the southernmost Northern state. It's the ninth smallest state and has the twelfth smallest population, but West Virginia is scrappy. The state is known for coal mining and logging, as well as outdoor recreation like white-water rafting, and mountain biking. West Virginia is home to the first Mother's Day (1908), and the first federal women's penitentiary (1926). Famous West Virginians include actor Don Knotts, Air Force test pilot Chuck Yeager (the man who broke the sound barrier), author Pearl Buck, and Olympic gold medal gymnast Mary Lou Retton. It's also home to Mothman.
A week starting on 12 November 1966 was busy in an area of western West Virginia near the Ohio border. Gravediggers near the small town of Clendenin reported a winged, man-sized creature swooped low over their heads. Three days later, Roger and Linda Scarberry and Steve and Mary Mallette of nearby Point Pleasant were parking at the TNT area, a 3,000-acre swatch of forests, wetland and farms that is home to an abandoned World War II munitions factory outside town, when they saw something that would haunt them for years. Their car headlights shown on a tall, black, man-like figure with glowing red eyes. As they sped away from the area, the creature opened wings and flew after them, its wingspan wider than the car. Steve Mallette told the Point Pleasant Register the creature "was like a man with wings. … It wasn't anything like you'd seen on TV or in a monster movie."
Over the next year the creature was seen by more than 100 people, including volunteer firefighters, in the area around Point Pleasant. Police and wildlife officials blamed the sightings on a rogue heron or Sandhill crane. Then a dog disappeared, and strange sounds began to come from people's televisions sets. But when the Silver Bridge, connecting Point Pleasant with Gallipolis, Ohio, collapsed during rush hour on 15 December 1967 killing forty-six people, locals began to blame the Mothman for all their troubles.
A photograph of the alleged Mothman broadcast on WCHS-TV.
Although the most notable sightings occurred in the late 1960s, Mothman (named by a newspaper reporter in the 1960s who was a fan of the cartoonish "Batman" TV series) reports continue today across multiple states and countries. The most recent sighting was a 2016 report by an anonymous man driving on Route 2 in Virginia. A picture the man took was televised by WCHS-TV.
Sheepsquatch
The TNT area isn't just the stomping ground of a black, man-sized terror. It's also the home to a white, man-sized terror – the sheepsquatch. This beast is a bipedal creature covered in white wool with a pointed head, a fang-filled mouth, and the horns of a goat. In an interview with Modern Farmer Magazine, Kurt McCoy, author of "White Things: West Virginia's Weird White Monsters," said, "The TNT Area itself is just chock full of amazing weirdness."
The weirdness began in the 1990s when a hunter saw a white, man-like, goat-headed beast break from a line of brush, and stop to drink at a creek. Not noticing the man, it casually rose, and continued through the forest.
That sighting was quickly followed by a family returning from a reunion seeing a tall goat-like creature step from the woods. "The witnesses described it as being seven to eight feet tall, covered in shaggy white hair with legs like a man," McCoy told Modern Farmer. "And they described the face as looking a bit long like a sheep and having horns like a ram's."
That same decade, the monster was seen by children who claimed a white, horned bear on two feet watched them play in their yard, a motorist saw it sitting in a ditch, and campers claim the sheepsquatch threatened them at their campsite in the evening, but wouldn't approach the fire.
Flatwoods Monster
Not all West Virginia's monsters come from the TNT area, some come from space.
Three boys saw a bright light streak across the sky on 12 September 1952. When the light landed on a local farm, the children alerted adults who took everyone to see what it was. When the group arrived, they found a ball of "fire" atop a hill surrounded by a mist that irritated their eyes and burned their nostrils. One member of the group shouted, and pointed toward two lights that loomed over the object. Flashlight beams shot toward the lights, and struck a black creature at least seven feet tall with a head the shape of a "sideways diamond." A cowl shaped like the ace of spaced sat behind the creature's head; its eyes glowed green. Then the creature hissed, and moved toward the group, which sent them running.
They alerted the sheriff's department, and the local newspaper. Although deputies and the reporter scoured the area, they found nothing that night. The next morning, however, the reporter discovered prints, and a black liquid at the sight of the alleged encounter.
Reports of encounters began to come in from all over the county, and the creature began to take another form. Witnesses described it as looking more like a mechanical device than a flesh-and-blood monster. Flying saucers, strange odours, and electronic disruptions were common during these sightings. Although the encounters were dynamic, they were brief, and the Flatwoods Monster vanished from West Virginia as quickly as it had come.
Totally not that Ogua.
Ogua
Legend has it a river monster the size of a bear but shaped like a turtle lurks in the Monongahela River in the northern part of West Virginia. Early European settlers to the area said the creature, the two-headed Ogua, lived beneath the river waters by day, but at night would come to the banks to feast on deer, striking the unsuspecting animals with its long, deadly tail, and dragging them into the water to feed.
Early stories tell of encounters with the creature, including the troubles of a family that lived alongside the Monongahela River in the mid-1700s. While fishing, an enormous turtle emerged from the water, and snatched a twelve-year-old boy from the shore. The family searched for the child, but he was never found. Days later, the family was awakened by the sound of a large animal rubbing against their cabin. One of the children dared a look, and saw a huge, dark, turtle-shaped bulk outside the home. The family moved soon after.
Appalachian Black Panther
Black panthers exist. Big cats that are usually spotted, such as jaguars, leopards, and bobcats, can be melanistic. This is when a greater than normal amount of dark pigment makes an animal appear black. The opposite is true in albinism. The bobcat, though, isn't large enough to account for the puma-sized big cat seen in the mountains of West Virginia, leopards are native to Africa and Asia, and the jaguar is native to Central and South America (once native to the southern states, they are still reported in Texas and New Mexico, however sightings are quite rare). The black cats seen in West Virginia resemble black mountain lions, something our current science says doesn't exist.
However, black panthers were reported in West Virginia as far back as the first settlers, and were taken seriously by science. An 1843 book by Sir William Jardine, "The Naturalist's Library, Mammalia, Vol. 1, Cats," featured a great cat named Felis Nigra – the black puma. The listing included a watercolour drawing of the feline by James Hope Stewart. Two of the beasts were supposedly displayed in London in the 1700s, although there is no record of what happened to the cats.
Although still reported to this day, the Appalachian black panther falls into the realm of cryptozoology.
Stone Man
Every state has its story of Bigfoot. Seriously. Every state except Hawaii. In West Virginia, it's the legend of the Stone Man.
Early settlers to the area encountered enormous apes that would throw rocks at their camps, and later houses. The local Cherokee Indians called the tall human-like creatures Nun'Yunu'Wi, which means "Stone Man" because no weapon could pierce its skin. Adventurers and later timber men encountered the Stone Man much more often than they would like. Apparently, people still are encountering the Stone Man in West Virginia, to the tune of 100 reports per year.
Like this report investigated by the Bigfoot Field Research Organization.
In 2009, a timer worker was cutting down a tree when he noticed a black figure standing further back in the forest. Although he first through it was a bear standing on its hind legs, the creature raised its left arm to lean against a tree. After a few minutes, it turned and walked into the forest like a man. The timer man saw the creature a year later squatting over a puddle, scooping up water in its hand to drink.
Next up: Wisconsin.
Tags Appalachian Black Panther bigfoot Flatwoods Monster Mothman Nun'Yunu'Wi Ogua Point Pleasant Sheepsquatch Stone Man TNT area
Jason Offutt is paranormal investigator, an author of several paranormal books such as "What Lurks Beyond," "Darkness Walks: Shadow People Among us," "Haunted Missouri," and "Paranormal Missouri" and a teacher of journalism at Northwest Missouri State University.
You can follow Jason on and
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