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Badger Preview: Pre-Rose Bowl Mailbag Part 2!
Part 2 for your holiday enjoyment. Rose Bowl Preview next week.
Matt B:
Will James White bounce back into form once he's out of Ball's shadow?
Matt actually asked like 5 solid, football-related questions. But I like looking ahead, and if we're gonna do that, this is the most important question.
The short answer is that it probably really doesn't matter that much. Between White, Melvin Gordon, Jeff Lewis, and incoming freshman Vonte Jackson, at LEAST one of them will step up and be a beast. This is a fact, and I will not hear otherwise. So if you're asking because you're concerned about the running game in a post-MBS world, well, don't worry.
But the James White 'regression' really is confusing, isn't it? Totally didn't see it coming. Up until the Iowa game last year, it was pretty close betwixt White and Clay for the title of Best Badger Back. White was shifty a la Calhoun, had some nice burst, and appeared to have decent hands out of the backfield. In other words, he's the ideal complementary back for UW's standard power running game. I loved him. Hell, the student section even organized a White Out for the biggest game of the year last year (you know, the one where we beat #1 Ohio State even though they were cheating their faces off). So to see him shuffling around at the line of scrimmage this year is really strange.
White watched Ball reinvent himself in the offseason and turn into one of the premiere backs in college football. I, for one, would not be remotely surprised if James does that very same thing this year. Write him off at your own risk.
PS - Totally unrelated, but I just got this in an email at work:
My reaction was pretty much exactly like this.
Cicero:
Would you rather spend time on the island from LOST or East Lasorna?
Wow. First off, meat no nothin' for calling it 'East Lasorna', as anyone with half a brain and an unhealthy Jurassic Park obsession knows that it's 'Isla Sorna'. With that out of the way, this is arguably the most difficult question in the world. But if we're simply talking about spending time, it's gotta be Isla Sorna. I don't know what I'd do if I actually saw a fucking DINOSAUR, but I'm guessing it would be a pretty special moment. And if I'm on the Island, who else is there? Am I there during the time traveling part with the purple flashes? Do I get to go in the Hatch? What if Smokey just ticka-ticka'd me right away? Am I with THE OTHERS? Because I totally wouldn't mind making a pass at Juliet.
Wait, I can ask similar questions for Isla Sorna: Am I there BEFORE Nedry fucks everyone over? For both islands, do I get all the knowledge I have right now? Because that could make a big difference. No way I'm letting the T-Rex get me. My head is starting to hurt going over scenarios.
Follow up, which island do you survive longer on and for how long?
Man, LOST makes this real tough to figure out. The people in Jurassic Park probably don't live much longer if they can't radio for a chopper, so it's tough to tell how long they'd survive. You gotta think soon enough they'd be eaten, though. From a purely survival point of view, I'm going with the Island. If I know what I know now, I really think I could eventually be the new Jacob/Jack/Hurley, which would be a great job. Just watchin' over the Island, bringing humans there to play my games, haunting people with dead relatives... all that great stuff. And assuming I eventually take over that role, couldn't I reign over the Island for hundreds of years? That's where LOST has an inherent advantage here... time isn't totally normal, people aren't just people.
Katie:
What do guys really want for Xmas (or Hanukkah)?
Any or all of the following should do:
Old ticket stubs turned into some kind of awesome poster or table
Wine (which will in turn be used to seduce the woman that gave it to him)
Jurassic Park Ultimate Trilogy Blu-ray
Old-school basketball jerseys, before the hoopsters claim them all
Bear Claw Meat Forks, for obvious reasons
Sleep Better Pillow - assuming your guy is a side sleeper.
I advise that you study that list very, very carefully. Guaranteed 100% satisfaction for any guy.
Aaron:
I have two Ducks/Duckworth related ideas that need to be vetted:
1. Sconnies are known for their crazy hunting prowess/obsession/ abundance of blaze orange & camo clothing. We are playing the Ducks. Isn't this is a perfect opportunity to take advantage of that? Chances are we'll be wearing white again and we stink in white.(I'm not positive but guessing we're the away team) Wouldn't it be an amazing coup to have Sconnie Nation decked out in blaze orange camo (Troy take note, $$) at the Rose Bowl opposite Phil Knight's minions? I know it would be tough to convince the older alumni but I feel like this could gain some serious traction in the student section. Am I crazy? Talk me down and tell me this is not a good idea.
ALLOW ME TO VET. The scary part is I actually kinda like this idea. It would stand out so well both in person and on TV. But it doesn't matter how awesome we think it is, because it just won't happen. As you correctly pointed out, the alumni will never go for it. Crotchety (I think I use that word every week, big fan) old people fear change and thrive on tradition. Fucking TRADITION. It kills new, fun ideas left and right.
Would the students go for it? Possibly. I like that you kinda pitched this to me and Troy, since right now I totally think that Sconnie should sell a blaze orange 'SCONNIE' shirt. It'd be a hot seller. But as far as this happening in Pasadena? Unlikely.
2. This kind of conflicts with the first point, but lets say the first one comes up short. Would it be appropriate to start a quack, Quack, QUACK chant, a la Mighty Ducks, if Duckworth makes another big play? Would people look at it as mocking Oregon and celebrating Duckworth at the same time or would it be looked at as ignorant in the face of Oregon's nickname? Also, are you aware if Oregon does this already?
I'm all for the Mighty Ducks references:
Mighty Ducks is one of the most timeless, amazing movies ever. Anytime we have a Badger that lets us reference that cinematic masterpiece, we are morally OBLIGATED to do so. Since Duckworth was mostly an unknown to John Q. Badgerfan, there was no such cheer for him in Indy. Also, that was the most amazing fucking play I've seen in person in a long time, and I think everyone was just a little too shocked to process what just happened. Pretty sure I didn't clap or anything, just kinda stood there. May or may not have been drunk, so that could be part of it. I was also busy bonding with my new best friend.
STORY TIME: I spent the first half sitting with my friends, but at halftime I moved up a few rows to say 'hi' to some people. I then quickly realized that I had to stay up there to see if I could potentially swing the mojo in our favor. Yada yada yada, some guy next to me became my default high-fiver after every good play. By the end of the game he gave me his card and told me to hit him up in Pasadena. I told him I was flattered, but I don't swing that way. Not that there's anything wrong with that.*
Anyway, I think Duckworth will have all of Camp Randall chanting 'QUACK! QUACK! QUACK!' next year, but getting the Badger faithful in Pasadena to catch on will be a tall order. Not enough students, too many old people sitting on their hands complaining about the drunk guy in front of them standing up. BUT IT WASN'T MY FAULT, THE PEOPLE IN FRONT OF ME WERE STANDING AS WELL. Confirmed by my more sober friends. I felt vindicated when they told me I was in the right.
*OK, he gave me his card, but I clearly didn't say that. Proof:
PS - I would die if anyone here knew this guy. Not blurring his name out just in case.
Rachel:
Lets hear it: your dream date with Black Jesus. ABC's The Bachelor style- you get the WHOLE day. (And it better be awesome, because I took a three minute break from studying for finals to think of a question and write this email.)
Ready? Because I'm pretty sure this isn't what you expected. I don't think it would be that fun to hang out with Black Jesus. I think he's a little too nice, straight-edged, and conservative to hang out with an idiot like me. I'd probably just want to go to Camp Randall and have him throw me passes until I passed out from exhaustion, mainly because I LOVE running around on giant, well-manicured fields. I also find the idea of being in a stadium by myself to be exceedingly awesome. Yes, I've daydreamt about running around the Kohl Center by myself, just shooting around for hours. I guess the closest I came to that was when I got to do the 'layup/free throw/half courter for season tickets' game during halftime of the Indiana/UW viewing party thing. I don't wanna talk about that anymore, though, because I still regret my half courter performance. SHAKY KNEES.
PS - Huge leap of faith to assume I have any idea how the Bachelor works. I was under the impression that the guy just picks the girl with the best 'Putting Out : STD' ratio. I'm also continually stunned to hear that these relationships never last. If true love isn't boning some random hooker after going sandboarding and dune buggying on a quasi-reality TV show, then I just don't know what is.
PPS - How many of you true Bachelor fans remember the episode I'm talking about? I'm not gonna say it was a fantastic hour of television, but it pretty much was. Ashleigh sucked so much, and everyone knew that there was no way that he would pick a girl that spelled her name that ridiculously. I was perfectly content with Vienna being chosen in the finale.
PPPS - What percentage of failed Bachelor contestants end up in porn? 70%? 85%?
Schneider:
What is your opinion on blacking out for major games (Super Bowl, Rose Bowl)? You've spent all this money going to this awesome game, and then a 20$ bottle of Minze makes you forget the whole thing
I don't even know anymore. I keep finding myself being disappointed in getting too drunk for sporting events, but then quickly rationalizing it by saying that you can do it while you're still somewhat young, since you have years and years of more sober viewing down the road. That's logical, right? Right.
I (obviously) went to the Rose Bowl last year. I was part of a group that rented some party bus to take us from LA to the Rose Bowl, where we set up shop in the parking lot. Countless games of flip cup and a few random shots later, and it was blackout city. I know I made it into the stadium a good 40 minutes before kickoff, but I truthfully do not remember a single play from the game. Now, since I've been told that we lost the game, that's actually not too much of a bad thing. But I'm starting to think that there's a better level of drunkenness to attain for a sporting event.
I'm firmly confident in saying that I was PERFECTLY drunk for the B1G Championship Game in Indy earlier this month. Loose enough to have a good time and yell a little, sober enough to remember the game in detailed fashion. I've since decided that this is probably the ideal level of drunkenness - ESPECIALLY for a game that requires lots of time and money to travel to.
So if you see me drinking before the Rose Bowl, please do not encourage me to start ripping Rumplemintz. I'm too weak to say 'no', and I really would like to remember at least a few plays of the game this year.
This plan will go to shit so fast once I'm in Pasadena. Ugh.
Polsky:
- How jealous were you that at 3:30am in Indy, I was content after my Jimmy John's and you were threatened with a Taser? #PoliceBrutality
Well, considering I'd rather get tazed than eat Jimmy John's, I wasn't that jealous. I'm not gonna address my disgust with JJ's, since I've done that before here. Instead I'd like to focus on your hashtag usage outside of Twitter.
I've seen a lot of people say stuff like, 'If you're hashtagging on Facebook, you're an idiot.' That's ridiculous. I LOVE hashtaggin', and do it very frequently in my tweets. I've also begun incorporating it into gchat and text messages. I'm about to hashtag the shit out of this mailbag. #justwentthere. What's so wrong with that? It's just a matter of time until a guy proposes via hashtag, or the Pope gives a speech with hashtags, or an NCAA coach molests a child via hashtag.
The way I see it, I'd much rather be at the forefront of a trend than trying to play catchup. But once the hipsters get a hold of hashtags, I'm the fuck outta there. Hipsters just ruin everything. I think Big Star is the only thing that hipsters love that I embrace. They will never alter my love for $3 whiskey, queso fundido, and sonoran hot dogs. Mmmmmmmmmm.
PS - I just decided to start using hashtags in conversation. Example:
This is some of the best ranch I've EVER had. HASHTAG REALTALK.
Every word, including hashtag, is spoken there. This should catch on immediately.
1. Do you think the gross oversight of Montee Ball for running back of the year was simply that, an oversight? Or some type of SEC conspiracy? What's your theory?
I was all ready to claim conspiracy until I saw that Montee didn't even do well in the Midwest, which is just ridiculous. By now, I've pretty much gotten over the Heisman thing. It's tough to argue against RGIII's fantastic season, and is the difference between 2nd and 4th really that big? Probably not.
It was probably much less conspiracy and much more people writing him off as some kind of product of the system. UW, obviously, churns out stud college running backs year in and year out. True, none of them have really put up numbers quite as absurd as what MBS did this year, but I can at least see where they're coming from.
There's also the fact that UW's athletic department went all-in on Black Jesus winning the Heisman. That definitely hurt Montee's chances, since it kinda is a popularity contest, and he was way behind by the time they made their little Heisman push for him.
If MBS came back, he would 100% be a top frontrunner (probably with Matt Barkley from USC, since it looks like he's coming back) to win the Heisman next year. But I'm having a very difficult time envisioning him back next year. Running backs only get so many miles out of their legs before the years of abuse beat them down. All we can do now is wish him luck and hope he sticks in the NFL for as long as possible.
2. How would you rank the following side dishes?
waffle fries
crinkle fries
steak fries
No 'regular' fries? Just using those 5, though, I'm gonna order them like this:
5. Sweet potato fries. I just haven't jumped on the sweet potato bandwagon. For some reason I compare it to getting the S'mores slice at Ian's. If you're trying to get that sweet and salty taste juxtaposition, I highly recommend dunking fries from Wendy's into a frosty. Damn, that actually sounds really good right about now.
4. Steak fries. Simply because steak fries are massive and therefore very potato-ey. If that makes sense. Bonus points if you have them with an actual steak, because then you can soak up some au jus, which makes anything taste 1,000x better. Especially rolls.
3. Crinkle fries. If more places had crinkle cut fries like Superdawg, they might be higher on this list. Superdawg's fries are damn near perfect. Also, the best grilled onions.
2. Tater tots. Taste-wise, they're probably not as good as some of the others here. But tater tots are PERFECT for tossing and trying to catch in your mouth, which happens to be one of my favorite games. I WILL do this everytime I'm at Redmond's and someone orders tots.
1. Waffle fries. Fo' free. Why aren't waffle fries more prevalent? Buff Joe's kills it with their waffle fries. Chick-fil-A has superb waffle fries. Do they require an inefficient usage of the potato? I don't get it. I hope I'm not alone in saving the one giant waffe fry for last, because I do that every time.
most overrated restaurant/dish in madison
Restaurant: Buffalo Wild Wings. BDubs had a good run, but then they started jacking up the price of wings on Tuesdays (I think it was .35 cents my freshman year, and around .50 cents by senior year). It was also the worst physical restaurant in Madison. Pretty much a giant hallway with a crappy bar and terrible TV's. Then they even spent the time and money to upgrade their TV's... and they bought like 17" screens. Never understood that. Plus, with Quaker Steak just down the street, there's literally no reason to go to BDubs anymore.
Dish: Breakfast Scambler from Mickies. I wish I loved this, espcially since it's like a big combo of all my favorite breakfast foods. But it just never sits right with me, and the bacon in mine was woefully undercooked last time. Once you factor in the hike to get there, there's really no reason to freak out about this place.
how would the badgers bball team fare in a xavier/UC style brawl? would any of them survive?
Oh, I get it. Because Wisconsin is a bunch of white boys, they can't fight. Is that right, Dingo? You disgust me.
I know I wouldn't wanna fight Jordan Taylor. Dude's built like the lovechild of an NFL linebacker and a semi-truck. I also have a personal rule about never fighting a guy with a hightop fade, so Evans would horrify me. Brust has that Neitzel skinhead look, which is very intimidating. I think we'd hold up just fine in a brawl. But my darkhorse pick for best street brawler in recent Badger memory? Stiemsma. There's a darkness about him that terrifies me, he has crazy reach, and I'm guessing his skull is of above average thickness.
JCoops:
What do you think of Tebow?
What do I think about Tebow? I think I figured out his secret:
If I were a Broncos fan, I would do nothing but wave my arms like the little kids in Angels in the Outfield.
Now, to more seriously answer your question, I guess I kinda love him now? It was far too trendy to hate on Tebow before, so I just wanna go against the grain and get on the Tebow Train. Does that make me a hipster Tebow fan? Possibly. Am I just disgustingly jealous of his forearm muscles? No doubt:
You would never guess it from that picture, but apparently Tebow doesn't bone. People doubt that, but you don't get jacked up forearms from being a RUSHING quarterback. Just remember, Timmy:
Jeremy:
If you were a GM, what round would you take black Jesus in the draft and why? Also do you think that despite being engaged, black Jesus is taking home any biddies from the kk on a Saturday night when all the jersey chasers throw themselves at him?
Man, if I'm the GM of your team, you're in SERIOUS trouble. But just to throw a number out there, I'd say if you want to groom a back-up or take a shot on a kid who just might be good enough to start, you gotta pull the trigger somewhere in the 4th-5th rounds. I feel like he's a much more intriguing draft prospect than people are giving him credit for. Based on my untrained, novice eye, I feel comfortable saying he has a real LIVE arm. The ball seems to pop off his hand nicely. Accuracy has also been a plus, but he'll need to work on his deep ball - a few too many times this year he's just missed that 40+ yard throw. He'd for sure be one of the top 10 most mobile QB's in the league, and I have few doubts about his ability to sense the rush and get out of there in time.
But it's not all perfect. His height will knock him down a rung for most teams, even though he already succeeds behind an NFL-sized offensive line at UW. I mentioned above that he has a LIVE arm (as opposed to those QB's with the dreaded dead arm), but I think his actual arm strength is a little short of what NFL scouts drool over.
My favorite part about Black Jesus? The INTANGIBLES. And I'm gonna make them so tangible right now by explaining what I mean:
Icy cool demeanor. I don't think I've ever seen him get too high or too low. It just seems like he's always in control the situation. Key attribute of a good QB.
Blessed. He's very, very blessed. You probably wouldn't know this if you just listened to interviews of him, but it's just a sixth sense of mine to immediately tell how blessed an individual is just by looking at them. And let me tell you - Russell Wilson, that's one BLESSED football player.
Oozes leadership. It's not easy to transfer to a program and get voted captain like 2 hours later, but Black Jesus accomplished that feat no more than hour ago.
He's a sponge. As an aspiring NFL quarterback, I'm gonna go ahead and guess that you need to absorb a stupid amount of information in small amount of time. We've already seen that Wilson is more than capable of doing just that.
As for the second part of your question, I immediately stopped reading when I got to 'biddies'. I tried it on for size, but I just can't roll with that. I would've accepted tricks, marks, mark-ass tricks, trick-ass marks, skeezers, skanks, skig-scags or scallywhops.
CJ:
Why are smoke breaks legal? Further, why are Cigerettes legal in general. The health costs are astronomical and the productivity costs of someone leaving for 15 minutes every hour have got to be off the charts. If I ever ran a company neither would be legal.
I like how you would make smoking illegal if you ran a company. That's the kind of leadership I can get behind. I'd say it's the second best idea ever, after my plan to let people work 15 minutes late Monday-Thursday so they could leave an hour early on Friday. Who WOULDN'T do that? Probably smokers.
Anyway, cigarettes are legal simply because of money. Tobacco companies have lobbyists, who make sure that politicians do only what is in the best interest of the group they lobby on behalf of. You see, that's one time where I don't feel bad about ending a sentence in a preposition. I always thought that was a bullshit rule.
Back to cigarettes - as long as Big Tobacco has all that lobbying power in Washington, Cigarettes will keep ruining the world, one stick at a time. Which is exactly why I want to be a lobbyist. I'm pretty sure it's the best job ever that doesn't have a union. You just get paid billions of dollars to buy lobsters, blow and hookers for all the senators and representatives money can buy. This is why I have a seriously difficult time ever getting involved in political mumbo jumbo. It doesn't matter if something is beneficial to the greater good, it only matters if it keeps the rich rich. As someone who is not filthy rich (AT LEAST NOT YET), this offends me. I'm sure once I'm a trillionaire I won't care about the rest of the peasants in the world, but that day is still at least a few months away.
This brings us back to smoke breaks. I have always felt that in lieu of taking 15 minutes every hour or two to smoke a stick, I can justifiably play on the internet. The way I see it, we'll all be working the same amount of time, except instead of emphysema and a lifetime of talking like Richard Harrow from Boardwalk, I actually extend my life due to the countless laughs from things like these:
That little dance Oprah does at the end there kills me every time. Just absolutely slays me.
Raffi:
Bowl game ban for osu is HUUUGE!!!
Who else is going to challenge us for the leaders division title now that osu is ineligible? Penn state is fucked. Illinois always sucks. Don't even look at the teams from Indiana. Second trip to Indy and a date with Michigan is pretty much booked
It's enormous. Ideally, we'd still beat OSU when they come to Madison next year, but there's a good chance that we won't even have to do that. You kinda broke it down already, but let me add to it for a second here:
Penn State. Worst recruiting class in recent memory, terrible offense, no shot they win more than 7 games.
Illinois. New coach, same old shit. Not a threat.
Indiana. I've heard some rumors that now that they have a respectable basketball team again, they might actually eliminate their football program. No one would ever notice.
Purdue. Didn't they used to get good quarterbacks all the time? What the fuck happened to that trend? Idiots.
So I guess even WITH Joey Brennan or true frosh Bart Houston at the helm, anything less than a birth in the B1G Championship will be a monumental disappointment. If there's a futures bet you can make right now about us being in Indy, bet your house on it. Whether or not we beat Michigan/Nebraska/MSU in the title game, well, it's way too early to tell. But you gotta like the way next season is shaping up. We might contend for another Rose Bowl without a serious threat under center. Amazing.
Lastly, just wanna wish everyone a Happy Hanukkah, Merry Christmas, and if any of you celebrate Kwanzaa please let me know because I have a lot of unanswered questions.
ON WISCONSIN
Posted by Schwa at 9:49 PM
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It's going to be quite busy this year in the MENA region! In line with our objective to help develop the regional ecosystem, we are pleased to announce that we're opening the applications for the third batch of our annual 500 Startups MENA Dojo Series A Program, in partnership with Qatar Science & Technology Park (QSTP).
The MENA Dojo Series A Program is for startups that have reached a certain level of scale and are likely to raise a Series A in the next six to nine months. We will be bringing in a roster of mentors from our Silicon Valley and global team focused on instilling a growth mindset, growth hacking and marketing techniques. The program is one-to-one mentorship driven, which means that in addition to foundational lectures and workshops, each startup will have meaningfully unique advice and support. These tools, although well developed and regarded in Silicon Valley, provide a significant advantage to startups in the region, with several startups in past batches managing to triple their key metrics from the learnings. Several startups from the previous batches have gone on to raise large later stage rounds, including Souqalmal, Eatapp, Eventtus, Justmop, Eyewa, Nawah Scientific and more.
We're pleased to continue our partnership with QSTP, who have been instrumental in supporting our initiative to bring these mentors and the Silicon Valley mindset to the region. Startups that have been accepted into the program will receive $150,000 in investment for 5% equity, and will pay a $15,000 tuition fee.
The deadline to apply is 28th February and the program will commence on the 31st of March.
Hasan is a Partner at 500 Startups taking care of the MENA region. He believes in building thriving ecosystems across the region, investing in startups and having a lasting impact. A reformed investment banker, startup founder and founder of one of the first angel investment groups in the MENA region, he's been active in the region's budding ecosystem since 2007.


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The Block and Cylinder Problem
The students had handed in their solutions to the tenth problem set. The instructor, David, took a quick clicker poll to find that most students had the wrong answer to problem #3 (from Close, Gomez & Heron, 2013). With a great deal of new material planned for the lecture, David told the class they would discuss this "very briefly."
A block and a cylinder, each of mass M, are on a level, frictionless surface. There's a string tied to the center of the front of the block, and another string wound many times around the cylinder. Each string exerts the same force. The cylinder has radius R and height 2R; the block has sides 2R.
a) If they both start from rest, which one gets to the finish line first?
b) Find the angular acceleration of the cylinder.
A.J. and Maayan express a common idea: the cylinder's energy splits between linear and rotational motions. So the cylinder has less linear kinetic energy, and the block wins the race. Maayan compares this situation to a previous question: A ball rolling down a ramp was slower than a block sliding.
Michael's argument is two-fold: 1) in the prior question, friction was necessary for the ball to roll, and 2) Newton's second law says the block and cylinder must tie. Michael speaks frequently in the class, and other students have their hands raised.
Oona argues that it takes pulling more rope to move the cylinder than it takes to move the block, because rope unwinds, and more rope would mean more time.
Josh works to respond to the arguments that the block wins, but he seems to have trouble articulating his reasoning. David tries to help.
Josh agrees with Oona that rope comes off the cylinder quickly and easily, but he thinks the block and cylinder can still tie. His argument responds to others' reasoning about energy: The block and cylinder do not have the same energy, because you do more work pulling the cylinder.
Off camera, many students have their hands raised. David summarizes both arguments (not shown) and prepares to take another vote.
Like Josh, Jacob thinks different amounts of work are done on the block and cylinder: It does not matter that some energy goes into the rotation of the cylinder; the cylinder simply ends up with more total energy than the block.
Shivani and Stanley challenge Michael's argument because they believe that something different happens to an object when a force is applied on an edge instead of along the center. While Shivani struggles to make her point clear to David, Stanley tries to help. He compares this situation to that of a rock hitting a stick off-center, from a problem in assignment #8.
Connor then reiterates Oona's argument: Getting the cylinder to the finish line takes a "greater distance" of rope than the block, so if you are pulling the ropes at the same time, the block will get there first.
When David suggests leaving this question for next time, Brian signals off camera that he would like to speak. Brian introduces a new type of argument into the discussion: the results of an at home experiment. He used two identical cans of a soft drink, tying string around one (like a block) and wrapping string around the other. In his experiment, the can with the tied string won.
Nitin responds to Brian by saying that the rope comes off the cylinder much faster, and so he does not understand how he can apply the same force to both objects.
After this clip, David provides several explanations of why the two objects tie (not shown). Six minutes later, Connor jumps back in.
Often in introductory physics, the difference between a problem result and the "real world" is that the problem, like this one, excludes friction. Connor's question fits both with his experiment and with this typical explanation of why "physics class" has a different result from "the real world."
Connor's previous contributions make more sense in light of his experimental design. By using headphone wire, he could indeed pull on both the "block" and "cylinder" at the same time using the jack end of the headphones. This set up actually guarantees that a smaller force is applied to the cylinder because the wire can unwind instead of being firmly attached. The problem with his set up was not friction, but the unequal forces on the two objects.
David continues pressing to move on, and eventually he does, picking up his notes from the podium.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Festival News – Kendal Poetry Festival
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Speakers at our 'Where To Next?' event
Posted on:	 May 28, 2021	 Last updated on:	 June 1, 2021	 Written by:	Kendal Poetry Festival	Comments:	0
Read on for news of our lineup at our event Where To Next? Tickets, Wed 2 Jun 2021 at 13:00 | Eventbrite Naush Sabah is Editor and Publishing Director at Poetry Birmingham Literary Journal, a visiting lecturer at Birmingham City University, and…
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Where To Next? – A Seminar Hosted by Kendal Poetry Festival
June 2nd, 1pm-4pm The literary landscape has been transformed by the pandemic – how do we move forwards? In February 2021, Kendal Poetry Festival staged 45 online events over 10 days, including "Rising to the Challenge: Poetry in an Age…
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An Em Humble Film
Posted on:	 May 4, 2021	 Last updated on:	 May 4, 2021	 Written by:	Kendal Poetry Festival	Comments:	0
We have been working with film-maker Em Humble to create a record of the 2021 Kendal Poetry Festival, and we are absolutely stunned with the result. Thanks to Em for all our hard work in bringing this together, and to…
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Kendal Poetry Festival shortlisted for 2021 Saboteur Awards
Posted on:	 April 19, 2021	 Last updated on:	 April 19, 2021	 Written by:	Kendal Poetry Festival	Comments:	0
Shortlist for 2021 Saboteur Awards We were absolutely delighted and surprised to find out a few days ago that the 2021 Kendal Poetry Festival has been shortlisted for 'Best Literary Festival' in the 2021 Saboteur Awards. It is particularly lovely…
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Getting to Know our Young Poet in Residence
Posted on:	 February 13, 2021	 Last updated on:	 February 13, 2021	 Written by:	Kendal Poetry Festival	Comments:	0
As Kendal Poetry Festival has moved online his year, we've also moved our Young Poet in Residence post online for 2021. Heather Hughes is our Young Poet in Residence for 2021, here we get to know her, and get a…
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Poetry as an Ever-Changing Beast
Poetry is a political statement, and also serves as historical documents. Wordsworth charted the Lakes and environmentalism, and Carol Ann Duffy maps our current century for future generations. Whether poets think about this while they're writing is debatable, but the…
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Accessibility and poetry
Posted on:	 February 4, 2021	 Last updated on:	 February 4, 2021	 Written by:	Kendal Poetry Festival	Comments:	0
For those of you who don't know me, I'm a disabled poet with a life limiting illness. One of the reasons I decided to join the Kendal Poetry Festival team is that they have shown a commitment to accessibility.…
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Free Zoom Workshops!
Posted on:	 January 28, 2021	 Last updated on:	 February 1, 2021	 Written by:	Kendal Poetry Festival	Comments:	0
Free Zoom Workshops! The last ten months have been a crash course in online connection. Workshops, courses, church services, gigs – and now, of course, the Kendal Poetry Festival – are all conducted on Zoom. But a year ago, most…
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The Original Dove Cottage Young Poets
Posted on:	 January 27, 2021	 Last updated on:	 January 28, 2021	 Written by:	Kendal Poetry Festival	Comments:	1
If you're been coming to Kendal Poetry Festival for the past three years, you may have noticed the ever changing faces of those within Dove Cottage Young Poets. So what happened to these previous members? Find out below. Chim…
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COME TO MY EVENT, PLEASE
By Jonathan Davidson Sometimes you just have to say what you mean. This blogpost is designed expressly to tempt the many tens of thousands, millions really, probably billions, who have not signed up to come to my talk and discussion…
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Love and Friendship in Adolescence
Adolescence is a time marked by the first experiences and discoveries in love and friendship. We'll look at the different feelings that teenagers go through at this stage of their lives.
Adolescence is a stage in life where teens have their first experiences of love and friendship. In fact, it's a fantastic opportunity for young people to discover two of the most important feelings that people experience. In this article, we'll talk about how important they are for teenagers.
Friendship in adolescence takes on a fundamental role, since it's the moment when teens have more freedom and independence. Sometimes, adolescents spend less time with their parents than with friends. This leads many parents to worry about what habits their teens will pick up in their social circles.
However, even if you notice that your children want more space, they still need you. Therefore, you should always be interested in them and available to talk when they need you.
Adolescent love is something teens will remember forever because of its intensity and importance, as well as the emotional learning experiences it brings.
In fact, most people remember their first loves for the rest of their lives. They represent a significant change in teens' lives, since it's a much more moving and intense relationship than anything they had ever experienced before.
They may also have a sense of desperate attachment. This means their happiness from being with someone mixes with their fear of being left behind.
As a result, painful conflicts happen while struggling with freedom, possession, honesty, trust, jealousy or rejection.
Therefore, it's important for parents to always be aware of this tension. That way, they can understand the complexity of their children's relationships.
Finally, it's time to ask yourself if it's possible for there to be love and friendship among teenagers. Often, there are situations of two teenagers where they're friends, but they're also attracted to each other.
Love and friendship in adolescence: what makes it so special?
For teenagers, good friends can be like a personal support group that brings many benefits. These are the top things that love and friendship give adolescents:
Provide emotional security that teenagers need to grow.
Allow teens to do new things within social groups, outside of their family.
Provide a sense of belonging and value, and help build trust.
Offer a way of experiencing different values, roles, ideas and identities.
Bring comfort to see that others are going through similar things.
Are a source of recognition that helps build self-esteem.
"Adolescence is the moment in life when young people stop believing in fairy tales and start believing in love."
Why is love and friendship so important in adolescence?
Age is just a number when it comes to love and friendship. However, in adolescence, love takes on a special magnitude. Some reasons why love is so important in adolescence is because it allows teens to:
Experience their first love.
Feel physical interest for the first time.
Share feelings and thoughts that you don't share with anyone else.
Have an opportunity to know what the word "commitment" represents.
Learn the meaning of a healthy relationship between two people, which includes giving and receiving.
Have very important moral support during this stage.
Set boundaries and limits for the first time.
Before concluding, you should know that several studies have confirmed that dating doesn't always affect teens' self-esteem, but rather has a significant effect on internalizing behaviors, being able to talk openly, and sexist beliefs.
In short, love and friendship in adolescence are some of the most beautiful and exciting experiences that people discover throughout their lives.
Remember, as a mother, you should never pressure your children about their choices. Of course, you should always be available to help and guide them through this special stage!
Your Teenager's First Love: Tips on How to Respond
A first love during the teenage years can bring strong emotions of jealousy, fear and heartbreak, among other complex feelings.
adolescencechildrenparenting
Carmona, M. G., & López, J. E. (2015). Autoconcepto, dificultades interpersonales, habilidades sociales y conductas asertivas en adolescentes. Revista Española de Orientación y Psicopedagogía, 26(2), 42-58. https://www.redalyc.org/pdf/3382/338241632004.pdf
Coleman, J. C., & Hendry, L. B. (2003). Psicología de la adolescencia. Ediciones Morata.
Lacunza, A. B., & de González, N. C. (2011). Las habilidades sociales en niños y adolescentes. Su importancia en la prevención de trastornos psicopatológicos. Fundamentos en humanidades, 12(23), 159-182. https://www.redalyc.org/pdf/184/18424417009.pdf
Michelson, L., Sugai, D., Wood, R. y Kazdin, A. (1987). Las habilidades sociales en la infancia: Evaluación y tratamiento. Barcelona: Martínez Roca.
Eating habits for childrenHow to Keep a Toddler Entertained in a Restaurant
What should you know?Why It's Important to Know Children's Rights
Childhood behaviorWhat Do I Get My Child to Obey Me?
Children's dietWeekly Menu for Children from 6 to 12 Years Old
Childhood behaviorHow Do I Know if My Child Is Hyperactive?
Tips for raising your childThe Importance of Family Dialogue
Tips for raising your childTips to Help Your Child Stop Wetting at Night
Childhood behaviorWhy Does My Child Love to Be Naked?


3 night stay, daily breakfast & dinner, Return speed boat transfers.
Set just behind the beach treeline, our Maldives beach bungalows provide the ultimate in tropical luxury. While some rooms are detached, others are in blocks of two, perfect for families or groups. There is no other Maldives beach hotel accommodation quite like it.
Our exceptional Maldives water villas are Paradise Island Resort's ultimate accommodation. Bright, spacious, and luxuriously appointed, they are what dreams are made of. Either facing sunrise or sunset, every Maldives water bungalow features steps down to the crystal clear lagoon below - perfect for swimming or a snorkeling adventure.
Paradise Island offers an enclave of secluded Maldives villas that enjoy sweeping ocean views and a host of superb luxuries - ideal for guests seeking a truly captivating Maldivian vacation. Built on stilts directly above the water, within the exclusive Haven complex, each Maldives vacation villa features a separate check in area and access to a private swimming pool.
Serving sumptuous, buffet-style breakfasts, lunches, and dinners, this breezy Maldives restaurant perfectly captures the island spirit with native rattan furniture and alluring Indian Ocean views through expansive windows.
Located at the end of the main jetty, overlooking the ocean, Ristorante al Tramanto offers the perfect Maldives romantic hotel dining experience. Stop by for sunset cocktails or to savour inspired Italian specialties such as fresh baked pizzas and tantalizing pastas. Enjoy the warm candlelit ambiance inside or dine al fresco on the breezy deck.
A small, decorative bridge over a miniature pool and waterfall leads you to the entrance of this cozy Maldives Japanese restaurant. Adorned in authentic Japanese splendour, the restaurant showcases traditional Japanese teppanyaki, or "show cooking," in which the chef performs a show as he prepares the meal, showcasing eye-catching tricks and new variations on cooking techniques.


Travel blogs are starting to be my latest obsession mainly because of all the information that you guys include. Perfect to just come to one blog with all the info thank you so much!!
I'd love to go visit there some time! Very helpful post! Thanks!
Oh how I would love to live in some of those buildings.
Amazing resources here! And I love the pictures. I really never knew anything about Ottawa before, but I am tempted to check it out now.
I would love to go to one of the museums or take a stroll through the parks.
I feel super prepared if I ever visit! Thanks for the great tips.
I could not afford to travel yet outside Asia but looking forward to explore other parts of the world. The photos you posted made me feel like I was there already. Of the festivals you posted, I got excited the most with the Tulip Festival. I love that flower so much.
Wow there is so much to do! I'm so looking forward to travelling Canada for the first time next year!
Sounds like you could never get bored in Ottawa. If we ever visit I know we would love the history museums. My husband is a fan of history. The Tanger outlets would be on my list. I love shopping anywhere I go.
Wow, there is so much to do here! You'd need a solid chunk of time to really enjoy everything it has to offer. Such a beautiful place!
It's such a beautiful city! I've been to Toronto but not Ottawa, Wow!
These are a lot of activities, wow! Seems like there is a lot to do and explore in Ottawa! I would love to go there one day.
What an amazing resource for visitors to Ottawa! The architecture of the buildings look so grand and beautiful!
This is quite a comprehensive list of attractions in Ottawa. I had no idea there was so much in this city. It must have taken a lot of research.
this is an amazing guide! if you printed this off you wouldn't need to google anything! nice work!
We're really looking forward to visiting Canada. Looks like Ottawa has plenty to offer. Great guide with tons of info. Thanks!
I've never thought of visiting Ottowa before but seems like there's plenty to see and do there!
Wow, there seems to be a lot to do in Ottowa! I guess I need to add it to my travel list. Thanks!
Ottowa is Packed! Laying all the attractions out like this makes it seem like you'd need weeks there to accomplish them all.
OMG – I never knew Ottawa had so much to see and do. Canada is a truly wonderful country from what I have seen although I have only really seen the west coast. This post has given me a whole new take on Ottawa with the lists and links you have included…can't wait to check these out more and eventually make it to see this city for myself.


text:
Home Climate Landmark NZ climate change conference opens to 'unite Pacific'
Landmark NZ climate change conference opens to 'unite Pacific'
Kiribati's President Anote Tong ... UN General Assembly "only wants to talk about terrorism". Image: The Hungry Tide
Kiribati's President Anote Tong, a leading advocate for the Pacific over climate change, is one the keynote speakers at a landmark conference on the issue opening in Wellington today.
More than 200 people are gathering at Victoria University this week to take part in the the three-day In the Eye of the Storm conference.
The conference draws together experts across business, science, law, media and the arts to explore the effects, challenges and possible solutions to climate change in the Pacific.
Other keynote speakers eminent Australian scientist Professor Will Steffen, indigenous rights lawyer Dayle Takitimu, 350.org's Bill McKibben (via video) and Victoria University scientists Professor James Renwick and Professor Tim Naish.
Assistant Vice-Chancellor (Pasifika) Luamanuvau Winnie Laban, one of the conference's lead organisers, says the conference is a unique opportunity to hear from voices all over the Pacific.
"The Pacific is one of the world's most vulnerable regions to the effects of climate change, and we can't sit back and wait for bigger countries to act," she said.
"It's critical that we understand how climate change will affect us as a region, and identify ways we can mitigate and adapt to the challenges of this global threat.
"We're delighted to offer a line-up of such knowledgeable, talented keynote speakers and panellists, as well as having representatives from 16 Pacific Island nations in attendance."
The conference's official opening is this morning and includes a powhiri by Professor Piri Sciascia and a short Fijian theatre performance.
Climate crises in post-Paris Pacific
SOURCEScoop Independent News
Anote Tong
Winnie Laban
NZ plans to allow 1000 overseas students into the country


16% of Air Moldova passengers were over the age of 60.
5% of Air Moldova passengers traveled with kids under 14.
38% of Air Moldova passengers were millennials.
47% of Air Moldova passengers were female.
Chisinau was the most popular destination for Air Moldova passengers.
Chisinau International Airport was the most popular airport for Air Moldova travelers.
The Air Moldova Club from Air Moldova is a frequent flyer program tailored towards loyal customers, allowing them to earn great points with this free to join service. Enjoy exclusive access into the VIP Lounge at Chisinau aiport when you become an Air Moldova Club member.
The Moldovan capital of Chisinau is full of surprises. For such an iconic Eastern European city, it has a brilliantly Parisian feel to it, especially when strolling through the Stefan cel Mare Central Park and the buzzing Central Market. Stop off at Eternity, a stunning memorial dedicated to the soldiers who fell in World War II, for a striking example of the soviet influence on Moldova and its history.
Air Moldova is the national carrier of Moldova, with its main operating base situated at the Chisinau International Airport. This airline was founded in the year 1993 and has its headquarters located in Chisinau, Moldova. Air Moldova operates scheduled flights to more than 20 destinations in Europe. Some of the famous destinations that this airline covers are Paris, Istanbul, Frankfurt, Athens, Dublin, Rome, Moscow, Madrid, London, Venice and many more. Air Moldova is one of the few airlines that rank high on every front: comfort, dining and customer service.
Business Class and Economy Class are the two classes that Air Moldova offers.
Business Class: For Business class passengers the emphasis is always on privacy and comfort. In the business class seating configuration the central seats are kept empty offering that extra inch of space to the passenger. Seats are extremely comfortable and come with features like ample legroom, headrest and superior reclining. From complimentary snacks and meals to some of the most exotic wines in the world, the dining choices offered are certainly irresistible. Air Moldova also offers an in-flight magazine which acts as an interesting source of entertainment for those who love a good read.
Economy Class: Economy class passengers are offered the perfect blend of affordability and comfort. Seats are designed for relaxation and come with features like ample legroom and superior reclining. Based on the duration of the flight, economy class passengers are offered meals, drinks and snacks. A niche selection of magazines and newspapers offers the required entertainment quotient.
Comfort matters and that is why Air Moldova offers seats that come with features like ample legroom, headrest and superior reclining. For business class passengers privacy is given top priority.
Meals are prepared by top quality chefs and the menu includes everything from snacks, alcoholic beverages to full meals, so prepare your taste buds for an amazing experience.
Cabin crew is helpful and friendly, adding charm to the whole experience.
Skip the long queues at the airport by opting for the airline's online check-in facility. You can select the seat of your choice from the comfort of your home or office, saving you both time and energy. Online check-in time ranges from 24 hours up to 2 hours before the flight's scheduled departure time.


text:
Q: (PYTHON) iterating through a dictionary Say I have two dictionaries:
randomLetters = {'j': 0, 'p': 1, 'x': 2}
corLetters = {'t': 0, 'h': 1, 'e': 2}

I want my "for loop" to iterate through the dictionary and replace the "random letters" Keys with "corLetters" keys and output to a string. This is how I have it so far:
for k in randomLetters.values():
    attempt = strOne.replace(randomLetters.keys()[k], corLetters.keys()[k])
print("\nThe first attempt at deciphering is: ")
print(attempt)

When I print this out, I expect the output to be "the" but instead I get "jpe". Can someone show me how to correctly iterate using a for loop and output it to the terminal as a string?

A: if what you want to do is only know the output:
randomLetters = {'j': 0, 'p': 1, 'x': 2}
corLetters = {'t': 0, 'h': 1, 'e': 2}
attempt=" "
for h,k in randomLetters.items():
        for i,x in corLetters.items():
            if k==x:
                attempt=attempt+i

print("\nThe first attempt at deciphering is: "+attempt)

The output is: the

But, if you want also to change the Keys on randomLetters:
randomLetters = {'j': 0, 'p': 1, 'x': 2}
corLetters = {'t': 0, 'h': 1, 'e': 2}
attempt=" "
for h,k in randomLetters.items():
        for i,x in corLetters.items():
            if k==x:
                randomLetters[i] = randomLetters.pop(h)
                attempt=attempt+i

print("\nThe first attempt at deciphering is: "+attempt)

The output is: "the" and the randomLetter dictionary is "{'t': 0, 'h': 1, 'e': 2}"

Hope it help, have a nice day,
David

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


Instead of having to resort to the arduous task of scrolling down long pages, you can make your readers very happy by offering them page jumps as an alternative mode of transport around your site.
An anchor link is a link on a page that brings you to a specific place on that page. Anchor links can be helpful when you want to bring a website visitor to a specific spot on a page. Try it out� Anchor links can be helpful when you want to bring a website visitor to a specific spot on a page.
Adding these PDFs to a folder with a name like "documents" is a pretty common practice. This will make it easier for future updates and to find where these files are (it's the same reason why your site's graphic files are inside a folder called "images", etc.).
I think when Wix are talking about anchors they are specifically referring to the type of anchor that you use to create a one page website. One of those websites where all the page content is on one page and you simply scroll through the different elements to see it all.


text:
El cambio climático altera las fuerzas gravitatorias, con fuerte incidencia en el inevitable aumento del nivel del mar – Referencias
Texto de referencia: El cambio climático altera las fuerzas gravitatorias, con fuerte incidencia en el inevitable aumento del nivel del mar
E. Rignot et al (2011) – Acceleration of the contribution of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to sea level rise – Geophysical Research Letters 38 L05503doi:10.1029/2011GL046583 – Earth System Science, University of California – http://igitur-archive.library.uu.nl/phys/2012-0315-200618/rignot_etal_grl2011.pdf – 5 autores
"Ice sheet mass balance estimates have improved substantially in recent years using a variety of techniques, over different time periods, and at various levels of spatial detail. Considerable disparity remains between these estimates due to the inherent uncertainties of each method, the lack of detailed comparison between independent estimates, and the effect of temporal modulations in ice sheet surface mass balance. Here, we present a consistent record of mass balance for the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets over the past two decades, validated by the comparison of two independent techniques over the last 8 years: one differencing perimeter loss from net accumulation, and one using a dense time series of time-variable gravity. We find excellent agreement between the two techniques for absolute mass loss and acceleration of mass loss. In 2006, the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets experienced a combined mass loss of 475 ± 158 Gt/yr, equivalent to 1.3 ± 0.4 mm/yr sea level rise. Notably, the acceleration in ice sheet loss over the last 18 years was 21.9 ± 1 Gt/yr2 for Greenland and 14.5 ± 2 Gt/yr2 for Antarctica, for a combined total of 36.3 ± 2 Gt/yr2. This acceleration is 3 times larger than for mountain glaciers and ice caps (12 ± 6 Gt/yr2). If this trend continues, ice sheets will be the dominant contributor to sea level rise in the 21st century."
Jerry X. Mitrovica et al (2009) – The Sea-Level Fingerprint of West Antarctic Collapse – Science 323:753 doi:10.1126/science.1166510 – Department of Physics, University of Toronto – 3 autores
"Recent projections of sea-level rise after a future collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (for example, the Fourth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Report) assume that meltwater will spread uniformly (that is, eustatically) across the oceans once marine-based sectors of the West Antarctic are filled. A largely neglected 1977 study predicted that peak values would be 20% higher than the eustatic in the North Pacific and 5 to 10% higher along the U.S. coastline. We show, with use of a state-of-the-art theory, that the sea-level rise in excess of the eustatic value will be two to three times higher than previously predicted for U.S. coastal sites."
James E. Hansen and Makiko Sato (2011) – Paleoclimate Implications for Human-Made Climate Change – En: Climate Change: Inferences from Paleoclimate and Regional Aspects. A. Berger, F. Mesinger, and D. Šijački, Eds. Springer – NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University Earth Institute – http://arxiv.org/abs/1105.0968v3
"We conclude that ocean core data are correct in indicating that global surface temperature was only slightly higher in the Eemian and Holsteinian interglacial periods than in the Holocene, at most by about 1°C, but probably by only several tenths of a degree Celsius. By extension (see Fig. 6), the Pliocene was at most 1-2°C warmer than the Holocene on global mean."
Robert E. Kopp et al (2010) – Probabilistic assessment of sea level during the last interglacial stage – Nature 462:863-868 doi:10.1038/nature08686 – Department of Geosciences, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University – 5 autores
"We find a 95% probability that global sea level peaked at least 6.6m higher than today during the last interglacial; it is likely (67% probability) to have exceeded 8.0 m but is unlikely (33% probability) to have exceeded 9.4 m. When global sea level was close to its current level ($210 m), the millennial average rate of global sea level rise is very likely to have exceeded 5.6 m.kyr-1 but is unlikely to have exceeded 9.2 m kyr-1. Our analysis extends previous last interglacial sea level studies by integrating literature observations within a probabilistic framework that accounts for the physics of sea level change. The results highlight the long-term vulnerability of ice sheets to even relatively low levels of sustained global warming."
Harry Dowsett et al (1994) – Joint investigations of the Middle Pliocene climate I: PRISM paleoenvironmental reconstructions – Global and Planetary Change 9:169-195 – U.S. Geological Survey – 9 autores
"This reconstruction, developed primarily from paleontological data, includes middle Pliocene sea level, vegetation, land-ice distribution, sea-ice distribution, and sea-surface temperature (SST), all of which contribute to our conceptual understanding of this climate system. These data indicate middle Pliocene sea level was at least 25 m higher than present, presumably due in large part to a reduction in the size of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet."
W.T. Pfeffer et al (2008) – Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Rise – Science 321:1340-1343 doi:10.1126/science.1159099 – Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado – 3 autores
"We consider glaciological conditions required for large sea-level rise to occur by 2100 and conclude that increases in excess of 2 meters are physically untenable. We find that a total sea-level rise of about 2 meters by 2100 could occur under physically possible glaciological conditions but only if all variables are quickly accelerated to extremely high limits. More plausible but still accelerated conditions lead to total sea-level rise by 2100 of about 0.8 meter … … these values give a context and starting point for refinements in SLR forecasts on the basis of clearly defined assumptions and offer a more plausible range of estimates than those neglecting the dominant ice dynamics term."
James Hansen (2007) – Scientific reticence and sea level rise – Environmental Research Letters 2 024002 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/2/2/024002 – NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University Earth Institute – http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2007/2007_Hansen.pdf
"Under BAU forcing in the 21st century, the sea level rise surely will be dominated by a third term: (3) ice sheet disintegration. This third term was small until the past few years, but it is has at least doubled in the past decade and is now close to 1 mm/year, based on the gravity satellite measurements discussed above. As a quantitative example, let us say that the ice sheet contribution is 1 cm for the decade 2005–15 and that it doubles each decade until the West Antarctic ice sheet is largely depleted. That time constant yields a sea level rise of the order of 5 m this century. Of course I cannot prove that my choice of a ten-year doubling time for nonlinear response is accurate, but I am confident that it provides a far better estimate than a linear response for the ice sheet component of sea level rise under BAU forcing. "
Paul Blanchon et al (2009) – Rapid sea-level rise and reef back-stepping at the close of the last interglacial highstand – Nature 458:881-884 doi:10.1038/nature07933 – Published online: 16/04/2009 – Institute of Marine & Limnological Sciences, National Autonomous University of Mexico – 4 autores
"Reconstruction of eustatic sea level from the precise age and elevation of submerged reef-crest corals has shown that the last deglaciation (Termination 1) was punctuated by rapid, metre-scale rise events caused by ice-sheet instability (refs). Little is known, however, about the potential for unstable ice-sheet and sea-level behaviour within fully interglacial climates."
"The 95%, 67% and 33% probability exceedance values for 1,000-year average GSL rise rate during the interval when GSL was $210m are 5.6mkyr21, 7.4mkyr21 and 9.2mkyr21, respectively (Fig. 4b; Fig. 5, dashed line).We emphasize that these values by no means exclude faster intervals of sea level rise lasting for less than one millennium."
Now is the time to prepare for the great floods – New Scientist 2715 – July 2009 – http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327152.800-now-is-the-time-to-prepare-for-the-great-floods.html
"Three key facts about rising sea levels need to be hammered home to the world's politicians and planners: sea-level rise is now inevitable, it will happen faster than most of us thought, and it will go on for a very long time. Even if greenhouse gas emissions stopped tomorrow, the oceans will continue to swell as they warm, and as glaciers and ice sheets melt or slide into the sea … The growing consensus among climate scientists is that the "official" estimate of sea-level rise in the last report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – 0.2 to 0.6 metres by 2100 – is misleading. It could well be in the region of 1 to 2 metres, with a small risk of an even greater rise. And barring a megaproject to cool the planet, it could take several thousand years for the system to reach equilibrium…
Aida Vila – Groenlandia: el cambio climático evidente – Greenpeace, 26/07/2012 – Responsable de la campaña Cambio climático y Energía de Greenpeace España – http://m.greenpeace.es/index.php/blog/2012/07/groenlandia-el-cambio-climatico-evidente
"Una buena muestra de por dónde va la política climática española son las declaraciones del ministro Cañete en la sesión del Consejo Asesor de Medio Ambiente, celebrada el pasado martes, cuando al ser preguntado por qué datos sobre impactos del cambio climático en la costa se habían tenido en cuenta a la hora de abordar la reforma de la Ley de Costas afirmó que 'el cambio climático no causa impactos en la costa española'."
Rafael Méndez – Solo la extinción de incendios se salva del drástico recorte en Medio Ambiente – El País, 29/09/2012 – http://economia.elpais.com/economia/2012/09/29/actualidad/1348927832_748003.html
"En cambio climático solo hay presupuestados 46 millones para comprar derechos de emisión, pese a que los presupuestos reconocen que España aún deberá adquirir unos 105 millones de toneladas de CO2 (que puede oscilar entre los 700 y los 1.500 millones en función de cómo evolucione el mercado de derechso de emisión). Para completar las compras hay hasta final de 2014, así que ese gasto (obligado por compromisos internacionales) queda diferido para el próximo presupuesto."


text:
Prado är en ort i Brasilien.   Den ligger i kommunen Prado och delstaten Bahia, i den östra delen av landet,  km öster om huvudstaden Brasília. Prado ligger  meter över havet och antalet invånare är .

Terrängen runt Prado är platt. Havet är nära Prado österut. Den högsta punkten i närheten är  meter över havet,  km väster om Prado. Det finns inga andra samhällen i närheten.

Tropiskt monsunklimat råder i trakten. Årsmedeltemperaturen i trakten är  °C. Den varmaste månaden är januari, då medeltemperaturen är  °C, och den kallaste är maj, med  °C. Genomsnittlig årsnederbörd är  millimeter. Den regnigaste månaden är november, med i genomsnitt  mm nederbörd, och den torraste är september, med  mm nederbörd.

Kommentarer

Källor

Orter i Bahia

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Because of the warmer weather, my grass had a substantial growth spurt over the last 10 days. James did a great job of chopping it all down.
Mark does a great job and really cares that I'm happy with the service. He takes great pride in his work!
Mark was great! He introduced himself, went over the service he was going to do with me before he got to work, and then did a fantastic job!
I'm thrilled. Finally, a lawn pro who calls me to tell me when he's coming! James did a gorgeous job.
Westley sculpts my lawn with surgical precision. It looks gorgeous when his done.
Super friendly and professional. Did a great job on the lawn and loved the communication. I really appreciate the hard work he put in and should be commended!
Houston is awesome! Gave us some great feedback!
When Westley's finished, my yard always looks like a million bucks!
Great job! Lawn & yard looking well groomed! Thanks again.
Houston is amazing. This lawn professional takes his job seriously. He pays attention to every detail. I am so happy with the way my yard looks.
Lawn looked beautiful! Thank you!
Very friendly and great work!
Wesley was on time and did an excellent job. Love to have him again!
Houston was very professional and clearly communicated via text message every step that he took! he also did a great job on my lawn!
Houston is awesome! He is so thoughtful and takes great care in everything he does. He makes my yard look great! I love the service he's provided. I highly recommend Houston!
Houston is an AMAZING landscaping professional! He has done a fantastic job on my yard every time he's been here. I want him, and only him, to maintain my yard. He is awesome. He takes great care and loves what he does.
The services I requested were done and it looked great. I'm happy with the service that was provided.
Thank you as always Westley! We appreciate it!
Westley did a great job, cutting back the crab grass, trimming around the jacaranda tree. Thank you!!
my lawn is now neat and tidy. Looks great!
Thank you for doing a great job and being communicative about your arrival times! Much appreciated!
Thank you for getting us started! The place looks so much better!
Westley did a flawless job. Please convey my sincere thanks!
I will recommend him to all my friends. You have a winner here.
I didn't ok for anyone come out!nor was I told of it, reason I didn't put my info was because I wasn't ready to financial wise! Now I'm forced to ! Poor job done!
Your prices are too high for me.
Rated 4.75 / 5 stars in 604 San Bernardino County customer reviews.
There won't be any rain in San Bernardino County today, which means you'll probably have to water your lawn.
Dusk and dawn are the best times to water your lawn (the sun will rise at 6:14 AM and set at 7:22 PM today in San Bernardino County).
Here are some average lawn care prices for homes in San Bernardino County.
Average lawn size 3,572 sq. ft.


My name is Sarah Lloyd I am the founder and manager of Talley Wags Animal Care. I am an experienced and qualified animal handler.
I have worked with all different breeds, temperaments, abilities, sizes and ages of animals especially dogs, all my life and have grown up with a farming family background.
I worked for Southport RSPCA Rescue Centre in a full time position for 6 years and have seen on a daily basis how stressful life in kennels can be for so many animals.
I started Talley Wags Pet Sitting & Animal Care in 2009 for family and a few friends. When it came to the time of year for me to go on holiday, I always knew I would never put my pets in the situation of being stressed in a place they had never been before, so wherever I went they came with me. This limited me to only going so far on holiday and the trouble of finding places that took pets.
So Talley Wags Pet Sitting & Animal Care Was Born!!
It requires a great deal of commitment and attention to detail, visiting clients in all weathers and all hours, walking dogs in the pouring rain, scorching hot sun or freezing cold winds. However to me, its the most rewarding of occupations.
Talley Wags is not just a business or job to me... It is my way of life and lively hood, the animals in our care are loved as much as our own and become part of our family.
I want to give people the chance to go away on holiday and ENJOY the relaxing time away that everyone needs once in a while, knowing their pet(s) are completely happy in the comfort of their own home and surroundings, getting the attention and exercise they love and need.
• Your Dogs Fitness – Awareness of tissue types, muscles & injury prevention techniques.
I am currently doing a Home Study Course with a top Canine Behaviour Centre on Dog Psychology working towards a Diploma to become a qualified Dog Psychologist.
This will then lead onto a Dog Aggression Course Qualification.
I currently own a 9yr old female working Golden Retriever called ''Talley'' that I have had since she was 1 years old I bought her off a lady that had to rehome her because she was 'unwanted'.
With my dog Talley who is my life! When I rescued her, she had no confidence or personality and would not interact with people when she came to me. All the activities I do and have done with her has now given her all the confidence that she needs, she is a happy, confident, well balanced dog who leads a very enjoyable life!
Unfortunately our 13 yr old male Border Collie called ''Moss'' passed away at the end of 2015. Moss was a working farm sheepdog in his younger years but then was made redundant through no fault of his own at 18 months old. Moss came to us with quite a few 'issues' that over the years I had worked on / lived with from human aggression problems to dog aggression problems. As our old gentleman he lived out his older years sleeping the days away in front of the fire dreaming of sheep.
Moss was a very big part of Talley Wags and over our life journey together taught me many lessons. I have a great deal of thanks to give our boy as he enabled me to gain and acquire a large amount of my experience in dealing and handling dogs with the more 'questionable' temperament.
So that brings me to now welcome the newest member of our family 'Rowan' our 6 months old male Border Collie who is growing very fast from the 8 week old bundle of fluff we fetched home! Rowan is enjoying all his puppy training slowly being introduced to bits of agility which he adores. He is definitely keeping us all on our toes too!
Along with the dogs, I own - 1 cat, 3 rabbits and 3 guinea pig.
Along with the dogs, I own - 1 cat Called Meg, 3 rabbits, Harley, Junior & Oreo and 1 Guinea Pig called Storm.
As Talley Wags Animal Care is an established business and still growing as time goes on. We always want to provide the best care for your beloved family pets. So we have a team of dedicated staff to work with myself on looking after the needs your pets require while at Talley Wags.
Zoe has been working with us here at Talley Wags since October 2015. Zoe has always wanted a career working with animals and was very eager to join our team. Zoe has 2 dogs of her own called Max & Bella and 2 Chinchillas called Joey & Chandler who she is devoted.
Zoe works alongside me with the daily running of the business and services we provide for the animals in our care. She is a vaulable and trusted member of our team and it is always lovely to hear the positive feed back from all our clients on how she handles and cares for their animals. There are always wagging tails, and very happy dogs when Zoe turns up to collect them for their walks... Which says it all !
My mum Tina has helped & grown with the business from day one each step of the way. Tina helps with the smaller dogs, cat home visits and behind the scenes taking phone calls and welcoming new customers. Tina has her own Nursery selling Cottage Garden Plants and loves gardening but also loves all the animals that come into our care and is always happy to welcome and help new customer enquiries.


Though the internet-averse might be a bit wary — surely, a human personality is complex and nuanced — to the two founders of neuromarketing startup Sorter, this possibility, and an emerging body of scientific research, represents a way to improve the experience of the internet for both consumers and for brands.
"The way the internet and the app landscape are designed right now, everything is optimized around clicks," says William Allred, formerly a digital marketer and business strategist.
"That inherently means marketers are focusing on getting you to the page, without even bothering to see if you stick around," he continues.
William Ballance had taken note of the same issue as a member of the sales team at Springbot, a marketing automation startup focused on the e-commerce industry.
Ballance and Allred met up at Atlanta's Techstars Startup Weekend, a three-day hackathon event where teams come up with solutions to real-world problems. They sought to tackle the problem of poorly-targeted, unspecific digital marketing that pervades the publications, social media platforms, and other websites we frequent across the web.
The team ended up walking away from Startup Weekend with a first place win, but more importantly, with an idea they could turn into a full-fledged company. Over 54 hours of brainstorming, snacks and little sleep, Sorter was born.
The heart of Sorter is the concept of "neuromarketing," or using psychology and neuroscience to determine how someone should be marketed to. The AI algorithm is able to use personality indicators gleaned from an individual's online presence to develop a personalized marketing action plan.
Here's how the process works: once a brand uploads their marketing data to the Sorter platform, it looks for personality indicators for each person. All the platform needs is an email, and it can pull enough information to determine a personality type.
Allred says they currently use biographical data for this sorting — metrics like where you were born, where you have lived, went to school, what you studied, where you worked, if you have a family, etc.
"We're trying to go one step further, and see how who you know indicates your personality," says Allred. The team is talking to academics at several institutions to make sure the data analytics process is ethical, scientifically-backed, and as accurate as possible.
The team used several different personality research models from psychology, neuroscience, and behavioral modeling to create four personas they "sort" customers into: Movers, Motivators, Collaborators, and Thinkers.
Then, Sorter helps brands create and tweak custom marketing campaigns, content, and copy to engage those different personality types. Personality traits like agreeableness and extroversion can help brands determine how to talk to specific customers, says Allred.
Allred tells Hypepotamus that, during initial testing, Sorter has increased conversion rates by up to 40 percent.
He also points out that it's not just about the brands — the ultimate goal of Sorter, says Allred, is to make the experience of surfing the web more individualized and "subconsciously beautiful" for the consumer.
With a working customer dashboard, Sorter has begun taking on clients for paid beta pilots. They're focusing on the e-commerce industry, specifically direct-to-consumer brands that really need to optimize their digital marketing strategies to turn a profit.
Later, they'll expand to traditional commerce and marketing/advertising agencies. The beta testing will continue until this summer.
Sorter has been running on angel funding thus far. Allred says they will soon open a seed round to power through the beta phase, fund their technical product development, and establish a go-to-market customer acquisition strategy.


Ultimately soft cashmere blankets are�crafted with baby�s sensitive skin in mind. Made from the finest cashmere and�silk with wonderful satin borders for the perfect finish. The thin blanket�folds easily into a diaper bag without taking up the room that a bulky blanket�would. Our pure cashmere baby blankets are the best baby gifts ever that can be used all year round.�Hand loomed in Nepal. Material: 70% Cashmere 30% Silk. Product Dimensions: 36" x 36"


text:
package mux

import (
	"context"
	"fmt"
	"net/http"
	"strings"
)

// Mux is a tire base HTTP request router which can be used to
// dispatch requests to different handler functions.
type Mux struct {
	trie           *Trie
	defaultHandler http.HandlerFunc
}

// New returns a Mux instance.
func New(opts ...Options) *Mux {
	return &Mux{trie: NewTrie(opts...)}
}

// Get registers a new GET route for a path with matching handler in the Mux.
func (m *Mux) Get(pattern string, handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	m.Handle(http.MethodGet, pattern, handler)
}

// Head registers a new HEAD route for a path with matching handler in the Mux.
func (m *Mux) Head(pattern string, handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	m.Handle(http.MethodHead, pattern, handler)
}

// Post registers a new POST route for a path with matching handler in the Mux.
func (m *Mux) Post(pattern string, handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	m.Handle(http.MethodPost, pattern, handler)
}

// Put registers a new PUT route for a path with matching handler in the Mux.
func (m *Mux) Put(pattern string, handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	m.Handle(http.MethodPut, pattern, handler)
}

// Patch registers a new PATCH route for a path with matching handler in the Mux.
func (m *Mux) Patch(pattern string, handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	m.Handle(http.MethodPatch, pattern, handler)
}

// Delete registers a new DELETE route for a path with matching handler in the Mux.
func (m *Mux) Delete(pattern string, handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	m.Handle(http.MethodDelete, pattern, handler)
}

// Options registers a new OPTIONS route for a path with matching handler in the Mux.
func (m *Mux) Options(pattern string, handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	m.Handle(http.MethodOptions, pattern, handler)
}

// DefaultHandler registers a new handler in the Mux
// that will run if there is no other handler matching.
func (m *Mux) DefaultHandler(handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	m.defaultHandler = handler
}

// Handle registers a new handler with method and path in the Mux.
// For GET, POST, PUT, PATCH and DELETE requests the respective shortcut
// functions can be used.
func (m *Mux) Handle(method, pattern string, handler http.HandlerFunc) {
	if method == "" {
		panic(fmt.Errorf("invalid method"))
	}
	m.trie.Parse(pattern).Handle(strings.ToUpper(method), handler)
}

// Handler is an adapter which allows the usage of an http.Handler as a
// request handle.
func (m *Mux) Handler(method, path string, handler http.Handler) {
	m.Handle(method, path, func(w http.ResponseWriter, req *http.Request) {
		handler.ServeHTTP(w, req)
	})
}

// ServeHTTP implemented http.Handler interface
func (m *Mux) ServeHTTP(w http.ResponseWriter, req *http.Request) {
	var handler http.HandlerFunc
	path := req.URL.Path
	method := req.Method
	match, err := m.trie.Match(path)
	if err != nil {
		http.Error(w, fmt.Sprintf(`"Access %s: %s"`, path, err), http.StatusNotImplemented)
		return
	}
	if match.Node == nil {
		// Redirect for slash url
		// Router /a/b   Access PATH /a/b/ Redirect to /a/b
		// Router /a/b/  Access PATH /a/b  Redirect to /a/b/
		if match.Path != "" {
			req.URL.Path = match.Path
			code := http.StatusMovedPermanently
			if method != "GET" {
				code = http.StatusTemporaryRedirect
			}
			http.Redirect(w, req, req.URL.String(), code)
			return
		}
		if m.defaultHandler == nil {
			http.Error(w, fmt.Sprintf(`"%s" not implemented`, path), http.StatusNotFound)
			return
		}
		handler = m.defaultHandler
	} else {
		var ok bool
		if handler, ok = match.Node.GetHandler(method).(http.HandlerFunc); !ok {
			// OPTIONS preflight
			if method == http.MethodOptions {
				w.Header().Set("Access-Control-Allow-Methods", strings.Join(match.Node.GetAllow(), ", "))
				w.WriteHeader(http.StatusNoContent)
				return
			}

			if m.defaultHandler == nil {
				w.Header().Set("Access-Control-Allow-Methods", strings.Join(match.Node.GetAllow(), ", "))
				http.Error(w, fmt.Sprintf(`"%s" not allowed in "%s"`, method, path), 405)
				return
			}
			handler = m.defaultHandler
		}
	}
	if match.Params != nil {
		ctx := context.WithValue(req.Context(), routeParamsID, match.Params)
		req = req.WithContext(ctx)
	}
	handler(w, req)
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Applied Underwriters Big Dog made its first appearance at last week's Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders Meeting in Omaha. The 15 foot, 4-3/4 inch Big Dog bobblehead loomed large over the Shareholder's Event, head bobbing any time his leash was pulled. Shareholders gathered at the Applied Underwriters booth throughout the 2-day event to have their photo taken with the 1,200 pound dog. And BTW - The Big Dog is the new Guinness Book of World Records title holder for the World's Largest Bobblehead.
© Applied Underwriters, Inc., a Berkshire Hathaway company. Rated A+ (Superior) by A.M. Best. Insurance plans protected U.S. Patent No. 7,908,157.


We are back! For the Tampa JVM User Group meeting for July 2013 will explore the Spring's Framework relatively new project: Spring-Data JPA. It is comparable to GORM in Groovy or ActiveRecord in Ruby, but all done in Java. In this meeting, we will explore how to get started with Spring-Data JPA and see how easy it can be integrated in your application.
Spring-Data JPA is part of an umbrella of projects under Spring-Data (http://www.springsource.org/spring-data/jpa). Spring-Data JPA relieves developer of the torturous steps of creating boilerplate code for data access. You provide Spring-Data JPA your data access repository interface and it handles all of the underlying boilerplate data access code that are usually done manually.


The Wellcome Library houses some 300 manuscripts produced in the Middle Ages – that is, between about 400 and 1500 AD. What these manuscripts have in common is that they all, somehow, relate to medicine and health during this period of about 1000 years. From April to September 2014 I was employed by the Library to improve the electronic catalogue of medieval manuscripts, in conjunction with the digitisation project that is currently underway.
Frontispiece and title-page of S. A. J. Moorat's catalogue of the Library's pre-1650 manuscripts, published in 1962. Wellcome Images L0021442.
The original catalogue of the Library's pre-1650 manuscripts was published in 1962 by S. A. J. Moorat, Librarian between 1931 and 1946, who completed the work as a retirement project. While having a decent grasp of Latin, Moorat was no palaeographer. His classification of manuscripts, and details of their contents, reflected his training as a librarian, with priority given to the work, or author, that Moorat considered to be the most important in any one manuscript. But medieval manuscripts do not necessarily conform to such rules: every constituent part is important, no matter how long or short, how 'rational' or 'irrational'. Moorat's catalogue was subsequently retroconverted to form the basis of the Library's electronic catalogue of manuscripts. A further issue was that the retroconversion of Moorat's descriptions sometimes resulted in spelling and typographical errors not present in the original.
My task was to look at each medieval manuscript and its existing description, and update, augment or correct the description. I worked through approximately half of the Library's medieval manuscripts. I began with MS. 537, the majority of which is taken up by a Middle English version of Gilbertus Anglicus's 'Practica medicinae'. As well as having been described by Moorat, this manuscript was the subject of Faye Getz's 'Healing and society in medieval England', published in 1991. Getz's book placed this Middle English translation of the original Latin in context, and provided an edition of the text and a detailed description of the manuscript. The quandary I was faced with was how much of Getz's detailed analysis to incorporate in my amended description of the manuscript, as the idea was to make the new catalogue records both useful to specialists and accessible to a wider public. In the end, a compromise was settled on, leaving the way open for those requiring more information to consult Getz's book.
Several manuscripts in the collection are particularly memorable. MS. 230 consists solely of Leonardo di Piero Dati's astronomical work 'De sfera mundi' in Italian 'ottava rima' (poetry in eight line stanzas), produced in the mid-15th century. It is the illustrations that stand out in this manuscript – each page is embellished with beautiful cartoon-like depictions of the subject matter, more like Quentin Blake's illustrations for a Roald Dahl book than anything else.
Perhaps the most vivid of all experiences during this time was the moment that, with huge anticipation, I opened the box containing the jewel in the collection's crown, MS. 49 (the 'Wellcome Apocalypse'), produced in Germany c. 1420. Too precious to be viewed without close supervision, this extraordinary creation is in four main sections: material on the Antichrist and the End of Days; texts on and related to the 'Ars moriendi' (the 'Art of dying'); medical and prognostic works; and moral and allegorical material. As a whole, the subject matter illustrates the close links between medicine and religion in the later Middle Ages. Of particular interest to me is the medical material in the third section, such as the diagram of the pregnant woman on folio 38r.
MS. 49, folio 38r: anatomical image of pregnant woman. Wellcome Images L0029310.
The current, improved electronic catalogue is by no means the final version, both because half the records have yet to be updated, and because manuscript catalogues are not fixed entities. New scholarship is always being undertaken which unearths fresh insights into these medieval treasures, as evidenced by Petros Bouras-Vallianatos's recently-published descriptive catalogue of the Library's Greek manuscripts. I encourage anyone working on any aspect of the Library's medieval collections to share their findings with the Library, so that the catalogue can continue to be enhanced.
Author: Dr Joanne Edge is an Assistant Editor on the Casebooks Project (@hpscasebooks) at the University of Cambridge, a digital edition of the medico-astrological manuscripts of Simon Forman and Richard Napier (1596–1634). After studying History at Goldsmiths (BA degree) and UCL (MA degree), she completed a PhD on medieval numerological divination at Royal Holloway, University of London.


PARIS: Global sales of personal luxury goods will grow by a stronger- than-expected 2-4 percent at constant exchange rates in 2017, as higher spending in Europe and China outpace weakness in the United States and southeast Asia, a report showed on Monday.
In 2017, total revenue in the sector that includes watches, jewellery, clothes, shoes and leather goods will rise to 254 billion-259 billion euros ($284 billion-$289.25 billion) from 249 billion euros in 2016, the study by consultancy group Bain & Co and Italian luxury industry association Altagamma showed.
The luxury goods sector has suffered in the past couple of years from fewer tourists coming to Europe after a wave of militant attacks on the continent, less business in Hong Kong and slowing demand in China.
In October, Bain had forecast 2017 growth of 1-2 percent for the luxury sector, but the industry managed to grow 4 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2017."
After a difficult 2016, the first quarter of 2017 brought some relief to the luxury industry.
The continuous repatriation of Chinese consumption as well as a positive outlook in Europe both for locals and tourists will help drive overall market growth during the remainder of the year," said Claudia D´Arpizio, Bain partner and lead author of the study.
Bain does not name specific companies, but in the first quarter of 2017 luxury giants LVMH, Kering and Hermes all posted strong results.
Bain partner Federica Levato, another of the authors of the report, told Reuters: "It´s a healthier growth than before.
So we have revised our market forecast for this year. Some players who are doing well are really outperforming."
Europe, which is starting to see tourists returning, is expected to be the fastest growing market for luxury goods this year, with sales seen up 7-9 percent.
Bright spots were Spain, seen as a relatively safe destination, and Britain, rendered more affordable to tourists after a post-Brexit slump in sterling, while mainland China was also recovering with 6-8 percent growth, said the report.
Bain predicted that sales in the rest of Asia could shrink 2-4 percent in 2017.Hong Kong, Macau and Singapore are on the mend but Taiwan and Southeast Asia face a fall in tourist numbers from China and South Korea, while Japan was seen as staying flat.
The United States, the largest luxury goods market, is also set to underperform, with a strong dollar and uncertainty about the policies of President Donald Trump expected to create a challenging environment, said the Bain report.
In coming years, the luxury market is set to keep expanding at an average annual rate of 3-4 percent to reach 280 billion-290 billion euros in sales by 2020, driven by a growing Chinese middle class and a recovery in more mature markets.
By 2025 the so-called ´Millennials´, the tech-savy generation born after 1980 and those born after 1995, will represent 45 percent of overall luxury consumption, with Asian consumers accounting for more than half, the study added.