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Home > Opinion > Studying the Growth Commission
Studying the Growth Commission
I am critical of the Scottish Growth Commission Report, particularly on currency. It also appears over-influenced by the fading credibility of Neoliberal economic theory, and insufficiently reflects Modern Monetary Theory (MMT); but I would not argue that it is redundant; in a large number of areas it has done carefully work, and in all areas much more thoroughly than other sources we currently have, or that the public – including myself – have the time or resources to undertake; it is therefore a very good source of informed, if over-orthodox opinion. It is perhaps stronger on 'managerialism' of the status quo, than of originality and imaginative, creative new thinking.
Others are critical of other features of the Report.
Nevertheless there is invaluable analysis within it, and I think the debate is in danger of being soured for the public by the points of disagreement. The Growth Commission Report is a valuable, if flawed contribution to the way forward. To be fair, it could scarcely be otherwise. They will always be differences, for this is a process. There is no end-point, because the exploration of Scotland's future is an evolutionary process. Elements will change, and change again. There is a never ending process of developing understanding. There are no 'one-stop shops' with all the answers. Consider the Growth Commission Report a flawed but useful contribution to a continuing debate, that is actually slowly revealing the contours of the path we require to take. I disagree strongly with the report on currency; especially for a certain lack of precision and clarity about the way forward, and a sense it is 'kicking the can down the road'; but I do not doubt that currency is the key issue, and it is a very practical and very difficult one.
I have used a historic maxim to establish my fundamental point on currency before, and I do not apologise for using the hoary old maxim of Mayer Amschel Rothschild (1744-1812), founder of the House of Rothschild; often misquoted but I hope a good paraphrase at least, here: "Let me issue and control a nation's money and I care not who writes the laws". I quote it because it rather trenchantly makes the point. I also have serious reservations about the use of a currency 'peg'. Nevertheless the Growth Commission should be studied with care. It is worthwhile.
The report is available free as a download if you wish to read more HERE.
To enhance the debate here is an extract of a key section from the Summary.
Economic Context
3.19 Scotland is without question a rich and successful nation, in the top 25 of global economies in terms of income per head and ranks near the top in the UK on most long-term indicators.
3.20 Scotland has very significant comparative economic assets and advantages, in terms of natural resources, the education and skills of the people who live in Scotland and sectors with existing and potential global competitiveness.
3.21 It is energy-rich with oil and gas resources, up to 25 per cent of Europe's tidal power potential and 25 per cent of Europe's offshore wind potential.
3.22 We have world-class universities, a world-wide reputation for premium food and drink products and our country has been named the world's most beautiful, boosting our outstanding tourism industry. We are at the cutting edge of games technology, photonics, life sciences, advanced manufacturing and other industries of the future.
3.23 Despite these abundant resources, other independent countries with the ability to tailor economic policy to their own needs have performed better than Scotland. The median income of the group of 12 small advanced economies3 is 14% higher in GDP per head; a gap of £4,100 per person. This shows what is possible for an independent Scotland.
The UK Economy Before Brexit
3.24 The economic debate was at the heart of the 2014 referendum4. That debate was
predicated on the assumption that the UK would continue to be a member state of the EU.
3.25 A key argument from the pro-independence side was that the UK economy was unusually unbalanced – both in terms of geographical performance and inequality in income and wealth among UK citizens.
3.26 This report shows very significant regional disparity of performance in the UK. The gap in performance by local areas is by a distance the most unequal in Europe, with far too much economic activity and opportunity concentrated in London and the South-East of England.
3.27 The gap between rich and poor in the UK continues to be one of the largest among developed countries, with growing evidence that such inequality acts as a drag on economic performance.
3.28 A dependence on consumer debt fuelled spending for growth has been a consistent feature of the UK economy, is not sustainable and carries very significant risks.
3.29 The UK's export performance has been poor and with a falling share of the global market. The UK has – by far – the highest trade deficit in the EU.
3.30 Scotland performs close to the UK average in terms of economic performance per person but has not enjoyed similar levels of population and labour force growth.
3.31 If Scotland had matched UK population growth since 1980, the population of Scotland would now be 5.8 million, if it had matched the population growth of the other small European countries (such as Austria, Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Norway and Switzerland) there would be 6.1 million living in Scotland.
Brexit – Two Futures
3.32 If the gap between Scotland's real per capita income and the median of the small advanced economy group was closed, income per head would be 14 per cent higher. Closing the gap between Scotland and the best performers would increase incomes by half. Closing this gap would mean, in today's values, an additional £22 billion in additional GDP and a potential additional £9 billion in tax revenues.
3.33 The decision of the UK to leave the European Union will fundamentally change Scotland's economic future. Brexit will almost certainly widen, not narrow, the gap between Scotland and comparator countries.
3.34 The UK Treasury says Brexit will make the UK "permanently poorer". This is not a controversial claim. There is a widespread consensus among economists, with few exceptions, that leaving the EU will damage UK economic growth, productivity and job creation.
3.35 The Fraser of Allander Institute estimate a potential Brexit impact of the loss of between 30,000 and 80,000 jobs, the loss of between £3 billion and £8 billion in GDP and a real wages cut of £2,000, depending on the model that succeeds Brexit negotiations.
3.36 Scottish Government modelling shows an adverse impact on trade, productivity, population and foreign direct investment. And LSE's Programme of Brexit research suggests Scotland (as well as Wales and Northern Ireland) are already being disproportionately hit by the impact of the Brexit vote.
3.37 The already huge difference in economic performance between London and the South- East of England and other parts of the UK is therefore likely to increase.
3.38 This means it is essential to stimulate an inclusive, national debate on Scotland's economic future to find out whether a different, better path is possible.
3.39 Scotland's resources and talent, combined with good decision-making and the ability to tailor policy to our needs, can lead to improved economic performance and avoidance of the low growth future in a UK outside the EU. The growth aspirations here are structured over three time-horizons: (i) First 10 years: catching up with the small advanced economies average growth rate (currently 2.5%) (ii) Years 10 to 25: closing the GDP per capita gap with the small advanced economies (with period of 3.5% growth) (iii) maintaining a GDP per capita position in line with the top half of the small advanced economies group.
3.40 The long-term nature of the strategy should not diminish its urgency. It must begin now.
Insights on the Performance of Small Advanced Economies
3.41 Common themes in benchmark small advanced economies policy include a commitment to strong policy foundations (solid macro policy settings, innovation and human capital, and internationalisation), as well as a high degree of strategic coherence across these different policy settings, positioning the country to compete effectively in the global economy.
3.42 Small economies perform better than larger ones consistently by around 0.7 percentage points per year over the last 25 years on average.
3.43 This growth performance has meant the benchmark group of 12 small advanced economies has held its share of the global economy over past decades remaining competitive even with the integration of the large emerging markets. The share of many large economies, including the UK, has retreated substantially.
3.44 Small advanced economies have done well in terms of labour market performance, with relatively low unemployment, on average, a couple of percentage points under those of larger advanced economies.
3.45 On average, there is no clear margin between small and large advanced economies in terms of levels of labour productivity which is constrained in small economies by the small size of the domestic market; however the strong performance in the trading sectors offsets this. In this respect leaving the EU and Single Market would obviously act as a growth restraint for Scotland.
3.46 Small advanced economies also tend to do well on measures of the extent to which the gains from growth are broadly shared. Many small advanced economies, notably those in Northern Europe, have low levels of income inequality. Income distribution outcomes are
a matter of long term policy choice and effective implementation, rather than anything intrinsic to small advanced economies.
3.47 The overall performance of our benchmark group is significantly ahead of the UK and the large economies. Policy making is more agile and of higher quality because it requires to be.
3.48 Through history, there has been a strong relationship between periods of trade openness and an increase in the number of countries. Over the past 100 years, the number of independent countries rose from under 70 to just under 200 today.
3.49 Overall, small countries have effective, responsive governments, with a well-developed sense of strategic capacity, high levels of trust and social cohesion, and the ability to adapt in response to changing international circumstances.
3.50 Small competitively-strong economies are continuing to invest in key sectors and clusters, to help them develop positions of advantage in a more competitive and challenging global economy.
3.51 The levels of international engagement by small advanced economies are substantially higher than for larger economies and the growth in international economic activity has also been stronger. This is the case for both exporting as well as cross-border direct investment.
3.52 Large multinational firms play an important role in small advanced economies in driving international expansion.
3.53 However, increasingly, small advanced economies are investing in firm-level enterprise policy to support international expansion by indigenous firms. Export promotion agencies are increasingly working intensively with high-growth potential firms to accelerate their international engagement.
3.54 Small advanced economies take micro and macro policy foundations very seriously. Small advanced economies rank highly on the various indexes of the quality of policy and flexibility of business environment.
3.55 The strong performance of small countries is largely a matter of deliberate choice and management. It is the small advanced economies that have positioned themselves most appropriately for the challenges and opportunities of globalisation that have performed best. In contrast, those countries that did not engage with, and respond to, these global forces did not fare well.
3.56 Two fundamental lessons are clear: Scotland must become more engaged, not less, in the global and European economy in order to boost growth. And the opportunity to contribute to, and benefit from, that growth must be more widely shared.
3.57 In considering the future, the UK economic model is wrong for Scotland. Leaving the EU and the Single Market, hostility to immigration, concentrating economic activity in London and the South-East of England, low wages and tolerating a large gap between rich and poor can only depress growth and opportunity.
3.58 Our recommended starting point for a Next Generation Economic Model for Scotland is based on learning the lessons from small advanced economies and applying them intelligently to Scotland's circumstances, needs and opportunities. Drawing on all 12 small advanced economy case studies we are especially drawn to a hybrid of Denmark, Finland and New Zealand.
Features of that model include; quality of governance; long term cross partisan strategy, a focus on innovation, being a competitive location for international investment, exploiting Scotland's resource endowment, an export-orientation, migration- friendly, where flexible labour markets combine with fair and progressive work and active employment policies, maintaining a highly skilled workforce with transferable skills, using taxation as a tool for economic development but not competing as a low tax location, placing inclusive growth at the heart of the strategy and viewing quality of life as both an asset and objective. The best of the lessons of Denmark, Finland and New Zealand are at the heart of this but many other countries can, of course, offer continued inspiration.
The imperative of population growth
3.59 Scotland has recently been transformed from a nation suffering from population decline to a country benefitting from net immigration for the first time in our recent history. Positioning ourselves with an outward focus will both increase opportunities for the next generation of Scots born here and ensure we continue to attract talent.
3.60 Given the demographic structure of Scotland, migration is critically important to population growth and also productivity performance. IMF evidence suggests a 1 per cent increase in the share of migrants in the adult population can increase productivity by 3 per cent long term.
3.61 Scotland must continue to attract people in order to increase our working population and our overall population. Migration is projected to account for all of Scotland's population growth over the period 2016-2041. Maintaining immigration is essential otherwise the number and proportion of people working and paying taxes will fall. The economic activity and employment rates of those born outside of the UK are higher than those in the rest of the Scottish population.
3.62 There are around 429,000 people resident in Scotland who were born outside of the UK, 8.1% of Scotland's total population. Of the UK regions and nations London has the highest share of its population born outside of the UK (38.3%).
3.63 The contribution of non-UK born citizens in Scotland to the Scottish economy is estimated at approximately £12 billion per year.
3.64 The 429,000 Scottish residents who were born overseas are associated with £4.3 billion of government revenue, including income tax and national insurance contributions. Government spending associated with Scottish residents who were born overseas stood at £3.0 billion. This suggests a net contribution to Scotland's public purse of £1.3 billion per year. The Polish born community alone is a net contributor of circa. £250 million.
3.65 We estimate that approximately £1.1 billion in exports in 2015-16 was attributable to overseas students studying in Scotland. Each student from out with the EU generated £26,811 in exports for the Scottish economy in 2015-16 and each student from within the EU generated £14,812. However, given that much of the spending of students is consumer spending in Scotland, like tourism exports these figures are not reflected in reported export statistics.
3.66 Overseas students in Scotland also make a net positive contribution to the UK Exchequer of around £2,500 per person per annum.
3.67 Policy should prioritise Scotland's rankings in the main world competitiveness league tables and related trade-offs considered and agreed for long term policy.
3.68 The attraction of economic migrants (from identified target groups) should be one of the top priorities of Scottish Government economic policy. Policies are recommended to remove barriers provided in UK policy and to incentivise talent to come to Scotland.
3.69 Tone and message matter every bit as much as policy specifics in driving sentiment and human behaviour in this area, the whole country must market itself as a welcoming home for new talent and overseas citizens already based here. We should seek to be the most talent friendly country in the world.
Participation & Inclusive Growth
3.70 There is an economic as well as moral imperative to improve participation and equality. A
long-term cross partisan strategy is required.
3.71 International Monetary Fund and World Economic Forum studies identify a direct relationship between improved inequality and growth.
3.72 In income and gender pay inequality Scotland underperforms many of the benchmark small advanced economies to its economic, social and fiscal disadvantage.
3.73 The direct cost of inequality on the Scotland's net fiscal position is estimated at more than £6.4 billion per year.
3.74 The Joseph Rowntree Foundation targets a position where less than 10% of the population are in poverty at any one time. This would be a reduction of 50%, if achieved this could mean a saving of £1.6 billion to the Scottish public finances.
3.75 OECD data show that many small advanced economies have gender pay gaps that are less than half that of Scotland. Median full-time female workers in New Zealand are paid 94.4% what the median full-time male worker is paid, compared to 83.4% in Scotland.
3.76 If gender inequality in Scotland was reduced to the level of New Zealand, Scottish GDP would grow by £6.1 billion and the net impact on public finances would be a possible positive net exchequer impact of up to £2.5 billion.
3.77 Regional inequality within Scotland is less stark than within the UK but requires addressing.
3.78 More localised inequality also needs to be addressed, targeted at the groups in society who have faced significant barriers to full participation in the economy, even in times of economic growth. This will require concerted long-term action to ensure that no one is excluded from opportunities that the majority of us take for granted.
Productivity & Competitiveness
3.79 Increasing productivity growth in the Scottish economy will be crucial and will generate
significant economic and social returns.
3.80 There is a widespread view that current economic development arrangements are not adaptable enough to respond quickly to new opportunities for the Scottish economy. Brexit is forecast to worsen productivity.
3.81 All of the approaches to increasing productivity growth require an increase in levels of investment in the Scottish economy, on improved technology, increasing capital intensity, better working practices and policies that encourage the growth of high productivity sectors.
3.82 International competitiveness rankings matter and should be elevated in policymaking, target setting and debate. Agreement should be sought on how Scotland can best achieve the required improvements in relative production costs and prices. One way is through trade and international ownership because that makes domestic output subject to competition on the world markets (instead of just the domestic markets).
3.83 An increase in trade share of GDP equivalent to 1% of GDP can increase productivity in the economyby0.4%. More specifically, the benefits to labour productivity and how that feeds through to wages are estimated to be 2-3 times as much.
3.84 Access to international markets is essential. The ability to integrate with international supply chains is critical for competitiveness and to attract foreign investment. The discipline of international competition can also help to drive innovation and new ways of working
3.85 While there are many successful Scottish exporters, Scottish exports are more dependent on a small number of sectors that employ relatively few people.
3.86 Scotland and the rest of the UK have a mutual interest in maintaining a close trade and investment relationship that benefits both. But if the Scottish economy is to realise its full potential, then we must build stronger direct trade and investment links with other European countries and the rest of the world.
3.87 The potential Brexit damage to trade relations with Europe – and the risks to trade relations with other countries – means that Scottish dependence on the UK market is likely to grow after Brexit if Scotland remains part of the UK. This narrowing of Scotland's potential markets will be to Scotland's material economic disadvantage. That this is seen by some as a case for maintaining the current model strikes us as demonstrating a remarkable lack of concern and ambition.
3.88 Maximising frictionless trade and market access with the rest of the UK and with Europe is of critical importance to the performance of the Scottish economy in the short and long term.
3.89 Increasing overseas exports from 20% of GDP to 40% of GDP would be a reasonable target to set in order to close the export gap with small advanced economy benchmark countries, implying an increase from under £30 billion to more than £60 billion. This could deliver a productivity boost of 8% of GDP and would be expected to generate additional taxation revenues of some £5 billion each year.
3.90 In Scotland, as in most other small advanced economies, improvements in productivity will come in myriad small advances, but a few major reforms would make that process a great deal easier – for example finding ways to encourage capital (total factor) productivity and repair the long-standing investment rate deficit.
3.91 Establishing a Productivity Commission in Scotland, to identify opportunities for productivity improvement would be useful, in particular ways in which policies can be used to bring these opportunities to reality in practice. Adopting a fixed-term model, as in Denmark or Norway, would be an easy way to start – with an option to establish a New Zealand style Productivity Commission model if appropriate.
3.92 The Anholt-GfK Roper Nation Brands Index examines the image of 50 nations. Scotland's score (61.8) and rank (17th) on the index show that Scotland already has a strong national brand. Across all dimensions, with the exception of exports, Scotland is ranked within the Top 20 countries indicating that there is room for improvement in the exports dimension.
3.93 Digitalisation will continue to have an immense impact on the world economy in the coming decades, offering potential in every sector. The digital sector has grown markedly over the past five years and must be continue to be a priority growth sector for Scotland, given its potential long-term significance to the wider economy and also to the ability it provides to widen participation and globalisation in a country of Scotland's geographic position and structure.
3.94 Higher Education Research & Development (R&D) significantly outpaces the UK and EU averages and lags only Denmark, Switzerland and Sweden. Scotland's university sector is a key comparative advantage for any growth strategy. Internationally Scotland's scientific outputs Scotland ranks top, and second to the Netherlands in terms of their influence. However, business R&D investment lags significantly behind EU, OECD and UK averages for both the government investment and business sectors. Improving this measure in key to overall productivity growth, higher investment, and strengthening the competitiveness in the Scottish economy.
3.95 Even within countries and industries there can be large gaps between the most productive and others. The diffusion of knowledge is as important as pushing the boundaries of knowledge. Changes in technology resulting from science and innovation accounted for one-third of productivity growth that took place in the UK between 2000 and 2008.
3.96 There is a positive and leading role for the state in the promotion of R&D and innovation. Building on the Scottish Government's Can Do Innovation Forum, additional initiatives are required to improve commercialisation performance and enhance the role of workplace skills in innovation and the creation of a learning economy.
3.97 Infrastructure is critically important and can deliver significant economic returns on investment. The World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Index ranked the UK only 28th in the world on quality of infrastructure. An Infrastructure Commission is urgently required along with a longer-term commitment to increased investment.
By John Warren
Leave a Reply to e.j. churchill Cancel reply
Dougie Blackwood says:
The Growth Commission report is a starting point,no more, no less. You are right that we should not nit pick the detail as everyone has a different slant on some parts of it. I read the man Fry in the National today and he got it spot on. The report was to address the failings of the 2014 campaign and in that it was a huge step forward. We need to gain the power to make decisions then argue about what these decisions should be.
If we argue over the details now we will never get past the winning post. Let us set a date, get out there and persuade the voters to take the leap. After we win there will be a transformation in Scottish politics; The reason most people follow the SNP will no longer be there and to an extent there will be a fragmentation of its followers. This is no bad thing and we can gain a consensual way forward that is thrashed out in the best interests of everybody. We will decide rather than having the decisions made for us in Westminster.
First of all, thanks to Mr Small for initiating what looks as if it might well be a fruitful discourse if we can avoid the 'instant analyses and rejection' which characterised much of the early comment on the report.
Thanks, too, to Mr John Warren for taking a balanced approach to the issue.
Because of other commitments, I have not been able to read the report fully and to judge how all parts hang together and relate to the vision set out in the other thoughtful opus from Commonweal.
In other places on this site I have made some sharp, and probably rude comments, because of my irritation with the immediate condemnations. One, for example, dismissed the report because it was "seeking to address concerns of the middle class, who were never going to vote YES anyway." Now, by most definitions, my wife and I are 'middle class' – by income, by possessions, by what our pre-retirement employment was, by our 'cultural' interests and enthusiasms, indeed, we even peruse 'The Guardian' from time to time! However, we are both committed to YES, despite being old codgers' too. We know many friends, neighbours, acquaintances, contemporaries who are broadly similar. There are others whom we know who voted NO and many of them, probably, will do so at a future time. But there are others, who voted for what they saw at the time as 'the least worst option' and it is these people who are open to persuasion. The issue of pensions was a scare story that was raised by Better Together and, probably, had an effect on some people, despite the fact that even HMG in Westminster had indicated that pensions were secure. Although Alex Salmond administered one of the most severe 'doings' I have ever witnessed to Mr Alistair Darling in the second debate, during the first one, Mr Darling was able to strike a chord with his repeated: "What is your Plan B?" mantra. The currency issue was a significant one. When Mr Osborne (and his grinning china, Mr Balls) made his announcement about 'not using the pound', it certainly shoved a huge number of people into YES – John Curtice has provided substantial evidence – but it was also polarising in that it confirmed fears of a fair number of genuine switherers. So, we need to have a debate about such things.
Ms Boyd and Mr Shafi, in their piece, are arguing from a perspective which they have held pretty consistently and from a particular social class perspective. They argue for the need to encourage more from areas of high SIMD to register to vote, to vote on the day and to be offered indications that independence is in their interest in the medium and long term (as it is for most of us.) I commend the work which RISE supporters on the ground did in fostering registration and agree that this efort needs to be continued and strengthened. Although I have indicated that by any definition, my wife and I are 'middle class', we have not always been thus. My wife is from a rural working class family, the first woman from that social class in her community, to have attended university to study in other than the traditional women's fields like nursing. I was born into a fairly straitened industrial working class family in Glasgow and during the 1940s to late 1960s experienced pretty severe poverty. With things like the NHS and widened educational opportunities, hundreds of thousands like us were empowered to achieve a better quality of life. We still support strongly measures that we hope, in an independent Scotland will be similarly transformative. Nevertheless, having acquired many of the accoutrements of a 'middle class' lifestyle, we can also understand the worries of many within this class that such change might threaten a lifestyle, already threatened by decades of Thatcherite policies impacting on their children's lives and by Brexit's potential implications for their own.
As Mr Warren indicates, this is complex. Let us talk it through and come to positions that will suit a majority. These positions can only be provisional.
We cannot prescribe what things will be like on Day 1 of Scotland, a nation once again!
Jamsie says:
Do these positions that will suit the majority include for Scotland remaining part of the UK?
Or do they remain provisional until one referendum one day gives marginal support for Indy?
If that was ever to happen would it be reasonable to expect that once the SNP had been removed from power and another party voted in that we could expect a rerun?
And if the majority once again returned that Scotland should be part of the UK how would that be handled?
Or we could just have a another referendum to establish if the people of Scotland actually would like another Indy referendum.
And if they don't then wee Nicola can maybe get in with the day job eh?
Or we go best of three mibees.
Do you see how this is becoming ridiculous?
What is it the report says "Scotland is a rich country".
It omitted to say as part of the U.K. of course.
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George Kerevan says:
A very good piece and proof that those of us who have issues with the Growth Report are engaging critically but fairly AND offering alternatives. The GR lays great emphasis on the average higher GDP growth achieved in smaller industrial nations compared with a Scotland trapped inside the lumbering U.K. But GDP growth does not necessarily translate into increased real income for ordinary folk. In fact, in many countries since 2008 real take-home pay has fallen DESPITE growth. My worry about the GR mention of the £4,100 "gap" in GDP per head between Scotland and the basket of other small, industrial countries is that it implies people here would have that cash in their pockets if we were independent and expanding at the average (eventually). But you can and do have growth (including per capita growth) without that translating into welfare. Bottom line: to win the next indyref we need to mobilise working class votes that will only come out if they feel their life will be transformed. But the GR takes a very conservative view of transformation, aiming to win over sceptical middle class opinion. What you win on the one hand, you may lose on the other. It is not as simple as saying "let's not rock any boats but postpone the economic debate till after we win".
florian albert says:
'to win the next indyref we need to mobise working class votes that will only come out if they feel their life will be transformed'
A reasonable point but two major problems come to mind;
1 Economic transformation on a large scale could not be done without impinging on the economic interests of the 60% of materially comfortable voters who backed NO in 2014.
2 Convincing working class voters. The SNP is no 'new kid on the block.' It has been in power in Holyrood for 11 years. What has the SNP done so far to transform life in working class areas ? Even if the SNP could come up with ideas for such a transformation and I do not see much evidence of that happening, working class voters would be unlikely to believe them.
In democratic politics, you only get a certain amount of time. The SNP has already had much longer than many parties have needed to implement radical change. Attlee had just over 6 years.
Missing the bus might be a more accurate metaphor for the SNP today than 'rocking the boat.'
Crubag says:
As I understand it, the Rothschild quote is entirely made up…
The Growth Commission does attempt to address the currency question, which was a major gap in 2014. It does that by a business as much as usual approach, which means existing debts will be more or less stable, but that the main fiscal and monetary levers will be in rUK. So peace, at a price.
Apart from that, it doesn't have radical prescriptions. It's a mix of Commissions, Reviews and Strategies as pursued in other countries, and which might be usefully followed here – if the recommendations were acted upon. We've already had a variety of initiatives, such as the Business Birthrate Strategy.
The most interesting omission is Brexit. Possibly that developments, and lack of developments, delayed publication, but the finished draft omits it completely, which gives it a timeless feel. That gives the SNP some freedom of manoeuvre if they prefer Scotland outside of the EU, as seems the likely outcome of Brexit, but one wonders what the authors might have had in earlier drafts.
John S Warren says:
It is certainly elusive; but whether or not made-up or only misquoted, it makes the underlying point well. Let me try another way round this: below are two much-truncated quotations from a Blog by the Australian (MMT) economist, Bill Mitchell from Part 2 of a two-part Blog he has just published on the Growth Commission Report 'Oh Scotland, don't you dare!' (http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=39506#more-39506) – please read the Blog to understand the full argument behind the statements I have extracted:
"When might a newly independent Scottish government be in a position to introduce its own currency? The Growth Commission produced a list of hurdles ("tests") which would be used to determine whether Scotland was 'ready' for its own separate currency at some future date.
It reads like an IMF Bible and includes adherence to unworkable fiscal rules, central bank credibility, sufficient foreign reserves, and relevance of trade and investment patterns.
The problem is that the requirements are so ideologically-biased that Scotland might never pass these neoliberal hurdles.
It would be madness for the new nation to peg its new currency to the pound or the euro or any currency and then try to manage that peg. Like all nations that issue their own currencies, the newly independent Scotland would be advised to float its currency on international currency markets. The float will settle at the level that matches its relative productivity and domestic costs.
It frees the central bank from having to compromise domestic policy to defend a peg and also means it does not have to accumulate foreign reserves. The fear that a float would destroy the currency is neoliberal scaremongering."
For anyone who wishes to understand MMT (and it is important), then I recommend they read Randall Wray, 'Modern Money Theory'; but also the work of Stephanie Kelton, Steve Keen, Bill Mitchell or Ann Pettifor.
If it is made up, then it's probably best attributed to generic central bankers, whuch is I think the case when it first appears, rather than a Jewish banker. But my favourite misattribution has to be the Gandhi one about "first they ignore you…" rather than Nicholas Klein of the Amalgamated Clothing Workers Union, it's actual author.
I'm doubtful about a currency peg myself, it seems like a ripe target for speculators, and still ties you to someone else's monetary policy. The hurdle I think is how much domestic and corporate debt is in sterling, and what people are likely to do with their own money if they thought their Scottishb deposits were about to be turned into Scots pounds.
It is a very clever remark, and hints at an understanding that few central (or other) bankers were likely to make. Remember, for long there was a 'Gold Standard'. The question 'what is money?' has often been misunderstood.
e.j. churchill says:
'The Quote' is manufactured, but the sentiment & origin came from the Fuggers, who were known for occupying the Customs House of any country they financed.
I've seen the 16th century Arabic version of it, attributed to Jakob.
The quote is, of course, fully accurate.
CityBankster
Jim Anderson says:
Have I missed the point of this piece? It seems to repeat others misgivings particularly regarding currency. Then quotes the Growth Report at length. It adds nothing to the debate, except another grudging but critical commentary of the Report. Where is the insight? Where are the suggestions and alternative ideas? Mmmm.
Bella Caledonia Editor says:
I think he points as to give people the actual text from the report as source material rather than just analysis … obviously this didn't work for you … plenty more to come
Mr Anderson,
See my comment above. What am I suggesting? We should all take some time over this. Instant results will only be found in tins of coffee, or provided by the tabloid press; and at least you can drink the coffee.
Don't disagree over taking time, but I'm still confused as to what the original piece sought to do. There is no analysis. There is nothing new. Just a restating of what any one can read in the Growth Report. The Growth Report was issued as a discussion/debating document – not sure what the Bella piece was supposed to do!
What analysis?
Mr Blackwood, Mr Kerevan and Mr MacDonald seemed to 'catch my drift'. We are under-resourced in Scotland in terms of detailed analysis of the key issues; therefore, whatever the failings, something of this nature provides some valuable information: nothing more, nothing less. I remain very critical of the currency option offered, but I want to rescue the Reportt from the wholesale destruction of it from every side; which is simply an invitation on all sides to take entrenched positions and use megaphone debating strategies (Ruth Davidson does enough of that sort of thing for several lifetimes). This is an issue that requires clear understanding of the complexities; and there is precious little of it currently. We can take this Report, warts-and-all, and explore the issues. Everyone. Slowly.
For example; "what analysis?" I gave a list in my comment in answer to 'Crubag'. Please read the sources I have provided. There is a lot of analysis there, including why a sovereign country should be a currency issuer if it is going to be sovereign, and have genuine indpendence of economic policy, and flexibility to support its people, and meet the challenges that face all countries.
"But I want to rescue the report from the wholesale destruction of it from every side".
Whoohee!
The pomposity is out in all it's splendour.
JSW is going to somehow make the critics go away.
The criticism is coming forward for a reason.
That is that the report is weak, ill thought out and promises jam tomorrow, well maybe, possibly or whatever.
Then it says but possibly not!
The report is a face saver nothing else.
It is full of forecasting which will never come to pass.
People see this hence the criticism.
Worse the criticism comes from the left, the right and the centre of the Indy movement never mind the majority of those opposed.
When the case for Indy rests on something like this it is no wonder those on left who previously associated themselves with Indy are moving away and back to their natural position.
It will give wee Nicola something to blame as the reason Indy was lost which I suspect it is designed to do.
Let's see the previous edits.
She knows she cannot win a referendum and worse that people don't want one.
If she thought she could it would have been called by now.
This report will not change that.
It will not even start to change that.
The report is being criticised because people see that.
But JSW will turn that all around.
Yeah right.
Thank you. I did not quite understand the gibberish, but I am sure it is all sincere; so I'll take it as a compliment.


Yesterday we could see green. Lots of green. Today it is a totally different story.
The laying hen pens and the one last pen of chickens finally moved yesterday. The pens have been frozen/snowed/iced in for a while, during the time of subzero temperatures.
The sky and the forecast tell us to expect another 6-8 inches of snow today. With more later this week.
We planted spinach in the hoophouse last fall. It needs sunshine to grow. Not really happening this year.


text:
#pragma once
#include <aws/autoscaling/AutoScaling_EXPORTS.h>
#include <aws/core/utils/memory/stl/AWSStreamFwd.h>

namespace Aws
{
namespace Utils
{
namespace Xml
{
  class XmlNode;
} // namespace Xml
} // namespace Utils
namespace AutoScaling
{
namespace Model
{

  /**
   *
Describes an adjustment based on the difference between the value of the
   * aggregated CloudWatch metric and the breach threshold that you've defined for
   * the alarm.

For the following examples, suppose that you have an alarm
   * with a breach threshold of 50:

If you want the adjustment to be
   * triggered when the metric is greater than or equal to 50 and less than 60,
   * specify a lower bound of 0 and an upper bound of 10.

If you
   * want the adjustment to be triggered when the metric is greater than 40 and less
   * than or equal to 50, specify a lower bound of -10 and an upper bound of 0.

   *

There are a few rules for the step adjustments for your step
   * policy:

The ranges of your step adjustments can't overlap or
   * have a gap.

At most one step adjustment can have a null lower
   * bound. If one step adjustment has a negative lower bound, then there must be a
   * step adjustment with a null lower bound.

At most one step
   * adjustment can have a null upper bound. If one step adjustment has a positive
   * upper bound, then there must be a step adjustment with a null upper bound.

   *

The upper and lower bound can't be null in the same step
   * adjustment.

   */
  class AWS_AUTOSCALING_API StepAdjustment
  {
  public:
    StepAdjustment();
    StepAdjustment(const Aws::Utils::Xml::XmlNode& xmlNode);
    StepAdjustment& operator=(const Aws::Utils::Xml::XmlNode& xmlNode);

    void OutputToStream(Aws::OStream& ostream, const char* location, unsigned index, const char* locationValue) const;
    void OutputToStream(Aws::OStream& oStream, const char* location) const;

    /**
     *
The lower bound for the difference between the alarm threshold and the
     * CloudWatch metric. If the metric value is above the breach threshold, the lower
     * bound is inclusive (the metric must be greater than or equal to the threshold
     * plus the lower bound). Otherwise, it is exclusive (the metric must be greater
     * than the threshold plus the lower bound). A null value indicates negative
     * infinity.

     */
    inline double GetMetricIntervalLowerBound() const{ return m_metricIntervalLowerBound; }

    /**
     *
The lower bound for the difference between the alarm threshold and the
     * CloudWatch metric. If the metric value is above the breach threshold, the lower
     * bound is inclusive (the metric must be greater than or equal to the threshold
     * plus the lower bound). Otherwise, it is exclusive (the metric must be greater
     * than the threshold plus the lower bound). A null value indicates negative
     * infinity.

     */
    inline void SetMetricIntervalLowerBound(double value) { m_metricIntervalLowerBoundHasBeenSet = true; m_metricIntervalLowerBound = value; }

    /**
     *
The lower bound for the difference between the alarm threshold and the
     * CloudWatch metric. If the metric value is above the breach threshold, the lower
     * bound is inclusive (the metric must be greater than or equal to the threshold
     * plus the lower bound). Otherwise, it is exclusive (the metric must be greater
     * than the threshold plus the lower bound). A null value indicates negative
     * infinity.

     */
    inline StepAdjustment& WithMetricIntervalLowerBound(double value) { SetMetricIntervalLowerBound(value); return *this;}

    /**
     *
The upper bound for the difference between the alarm threshold and the
     * CloudWatch metric. If the metric value is above the breach threshold, the upper
     * bound is exclusive (the metric must be less than the threshold plus the upper
     * bound). Otherwise, it is inclusive (the metric must be less than or equal to the
     * threshold plus the upper bound). A null value indicates positive infinity.

     *
The upper bound must be greater than the lower bound.

     */
    inline double GetMetricIntervalUpperBound() const{ return m_metricIntervalUpperBound; }

    /**
     *
The upper bound for the difference between the alarm threshold and the
     * CloudWatch metric. If the metric value is above the breach threshold, the upper
     * bound is exclusive (the metric must be less than the threshold plus the upper
     * bound). Otherwise, it is inclusive (the metric must be less than or equal to the
     * threshold plus the upper bound). A null value indicates positive infinity.

     *
The upper bound must be greater than the lower bound.

     */
    inline void SetMetricIntervalUpperBound(double value) { m_metricIntervalUpperBoundHasBeenSet = true; m_metricIntervalUpperBound = value; }

    /**
     *
The upper bound for the difference between the alarm threshold and the
     * CloudWatch metric. If the metric value is above the breach threshold, the upper
     * bound is exclusive (the metric must be less than the threshold plus the upper
     * bound). Otherwise, it is inclusive (the metric must be less than or equal to the
     * threshold plus the upper bound). A null value indicates positive infinity.

     *
The upper bound must be greater than the lower bound.

     */
    inline StepAdjustment& WithMetricIntervalUpperBound(double value) { SetMetricIntervalUpperBound(value); return *this;}

    /**
     *
The amount by which to scale, based on the specified adjustment type. A
     * positive value adds to the current capacity while a negative number removes from
     * the current capacity.

     */
    inline int GetScalingAdjustment() const{ return m_scalingAdjustment; }

    /**
     *
The amount by which to scale, based on the specified adjustment type. A
     * positive value adds to the current capacity while a negative number removes from
     * the current capacity.

     */
    inline void SetScalingAdjustment(int value) { m_scalingAdjustmentHasBeenSet = true; m_scalingAdjustment = value; }

    /**
     *
The amount by which to scale, based on the specified adjustment type. A
     * positive value adds to the current capacity while a negative number removes from
     * the current capacity.

     */
    inline StepAdjustment& WithScalingAdjustment(int value) { SetScalingAdjustment(value); return *this;}

  private:
    double m_metricIntervalLowerBound;
    bool m_metricIntervalLowerBoundHasBeenSet;
    double m_metricIntervalUpperBound;
    bool m_metricIntervalUpperBoundHasBeenSet;
    int m_scalingAdjustment;
    bool m_scalingAdjustmentHasBeenSet;
  };

} // namespace Model
} // namespace AutoScaling
} // namespace Aws

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


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Kцberl argues that this lord of the danes is not identical with the latter mentioned ?), but rather is an earlier lord of the danes, specifically and also why, though the poem informs us that it is marked on the sword for whom it was made, we are not explicitly told. These findings are alarming, but within them also lies hope. Wij nemen na ontvangst van uw email contact met u op. Greek representations were usually not of the pythia at all, but of the god apollo actually sitting in her place on the temple tripod. The majority of companies only promise to deliver quality papers, but their writers can hardly produce works of such level.


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text:
DoingTime, a guide to prison and probation
Just been arrested?
Getting the help you need
Before sentencing
HMIP to Inspect "troubled" prisons
The first weeks in custody
Insiders at Court
Transport to the Prison
Arrival at the Prison
Initial Phone Call
Moving to your cell/wing
The Induction Process
Phone Credit
Personal Officer
Work in the Prison
What family and friends can do to help the prisoner
Assisted Prison Visits
Employment on release
Life behind the wall "DoingTime"
Cell life
Personal Items and Clothing
Post and Phone
Prison Accommodation
Transferring Prison
Help with Reading-Shannon Trust
How do prisons actually work?
Daily timetables
Canteen and Money
Incentive and Earned Privileges "IEPs)
Your own clothing
Prison staff you will deal with
Types of prison, and prisoners
Females and Juveniles
Assaults and Bullying
How probation works
How does the probation service work?
What does the probation service do?
Tagging or HDC
Community Service Orders
ROTL, Release on Temporary License
Complaints and the IMB
IMB Reports
The IMB
How are the victims of crime dealt with?
Prison Officers Duties and Pay
HMIP Reports
Offenders with Learning Difficulties
HMIP on Staying in Contact with Family
HMIP Reports, HMP Isle of Wight
The prison was given an inspection in April/May 2019, the full report can be read at the Ministry of Justice web site, just follow the links below. In their latest report the inspectors said:
"HMP Isle of Wight is a training prison holding around 1,000 prisoners, almost all of whom have been convicted of sexual offences. Most of the prisoners held at the time of this inspection were serving long sentences for serious offences. Forty per cent of the population were over 50 years old and a significant proportion of these prisoners were elderly and sometimes frail. The prison continued to house a very small remand population from local courts on the island, although it was ill-suited to this role.
We last inspected HMP Isle of Wight in 2015 and since this time the number of people convicted of sexual offences has increased across England and Wales. In response to this we have changed the comparator group of prisons for the Isle of Wight from other category B training prisons to other prisons holding prisoners convicted of sexual offences.
At this inspection we found there had been a deterioration in outcomes in two of our healthy prison tests and that outcomes were not sufficiently good in the areas of safety and rehabilitation and release planning. Despite this, much positive work continued to take place at the prison. Relationships between staff and prisoners remained good, underpinning prisoners' experience of everyday life. The overwhelming majority of prisoners said they had a member of staff they could turn to if they had a problem. With the notable exception of the widespread use of night sanitation on the Albany site, living conditions were also reasonably good. Communal areas and cells, while worn, were clean, free of graffiti and properly furnished. In addition, staff and prisoners clearly put significant effort into maintaining the attractive gardens across both sites. Equality work had received some much-needed attention in the months before our inspection. Health care was very good but stronger links with the local authority were needed to support prisoners with social care needs.
Outcomes in the area of purposeful activity were also reasonably good. Most prisoners could access 10 hours out of their cell each weekday and the gym and library provision was good. Managers had improved their use of data and had well-developed plans to improve the education, training and work provision. Teaching and learning were also good and achievement rates were very high on most courses. However, we found a large number of prisoners underemployed in a significant number of wing roles.
More concerningly, we found prisoners had very poor perceptions of safety. In our survey, more than half said they had felt unsafe during their time at HMP Isle of Wight and nearly a quarter felt unsafe at the time of the inspection. While violence was still not widespread, it had risen significantly since the previous inspection and the response of managers was not good enough, leading to inconsistent challenge of perpetrators and little support for victims. The approach to all aspects of behaviour management was in need of attention to ensure that there were clear incentives for prisoners who engaged with the regime and behaved well. Levels of self-harm were high and there had been three self-inflicted deaths since the last inspection. It was concerning that some Prisons and Probation Ombudsman recommendations had not been implemented. The prison was caring for a small but significant number of prisoners with complex needs and good relationships between staff and prisoners led to good care. However, managers needed to use data better to understand the causes and reduce the frequency of self-harm.
Many prisoners were held a long way from home and families experienced significant travel times and expense visiting the Isle of Wight. It was therefore disappointing that support for prisoners to maintain contact with the outside world was limited to letters, phone calls and some fairly basic visits facilities, particularly at Albany. Managers had introduced 'email a prisoner', regular family days and some play work provision, but more could have been done to support prisoners to establish and maintain contact with friends and family.
The long-term, high-risk sex offender population presented significant challenges in the area of rehabilitation and release planning. We found a very similar picture to the previous inspection. Fundamentally, some good work was undermined by a lack of up-to-date assessments of risk and need, high offender supervisor caseloads and a lack of contact between offender supervisors and prisoners. This meant the one-to-one motivational work needed with the large number of prisoners who were maintaining their innocence could not take place. The programme provision had improved with the addition of non-accredited programmes, but this was still not enough to meet need. Support for the small number of prisoners released from HMP Isle of Wight was poor.
HMP Isle of Wight is a respectful place where good relationships between frontline staff and prisoners result in many positive outcomes. However, there needs to be a better operational grip on safety. Managers need to address the weaknesses in offender management to ensure the prison fulfils its purpose of reducing the risks these long-term prisoners pose, both within the prison and, importantly, when they are eventually released.
Peter Clarke CVO OBE QPM June 2019
HM Chief Inspector of Prisons"
Return to Isle of Wight
To read the full reports, go to the Ministry of Justice site or follow the links below:
HMP Isle of Wight (631.88 kB), Report on an unannounced inspection of HMP Isle of Wight (15 April – 2 May 2019)
HMP Isle of Wight (PDF, 1.07 MB), Report on an unannounced inspection of HMP Isle of Wight (26 – 27 May, 8 – 12 June 2015)
HMP Isle of Wight, Announced full follow-up inspection of HMP Isle of Wight (21 May – 1 June 2012)
HMP Isle of Wight, Announced inspection of HMP Isle of Wight (4–15 October 2010)
HMP Albany, Announced inspection of HMP Albany (12-16 November 2007)
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Expert legal advice is VITAL
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Ministry of Justice Press Releases
Official Statistics: Prison population figures: 2020 January 17, 2020
News story: Court fee refund scheme now open January 16, 2020
Lord Chancellor welcomes new Queen's Counsel January 16, 2020
Official Statistics: Knife and Offensive Weapon Sentencing Statistics: July to September 2019 January 16, 2020
Cameras to broadcast from the Crown Court for first time January 16, 2020
Sometimes the stress and pain of crime, either as a victim or as a partner or family member of someone involved can be hard to cope with. If you need to talk contact the Samaritans; call 116 123
Prison Ratings
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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


WE ARE ANIMALS tonight and tomorrow and Saturday!
Opening tonight! WE ARE ANIMALS II: or why we can't have nice things, by Catya McMullen with music from Scott Klopfenstein (formerly of Reel Big Fish). I have the pleasure of singing in this a fun and touching evening of sketches, monologues, and music. Come check it out!
Tickets are $5 online and $15 at the door. Available online here!


Our win-win business model was a project of love, painstakingly engineered to reduce work time, effort and stress for everyone involved, while you and your clients build a secure financial future.
No prior experience in real estate or property management is required to build a true business empire. What you really need is a desire for success, a professional work ethic, and the ability to pay attention to detail.
The Keyrenter business model is designed to reduce the time, effort, stress and money usually required to start a business. It's proven to generate recurring monthly income and a steady stream of clients through automation and technology.
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Residential property management is not a passing fad. It is an important and necessary service that will continue to show increased demand. It can generate recurring revenue that grows larger and quicker than most people imagine.


Pereira D. R., Taipenos C., Rebelo A. L., Oliveira J. M., Reis R. L., and Pandit A., "Scavenging Nanoreactors that Modulate Inflammation", Advanced Biosystems, vol. 2, issue 6, pp. 1800086, doi:10.1002/adbi.201800086, 2018.
Pereira D. R., Tapeinos C., Oliveira J. M., Reis R. L., and Pandit A., "Functionalised collagen-MnO2 fibres inhibit oxidative-induced apoptosis in degenerated IVD", European Cells & Materials, 1, vol. 31, issue 1, pp. P50, 2016.


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A great formal classical style men's Bow Tie with a clip and matching Handkerchief set for a great accessory to a tuxedo or a suit.
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text:
DOJ Sues Texas Over GOP's Latest Redistricting Maps
There will undoubtedly be plenty of Republican lawmakers, in Texas and beyond, who will soon be taking aim at this grand overreach.
Texas lawmakers have once again found themselves in the crosshairs of the federal government this week, and it's reigniting a longstanding argument about states' rights.
The latest affront to the sovereignty of the Lone Star State comes after local leaders approved a broad redistricting map for upcoming elections.
The Justice Department filed a lawsuit Monday challenging legislative maps adopted by Texas Republicans in recent weeks that it says fail to recognize growth in the Latino population and discriminate against Black voters.
The lawsuit alleges that the redistricting plan drawn by Texas lawmakers violates the Voting Rights Act.
The Justice Department did not mince their words.
"The complaint we filed today alleges that Texas has violated Section Two by creating redistricting plans that deny or bridge the rights of Latino and Black voters to vote on account of their race, color or membership in a language-minority group," Attorney General Merrick Garland said at a news conference.
The lawsuit targets both the US congressional map drawn for the next decade of elections and the plan for the state House.
"The Legislature refused to recognize the State's growing minority electorate," the lawsuit states. "Although the Texas Congressional delegation expanded from 36 to 38 seats, Texas designed the two new seats to have Anglo voting majorities."
Kamala Staffers Describe Horrid, 'Soul Crushing' Working Environment
Wire1 hour ago
DirecTV Removes Conservative News Network in Blow to Free Speech


You cannot discover a new land without first losing sight of the shore!
I dedicate this amazing experience of island hopping to my Great luck. The perfect weather, the perfect wind, calm sea and Cool skipper.
If you have sailed even once then you would understand what I mean.
Our Full day sea tour which is popularly known as 5 island tour in split. You would find tens of agencies and tour companies that offer you this tour of 5 Island hopping. Blue Cave, Green Cave, Stiniva Beach, Palmizana, Hvar island are the ones on the list of all. But out of all we chose http://splitsea.tours/ compared to other tour companies it was little costly but worth it. Our skipper was so super active and was sharing his experience in every point.
I have shared my experience of the Blue Cave and Green cave in separate post. This post is for the rest.
Budikovac beach – I was already impressed with the amazing beauty of Stiniva beach experience, but when we visited the Budikovac Island. I was almost feeling like hypnotized now.
After the beauty of Stiniva, Another lagoon which we visited on our speed boat tour was the lagoon of Budikovac Island. I would like to use a phrase for this island as "beauty untouched".
Even though it's called blue lagoon but the water was beautiful turquoise. The shallow and crystal clear sea is the perfect spot to jump from the boat and enjoy swimming and snorkeling in this little paradise.
Interesting fact we got to know from our skipper was that there is only single person living in island. He is responsible for the single restaurant that runs at this destination that travelers come to this place.
Hvar Town – The visit to Hvar island was a stopover for lunch and extended time to relax. Here we got opportunity to not only taste the Mediterranean cuisine but also to chat with our fellow boat traveler.
The hot sun and chilled beer made the mood for next destination.
As informed by our skipper, Hvar Island is one of the popular and most preferred destinations for holiday makers. Hvar town is mostly popular for rich culture, lots of sunshine and beautiful views overlooking the Adriatic Sea.
Milna Island – This was a bonus trip for us. Our tour which was scheduled to start at 8.00 am in the morning started an hour late because of some technical problem in the boat and to this was a surprise additional island trip from the tour agency as kind of compensation for the late start. How cool was that. I mean who does that???
You don't do this tour on often basis, we may not see each other in future in anytime soon, and such gesture is truly appreciated and obviously makes sense to recommend for any other traveler planning for such tour.
Spending the time at sea is never a bad idea. The sea has a mystical power in itself to wash away the sweat (tiredness) and tears (Improve your mood).
Can you see the sunset rays????
I loved the photography! Great read!
Amazing pictures and article, I could almost feel the atmosphere from every picture. Thank you for giving me a chance to visit there through your experience.
Awesome place! Stunning photos and videos.
Photos are rich and lovely. In 20 years revisit them to remind yourself how beautiful the world can can and happy you were living in it.
Are you a travel writer???
😂 I mean you do it officially?
Beautiful photos, beautiful sunset, beautiful colors and beautiful architecture. What type of architecture is it? and was the trip expensive?
Croatia is very big place and there are lots of options to do. Depending on the city you select and also the season..Croatia is moderate compared to other big European cities.
Oh, I see. Thank you for responding. Ill have to do more research on croatia now.
You got some lovely photos!
I don't think I understood what you meant by singles only on island. Does that mean no one can be married, that only single people, unattached people can live there? So as long as you're not married you're allowed to live there? Or did you mean that only one family (perhaps) could have an island to themselves? Beautiful pictures!!
Budikovac is a small island and not inhabited by people.
I meant there is only person living on that person who is running a small business for tourists.
Love your photos and commentary.
Totally cool…..so many islands in one day, that's amazing!
Thank you..this is very popular in Split.
True, it wouldn't help if the person remained sick and missed all the fun! I've heard about Split and would like to visit it one day. In fact I would like to spend time in the whole of Croatia just marvelling in its beauty.
I love the idea of only one person living on an island – how cool!
What fabulous photographs those sunsets are mesmerising. I would love to go there.
Amazingly beautiful and your introductory line is awesome and can be applied to a lot of life.
Thanks for your report and photos. The turquoise water calls to me, and I wish to jump in and relax.
That is a great post and since I don't have the luck to travel these places, I do that virtually through your travel posts. As always, you look great and the sunset rays photo was really spectacular. It must have been a unique trip for you.
That looks absolutely amazing !
Stunning clicks and lovely experience of tour.
Always jealous of these views gorgeous girl 😊 Have fun!
We've been to Croatia a few times, and I absolutely love Hvar (although not so much the nightlife…). There is something magic about the Adriatic and the sailing trip sounds like a fun way to discover several islands. Milna looks like a beautiful spot!
Hvar Island looks like a small cozy place..boats parked on the shore, cool breeze and evening sun rays..creating perfect weather for romantic evening🙂 I would love to stay there if ever I would go there with my own boat.
Thank you for the beautiful tour. I am in aw at the beauty. This is only with through the photos. I can only imagine the wonder and beauty in person.
We take photos as a return ticket for the moment that has passed😊 isn't it.
I will be planning on taking lots of photos while on vacation in a week.
Beautiful pictures. Check my journey.


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class MnMatchInput_SettingsModel extends BaseModel
{
	public function rules()
	{
		$rules = parent::rules();
		$rules[] = array('inputMask', 'Craft\MnMatchInput_ValidRegexValidator');

		return $rules;
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	{
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			'errorMessage'     => array(AttributeType::String),
			'inputMask'     => array(AttributeType::String),
			'placeholder'   => array(AttributeType::String),
			'multiline'     => array(AttributeType::Bool),
			'initialRows'   => array(AttributeType::Number, 'min' => 1, 'default' => 4),
			'maxLength'     => array(AttributeType::Number, 'min' => 0),
		);
	}
}


This has been (like most summers around here) an ultimate summer, with lots of weeknight ultimate frisbee games and weekend tournaments. A few weeks ago, Mark's team, Glide, competed at Regionals in Kingston for a spot at Nationals in Vancouver. Not only did they qualify (WOOT!), but they ranked 4th (of 15) at the end of the weekend. So Glide is west-bound again to compete at Nats! And for athleticism of this caliber, you need good fuel. Enter, homemade energy bars. Sure, you could buy them, but it's cheaper to make your own, plus it's nice to know exactly what's in them, and trust me, these are delicious!
In a food processor, pulse the dates until well chopped and begin to form a ball.
Add in the almonds and hazelnuts and pulse until finely chopped with some larger pieces remaining.
Add the chia seeds, coconut, salt and cacao powder and process until well combined.
Scrape mixture into medium bowl and, with damp hands, press into a ball.
Turn ball out onto a piece of parchment paper, cover with a second piece of parchment, and press into a rough rectangle shape to desired thickness.
Lift the parchment, sprinkle with sea salt, pumpkin seeds, cocoa nibs, or any other toppings you want. Give another quick roll with the rolling pin to press the toppings into place.
Remove top piece of parchment and using a knife or pizza cutter, slice into pieces.
Wrap with a rectangle of parchment and tape or tie to seal.
This is a nutritious and scrumptious "recipe" I made up a few years ago, when I was trying to find another use for yet another brown banana that were beginning to stockpile in my freezer. It's great as a breakfast shake, and can be quite filling with the physillium. It's less of a recipe and more a list of ingredients, so add as much or as little as you like.
1. In a blender or the cup of an immersion blender, add all the ingredients.
Lately. Settling in, and some things in the works.
It's been surprisingly easy settling back into home and getting used to all of our western amenities again... And though I don't marvel out-loud (anymore) about how awesome it is to have safe tap water, no cockroaches, a comfortable bed, and hand soap in the bathroom, I won't soon be taking these things for granted. We live like Kings over here, no doubt about that!
Though we were, for a while, far far away seeing amazing things and having daily adventures, it is starting to feel like it was all a dream. Especially now that we're back to a busy summer of work, ultimate frisbee, yoga-ing, and otherwise full schedules. But, with full schedules comes a lot of fun, too. We're working hard to maintain a balance, and keep that easy-going feel that we cultivated while being away from the regular "stressors." We may live like Kings, but we sure stress out over the silliest things, don't we?
There are roses, and by golly, they smell fantastic.
And to answer a key question I've been getting asked lately... no, I am not returning to work. Though I enjoyed my job, and love my coworkers (and miss seeing them everyday!), I realized a few things about myself over the course of the trip, and I'm striking out in a new direction. Well, two directions, really. First, I've been teaching a free yoga class in my neighbourhood park, and it's been great getting to meet new people and share what I learned in India. Secondly, I'm working on some creative things... gathering supplies, herding ideas (oh so many ideas!), and making, making, making. I can't wait until it's all ready so I can share it with you. And don't worry, you won't miss it. I will be shouting it from the rooftops, and then some.
The best part of baking, no?
Looking after our two-and-a-half year old niece for the weekend, and introducing her to yoga.
Though she rocks the Ananda Balasana (Happy Baby Pose).
A regal chickadee ancestor for something I'm working on.
Stay tuned... all will be revealed soon!
There truly aren't enough superlatives to describe this tasty delight. You may have noticed I'm a big fan of Sarah Britton's My New Roots food blog, and this is just another of her spectacular recipes. Plus, I was happy, elated that they ended up looking like they were supposed to. So pretty. Like little crowns of scrumptious tastiness. Mmmmmm.
It was difficult tracking down some of the less common ingredients like lucuma and cacao butter, and they weren't cheap, but these are delectable, once-in-a-while kind of treats. So perhaps don't make them for a potluck where they may not be appreciated beside the Doritos, but save them for a special occasion.
And, eat them straight from the fridge! If they sit out even for a minute, they start to get soft and hard to handle (or, delicious gooeyness, depending on your perspective).
2. In silicon or paper muffin cups spoon enough liquid chocolate to cover the bottom. Place in the fridge or freezer and cool until solid, about 15 minutes. Remember that you are only using about 1/3 of the chocolate at this stage.
3. Make the nut butter filling by combining all of the ingredients until a "dough" is formed. Add more lucuma if it is too wet and runny. Taste for salt. This dough should be quite salty, but if you are using store-bought nut butter with added salt, don't go overboard.
6. When you have patiently waited, try removing one of the forms from the nut butter cups. If the chocolate sticks at all, return to the fridge until completely solid.
7. You can keep the chocolates in their forms or remove them, but either way store the nut butter cups in the fridge in a sealed container. Enjoy!
Tomatoes, well on their way.
For the first time in four years, it looks like we're going to get grapes! Very exciting!
The Fräulein and I have this favourite thing in common.
I suppose it had to go at some point, but I was sad to see it go. Though, I'm quite smitten with the new look, too! From disheveled, mountain yeti to office-ready in under an hour. Just like that. All those months of hard wo—or well, all those months of... freedom from the razor...?
How do you pay tribute to such an epic Bro-merang and Chin Muffler? (Other than a Viking burial of the trimmed whiskers, of course.) How about a time-lapse montage?! I present to you: ch-ch-ch-chia! Just watch the beard—it's moustache-merizing!


Nursing is a difficult job, however its nobility is bigger and that's why it is one of the most loved and dedicated line of work. For anyone that works in a hospital and nursing facility, they'd be aware that a nursing schedule is norm. This kind of schedule is a timetable of the nurses working at the facility – the schedule includes management of shift swaps, time-offs, open shifts etc. There are ready-to-print templates available which you can use. You can also see Shift Schedule Template.
Nursing schedule template tools can help in increasing the hospital staff productivity as well satisfaction through effective use of OPEN SHIFT MANAGEMENT scheduling method. Also, the scheduling task gets managed proactively through strong communication based platform.
The introduction of scheduling templates definitely helps in reducing the overtime level along with over staffing and use of the contractual labour staffs through alert display at the areas/sections where the overspend will take place. Some of the premium and top level scheduling template tools help in leveraging the workforce that's very familiar with all our procedures and facilities. Before spending big on the paid versions of these templates, it's always a better option to download the free versions to have an idea on how these templates function. If you have any DMCA issues on this post, please contact us!


text:
Mike Conley Q&A: How a Utah Jazz trade for the Memphis point guard would work
(Karen Pulfer Focht | AP file photo) Memphis Grizzlies Mike Conley (11) drives past Utah Jazz's Royce O'Neale (23) during the first half of an NBA basketball game Friday, March 8, 2019, in Memphis, Tenn.
By Andy Larsen
· Published: June 17, 2019
Update: The Utah Jazz have traded Grayson Allen, Kyle Korver, Jae Crowder and draft picks to Memphis for Mike Conley. This is Option 2, detailed below.
Mike Conley and the Utah Jazz are back in the news together again. Given the occasion, and the questions we've received, The Salt Lake Tribune thought we'd explain how a Conley deal could work. At the trade deadline, it was all a little simpler, but the schedule of the NBA's offseason would make things a bit more complicated now.
Why are we talking about Mike Conley again?
In short, because the Jazz are. Over the weekend, The Tribune reported that "trade negotiations with the Memphis Grizzlies over point guard Mike Conley look likely to reignite..." and it appears they've done exactly that.
According to Shams Charania at The Athletic, "The Grizzlies are intensifying talks to potentially move franchise cornerstone Mike Conley Jr... Memphis has been in conversations with the Jazz and Utah is a frontrunner to acquire Conley should the Grizzlies trade the point guard during draft week, league sources said." Tony Jones reported that the talks were "very serious," but that Jazz big man Derrick Favors was not currently involved in the team's discussions on Monday.
While the two teams weren't able to agree on a deal in February, the Jazz still like Conley and what he'd bring to the team: scoring, shooting and tough defense.
For the Grizzlies, they're looking to continue their rebuild. They'll almost certainly draft Murray State point guard Ja Morant with the No. 2 pick, and it makes sense to give him minutes right away rather than continue giving them to an effective veteran that may not be part of the next good Memphis team.
How do the Jazz make the trade work?
The main reason talks are happening now is that the Jazz's No. 23 pick would be a large part of any trade offer for Conley. There could also be other draft assets included in the trade, obviously a key piece of negotiation between the Jazz and Grizzlies. The most complicated question, though, is what else the Jazz would include.
The NBA's salary cap system means that the Jazz have two mechanisms they can use to acquire Conley: by including at least 80% of Conley's salary in the package they send to Memphis, or by bringing him into cap space they'd open for this purpose.
Back in February, conversations centered around Ricky Rubio as a key piece of the deal, but Rubio can no longer be traded because he is an impending free agent. Obviously, Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell are off the table.
The Jazz badly need more shooters. Will one be available at No. 23 in Thursday's NBA Draft?
The Utah Jazz have prepared diligently for the NBA draft, but could end up trading the No. 23 pick
Jazz wrap up predraft workouts with 12 prospects — including Maryland big man Bruno Fernando
Donovan Mitchell has a recruiting pitch ready to bring free agents to Utah. Will he get the chance to use it?
Option No. 1 — Matching salary
Conley's salary is $30,521,116 for the 2018-19 season, and $32,511,624 for the 2019-20 season. If the Jazz trade for him before July 1, they'll have to trade out $24.34 million or more to make the deal work. If they trade for him after July 1, they'll have to trade out $25.93 million or more. Here's the Jazz's current salary structure among players under contract for next season, according to Basketball Insiders:
Rudy Gobert $23,241,573 $24,758,427
Derrick Favors $16,900,000 $16,900,000
Joe Ingles $13,045,455 $11,954,546
Dante Exum $9,600,000 $9,600,000
Kyle Korver $7,560,000 $7,500,000
Jae Crowder $7,305,825 $7,815,533
Donovan Mitchell $3,111,480 $3,635,760
Raul Neto $2,150,000 $2,150,000
Grayson Allen $2,074,320 $2,429,400
Tony Bradley $1,679,520 $1,962,360
Georges Niang $1,512,601 $1,645,357
Royce O'Neale $1,378,242 $1,618,520
There's one quirk to know, though: see how the salary amounts for Favors, Kyle Korver, Raul Neto, Georges Niang, and Royce O'Neale are in red? That means their contracts are non-guaranteed for next season. Under NBA rules, only the guaranteed contract amounts count as outgoing salary. Until they are guaranteed, they count as $0 salary out (except for Kyle Korver, who is guaranteed $3.44 million no matter what.) So if the Jazz want to use those players, they'll need to guarantee their contracts first.
How do you get to $24.3-$25.9 million going out? If you want, you can get a calculator out and see how you can complete the deal. Including a guaranteed Favors or Ingles in the deal makes the math a lot easier. Favors plus Dante Exum works, but Favors plus Jae Crowder falls just short — you'd need to add in a smaller money player like Tony Bradley. Ingles plus Exum plus one of Neto or Grayson Allen works if you complete the deal before July 1, but not after.
Without Favors or Ingles included in the deal, Memphis would have to take at least Exum, a guaranteed Korver, and Crowder. If the deal is consummated after July 1, they'd need to add in an additional small salary, like Bradley's. Would the Jazz do a four-for-one trade? How would they fill out the roster? This path is possible, though.
Option No. 2 — acquiring Conley into the cap
Or, the Jazz could complete the trade by waiting until after July 1, opening up cap space, and then trading for Conley into the space they have under the cap. As The Tribune reported in April, here are the approximate cap space amounts the Jazz would have under each of the following scenarios:
Without Rubio: $13.8 million
Without Rubio and Favors: $31.4 million
Without Rubio, Favors, and Korver: $34.5 million
Without Rubio, Favors, Korver and Neto: $36.7 million
I'll also note that stretching Korver's contract over three years — a relatively obscure elective in the CBA — would mean only $1.15 million of his contract would count against the cap in 2019-20, rather than $3.44 million if they waived him or $7.5 million if they keep him.
The Jazz could renounce Rubio's rights, waive Favors and Korver, and have enough to acquire Conley for just the pick, nothing else. Or, they can trade away some players' salary ballast in order to make up the difference.
So, for example, the Jazz could use the $13.8 million in cap space they have by only losing Rubio, then trade away an additional $20 million or so in salary to have room to get Conley. Or, they can waive other players to gain more cap space, then they'd have to trade even less.
That might be a path to keeping Favors, and perhaps even Exum. Here's one path that does both, for example: the Jazz could waive Neto, waive and stretch Korver, and then trade Crowder, Allen, and the No. 23 pick for Conley. It fits — just barely. Such a deal would also give Memphis a pick, a young player, and an asset in Crowder they can either play or forward to a contending team later.
What could the Jazz do in free agency if they get Conley?
Under either Option No. 1 or Option No. 2, the Jazz won't have enough salary room to acquire another marquee free agent or big salary piece. If the Jazz get Conley, that means no Kemba Walker, Tobias Harris, D'Angelo Russell, etc.
In either scenario, the Jazz will have a mid-level exception available to them.
But if they choose Option No. 1, the mid-level exception available is far bigger. The cap MLE starts at about $9.2 million, and the Jazz could presumably get a pretty decent role player with that chunk of change. They'd also have the bi-annual exception available: about $3.6 million, it can be used once every two years. If they use Option No. 2 and go under the cap to get Conley, though, the room MLE is only $4.7 million. That gets a bench player.
They'd also be able to sign players to the minimum salary in either case.
Is a Mike Conley trade going to happen?
It's certainly a possibility. Such a trade would guarantee the Jazz were able to get a high quality acquisition this offseason, without relying on a big-name free agent coming to Utah. While the Jazz feel confident that they're among the top candidates for Tobias Harris and D'Angelo Russell, it's not a certainty that one would end up choosing the Jazz.
If a Conley trade does happen, it's likely to be agreed to in principle in the days before Thursday's draft, which would allow Memphis to select their preferred player at No. 23. It's likely — though not 100% certain — that the deal would be officially completed later, though, meaning that the No. 23 pick would wear a Jazz hat on draft day. We'd spare them the interviews, though.
alarsen@sltrib.com
twitter Follow @andyblarsen
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Elmer Crow
Mr. Elmer Crow, age 86, of Grand Haven passed away Saturday, October 23, 2021, at home. He was born October 21, 1935, in Grand Haven to Ed and Katherine (Ruiter) Crow. On June 13, 1959, he married Kathryn Andersen and she preceded him in death on June 14, 2012. Elmer was a retired welder for Johnson boiler. He enjoyed old cars, trains, and ships, going to car shows and traveling around Michigan to seek out the next old car. He is survived by his daughters, Jean Payment of Pfugerville, Texas, and Amanda Christmas joy Lucsy (Alger); stepsons, J.R. (Nancy) Scherer, and Clifford (Nelva) Scherer; six grandchildren, and several great-grandchildren; sister, Lori Bennett, and brother, Bill Crow; and many nieces and nephews. He was preceded in death by his son, Glen Crow, sisters, Katy Cole and Betty Crow, three brothers: Harold Clover, Edwin Crow, and Richard Crow; nephew, Edwin Crow, Jr. In keeping with his wishes there will not be a service at this time. Interment will take place in Lakeshore Cemetery. Please sign the family's online guestbook at www.sytsemafh.com.
Mr. Elmer Crow, age 86, of Grand Haven passed away Saturday, October 23, 2021, at home. He was born October 21, 1935, in Grand Haven to Ed and Katherine (Ruiter) Crow. On June 13, 1959, he married Kathryn Andersen and she preceded him in death... View Obituary & Service Information
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Snakeheads have some pretty awful nicknames such as Frankenfish. They have gotten a ton of media attention lately considering the fact that they discovered a breeding populace in a pond in Maryland. They have since been observed living in other waters in southern United states but are nonetheless not to be thought of established in any area. This is mainly thanks to significant authorities function to hold them from developing them selves.
The concern for snakeheads has its foundation in the simple fact that they are ferocious predators that can swallow fish of half their personal sizing. This has intended that a lot of now panic that Snakeheads could do substantial hurt to the eco programs if the exactly where at any time to set up on their own in the US. A consequence of this concern is the ban to import snakeheads that was imposed 2003. This has nonetheless not stopped dwell snakeheads from being accessible in Asian food items marketplaces and the aquarium trade.
They are originally observed in Africa and South East Asia where by they are appreciated foods sources. Snakeheads fluctuate in sizing from really modest to extremely big. The biggest species can get to over one particular property (practically one meter) in duration. Snakeheads vary from numerous other fishes due to the actuality that they breathe air by making use of a thing identified as a labyrinth which allows them to eat oxygen from the atmosphere. This indicates that they can live for extended periods on land as long as they can remain moist. They use this capability to walk to new areas to are living and feed in. Snakeheads drown if they cannot access the area to get air.
They are well-known aquarium fishes and quite a few aquarists are opposing the choice to ban snakeheads and believe that snakehead import for the aquarium trade must be permitted. They imagine that import at the extremely minimum must be permitted in colder states wherever snakeheads are unable to endure in the wild. They have a stage in this believe considering that snakeheads re not able to endure in most regions in the United states owing to the point that they need to have heat water to survive. Letting snakehead import in some states will even so make it tougher to implement the ban in the states the place they could survive which could provide to justify the country huge ban.