Did you know that oil can be a huge help in your beauty routine?
Read on to find out what oils are good for beauty care and nine different ways you can use them!
Coconut: Coconut oil has received lots of attention in the last decade due to its high vitamin E content and fatty acids. This powerhouse oil also has antibacterial properties.
Avocado: Avocado is a good source of omega-3 fatty acids, which help heal your skin inside and out.
Argan: Argan oil is high in vitamin E and essential fatty acids. This makes it good for your hair, skin and those winter-worn nail beds.
Jojoba: The key to jojoba is that it is chemically similar to human sebum, our own natural oil that we produce. Using it helps your body balance its own oil production.
Olive: Olives are antioxidant-rich and loaded with vitamins A and E. This makes it a natural anti-aging miracle oil.
Sesame: Sesame oil is a potent antibacterial agent, and works well for soothing skin irritation and sunburns.
A thin layer of oil on your freshly washed face can work wonders for your skin. It will moisturize purely, without chemicals or artificial ingredients.
Oil is the perfect lightweight moisturizer for your entire body. It typically absorbs within a few minutes, but stays deep in your skin for hours. Many different oils have delightful fragrances that can give your skin an extra boost throughout the day.
Oil has been my favorite makeup remover for years and I bet it will be yours, too. Just a drop can remove all of your day-to-day makeup without stripping your skin of essential moisture. It even works on waterproof mascara! Natural oil is less harsh if it gets in the eye compared to store bought makeup removers.
Oil can serve as an incredible deep conditioner for your hair. I like to put about a teaspoon onto the ends of my hair before I shower and then wash my hair normally. You can also drench your head in oil and leave it in for ten minutes for an intense conditioning session. However, save that for the weekend when you have plenty of time to wash it out.
Eye creams are expensive and have a quick turnover rate. Oil can help prevent fine lines and wrinkles around the eyes with only a teaspoon. It is more effective, lasts longer, and is a whole lot cheaper.
For silky skin after a shave, try using oil as your own natural shaving cream. It will protect the skin while you shave and keep the deeper layers of skin moisturized.
Dab some oil on your lips for a lip balm that gives you the silky feel you want while also moisturizing deeply for a long lasting effect.
Just a dab of oil on frizzy hair can help smooth it down tremendously. The best part is that the oil will stay with your hair for the entire day, making it the most effective anti-frizz treatment you've ever used. Be careful though, you don't want to overdo it and look greasy.
Oil can help soothe irritated skin, smooth dry patches, prevent fine lines and wrinkles, and even help heal certain conditions such as eczema and psoriasis. Using oil on scars can also help them heal more completely. In the same way, oil can help prevent and lighten stretch marks.
There you have it! Amazing oils and nine ways you can use them in your beauty routine. Give them a try and let us know what works best for you in the comments below!
Eyebrow Tattoos: Are They worth It?


text:
Jami-Lee Ross stood at the podium set up for Simon Bridges, and unleashed a barrage of accusations about Bridges' leadership. Photo: Lynn Grieveson
OCTOBER 16, 2018 Updated October 23, 2018
Laura Walters
Laura Walters is a senior political reporter based in Wellington who covers justice, education and immigration.
Jami-Lee Ross leaves more questions than answers
What should have been the end of the protracted Simon Bridges leak saga has led to further questions, writes Laura Walters.
An explosive press conference from ousted National MP Jami-Lee Ross should have provided the answers to questions swirling since August, but Ross' attack on Bridges only raised more questions.
On Monday, Bridges released the findings of a PwC report into the leaking of his travel expenses, and subsequent events. The report was not conclusive, but on the balance of probabilities, found Ross was the leaker.
Ross has flat-out denied being the leaker and has gone down swinging, levelling serious allegations at Bridges, which included corrupt electoral donation practices.
While the remaining National MPs were in a crisis caucus meeting voting to expel the "lone wolf MP" from the party, Ross was using a podium set up for Bridges to publicly announce his resignation and mount his next attack on his former ally.
With allegations flying and MPs resigning, here's a list of what we now know, and what's yet to come out in the wash:
Expenses leaker
Ross denies being the original leaker of Bridges' travel expenses. The expenses were leaked to a Newshub journalist in August and the PwC report commissioned by Bridges showed no correspondence between Ross and the journalist. The report said the leaker had not been identified "with certainty", but the evidence pointed to Ross.
Bridges and National MPs were firm on their belief that Ross was behind all the recent leaks, saying there had been a "pattern of behaviour". There was also no alternative MP or staffer identified as the possible source.
Text leaker
Ross has admitted to being the leaker of the text from the person claiming to be the expense leaker (stay with us). The text calling for the leak inquiry to be called off was leaked to a different journalist, from a different organisation. Ross said he passed the details of the text to the RNZ journalist because he disagreed with Bridges' decisions regarding the leak saga, including his decision to push forward with an investigation despite the leaker revealing they had mental health issues.
The report details 10 calls between Ross and the RNZ journalist, and nine calls between Ross and a senior police officer in his electorate. He says the calls to the police officer were on an unrelated matter. It seems no one in National, nor the report authors, believe this.
Harassment allegations
Ross is also now facing allegations of harassing at least four women. He was confronted by Bridges, deputy leader Paula Bennett, and National chief of staff Jamie Gray about three weeks ago. They said there were complaints from four women, and they were aware of a "pattern of behaviour". Bridges said the women did not want to take the matter further.
Meanwhile, allegations regarding Ross' behaviour in his Botany electorate have surfaced. Issues were taken to the National Party executive by members of the Howick Local Board on more than one occasion. No action was taken.
Ross denies ever harassing a woman, saying he was raised by his mother and grandmother to respect women. He then strangely referenced the Brett Kavanaugh affair in the US, saying a man who was accused of harassment these days found it almost impossible to clear their name. Ross said these allegations led to him having a "mental breakdown" and caused him to take leave. He said he was better now.
Last night Bennett told Newsroom it was wrong of Ross to claim she and Bridges had raised allegations of sexual 'harassment' with him. "We just put to him some form of inappropriate behaviour for a married man. We had a private conversation with him. It was sensitive, but it is him who has chosen to go public about it being around sexual harassment."
Electoral return allegations
Clearly not one to go down without a fight, Ross levelled his own allegations at Bridges over his dealing with electoral returns.
Ross said Bridges filed false returns for electoral donations. One of those was a $10,000 donation from an organisation called Cathedral Club, which Ross alleged was a front for Bridges' friend. Bridges said there was a clerical error regarding two donations totalling $24,000, as they were listed as candidate donations, rather than party donations. The return was amended and resubmitted.
Ross also alleged Bridges had received $100,000 from Chinese businessman Yikun Zhang, which Bridges asked Ross to collect and split up so it could be filed anonymously. The outgoing National MP said he would be taking information regarding the alleged "corruption" to police on Wednesday.
Bridges denied any corruption or wrongdoing and said he welcomed an investigation.
National Party president Peter Goodfellow said the party could find no proof of Ross' allegations, which seemed "inconsistent with the donor information we have to date, including information previously supplied by Mr Ross".
Jami-Lee Ross' future
Ross has resigned as a member of the National Party and as a member of Parliament. He will stand in the Botany by-election as an independent. National will also stand a candidate in the election, and it's unlikely Ross will win. At this stage, his future remains up in the air.
Simon Bridges' future
Bridges' handling of the leak saga, and his popularity both in and out of the party, have been questioned during the past two months. The leader said the party was united and all 55 MPs had voted to expel Ross. He also said his leadership had not been discussed by caucus but the party was united. He repeatedly referred to Ross as a "lone-wolf MP", who was "leaking", "lying" and "lashing out".
However, this will not be the end of the saga for Bridges, who may now be at the centre of an investigation into alleged electoral fraud. He's in a stronger position than Ross at this stage but nothing's a sure thing in politics.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


They say that you have to kiss a lot of frogs before you find your prince. Well, you will certainly have plenty of opportunities with this bulk supply of Haribo Frogs Gummies.This makes them perfect for a princess-themed birthday party. Of course, boys do love their amphibians, so these yummy treats might inspire a frog-themed party for your little guy, as well. These Haribo Frogs Gummies are bright green and have white foam bellies. They are fun to eat on their own, or you can use them to decorate a cake, cupcakes, or brownies.Haribo Frogs Gummies have a refreshing apple flavor. They are soft, fresh, and chewy; everything you hope for in a gummy candy. They are low in calories, fat-free, lactose-free, and gluten-free, so whether you are watching your weight or trying to find a candy that a variety of kids won't be allergic to, this is a great option.


On Monday morning, guide Jeff Evans was greeted with 50 degree air temperatures, rain and wind.
On Monday morning, we were greeted with 50 degree air temps, rain, and north winds. I guess I didn't get the memo that October arrived early!
Randy Bina from Rice Lake received a trip with me as a gift from his wife through Relay for Life. I hope she didn't pay extra for the added weather bonus!
Well we put our rain gear to the test, sadly mine failed, and managed to put some fish in the boat as we were peppered throughout the day with wind and rain. Slip bobbers and leeches in 15- to 18-feet of water produced all of our fish as we landed walleyes up to 17 inches and largemouth up to 18 inches. Water temps dropped to 69 degrees by the end of the day. We had one pretty good mid-day flurry of action. Otherwise, it was one here and one there.
We did spend a little time trying to drag crawler harnesses without success. We did have one good fish hooked for a bit on a harness, but couldn't seal the deal. High winds limited the areas we could fish, so we were pretty limited on what we could do with harnesses.


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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies (2010)
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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies
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National Research Council; Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences; Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies
Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers.
The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.
Engineering and Technology — Policy, Reviews and Evaluations
Engineering and Technology — Applications of Technology
National Research Council. 2010. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/12557.
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136 pages | 8.5 x 11
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.17226/12557
Search Inside This Book
skim chapter
Front Matter i-xvi
Summary 1-7
1 Need for Persistent Long-Term Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies 8-16
2 Existing Technology Forecasting Methodologies 17-32
3 The Nature of Disruptive Technologies 33-47
4 Reducing Forecasting Ignorance and Bias 48-56
5 Ideal Attributes of a Disruptive Technology Forecasting System 57-91
6 Evaluating Existing Persistent Forecasting Systems 92-104
7 Conclusion 105-110
Appendixes 111-112
Appendix A: Biographical Sketches of Committee Members 113-116
Appendix B: Meetings and Speakers 117-120
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Keith spent eight years in private industry working in production research as well as quality and environmental management. He also worked as an Industrial Recycling Specialist with UW-Extension's Solid & Hazardous Waste Education Center (SHWEC) for many years prior to accepting a full-time position at UW-Marinette in 2002. His lifetime teaching experience includes every level from third grade to college undergraduate.
Keith's research focus usually involves industrial ecology and pollution control, but he also enjoys military geography (particularly of the American Civil War), political or social history, and seismic/volcanic events.
Keith served as Associate Campus Dean from the Summer of 2013 through the Fall of 2015. He was named UW-Marinette Athletic Director, beginning in Fall 2017.


text:
Q: Indenting bullet within `fbox` \documentclass[fleqn, 12pt] {article}
\usepackage{lipsum}
\usepackage{enumerate}
\usepackage[shortlabels]{enumitem}

\begin{document}
Previous text
  \fbox{
       \noindent\begin{minipage}{\textwidth}
           \begin{itemize}
               \item \textbf{Note:-}  I want this.
           \end{itemize}
       \end{minipage}
   }
Next text
\end{document}

With this, the indention of the text with the bullet moves towards right side. How do I move the text to the left side of the page? Also the gaps on the top and bottom of the box seem lesser than regular height.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
Q: Barplots with column names I have this dataset :
 dat<-read.table(text = "pl     Freq
             Abid     23
             Berl     54
             Cara     54
             Daka     10",header=T)

I am trying to have an histogram with the name of each columns (under the columns (i.e. "pl" informations)  and the columns sorted in decreasing order...
I tried a lot of ordering method, but :
 barplot(dat$freq)

Seems to not be the good way...
I you have any idea that would be helpfull !
Cheers,
R.

A: I beieve this is what you are looking for:
barplot(dat$Freq, names.arg = dat$pl)

And if you want to have the barplot sorted according to their frequencies:
dat <- dat[order(dat$Freq, decreasing = TRUE), ]

Thomas


Waste facilities are closed on selected public holidays, with additional closures possible during the Christmas and New Year period. Please refer to Council's closure advertisements for further information.
Seven days a week, 7.00am to 4.30pm.
Closed Christmas Day, Boxing Day, New Years Day, Good Friday, Easter Sunday and Anzac Day.
Please note the Tip Shop is also closed on Free Tip Days.


Janet Hook covers national politics for the Los Angeles Times. She returned to the Washington bureau in 2018 after spending eight years covering politics and Congress for the Wall Street Journal. Her first stint with The Times was in 1995-2010 covering Congress and politics. She is a native of Long Island, N.Y., and a graduate of Harvard University. She has lived in the Washington area since 1980 – except for one blissful year in Palo Alto on the John S. Knight Fellowship for Professional Journalists.
Joe Biden launches a third bid for the presidency at the age of 76, asking Democrats to decide if his time has come at last, or if it has come and gone. His entry has the potential to strongly shape the race.


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Williamston Theatre starts 2017 with the World Premiere of 'A Painted Window'
"A Painted Window" begins with five preview performances starting Jan. 26. During the first four previews audience members will have the opportunity to take part in the process of creating a show by participating in a talkback session with the director and playwright following each performance. The official opening night is Feb. 3 at 8 p.m., with the show scheduled to run through Feb. 26. Performances will run Friday and Saturday evenings at 8 p.m. and Sunday matinees at 2 p.m. with additional 3 p.m. matinees on Saturdays starting Feb. 4. The Conversation Sunday for "A Painted Window" is Feb. 19.
How deep do the bonds of sisterhood go? "A Painted Window" catalogues the reunion of two sisters, Josephine and Sylvia, that used to giggle together late at night, yet now stand worlds apart. Forced to move in together after decades of estrangement, the two women struggle to reconcile their past, navigate the present and plan their future. "A Painted Window" is a beautifully crafted play about family, loss, regret and the staggering power of fear, but it's also a keen dissection of identity, classism, racism, and the havoc that consumerism, greed and entitlement have wreaked on the American Dream. Ultimately, though, this is a play about love.
Tickets are Pay-What-You-Can for the preview on Jan. 26. Remaining preview tickets are still $15. Starting opening night, adult tickets prices are $30 for Friday and Saturday evenings, $27 for Saturday and Sunday matinees and $25 for Thursday evenings. Senior citizens (65 and older) and members of the military receive a $2 discount on all tickets. Student tickets (with a valid student ID) remain $10 for all performances. Discounts are also available for groups of 10 or more (booked at least 1 week in advance through the box office). Tickets can be purchased Tuesday-Friday from 12-6 p.m. by calling (517) 655-SHOW (7469) or by visiting the box office, and ordered online up until 1 1/2 hours prior to the performance by visiting www.williamstontheatre.org. Please be aware that payment is required at the time the reservation is made.
This originally appeared at www.encoremichigan.org, the online site covering professional theater in Michigan.


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Julian Schild
Julian Schild Overview
Julian Schild General Information
Mr. Julian Schild serves as Non-Executive Director at Telecom plus. He qualified as a Chartered Accountant in 1986. He joined Huntleigh Technology PLC in 1987 and was promoted to Group Finance Director that year, and to Chairman in 2003. Julian was Chairman of the Association of British Healthcare Industries from 2006 to 2007. Following the sale of Huntleigh in 2007, he set up a company investing in start-ups. Julian actively supports many charitable activities. He is a Director of the Hospital of St. John & Elizabeth in London and is an Advisory Fellow of Pembroke College, Oxford. Julian joined Telecom in May 2010 as an independent non-executive director. He is also an Angel Investor.
Julian Schild Investments (1)
00000000.000 01-May-2013 0000 00000 00000 Internet Retail Out of Business 000000 000000
To view Julian Schild's complete investments history, request access »
Julian Schild Exits (1)
00000000.000 07-Feb-2017 000 00 00000000
To view Julian Schild's complete exits history, request access »
Julian Schild Investments by Industry, Year, and Region
Julian Schild Team (1)
Julian Schild Angel Investor 0 0 London, United Kingdom
To view Julian Schild's complete team members history, request access »


Thanks to our unique learning method, you will soon achieve great results on the path to mastering French. Vocabulary Builder is ideal for anyone wishing to learn some words and phrases for use on holiday, as well as those looking to brush up their language skills.
Thanks to our unique learning method, you will soon achieve great results on the path to mastering Italian. Vocabulary Builder is ideal for anyone wishing to learn some words and phrases for use on holiday, as well as those looking to brush up their language skills.
Thanks to our unique learning method, you will soon achieve great results on the path to mastering Russian. Vocabulary Builder is ideal for anyone wishing to learn some words and phrases for use on holiday, as well as those looking to brush up their language skills.
Thanks to our unique learning method, you will soon achieve great results on the path to mastering Chinese. Vocabulary Builder is ideal for anyone wishing to learn some words and phrases for use on holiday, as well as those looking to brush up their language skills.
Thanks to our unique learning method, you will soon achieve great results on the path to mastering Arabic. Vocabulary Builder is ideal for anyone wishing to learn some words and phrases for use on holiday, as well as those looking to brush up their language skills.
Thanks to our unique learning method, you will soon achieve great results on the path to mastering Japanese. Vocabulary Builder is ideal for anyone wishing to learn some words and phrases for use on holiday, as well as those looking to brush up their language skills.
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Thanks to our unique learning method, you will soon achieve great results on the path to mastering English. Vocabulary Builder is ideal for anyone wishing to learn some words and phrases for use on holiday, as well as those looking to brush up their language skills.
Thanks to our unique learning method, you will soon achieve great results on the path to mastering German. Vocabulary Builder is ideal for anyone wishing to learn some words and phrases for use on holiday, as well as those looking to brush up their language skills.


text:
Study: Blacks Teens More Likely to Report Suicide Attempts in Absence of Thoughts, Plans
Content Warning: Topics include suicide, sexual violence and drug misuse.
Also, online bullying, misusing prescription opiates, and experiencing sexual violence increase likelihood teens will not only think about suicide, but also attempt it.
Contact: Kim Eckart, keckart@uw.edu or Sheryl Huggins Salomon, mcsilver.comms@nyu.edu
(September 14, 2021) — Black high school students are almost two times as likely as White students to attempt suicide without reporting any thoughts or plans beforehand, according to a new study in Prevention Science published online this month. "Current suicide screenings often mark suicidal thoughts and plans as primary indicators that a person might be at risk for an attempt. Yet, as we discuss in the study, Black youth's symptoms may be more likely to manifest as concerns in their relationships with others, physical complaints, or behavioral problems," said lead author Meghan Romanelli, an Assistant Professor in the School of Social Work at the University of Washington and a Faculty Affiliate of the NYU McSilver Institute for Poverty Policy and Research. "Since suicide screening tools generally don't consider these factors, it's important that we start to think about these potentially different warning signs or expressions of suicidality among Black youth aside from thoughts and plans."
"What we're seeing is that Black youth are more likely to evidence an attempt, seemingly without telling anyone about their thoughts and plans beforehand," says Dr. Michael A. Lindsey, a study co-author who is Executive Director of the McSilver Institute. "This supports our prior research at McSilver showing that self-reported suicide attempts are on the rise among Black youth even as self-reported thoughts and plans have been decreasing."
The study included data from nearly 7,500 high school students who completed the 2015, 2017, and 2019 National Youth Risk Behavior Surveys and who reported having suicidal thoughts, a suicide plan, and/or a suicide attempt within the past 12 months.
The researchers also found that students across racial and ethnic groups who reported being bullied online, sad or hopeless, had a history of sexual violence, used cigarettes, and misused prescription opiates were more likely to report suicide attempts with thoughts and plans, as opposed to having only thoughts and plans without an attempt.
The other co-authors of the study included Dr. Arielle Sheftall, a principal investigator in the Center for Suicide Prevention and Research at the Abigail Wexner Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital in Columbus, Ohio; Sireen B. Irsheid, a Doctoral Student at University of Chicago Crown Family School of Social Work, Policy, and Practice; and Tracy M. Grogan, a Research Assistant at the NYU McSilver Institute.
About the McSilver Institute
The NYU McSilver Institute for Poverty Policy and Research is committed to creating new knowledge about the root causes of poverty, developing evidence-based interventions to address its consequences, and rapidly translating research findings into action through policy and best practices. Learn more at mcsilver.nyu.edu and sign up for updates.
About the School of Social Work at the University of Washington
The University of Washington School of Social Work advances social, racial and economic justice through rigorous research and innovative solutions developed and tested in collaboration with communities. Consistently ranked among the top three graduate schools of social work in the country, it prepares students to lead and innovate in areas ranging from Indigenous and LGBTQ health to substance abuse prevention, palliative care social work, suicide prevention and child welfare. Learn more at socialwork.uw.edu.
Meghan B. Romanelli, PhD, LCSW
McSilver Faculty Affiliate
Full Bio Meghan B. Romanelli, PhD, LCSW
Michael A. Lindsey, PhD, MSW, MPH
Full Bio Michael A. Lindsey, PhD, MSW, MPH
Arielle Sheftallblack mental healthBlack youthMeghan RomanelliMichael A. LindseySireen B. Irsheidsuicidesuicide preventionTracy Groganyouthyouth mental health


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What Is Cte Stage 2 (July) All Essential Facts Here!
This article answers the query What Is Cte Stage 2 and mentions all other relevant details.
Do you closely follow American football? It's one of the most popular and well-known sports in the country. The sporting league NFL is one of the most accomplished and renowned sports leagues globally. An acclaimed player in this league recently lost his life to a disease. Recent reports have revealed that the cause behind his death and the query regarding What Is Cte Stage 2 has become trendy.
Users in the United States and Canada are interested to know more about this disease and other relevant details. Keep reading this article to obtain more information.
Details about Demaryius Thomas' death
What Is Stage 2 Cte Disease?
What Is Cte Stage 2?
Demaryius Thomas was one of the most well-known players in the NFL who had achieved good fame and success. Unfortunately, the player recently passed away a few months ago. Let's look at the relevant details below.
The authorities found Demaryius Thomas unconscious in his house in Roswell, Georgia, where he was announced dead.
What Is Stage 2 Cte Mean? It's the disease responsible for this accomplished player's death.
His death occured a few days before his 34th birthday.
At the time of his death, authorities listed the reason for his death to be a seizure due to some injuries suffered and also described it as a medical issue.
However, the exact cause of death has been clarified recently, and the player died due to a Stage 2 CTE disease.
This player's family made the information public that he had critical stage 2 CTE at his death.
The full form of CTE is Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy, a progressive degenerative brain disease.
According to Boston University's research, this disease is caused by sustaining repeated injuries to the head.
The troubling part about this disease is that it may emerge months or years after these injuries are sustained.
It has become a significant cause of concern in many contact sports, and many athletes have been posthumously diagnosed with the same.
There have been attempts to raise awareness about this issue that's caused some tragedies in football, hockey, etc.
As we mentioned earlier, it refers to the second stage of CTE, a progressive brain degenerative disease.
The second stage of this disease is quite severe as the person experiences memory loss, aggressiveness, and difficulty thinking, among other things.
A significant portion of players have been diagnosed with CTE.
Demaryius Thomas was a popular football player who unfortunately passed away a few months ago. The cause of death was earlier reported as seizures; however, recent developments have revealed that he also suffered from Stage 2 CTE. Queries about What Is Cte Stage 2 have become trendy as a result. Read more about this player here. Are you aware of the risks that CTE poses to athletes? Kindly share your opinion on this information in the comments.
Also Read : – Who Is Academy Umbrella Harlan {June} Know Character!


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Braslovče  so eno najstarejših naselij v Spodnji Savinjski dolini in tudi na Slovenskem. So tudi središče občine Braslovče. Braslovče so slikovit trg pod Dobrovljami, obkrožen v ravninskem delu s hmeljišči, na zahodnem z gozdovi, Braslovškim in Žovneškim jezerom, gradom Žovnek, prvim domovanjem celjskih knezov.

Zgodovina

Prve omembe kraja segajo v leto 1140. To je čas, ko so si to ozemlje pridobili Žovneški gospodje, predniki kasnejših Celjskih knezov. V tistih časih je nastal tudi grad Žovnek. Kraj Braslovče se v zgodovini najprej pojavi z imenom »Fraslov«. Kasnejša pisna različica imena je najpogosteje »Fraslow« in je zapisana vse do uvedbe slovenskega imena, ki ga uporabljamo še danes, »Braslovče«. Braslovče so že v času Celjskih grofov dobile trške pravice in svoj grb. To se je zgodilo v času celjskih grofov Viljema in Hermana I. Ker je slednji umrl leta 1385, pomeni, da so Braslovče dobile trške pravice vsaj pred letom 1385, domnevno leta 1360. Pravice so v kasnejših časih potrdili kraju še nadvojvoda Karel (leta 1570 in 1573) in cesar Ferdinand (leta 1836). V tistem času so imele Braslovče pravico do štirih letnih živinskih in kramarskih sejmov, ki so bili v ponedeljek pred Sv. Matijem, v petek pred cvetno nedeljo, v sredo pred vnebohodom in v ponedeljek pred Sv. Matejem. Pridobitev teh pravic je poleg ugodne trgovske lege vsekakor pospešila takratni razvoj Braslovč. Braslovče so bile v preteklosti zelo znane po obrtništvu in trgovini. Z uvedbo hmelja kot intenzivne kmetijske panoge je tudi Savinjska dolina doživela močan razcvet in napredek.

Braslovški župnik Gašpar (Kasper) je leta 1485 dokončal gradnjo braslovškega protiturškega tabora okoli župnijske cerkve. Leta 1646 je braslovški župnik Filip Terpin poročal o kugi v braslovški župniji. O velikosti najstarejšega naselja ni veliko znanega, šele leta 1550 najdemo zapis, da so Braslovče imele 32 stanovanjskih enot. Leta 1820 je v dokumentih navedeno, da je bilo v Braslovčah 59 hiš in 265 prebivalcev.

Opis trškega naselja
Braslovče imajo značilno trško zasnovo in tloris naselja. Na vsaki strani ceste, ki vodi skozi trg, so razporejene stanovanjske stavbe, za njimi pa so gospodarska poslopja, ki jim sledi pas sadovnjakov. Najznamenitejša stavba na osrednjem delu trga je župnijska cerkev Marije Vnebovzete, ki je tudi nedvomno najstarejša zgradba v Braslovčah. Kot stavba je v pisnih virih prvič neposredno omenjena šele leta 1255, vendar njeni še vedno ohranjeni deli spadajo vsaj v 10. stoletje, če ne že v 9. V času turških vpadov, v drugi polovici 15. stoletja, je bila obzidana z močnim taborom, ki je imel štiri obrambne stolpe in dvižni most. Ohranila sta se eden izmed stolpov in del zidu. Ob cerkvi stojita dva spomenika – kipa, ki predstavljata dva velika slovenska duhovnika  Antona Martina Slomška  in  Franca Kosarja . Pri cerkvi je bila leta 1428 začasno pokopana Veronika Deseniška, druga žena grofa Friderika II. Celjskega. Pozneje so jo prekopali v samostan Jurklošter. V neposredni bližini cerkve stoji dvorec Legant, nekdaj strelski ali lovski dvor. Renesančna stavba, kakršna je danes, naj bi bila iz konca 16. stoletja. Sedaj je v pritličju pošta, zgoraj pa je stanovanjska stavba.

Sedež občine
Občina Braslovče po nastanku sodi med mlajše občine v slovenskem prostoru. Nastala je leta 1998 po razdelitvi bivše velike Občine Žalec. Razprostira se na površini 54,9 km2. V njej po zadnjih podatkih živi 5.524 prebivalcev. Njena nadmorska višina je 306,8 metrov. Vanjo je vključenih 22 naselij, in sicer (v oklepaju število prebivalcev): Braslovče (377), Dobrovlje (140), Glinje (48), Gomilsko (357), Grajska vas (342), Kamenče (189), Letuš (853), Male Braslovče (264), Orla vas (201), Parižlje (731), Podgorje (67), Podvrh (423), Poljče (62), Preserje (103), Rakovlje (426), Spodnje Gorče (75), Šentrupert (154), Šmatevž (188), Topovlje (124), Trnava (267), Zakl (57) in Zgornje Gorče (76).

Turistične zanimivosti kraja

 Grad Žovnek iz okoli leta 1130;
 Dvorec Žovnek (Ruhenthal) iz leta 1816;
 Dvorec Legant (Lehnhof) pred letom 1369;
 Cerkev Marijinega vnebovzetja, Braslovče - prvotna farna (prafarna) cerkev iz 10. stoletja;

Ostale kulturne, športne in naravne znamenitosti
 Žovneško jezero je najmlajše akumulacijsko jezero, v letu 1978 zgrajeno na potoku Trnavca, obsega pa 49 ha s povprečno globino 7 m.
 Dobrovlje so velika prostrana, zakrasela planota med spodnjo Zadrečko in Spodnjo Savinjsko dolino, vzhodno od Menine planine, nad njo pa se dvigajo vrhovi: Grmada (898 m), Konjšek (790 m), Bezovec (857 m).
 Prostovoljno gasilsko društvo Braslovče je bilo ustanovljeno leta 1900.
 »Dan hmeljarjev« v Braslovčah je tradicionalna kulturno-etnografska prireditev, ki jo vsako leto v drugem vikendu v avgustu organizira Turistično društvo Braslovče.
 Braslovško jezero - okoli 4,5 ha veliko jezero je bilo narejeno v letu 1961 na zgornjem toku potoka Trebnik.
 Ribniki Preserje - Presersko jezero (ribnik) leži v naselju Preserje nedaleč stran od Braslovč ob regionalni cesti Šentrupert – Mozirje. Nastal je z zajezitvijo Struge, stranskega rokava reke Savinje. Ob jezeru stoji lepo urejen ribiški dom Ribiške družine Šempeter z restavracijo.

Osebe, povezane s krajem/trgom

 Matjaž Debelak, smučarski skakalec, edini slovenski športnik, ki je osvojil dve medalji na zimskih olimpijskih igrah. Leta 1988 je na ZOI v Calgaryju na veliki skakalnici osvojil bronasto medaljo, drugo jugoslovansko in prvo skakalno v zgodovini zimskih športov v takratni državi. Poleg tega je še nosilec ekipne srebrne medalje iz te olimpijade.
 Franc Kosar, duhovnik, hišni prelat, stolni dekan, profesor cerkvenega prava, stolni kanonik v Mariboru, sodelavec Antona Martina Slomška;
 Srečko Puncer, borec za severno mejo, sodelavec in vojak enot Franja Malgaja;
 Janez Goličnik, ugleden slovenski čebelar, duhovnik in prevajalec;
 Karel Peer, duhovnik, akademik operoz, ljubljanski generalni vikar;
 Mihael Stojan, duhovnik in nabožni pisatelj, sodelavec Antona Martina Slomška;
 Franjo Baš, etnolog, geograf, zgodovinar in muzeolog;
 Vinko Šmajs, literat, publicist in pedagog;
 Franc Suher, pedagog, učitelj v Braslovčah;
 Ivan Rojnik, sodobni slovenski teolog, filozof in pedagog;
 Franc Hribernik,  zgodovinar, ravnatelj, podagog, kronist;

Sklici

Viri
 Badovinac, Bogdan; Kladnik, Drago Savinjsko, Celje, Velenje A-Žː priročnik za popotnika in poslovnega človeka Pomurska založba, Murska Sobota, 1997

 Kralj, Franc: Žovnek in Žovneški, Kulturno zgodovinsko društvo Braslovče,  2000.
 Kralj, Franc in Podpečan,Blaž: Občina Braslovče, Narodna in univerzitetna knjižnica Ljubljana, 2014.

Glej tudi

 seznam naselij v Sloveniji
Braslovško polje
Male Braslovče

Naselja Občine Braslovče
Trgi v Sloveniji

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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ABC Unveils Their 2012-2013 Lineup Including '666 Avenue', 'Last Resort' And More!
ABC announced their 2012-2013 season yesterday at Lincoln Center's Avery Fisher Hall. The network is bringing back a number of fan favorites as well as new series such as 666 Park Avenue, Last Resort, The Neighbors and more!
"We are using the success we achieved last season as a strong foundation to launch some more great shows this time around," said Paul Lee, president, ABC Entertainment Group. "Last year was about stability and ambition, this year is about growth and continuing momentum, with strong programming that will stake ABC's claim on more nights as the home of quality entertainment."
We've got the full list of new series as well as fan favorites that are returning below:
The Family Tools
Returning Shows
Primetime: What Would You Do?
It seems like it's all about comedy this year with the networks. ABC is no exception with a number of new comedies being added to the lineup. Happy Endings and Don't Trust The B are moving to the Tuesday nights and will be preceded by Dancing With The Stars. After Dancing finishes, How to Live with Your Parents (For the Rest of Your Life) starring Scrubs alum Sarah Chalke and The Family Tools.
The true gem of the new ABC lineup will be Sunday nights. Once Upon A Time stays in it's current time slot, and Revenge fills the void of Desperate Housewives, followed by the new supernatural drama 666 Park Avenue starring Lost's Terry O'Quinn. Check out a trailer for the much anticipated series below!
Premiere dates for ABC's fall season will be released a later time, but know that FanBolt will be bringing you lots of coverage from the network this year at San Diego Comic Con! So stay tuned as we get a closer look into all the new series and returning fan favorites!
What are you most looking forward to on ABC's fall lineup? The return of Revenge (which we know will blow fans away in the season finale!) or Once Upon A Time (which already did blow the minds of fans this past Sunday!) or is a new series such as 666 Park Avenue that you're most looking forward to? Sound off with your opinions below!
Categories: TV, TV News
Tags: 666 Park AvenueABCCastleDancing With The StarsDon't Trust The BGrey's AnatomyHappy EndingsHow To Live With Your ParentsLast ResortMalibu CountryMistressesModern FamilyNashvilleOnce Upon A TimePrivate PracticeRed WidowRenewedRevengeSuburgatoryThe BachelorThe Family ToolsThe NeighborsUpfrontsZero Hour
Warner Brothers Television Debuts 2019 Comic-Con Bags: 'Supernatural', 'Riverdale' and More!
By Emma Loggins July 16, 2019
'The Lion King' Review: Visually Stunning and Beautifully Nostalgic
Bea Santos Talks 'Blindsided'
By Mike Phalin July 12, 2019


Paweł is Head of Capital Markets at Cresa Poland. He leads the strategic and transaction advisory team in Cresa's Warsaw office, advising clients on real estate acquisition and disposal in Poland and Central and Eastern Europe. He is a specialist in real estate portfolio management strategies focusing on restructuring and optimization. Paweł is an expert with twelve years' experience in commercial real estate. Previously, he led a transaction and strategic advisory team in EY's Real Estate Advisory department in Warsaw. He had also worked for both real estate advisory firms CBRE and King Sturge, and a strategic advisory company A.T. Kearney.
Paweł is a graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics. He is also a property valuer and an MRICS.


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Justified: City Primeval Brings the Beloved Show Back for One More Shot
in Lifestyle, News
If you put 10 firearms enthusiasts in a room and asked them what their favorite TV is, at least 2 or 3 would say the FX hit Justified. Good news for those people, because Raylan Givens will be back in the new limited series, Justified: City Primeval at some point in the near future.
Top 10 Military Movies of the Last Decade
What is Justified: City Primeval About?
According to Entertainment Weekly, the new limited series is adapted from Elmore Leonard's novel City Primeval: High Noon in Detroit. Set 8 years after the end of the TV show, the new series finds protagonist U.S. Marshal Raylan Givens in Miami, but traveling to Detroit after a "chance encounter" on a Florida highway.
The good news for fans of the original series is that Timothy Olyphant is returning as Raylan Givens. Casting another actor in his iconic role would have no doubt upset well…anyone who liked the original show.
Hats and Guns
The original serious on FX was wildly popular, especially with firearms enthusiasts. The character's creator is Elmore Leonard, who also wrote the classic western short story Three-Ten to Yuma. While the gunplay in the original TV series was never on par with films like John Wick, there was an earnest quality that seemed to resonate with gun nuts. Or perhaps it was the incredible dialog peppered through the show. One famous instance has the main character eject a live round from his pistol, and throw it at a bad guy. As it he throws it he says "next one's coming faster."
Throughout the series the prop-masters selected a wide variety of guns. The pilot features Raylan with a 1911. Then afterward he carries a Glock 17. The colorful rogues gallery always featured guns that were believable for their characters. The on-again-off-again villain, Boyd Crowder seemed to favor the Beretta 92. This made sense, since his character was an Army veteran in the series.
Justified: City Primeval doesn't have a premiere date set as of yet. FX just announced the show's return, and filming has yet to begin. Hopefully the show's faithful gun-loving fans won't have long to wait.
Mad Max Vehicles: Witness the Once in a Lifetime Car Auction
Daniel Defense Limited Series MK12 Alpine Predator Rifle Sells Out in 30 Minutes
BRACE for It: ATF Issues Final Rule on the Pistol Stabilizing Brace


I think it's similar to InkLink, from Shockwave.com I loved that game, but people began drawing obscene stuff and saying bad words. Too bad, it used to be a lot of fun. I'll try this one for a while.
I hate sites like that!


Success Quiz: Are You Using All 10 Success Skills… At the Right Time?
Most people complain about not having enough time, but the truth is most of us spend time doing things that don't really matter to our success. What does?
1. How often do you acknowledge yourself for what you accomplish?
2. How often do you fall asleep thinking about what you didn't get done or you're afraid might happen?
3. Are you able to maintain your confidence when obstacles and failures confront you?
4. Do you pride yourself on doing "more-better-faster"?
5. Do you make time to learn the basics of new skills before you start using them?
6. Can you stand up in a meeting and say you don't agree?
7. How often do you push so hard that you can't slow down to rest?
8. Do you share your dreams with others or keep them to yourself?
9. Do you spell out the details of outcomes you delegate?
10. Would you rather ask an expert for input or figure it out yourself?
11. Do you need to know how you'll reach your goal before you take action?
12. Can you comfortably move into the unknown when you have a clear outcome in mind?
13. Do methods and solutions come to you out of the blue?
14. When you are stressed, do you spend time away from the task?
1. HSPs make time each day to acknowledge themselves for the successes they're having. But the successes they have in mind aren't just the usual ones. For them, success goes beyond finishing "business to dos." It includes things that keep their lives in balance… eating a good breakfast, exercising, spending time with family and friends, buying gas, dropping off dry cleaning and remembering to pick it up. Most people don't acknowledge themselves for completing things like these, but what happens to your productivity when you leave them undone? For HSPs, success also means saying NO to actions that violate their values and dreams. Deletion Successes can be the most important ones of all! And how about acknowledging yourself for your creative ideas... even if no one agrees they're possible yet!
2. People who "succeed big" know that the last few minutes of their day are most important. Your brain is in the Alpha State so it's the perfect time to think about what you want tomorrow and long term. And the worst time to beat yourself up for oversights and failures. As you fall asleep, plan how you'll make corrections instead. Remember: What you think is what you get, like it or not… so focus on what you do want instead of what you don't want. That tiny change in focus will enhance your ability to move your life and career ahead!
3. If you are Success Filing—that is, acknowledging your successes each day—you will have the confidence to continue to move ahead when everything goes wrong, when obstacles besiege you and everyone disappoints you. Remember: When your Success File is full, you feel Success-Full. When it is low, you feel dependent and needy… at the mercy of others' opinions and in need of their agreement. HSPs are willing to put off low priority items, but making time to Success File each day is a number one item for them.
4. Constantly priding yourself on doing more-better-faster lands you in The Success Trap, constantly having to work longer and harder to raise the quantity-quality bar higher and higher. It can also land you in the hospital. For staying power, you need to acknowledge yourself for slowing down to learn new skills and technologies, for allowing your mind to wander into future possibilities and solutions. In today's business environment, creativity and innovation are becoming more important than productivity.
5. It is essential to slow down to a stop from time to time. Why? Because unless you do, you won't be able to gear your mind back to learn new skills and technologies and so you'll slip behind. HSPs schedule time to learn the most efficient tools and approaches available, rather than slogging along with equipment, programs and procedures that weren't designed to do what you need to do now. Make time to master the basics before you attempt to gear up into 2nd Gear production. Otherwise the mistakes you make will trip up you and your teammates and take more time in the end.
6. To stay ahead, you have to be able to disagree with the pack. For some people, getting others' agreement is more important than getting their result. Not so for HSPs. They can stand up, disagree and then so powerfully communicate the details of the scenario they see, hear and feel, that other people take on their vision and team up with them. They lead the way by inspiration, not perspiration.
7. When you push so long and hard that you can't slow down to rest, you've gone over the edge. HSPs use this over-the-edge feeling to signal when they're overusing the 2nd Gear of Success. Yes, success has three gear-like phases and unless you know when to shift, unless you can use all three gears as circumstances require, you'll burn out your transmission… and that means your body. And the time lost will set your business way back. Read The Joy of Success and Success Has Gears for specifics on the Three Gears of Success and Leadership.
8. Highly successful business people share their dreams with Codreamers, people who hold onto the details of their dream with them. People who contribute additional perspectives and information. People they can call when they come out of a meeting so devastated that their dream seems to have literally been erased from their minds. One phone call to a Codreamer can get you back on track. Who are your Codreamers? And who are your Codreaders (the ones who always tell you reasons why not?) Make sure you know the difference!
9. Going so fast that you can't gear down to spell out the details of a task you're delegating may seem expedient at the time. But in the long run it could ruin your business. To get the support you need from coworkers, customers and vendors, you need to share precisely what you have in mind. When you provide a sketch, others will automatically fill in the details they have in mind instead of the ones you have in mind. Beware of Sensory Fill-in! Who is responsible for the errors that result? You are of course.
10. Would you rather ask an expert or figure it out yourself? Well, that all depends. If you're climbing up the learning curve, then asking experts and following their directions is what works best… with one exception. When you know next to nothing about something, using a salesperson as your expert may set you up to buy what's best for him or her, but not for you. Consult an independent expert before you make a major purchase. On the other hand, depending on tried-and-true experts when you are creating something new, may take you back to how it's already been done. Listen to their input but, as its creator, know that you are the ultimate expert when it comes to your dream!
11. When we were kids, we were rewarded for doing things by the book. But as the head of your own business or life, that simply won't work. These days, having-to-know-how upfront will hold you back. What you need is a thoroughly detailed outcome… then the appropriate method will find you. Powerful life changes, inventions and new businesses frequently start out as hunches or middle of the night Ahas! Most leaders I interview tell me they rarely know how, but they always know what.
12. The ability to venture into the unknown is essential today. The marketplace is changing so rapidly that top CEOs say they don't have a ten-year plan or a five-minute plan either. Flexibility is key. Can you think on your feet? Can you seize an opportunity that others fail to notice? Can you abandon your ten-year-ago or five-minute-ago action plan and take the next step to your dream when it presents itself?
13. For years I interviewed inventors and creators and over and over I heard the same comments. I woke up in the night with a clear image in my head or a voice telling me what to do. Or I was taking a shower when my idea hit me. Jeff Bezos, creator of Amazon.com, was so sure about his hunch that he packed up everything he owned and moved across the country in pursuit of his dream. And we all know he found it!
14. When you're stuck, instead of sitting and staring at your computer screen, get up and do something else. Go for a walk or switch to a project that requires another mindset altogether. HSPs constantly tell me their most creative solutions come when they walk away from their desk and WHAM! The solution comes out of the blue… or out of the right brain. They say they strategically use the Alpha State to "program in" their problem at night and they trust their mind to deliver a solution when they first wake up. And it does.
* For more on the 10 Success and Leadership Skills, read The Joy of Success, Success Has Gears or Our Children Are Watching.


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Bakery member convicted of kidnapping, torture
Richard Lewis, 26, faces life in prison for the May 17, 2007, incident when he's sentenced by Alameda County Superior Court Judge Thomas Reardon on June 4.
Lewis, who was guarded by six bailiffs, put his hands over his face and bowed his head while the jury's verdict was read.
Prosecutor Chris Lamiero told jurors in his closing argument last week that Lewis joined bakery leader Yusuf Bey IV and several other bakery associates in kidnapping and torturing the two women, a mother and a daughter, so they would reveal where a drug dealer they knew kept his cash.
Lamiero said Lewis, a former football star at Mission High School in San Francisco, cut the daughter with a knife and threatened her with a hot curling iron if she didn't disclose where the dealer kept his money.
The woman testified that a bag was placed over her head and that she feared for her life.
Lewis testified last week that he didn't have anything to do with the crime.
When his attorney, Patrick Hetrick, asked him where he was that night, Lewis said, "I was most likely at the bakery at the time."
Hetrick said in his closing argument that Lewis was framed by Bey's half-brothers, Joshua Bey and Yusuf Bey V, who have pleaded guilty and received promises of light sentences in exchange for testifying against Lewis.
Hetrick told jurors that they shouldn't believe the half-brothers' testimony because they were simply trying to save themselves by incriminating Lewis.
Lewis is the first bakery member to stand trial in the kidnapping and torture case.
Bey IV and Tamon Halfin, another bakery associate, are slated to be tried together at a later date. They also face life in prison if they're convicted.
But before Bey IV stands trial in the kidnapping and torture case, he is first scheduled to stand trial May 17 on three counts of murder stemming from the killing of journalist Chauncey Bailey and two other men in Oakland in July and August of 2007.
The bakery went bankrupt and closed its doors in late 2007.
The kidnapping and torture occurred only 15 days after a San Francisco jury acquitted Lewis of murder, attempted murder and robbery charges stemming from a March 1, 2005, shooting in the 1800 block of 18th Avenue in the city's Sunset District.
Lewis had been in custody for two years but was released after he was acquitted. He met Bey IV while he was in custody.


Apart from the mentioned, you will also find there the Rizal Park, the Rizal Museum, the National Library, the National Museum of the Philippines, Ocean Park and much more! Being in the vicinity of the Malate HotSpot opens up the opportunity of a whole day out. First culture, then nightlife, a great combination.
For those of you who fancy a dinner or breakfast overseeing the Manila bay – Roxas Boulevard is the HotSpot to be. It features several hotels including the famous Manila Hotel and Hyatt Casino and Hotel. Both are definitely capable of offering you a stay you will not forget!
It is not recommended to travel between the different attractions by foot – also because it might be quite far. Roxas Boulevard is definitely a day HotSpot and should not be strolled at night.
A typical day in the HotSpot starts after lunch. Visit some of the attractions – it is especially covenient on Sundays as there is less traffic and a lot of people stroll or do sports at the Rizal Park. Take your time to discover the area and have a look at the attractions you like. Before the sun sets, make your way back to the hotel overseeing the bay. A romantic dinner with a look over the bay will complete your Roxas Boulevard experience!
Craving for Culture? The Cultural Centre of the Philippines (CCP) is home to the nation's artistic and cultural performances and exhibitions. It is often the venue for musical performances, plays, painting exhibitions, and film showings.
In the concrete jungle of Manila, one easily forgets that the city lies right by the sea. A cruise on the Manila Bay lets you experience the tranquility and find your equilibrium.
The Metropolitan Museum of Manila (Met) showcases pre-colonial, modern and contemporary Philippine art.
There is most likely no hotel in Manila closer to the sea than luxurious Sofitel Philippine Plaza. Whether you get a room for the night or just sit back and have a drink at the Sunset Bar – the view will surely be terrific.
Crown Towers is a 6-star hotel right in the heart of Manila's Entertainment City. One of the most sought after accommodations in the metro, the place signifies plush, well-appointed guestrooms, flawless service, a wonderful dining experience, and great entertainment.
Manila's new Hyatt Hotel, located in the exhilarating 6.2 hectare hub of City of Dreams, is a modern hotel with stylish rooms and suites. It is within the vicinity of renowned nightclubs and entertainment centers and sits just three kilometers away from Manila's international airport.
Say "Wellness Center", and everyone immediately associates it with spa treatments and traditional medicine. Yet, Metafactor is backed by a certain philosophy and a fresh twist – putting together dermatological, dental, gym, spa, and rehab facilities under one massive roof.
At Jazz Simple Ambiance, DJs play pleasant jazz music in the afternoon and early evening, before disco music makes the crowd dance from 10 pm onwards.
There are many Hap Chan branches in Manila, but only one that serves seafood right at the bay.
Get something sweet at Zucchero, be it coffee and cake in the afternoon or a Filipino dinner in the evening.
Billiard, party food and acoustic live music are the perfect ingredients for laid-back night-outs at the Manila Bay.


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Home > Grammar/Mechanics	> Phonics in 10 Minutes
Phonics in 10 Minutes
This post is for parents concerned about their child's reading; for news and social media junkies who want to intelligently respond to current events, such as the recent dramatic improvement in Mississippi reading scores due, largely, to a re-emphasis on phonics; for elementary teachers who never had a phonics course in their teaching credential program; for secondary teachers who wonder, "Should I be teaching phonics to my frosh English students who can barely read?"; and for literacy coaches and reading specialists, like me, who want a quick start user guide to present to parents and teachers. In this 10-minute read, you'll find out what the following terms mean and what they have to do with teaching phonics, enough to keep you from sounding stupid in any job interview or lunch conversation with other parents, principals, teachers, language coaches, and reading specialists.
Think of this as a Quick Start User Guide to Phonics. In order of appearance: phonics, phonemes, graphemes, decoding, encoding, synthetic phonics, explicit and systematic phonics, sound-spellings, decodables, sound-by-sound blending, slanted /lines/, consonant blends, consonant digraphs, analytic phonics, onsets, rimes, word families, diphthongs, embedded phonics, implicit and incidental instruction, cueing systems, MSV, guided reading, r-controlled vowels, silent final e, instructional phonics sequence, continuous sounds
Let's begin by defining phonics. Simply put, phonics is how we use the 26 letters of the alphabet as a code to represent our English phonemes (the fancy way of saying the 43 or 44 speech sounds). We put together these written speech sounds (called graphemes if you want to sound impressive) to read words. This is known as decoding. The Latin prefix, "de" means away from or out of, which helps us remember that decoding is making meaning out of the letter combinations. The other side of the language coin from decoding is encoding. The Latin prefix, "en" means in or into, which helps us remember that encoding is making the graphemes into words. To keep it simple: Decoding is sounding-out the words to be able to read them, and encoding is spelling the words.
Now that we have a definition of phonics, let's take a look at the three approaches to phonics instruction. In our brief analysis, you'll learn the key components of phonics instruction in the key instructional activities and the methods used by each phonics approach to teach them. To be clear, each approach helps students learn the phonics rules; it's the how they are learned that differs. As an aside, these three methods of teaching phonics are the main points of contention in the never-ending Reading Wars, and the battles within each approach are just as contentious as those among the three approaches.
Types of Phonics Approaches
Animal Sound-Spelling Cards
1. Synthetic Phonics: In this approach, teachers help students learn how to convert the 26 letters of the alphabet into the 43 or 44 English phonemes (speech sounds) and then blend these individual sounds to read words. The teacher introduces the graphemes (the spellings) for each of these phonemes in explicit, systematic instruction. Explicit means direct and sometimes isolated instruction that is unconnected to text. Systematic means planned, structured, and sequenced instruction.
Key Instructional Activities: The sound-spelling card (to the right) is a key instructional component of synthetic phonics. For example, students first learn the sounds and spellings listed on the three cards. (Previously, students had learned the /s/ on the seagull card and the /n/ on the newt card before the teacher introduces the sn_ on the snack card.)
Another key instructional activity is sound-by-sound blending. The teacher asks students to say the consonant blend sounds on the snack card; say the vowel sound on the iguana card; say the consonant digraph sound on the cheetah card; and then blend the word, snitch. Students are taught the phonics rule that the _tch spelling follows short vowel sounds.
A third synthetic activity is the use of decodables. Decodables are short books, designed to practice specific sound-spellings introduced in the sound-by-sound blending activities. Decodables also review previously learned sound-spellings. Typically, a limited number of non-decodable sight words are used so that students build confidence in using their phonics skills.
*Note: The slanted /lines/ indicate sounds. The _blanks_ indicate that other letters must come before and/or after the spelling. A consonant blend is two or three consonants that frequently appear together at the start or end of syllables. A vowel, most commonly a, e, i, o, and u, appears in every syllable. A consonant digraph is two consonants which form one sound.
2. Analytic (Analogy) Phonics: Teaches students to look at the whole word, especially the onset (the beginning letter or letters) and rime (the sound pattern known as a word family), and to compare to similarly structured words which are already known.
Key Instructional Activities: For example, the teacher might teach the consonant blends br, cr, dr, and fr as onsets and the rime, own (rhymes with down). Students practice combining the onsets and rimes as br-own, cr-own, dr-own, and fr-own. In the next lesson the teacher might teach the consonant blends gr, thr, and the consonant digraph sh as onsets and the rime, own (rhymes with phone).
Analytic phonics may include explicit and systematic instruction. Teachers introduce the rimes (word families) by syllable types.
*Note: The "ow" spelling in "own" as in brown is a diphthong. A diphthong is a vowel team in which two sounds are made. However, the the "ow" spelling in "own" as in shown is a vowel digraph. A vowel digraph is a vowel team in which only one sound is made.
3. Embedded Phonics: Teaches students phonics within the context of reading as needed to cue the pronunciation of a word. In contrast to the explicit and systematic instruction of the synthetic and analytic approaches, embedded phonics utilizes an implicit, incidental methodology. Phonics skills are learned deductively from the whole to the part as one of the three cueing systems for comprehension i.e., 1. M = Meaning 2. S = Structure (sentence structure, grammar, word order) 3. V = Visual (phonics, onsets and rimes, sight words).
Key Instructional Activities: The teacher groups readers by reading levels and students chorally and individually read a book together. When students struggle with the pronunciation of a word, they apply specific strategies to logically guess the pronunciation. For example, "What's the sound of the first letter in this word? What word would make sense withe other words in the sentence? What hint does the picture on the page provide as to how to say it?"
The r-Controlled Vowels
A typical embedded phonics lesson might be planned as a mini lesson from a guided reading lesson on a book which uses a number of r-controlled vowels. After an initial reading, the teacher might ask students to search for and create a sorted list for all words using the /ar/, /or/, and /er/ spellings found on the cards to the right. Often, teachers use running records assessments of oral readings to determine the content of the mini lessons.
Silent Final e
Teachers may share the silent final e rule in which the final e at the end of a syllable makes the preceding vowel say its name (a long vowel sound) when a single consonant is found between the vowel and the final silent final e. For example, using the cards below, teachers could ask the group for example words of the a_e, i_e, o_e, and u_e spellings to create a word wall. Students might then write a story, using as many silent final e words as possible.
Instructional Phonics Sequence
Generally speaking, all three phonics approaches follow a similar instructional order.
1. The most common sounds are introduced prior to the least common sounds.
Short vowels and consonant sounds
Ending consonant blends and "sh" and "th" voiced consonant digraphs
Beginning consonant blends, "wh" and "tch" consonant digraphs, "sh" and "th" unvoiced consonant digraphs
Long vowel sounds and silent final e
Long vowel sounds and r-controlled vowels
2. Order of instruction separates letters that are visually similar e.g., p and b, m and n, v and w, u and n.
3. Order of instruction separates sounds that are similar e.g., /k/ and /g/, /u/ and /o/, /t/ and /d/, /e/ and /i/.
4. The most commonly used letters are introduced prior to the least commonly used letters.
5. Short words with fewer phonemes are introduced prior to longer words with more phonemes.
6. Continuous sounds e.g., /a/, /m/, are introduced prior to stop sounds e.g., /t/ because the continuous sounds are easier to blend.Check out Pennington Publishing's Instructional Phonics Sequence with sound-by-sound spelling blending:
Get the Instructional Phonics Sequence FREE Resource:
Get the Animal Sound-Spelling Cards FREE Resource:
I'm Mark Pennington, author of the Teaching Reading Strategies (Reading Intervention Program). This program provides all the resources teachers need for flexible, student-centered reading instruction. The program is designed for non-readers or below grade level readers ages eight-adult. Ideal as both Tier II or III pull-out or push-in reading intervention for older struggling readers, special education students with auditory processing disorders, and ESL, ESOL, or ELL students. This full-year (or half-year intensive) program provides explicit and systematic whole-class instruction and assessment-based small group workshops to differentiate instruction. Both new and veteran reading teachers will appreciate the four training videos, minimal prep and correction, and user-friendly resources in this program, written by a teacher for teachers and their students.
Grammar/Mechanics	analogy phonics, analytic phonics, decodables, embedded phonics, phonics appraches, phonics programs, Phonics Wars, reading curriculum, reading intervention program, reading wars, remedial reading program, research-based reading program, response to intervention, RTI, synthetic phonics, types of phonics
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In this week's e-newsletter
Injured during pre-employment test: Does he qualify for workers' comp benefits?
by Fred Hosier April 29, 2019
If someone is injured during a pre-employment test, do they get workers' comp benefits? The answer to that question came down to the definition of a three-letter word.
Cozmin Gadalean applied for a commercial driver position with Imperial Trucking Inc. in Oregon. Gadalean interviewed with the company's owner who scheduled a mandatory U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) pre-employment driving test.
On June 4, 2014, Gadalean drove an Imperial truck with one of the company's drivers to make an actual delivery. After reaching the destination, Gadalean fell four to five feet from the truck to the ground, landing on his left hip.
He was diagnosed with hip strain. Gadalean filed a workers' comp claim. He said as he understood it, the agreement was that if he passed the pre-employment driving test, he would "continue working," although he said he hadn't received a written offer of employment nor filled out any employment tax form.
Imperial's workers' comp insurer denied the claim. Gadalean requested a hearing before an administrative law judge (ALJ), claiming the owner had told him before the driving test he had the job and he'd be paid 25% of the gross profit from the delivery.
The owner testified he hadn't hired Gadalean. The driver who went along on the delivery said the unpaid pre-employment test was standard practice.
The ALJ OK'd the denial of benefits to Gadalean after determining that he hadn't been hired, hadn't been paid and hadn't been promised any pay for the pre-employment test. The ALJ credited the testimony of the owner and driver and discredited Gadalean's testimony.
Gadalean appealed to a state court.
Workers' comp or minimum wage law?
Gadalean argued the board should have considered the state's minimum wage law to determine whether he should receive workers' comp benefits.
The Court of Appeals reversed the board, concluding that Gadalean qualified as a worker at the time of his injury because he had been "put to work" and was entitled to receive the minimum wage for the delivery he made.
Imperial appealed to the state supreme court. The company argued that compensation must be a part of the agreement between employer and employee for Gadalean to have been a worker. Gadalean argued that an entitlement to compensation (the minimum wage) was enough to satisfy the "for a remuneration" requirement of the state's workers' compensation law.
The Oregon Supreme Court said the disagreement centered on what the legislature meant when it said that services are furnished "for" a remuneration. The court said that meant the subject acted with an expected result – "he or she did so for – with the expected result of – remuneration."
The state's highest court said that wasn't the situation with Gadalean. Since the board accepted the company owner's explanation that there was no promise to pay Gadalean for the testing time, there was no expectation of pay.
The Oregon Supreme Court reversed the appeals court's ruling and reinstated the board's decision: Gadalean wouldn't receive workers' comp benefits for the injury he suffered during the driving test.
(Cozmin Gadalean v. Imperial Trucking Inc., Supreme Court of Oregon, No. SC S065203, 4/18/19)
Categories: In this week's e-newsletter, Workers' Compensation
Tags: commercial driver, driving test, Oregon, pre-employment test, Workers' comp
Was driver intoxicated at time of fatal truck crash? Can widow sue employer?
Restaurant manager shot, seriously wounded; did he receive workers' comp benefits?


The legislation would make the state's roads safer, advocates say. Opponents allege that it would open the process to fraud.
Gov. Phil Murphy fulfilled a campaign promise last week when he made undocumented college and university students eligible for financial aid. Now, advocates are applying renewed pressure on Murphy to make good on another pledge: to let people who are living in New Jersey without legal status apply for a state driver's license.
Earlier this month, undocumented immigrants and their allies stepped up their efforts and fanned across the state to collect signatures in support of the measure, and Murphy said last week that the legislation is moving along.
The legislation, called the New Jersey Safe and Responsible Driver Act, is being updated to address concerns that have been raised about residency requirements and the potential for fraud. A lead sponsor of the Assembly bill, Annette Quijano, D-Union, said one goal is to avoid lapses that have led some states, such as Maryland, to issue licenses to undocumented people who do not actually live there.
If New Jersey were to allow immigrants without legal status to drive, it would become the 13th state to do so. A study by New Jersey Policy Perspective, a left-leaning think tank, found that the proposal could benefit about 466,000 undocumented immigrants in the state, and that half of those who are eligible would receive a license within three years.
Proponents of the bill say it will make New Jersey's roads safer because it would require newly licensed drivers to be tested, trained and insured. The bill also would help the state's economy, supporters say, because the number of customers who could purchase automobiles and car insurance would grow.
But critics argue that giving licenses to undocumented immigrants rewards lawbreakers and leads to fraud and security concerns.
"Our research shows that it's a very bad idea, and one big reason is because of the fraud because people's identities cannot be established,'' said Jessica Vaughan, director of policy studies for the Center for Immigration Studies, a Washington-based group that favors more limits on immigration. "If they are in the country illegally, we are not going to be able to authenticate their identity to know that this license that is being issued is to the person they say they are."
Quijano first introduced the New Jersey Safe and Responsible Driver Act in 2014. The following year, Gov. Chris Christie, a Republican, vowed that he would not sign it if it ever reached his desk, citing security concerns.
But once Murphy, a Democrat, was elected last fall to succeed Christie, there has been a renewed push to extend driver's licenses to undocumented residents.
Earlier this year, Quijano reintroduced her bill, which would also apply to the homeless, veterans and other populations that may be unlikely to have the documents to meet the requirements under the Motor Vehicle Commission's Six-Point ID Verification Program to obtain a New Jersey driver's license.
"We are closer than we have ever been,'' she said.
Several organizations, including Make the Road New Jersey, an organization that lobbies for immigrant rights, and Movimiento Cosecha, a national movement that advocates for immigrants, have held rallies and marches throughout the state to generate support for the legislation.
But work still needs to be done before the legislation gets to the governor's desk. Quijano acknowledges that it will be necessary to amend the Assembly bill to get more support from Democratic and Republican lawmakers. A companion bill has been introduced in the Senate and referred to the Law and Public Safety Committee.
"I expect when I have all my amendments for this bill that I would hope and ask for the support of all my colleagues in both houses and also meet with the governor to discuss the bill,'' she said. "I'm not going to introduce a bill that is not workable."
The documents that applicants would have to submit to establish identity, date of birth and a home address under Quijano's proposal is still to be determined, but they could include a consular identification card; a valid passport from the applicant's country of citizenship; a foreign driver's license; an original birth certificate; a home utility bill, lease or rental agreement; a property tax bill or statement issued within the previous 12 months; or an income tax return.
Quijano said she plans to meet with consulates from countries in the Caribbean and Central and South America to discuss foreign government-issued documents that people living here could present as part of the process of obtaining a New Jersey license.
"I would ask them to provide copies of what a legitimate document looks like from their country," she said.
She also plans to visit California, which started issuing licenses to undocumented immigrants in 2015, to see how officials there have implemented their program.
The way the bill reads now, the driver's licenses could be used only to drive, and not to purchase firearms, access commercial flights or enter federal buildings.
Murphy signed a law last month under which state residents who are citizens will be automatically registered to vote when they get a driver's license. Quijano said that among the updates that she is considering for her bill are provisions to make sure that the privacy of undocumented immigrants is protected and that they are not erroneously registered to vote.
"The process has to be very clear-cut that undocumented individuals do not even receive, even by mistake, a voter registration form,'' she said.
The legislation also states that anyone who provides false documentation or knowingly makes a false statement to obtain a license could face charges of falsifying and tampering with records.
Other states that have extended driving privileges to undocumented immigrants have discovered cases of fraud.
"Some found that groups of people were coming in literally by the busloads to apply for licenses from other states,'' said Vaughan, of the Center for Immigration Studies.
In Vermont, for instance, state residents who don't have permission to live in the country can apply for a form of identification called a driving privilege card. Since Vermont began issuing the cards in 2014, its Department of Motor Vehicles has found that residents from other states have applied for and received licenses that have had to be canceled.
In Maryland, which also started issuing driver's licenses and identification cards to undocumented immigrants in 2014, a recent audit of the Motor Vehicle Administration found that 826 driver's licenses and identification cards had been issued in a six-month period to people who had presented counterfeit documentation.
As a result of an internal investigation, 270 fraudulent licenses were canceled.
Besides the fraudulent documentation that was used, including counterfeit bank statements, investigators also found that multiple people used the same letter from the state comptroller's office containing a unique number issued to people who met the tax filing requirement. To be eligible for the documents in Maryland, applicants had to file state income tax returns for the previous two years.
The investigators also found instances where a single address was used by as many as 40 people to obtain a driver's license, according to the audit.
In its response, the MVA said that it canceled 1,204 licenses for residency fraud last year, and that it has implemented a new program that automatically stops the process and triggers an investigation if a comptroller number that is already in use is submitted as part of an application.
Years ago, Blanca, 59, of Newark, said she needed a driver's license to take her son to day care and to go to work. Since she couldn't get one in New Jersey, she got one in North Carolina, where the requirements for obtaining a license used to be much more relaxed than those of other states.
Blanca, a native of Peru who asked her last name not be used because she is living in the country illegally, said she had to first open a bank account and use someone else's address to establish that she lived in North Carolina, even though she didn't. She said she eventually received a four-year North Carolina license that she used in New Jersey until it expired.
She stopped driving once her license expired, but she said she is excited about the possibility of New Jersey offering a license that would make it easier for her to go to work. For now, she depends on public transportation to get to Montclair, where she takes care of children.
Earlier this month, as part of a May Day petition campaign to draw support for the driver's license legislation, Rolando, 43, collected signatures from commuters at the bus station at Main and Lexington avenues in downtown Passaic.
If the proposed measure ever became law, it would make life easier for Rolando, who lives in an apartment in Passaic and uses a bicycle to get to and from work at a restaurant in Clifton. Rolando, who was born in Mexico, said he makes the approximately 3-mile trek in rain, snow or ice.
Rolando said at times when he and his family have gone to the beach they pay someone to drive them, which he said can sometimes cost as much as $200.
He said he knows other undocumented immigrants who have gotten driver's licenses in other states.
Jose Ruiz, 36, stands on a street in Palisades Park every morning waiting for a contractor to hire him for the day to paint or put up drywall. But Ruiz, a native of Guatemala, said if he could get a New Jersey driver's license, he would drive to construction sites and look for work himself.
"Once you drive you can get work,'' he said.


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Posts Tagged "Callum Ilott"
Callum Ilott Tag
Posted On September 24, 2021By Luis TorresIn Breaking News, Headline News, IndyCar
Callum Ilott to Compete Entire INDYCAR Campaign in 2022
By Luis Torres, Staff Writer Callum Ilott will make the full-time move to the NTT IndyCar Series with Juncos Hollinger Racing next season. It'll be the No. 77 team's first dive into the entire calendar after spending a few seasons competing on a partial schedule with multiple drivers. Now the squad's main focus is on Ilott and continue building a program in the sport. "We have had a steep learning curve here the last few races to try to put everything together. We have had some real positives and know theRead More
Posted On September 13, 2021By Luis TorresIn Breaking News, Headline News, Images, IndyCar, Race In Pictures
In Pictures: 2021 Grand Prix of Portland
By Luis Torres, Staff Writer The NTT IndyCar Series made its return to the Pacific Northwest Sunday for the running of the Grand Prix of Portland. Alex Palou ended up scoring the victory from pole, regaining the championship lead from Pato O'Ward. Here's the latest photo gallery highlighting the 110-lap race.Read More
Up to Speed: Previewing the 2021 Grand Prix of Portland
By Luis Torres, Staff Writer After not having an NTT IndyCar Series on the West Coast for the first time since 1946 last year, the region will be the final destination for the next three weeks. The first leg of the West Coast Swing begins at Portland International Raceway where the news continue to be endless. Among the 27-car field, there'll be another debutant in American Open Wheel Racing, driving for a team that's making its series return. That being former Formula 2 driver Callum Ilott, who'll drive for the rebrandedRead More
Posted On September 2, 2021By Luis TorresIn Breaking News, Headline News, IndyCar
Juncos Hollinger Racing and Ilott Prepare for Portland
By Luis Torres, Staff Writer Junior formula standout Callum Ilott will be making his NTT IndyCar Series debut next Sunday at Portland. It'll also mark the return of Ricardo Juncos' race team after last having one of his cars on the grid two years ago. Only this time, he'll have Brad Hollinger working this effort in the rebranded Juncos Hollinger Racing. A day after the No. 77 team announced Ilott as their Portland driver, the 22-year-old ran his first laps in an Indy car at the Indy Road Course. Ilott'sRead More
Posted On July 2, 2021By Motorsports TribuneIn Breaking News, Formula One, Headline News
Verstappen Quickest at the Red Bull Ring Ahead of Ferrari's Leclerc and Sainz
By FIA Max Verstappen set the quickest lap of opening practice for the Austrian Grand Prix, beating Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz by almost three tenths of a seconds as Formula 1's second weekend in a row at the Red Bull Ring got underway. The opening part of the session saw the majority of drivers testing Pireli's prototype rear tyres compound which has been offered for testing this weekend. The new tyre features a stiffer rear sidewall and is expected to be in use at the British Grand PrixRead More


This bill would prohibit the taking of menhaden by use of a purse seine.
seines if they determine that there is an imminent risk of a fishkill.
characteristics, such as a waterbody that has a history of hypoxia.
from boats in Richmond County.
one of the most important species in the ocean.
tively contributing to the tourism industry.
marine ecosystem and the economies that rely on them.
7  § 13-0333. Menhaden; [license;] prohibited acts.
11  first obtained from the department.
18  States or any state.
2  following date of issue.
7  extending easterly and southerly to buoy 13 (off Eaton's Neck).
12  designated buoys and navigational aids.
49  ecological, and water quality impacts of said discharge.
51  clean up of fish lost during any fishing or  fish  handling  operations.
52  The department shall establish regulations to enforce this subdivision.
2  adopted by the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission.
42  for the harvest of menhaden.
49  may be used to take minnows and shrimp for bait.
50    § 3. This act shall take effect immediately.


Bets on referendum results confirmed the wisdom of the crowds. Nick Carne reports.
For bettors or worse: Brexit was a goldmine for astute punters.
If you really want to know what's going to happen with Brexit, it might be best to ask someone down the pub.
Research shows that on the now infamous night back in 2016 when Britain voted to leave the EU, ordinary punters out to cash in on the result predicted what it would be well before the international finance markets did.
According to economists Tom Auld and Oliver Linton from the University of Cambridge, gamblers sensed the "leave" decision coming an hour before the currency experts, creating a window of "arbitrage" during which the price difference between betting and FX markets yielded up to a 7% return on the British pound (GBP).
Unless you are a particularly harsh critic of said currency experts, this may seem a little surprising. However, it does sit well with the theory of the "wisdom of the crowds". Discovered by Charles Darwin's cousin, Francis Galton, this theory essentially argues that a group working together will always get closer to the right answer than any individual. Of course, it's not quite that clear cut, as Cosmos reported last year.
In the case of Brexit, the wisdom of the crowds proved a nice little earner for some, with more than 182,000 individual bets placed with one agency alone – a record for a political event on Betfair – and over 88,000 trades made in the GBP futures market in a seven-hour window.
"Clearly, punters trading on Betfair are a different group of people to those dealing in FX for international finance," says Auld. "It looks like the gamblers had a better sense that leave could win, or that it could at least go either way.
"Our findings suggest that participants across both markets suffered a behavioural bias as the results unfolded. Initially, both traders and gamblers could not believe the UK was voting to leave the EU, but this disbelief lingered far longer in the city."
Auld and Linton say their findings, published in the International Journal of Forecasting, support the idea that gambling, or so-called "prediction markets", might provide better forecasts of election outcomes than either experts or polls.
Betting exchanges are an "incentive compatible" way to elicit the private opinions of participants, as people are putting their money where their mouth is, whereas they have no investment in what they tell pollsters.
For their study, the pair compared the behaviours of the Betfair betting market and the GBP-to-US-dollar exchange rate from closure of the polls at 10pm, when odds of 10-to-1 were being offered on Brexit.
Both markets were very slow to react despite the data already available and the votes flooding in from across the country. This meant there was money to be made by trading early on either market.
The betting market moved to a "leave" result around 3am, by which time Brexit odds had reversed (1-to-10). However, the foreign exchange market didn't fully adjust to the reality of Brexit until around 4am. At 4:40am the BBC predicted a "leave" victory.
Auld and Linton used the expected outcomes for each voting area – data that was publicly available prior to the referendum – to create a "forecasting model". By adjusting it with each actual result in turn, they say, it would have predicted the final result from around 1:30am had it been deployed on the night.
"According to theories such as the 'efficient market hypothesis', the markets discount all publicly available information, so you cannot get an edge on the market with data already out there," says Auld.
Test evaluates risk of infection.


Monmet supplies cast and forged components in an array of materials and sizes – from less than 1 kg to over 125 t.
By sourcing from a worldwide network of foundries and forging companies, we are able to offer our customers the best material and process that suits their needs. Our knowledge in alloy and process selection allows us to consistently deliver quality products to our clients, while reducing cost and cutting lead-times.
Talk to our specialists and find other ways of forming and shaping metal. There are a variety of options aside from casting and forging, such as powdered metals, extrusions and stamping. We will take your project requirements into consideration and suggest an option that is best for you.


What Happens to Prosecutors/Law Enforcement Officers Who Lie To Get Convictions?
"Former prosecutor and judge, Ken Anderson, pled guilty to intentionally failing to disclose evidence in a case that sent an innocent man, Michael Morton, to prison for the murder of his wife. When trying the case as a prosecutor, Anderson possessed evidence that may have cleared Morton, including statements from the crime's only eyewitness that Morton wasn't the culprit. Anderson sat on this evidence, and then watched Morton get convicted. While Morton remained in prison for the next 25 years, Anderson's career flourished, and he eventually became a judge. In today's deal, Anderson pled to criminal contempt, and will have to give up his law license, perform 500 hours of community service, and spend 10 days in jail. Anderson had already resigned from his position on the Texas bench."
While some attorneys and members of the media are pleased that a state agent will finally go to jail for convicting an innocent man, it seems to me that the sentence just might not fit the crime. An innocent man is sent to prison for 25 years for a crime he didn't commit pursuant to a state-agent's failure to disclose evidence that would have prevented the innocent man from ever seeing the inside of a jail cell, and the guy gets 10 days? Michael Morton served 25 years in prison. While it's nice to see a court atleast attempt to hold state-agents accountable, the sentencing judge clearly wasn't too bothered by the former prosecutor's behavior.
Most Washington State prosecutors would never dream of withholding evidence that could exonerate a defendant. However, I would contend that it isn't uncommon for a prosecutor (or law enforcement officer) to forget what their actual duties are.
If you or someone you know has been arrested for a crime in Washington State, contact Veitch Ault & Associates immediately (425-452-1600) to make sure that things get handled the right way.


New Zealand has an international reputation as a provider of quality education. It has a progressive education system with many state of the art facilities. It offer a safe learning environment with excellent study opportunities and support services for international students.
Students commence secondary education (years 9 – 13) at approximately 13 years of age. They may choose to study at either a state or private school. The school year based on four terms, commences in early February and finishes in mid December. Many international students complete the final year of secondary school (eg. year 12 & 13) in New Zealand before proceeding to tertiary study.
If you are looking for world-class education and training, and also want new experiences, fun, a relaxed lifestyle and a safe and healthy environment, then you should consider New Zealand as your study destination.
Where Can I Get Application?
We would be happy to provide you guidance and information on the application process for FREE. We do not charge for this service, since we are paid by the school. Click here for more information.
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