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Letters – Abortion
Letters – Euthanasia
End of Life Choice Act Advertisments
Abortion Legislation Act Newspaper Ads
Abortion Legislation Act
Abortion Legislation Bill
Right to Life's Oral Submission on the Abortion Legislation Bill
All Legal Decisions RTL V ASC
Certifying Consultants
Abortion Breast Cancer Link
Pro Life Bulletins
Euthanasia Referendum Meetings
March for Life Christchurch
Right to Life New Zealand
Upholding the sanctity of Human life and Standing Up for the Vulnerable
"Interim Standards for Abortion Services in New Zealand" – Right to Life Suggests Amendments
Dr Ashley Bloomfield,
Director General of Health,
24th April 2020Dear Dr Bloomfield,
I wish to request that consideration be given to the following suggestions for amending the "Interim Standards for Abortion Services in New Zealand".
Information for Women
Abortion is safer than continuing a pregnancy
This statement is untrue. The abortion is not safe for the unborn child. Pregnancy is not a disease and abortion is not health care. Pregnancy is a normal condition that with care from health professionals who provide care for both mother and child terminates with a live birth. Abortion is the only medical procedure that has the specific intention of killing a patient, an unborn child. Abortion is neither safe for the mother who may be left with a lifetime of regret and sorrow, nor for the unborn child who is violently killed. It is abhorrent that the Ministry should be seen as promoting the destruction by abortion of innocent and defenceless unborn children by making this statement. I request that consideration be given to replacing that statement with the following statement, Human life begins at conception and that abortion entails the destruction of a unique and unrepeatable miracle of the Creator.
Long term complications from abortion
There is no mention of long term complications arising from abortion, Infertility, miscarriages, pre-maturity in future pregnancies and psychological damage to women's health.
The findings of a study by Professor David Fergusson conducted in 2009 indicated that abortion damages the psychological health of teenagers. The study, the largest of its type and most detailed long-term study ever undertaken, attracted international attention. The research was conducted by the Canterbury Health and Development Study, at the Christchurch School of Medicine. The research was led by Professor David Fergusson, Ph.D. who is a psychologist and epidemiologist; He said that his research team had followed the progress of 1265 children born in Christchurch in the mid 1970s, from infancy to adulthood. Nearly 500 women in the study became pregnant by the age of 25 and 90 women had an abortion. 90 pregnancies ended with the deliberate termination of the life of the child.
His research found 41 per cent of the women studied had become pregnant by age 25, and that 14.6 percent had had an abortion. By the age of 25, the study found that 42 per cent who had undergone an abortion had also suffered major depression during the previous four years. In total, this was nearly double the rate of those who had never been pregnant and 35 per cent higher than those who had allowed their baby to be born. Those who had endured an abortion were also twice as likely to drink alcohol to dangerous levels compared with those who had a live birth, and three times as likely to be dependent on illicit drugs. Those who had an abortion also suffered elevated rates of depression, anxiety and suicidal behaviours.
It is recommended that women should be informed that international studies reveal that having an abortion increases the risk of developing breast cancer. The study, titled "A meta-analysis of the association between induced abortion and breast cancer risk among Chinese females" was published in 2014 in Cancer Causes and Control, a peer-reviewed international cancer journal. The study reveals that after one abortion the risk of breast cancer increases by 44%, after two abortions,76% and after three abortions 89%.
The research was conducted by Yubei Huang et al. from the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics in the Tianjin Medical University Cancer Hospital.
The Chinese research follows on the heels of two similar studies. One study published in the Indian Journal of Community Medicine in May 2013 found a 6-fold greater risk of breast cancer among Indian women with a history of induced abortion when compared to the women with no such history. A similar study from Bangladesh published in the Journal of the Dhaka Medical College in April 2013 found that women with a history of induced abortion had a 20-fold increase in likelihood of developing breast cancer when compared to women with no such history.
Pain Relief for Unborn Child
It is requested that women seeking a surgical abortion be advised that the unborn child from 12 weeks gestation can feel pain. Women should be asked if they wish to have pain relief given to their child before it undergoes violent dismemberment in her womb.
In a recent article in the influential journal Medical Ethics, two researchers, including a pro-abortion British pain expert who used to believe that there was no possibility that unborn babies could feel pain before 24 weeks, say that there is now "good evidence" that the brain and nervous system, which start developing at 12 weeks gestation are sufficiently developed to feel pain.
It is suggested that the Ministry produce an information pamphlet to be given to women considering an abortion. This would ensure that there is uniformity of information provided by abortion providers.
Before the abortion- The abortion decision
Foetal development [which may include showing pictures of foetal development.]
It is contended that for informed consent factual pictures of an unborn child should be shown.
It is recommended that the misleading and dehumanising term products of conception should be replaced with the correct term, human remains.
It is recommended that the suggestion that all women be given the opportunity to be seen on their own to address the issues of coercion and to facilitate honest and open discussion be amended to must be seen on their own. Coercion, domestic violence and threats of violence cannot be addressed if the person exercising coercion is not excluded from honest and open discussion.
Medical abortion reversal – Informed Consent
It is requested that information about medical abortion reversal be included in the information pamphlet. Ten years ago Dr David Delgado of the United States developed a therapy using Progesterone that was administered to women who have changed their minds about proceeding with an abortion after taking the drug Mifepristone. Progesterone is administered within 72 hours of taking Mifepristone. Since its inception more than 600 babies have been saved from destruction. There is no record of any complications occurring, nor has any woman died as a consequence of the therapy. There are internationally 400 medical practitioners who are trained to use this therapy.
Waiting Times In Abortion Services
It is recommended that women should not be offered assessment, counselling and procedure on the same day. Women should be required to be given sufficient time to reflect after assessment and counselling before the destruction of their child. It is recommended that the procedure not take place for three days after assessment.
It is recommended that the abortion provider must make every reasonable effort to contact the regular General Practitioner of the patient before making a decision to proceed with an abortion procedure. This would provide the patient and the doctor with more relevant information and reduce the risk of a complication.
It is recommended that after assessment the abortion provider communicate with the women's own medical practitioner to advise the practitioner of the proposed abortion to enable the practitioner to deal with any complications that might arise from the abortion.
Ken Orr
Filed Under: Abortion, Abortion Legislation Act, Letters, Ministry of Health Tagged With: abortion breast cancer link, Abortion Safety, Complications following abortion, Fetal pain, Foetal Pain, Interim Standards for Abortion Services in New Zealand, Medical Abortion reversal, Professor David fergusson
Abortion Supervisory Committee,
Private Bag 32001,
Dear Ms Williams
Thank you for your letter of 17 February 2014. Right to Life is disappointed that your Committee refuses to accept the finding of the recent meta-analysis of 36 studies that have been published.
In China in 2012. The studies had revealed that there was a 44 per cent increased risk of a woman developing breast cancer after one abortion. This risk increased with the number of abortions that a woman had. There is an epidemic of breast cancer in China following the introduction of China's one child policy.
We are aware that studies that reveal a link between abortion and breast cancer are dismissed by organisations that promote the abortion industry. In the United States there are seven States that have passed legislation making it mandatory that women seeking an abortion are informed of the link between abortion and breast cancer. Planned Parenthood has gone to court in an endeavour to prevent this information being given to women.
Filed Under: Abortion, ASC, Breast Cancer Link, Letters Tagged With: abortion breast cancer link, ASC, Minister of Health
Abortion and Breast Cancer a Conspiracy of Silence
Media Release 5 February 2014
This week we commemorate World Cancer Day. Right to Life congratulates the New Zealand Cancer Society and the New Zealand Breast Cancer Foundation for the successful research of international importance that is being undertaken to understand the link between obesity and breast cancer. The world is facing an epidemic of breast cancer and New Zealand has one of the highest rates of breast cancer; it also has one of the highest rates of abortion. It is a human tragedy that each year 650 women die in New Zealand from breast cancer.
Every year 2800 women are diagnosed with breast cancer. Ninety five per cent of women contracting breast cancer are over the age of forty. Right to Life requests that in the interest of women's health the Cancer Society and the Breast Cancer Foundation urgently fund research into the abortion breast cancer link. Abortion promotes a culture of death and is a war against women and their precious unborn. Our women have a right to know that not only does an abortion kill their child it may also painfully kill them too. [Read more…]
Filed Under: Abortion, Abortion Breast Cancer Link Tagged With: abortion, abortion breast cancer link
Dear Ms Melkiau
I wish to bring to your attention the findings of a meta-analysis of abortion and breast cancer [ABC] in China, which was recently published in the prestigious, peer–reviewed international cancer journal, Cancer Causes and Control. This meta-analysis included 36 studies on the ABC link in China that had been published during 2012. Dr Yubei Huang et al, reported that the overall risk of developing breast cancer among women who had at least one induced abortion was significantly increased by 44 per cent.
These results, said the authors, were consistent with a previously published systematic review that was published in the British Medical Association's epidemiology journal with colleagues from Penn State Medical Centre in 1996 which showed an overall significant 30 per cent increased risk of breast cancer in worldwide studies.
The new Chinese meta-analysis is of great significance, Not only does it validate the earlier findings from 1996 but its findings are even stronger, for several reasons:
Filed Under: Abortion, Letters Tagged With: abortion, abortion breast cancer link, ASC, breast cancer
Right to Life Billboard Intersection of Curletts and Parkhouse, Christchurch. 1.2 Million projected views between 21st Aug and 16th October 2020
Paulo Garcia National MP Guest Speaker at Right to LIfe 2020 AGM
https://righttolife.org.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Paulo-Garcia-2020-Reduced-1.mp4
Available now as an E book
The ASC Reported 94. WHERE ARE THE MISSING 39?
Family First 2020 General Election Guide
NZ Abortion Statistics 2019 – Revised Edition 91 Abortions more than orignially reported by Statistics NZ
20 Reasons to Votes No at Referendum
"Over the past 40 years, there has been a 3,700 per cent increase in abortions, and this in the era of the reliable oral contraceptive pill. This is not what the 1967 Abortion Act was intended for. It's not a womb valeting service, ladies…
"There is a moral coarsening here that should concern us all. How desensitised have we become when an act of life or death – literally – is used as a tool to satisfy a curious desire to have one that you can dress in blue, as well as pink?"
— Allison Pearson columnist for the British paper Telegraph who supports abortion rights, wonders how Britain has come to this:
Downright Discrimination against Downs
Click on image to contact your local MP's on their behalf at the push of a button.
Pregnant? Worried?
New Zealand's Coming Demographic Winter
Abortion Regret – Real NZ Women – Real Stories
This booklet was produced by the NZ Ministry of Health as a hard copy….It was quickly removed
The Cry of the Innocent – a Poem in Song
This is the website of Right to Life NZ Inc.


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UK project to explore next generation of lightweight composite aircraft structures
Tags: Composites, Innovation: Products, New materials, Research
A study led by the University of Southampton has been awarded a programme grant of £6.9 million by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) to address the barriers to the design and manufacture of future composite aerostructures.
Working closely with the University of Bristol, University of Bath and the University of Exeter, as well as industry partners, the project will look to enable more structurally efficient and lightweight airframes to meet future fuel and cost efficiency challenges.
The partners say that maximising advanced composite aerostructures is restricted by current test, simulation and certification approaches. The programme grant, titled 'Certification for Design: Reshaping the Testing Pyramid (CerTest)' seeks to address this by redefining the so-called 'testing pyramid', which is the backbone of current validation and certification processes.
The research into composite aircraft structures will look to reduce weight, cost and time for development and testing, through integration of virtual testing and advanced data-rich experimentation of aerostructure components and substructures.
Knowledge gap
Ole Thomsen, professor of structures and materials at the University of Southampton, said: "This funding is essential to enable continued growth of the UK aerospace industry and take economic benefits from the opportunities inherent in the move towards more sustainable aviation, as it fills a knowledge gap, where there is no equivalent capability in the UK or internationally.
"Using world class expertise, this programme grant from EPSRC will enhance the UK position in the technical revolution that embraces new materials and processes, by addressing an urgent need in aero structures design."
Professor Thomsen added: "It is not our job to certify aircrafts, but our job is to deliver scientific breakthroughs to realise the aviation sector's visions to support their work with advanced research, with the intention to save them time and money."
Boeing expands satcoms capabilities with investment in Isotropic Systems
First female F-35 developmental test pilot completes flight mission

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Sunoco, a company that operates pipelines and storage facilities among other assets in the United States, has agreed to be sold to Energy Transfer Partners, a pipeline operator, for $5.3 billion.
Sunoco Senior Management and the Board of Directors is under investigation by Tripp Levy PLLC, a leading national securities law firm, for "possible breaches of fiduciary duty and other violations of state law," reported Market Watch. "The investigation concerns, among other things, whether the consideration to be paid to Sunoco shareholders is unfair, inadequate and substantially below the fair or inherent value of Sunoco, and whether the senior management of Sunoco are putting their own self-interests ahead of that of the Company's shareholders," continued Market Watch.
Energy Transfer hopes that the deal with Sunoco will "help expand its presence in the transportation, storage and logistics of crude oil, natural gas and refined petrochemical products," reported the NYTimes.
"'This transaction represents the next step in Energy Transfer Partners' transformation into a more diversified enterprise with an integrated and expanded footprint,' the company's chief executive, Kelcy L. Warren, said in a statement. 'We will enhance the size and scale of the E.T.P. platform by creating new service capabilities and entering new geographic operating areas,'" reported the NYTimes.


CSU COAST (Council on Ocean Affairs, Science & Technology) sponsored a lunchtime briefing for legislators and staff in Sacramento on Tuesday March 15, 2016 at the Capitol Event Center as part of Ocean Day. The briefing, entitled Ocean Aquaculture in California: Status and Opportunities, was moderated by CSU Monterey Bay's Distinguished Professor of Marine Science and Policy, Dr. James Lindholm, and featured presentations by Diane Windham, NOAA West Coast Regional Coordinator- California, Secretary John Laird, California Natural Resources Agency, and Dr. Michael Lee, Professor of Anthropology, Geography and Environmental Studies at Cal State East Bay. Diane presented the federal perspective on aquaculture off the California Coast, Secretary Laird discussed the state perspective and the role of his agency, and Michael discussed the status of and opportunities for aquaculture teaching and research at the CSU. In doing so, Michael highlighted work being done at Moss Landing Marine Lab and the efforts being undertaken to establish the MLML Center for Aquaculture and a broader, CSU-wide initiative for a Center for Sustainable Aquaculture that can tie together the many great faculty and student research projects and faculty expertise across the 23 campus and the MLML.
You can read more from CSUEB, or download the Powerpoint presentation.


BP is backing off its ambitious Liberty development on Alaska's North Slope.
BP had proposed drilling ultra-extended reach wells to tap the Liberty reservoir, located on federal leases in shallow Beaufort Sea waters about six miles offshore and 15 miles east of Prudhoe Bay.
In November 2010, however, BP announced it was suspending construction pending an engineering review, and a specially designed drilling rig has stood idle at Endicott since then.
BP now believes the Liberty project would cost "at least double" the original estimate of $1.5 billion.


The past month has been so busy for me. We have been celebrating birthdays and trying to buy a house so baking has taken a little back seat. I have however tried some new products and done a little bit of special baking so here is a little update of what has been going on in my kitchen.
I have been really struggling with my scales. The batteries constantly need replacing and eventually the link between the scales and the batteries packed up. I was in need of some new scales so I could continue baking when Judges offered me some Solar Kitchen Scales to review.
I loved the idea of these scales with no batteries. They are priced at £24.99 a little bit more expensive than bog standard scales but not after you have bought all those replacement batteries! These scales need 30 seconds to power up if they have been kept in a dark drawer so remember to make sure the display has kicked in before starting to weigh. These scales won't work very well in dim light so are probably only good for you if you bake in a nice, brightly lit area. I also found the scales take a little while to update so pouring in slowly is recommended. The scales have different settings for different weight measurements and can weigh both liquid and solids. I am continuing to use these but do sometimes struggle in low light and would love them to come in different colour options.
I made this tiered berry Victoria sponge for my Mum's birthday and used this Nielsen- Massey Vanilla Bean Paste to flavour the sponge. It added a lovely authentic vanilla flavour to the cake and was much admired by everyone who had slice of cake.
I also tried my hand at some more macarons and this is definitely something I need to perfect but everyone loved the flavours. I used this recipe for Strawberry Cheesecake Macarons and some Tangy Lemon Macarons which I made using this recipe and adding lemon zest to the egg white mix and lemon curd filling.
Higgidy kindly sent me some vouchers so I could try some of their new quiches and pies. First up I tried the Spinach, Feta and Roasted Red Pepper Quiche. I tried this both cold and hot from the oven and really enjoyed it both ways for a tasty lunch. I especially like the poppy seeds worked into the pie crust. The only thing I would say is be careful to check your teeth for spinach and poppy seeds after eating!
Next up my eye caught the Slow Cooked Steak and Red Wine Pie in the supermarket and this little pie did not disapoint. We have had a bit of an odd and stressful month but we enjoyed this little gem for Greg's birthday quick lunch and it was absolutely lovely. The beef was very tender and pastry was flaky and yummy. A perfect little treat.
Thank you to Judges, Nielsen-Massey and Higgidy for sending me products to try. I was under no obligation to write a positive review.


BBC Radio 3 piano Masterclass: 'Sooner or Later - the Poetry of the piano': David Owen Norris explores how to make melodies expressive on the piano, by changing the time.
In the film, David Owen Norris introduces the topic and works with the following performers and repertoire: Sophie Lythgoe (Mendelssohn: Rondo Capriccioso); Stephen Gearry (Chopin: Fantaisie Impromptu); Emmanuel Vass (Beethoven: 'Moonlight Sonata'); Cathy Liu (Mendelssohn: Song Without Words, Book 6, Op 67, No 5); and Elizabeth Caddy (Mendelssohn: Song Without Words, Book 1, Op 19b, No 4).
The film is presented in association with the Incorporated Society of Musicians, and forms part of the autumn 2012 piano Season the BBC.


You can't beat a classic! The 14" Satchel is perfect for the weekend or for taking on your travels. All of our classic Satchels have an iconic design, complete with an adjustable leather strap and traditional buckle fastenings. Now available in our classic colours!


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Q: finding distance in video when camera is moving with subject Looking for ideas on how to find absolute distance traveled when the camera is moving with the subject -- think dolly shot.
Problem Statement 1:
Imagine there is a car on a flat road and a camera moving parallel to the car, pointing towards the car, so you see a profile shot.  Keeping the car at the center of the frame.
The car is moving at 5mph, while the camera is also moving at 5mph.  From the perspective of the video viewer, the car is not moving.  Anything in the background, is "slowly" moving.
I wish to try to recover the 5mph, on a frame by frame calculation.
Problem Statement 2:
The car is now no longer moving at a constant velocity.  But the dolly shot, camera knows this and smoothly moves with the car still.  (we assume the car size is not distorted or anything)
My thoughts:
In the ideal world, there is something that can track the background image and "stitch" it all together using keypoint overlaps -- without the car.  Then if you know 1 absolute distance in the background, you can recover a meter by meter absolute position of the car.
I am mainly working in Python, opencv2, pillow, but if need be, can consider tools in Blender, Photoshop, Unreal Engine.
With the thinking, anything that is pre-written should have better fidelity than doing it by hand.
Thanks!

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


From 2009 – 2012 I was a research in The Norwegian Resarch Fellowship Programme at the Oslo Academy of the Arts exploring the relationship between geographical place and painting. Having travelled extensively for some time, I had began to notice that my paintings changed depending on where I was working. To learn more about how places influences the paintng process, I decided to go on a search for A Place for Painting. Here is a short presentation a selection of works from some of the places I visited during my felloswhip. All photos by Vegard Kleven.


Commonly used codes and regulations: ASME, ASTM, ANSI, TEMA, API, AD-MERKBLATTER among others.
PV-ELITE mechanical calculation programme updated every six months.
CODE-CAL mechanical calculation programme updated every six months.
Calculation programmes developed by our in-house technical department in accordance with applicable codes.
Shearing machine 3000 mm cutting capacity.
Bending machine 3300 mm capacity.
Plate curving cylinders with a capacity of up to WIDTH 2500 mm and thickness 27 mm in stainless steel.
MIG/MAG and SMAW/GTAW welding machines.
Column for submerged arc welding.
Plasma and Oxi cutting equipment.
Bridge cranes: two 16-ton cranes, one 10-ton crane and two 5-ton cranes.
Verifiable transfer of specification marks.
Other trials and tests are sub-contracted out to accredited inspection companies.
Drafting of a manufacturing handbook.
Our equipment is manufactured and certified in compliance with European Directive 97/23/EC.


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Pietro Arduino (Caprino Veronese, 18 de julho de 1728 – Pádua, 13 de abril de 1805) foi um botânico, agrônomo e naturalista italiano.

Biografia
Procedente de uma família muito pobre, estudou em Verona com o  francês  Jean-François Séguier (1703-1784) e depois com  Scipione Maffei (1675-1755). Séguier, observando os dons de Arduino, recomendou-o  ao diretor do jardim botânico de Pádua,  Giulio Pontedera (1688-1757), que o aceita como jardineiro. Com a morte de Pondera assume o cargo com o simples título de "jardineiro", denominação funcional  que foi criada especialmente para a ocasião. Em 1760, Giovanni M. Marsili (1727-1794) nomeou-o como diretor do Jardim.

Em 1765,  foi nomeado professor de agricultura e diretor do Jardim Agrícola de Pádua, a primeira instituição deste tipo na Itália.

Manteve uma importante correspondência com os botânicos do seu tempo, especialmente com Carl von Linné (1707-1778). Participou da introdução na Itália dos princípios linneanos.

Muito apreciado pelo naturalista Linné, este lhe dedicou um grupo de plantas com o o nome  Arduina, da família das  Apocynaceae e uma espécie de Labiatae: a Teucrium Arduini.

O seu irmão foi o famoso geólogo Giovanni Arduino (1713-1795).

Obras
Em 1759, Arduino publicou o seu primeiro trabalho de botânica:  Animadversionum botanicarum specimen ( dois volumes, Pádua)obra que ilustra com figuras doze espécies de plantas cultivadas no Jardim Botânico de Pádua. Sobre botânica publica também Animadversionum botanicorum specimen alterum, trabalho em que ilustra 20 espécies de plantas novas ou raras e exóticas. No ramo da agronomia publicou uma dúzia de trabalhos, sendo o mais importante a Memorie di osservazioni… , onde  descreve a aplicação de 16 plantas.

Colaborou com o jornal italiano de  Francesco Griselini (1717-1787).

Botânicos da Itália

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Golf is the activity recreation in which the players are using a number of varieties of clubs and hits a ball into each and every hole within the golf training from the lowest probable variety of strokes. The initial activity of golfing was played at Brunt field back links, in Edinburgh, Scotland inside A.D. 1456. Now the golfing happens to be the globally activity, having a golf programs within the greater part of countries.
Golf equipment simply encompasses into many products which might be utilized to complete the sport of golfing. Players ordinarily have numerous styles of clubs during the game. In this particular activity, you will discover about three types of club that is irons, woods and putters. Golfing is performed with in the area of land that is definitely specified by a golfing program.
Just about every person sport of golfing relies on the number of holes and each hole is classified by its par furthermore as, the par of the hole is determined because of the tree-to-green distance. The typical length with the par-three hole ranges concerning 91 and 224 meters and also the length with the par-four hole ranges involving 225 and 434 meters. A round is basically consists of eighteen holes that happen to be played in the get and that is determined by the training format. In the nine-hole study course, a normal spherical is composed of two successive nine holes spherical.
The clubs inside the golf match are divided into six types this type of as woods, irons, wedges, hybrid woods and putters. Within the golfing games, the people are sinking the tiny ball while using couple of strokes into consecutive holes and also the hole is divided into about three major locations just like a placing green place, Flat starting point and also a fairway.
The study course is involving 5000 to 7000 yards inside the duration which is composed of eighteen holes as well as designs from the holes are just like a cup. The actual size of your cup is 4.5 inch in diameter. Golf balls are made of woods which were changed within the 17th century.


The Measure is instituted under the provisions stipulated in Paragraph 2 of Article 21, Petroleum Administration Law (hereafter referred to as "the Law").
"Emergency" prescribed in the Measure refers to the period where deficient oil resources and the acutely fluctuating oil price have an influence on domestic oil supply or national security, determined by the central competent authority and enforcement of oil control, quotas, price limits and adjustment, appropriation and operational measures of oil stockpile (hereafter referred to as "the oil management measure") are announced by the central competent authority.
1.The declined oil export incurred from international politics, economics, warfare, strikes, industrial security, natural disasters or other factors results in an expectation that a fall of over 10%, compared to the previous month, in domestic oil import of the coming month.
2.Suspended or declined production of domestic oil refineries due to strikes, industrial safety, natural disasters or other factors results an expectation that a fall of over 10%, compared to the previous month, in domestic oil import of the coming month.
3.The operation of the oil import port disables because of domestic or overseas factors.
1.International oil price rises by 50% because of politics, economics, warfare, strikes, industrial security, natural disasters or other factors.
The central competent authority shall specify the enforcement period and the measure contents and report them to Executive Yuan, before implementing the oil management measure according to Paragraph 1, Article 21 of the Law. The oil management measure will be announced and come into force upon approval by Executive Yuan; the central competent authority shall lift the measure and report it to Executive Yuan for reference once the reason is eliminated.
The central competent authority may delegate subordinate authorities or commission or commission another administrative authority with no relationship of administrative subordination to exercise 、Article 10、13、17~20 and the second paragraph of Article 13.
1.Propose the enforcement period of the Measure Governing Oil in Emergency Management.
2.Propose the Measure Governing Oil in Emergency Management.
3.Propose the division of the work, regarding the preceding measure, of the agencies concerned.
The session of the Council Oil in Emergency Management is called by the director; the director may designate one of the members of the Council to call the session in case the director can not be present in person.
1.Impose restrictions or prohibitions on export oil of the oil exporters.
2.Demand that oil refineries should adjust refined oil types and quantity.
3.Demand that oil importer should adjust imported oil types and quantity.
4.Prohibit oil businesses from stocking up oil.
The central competent authority may demand oil refineries, importers, exporters and the petrochemistry industry which manufactures oil by-product should report the schemes concerning the oil refinery, import, export or sales in the specific period; such schemes, where necessary, may be changed in accordance with the order given by the central competent authority.
The business in the preceding paragraph shall be engaged in the oil refinery, import, export or sales subject to the schemes reported, or subject to the changed schemes ordered by the central competent authority.
The central competent authority may order the oil business, except the gasoline or LPG station, to submit the information on the sales of energy to specific users, in an emergency, which shall be the basis of the oil quotas criteria during the enforcement period.
The specific users prescribed in the preceding paragraph include military sectors, shipping forwarders, airliner cargos, airline cargo operators, railway carriers, the electric generation business and other users specified by the central competent authority.
In an emergency, the central competent authority may order the oil business to report the information concerned like oil costs and sales prices, etc. which oil businesses shall not reject.
In an emergency, the central competent authority may specify the upper limit of the oil price for the following oil businesses.
2.The oil retail price of the gasoline station, the LPG station and the gasoline station for fishing boat.
3.The LPG wholesale price, the retail price of the LPG dealer and the distributor.
1.Adjust the stockpile of the oil refinery and importer.
2.Specify that the oil refinery or importer should release the supply of the oil stockpile for specific users.
In an emergency, the central competent authority may release the government oil stockpile.
The oil released from the government oil stockpile as prescribed in the preceding paragraph may be sold by an open tender or sold in the market by authorized oil businesses with the price specified by the central competent authority.
1.Impose restrictions on the sales quantity of the gasoline (LPG) daily.
2.Impose restrictions on operation hours of the sales of the gasoline (LPG).
3.Schedule the date of the purchase of fuel and every gasoline (LPG) filling volume for motor vehicle users.
In an emergency, the central competent authority may specify and announce the quotas criteria for the sales of LPG for customers, vessels, aircrafts and ordinary users when implementing the oil quotas.
In an emergency, the central competent authority may demand that LPG dealers should implement the quotas of LPG for their former customers according to the oil quotas criteria announced by the central competent authority; the central competent authority, where necessary, may demand the aforementioned dealers should implement the quotas for barreled-LPG customers by bartering for used barrel with barreled-LPG.
1.With respect to the oil for the passenger or cargo vessel of domestic, overseas shipping lines, the proprietor or the deputy of the vessel shall fill in the application form for the oil for the passenger or cargo vessel, pursuant to the horsepower, tonnage and mission of the vessel, and submit the photocopy of nationality certificate of the vessel or the boat certificate to the local competent authority for navigation and aviation, and then, proceed the procurement after the application is approved subject to the oil quotas criteria announced by the central competent authority and the practical oil volume required, The oil for the passenger or cargo vessel of overseas shipping lines may be supplied with the oil volume required to the next destination (port) abroad, where necessary.
2.The oil for marine engineering vessels and vessels for official business shall conform to the provision prescribed in the preceding paragraph.
3.With respect to the oil for the power of fishery, local competent authorities for fishery administration may implement the oil quotas subject to the oil quotas criteria announced by the central competent authority.
4.The oil for other vessels shall conform to the provision for ordinary oil use prescribed in Paragraph 3 of Article 20 herein.
2.The oil for the aircrafts for official business shall conform to the provisions prescribed in the preceding paragraph.
3.The oil for the aircraft of international air lines may be supplied with the oil volume required to the next destination (airport) abroad, where necessary.
The quotas for foreign vessels, aircrafts of international shipping and air lines, subject to the provisions prescribed in preceding two articles, shall be supplied exclusively for such vessels and aircrafts whose country implements equal treatment for the vessels, aircrafts of ROC nationality in an emergency according to its laws and regulations.
1.With respect to the oil for the electric generation business and the cogeneration, the users shall fill in the application form for the oil for electric generation and report it to the central competent authority for the quotas approved.
2.The oil quotas for agricultural machines shall be implemented after approved by local competent authorities for agriculture administration subject to the oil quotas criteria announced by the central competent authority.
3.Ordinary oil use: railway or other users shall fill in the application form for ordinary oil use, where the purpose and the volume required should be specified, and submit relevant certificates to the authority concerned, and then, proceed the procurement after the application is approved subject to the oil quotas criteria announced by the central competent authority.
The central competent authority and the personnel concerned shall not disclose the information supplied, reported according to the provisions of Article 8 - Article 10.
The Measure will come into force upon promulgation.


text:
Agricultural adviser
Treadle pump
Cart + 2 oxen
Eco-toilets
"Car bike"
Secundary school
School for adults
New income
Micro-credits
Bereits erreicht
Agriculture:
The soil is depleted because corn is a monocrop in Malawi. Thus, chemical fertilizers are urgently needed, but there is no money available with which to buy them:The Malawians have no money to buy chemical fertilizers. That is why we are starting our project by providing this for them. Additionally, we are currently looking for possibilities to replace chemical fertilizers by using compost
Boloma, our agriculture adviser
We provide them with corn seed as well as seeds of various kinds of vegetables.
Since 2008 we have been cooperating with an agricultural adviser who works for us two days a week.
He instructs the villagers on how to produce compost, to irrigate their farmland and how the quality of the local soil can be improved
2 oxen with cart
We give them treadle pumps for the irrigation of the farmland they are working on during the dry season; thereby achieving two full harvests a year instead of a scanty one, which is a great step toward our aim to have sufficient sustenance for one year.
Every village will receive a cart with two oxen, a plough and harrow, enabling them to cultivate the farmland in an easier and more efficient way and also to facilitate the transportation of the harvest. Additionally, they will aquire a lot of free time in which they can devise other activities they can earn money with
Diarrhoea and Cholera - the Most Common Illnesses in These Poor Villages.
Therefore, to provide them with clean water has first priority.
The capacity of the pumps we will have installed will be sufficient for villages with up to 400 inhabitants. In addition, people have the possibility to do their laundry.
A so-called "pump committee" ensures that the pump is kept in good running condition and that its periphery is kept clean. The pumps are monitored three times a year. When the pump is installed, the villagers are instructed in two days how to use it
The waterpump from Bisai
Washing hands after having gone to the toilet.A project that costs almost
nothing, but which is very effective. Large plastic water bottles are hung up near
the toilets. Small holes are drilled in the ground.When the stopper is
opened a little bit, you can wash your hands
We also inform the villagers about AIDS. To date few Malawians are yet infected.
AIDS is therefore a high priority item
The availability of mosquito nets is also important, because mosquitoes in South East Africa
only bite during the night-time. We give each family 2 nets.
The lack of space makes this expedient.
In a two-day introduction people learn how to use, repair, wash and to re-impregnate the nets.
Children under six years of age quickly die from malaria, because their parents
do not have the money to bring them to the hospital.
The price of drugs for children does not even amount to €2.00, whereas for adults it amounts
to about €4.00
Eco-toilets: Also a less expensive and useful project. Instead of digging a single deep hole,
two holes are excavated, approx. one metre deep. Every time one goes to the toilet,
a little sand and ash is thrown into the hole.
After six months that hole will be full to capacity. In another six months a very good compost
will have developed.
Also in respect to hygiene is this kind of toilet better.
A type of "car bike" transportation is offered to two to three villages which is required
for the transportation of patients.
Education plays a very important role. Give people a fishing rod instead of a fish!
In 2011 we will start building a kindergarten for three villages. Children will be better
prepared for the elementary school, and their mothers' burden will be reduced.
75 children in the kindergarten from Chapata
The elementary schools were in a desolate state in Waya and Khasu. All of them were dirty.
The roofs were ruined, and the floors badly damaged. There were neither benches nor tables,
nor did the pupils have exercise books and writing materials. Firstly, we donated exercise books
and writing materials.The schools were renovated last August, and the first delivery of 300
benches will take place soon (for 600 children).The cost of these 300 banks and tables
alone amounts to €10,000.00.The water pump had been damaged in Waya since 2004.
This pump is now repaired.
There are still two school buildings missing in Waya, as well as some living quarters for
the teaching staff. One house has to be renovated and a second one to be built in Khasu
2 class rooms before renovation…
Many children can't afford to attend the secondary school. Every year, we pay the entire
school fees for 10 children. This compromises financial donations for attending a boarding
school or in-kind donations such as bicycles (because sometimes they live too
far away from school to walk there), writing materials, clothes, sportswear, books.
We will support 30 children in October 2011.
Presently, we are considering the possibility of having some children complete their studies:
Up to now there is only one student who will complete his studies.
Every student has his own sponsor. We are trying to foster the development of a
personal contact between student and sponsor
It is very important that a school for adults be established. Most Malawians are illiterate.
It is imperative that the people to whom we are offering micro-dredits have the
necessary reading and writing skills!
…and after renovation
Those three women of the village who were able to do this received a short training as teachers.
The lessons are held in the church. There is only little teaching material available for them.
The amount of material needed is limited. We are also starting a project that will provide pupils
and students of various schools with sportswear and sports equipment.
We have no problem collecting this material in Europe. The problem will be to transport everything to
Malawi. The cost is between €8,000.00 and € 10,000.00 per container!
The students of the secondary school (2011)
Creating new income:
Micro-credits are an excellent basis to gain extra income. Twenty women of Chavunga - the first
village we supported - received a micro-credit of €25.00 in 2009. This means a lot of money
to them. All credits were paid in July 2010. Most of the women gained a big profit.
Now, we have given new credits of €50.00 to €75.00.
People of the three villages we are going to support next will receive micro-credits at the
Two of the 12 poorest families will receive two female goats. These families will have to return
the to females first raised to the village's committee. Later they will then be given
to other families. They will be allowed to keep and sell the next young goats to
acquire an income.
Every village establishes a pig breeding program according to the European model. When the pigs
reach the required weight, they are sold to the slaughterhouse in Lilongwe, the capital of Malawi.
As to this project, we are working closely with a few Portuguese pig breeders.
This project can strongly improve the financial situation of the villages. We employed a
veterinarian especially for this project, who examines the animals on a weekly basis.
Diseases are likely to constitute a serious hazard to pigs.


My name is Mirna, I live in Ravenna, Italy. I'm a student at University of the People, I'm a cook, I'm a mother and I'm married. How can I describe myself? I can tell you the things I love. Here they are.
Pitt's soft and velvety ears.
Eric Clapton playing "Layla", here.
Categories: About me | Tags: business administration, love, mirna rossi, music | Permalink.


text:
Q: How to loop a sound without gaps in www site I need this sound http://www.sound-effect.com/sounds1/noise/Static_Stereo.wav to play in background of my site all the time. Is it possible to do this without gaps?
I understand that in most of the sites sound is annoying for users, but this site is exception. This sound is essential in this site.

A: soundLoop.play(0, int.MAX_VALUE);

A: Import your sound uncompressed to minimize the risk of gaps between loops. And of course, make sure your audiofile is made for looping.


Company, Welcome to Horsemen Association, About us page.
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text:
TXSN Home
TV/Podcast
Texas Sports Nation // Football
Defense could well decide North Shore's fate vs. Lake Travis
Jon Poorman, Staff writer
Dec. 9, 2021 Updated: Dec. 9, 2021 7:56 p.m.
North Shore's Jayven Anderson, left, and Cameron Welch (24) help Evan Jackson (23) celebrate his second interception — the fourth for the Mustangs — in last week's 43-20 region final victory over Atasocita in Pasadena.
Juan DeLeon, Photographer
North Shore has seemingly gotten stronger as the football season has progressed.
That didn't happen by accident.
The Mustangs place an emphasis on sharp practices this time of year, and that focus has paid dividends on game days. They are now one victory away from a third state title game appearance in four seasons.
"I've always believed that the best teams we've had are the best practicing teams," said North Shore coach Jon Kay, who has guided the program to three state titles. "This team is starting to develop into a great practicing team, and a lot of that is a direct result of some of the leadership from some of the guys that have been here before."
On Texas Sports Nation: UIL releases conference cutoff numbers
North Shore (13-1) will battle another powerhouse program in Lake Travis (12-2) in the Class 6A Division I state semifinals at 3 p.m. Saturday at Kelly Reeves Athletic Complex in Round Rock.
North Shore is seeking its fifth state championship after taking crowns in 2003, 2015, 2018 and 2019. Lake Travis, meanwhile, is aiming to capture its seventh title and first since 2016. The Cavaliers, led by head Hank Carter, lost to North Shore in the state semifinals in 2018 and 2019.
More High School Sports News
2021 All-Greater Houston football teams
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The Mustangs have been rolling since suffering their only loss of the season against Westfield back on Sept. 10. North Shore has won 11 consecutive games and outscored its four playoff opponents 173-67.
"I think we're in a good place," Kay said. "It's like anything else — you're dealing with teenage kids, so you have your ups and downs during the season, especially at our place, and we understand that, and our kids understand that. We deal with the issues as they come. But overall, I think the kids are confident right now, and I think they're playing some good football. I think they're excited to still be together, and that's the biggest thing. You're really starting to see this team jell. You never take that for granted, even this late in the season."
North Shore has leaned on its experienced defense from the beginning of the season. Only two teams have scored more than 21 points against the Mustangs, and they are allowing 16.8 per game during the playoffs. The defense had a huge game against Atascocita in the regional championship last week with four interceptions. Kent Battle and Kris Ross each had one pick against the Eagles, and Evan Jackson had two. Jackson returned one of his interceptions 48 yards for a touchdown. The Mustangs have nine takeaways in their four playoff games.
On Texas Sports Nation: Touchdown Club of Houston hands out annual awards
North Shore is unusual in that its starting quarterback is a freshman. Kaleb Bailey, who turned 16 just this week, has taken the reins of the offense and performed well. He has completed 64 percent of his passes for 666 yards and eight touchdowns against three interceptions after really getting into the mix during district play. Bailey also has rushed for 542 yards and six scores, averaging 6.9 yards per carry.
Ja'Mee Asberry, Sarah Andrews rally No. 14 Baylor women past Kansas
Kings starters Tyrese Haliburton, Marvin Bagley out vs. Rockets
2022 Chevron Houston Marathon/Aramco Houston Half Marathon top results
Tom Brady throws for 2 TDs, Buccaneers dominate Eagles
In his first marathon, Houston's Frank Lara is fastest American
Running back Xavier Owens has rushed for 1,117 yards and 15 touchdowns to bolster the running game this season. He had a huge performance last week with 162 yards and two touchdowns on just 14 carries.
"I think we're taking some huge steps offensively," Kay said. "Obviously, we've got a young quarterback, and that's going to be a development process for anybody, but especially as a freshman. I really think he's coming into his own, and the kids are learning to play around him. I think the defense has really stepped up, and we're starting to come together on special teams. I just think it's a combination of peaking at the right time."
Lake Travis is led offensively by quarterback Bo Edmundson, who holds several Power Five college offers. He has completed 61 percent of his passes for 2,960 yards and 34 touchdowns with nine interceptions. Running back Derrick Johnson also has been a force with 1,334 yards and 18 scores on the ground. Perhaps the most dangerous weapon is receiver Caleb Burton, a recent Ohio State commit with 14 touchdown catches in 11 games.
The Cavaliers have been solid defensively as well, holding all but three opponents to 21 or fewer points. Lake Travis defeated San Antonio Brennan 42-17 to win the regional championship last week.
"It's just a historic program, so they know how to win," Kay said. "They've been here many times before, so this isn't going to be a stage they haven't experienced. They're really, really talented at their offensive skill positions. They've got a great quarterback who can really spin it, and they've got some very dangerous receivers. Really impressed with their running back and what he's been able to do this year running hard and falling forward. And then their defense is as solid as they come, so it's an all-around team, which is why they're playing this deep."
jon.poorman@chron.com
twitter.com/jonpoorman
Jerome Solomon Sports Columnist
Solomon: Nick Caserio has another chance to get it right, but...
If Houston GM's second hire as head coach is a winner, the David Culley era will be a mere footnote.
Brian T. Smith Sports Columnist
Smith: Hard to believe in Texans given Caserio's ambiguous ways
General manager offers few specifics of plan to rebuild the franchise after firing coach David Culley after just one season.
John McClain Texans / NFL Writer
McClain: Texans' Flores interview shows commitment to Patriot Way
As Nick Caserio and Jack Easterby begin search for a new coach, they are sticking to their philosophy developed in New England
Jon Poorman
Reach Jon on
Jon Poorman is the high school sports coordinator for the Houston Chronicle. He previously served as the sports editor for The Courier of Montgomery County daily newspaper in Conroe for five years. Poorman was born in Kansas City, Mo., and grew up in the suburb of Raytown. He received his degree in print and internet journalism from Missouri State University and began his career in 2013 with The Courier and Houston Community Newspapers.
Answering the Astros' key offseason questions
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The evolution of Stephen Silas as Rockets head coach
An oral history of the wild pro hockey league that hit Texas


Well, thanks to mobile forms that have changed the way data is collected, organized and processed. They serve as a faster, efficient and more reliable alternative to paper forms. Whether the employees need to conduct a survey or maintain record of product deliveries, mobile forms are making the job lot easier for sales companies. Discussed below are the points that explain how exactly the processes are simplified.
An inevitable need for sales managers is to monitor sales data so as to take crucial decisions and gain competitive edge. Often, when field employees are assigned the job to collect data, managers have no other option, but to wait for them to return to office to put field data to work. However, mobile forms have helped overcome this roadblock. Once the data is collected, it can be immediately sent to the managers right from any remote location. Mobile data collection thus allows the managers to gain insight into real time updates and take decisions right away.
Frequent variations in sales trend lead to changes in inventory, survey and other forms for data collection. This is when paper forms become obsolete. On a better part, mobile forms never become outdated as easy and quick changes are always possible with them, that too without any programming. Drag and drop options allow seamless insertion of new fields as per new requirements. Similarly, fields not required anymore can be easily removed. Any changes made are instantly and automatically updated for all users, regardless of the platform or device being used.
When using mobile forms, logic can be applied to hide unwanted fields. An individual need not remember to send notifications to team members or sales partners since they can be automatically triggered using pre-determined business rules. Not only this, mobile forms capable of working even without network connectivity enable users to capture data irrespective of their location. Thus, uninterrupted data collection and the time saved due to elimination of the need to transfer data from papers to computer help the employees to emphasize on delivering better solutions to customers and improve business productivity.
If you are a sales company, go paperless with TeamBee to relish true benefits of real time tracking solution, conducting mobile surveys, managing and analyzing sales information the mobile way.


It was the deadliest, but not the first, attack on Charlie Hebdo. . The magazine's title was changed to "Charia Hebdo" (Charia is French for. In , the magazine published an article "guest edited by Mohammed," calling him "Charia Hebdo." On the cover, a grinning, bearded figure. 1 nov. Pour son prochain numéro, qui sort en kiosque mercredi, l'hebdomadaire satirique s'est rebaptisé «Charia Hebdo» et a nommé Mahomet.
Retrieved 8 January One week after the murders, Donald Trump mocked Charlie Hebdosaying the magazine reminded him of another "nasty and dishonest" satirical publication and that the magazine was on the verge of financial collapse. A Biography of the Prophet Muhammad: Views Read Edit View history.
chaira The Times of India. Retrieved 22 November Val gave away his shares in Quraish Muslim Massacre Faith Fighter. Christian sentenced to death for 'blaspheming against Chariq ' ". Parce que si l'on dessine Mahomet, si on le ridiculise, il n'en existe pas pas moins pour les croyants. On 8 January over demonstrations were held from Police detained several people during the manhunt for the two main suspects.
The center was hosting an exhibit featuring cartoons depicting the Islamic prophet Muhammad.
The application went unanswered. ISIS fighter praises Paris massacre". Retrieved 9 May Der Spiegel in German. The Messenger of God Bilal. Kouachi brothers killedBBC News. On 7 Januarytwo Islamist terrorists stormed the Charlie Hebdo offices and killed twelve.
On Wednesday the Danish paper stepped up its own security in response to the Paris shootings. Contraindre n'est pas convaincre. The Guardian reported that many Muslims and Muslim organisations criticised the attack while some Muslims support it and other Muslims stated they would only condemn it if France condemned the killings of Muslims worldwide".
Retrieved 11 January Hitzige Debatten auf Twitter".
The group asserted it had nothing to do with the burning of the Charlie Hebdo offices, and that it did not support acts of violence. Retrieved 19 January He also criticised many of those in America who were ostensibly voicing support for free speech, noting that were the cartoons to be published in an American university newspaper, the editors would be accused of "hate speech" and the university would "have cut financing and shut them down.
At least 12 killed as shots fired at satirical magazine's Paris office".
Retrieved 16 January This page was last edited on 11 Decemberat Please help improve the article by presenting facts as a neutrally-worded summary with appropriate citations. Le Monde in French. Retrieved 17 May Legacy of a Prophet Muhammad: The British Transport Police confirmed on 8 January that they would establish new armed patrols in and around St Pancras International railway station in London, following reports that the suspects were moving north towards Eurostar stations.
In its precursor, Hara-Kiri Hebdo, was banned for publishing a spoof of the reverent French coverage of the death of the former president Charles de Gaulle.
More vigils and gatherings were held in Canada to show support to Xharia and condemn terrorism. In the present context, given this absurd video that has been aired, strong emotions have been awakened in many Muslim countries.
This was seen by analyst Jonathan Guyer as a "surprising" and maybe "unprecedented" move, due to the pressure Arab artists can be subject to when depicting religious figures. The assailant, a Tunisian man posing as an asylum-seeker from Iraq or Syriacharged police officers with a meat cleaver while shouting "Allahu Akbar! We don't kill civilians anyhow. During the attack, the gunmen shouted " Allahu akbar " "God is great" in Arabic and also "the Prophet is avenged".


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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
Calling It War
Scott Miller: I'm Scott.
Bill Reinsch: I'm Bill.
Scott Miller: And we're The Trade Guys.
Bill Reinsch: And we're The Trade Guys.
Andrew Schwartz: You're listening to The Trade Guys, the podcast produced by CSIS where we talk about trade in terms that everyone can understand.
Andrew Schwartz: I'm H. Andrew Schwartz and I'm here with Scott Miller and Bill Reinsch, the CSIS Trade Guys.
Andrew Schwartz: Trade talks between the US and China have broken down. The two countries are readying more tariffs, Wall Street is getting hammered, coming back and getting hammered again. Who knows?
Anderson Cooper: The DOW plunging just below 600 points on the news that Beijing will retaliate.
Andrew Schwartz: But the president is willing to stand his ground.
President Trump: I love the position we're in. There can be some retaliation but it can't be very, very substantial by comparison.
Andrew Schwartz: Where do things go from here? Find out on this episode of The Trade Guys.
Andrew Schwartz: All right, guys. What do you feel like talking about? China?
Scott Miller: Do we have to?
Bill Reinsch: I don't think we have any choice.
Andrew Schwartz: I mean, like, what else is there to talk about? I guess we've got to talk about China. What is going on? Yesterday was a blood bath in the stock markets. Chinese struck back, like the empire strikes back, after Trump struck first and we've got an all out trade war, it seems.
Bill Reinsch: It seems that way, although the good news, for those of you that invest, is the market's on the way back up.
Andrew Schwartz: As we speak today, it's Tuesday around noon. The market has recovered about half of what it lost yesterday, so not quite the bloodbath that we saw, unless you sold yesterday, which would've been ill-advised.
Bill Reinsch: Still time for a disaster.
Andrew Schwartz: Yes. Not that the trade guys are picking stocks.
Bill Reinsch: Oh, no. And we certainly wouldn't be giving financial advice. And anybody that took any financial advice from us would be insane.
Andrew Schwartz: Yes.
Bill Reinsch: So the whole thing is not good news because it's just that this is going to be around for awhile.
Andrew Schwartz: What's going to be around for awhile, Bill and Scott?
Bill Reinsch: The dispute. The trade war and the tariffs.
Scott Miller: Yeah, in fact, China started using the phrase "trade war." The escalation of tariffs on both sides.
Andrew Schwartz: So, Scott, when did China start using those words?
Bill Reinsch: [crosstalk 00:02:14] Yesterday and today.
Scott Miller: In our news, today, yes.
Andrew Schwartz: And who used that term? Is it [inaudible 00:02:18]? Was it-
Bill Reinsch: It was the Chinese media, but the Chinese media doesn't say things unless they've been told what to say.
Andrew Schwartz: Right. Okay, so, Chinese are using the phrase.
Scott Miller: And then, so this round of escalation has taken us further from where we were two weeks ago when we had all the happy thoughts about a landing zone. An agreement is not going to land anytime soon. There are major differences placed in how the structural reform part of any agreement might go forward, but at the moment, I think it would be a loss of face for either side to concede anything pretty quickly. So that's probably the reason more than anything else for this to continue.
Bill Reinsch: The Chinese had a funny ... I don't think they meant it to be funny, but they have three problems with the agreement, and the problems are they don't agree on the package of stuff they're supposed to buy, they don't agree on the commitments they're supposed to make on the structural issues, and they don't agree about our position on getting rid of the tariffs, which is about 90% of the agreement. If you add all three of those things together-
Scott Miller: I'm not sure what else there is to disagree with.
Andrew Schwartz: Okay, so this is a flat-out disagreement.
Bill Reinsch: It sounds increasingly like there is a serious issue here. Two weeks ago, the President was tweeting "agreement is imminent. We're getting close. Happy ending."
Scott Miller: We have two cabinet officers in China trying to find these landing zones.
Bill Reinsch: And to the extent there were leaks about that, there were some fairly specific things that it was coming down to, and it's very clear, I think, as we said last week that the Chinese pulled back. At least, pulled back from what we thought they had agreed to, so it's not like we're making this stuff up, but it sounds like there are more things unsettled than we thought two weeks ago certainly. To me, the worst sign is I always thought what to do about the current tariffs would come down to the end with something for the presidents, but the easiest thing in this whole package is what the Chinese commit to buy. And if they can't agree on that, then, I think, we've got problems.
Scott Miller: Yes, the market access part of this has been offered repeatedly, and it's never been seen as sufficient by the US side, but there's lots of offers out there. It is, I think, a reflection of the gaps particularly in the structural areas that the Chinese are basically saying "We agree to nothing at this point." So tough spot.
Andrew Schwartz: So what are we going to do here? I mean, is a deal before the next tariff hike occurs in four weeks possible?
Bill Reinsch: Well, only if our president is willing to settle for a lot less than what he's demanding. I mean, I think he's in a difficult political position. I think we talked about this last week. He can either accept less, in which case the Democrats will accuse him of being a poor negotiator and being soft on China, or he can continue what is now the war, which we're calling a war. He can walk away, or keep the tariffs in place, in which place the Democrats will accuse him of failure, poor negotiation, and what's worse, causing an enormous amount of collateral damage and producing nothing.
Bill Reinsch: The whole refrain from the administration has been short term pain, long term gain, and a lot of people, particularly the farmers, buy that intellectually, that this is a hard thing to do, it's the right thing to do, and we're prepared to pay in the short term to get the long term benefit. But if he walks away, what we've got is short term payment, and nothing.
Andrew Schwartz: Right, and you know, I still, as of last night, have listeners and readers of my evening newsletter, The Evening, writing me that this is just short term pain, and we're in it for the long haul. We're playing the long game. President Trump's playing the long game, and just buckling your seatbelt. Everything's going to be fine. It doesn't seem like everything's going to be fine here.
Scott Miller: Well, everything's going to continue. I don't expect a settlement in the short term. For me, the main signal was when the President began talking about basically taking tariff revenue and actually going out and buying farm products to support farm prices. That would be a state of mind of somebody who sees a resolution off in the distance, if you've got time to muck around in farm markets.
Andrew Schwartz: Does he have time though? I mean, the political clock is ticking here.
Bill Reinsch: First, on the Chinese side, something similar. They've started to play the nationalism card. The Chinese people will fight back. This is about our country. This is about defending our country.
Andrew Schwartz: And they can play the long game.
Bill Reinsch: There's a trade war, and they're very good at the long game. They've been playing the long game for 5,000 years, but when they play the nationalism card, that indicates that they see a long game here, that they're trying to whip up the people. The danger for them is sometimes when you do that, you can't turn it off quite as easily as you can turn it on. Big country, a lot of people. So, but it's a sign they do not see a quick resolution of this.
Bill Reinsch: Does he have time politically? I don't know. The question has always been where will we be a year from now, not where are we today.
Scott Miller: Sure, and I don't think we actually know. I mean, keep in mind, there were dire predictions of disaster from the first round of tariffs, which I'm sure upset supply chain managers all over the country, and has made their lives miserable, but it's very difficult to find those tariffs in consumer pricing. Difficult to find harm to the economy caused by the tariffs, so we don't know.
Bill Reinsch: That's going to change though.
Scott Miller: I think it will change as we're escalating tariffs and broadening the scope of tariffs. You would think it's going to hit sometime. Math is pretty unforgiving in these circumstances, and so at some point, it's going to have an effect. But once again, we've got a huge, we've got a $20 trillion economy, and our total trading relationship with China, imports and exports, is $600 billion of $20 trillion. So the scale would mitigate the effects to some extent, plus if you've got other net positives in economic growth.
Scott Miller: So it's not clear to me that this can't work. I mean, there's been a lot of doom forecasts about the first set of tariffs that haven't come true, and the President seems to have continuing political support, even from the people directly harmed by the first round of tariffs, like agriculture.
Andrew Schwartz: Let's talk about that for a second. Joe Biden said yesterday a very simple message. He said, "The only people this is hurting is working people and farmers." That's a pretty simple, clear message. That's the first time I've heard a Democrat say it so succinctly and so directed at the President.
Bill Reinsch: Certainly manufacturers, too.
Scott Miller: Yes.
Bill Reinsch: Not just working people and farmers, but he's right about that.
Scott Miller: And manufacturers are working people, by the way. But
Bill Reinsch: Some of them.
Scott Miller: Some of them. But having said that, look, I think as a political dynamic, the Trump elevator speech was, "Look, if you want somebody to give in to the Chinese, elect this other guy, okay? I'm not going to do it." Okay? While former Vice President Biden's comment is not wrong, I don't think it really effects the politics.
Bill Reinsch: See, I don't agree with that. I think Trump is painting himself into his own corner, but the Democrats are playing this very nice, I think. Go back to what I said earlier. What is Trump's choice? Accept less than he wants, in which case he's weak and soft; continue the war, in which case he's a failure. For the Democrats, this is a bonanza. No matter what happens, they can attack.
Andrew Schwartz: And doesn't this seem like the President's got a little bit of his own ego invested in taking on China versus helping working people and farmers?
Bill Reinsch: [crosstalk 00:09:31] just a little?
Andrew Schwartz: No, I'm asking. I'm asking.
Scott Miller: No, I think that's probably the case, but keep in mind, the bumper sticker is short term pain, long term gain. What's the short term? A week, six months, two years? Undefined.
Bill Reinsch: If there's still no gain a year from now, I think it's a big political minus.
Scott Miller: It's a different problem.
Andrew Schwartz: I mean, I don't know about in China, but this is an ADD society. Very much instant gratification society. So last time I checked, we want it fast, we want it now, and we want it the way we want it. So I don't know if a long term gain ... How much patience do we have for that?
Bill Reinsch: Well, if you look at it at 40,000 feet macro level as Scott did, you can say this is not a big deal, but what you're going to see in the media is story after story after story of people going bankrupt, farmers losing their farms, and really heart-winding human interest stories, and they're going to say "I can't sell my soybeans, and I can't make my bank payments, and so I've got to give it up." And that's what's going to populate the media for the next year if he doesn't come up with something.
Scott Miller: Much like when the steel and aluminum tariffs first hit, we had the story of the Missouri nail manufacturer, and so this will happen, and this will affect the politics as it plays out.
Andrew Schwartz: So what do you think, Scott, President Trump is likely to do in the short term here?
Scott Miller: In the short term, I think he sees how this plays out. He's not going to back down in the short term. We're not going to reduce our demands, and I think, in particular, he has been persuaded by his team, including Ambassador Lighthizer, that these structural changes are vital. You have to get them if we're going to have any chance in the future of a reasonably equitable relationship between China and the United States.
Bill Reinsch: In CSIS, I've had some discussion with China colleagues on this, and I think we all feel that if he has to make the choice I describe between a weak or mediocre agreement and continuing the war, he's better off making the agreement because if he walks or keeps the tariffs in place, then there is all the pain, none of the gain.
Bill Reinsch: You know that if there's an agreement, no matter how bad it is, he's going to say it's great, and he's going to do nothing but say it's great for the next year, and his base is going to believe him. And then the Democrats are going to have to ... For them, it's going to be complicated to explain why it's not great. So he's probably better off actually folding at some point. I don't know that he sees it that way.
Scott Miller: Well, certainly, when you declare victory, it's a pretty short expression to say how wonderful things are. It's a longer statement and probably the elevator is way past ground floor by the time you could describe what's specifically wrong with it.
Andrew Schwartz: Right now, he's got a decision to make, too. He's got to decide whether to slap tariffs on the rest of China's imports, which totals roughly $300 billion.
Bill Reinsch: And that will be a big consumer impact. Going from 10% to 25% on the $200 billion, which is what happened last week, that's going to have a consumer impact that's noticeable.
Bill Reinsch: If you cover the rest of it, the $300 billion, which is like everything else, then you're getting iPhones, you're getting laptops, you're getting a whole bunch of electronics-
Scott Miller: Toys, furniture ...
Bill Reinsch: Toys, furniture, and apparel. Anybody that goes to Walmart is going to see a very clear and fairly ... Well, not immediate, but couple month impact.
Andrew Schwartz: Right. You don't want your kids' toys to cost a fortune. I've seen what that looks like Brazil, by the way, when, because of their hyper inflation, and it's not pretty.
Bill Reinsch: Do your kids still play with toys, Andrew?
Andrew Schwartz: Oh, yeah. I still have a sixth grader.
Scott Miller: He has sons, for goodness sake.
Andrew Schwartz: Yeah, I have three sons. A big truck is a big truck, right? You know that, Bill.
Bill Reinsch: There's a country-western song about that. "I got my first truck when I was three years old. I drove 100,000 miles on my knees."
Andrew Schwartz: Yep. That's about it.
Scott Miller: Boys like toys. That's all there is to it.
Andrew Schwartz: Oh, yeah. Well, looking at the way this has transpired, it's not odd to see the Chinese today calling it war in their media. It feels like war.
Bill Reinsch: It is. For me, it's a signal that they think this is going to last awhile. I think if they thought this was going to wrap up, that this was a blip and they could get back on track, the rhetoric would be different. This is long term rhetoric.
Scott Miller: Yes, and this is despite the fact that it's still in the interest of both parties to find an accommodation somewhere. Both parties would be better off with the deal, but they're getting further away from it, not closer.
Andrew Schwartz: Our colleague, Scott Kennedy, says in Politico this morning watch for even more retaliation from China. He says, quote, "We should expect China this week to signal its intention to retaliate in kind in potentially other means, the most likely being harassment of American companies in China's operations."
Scott Miller: Nationalism is a very powerful force in China, and if it's deployed, it shows up almost everywhere. I had a chance to on a Congressional delegation with a member of Congress. This co-del happened to be the first in country after we accidentally blew up their embassy in Belgrade-
Bill Reinsch: Which was 20 years ago this week.
Scott Miller: 20 years ago this happened, and I was with a member of the House of Representatives Ways and Means Committee on a congressional delegation, and we called it the Apology Tour, because ... This was Nancy Johnson. Mrs. Johnson of Connecticut. She managed to apologize to a Deputy Assistant Secretary of agriculture for bombing their embassy, but the entire tour was predicated upon the nationalism that had been spiked by that one event. And it's a powerful force. It's hard for us to deal with that given the differences in society.
Bill Reinsch: The Chinese play on this because of a confluence of events. You've got the 20th anniversary of the Belgrade bombing. You've also got the 100th anniversary of the May 4th Revolution, which was not a communist revolution, but it was actually ironic because it was very much like Tiananmen in '89, except this is the one that the communists like. It was the Chinese people standing up to the-
Scott Miller: To the emperor.
Bill Reinsch: Well, no, this was after the emperor, but to the warlord government, basically.
Andrew Schwartz: One of the things that President Trump's doing here at home is he reiterated his intent to spend $15 billion to boost farmers that are going to be affected by China's retaliation. So what does that do?
Scott Miller: Well, look, you can affect farm prices. In fact, we do it all the time. There is apparently a mountain of cheese somewhere in US government warehouses.
Andrew Schwartz: Really?
Scott Miller: There's a price stabilization program for cheese-
Bill Reinsch: Probably Wisconsin.
Scott Miller: Okay, and it's part of our dairy programs run by the Department of Agriculture, and there apparently is a mountain of cheese somewhere that is cheese that we bought to stabilize prices. So the USDA has many tools for doing that-
Andrew Schwartz: So we're hoarding cheese in the name of national security.
Scott Miller: I don't know what we're doing with it. I would think you'd want to eat it before it went bad.
Bill Reinsch: When I was growing up, it would end up in school lunch programs, and they'd give it to schools, and you'd have grilled cheese sandwiches, or you would have this horrible, horrible canned barbecue beef that was the product of some surplus at some point.
Scott Miller: But we have many tools for price stabilization in agriculture, shall we say.
Andrew Schwartz: So that's what we're going to do with it.
Scott Miller: I imagine.
Bill Reinsch: Well, there's been debate about that. I think the economists would say if you're going to use it to bail out the farmers, the simplest thing to do is do what they did last year. Just give them a check. Give them the money.
Andrew Schwartz: But this is the second time that Trump has hinted that he was going to give $15 billion in aid and it hasn't happened yet.
Bill Reinsch: Well, he gave $12 billion last year, and that actually did happen. It ended up being, like everything in life, complicated. But they got the money out.
Scott Miller: and late and inefficient, but still.
Bill Reinsch: And the soybean farmers got most of it, and the fruit and nut people, who happen to be in California, got very little and are not happy about it because they suffered. So there's all these distribution issues that come up, but most economists will tell you that's cleaner and more efficient, giving them money, than trying to buy products and then turn them into foreign aid, or resell on the foreign market, in the marketplace-
Scott Miller: Dump them in the Gulf of Mexico, or something.
Bill Reinsch: Yes.
Andrew Schwartz: So what's the response on the hill about this? What are Republicans and Democrats saying about this on the hill?
Scott Miller: Publicly, the President still has support, and he still has bipartisan support for the China policy he's pursuing. But we'll see where it ends up.
Bill Reinsch: Yeah, this is going to be fun to watch. I'm a little bit cynical about this-
Andrew Schwartz: No. Not possible.
Bill Reinsch: The Democrats are going to goad him-
Andrew Schwartz: Bill Reinsch is cynical.
Bill Reinsch: Yeah, well, it's probably from experience on the hill. 20 years up there taught me about how this works.
Bill Reinsch: The Democrats are going to goad him into a tough line, so that when he fails, they can criticize him later. They've got to be salivating about this. It's convenient. First of all, a lot of them believe it anyway, so it's not like a stretch. I mean, Schumer certainly thinks we should be tough on China. It's very easy for him to say that. At the same time, he's not blind to the politics of this, and the realization that if Trump doesn't pull it off, this is a huge talking point of the Democrats.
Bill Reinsch: The Republicans are unhappy, nervous. Most of them are free traders anyway. Most of them think this is all a mistake, and they're all afraid to take him on. It's what Scott said about his support in the party.
Scott Miller: Until the President's performance with Republican voters is called into question, he won't hear from Republicans. He has about a 90% approval rating among Republican voters, and that keeps the criticism in the kitchen instead of out front in the media.
Bill Reinsch: Yeah, his base has become their base. We gave a talk this morning, and Scott had an excellent phrase for it, that essentially what Trump has done is he's hijacked the Republican party, and taken a party that was-
Scott Miller: I considered it a hostile takeover. [crosstalk 00:19:11] style sort of-
Bill Reinsch: Yeah, here's a party that-
Andrew Schwartz: It's definitely his party.
Scott Miller: It's his party now.
Bill Reinsch: It was balance budget. It was free trade, and look what we've got now. Who cares about the budget?
Scott Miller: It's a different world.
Bill Reinsch: A boatload of protectionist policies, and nobody's complaining. That's what's astonishing about it.
Scott Miller: But it is the President's party at this point.
Andrew Schwartz: Well, it's his part, and it reflects his style. Whether they like it or not, they're behind him.
Bill Reinsch: And they're going to either go with him, or go down with him. We'll see.
Andrew Schwartz: We will have to see. Something tells me next week at this same bat time on this same bat channel, we're going to be talking about China.
Scott Miller: Wouldn't surprise me, but then again, it's a story about trade.
Bill Reinsch: It sucks up all the oxygen. We got a question from one of CSIS's supporters about Europe, and what was going on with Europe, partly because the 90 days to make a decision about auto tariffs runs out this Saturday. Friday or Saturday. But the actual question was about bigger than that, because Europeans were in town last week to negotiate, and it was a low level negotiation about regulation. But I hunted around. I couldn't find a single word about this anywhere, and all the trade publications that follow every time somebody sneezes in the trade world, there's an article, absolutely nothing. It's all China all the time. There really are other countries in the world, and there really are other issues going on. The auto tariff thing is actually an important question.
Scott Miller: Yes, and we have important issues contested with other trading partners, but nobody's talking.
Andrew Schwartz: Well, Godzilla against King Kong is a good story.
Scott Miller: It is. Draws some eyeballs.
Bill Reinsch: The movies, Godzilla is going up against Mothra, and several others coming up. I saw the trailer for it over the weekend. They pull Godzilla out of storage in order to save the world from the other ones that are worse. So this is the new something. Godzilla has become the good guy.
Scott Miller: So he's a tragic hero now.
Bill Reinsch: I don't know how the movie ends, but he is still very large and very green.
Andrew Schwartz: I'm still stuck in the Marvel Universe. You guys have lost me. But until next week, I guess we will be talking about China all this week and all next week. Stay right here on the Trade Guys. We'll be back with you next week.
Bill Reinsch: Excellent.
Andrew Schwartz: To our listeners, if you have a question for the Trade Guys, write us at TradeGuys@CSIS.org. That's TradeGuys@CSIS.org. We'll read some of your emails, and have the Trade Guys react to it.
Andrew Schwartz: We're also now on Spotify, so you can find us there when you're listening to the Rolling Stones, or you're listening to Tom Petty, or whatever you're listening to.
Andrew Schwartz: Thank you, Trade Guys.
Scott Miller: Thanks, Andrew.
Bill Reinsch: Thank you.
Andrew Schwartz: You've been listening to the Trade Guys, a CSIS podcast.